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LoneSurvivor

LoneSurvivor

个人简介：Diamond Hands with Lady Luck ⟡

IP属地：未知

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94粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-12-16

10x you sure or nt, nvr 10x how, you pay me ah

2 Cheap Stocks With 10X Potential to Buy in 2022

2021-12-14

What’s next? CHRISTMAS SALES IS NEXT LA! [LOL] Anw my entry is $500 so this dip is none of my business [Tongue]

Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.

2021-12-03

Beware of the dead cat bounce my friends, this stock is probably only worth $5 per share

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-20

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU GOT DIAMOND HANDS ✨[Miser]

2021-11-19

Lol Uber? The next Amazon? Yea Dream on…. I’llrather buy Grab stonks [Surprised]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-18

Good luck to those that got slashed by the fallingknife [Cry] [Happy]

Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading after ending five consecutive suns

2021-11-18

Tired of your roti prata news, when Rivian went up all say buy buy buy. Now dip alry 才來馬後炮 say buy growth stocks. WAKE UP YOUR IDEA LA

Tired of Rivian and Lucid? 3 Better Growth Stocks to Buy Now

2021-11-16

Overvalued then you don’t buy lorrrrr talk so much….. ltr NVDA goes up to $400-500 then come and FOMO lorrrrrr [Tongue]

Nvidia Became A Meme Stock And Is Overvalued By At Least 50 Percent For The Coming Decade

2021-11-15

Mummy Woods is the Hedgies Queen btw, no wonder whatever she does, all the minions follows [LOL]

Cathie Wood Goes Dumpster Diving: 3 Stocks She Just Bought

2021-11-10

Come come lorrrr scared what? Crash only, so scared then don’t trade la [Cry]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-05

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$NVDA IS A TOTAL BEAST TONIGHT, DINNERS ON ME!!!!

2021-11-04

Sold it right smack at the peak [Miser] [LOL]

2021-10-27

Only paper hands will be crying over mini dips like this. If you can’t handle then just quit. Whatever that goes down, will come back up higher. Buy the dip ladies

Federal Trade Commission Scrutinizing Facebook Disclosures, Sources Say-WSJ

2021-10-20

$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$Boy oh boy! I have 2000 GBTC shares, I leave the maths to you, to calculate my earnings [Cool] [Miser]

2021-10-08

Struggle your lj la, dip a bit only then panic alry, don’t invest, just go fishing sua

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-05

Whatever that goes down will always come back up. So stop whining like some lil’ kid oOoOooO market crash ooOoooOoo I’m shooooo scareddddd [Facepalm]

Stock market’s volatile October history means it’s time to steady yourself for a ‘black swan’ event

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you sure or nt, nvr 10x how, you pay me ah","listText":"10x you sure or nt, nvr 10x how, you pay me ah","text":"10x you sure or nt, nvr 10x how, you pay me ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690612718","repostId":"2191910948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2191910948","pubTimestamp":1639657328,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2191910948?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Cheap Stocks With 10X Potential to Buy in 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2191910948","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These two companies have massive growth opportunities and have declined sharply in recent months.","content":"<p>You've probably noticed that stock market volatility has picked up recently. 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While this is certainly the most consumer-facing side of the business, there's a lot more to the company than that.</p>\n<p>Specifically, the data that its core genetic-testing business provides makes the company so interesting. 23andMe has a data library from nearly 12 million genotyped individuals. The next closest competitor has less than one-tenth of that.</p>\n<p>This data could be leveraged to develop therapeutics, and 23andMe is doing exactly that with a 50/50 partnership with pharmaceutical-heavyweight <b>GlaxoSmithKline </b>(NYSE:GSK). Even one successful therapeutic could be worth billions, and the company has a promising development pipeline already.</p>\n<p>In addition, 23andMe is still in the early stages of building out personalized healthcare products. And 75% of consumers say that they wish their healthcare experience was more personalized, so there's a massive opportunity to disrupt the industry over time. Thanks to the recent market decline, investors can buy shares for about 25% less than SPAC investors like Richard Branson paid earlier this year.</p>\n<h2>Could this real estate disruptor change the way we buy and sell houses?</h2>\n<p><b>Offerpad</b> (NYSE:OPAD) is an iBuyer. If you aren't familiar, an iBuyer (or instant buyer) is a company that buys homes directly from sellers. The general idea is that by doing so, it removes most consumer pain points from the home-selling process.</p>\n<p>For example, when you sell to an iBuyer, you won't have to find a real estate agent, allow countless showings, stage your home, make cosmetic repairs, etc. And perhaps most importantly, you can control the timeline. iBuyers can close homes in as little as three days from making an all-cash offer or can wait months, if that's what the seller needs.</p>\n<p>Offerpad is one of three companies that engage in iBuying on a large scale (the other two are <b>Opendoor</b>&nbsp;and<b> Redfin</b>, and although it isn't the biggest, it's found the best balance between growth and efficiency. Its unit economics -- the profit margin per home -- are the best in the industry.</p>\n<p>The concept of iBuying is still pretty new, with less than 1% of all home sales in the U.S., but this is a multitrillion-dollar market. If Offerpad can grow its volume to several times the current level and do so profitably, it could easily grow 10X from here.</p>\n<h2>Expect a roller-coaster ride</h2>\n<p>As a final thought, it's important to emphasize that no stock with a 10X return potential is likely to be a smooth ride, and these two aren't exceptions. Even the now-huge tech behemoths like <b>Amazon </b>and <b>Apple</b> fell by more than 50% from their highs several times on the way to where they are today. Although both of these are down significantly in recent months, if market volatility continues, they could fall further.</p>\n<p>Having said that, I own both of these in my own stock portfolio for one simple reason -- they have <i>huge</i> growth opportunities, and I feel the risk/reward dynamic makes a lot of sense. But I'm invested in these because I think they could be huge in a decade or two, not for what they could do in the coming months.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Cheap Stocks With 10X Potential to Buy in 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Cheap Stocks With 10X Potential to Buy in 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-16 20:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/2-cheap-stocks-with-10x-potential-to-buy-in-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You've probably noticed that stock market volatility has picked up recently. That's especially true if you're invested in highly valued growth stocks, many of which have declined by 30%, 50%, or even ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/2-cheap-stocks-with-10x-potential-to-buy-in-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4121":"生命科学工具和服务","ME":"23andMe, Inc.","BK4007":"制药","OPAD":"Offerpad Solutions","GSK.UK":"葛兰素史克","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","GSK":"葛兰素史克"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/2-cheap-stocks-with-10x-potential-to-buy-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2191910948","content_text":"You've probably noticed that stock market volatility has picked up recently. That's especially true if you're invested in highly valued growth stocks, many of which have declined by 30%, 50%, or even more from their all-time highs.\nWhile nobody enjoys watching the value of their investments go down, periods of volatility like this one can create opportunities to get into long-term winners at a discount. Here are two, in particular, that have 10X growth potential (or possibly much more) that are at the top of my watch list as we head toward 2022.\nThis healthcare innovator has unlimited applications for its data\nMost people know 23andMe (NASDAQ:ME) for its home genetic-testing kits. While this is certainly the most consumer-facing side of the business, there's a lot more to the company than that.\nSpecifically, the data that its core genetic-testing business provides makes the company so interesting. 23andMe has a data library from nearly 12 million genotyped individuals. The next closest competitor has less than one-tenth of that.\nThis data could be leveraged to develop therapeutics, and 23andMe is doing exactly that with a 50/50 partnership with pharmaceutical-heavyweight GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Even one successful therapeutic could be worth billions, and the company has a promising development pipeline already.\nIn addition, 23andMe is still in the early stages of building out personalized healthcare products. And 75% of consumers say that they wish their healthcare experience was more personalized, so there's a massive opportunity to disrupt the industry over time. Thanks to the recent market decline, investors can buy shares for about 25% less than SPAC investors like Richard Branson paid earlier this year.\nCould this real estate disruptor change the way we buy and sell houses?\nOfferpad (NYSE:OPAD) is an iBuyer. If you aren't familiar, an iBuyer (or instant buyer) is a company that buys homes directly from sellers. The general idea is that by doing so, it removes most consumer pain points from the home-selling process.\nFor example, when you sell to an iBuyer, you won't have to find a real estate agent, allow countless showings, stage your home, make cosmetic repairs, etc. And perhaps most importantly, you can control the timeline. iBuyers can close homes in as little as three days from making an all-cash offer or can wait months, if that's what the seller needs.\nOfferpad is one of three companies that engage in iBuying on a large scale (the other two are Opendoor and Redfin, and although it isn't the biggest, it's found the best balance between growth and efficiency. Its unit economics -- the profit margin per home -- are the best in the industry.\nThe concept of iBuying is still pretty new, with less than 1% of all home sales in the U.S., but this is a multitrillion-dollar market. If Offerpad can grow its volume to several times the current level and do so profitably, it could easily grow 10X from here.\nExpect a roller-coaster ride\nAs a final thought, it's important to emphasize that no stock with a 10X return potential is likely to be a smooth ride, and these two aren't exceptions. Even the now-huge tech behemoths like Amazon and Apple fell by more than 50% from their highs several times on the way to where they are today. Although both of these are down significantly in recent months, if market volatility continues, they could fall further.\nHaving said that, I own both of these in my own stock portfolio for one simple reason -- they have huge growth opportunities, and I feel the risk/reward dynamic makes a lot of sense. But I'm invested in these because I think they could be huge in a decade or two, not for what they could do in the coming months.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607024933,"gmtCreate":1639461714734,"gmtModify":1639461715629,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What’s next? CHRISTMAS SALES IS NEXT LA! [LOL]&nbsp;Anw my entry is $500 so this dip is none of my business [Tongue]&nbsp;","listText":"What’s next? CHRISTMAS SALES IS NEXT LA! [LOL]&nbsp;Anw my entry is $500 so this dip is none of my business [Tongue]&nbsp;","text":"What’s next? CHRISTMAS SALES IS NEXT LA! [LOL] Anw my entry is $500 so this dip is none of my business [Tongue]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607024933","repostId":"1114636896","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1114636896","pubTimestamp":1639439509,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114636896?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114636896","media":"Barrons","summary":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is ","content":"<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;crossed into bear-market territory&nbsp;today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.</p>\n<p>Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;both closed down 0.9%.</p>\n<p>The Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.</p>\n<p>Whether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.</p>\n<p>Whether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.</p>\n<p>One of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, <i>Barron’s</i> wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.</p>\n<p>Back then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.</p>\n<p>That would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.</p>\n<p>With all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.</p>\n<p>Two things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.</p>\n<p>Second, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.</p>\n<p>The Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.</p>\n<p>Still, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-14 07:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114636896","content_text":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed down 0.9%.\nThe Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.\nWhether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.\nWhether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.\nOne of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, Barron’s wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.\nBack then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.\nThat would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.\nWith all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.\nTwo things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.\nSecond, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com (AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.\nThe Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.\nStill, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601680941,"gmtCreate":1638522391293,"gmtModify":1638522391789,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Beware of the dead cat bounce my friends, this stock is probably only worth $5 per share","listText":"Beware of the dead cat bounce my friends, this stock is probably only worth $5 per share","text":"Beware of the dead cat bounce my friends, this stock is probably only worth $5 per share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601680941","repostId":"1166348149","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876422213,"gmtCreate":1637343481591,"gmtModify":1637343483229,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU GOT DIAMOND HANDS ✨[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU GOT DIAMOND HANDS ✨[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU GOT DIAMOND HANDS ✨[Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73ee554e6e2def19b1a666040d7699b7","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876422213","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876640756,"gmtCreate":1637310764006,"gmtModify":1637310764427,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol Uber? The next Amazon? Yea&nbsp;Dream on…. I’llrather buy Grab stonks [Surprised]&nbsp;","listText":"Lol Uber? The next Amazon? Yea&nbsp;Dream on…. I’llrather buy Grab stonks [Surprised]&nbsp;","text":"Lol Uber? The next Amazon? Yea Dream on…. I’llrather buy Grab stonks [Surprised]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876640756","repostId":"2184189467","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878738826,"gmtCreate":1637230816259,"gmtModify":1637230816703,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck to those that got slashed by the fallingknife [Cry]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"Good luck to those that got slashed by the fallingknife [Cry]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"Good luck to those that got slashed by the fallingknife [Cry] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878738826","repostId":"1162579269","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162579269","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637226751,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162579269?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-18 17:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading after ending five consecutive suns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162579269","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading. Rivian's stock price plunged 15% to close ","content":"<p>Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c513f39317e5d61a9562ed17e8e4c735\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">&nbsp;Rivian's stock price plunged 15% to close at $146.07 on Wednesday, shares at&nbsp;one&nbsp;point on Tuesday were more than double the company's IPO pricing of $78 from last week. The stock hit an intraday high of $179.47onTuesday.</p>\n<p>For perspective, Rivian's market cap at its peak eclipsed that of auto giant Volkswagen. Rivian has barely shipped any of its electric trucks, and has lost more than $2.4 billion from 2019 through 2021.</p>\n<p>Some strategists like Maley thought&nbsp;the eye-popping gains in Rivian and Lucid underscore the continued high levels of liquidity in the market, in large part fueled by low interest rates.</p>\n<p>Maley&nbsp;explained, \"Just like 1999 when Amazon [stock] got way, way, way ahead of itself — it's a great company and changed the world — but the stock had to come down. I am not saying we are going to have the same problems next year that we had in 200 with a major bear market. But this market is being run by liquidity, and much less so than on economic growth or earnings growth. This liquidity is going to become less plentiful and people need to be preparing for how they will react when this market starts to come down at point. It's inevitable, and I think will come down at some point in the next 12 months.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading after ending five consecutive suns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading after ending five consecutive suns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-18 17:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c513f39317e5d61a9562ed17e8e4c735\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">&nbsp;Rivian's stock price plunged 15% to close at $146.07 on Wednesday, shares at&nbsp;one&nbsp;point on Tuesday were more than double the company's IPO pricing of $78 from last week. The stock hit an intraday high of $179.47onTuesday.</p>\n<p>For perspective, Rivian's market cap at its peak eclipsed that of auto giant Volkswagen. Rivian has barely shipped any of its electric trucks, and has lost more than $2.4 billion from 2019 through 2021.</p>\n<p>Some strategists like Maley thought&nbsp;the eye-popping gains in Rivian and Lucid underscore the continued high levels of liquidity in the market, in large part fueled by low interest rates.</p>\n<p>Maley&nbsp;explained, \"Just like 1999 when Amazon [stock] got way, way, way ahead of itself — it's a great company and changed the world — but the stock had to come down. I am not saying we are going to have the same problems next year that we had in 200 with a major bear market. But this market is being run by liquidity, and much less so than on economic growth or earnings growth. This liquidity is going to become less plentiful and people need to be preparing for how they will react when this market starts to come down at point. It's inevitable, and I think will come down at some point in the next 12 months.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162579269","content_text":"Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading. Rivian's stock price plunged 15% to close at $146.07 on Wednesday, shares at one point on Tuesday were more than double the company's IPO pricing of $78 from last week. The stock hit an intraday high of $179.47onTuesday.\nFor perspective, Rivian's market cap at its peak eclipsed that of auto giant Volkswagen. Rivian has barely shipped any of its electric trucks, and has lost more than $2.4 billion from 2019 through 2021.\nSome strategists like Maley thought the eye-popping gains in Rivian and Lucid underscore the continued high levels of liquidity in the market, in large part fueled by low interest rates.\nMaley explained, \"Just like 1999 when Amazon [stock] got way, way, way ahead of itself — it's a great company and changed the world — but the stock had to come down. I am not saying we are going to have the same problems next year that we had in 200 with a major bear market. But this market is being run by liquidity, and much less so than on economic growth or earnings growth. This liquidity is going to become less plentiful and people need to be preparing for how they will react when this market starts to come down at point. It's inevitable, and I think will come down at some point in the next 12 months.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878570264,"gmtCreate":1637212861189,"gmtModify":1637212861690,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tired of your roti prata news, when Rivian&nbsp;went up all say buy buy buy. Now dip alry 才來馬後炮 say buy growth stocks. WAKE UP YOUR IDEA LA","listText":"Tired of your roti prata news, when Rivian&nbsp;went up all say buy buy buy. Now dip alry 才來馬後炮 say buy growth stocks. WAKE UP YOUR IDEA LA","text":"Tired of your roti prata news, when Rivian went up all say buy buy buy. Now dip alry 才來馬後炮 say buy growth stocks. WAKE UP YOUR IDEA LA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878570264","repostId":"2184853339","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2184853339","pubTimestamp":1637206020,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2184853339?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-18 11:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tired of Rivian and Lucid? 3 Better Growth Stocks to Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2184853339","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Electric vehicle stocks are hot, but these industrial companies could be better buys now.","content":"<p>With everything going on in the stock market and cryptocurrency market, it's hard for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> story to dominate headlines for a day, much less a week. Yet that's exactly what electric vehicle (EV) stocks have done since <b>Rivian Automotive</b> (NASDAQ:RIVN) had its initial public offering (IPO) last week. After debuting at a price of $78 per share, Rivian stock has already doubled. Similarly, share prices of <b>Lucid Group</b> (NASDAQ:LCID), a luxury EV company, have more than doubled in the last month. But those gains are in the past. It's time to look at what's the best option now.</p>\n<p>Investors scanning the horizon for growth stocks may be better off taking a look at <b>Trimble</b> (NASDAQ:TRMB), <b>Array Technologies </b>(NASDAQ:ARRY), and <b>MP Materials</b> (NYSE:MP). Here's why some Fool.com contributors think each is a great buy now.</p>\n<h2>The infrastructure bill is just one of many growth drivers for Trimble</h2>\n<p><b>Lee Samaha (Trimble):</b> Trimble is a leading light in the positioning and modeling business. As such, its roots lie in the geospatial industry (mapping and surveying). The geospatial industry is still a significant end market -- making up around 23% of Trimble's third-quarter revenue. However, its largest end market is buildings and construction (39% of revenue). The other two end markets are the fast-growing resources and utilities (20% of revenue) space and transportation (18% of revenue).</p>\n<p>Trimble's solutions are increasingly used as an integral part of its customers' daily activities. For example, trucking companies use Trimble to make sure their fleets are running safely and effectively, all the time analyzing real-time data to improve performance. In agriculture, its precision agriculture hardware and software help farmers make better decisions when it comes to planting, nurturing, and harvesting crops.</p>\n<p>Moreover, in building and construction, the company's technology helps contractors accurately complete building and infrastructure projects, and in doing so, reduce waste and carbon emissions. As such, the infrastructure bill will lead to plenty of growth opportunities as upgrading the nation's infrastructure can be achieved in a more cost-efficient and environmentally friendly way using Trimble.</p>\n<p>Given the explosion of connected devices, digital technologies, and analytics capability, it's highly likely that there will be increased adoption of positioning and modeling technology in the future. Again, Trimble is ideally placed to take advantage.</p>\n<h2>This solar stock went from cold to hot</h2>\n<p><b>Daniel Foelber&nbsp;(Array Technologies):</b> Share prices of solar tracking manufacturer Array Technologies have staged quite the comeback since falling 74% from its high in May. The company was caught completely off guard by supply chain constraints and rising raw material costs -- namely steel. The news not only stunted its growth, but crippled its margins, too.</p>\n<p>Although the company's short-term performance continues to suffer,&nbsp;it has done a good job partnering with companies like <b>Nucor</b> to secure more reliable steel pricing, as well as building a healthy backlog of projects. Although Array's Q3 figures were weak, the company's outlook for the year ahead casts a bright light that the worst of its problems may be over.</p>\n<p>Array is a great example of a growth stock that looked strong headed into 2021, suffered a lot of setbacks, and is now beginning to get back on its feet. Now is the perfect time for investors to revisit the long-term investment thesis, which centers around the growing need for more efficient and cost-effective solar tracking. Array's industry-leading technology maximizes the amount of solar energy that a panel can generate, which saves costs in the long run. The company's business is almost entirely in the U.S. but there are plans to expand internationally as new markets demand more efficient solar systems. Given the lower cost of utility-solar and estimates that solar will only grow its share in the global energy mix, Array is a growth stock worth following as its fundamentals improve.</p>\n<h2>Dig this under-the-radar EV stock</h2>\n<p><b>Scott Levine (MP Materials): </b>Soaring steeply higher in its short time as a publicly traded company, Rivian's stock is charging into the hearts -- and portfolios -- of many EV-focused investors. While the stock is currently the talk of the town, there's another EV stock that represents another great growth opportunity, though it hardly finds itself in the limelight as Rivian currently does. MP Materials is a mining company that owns and operates Mountain Pass, where it mines and processes rare earth minerals. Although lithium is the mineral that is likely most familiar to renewable energy investors, rare earth minerals are critical components in the production of magnets used in EVs and other advanced motion technologies like wind turbines and drones.</p>\n<p>The bull case for MP Materials is predicated largely on the fact that rare earth minerals are, well, <i>rare --&nbsp;</i>not something you can easily find in your backyard -- so owning and operating one of the largest integrated rare earth mining and processing facilities in the world (as MP Materials proclaims to do) is fairly compelling. Add to that the fact that the United States has voiced a desire to shore up its supply of rare earth materials by distancing itself from China, where the majority of rare earth minerals are currently sourced, and MP Materials becomes even more attractive.</p>\n<p>During an investors presentation last year, MP Materials projected that its revenue would rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53% from $75 million in 2019 to $415 million in 2023. But it wouldn't be surprising if the top line grows at an even greater clip than that. Through the first nine months of 2021, the company has reported revenue of $233 million, blowing past its earlier forecast of $171 million for all of 2021. Pivoting to the cash flow statement, investors will find that while this growth company has a long runway ahead of it, the company's risks are mitigated by the fact that it's cash-flow positive. Through the first nine months of 2021, MP Materials has generated operating cash flow of $70.5 million, and management expects it to become free-cash-flow positive in 2022.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tired of Rivian and Lucid? 3 Better Growth Stocks to Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTired of Rivian and Lucid? 3 Better Growth Stocks to Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-18 11:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/17/tired-of-rivian-and-lucid-3-better-growth-stocks-t/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With everything going on in the stock market and cryptocurrency market, it's hard for one story to dominate headlines for a day, much less a week. Yet that's exactly what electric vehicle (EV) stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/17/tired-of-rivian-and-lucid-3-better-growth-stocks-t/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARRY":"Array Technologies Inc.","MP":"MP Materials Corp.","TRMB":"天宝导航"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/17/tired-of-rivian-and-lucid-3-better-growth-stocks-t/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2184853339","content_text":"With everything going on in the stock market and cryptocurrency market, it's hard for one story to dominate headlines for a day, much less a week. Yet that's exactly what electric vehicle (EV) stocks have done since Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) had its initial public offering (IPO) last week. After debuting at a price of $78 per share, Rivian stock has already doubled. Similarly, share prices of Lucid Group (NASDAQ:LCID), a luxury EV company, have more than doubled in the last month. But those gains are in the past. It's time to look at what's the best option now.\nInvestors scanning the horizon for growth stocks may be better off taking a look at Trimble (NASDAQ:TRMB), Array Technologies (NASDAQ:ARRY), and MP Materials (NYSE:MP). Here's why some Fool.com contributors think each is a great buy now.\nThe infrastructure bill is just one of many growth drivers for Trimble\nLee Samaha (Trimble): Trimble is a leading light in the positioning and modeling business. As such, its roots lie in the geospatial industry (mapping and surveying). The geospatial industry is still a significant end market -- making up around 23% of Trimble's third-quarter revenue. However, its largest end market is buildings and construction (39% of revenue). The other two end markets are the fast-growing resources and utilities (20% of revenue) space and transportation (18% of revenue).\nTrimble's solutions are increasingly used as an integral part of its customers' daily activities. For example, trucking companies use Trimble to make sure their fleets are running safely and effectively, all the time analyzing real-time data to improve performance. In agriculture, its precision agriculture hardware and software help farmers make better decisions when it comes to planting, nurturing, and harvesting crops.\nMoreover, in building and construction, the company's technology helps contractors accurately complete building and infrastructure projects, and in doing so, reduce waste and carbon emissions. As such, the infrastructure bill will lead to plenty of growth opportunities as upgrading the nation's infrastructure can be achieved in a more cost-efficient and environmentally friendly way using Trimble.\nGiven the explosion of connected devices, digital technologies, and analytics capability, it's highly likely that there will be increased adoption of positioning and modeling technology in the future. Again, Trimble is ideally placed to take advantage.\nThis solar stock went from cold to hot\nDaniel Foelber (Array Technologies): Share prices of solar tracking manufacturer Array Technologies have staged quite the comeback since falling 74% from its high in May. The company was caught completely off guard by supply chain constraints and rising raw material costs -- namely steel. The news not only stunted its growth, but crippled its margins, too.\nAlthough the company's short-term performance continues to suffer, it has done a good job partnering with companies like Nucor to secure more reliable steel pricing, as well as building a healthy backlog of projects. Although Array's Q3 figures were weak, the company's outlook for the year ahead casts a bright light that the worst of its problems may be over.\nArray is a great example of a growth stock that looked strong headed into 2021, suffered a lot of setbacks, and is now beginning to get back on its feet. Now is the perfect time for investors to revisit the long-term investment thesis, which centers around the growing need for more efficient and cost-effective solar tracking. Array's industry-leading technology maximizes the amount of solar energy that a panel can generate, which saves costs in the long run. The company's business is almost entirely in the U.S. but there are plans to expand internationally as new markets demand more efficient solar systems. Given the lower cost of utility-solar and estimates that solar will only grow its share in the global energy mix, Array is a growth stock worth following as its fundamentals improve.\nDig this under-the-radar EV stock\nScott Levine (MP Materials): Soaring steeply higher in its short time as a publicly traded company, Rivian's stock is charging into the hearts -- and portfolios -- of many EV-focused investors. While the stock is currently the talk of the town, there's another EV stock that represents another great growth opportunity, though it hardly finds itself in the limelight as Rivian currently does. MP Materials is a mining company that owns and operates Mountain Pass, where it mines and processes rare earth minerals. Although lithium is the mineral that is likely most familiar to renewable energy investors, rare earth minerals are critical components in the production of magnets used in EVs and other advanced motion technologies like wind turbines and drones.\nThe bull case for MP Materials is predicated largely on the fact that rare earth minerals are, well, rare -- not something you can easily find in your backyard -- so owning and operating one of the largest integrated rare earth mining and processing facilities in the world (as MP Materials proclaims to do) is fairly compelling. Add to that the fact that the United States has voiced a desire to shore up its supply of rare earth materials by distancing itself from China, where the majority of rare earth minerals are currently sourced, and MP Materials becomes even more attractive.\nDuring an investors presentation last year, MP Materials projected that its revenue would rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53% from $75 million in 2019 to $415 million in 2023. But it wouldn't be surprising if the top line grows at an even greater clip than that. Through the first nine months of 2021, the company has reported revenue of $233 million, blowing past its earlier forecast of $171 million for all of 2021. Pivoting to the cash flow statement, investors will find that while this growth company has a long runway ahead of it, the company's risks are mitigated by the fact that it's cash-flow positive. Through the first nine months of 2021, MP Materials has generated operating cash flow of $70.5 million, and management expects it to become free-cash-flow positive in 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871166969,"gmtCreate":1637038001844,"gmtModify":1637038002243,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Overvalued then you don’t buy lorrrrr talk so much….. ltr NVDA goes up to $400-500 then come and FOMO lorrrrrr [Tongue]&nbsp;","listText":"Overvalued then you don’t buy lorrrrr talk so much….. ltr NVDA goes up to $400-500 then come and FOMO lorrrrrr [Tongue]&nbsp;","text":"Overvalued then you don’t buy lorrrrr talk so much….. ltr NVDA goes up to $400-500 then come and FOMO lorrrrrr [Tongue]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871166969","repostId":"1160740007","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1160740007","pubTimestamp":1637034481,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160740007?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Became A Meme Stock And Is Overvalued By At Least 50 Percent For The Coming Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160740007","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThere is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competit","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>There is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector.</li>\n <li>In my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment for the next five to ten years.</li>\n <li>At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>Nvidia's (NVDA) share price has followed a parabolic trend over the last few weeks, even in a logarithmic chart. In addition to the prolonged growth that accompanied the general optimistic stock market sentiment and the hype around tech stocks, we now see a short-term growth spurt. However, with the recent growth that has carried the company to a market cap of $760 billion, the stock has finally become a speculative bubble, joining all the other meme stocks. Thus, with Nvidia, I think we see how little an excellent business model has to do with an excellent investment. At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.</p>\n<p>Nothing but expectations</p>\n<p>Recently, hype sentiment has carried the share upwards. For this hype sentiment, theMetaverse/Omniverse, AI, and the Arm deal were the main reasons for exuberant optimism among Nvidia bulls.</p>\n<p>The company created a lot of excitement around its appearance at the GTC conference and the introduction of the omniverse platform. With this platform, Nvidia wants to create virtual worldsin particular:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Omniverse - a platform that serves as the connective tissue for physically accurate 3D virtual worlds - is gaining new features such as AR, VR and multi-GPU rendering, as well as integrations for infrastructure and industrial digital-twin applications with software from Bentley Systems and Esri.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Omniverse enables engineers and designers to build physically accurate digital twins of buildings and products, or create massive, true-to-reality simulation environments for training robots or autonomous vehicles before they're deployed in the physical world.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The goal behind Omniverse is to create an ecosystem that is used by many industries worldwide. What is particularly exciting is that companies can create virtual twins of reality. The areas of application are manifold. For example, companies can test their products in this virtual world. It doesn't matter whether it's telecommunications companies that want to try the range of their transmission towers or data connection tools or car manufacturers that want to test the characteristics of cars in a real-life virtual environment. Instead of driving on a test track, the tests can take place in a virtual world. Awesome!</p>\n<p>What bugs me about this, however, are the many buzzwords. All these flowering words about quantum computers, AI, cyber security, etc., run through the entire (but otherwise fascinating and worth seeing) presentation. Of course, investors always need to clean up such presentations of all the advertising and touting to grasp the realistic opportunities. In the end, I think we are getting into the future that Nvidia is drawing for us. It may look different here and there, but the opportunities and monetization possibilities around virtual reality or virtual twins will be enormous and catapult us into the post-Internet age.</p>\n<p>But that brings us to the point. You don't have to have owned Microsoft (MSFT) shares in 2000 to see the parallels. With Microsoft, as with many Internet stocks, there was great euphoria about the future of the Internet and the associated (disruptive)business opportunities:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Before the dot.com or tech bubble burst, investors were convinced of the possibilities of the Internet, digitalization, and technical progress. Microsoft, it seemed, was the gatekeeper to this world with its Windows operating system and the Internet Explorer. The investors saw themselves at the beginning of a vast cycle. And Microsoft was able to keep its promises. By 1999, the company had increased its annual revenue by 30%. Besides, Microsoft was profitable even then and was able to increase its profits more than five-fold from 1995 to 2000.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60a717d69de6b7f73e2ac4764f6e2d5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"150\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <i>Microsoft revenue &amp; EPS from 1995-2001; taken from MSFT investor relation/graph by author</i>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n But then, the bubble started to burst, and Judge Thomas Penfield Jacksondecidedthat Microsoft had violated the Sherman Antitrust Act due to abusive behavior, which only accelerated the bursting of the tech bubble. You know the rest of the story.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As with Microsoft in the dot.com bubble, the problem I see with Nvidia is that investors are euphorically betting on something that does not yet exist. So much of this future is currently priced into the share price without it even being clear what will end up in shareholders' pockets in the form of profits, cash flows, or dividends. Think of all the dot.com bubbles that burst even though companies like Cisco (CSCO) or Microsoft could deliver on their growth promises. Here we see the classic difference between companies and investments. An investment in a terrific company can still be a bad investment if the price is too high. If investors now buy Nvidia because of the Omniverse, it is nothing but a big gamble.</p>\n<p>And then, of course, there is Nvidia's classic business around the GPU and the Tegra processors. Here Nvidia is very successful. But this business is anything but a moat. Yes, Nvidia was able to increase sales and profits with it massively. The company has benefited primarily from the fact that the architecture of GPUs is superior to that of pure CPUs, such as those offered by Intel (INTC), for many applications such as high-performance computing, gaming, and servers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f665c228fc6b50397b6fe547b6c1dbb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:Investor presentation</span></p>\n<p>Now Nvidia is looking to gain a foothold in the CPU market with the $40 billion Arm acquisition, using Arm's business model to secure the company's licenses. The Arm architecture is a key technology, especially for the entire smartphone industry. Arm is the architecture behind the SoCs used in virtually all smartphones and most tablet computers.</p>\n<p>But it is not at all clear whether the deal will go through and at what price. Competition authorities such as the&nbsp;British CMA see considerable competition concerns&nbsp;and will presumably tie approval to significant concessions. Even if Nvidia does get clearance, the competition watchdogs will closely look at licensing practices. Unfortunately for Nvidia, and even though Arm does not make chips, the current chip shortage is prompting competition authorities to scrutinize the merger even more closely as the entire chip industry comes under scrutiny.</p>\n<p>In short, the Arm deal may ultimately bring more advantages than disadvantages for Nvidia, but it is uncertain to what extent advance praise is justified here. Investors should not forget that the competition is not sleeping. Qualcomm, in particular, is very active right now and has made a significant strategic move with the NUVIA acquisition. I have already written about NUVIAhereandhere, which Qualcomm acquired for $1.4 billion:</p>\n<blockquote>\n And then there's the startup NUVIA, which former Apple employees founded. CEO Amon wants to attack Apple's M1 processors with the acquired start-up and enter the laptop market next year. Qualcomm had previously tried integrating a smartphone SoC into a notebook with only minor modifications and okayish results.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n But now Qualcomm wants to release a Nuvia SoC based on ARM architecturenext year. This step would reduce Qualcomm's dependency on ARM and Nvidia enormously. Conversely, Qualcomm does not have much to lose since it can still license ARM technology from Nvidia in an emergency. The competition authorities will probably look particularly closely at the takeover of ARM by Nvidia to ensure that Nvidia does not put Qualcomm or other potential licensees at a disadvantage with too high license fees.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n The first comparisons of NUVIA's Phoenix chip to other chip suppliers already show a significant outperformance:\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24cf0a0daa9c8b638e461a9bdaf0d1a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"407\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:Nuvia Webpage</span></p>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Most recently, Qualcomm has been very optimistic about the prospects around the NUVIA deal:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We are pleased with the strong market validation of Arm-based personal computing in the industry transition to a new SoC architecture. We're more confident than ever in the connected computing opportunity, our upcoming solutions powered by our NUVIA CPUs, and our collaboration with Microsoft. We're also seeing increased traction in consumer electronics.\n</blockquote>\n<p>So it is not that Nvidia will single-handedly dominate the Arm market. The competitive pressure is no less in the other business areas either. Above all, the eternal GPU competitor AMD (AMD) will continue to put pressure on the company. In autonomous driving, Intel is a heavyweight competitor alongside Tesla (TSLA), following its acquisition of the Israeli companyMobileye for over $15 billion in 2017.</p>\n<p>Managing expectations</p>\n<p>With a P/E ratio of over 100, Nvidia would have to quadruple its profits to reach a valuation of 25, which is reasonable for a growth company. And admittedly, Nvidia has already achieved such growth.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, investors who invest in Nvidia now are speculating that Nvidia will increase its profits in the same way for the coming years. Of course, the company has already managed such developments in the past. In 2005, Nvidia was able to push its earnings per share from $0.05 to $0.33 within three years, which corresponds to a six-fold increase. But already in 2009 and 2010, Nvidia made losses. Only in 2017, it was it able to lift EPS above the 2008 level. Investors have to face it: profit increases are not a one-way street, especially not in the tech sector. And even analysts do not expect Nvidia to increase profits fast enough to reach reasonable valuation levels based on the current share price over the following years. In 2020, adjusted EPS was $2.50. Below you see expected earnings for the subsequent years, and you can also see that even the most optimistic analyst out of 19 surveyed does not expect Nvidia to achieve EPS higher than $7.25 in 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1916e5f56a5eee93d4c1c93e254afc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: www.dividendStocks.Cash</span></p>\n<p>So we are far from saying that Nvidia will reach reasonable multiples in the next 4, 5, or 6 years based on today's share price. Even if we set the fair P/E multiple at 40. Considering the expected earnings, this results in an overvaluation of almost 30% even until 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7635beca779966b95afc457e2942d3f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: www.dividendStocks.Cash</span></p>\n<p>Even when looking at a DCF analysis, we see the apparent overvaluation and massive downside potential. Below you can see the expectations for the sales development until 2024.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/334c1692ae1a107d16b6c981312c34fb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>For the DCF analysis, I even assume a much more optimistic scenario where the company will increase sales significantly higher. I also assume an improvement in margins.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ff075390e6e0c070e102d3010f93296\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:alphaspread.com/estimates by author</span></p>\n<p>Based on these figures and assuming a discount rate of 9%, we see that Nvidia is overvalued by 50 percent, which is essentially in line with the fundamental valuation.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fe4a0463babd595f753a0776e80efd\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"383\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: alphaspread.com/estimates by author</span></p>\n<p>Investors should not forget that we could also see a change in interest rates next year. A discount rate of 9 percent could therefore be far too low. To remind you, the cost of equity was already 10 percent for Nvidia at the end of 2019. So what happens if we continue to take an optimistic growth scenario but increase the discount rate to 12 percent?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e8d3231ad0480f4042265afdcf2911d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:Discount rate history for Nvidia</span></p>\n<p>You can see the result here: The Nvidia share would then be overvalued by almost 75 percent.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b3b3bab8c4014934702ed6382e76202\" tg-width=\"379\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: alphaspread.com/estimates by author</span></p>\n<p>Conclusion</p>\n<p>There is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector. In my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment for the next five to ten years. At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Became A Meme Stock And Is Overvalued By At Least 50 Percent For The Coming Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Became A Meme Stock And Is Overvalued By At Least 50 Percent For The Coming Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-16 11:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4469673-nvidia-overvalued-by-at-least-50-percent><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThere is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector.\nIn my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4469673-nvidia-overvalued-by-at-least-50-percent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4469673-nvidia-overvalued-by-at-least-50-percent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1160740007","content_text":"Summary\n\nThere is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector.\nIn my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment for the next five to ten years.\nAt its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.\n\nIntroduction\nNvidia's (NVDA) share price has followed a parabolic trend over the last few weeks, even in a logarithmic chart. In addition to the prolonged growth that accompanied the general optimistic stock market sentiment and the hype around tech stocks, we now see a short-term growth spurt. However, with the recent growth that has carried the company to a market cap of $760 billion, the stock has finally become a speculative bubble, joining all the other meme stocks. Thus, with Nvidia, I think we see how little an excellent business model has to do with an excellent investment. At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.\nNothing but expectations\nRecently, hype sentiment has carried the share upwards. For this hype sentiment, theMetaverse/Omniverse, AI, and the Arm deal were the main reasons for exuberant optimism among Nvidia bulls.\nThe company created a lot of excitement around its appearance at the GTC conference and the introduction of the omniverse platform. With this platform, Nvidia wants to create virtual worldsin particular:\n\n Omniverse - a platform that serves as the connective tissue for physically accurate 3D virtual worlds - is gaining new features such as AR, VR and multi-GPU rendering, as well as integrations for infrastructure and industrial digital-twin applications with software from Bentley Systems and Esri.\n\n\n Omniverse enables engineers and designers to build physically accurate digital twins of buildings and products, or create massive, true-to-reality simulation environments for training robots or autonomous vehicles before they're deployed in the physical world.\n\nThe goal behind Omniverse is to create an ecosystem that is used by many industries worldwide. What is particularly exciting is that companies can create virtual twins of reality. The areas of application are manifold. For example, companies can test their products in this virtual world. It doesn't matter whether it's telecommunications companies that want to try the range of their transmission towers or data connection tools or car manufacturers that want to test the characteristics of cars in a real-life virtual environment. Instead of driving on a test track, the tests can take place in a virtual world. Awesome!\nWhat bugs me about this, however, are the many buzzwords. All these flowering words about quantum computers, AI, cyber security, etc., run through the entire (but otherwise fascinating and worth seeing) presentation. Of course, investors always need to clean up such presentations of all the advertising and touting to grasp the realistic opportunities. In the end, I think we are getting into the future that Nvidia is drawing for us. It may look different here and there, but the opportunities and monetization possibilities around virtual reality or virtual twins will be enormous and catapult us into the post-Internet age.\nBut that brings us to the point. You don't have to have owned Microsoft (MSFT) shares in 2000 to see the parallels. With Microsoft, as with many Internet stocks, there was great euphoria about the future of the Internet and the associated (disruptive)business opportunities:\n\n Before the dot.com or tech bubble burst, investors were convinced of the possibilities of the Internet, digitalization, and technical progress. Microsoft, it seemed, was the gatekeeper to this world with its Windows operating system and the Internet Explorer. The investors saw themselves at the beginning of a vast cycle. And Microsoft was able to keep its promises. By 1999, the company had increased its annual revenue by 30%. Besides, Microsoft was profitable even then and was able to increase its profits more than five-fold from 1995 to 2000.\n\n\n\n\n\nMicrosoft revenue & EPS from 1995-2001; taken from MSFT investor relation/graph by author\n\n\n But then, the bubble started to burst, and Judge Thomas Penfield Jacksondecidedthat Microsoft had violated the Sherman Antitrust Act due to abusive behavior, which only accelerated the bursting of the tech bubble. You know the rest of the story.\n\nAs with Microsoft in the dot.com bubble, the problem I see with Nvidia is that investors are euphorically betting on something that does not yet exist. So much of this future is currently priced into the share price without it even being clear what will end up in shareholders' pockets in the form of profits, cash flows, or dividends. Think of all the dot.com bubbles that burst even though companies like Cisco (CSCO) or Microsoft could deliver on their growth promises. Here we see the classic difference between companies and investments. An investment in a terrific company can still be a bad investment if the price is too high. If investors now buy Nvidia because of the Omniverse, it is nothing but a big gamble.\nAnd then, of course, there is Nvidia's classic business around the GPU and the Tegra processors. Here Nvidia is very successful. But this business is anything but a moat. Yes, Nvidia was able to increase sales and profits with it massively. The company has benefited primarily from the fact that the architecture of GPUs is superior to that of pure CPUs, such as those offered by Intel (INTC), for many applications such as high-performance computing, gaming, and servers.\nSource:Investor presentation\nNow Nvidia is looking to gain a foothold in the CPU market with the $40 billion Arm acquisition, using Arm's business model to secure the company's licenses. The Arm architecture is a key technology, especially for the entire smartphone industry. Arm is the architecture behind the SoCs used in virtually all smartphones and most tablet computers.\nBut it is not at all clear whether the deal will go through and at what price. Competition authorities such as the British CMA see considerable competition concerns and will presumably tie approval to significant concessions. Even if Nvidia does get clearance, the competition watchdogs will closely look at licensing practices. Unfortunately for Nvidia, and even though Arm does not make chips, the current chip shortage is prompting competition authorities to scrutinize the merger even more closely as the entire chip industry comes under scrutiny.\nIn short, the Arm deal may ultimately bring more advantages than disadvantages for Nvidia, but it is uncertain to what extent advance praise is justified here. Investors should not forget that the competition is not sleeping. Qualcomm, in particular, is very active right now and has made a significant strategic move with the NUVIA acquisition. I have already written about NUVIAhereandhere, which Qualcomm acquired for $1.4 billion:\n\n And then there's the startup NUVIA, which former Apple employees founded. CEO Amon wants to attack Apple's M1 processors with the acquired start-up and enter the laptop market next year. Qualcomm had previously tried integrating a smartphone SoC into a notebook with only minor modifications and okayish results.\n\n\n But now Qualcomm wants to release a Nuvia SoC based on ARM architecturenext year. This step would reduce Qualcomm's dependency on ARM and Nvidia enormously. Conversely, Qualcomm does not have much to lose since it can still license ARM technology from Nvidia in an emergency. The competition authorities will probably look particularly closely at the takeover of ARM by Nvidia to ensure that Nvidia does not put Qualcomm or other potential licensees at a disadvantage with too high license fees.\n\n\n The first comparisons of NUVIA's Phoenix chip to other chip suppliers already show a significant outperformance:\n\n\nSource:Nuvia Webpage\n\nMost recently, Qualcomm has been very optimistic about the prospects around the NUVIA deal:\n\n We are pleased with the strong market validation of Arm-based personal computing in the industry transition to a new SoC architecture. We're more confident than ever in the connected computing opportunity, our upcoming solutions powered by our NUVIA CPUs, and our collaboration with Microsoft. We're also seeing increased traction in consumer electronics.\n\nSo it is not that Nvidia will single-handedly dominate the Arm market. The competitive pressure is no less in the other business areas either. Above all, the eternal GPU competitor AMD (AMD) will continue to put pressure on the company. In autonomous driving, Intel is a heavyweight competitor alongside Tesla (TSLA), following its acquisition of the Israeli companyMobileye for over $15 billion in 2017.\nManaging expectations\nWith a P/E ratio of over 100, Nvidia would have to quadruple its profits to reach a valuation of 25, which is reasonable for a growth company. And admittedly, Nvidia has already achieved such growth.\nNevertheless, investors who invest in Nvidia now are speculating that Nvidia will increase its profits in the same way for the coming years. Of course, the company has already managed such developments in the past. In 2005, Nvidia was able to push its earnings per share from $0.05 to $0.33 within three years, which corresponds to a six-fold increase. But already in 2009 and 2010, Nvidia made losses. Only in 2017, it was it able to lift EPS above the 2008 level. Investors have to face it: profit increases are not a one-way street, especially not in the tech sector. And even analysts do not expect Nvidia to increase profits fast enough to reach reasonable valuation levels based on the current share price over the following years. In 2020, adjusted EPS was $2.50. Below you see expected earnings for the subsequent years, and you can also see that even the most optimistic analyst out of 19 surveyed does not expect Nvidia to achieve EPS higher than $7.25 in 2024.\nSource: www.dividendStocks.Cash\nSo we are far from saying that Nvidia will reach reasonable multiples in the next 4, 5, or 6 years based on today's share price. Even if we set the fair P/E multiple at 40. Considering the expected earnings, this results in an overvaluation of almost 30% even until 2024.\nSource: www.dividendStocks.Cash\nEven when looking at a DCF analysis, we see the apparent overvaluation and massive downside potential. Below you can see the expectations for the sales development until 2024.\n\nFor the DCF analysis, I even assume a much more optimistic scenario where the company will increase sales significantly higher. I also assume an improvement in margins.\nSource:alphaspread.com/estimates by author\nBased on these figures and assuming a discount rate of 9%, we see that Nvidia is overvalued by 50 percent, which is essentially in line with the fundamental valuation.\nSource: alphaspread.com/estimates by author\nInvestors should not forget that we could also see a change in interest rates next year. A discount rate of 9 percent could therefore be far too low. To remind you, the cost of equity was already 10 percent for Nvidia at the end of 2019. So what happens if we continue to take an optimistic growth scenario but increase the discount rate to 12 percent?\nSource:Discount rate history for Nvidia\nYou can see the result here: The Nvidia share would then be overvalued by almost 75 percent.\nSource: alphaspread.com/estimates by author\nConclusion\nThere is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector. In my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment for the next five to ten years. At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":696,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873422145,"gmtCreate":1636979627518,"gmtModify":1636979627962,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mummy Woods is the Hedgies Queen btw, no wonder whatever she does, all the minions follows [LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"Mummy Woods is the Hedgies Queen btw, no wonder whatever she does, all the minions follows [LOL]&nbsp;","text":"Mummy Woods is the Hedgies Queen btw, no wonder whatever she does, all the minions follows [LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873422145","repostId":"2183046479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2183046479","pubTimestamp":1636962804,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2183046479?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-15 15:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Goes Dumpster Diving: 3 Stocks She Just Bought","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2183046479","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A trio of stocks you might consider adding to your portfolio.","content":"<p>Cathie Wood runs one(AONE.U) of the most popular tech stock funds, the <b>ARK Innovation Fund </b>(NYSEMKT:ARKK), with more than $19 billion under management. This fund is not only popular, but it is also soundly beating the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> with a five-year return of 39% annually (as of Sept. 30).&nbsp;Cathie Wood runs this fund and seven other tech-focused funds that are popular with growth investors. One of the things that makes her a popular investor to follow is that all the buys and sells from these funds are published daily.</p>\n<p>Since she has a history of picking high-tech stocks at good prices, we asked three Motley Fool contributors to highlight one company that her funds have purchased recently that investors should consider adding to their portfolio.</p>\n<p>They came up with <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> </b>(NASDAQ:FB), <b>Palantir</b> (NYSE:PLTR), and <b>Twilio</b> (NYSE:TWLO).</p>\n<h2>Meta Platforms: The company formerly known as Facebook</h2>\n<p><b>Danny Vena (Meta Platforms): </b>The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">ARK Fintech Innovation ETF</a></b> has made some bold moves lately, no doubt spurred on by Cathie Wood's vision of the future. One of the biggest purchases over the past week is the addition of a big chunk of Meta Platforms, the company formerly known as Facebook.</p>\n<p>Over the past week, the fund has stockpiled more than 100,000 shares of Meta, worth more than $33 million (as of this writing). Perhaps more importantly, ARK Fintech Innovation already had a substantial stake in Meta, now equal to a roughly 3% position, and valued at nearly $103 million -- making it the fund's 11th largest position.</p>\n<p>Meta has been working to debut its long-awaited digital currency dubbed Diem, formerly known as Libra. The company is a founding member of the Diem Association, which underpins the upcoming cryptocurrency.&nbsp;Diem is a blockchain-based payment system that was designed from the ground up with payments in mind, focusing on \"consumer safety, financial stability, and combating financial crime.\"</p>\n<p>Additionally, just last month, Meta launched a pilot of Novi -- its cryptocurrency wallet -- to a small number of users in the U.S. and Guatemala.</p>\n<p>Given Wood's early adoption and bullish track record regarding <b>Bitcoin</b>, it's little wonder the rock star investor might place a similar bet on a Meta-backed cryptocurrency and digital wallet. But those fintech aspirations notwithstanding, there are plenty of other reasons to be bullish on Meta.</p>\n<p>Let's not forget that Facebook is one of the most recognized companies on the planet. For the third quarter, Facebook reported 1.93 billion daily active users (DAUs), up 6% year over year, and 2.91 billion monthly active users (MAUs). When you expand that to include the company's other platforms (Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger) that rises to 2.81 billion DAUs and 3.58 billion MAUs.</p>\n<p>That many users creates a powerful network effect for the social media baron, helping Meta generate significant advertising revenue to support its moonshots. In the third quarter, revenue of $29 billion grew 35% year over year -- even as the company dealt with privacy reforms rolled out by <b>Apple</b>, which made it more difficult to measure the success of advertising campaigns across devices using iOS. Meta also generated more than $9.1 billion in net income and $9.5 billion in free cash flow.</p>\n<p>Even as the company faces regulatory challenges, Meta is preparing for the metaverse, a digital realm online where users play, work, and shop. Meta describes this as \"the next evolution of social connection ... [where] you'll be able to socialize, learn, collaborate and play in ways that go beyond what's possible today.\"</p>\n<p>Meta sees the metaverse as its next big growth driver, as well as a way to retain young, tech savvy users. The company has a head start in the areas of augmented reality (AR) and virtual-reality, which will likely be key components in its broader strategy.</p>\n<p>It also doesn't hurt that the stock is on sale at a 15% discount to recent highs.</p>\n<h2>Palantir: Wood continues adding shares to this insight seeker</h2>\n<p><b>Will Healy</b> <b>(Palantir): </b>Palantir stands out from other data companies in that it specializes in delivering insights. The company works with national security and law enforcement organizations through its Gotham software, functionality that has everyone talking about Palantir stock.</p>\n<p>Moreover, the company has also developed a product for the commercial space, called Foundry, which currently drives the company's fastest growth.</p>\n<p>Seeing the potential of these products, Wood has accumulated Palantir shares in the ARK Innovation Fund since February, buying multiple lots with only one sale in September. This has taken the total in that fund to more than 24 million shares, a 2.8% weighting. Wood has added Palantir shares less aggressively to the <b>ARK Industrial Innovation ETF</b>. Nonetheless, more than 1.1 million Palantir shares make up about 1% of this fund.</p>\n<p>Palantir reported strong numbers in its third-quarter 2021 earnings report. Third-quarter revenue of $392 million surged 36% from year-ago levels. This led to an adjusted net income of $82 million. Palantir also raised fourth-quarter guidance, and predicted the $418 million in revenue will rise 30% year over year if that number holds.</p>\n<p>Nonetheless, the stock dropped 9% in Tuesday trading as the company forecast an adjusted operating margin of 22% for Q4. Analysts had expected 24%. Moreover, a government document indicated that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) might replace Palantir's system with a competing product, though a recent U.S. Army contract could mitigate that loss.</p>\n<p>Additionally, while Wood bought just under 1 million shares between the two funds on that day, the stock fell an additional 7% on Wednesday. With that move, Palantir stock wipes out all of its 2021 gains and has fallen 4% in 2021 as of the time of this writing. Also, despite that drop, Palantir trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 27, well above the average S&amp;P 500 stock, which sells at just over three times sales.</p>\n<p>With its data insight capabilities, Palantir's massive revenue growth should continue. However, given the high sales multiple and the stock falling on a mostly favorable earnings report, investors may not want to follow Wood's lead in the near term.</p>\n<h2>Twilio: Expanding its mission</h2>\n<p><b>Brian Withers (Twilio): </b>Twilio announced earnings on Oct. 28, and the stock took a 17% haircut the next day. Since then, Cathie Wood's ARK funds snapped up over 415,000 shares of the stock representing about $122 million. These buys moved this customer communication platform specialist to the 12th largest holding across its funds. Let take a look at why she might be buying massive quantities of this tech company, which appears to be on sale.</p>\n<p>First, let's look at the quarterly results and why investors may have been spooked. The top line grew at a massive 65% year over year, but subtracting the contributions for the Zipwhip and Segment.io acquisitions, the year-over-year growth drops to 38%. This is a deceleration from the last four quarters of organic year-over-year growth that were between 47% and 54%. This slowdown was one reason for the stock sell-off, the other was likely the growing losses. Expenses increased faster than revenue this quarter and the company more than doubled its operating loss year over year.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n  <tr>\n   <th><p>Metrics</p></th>\n   <th><p>Q3 2020</p></th>\n   <th><p>Q2 2021</p></th>\n   <th><p>Q3 2021</p></th>\n   <th><p>Change (QOQ)</p></th>\n   <th><p>Change (YOY)</p></th>\n  </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>$448 million</p></td>\n   <td><p>$669 million</p></td>\n   <td><p>$740 million</p></td>\n   <td><p>11%</p></td>\n   <td><p>65%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Organic revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>$438 million</p></td>\n   <td><p>$590 million</p></td>\n   <td><p>$606 million</p></td>\n   <td><p>3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>38%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Operating income (loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>($112 million)</p></td>\n   <td><p>($227 million)</p></td>\n   <td><p>($232 million)</p></td>\n   <td><p>n/a</p></td>\n   <td><p>n/a</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Data source: Company earnings release. QOQ = quarter over quarter. YOY = year over year.</p>\n<p>But one quarter doesn't make a trend and this company's got a lot up its sleeve. It just announced its Twilio Engage platform which takes advantage of the integration of Segment.io's customer data platform and Twilio's core messaging services. This new product will enable businesses to personalize messages based on customer behaviors and will make the messages customers receive even more relevant to their needs.</p>\n<p>Lastly, the company has updated its mission. For the last 13 years, the mission has been \"Fuel the Future of Communications.\" Today the mission is broader, focusing on its core user, the software developer. It is to \"Unlock the Imagination of Builders.\" This may not make any impact this quarter or even in the coming year. But over time, this allows the company to expand beyond just its communication products.</p>\n<p>With the stock more than 30% off its high, it could be a good time to jump in and pick up some shares yourself. You probably won't be buying in the amount that the ARK funds have, but even if you just add a few shares today, in five years, it's likely you'll be very happy you did.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Goes Dumpster Diving: 3 Stocks She Just Bought</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Goes Dumpster Diving: 3 Stocks She Just Bought\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-15 15:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/14/cathie-wood-goes-dumpster-diving-3-stocks-she-just/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood runs one(AONE.U) of the most popular tech stock funds, the ARK Innovation Fund (NYSEMKT:ARKK), with more than $19 billion under management. This fund is not only popular, but it is also ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/14/cathie-wood-goes-dumpster-diving-3-stocks-she-just/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWLO":"Twilio Inc","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/14/cathie-wood-goes-dumpster-diving-3-stocks-she-just/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2183046479","content_text":"Cathie Wood runs one(AONE.U) of the most popular tech stock funds, the ARK Innovation Fund (NYSEMKT:ARKK), with more than $19 billion under management. This fund is not only popular, but it is also soundly beating the S&P 500 with a five-year return of 39% annually (as of Sept. 30). Cathie Wood runs this fund and seven other tech-focused funds that are popular with growth investors. One of the things that makes her a popular investor to follow is that all the buys and sells from these funds are published daily.\nSince she has a history of picking high-tech stocks at good prices, we asked three Motley Fool contributors to highlight one company that her funds have purchased recently that investors should consider adding to their portfolio.\nThey came up with Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:FB), Palantir (NYSE:PLTR), and Twilio (NYSE:TWLO).\nMeta Platforms: The company formerly known as Facebook\nDanny Vena (Meta Platforms): The ARK Fintech Innovation ETF has made some bold moves lately, no doubt spurred on by Cathie Wood's vision of the future. One of the biggest purchases over the past week is the addition of a big chunk of Meta Platforms, the company formerly known as Facebook.\nOver the past week, the fund has stockpiled more than 100,000 shares of Meta, worth more than $33 million (as of this writing). Perhaps more importantly, ARK Fintech Innovation already had a substantial stake in Meta, now equal to a roughly 3% position, and valued at nearly $103 million -- making it the fund's 11th largest position.\nMeta has been working to debut its long-awaited digital currency dubbed Diem, formerly known as Libra. The company is a founding member of the Diem Association, which underpins the upcoming cryptocurrency. Diem is a blockchain-based payment system that was designed from the ground up with payments in mind, focusing on \"consumer safety, financial stability, and combating financial crime.\"\nAdditionally, just last month, Meta launched a pilot of Novi -- its cryptocurrency wallet -- to a small number of users in the U.S. and Guatemala.\nGiven Wood's early adoption and bullish track record regarding Bitcoin, it's little wonder the rock star investor might place a similar bet on a Meta-backed cryptocurrency and digital wallet. But those fintech aspirations notwithstanding, there are plenty of other reasons to be bullish on Meta.\nLet's not forget that Facebook is one of the most recognized companies on the planet. For the third quarter, Facebook reported 1.93 billion daily active users (DAUs), up 6% year over year, and 2.91 billion monthly active users (MAUs). When you expand that to include the company's other platforms (Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger) that rises to 2.81 billion DAUs and 3.58 billion MAUs.\nThat many users creates a powerful network effect for the social media baron, helping Meta generate significant advertising revenue to support its moonshots. In the third quarter, revenue of $29 billion grew 35% year over year -- even as the company dealt with privacy reforms rolled out by Apple, which made it more difficult to measure the success of advertising campaigns across devices using iOS. Meta also generated more than $9.1 billion in net income and $9.5 billion in free cash flow.\nEven as the company faces regulatory challenges, Meta is preparing for the metaverse, a digital realm online where users play, work, and shop. Meta describes this as \"the next evolution of social connection ... [where] you'll be able to socialize, learn, collaborate and play in ways that go beyond what's possible today.\"\nMeta sees the metaverse as its next big growth driver, as well as a way to retain young, tech savvy users. The company has a head start in the areas of augmented reality (AR) and virtual-reality, which will likely be key components in its broader strategy.\nIt also doesn't hurt that the stock is on sale at a 15% discount to recent highs.\nPalantir: Wood continues adding shares to this insight seeker\nWill Healy (Palantir): Palantir stands out from other data companies in that it specializes in delivering insights. The company works with national security and law enforcement organizations through its Gotham software, functionality that has everyone talking about Palantir stock.\nMoreover, the company has also developed a product for the commercial space, called Foundry, which currently drives the company's fastest growth.\nSeeing the potential of these products, Wood has accumulated Palantir shares in the ARK Innovation Fund since February, buying multiple lots with only one sale in September. This has taken the total in that fund to more than 24 million shares, a 2.8% weighting. Wood has added Palantir shares less aggressively to the ARK Industrial Innovation ETF. Nonetheless, more than 1.1 million Palantir shares make up about 1% of this fund.\nPalantir reported strong numbers in its third-quarter 2021 earnings report. Third-quarter revenue of $392 million surged 36% from year-ago levels. This led to an adjusted net income of $82 million. Palantir also raised fourth-quarter guidance, and predicted the $418 million in revenue will rise 30% year over year if that number holds.\nNonetheless, the stock dropped 9% in Tuesday trading as the company forecast an adjusted operating margin of 22% for Q4. Analysts had expected 24%. Moreover, a government document indicated that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) might replace Palantir's system with a competing product, though a recent U.S. Army contract could mitigate that loss.\nAdditionally, while Wood bought just under 1 million shares between the two funds on that day, the stock fell an additional 7% on Wednesday. With that move, Palantir stock wipes out all of its 2021 gains and has fallen 4% in 2021 as of the time of this writing. Also, despite that drop, Palantir trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 27, well above the average S&P 500 stock, which sells at just over three times sales.\nWith its data insight capabilities, Palantir's massive revenue growth should continue. However, given the high sales multiple and the stock falling on a mostly favorable earnings report, investors may not want to follow Wood's lead in the near term.\nTwilio: Expanding its mission\nBrian Withers (Twilio): Twilio announced earnings on Oct. 28, and the stock took a 17% haircut the next day. Since then, Cathie Wood's ARK funds snapped up over 415,000 shares of the stock representing about $122 million. These buys moved this customer communication platform specialist to the 12th largest holding across its funds. Let take a look at why she might be buying massive quantities of this tech company, which appears to be on sale.\nFirst, let's look at the quarterly results and why investors may have been spooked. The top line grew at a massive 65% year over year, but subtracting the contributions for the Zipwhip and Segment.io acquisitions, the year-over-year growth drops to 38%. This is a deceleration from the last four quarters of organic year-over-year growth that were between 47% and 54%. This slowdown was one reason for the stock sell-off, the other was likely the growing losses. Expenses increased faster than revenue this quarter and the company more than doubled its operating loss year over year.\n\n\n\nMetrics\nQ3 2020\nQ2 2021\nQ3 2021\nChange (QOQ)\nChange (YOY)\n\n\n\n\nRevenue\n$448 million\n$669 million\n$740 million\n11%\n65%\n\n\nOrganic revenue\n$438 million\n$590 million\n$606 million\n3%\n38%\n\n\nOperating income (loss)\n($112 million)\n($227 million)\n($232 million)\nn/a\nn/a\n\n\n\nData source: Company earnings release. QOQ = quarter over quarter. YOY = year over year.\nBut one quarter doesn't make a trend and this company's got a lot up its sleeve. It just announced its Twilio Engage platform which takes advantage of the integration of Segment.io's customer data platform and Twilio's core messaging services. This new product will enable businesses to personalize messages based on customer behaviors and will make the messages customers receive even more relevant to their needs.\nLastly, the company has updated its mission. For the last 13 years, the mission has been \"Fuel the Future of Communications.\" Today the mission is broader, focusing on its core user, the software developer. It is to \"Unlock the Imagination of Builders.\" This may not make any impact this quarter or even in the coming year. But over time, this allows the company to expand beyond just its communication products.\nWith the stock more than 30% off its high, it could be a good time to jump in and pick up some shares yourself. You probably won't be buying in the amount that the ARK funds have, but even if you just add a few shares today, in five years, it's likely you'll be very happy you did.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847493196,"gmtCreate":1636542135543,"gmtModify":1636542137175,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come come lorrrr scared what? Crash only, so scared then don’t trade la [Cry]&nbsp;","listText":"Come come lorrrr scared what? Crash only, so scared then don’t trade la [Cry]&nbsp;","text":"Come come lorrrr scared what? Crash only, so scared then don’t trade la [Cry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847493196","repostId":"1179287524","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846312295,"gmtCreate":1636050297283,"gmtModify":1636050298776,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>NVDA IS A TOTAL BEAST TONIGHT, DINNERS ON ME!!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>NVDA IS A TOTAL BEAST TONIGHT, DINNERS ON ME!!!!","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$NVDA IS A TOTAL BEAST TONIGHT, DINNERS ON ME!!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f961564ecbdc6b6a1f4d32665944d22","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846312295","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848633032,"gmtCreate":1635993223818,"gmtModify":1635993225296,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sold it right smack at the peak [Miser]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"Sold it right smack at the peak [Miser]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","text":"Sold it right smack at the peak [Miser] [LOL]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33498331b6861dcb2b5349c80923b364","width":"828","height":"1792"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848633032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855399133,"gmtCreate":1635332854864,"gmtModify":1635332855293,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Only paper hands will be crying over mini dips like this. If you can’t handle then just quit. Whatever that goes down, will come back up higher. Buy the dip ladies","listText":"Only paper hands will be crying over mini dips like this. If you can’t handle then just quit. Whatever that goes down, will come back up higher. Buy the dip ladies","text":"Only paper hands will be crying over mini dips like this. If you can’t handle then just quit. Whatever that goes down, will come back up higher. Buy the dip ladies","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855399133","repostId":"2178128766","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2178128766","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1635327310,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2178128766?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-27 17:35","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Federal Trade Commission Scrutinizing Facebook Disclosures, Sources Say-WSJ","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2178128766","media":"Reuters","summary":"Oct 27 (Reuters) - :Federal Trade Commission Scrutinizing Facebook Disclosures, Sources Say-Wsj. ((R","content":"<html><body><p>Oct 27 (Reuters) - :Federal Trade Commission Scrutinizing <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Disclosures, Sources Say-Wsj. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Trade Commission Scrutinizing Facebook Disclosures, Sources Say-WSJ</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Trade Commission Scrutinizing Facebook Disclosures, Sources Say-WSJ\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-27 17:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>Oct 27 (Reuters) - :Federal Trade Commission Scrutinizing <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Disclosures, Sources Say-Wsj. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2178128766","content_text":"Oct 27 (Reuters) - :Federal Trade Commission Scrutinizing Facebook Disclosures, Sources Say-Wsj. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859776346,"gmtCreate":1634738801929,"gmtModify":1634780645660,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GBTC\">$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$</a>Boy oh boy! I have 2000 GBTC shares, I leave the maths to you, to calculate my earnings [Cool]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GBTC\">$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$</a>Boy oh boy! I have 2000 GBTC shares, I leave the maths to you, to calculate my earnings [Cool]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$Boy oh boy! I have 2000 GBTC shares, I leave the maths to you, to calculate my earnings [Cool] [Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98445341e11c529268e19f0fb80b3334","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859776346","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821946291,"gmtCreate":1633692189810,"gmtModify":1633692191471,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Struggle your lj la, dip a bit only then panic alry, don’t invest, just go fishing sua","listText":"Struggle your lj la, dip a bit only then panic alry, don’t invest, just go fishing sua","text":"Struggle your lj la, dip a bit only then panic alry, don’t invest, just go fishing sua","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821946291","repostId":"1192810083","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820715649,"gmtCreate":1633432693463,"gmtModify":1633432744265,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whatever that goes down will always come back up. So stop whining like some lil’ kid oOoOooO market crash ooOoooOoo I’m shooooo scareddddd [Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"Whatever that goes down will always come back up. So stop whining like some lil’ kid oOoOooO market crash ooOoooOoo I’m shooooo scareddddd [Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"Whatever that goes down will always come back up. So stop whining like some lil’ kid oOoOooO market crash ooOoooOoo I’m shooooo scareddddd [Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820715649","repostId":"1121989111","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121989111","pubTimestamp":1633417444,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121989111?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 15:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock market’s volatile October history means it’s time to steady yourself for a ‘black swan’ event","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121989111","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"U.S. stocks already are having a rough October — two trading days in. October is the most volatile m","content":"<p>U.S. stocks already are having a rough October — two trading days in. October is the most volatile month for stocks — and when stocks suffered their two worst crashes in U.S. market history.</p>\n<p>Moreover, there’s a 0.06% chance that the stock market this month will experience a one-day crash as bad as 1987’s Black Monday.</p>\n<p>Those odds don’t seem like much — but they are not zero. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.94% tumbled 22.6% on Oct. 19, 1987, Black Monday. An equivalent percentage drop from its current level would take more than 7,700 points off the Dow in a single trading day.</p>\n<p>Few investors in the market nowadays remember the trauma of Black Monday. Those who do may reassure themselves that a similar crash couldn’t happen today, given market reforms that were instituted in the wake of the selloff.</p>\n<p>They are kidding themselves, according to a study conducted by Xavier Gabaix, a professor of economics and finance at Harvard. He and his-coauthors derived a formula that predicts the frequency, over long periods of time, of large daily swings in the market. Upon testing the formula against hundreds of years of stock market returns in both the U.S. and around the world, they found the formula to be impressively accurate.</p>\n<p>For example, Gabaix’s formula predicts that a 22.6% drop in the market will occur every 150 years, on average, over long periods of time. That doesn’t mean such a crash will occur every 150 years, since this predicted frequency is an average over extremely long periods. So the market could experience no such crash over a 150-year period, or experience two of them (or more).</p>\n<p>What you can’t conclude, however, is that the odds of a crash are zero.</p>\n<p>Why market reforms can’t prevent a crash</p>\n<p>You might object to this conclusion on the grounds that market reforms instituted since 1987 will prevent another crash from occurring — circuit breakers, trading halts and other safeguards. But, as Gabaix has explained to me many times in interviews over the years, such reforms are powerless to prevent a crash. That’s because all markets are dominated by their largest investors, and when many of them want to get out of the market simultaneously, for whatever reason, the market will crash.</p>\n<p>For example, even if trading halts and other restrictions succeed in preventing these large investors from selling on U.S. exchanges, they can still sell on foreign exchanges where many U.S. stocks also trade. They can also sell short with stock index futures contracts or via the purchase of put options. You’re kidding yourself if you think these large investors will be prevented from getting out if they want to.</p>\n<p>Black swans</p>\n<p>Gabaix’s research underlines why it’s so important to prepare for so-called black swan events like market crashes that are sudden, awful, unpredictable and rare. Notice that, by this definition, they are unpredictable, so it’s false comfort to believe you can anticipate future black swans in time to reduce your portfolio risk and thereby sidestep a market crash. Did you foresee the COVID-induced bear market in time to avoid big losses?</p>\n<p>The investment implication is to make changes to your portfolio that will protect you from a crash, if and when it occurs. It’s like buying fire insurance on your house. Most of you will not ever have your houses burn down, but that’s not a reason forego fire insurance. I doubt any of you complain about having to purchase such insurance, since the downside risk of losing everything is sufficiently awful.</p>\n<p>What might be the functional equivalent of fire insurance for your stock portfolio? I discussed several different possibilities in acolumn this summer, and I direct your attention to it.</p>\n<p>One possibility is to regularly allocate a small percentage of your portfolio to long-dated, out of the money put options on the S&amp;P 500SPX,-1.30%.In my previous column on this subject, I reported on one such strategy that each year allocated 3.33% to an S&amp;P 500 put option that was 60% out of the money and with two years left before expiration.</p>\n<p>In this particular case, your portfolio’s “fire insurance” carries a premium of 3.33% per year. That doesn’t seem prohibitive, especially since in backtesting back to 2006 this strategy beat the S&amp;P 500 itself. So over this particular period there was no net cost to your insurance. Not bad.</p>\n<p>It won’t always work out this well, of course, and this is not the only black swan strategy. But it gives you an idea. The anniversary of the two worst crashes in U.S. market history is an excellent time in which to consider insuring your portfolio against black swans.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock market’s volatile October history means it’s time to steady yourself for a ‘black swan’ event</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock market’s volatile October history means it’s time to steady yourself for a ‘black swan’ event\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-05 15:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-markets-volatile-october-history-means-its-time-to-steady-yourself-for-a-black-swan-event-11633366226?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks already are having a rough October — two trading days in. October is the most volatile month for stocks — and when stocks suffered their two worst crashes in U.S. market history.\nMoreover,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-markets-volatile-october-history-means-its-time-to-steady-yourself-for-a-black-swan-event-11633366226?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-markets-volatile-october-history-means-its-time-to-steady-yourself-for-a-black-swan-event-11633366226?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1121989111","content_text":"U.S. stocks already are having a rough October — two trading days in. October is the most volatile month for stocks — and when stocks suffered their two worst crashes in U.S. market history.\nMoreover, there’s a 0.06% chance that the stock market this month will experience a one-day crash as bad as 1987’s Black Monday.\nThose odds don’t seem like much — but they are not zero. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.94% tumbled 22.6% on Oct. 19, 1987, Black Monday. An equivalent percentage drop from its current level would take more than 7,700 points off the Dow in a single trading day.\nFew investors in the market nowadays remember the trauma of Black Monday. Those who do may reassure themselves that a similar crash couldn’t happen today, given market reforms that were instituted in the wake of the selloff.\nThey are kidding themselves, according to a study conducted by Xavier Gabaix, a professor of economics and finance at Harvard. He and his-coauthors derived a formula that predicts the frequency, over long periods of time, of large daily swings in the market. Upon testing the formula against hundreds of years of stock market returns in both the U.S. and around the world, they found the formula to be impressively accurate.\nFor example, Gabaix’s formula predicts that a 22.6% drop in the market will occur every 150 years, on average, over long periods of time. That doesn’t mean such a crash will occur every 150 years, since this predicted frequency is an average over extremely long periods. So the market could experience no such crash over a 150-year period, or experience two of them (or more).\nWhat you can’t conclude, however, is that the odds of a crash are zero.\nWhy market reforms can’t prevent a crash\nYou might object to this conclusion on the grounds that market reforms instituted since 1987 will prevent another crash from occurring — circuit breakers, trading halts and other safeguards. But, as Gabaix has explained to me many times in interviews over the years, such reforms are powerless to prevent a crash. That’s because all markets are dominated by their largest investors, and when many of them want to get out of the market simultaneously, for whatever reason, the market will crash.\nFor example, even if trading halts and other restrictions succeed in preventing these large investors from selling on U.S. exchanges, they can still sell on foreign exchanges where many U.S. stocks also trade. They can also sell short with stock index futures contracts or via the purchase of put options. You’re kidding yourself if you think these large investors will be prevented from getting out if they want to.\nBlack swans\nGabaix’s research underlines why it’s so important to prepare for so-called black swan events like market crashes that are sudden, awful, unpredictable and rare. Notice that, by this definition, they are unpredictable, so it’s false comfort to believe you can anticipate future black swans in time to reduce your portfolio risk and thereby sidestep a market crash. Did you foresee the COVID-induced bear market in time to avoid big losses?\nThe investment implication is to make changes to your portfolio that will protect you from a crash, if and when it occurs. It’s like buying fire insurance on your house. Most of you will not ever have your houses burn down, but that’s not a reason forego fire insurance. I doubt any of you complain about having to purchase such insurance, since the downside risk of losing everything is sufficiently awful.\nWhat might be the functional equivalent of fire insurance for your stock portfolio? I discussed several different possibilities in acolumn this summer, and I direct your attention to it.\nOne possibility is to regularly allocate a small percentage of your portfolio to long-dated, out of the money put options on the S&P 500SPX,-1.30%.In my previous column on this subject, I reported on one such strategy that each year allocated 3.33% to an S&P 500 put option that was 60% out of the money and with two years left before expiration.\nIn this particular case, your portfolio’s “fire insurance” carries a premium of 3.33% per year. That doesn’t seem prohibitive, especially since in backtesting back to 2006 this strategy beat the S&P 500 itself. So over this particular period there was no net cost to your insurance. Not bad.\nIt won’t always work out this well, of course, and this is not the only black swan strategy. But it gives you an idea. The anniversary of the two worst crashes in U.S. market history is an excellent time in which to consider insuring your portfolio against black swans.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":821946291,"gmtCreate":1633692189810,"gmtModify":1633692191471,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Struggle your lj la, dip a bit only then panic alry, don’t invest, just go fishing sua","listText":"Struggle your lj la, dip a bit only then panic alry, don’t invest, just go fishing sua","text":"Struggle your lj la, dip a bit only then panic alry, don’t invest, just go fishing sua","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821946291","repostId":"1192810083","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192810083","pubTimestamp":1633656904,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192810083?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Will Struggle From Here, Analyst Cautions. Here’s Why.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192810083","media":"Barrons","summary":"Trigger warning for Apple bulls: I’m about to address the case for caution on the stock.\nBernstein a","content":"<p>Trigger warning for Apple bulls: I’m about to address the case for caution on the stock.</p>\n<p>Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi lays out the case in a research note on Thursday. He focus on the most basic question for&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;(ticker:AAPL) shares: What can drive the stock higher from here?</p>\n<p>Sacconaghi points out that Apple has re-rated over the last two years from a below-market multiple to one trading at a 24% premium to the market. Apple traded at a discount to the market from 2013 to 2019, he notes. Apple now trades at a forward P/E of 26 times, he writes, “elevated” relative to historic norms.</p>\n<p>The analyst starts by reviewing the bull case for the stock. He notes that Apple fans say the company has a leverageable consumer brand that will allow Apple to both increase prices and enter new categories, like cars and artificial reality headsets.</p>\n<p>Apple bulls see the installed base of 1.65 billion devices offering ample room to deliver new services, including advertising, and possibly even social media. Not least, Sacconaghi writes, bulls see potential for higher gross margins as services become a higher percentage of the company’s revenue mix, creating the potential for consistent double-digit per-share earnings growth.</p>\n<p>But Sacconaghi counters that he sees limited room for earnings growth in the September 2022 fiscal year given a likely pullback in growth across the product line. His current model projects revenue for FY 2022 declining slightly from the current year.</p>\n<p>In his view, the most likely source of further gains in Apple shares in the near term would have to come from further multiple expansion. He thinks that’s possible if the iPhone 13 cycle is stronger than expected, Apple sets an aggressive new goal on services revenue growth or begins offering its products as a service. (But he’s not betting on it.)</p>\n<p>Sacconaghi also asserts that Apple’s current valuation is “relatively full,” trading inline to higher than other tech megacaps, in particular&nbsp;Facebook&nbsp;(FB) and&nbsp;Alphabet&nbsp;(GOOGL), which as he notes have both better expected growth rates and higher margins.</p>\n<p>“Looked at another way, close to 100% of revenue from Alphabet and Facebook have financial characteristics of Apple’s attractive services business,” which is about 20% of the company’s overall revenue, but Apple trades at a similar multiple to Alphabet and a premium to Facebook.</p>\n<p>Sacconaghi thinks long-term Apple is likely to be a low-to-mid single digit grower. His view is that 70% of the revenue base – iPhone, Mac and iPad – are unlikely to show any long-term growth. He sees new products growth in the 15% range, and projects 15% growth for the services business, generating a blended long-term growth rate in the 4% to 5% range. (Note that as recently as FY 2019, Apple reported a slight revenue decline.)</p>\n<p>Concludes Sacconaghi: Given Apple’s relatively high valuation and the probability that tha the company will struggle to grow in fiscal 2022, the current risk-reward on the stock is “neutral to slightly negative.”</p>\n<p>Amid a broad market rally, Apple shares rose 0.9%, to $143.29.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Will Struggle From Here, Analyst Cautions. Here’s Why.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Will Struggle From Here, Analyst Cautions. Here’s Why.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-08 09:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-rally-caution-51633620422?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Trigger warning for Apple bulls: I’m about to address the case for caution on the stock.\nBernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi lays out the case in a research note on Thursday. He focus on the most basic ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-rally-caution-51633620422?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-rally-caution-51633620422?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192810083","content_text":"Trigger warning for Apple bulls: I’m about to address the case for caution on the stock.\nBernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi lays out the case in a research note on Thursday. He focus on the most basic question for Apple (ticker:AAPL) shares: What can drive the stock higher from here?\nSacconaghi points out that Apple has re-rated over the last two years from a below-market multiple to one trading at a 24% premium to the market. Apple traded at a discount to the market from 2013 to 2019, he notes. Apple now trades at a forward P/E of 26 times, he writes, “elevated” relative to historic norms.\nThe analyst starts by reviewing the bull case for the stock. He notes that Apple fans say the company has a leverageable consumer brand that will allow Apple to both increase prices and enter new categories, like cars and artificial reality headsets.\nApple bulls see the installed base of 1.65 billion devices offering ample room to deliver new services, including advertising, and possibly even social media. Not least, Sacconaghi writes, bulls see potential for higher gross margins as services become a higher percentage of the company’s revenue mix, creating the potential for consistent double-digit per-share earnings growth.\nBut Sacconaghi counters that he sees limited room for earnings growth in the September 2022 fiscal year given a likely pullback in growth across the product line. His current model projects revenue for FY 2022 declining slightly from the current year.\nIn his view, the most likely source of further gains in Apple shares in the near term would have to come from further multiple expansion. He thinks that’s possible if the iPhone 13 cycle is stronger than expected, Apple sets an aggressive new goal on services revenue growth or begins offering its products as a service. (But he’s not betting on it.)\nSacconaghi also asserts that Apple’s current valuation is “relatively full,” trading inline to higher than other tech megacaps, in particular Facebook (FB) and Alphabet (GOOGL), which as he notes have both better expected growth rates and higher margins.\n“Looked at another way, close to 100% of revenue from Alphabet and Facebook have financial characteristics of Apple’s attractive services business,” which is about 20% of the company’s overall revenue, but Apple trades at a similar multiple to Alphabet and a premium to Facebook.\nSacconaghi thinks long-term Apple is likely to be a low-to-mid single digit grower. His view is that 70% of the revenue base – iPhone, Mac and iPad – are unlikely to show any long-term growth. He sees new products growth in the 15% range, and projects 15% growth for the services business, generating a blended long-term growth rate in the 4% to 5% range. (Note that as recently as FY 2019, Apple reported a slight revenue decline.)\nConcludes Sacconaghi: Given Apple’s relatively high valuation and the probability that tha the company will struggle to grow in fiscal 2022, the current risk-reward on the stock is “neutral to slightly negative.”\nAmid a broad market rally, Apple shares rose 0.9%, to $143.29.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601680941,"gmtCreate":1638522391293,"gmtModify":1638522391789,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Beware of the dead cat bounce my friends, this stock is probably only worth $5 per share","listText":"Beware of the dead cat bounce my friends, this stock is probably only worth $5 per share","text":"Beware of the dead cat bounce my friends, this stock is probably only worth $5 per share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601680941","repostId":"1166348149","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1166348149","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638522212,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166348149?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 17:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166348149","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading after plunging 20% on first day of trading.\n\nAfter comple","content":"<p>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;plunging&nbsp;20% on first day of trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ecbac0018debb2d6e75a60d1c7f3d1\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>After completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings&nbsp;Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.</p>\n<p>The Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview&nbsp;on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.</p>\n<p>Backers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp.&nbsp;and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-03 17:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;plunging&nbsp;20% on first day of trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ecbac0018debb2d6e75a60d1c7f3d1\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>After completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings&nbsp;Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.</p>\n<p>The Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview&nbsp;on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.</p>\n<p>Backers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp.&nbsp;and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166348149","content_text":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading after plunging 20% on first day of trading.\n\nAfter completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.\nThe Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.\nBackers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp. and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871166969,"gmtCreate":1637038001844,"gmtModify":1637038002243,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Overvalued then you don’t buy lorrrrr talk so much….. ltr NVDA goes up to $400-500 then come and FOMO lorrrrrr [Tongue]&nbsp;","listText":"Overvalued then you don’t buy lorrrrr talk so much….. ltr NVDA goes up to $400-500 then come and FOMO lorrrrrr [Tongue]&nbsp;","text":"Overvalued then you don’t buy lorrrrr talk so much….. ltr NVDA goes up to $400-500 then come and FOMO lorrrrrr [Tongue]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871166969","repostId":"1160740007","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1160740007","pubTimestamp":1637034481,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160740007?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Became A Meme Stock And Is Overvalued By At Least 50 Percent For The Coming Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160740007","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThere is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competit","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>There is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector.</li>\n <li>In my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment for the next five to ten years.</li>\n <li>At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>Nvidia's (NVDA) share price has followed a parabolic trend over the last few weeks, even in a logarithmic chart. In addition to the prolonged growth that accompanied the general optimistic stock market sentiment and the hype around tech stocks, we now see a short-term growth spurt. However, with the recent growth that has carried the company to a market cap of $760 billion, the stock has finally become a speculative bubble, joining all the other meme stocks. Thus, with Nvidia, I think we see how little an excellent business model has to do with an excellent investment. At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.</p>\n<p>Nothing but expectations</p>\n<p>Recently, hype sentiment has carried the share upwards. For this hype sentiment, theMetaverse/Omniverse, AI, and the Arm deal were the main reasons for exuberant optimism among Nvidia bulls.</p>\n<p>The company created a lot of excitement around its appearance at the GTC conference and the introduction of the omniverse platform. With this platform, Nvidia wants to create virtual worldsin particular:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Omniverse - a platform that serves as the connective tissue for physically accurate 3D virtual worlds - is gaining new features such as AR, VR and multi-GPU rendering, as well as integrations for infrastructure and industrial digital-twin applications with software from Bentley Systems and Esri.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Omniverse enables engineers and designers to build physically accurate digital twins of buildings and products, or create massive, true-to-reality simulation environments for training robots or autonomous vehicles before they're deployed in the physical world.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The goal behind Omniverse is to create an ecosystem that is used by many industries worldwide. What is particularly exciting is that companies can create virtual twins of reality. The areas of application are manifold. For example, companies can test their products in this virtual world. It doesn't matter whether it's telecommunications companies that want to try the range of their transmission towers or data connection tools or car manufacturers that want to test the characteristics of cars in a real-life virtual environment. Instead of driving on a test track, the tests can take place in a virtual world. Awesome!</p>\n<p>What bugs me about this, however, are the many buzzwords. All these flowering words about quantum computers, AI, cyber security, etc., run through the entire (but otherwise fascinating and worth seeing) presentation. Of course, investors always need to clean up such presentations of all the advertising and touting to grasp the realistic opportunities. In the end, I think we are getting into the future that Nvidia is drawing for us. It may look different here and there, but the opportunities and monetization possibilities around virtual reality or virtual twins will be enormous and catapult us into the post-Internet age.</p>\n<p>But that brings us to the point. You don't have to have owned Microsoft (MSFT) shares in 2000 to see the parallels. With Microsoft, as with many Internet stocks, there was great euphoria about the future of the Internet and the associated (disruptive)business opportunities:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Before the dot.com or tech bubble burst, investors were convinced of the possibilities of the Internet, digitalization, and technical progress. Microsoft, it seemed, was the gatekeeper to this world with its Windows operating system and the Internet Explorer. The investors saw themselves at the beginning of a vast cycle. And Microsoft was able to keep its promises. By 1999, the company had increased its annual revenue by 30%. Besides, Microsoft was profitable even then and was able to increase its profits more than five-fold from 1995 to 2000.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60a717d69de6b7f73e2ac4764f6e2d5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"150\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <i>Microsoft revenue &amp; EPS from 1995-2001; taken from MSFT investor relation/graph by author</i>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n But then, the bubble started to burst, and Judge Thomas Penfield Jacksondecidedthat Microsoft had violated the Sherman Antitrust Act due to abusive behavior, which only accelerated the bursting of the tech bubble. You know the rest of the story.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As with Microsoft in the dot.com bubble, the problem I see with Nvidia is that investors are euphorically betting on something that does not yet exist. So much of this future is currently priced into the share price without it even being clear what will end up in shareholders' pockets in the form of profits, cash flows, or dividends. Think of all the dot.com bubbles that burst even though companies like Cisco (CSCO) or Microsoft could deliver on their growth promises. Here we see the classic difference between companies and investments. An investment in a terrific company can still be a bad investment if the price is too high. If investors now buy Nvidia because of the Omniverse, it is nothing but a big gamble.</p>\n<p>And then, of course, there is Nvidia's classic business around the GPU and the Tegra processors. Here Nvidia is very successful. But this business is anything but a moat. Yes, Nvidia was able to increase sales and profits with it massively. The company has benefited primarily from the fact that the architecture of GPUs is superior to that of pure CPUs, such as those offered by Intel (INTC), for many applications such as high-performance computing, gaming, and servers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f665c228fc6b50397b6fe547b6c1dbb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:Investor presentation</span></p>\n<p>Now Nvidia is looking to gain a foothold in the CPU market with the $40 billion Arm acquisition, using Arm's business model to secure the company's licenses. The Arm architecture is a key technology, especially for the entire smartphone industry. Arm is the architecture behind the SoCs used in virtually all smartphones and most tablet computers.</p>\n<p>But it is not at all clear whether the deal will go through and at what price. Competition authorities such as the&nbsp;British CMA see considerable competition concerns&nbsp;and will presumably tie approval to significant concessions. Even if Nvidia does get clearance, the competition watchdogs will closely look at licensing practices. Unfortunately for Nvidia, and even though Arm does not make chips, the current chip shortage is prompting competition authorities to scrutinize the merger even more closely as the entire chip industry comes under scrutiny.</p>\n<p>In short, the Arm deal may ultimately bring more advantages than disadvantages for Nvidia, but it is uncertain to what extent advance praise is justified here. Investors should not forget that the competition is not sleeping. Qualcomm, in particular, is very active right now and has made a significant strategic move with the NUVIA acquisition. I have already written about NUVIAhereandhere, which Qualcomm acquired for $1.4 billion:</p>\n<blockquote>\n And then there's the startup NUVIA, which former Apple employees founded. CEO Amon wants to attack Apple's M1 processors with the acquired start-up and enter the laptop market next year. Qualcomm had previously tried integrating a smartphone SoC into a notebook with only minor modifications and okayish results.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n But now Qualcomm wants to release a Nuvia SoC based on ARM architecturenext year. This step would reduce Qualcomm's dependency on ARM and Nvidia enormously. Conversely, Qualcomm does not have much to lose since it can still license ARM technology from Nvidia in an emergency. The competition authorities will probably look particularly closely at the takeover of ARM by Nvidia to ensure that Nvidia does not put Qualcomm or other potential licensees at a disadvantage with too high license fees.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n The first comparisons of NUVIA's Phoenix chip to other chip suppliers already show a significant outperformance:\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24cf0a0daa9c8b638e461a9bdaf0d1a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"407\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:Nuvia Webpage</span></p>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Most recently, Qualcomm has been very optimistic about the prospects around the NUVIA deal:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We are pleased with the strong market validation of Arm-based personal computing in the industry transition to a new SoC architecture. We're more confident than ever in the connected computing opportunity, our upcoming solutions powered by our NUVIA CPUs, and our collaboration with Microsoft. We're also seeing increased traction in consumer electronics.\n</blockquote>\n<p>So it is not that Nvidia will single-handedly dominate the Arm market. The competitive pressure is no less in the other business areas either. Above all, the eternal GPU competitor AMD (AMD) will continue to put pressure on the company. In autonomous driving, Intel is a heavyweight competitor alongside Tesla (TSLA), following its acquisition of the Israeli companyMobileye for over $15 billion in 2017.</p>\n<p>Managing expectations</p>\n<p>With a P/E ratio of over 100, Nvidia would have to quadruple its profits to reach a valuation of 25, which is reasonable for a growth company. And admittedly, Nvidia has already achieved such growth.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, investors who invest in Nvidia now are speculating that Nvidia will increase its profits in the same way for the coming years. Of course, the company has already managed such developments in the past. In 2005, Nvidia was able to push its earnings per share from $0.05 to $0.33 within three years, which corresponds to a six-fold increase. But already in 2009 and 2010, Nvidia made losses. Only in 2017, it was it able to lift EPS above the 2008 level. Investors have to face it: profit increases are not a one-way street, especially not in the tech sector. And even analysts do not expect Nvidia to increase profits fast enough to reach reasonable valuation levels based on the current share price over the following years. In 2020, adjusted EPS was $2.50. Below you see expected earnings for the subsequent years, and you can also see that even the most optimistic analyst out of 19 surveyed does not expect Nvidia to achieve EPS higher than $7.25 in 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1916e5f56a5eee93d4c1c93e254afc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: www.dividendStocks.Cash</span></p>\n<p>So we are far from saying that Nvidia will reach reasonable multiples in the next 4, 5, or 6 years based on today's share price. Even if we set the fair P/E multiple at 40. Considering the expected earnings, this results in an overvaluation of almost 30% even until 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7635beca779966b95afc457e2942d3f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: www.dividendStocks.Cash</span></p>\n<p>Even when looking at a DCF analysis, we see the apparent overvaluation and massive downside potential. Below you can see the expectations for the sales development until 2024.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/334c1692ae1a107d16b6c981312c34fb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>For the DCF analysis, I even assume a much more optimistic scenario where the company will increase sales significantly higher. I also assume an improvement in margins.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ff075390e6e0c070e102d3010f93296\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:alphaspread.com/estimates by author</span></p>\n<p>Based on these figures and assuming a discount rate of 9%, we see that Nvidia is overvalued by 50 percent, which is essentially in line with the fundamental valuation.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fe4a0463babd595f753a0776e80efd\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"383\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: alphaspread.com/estimates by author</span></p>\n<p>Investors should not forget that we could also see a change in interest rates next year. A discount rate of 9 percent could therefore be far too low. To remind you, the cost of equity was already 10 percent for Nvidia at the end of 2019. So what happens if we continue to take an optimistic growth scenario but increase the discount rate to 12 percent?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e8d3231ad0480f4042265afdcf2911d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:Discount rate history for Nvidia</span></p>\n<p>You can see the result here: The Nvidia share would then be overvalued by almost 75 percent.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b3b3bab8c4014934702ed6382e76202\" tg-width=\"379\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: alphaspread.com/estimates by author</span></p>\n<p>Conclusion</p>\n<p>There is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector. In my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment for the next five to ten years. At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Became A Meme Stock And Is Overvalued By At Least 50 Percent For The Coming Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Became A Meme Stock And Is Overvalued By At Least 50 Percent For The Coming Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-16 11:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4469673-nvidia-overvalued-by-at-least-50-percent><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThere is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector.\nIn my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4469673-nvidia-overvalued-by-at-least-50-percent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4469673-nvidia-overvalued-by-at-least-50-percent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1160740007","content_text":"Summary\n\nThere is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector.\nIn my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment for the next five to ten years.\nAt its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.\n\nIntroduction\nNvidia's (NVDA) share price has followed a parabolic trend over the last few weeks, even in a logarithmic chart. In addition to the prolonged growth that accompanied the general optimistic stock market sentiment and the hype around tech stocks, we now see a short-term growth spurt. However, with the recent growth that has carried the company to a market cap of $760 billion, the stock has finally become a speculative bubble, joining all the other meme stocks. Thus, with Nvidia, I think we see how little an excellent business model has to do with an excellent investment. At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.\nNothing but expectations\nRecently, hype sentiment has carried the share upwards. For this hype sentiment, theMetaverse/Omniverse, AI, and the Arm deal were the main reasons for exuberant optimism among Nvidia bulls.\nThe company created a lot of excitement around its appearance at the GTC conference and the introduction of the omniverse platform. With this platform, Nvidia wants to create virtual worldsin particular:\n\n Omniverse - a platform that serves as the connective tissue for physically accurate 3D virtual worlds - is gaining new features such as AR, VR and multi-GPU rendering, as well as integrations for infrastructure and industrial digital-twin applications with software from Bentley Systems and Esri.\n\n\n Omniverse enables engineers and designers to build physically accurate digital twins of buildings and products, or create massive, true-to-reality simulation environments for training robots or autonomous vehicles before they're deployed in the physical world.\n\nThe goal behind Omniverse is to create an ecosystem that is used by many industries worldwide. What is particularly exciting is that companies can create virtual twins of reality. The areas of application are manifold. For example, companies can test their products in this virtual world. It doesn't matter whether it's telecommunications companies that want to try the range of their transmission towers or data connection tools or car manufacturers that want to test the characteristics of cars in a real-life virtual environment. Instead of driving on a test track, the tests can take place in a virtual world. Awesome!\nWhat bugs me about this, however, are the many buzzwords. All these flowering words about quantum computers, AI, cyber security, etc., run through the entire (but otherwise fascinating and worth seeing) presentation. Of course, investors always need to clean up such presentations of all the advertising and touting to grasp the realistic opportunities. In the end, I think we are getting into the future that Nvidia is drawing for us. It may look different here and there, but the opportunities and monetization possibilities around virtual reality or virtual twins will be enormous and catapult us into the post-Internet age.\nBut that brings us to the point. You don't have to have owned Microsoft (MSFT) shares in 2000 to see the parallels. With Microsoft, as with many Internet stocks, there was great euphoria about the future of the Internet and the associated (disruptive)business opportunities:\n\n Before the dot.com or tech bubble burst, investors were convinced of the possibilities of the Internet, digitalization, and technical progress. Microsoft, it seemed, was the gatekeeper to this world with its Windows operating system and the Internet Explorer. The investors saw themselves at the beginning of a vast cycle. And Microsoft was able to keep its promises. By 1999, the company had increased its annual revenue by 30%. Besides, Microsoft was profitable even then and was able to increase its profits more than five-fold from 1995 to 2000.\n\n\n\n\n\nMicrosoft revenue & EPS from 1995-2001; taken from MSFT investor relation/graph by author\n\n\n But then, the bubble started to burst, and Judge Thomas Penfield Jacksondecidedthat Microsoft had violated the Sherman Antitrust Act due to abusive behavior, which only accelerated the bursting of the tech bubble. You know the rest of the story.\n\nAs with Microsoft in the dot.com bubble, the problem I see with Nvidia is that investors are euphorically betting on something that does not yet exist. So much of this future is currently priced into the share price without it even being clear what will end up in shareholders' pockets in the form of profits, cash flows, or dividends. Think of all the dot.com bubbles that burst even though companies like Cisco (CSCO) or Microsoft could deliver on their growth promises. Here we see the classic difference between companies and investments. An investment in a terrific company can still be a bad investment if the price is too high. If investors now buy Nvidia because of the Omniverse, it is nothing but a big gamble.\nAnd then, of course, there is Nvidia's classic business around the GPU and the Tegra processors. Here Nvidia is very successful. But this business is anything but a moat. Yes, Nvidia was able to increase sales and profits with it massively. The company has benefited primarily from the fact that the architecture of GPUs is superior to that of pure CPUs, such as those offered by Intel (INTC), for many applications such as high-performance computing, gaming, and servers.\nSource:Investor presentation\nNow Nvidia is looking to gain a foothold in the CPU market with the $40 billion Arm acquisition, using Arm's business model to secure the company's licenses. The Arm architecture is a key technology, especially for the entire smartphone industry. Arm is the architecture behind the SoCs used in virtually all smartphones and most tablet computers.\nBut it is not at all clear whether the deal will go through and at what price. Competition authorities such as the British CMA see considerable competition concerns and will presumably tie approval to significant concessions. Even if Nvidia does get clearance, the competition watchdogs will closely look at licensing practices. Unfortunately for Nvidia, and even though Arm does not make chips, the current chip shortage is prompting competition authorities to scrutinize the merger even more closely as the entire chip industry comes under scrutiny.\nIn short, the Arm deal may ultimately bring more advantages than disadvantages for Nvidia, but it is uncertain to what extent advance praise is justified here. Investors should not forget that the competition is not sleeping. Qualcomm, in particular, is very active right now and has made a significant strategic move with the NUVIA acquisition. I have already written about NUVIAhereandhere, which Qualcomm acquired for $1.4 billion:\n\n And then there's the startup NUVIA, which former Apple employees founded. CEO Amon wants to attack Apple's M1 processors with the acquired start-up and enter the laptop market next year. Qualcomm had previously tried integrating a smartphone SoC into a notebook with only minor modifications and okayish results.\n\n\n But now Qualcomm wants to release a Nuvia SoC based on ARM architecturenext year. This step would reduce Qualcomm's dependency on ARM and Nvidia enormously. Conversely, Qualcomm does not have much to lose since it can still license ARM technology from Nvidia in an emergency. The competition authorities will probably look particularly closely at the takeover of ARM by Nvidia to ensure that Nvidia does not put Qualcomm or other potential licensees at a disadvantage with too high license fees.\n\n\n The first comparisons of NUVIA's Phoenix chip to other chip suppliers already show a significant outperformance:\n\n\nSource:Nuvia Webpage\n\nMost recently, Qualcomm has been very optimistic about the prospects around the NUVIA deal:\n\n We are pleased with the strong market validation of Arm-based personal computing in the industry transition to a new SoC architecture. We're more confident than ever in the connected computing opportunity, our upcoming solutions powered by our NUVIA CPUs, and our collaboration with Microsoft. We're also seeing increased traction in consumer electronics.\n\nSo it is not that Nvidia will single-handedly dominate the Arm market. The competitive pressure is no less in the other business areas either. Above all, the eternal GPU competitor AMD (AMD) will continue to put pressure on the company. In autonomous driving, Intel is a heavyweight competitor alongside Tesla (TSLA), following its acquisition of the Israeli companyMobileye for over $15 billion in 2017.\nManaging expectations\nWith a P/E ratio of over 100, Nvidia would have to quadruple its profits to reach a valuation of 25, which is reasonable for a growth company. And admittedly, Nvidia has already achieved such growth.\nNevertheless, investors who invest in Nvidia now are speculating that Nvidia will increase its profits in the same way for the coming years. Of course, the company has already managed such developments in the past. In 2005, Nvidia was able to push its earnings per share from $0.05 to $0.33 within three years, which corresponds to a six-fold increase. But already in 2009 and 2010, Nvidia made losses. Only in 2017, it was it able to lift EPS above the 2008 level. Investors have to face it: profit increases are not a one-way street, especially not in the tech sector. And even analysts do not expect Nvidia to increase profits fast enough to reach reasonable valuation levels based on the current share price over the following years. In 2020, adjusted EPS was $2.50. Below you see expected earnings for the subsequent years, and you can also see that even the most optimistic analyst out of 19 surveyed does not expect Nvidia to achieve EPS higher than $7.25 in 2024.\nSource: www.dividendStocks.Cash\nSo we are far from saying that Nvidia will reach reasonable multiples in the next 4, 5, or 6 years based on today's share price. Even if we set the fair P/E multiple at 40. Considering the expected earnings, this results in an overvaluation of almost 30% even until 2024.\nSource: www.dividendStocks.Cash\nEven when looking at a DCF analysis, we see the apparent overvaluation and massive downside potential. Below you can see the expectations for the sales development until 2024.\n\nFor the DCF analysis, I even assume a much more optimistic scenario where the company will increase sales significantly higher. I also assume an improvement in margins.\nSource:alphaspread.com/estimates by author\nBased on these figures and assuming a discount rate of 9%, we see that Nvidia is overvalued by 50 percent, which is essentially in line with the fundamental valuation.\nSource: alphaspread.com/estimates by author\nInvestors should not forget that we could also see a change in interest rates next year. A discount rate of 9 percent could therefore be far too low. To remind you, the cost of equity was already 10 percent for Nvidia at the end of 2019. So what happens if we continue to take an optimistic growth scenario but increase the discount rate to 12 percent?\nSource:Discount rate history for Nvidia\nYou can see the result here: The Nvidia share would then be overvalued by almost 75 percent.\nSource: alphaspread.com/estimates by author\nConclusion\nThere is no such thing as eternal dominance, especially not in the innovation- and competition-driven tech sector. In my view, Nvidia does not offer a good risk/reward ratio as an investment for the next five to ten years. At its current price, the stock is overvalued for the next few years and offers nothing more than a massive downside potential of more than 50 percent.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":696,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876422213,"gmtCreate":1637343481591,"gmtModify":1637343483229,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU GOT DIAMOND HANDS ✨[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU GOT DIAMOND HANDS ✨[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU GOT DIAMOND HANDS ✨[Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73ee554e6e2def19b1a666040d7699b7","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876422213","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876640756,"gmtCreate":1637310764006,"gmtModify":1637310764427,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol Uber? The next Amazon? Yea&nbsp;Dream on…. I’llrather buy Grab stonks [Surprised]&nbsp;","listText":"Lol Uber? The next Amazon? Yea&nbsp;Dream on…. I’llrather buy Grab stonks [Surprised]&nbsp;","text":"Lol Uber? The next Amazon? Yea Dream on…. I’llrather buy Grab stonks [Surprised]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876640756","repostId":"2184189467","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2184189467","pubTimestamp":1637288187,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2184189467?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 10:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is this stock the next Amazon?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2184189467","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Amazon's stock was priced at $18 when it went public in 1997. Today, the stock trades for more than ","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>'s stock was priced at $18 when it went public in 1997. Today, the stock trades for more than $3,600 as the tech behemoth has cashed in on surging markets such as cloud services and online retail.</p>\n<p>Veteran tech analyst Mark Mahaney of Evercore ISI thinks <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber </a> could be the next Amazon-like investment as it capitalizes on its own expanding market known as the on-demand economy.</p>\n<p>\"To me, Uber fits the bill of a still early stage company that has massive TAMs (total addressable markets). It's not founder led and that is one negative. But it has a compelling value proposition,\" Mahaney said on Yahoo Finance Live.</p>\n<p>Mahaney — the author of new tech investment book Nothing But Net — believes Uber has an opportunity to take advantage of hot growth markets like ride-hailing and delivery.</p>\n<p>\"The total addressable markets that Uber faces are truly massive. We are talking about ride-hailing and delivery, not just restaurant food delivery but all sorts of delivery. I call those trillion dollar TAMs,\" Mahaney explained.</p>\n<p>After a disastrous IPO in 2019, Uber has begun to show it's getting its act together. The company has sold off non-core assets to slash expenses, while also investing more behind its core businesses of ride-hailing and delivery.</p>\n<p>Uber's third quarter marked the first time as a public company in which it delivered adjusted operating profits. Third quarter bookings rose 57% from the prior year as mobility picked up with the COVID-19 pandemic rounding the corner.</p>\n<p>For the fourth quarter, Uber sees adjusted operating profits in a range of $25 million to $75 million.</p>\n<p>Despite the operational progress, Uber has a ways to go to show it could be an Amazon-like stock as Mahaney suggests.</p>\n<p>Uber shares are down 12% year to date, under-performing rival Lyft (LYFT) whose stock is unchanged on the year. At $44.59 currently, Uber's stock trades below its 2019 IPO pricing of $45.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is this stock the next Amazon?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs this stock the next Amazon?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-19 10:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/is-this-stock-the-next-amazon-203512088.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon's stock was priced at $18 when it went public in 1997. Today, the stock trades for more than $3,600 as the tech behemoth has cashed in on surging markets such as cloud services and online ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/is-this-stock-the-next-amazon-203512088.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","UBER":"优步"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/is-this-stock-the-next-amazon-203512088.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2184189467","content_text":"Amazon's stock was priced at $18 when it went public in 1997. Today, the stock trades for more than $3,600 as the tech behemoth has cashed in on surging markets such as cloud services and online retail.\nVeteran tech analyst Mark Mahaney of Evercore ISI thinks Uber  could be the next Amazon-like investment as it capitalizes on its own expanding market known as the on-demand economy.\n\"To me, Uber fits the bill of a still early stage company that has massive TAMs (total addressable markets). It's not founder led and that is one negative. But it has a compelling value proposition,\" Mahaney said on Yahoo Finance Live.\nMahaney — the author of new tech investment book Nothing But Net — believes Uber has an opportunity to take advantage of hot growth markets like ride-hailing and delivery.\n\"The total addressable markets that Uber faces are truly massive. We are talking about ride-hailing and delivery, not just restaurant food delivery but all sorts of delivery. I call those trillion dollar TAMs,\" Mahaney explained.\nAfter a disastrous IPO in 2019, Uber has begun to show it's getting its act together. The company has sold off non-core assets to slash expenses, while also investing more behind its core businesses of ride-hailing and delivery.\nUber's third quarter marked the first time as a public company in which it delivered adjusted operating profits. Third quarter bookings rose 57% from the prior year as mobility picked up with the COVID-19 pandemic rounding the corner.\nFor the fourth quarter, Uber sees adjusted operating profits in a range of $25 million to $75 million.\nDespite the operational progress, Uber has a ways to go to show it could be an Amazon-like stock as Mahaney suggests.\nUber shares are down 12% year to date, under-performing rival Lyft (LYFT) whose stock is unchanged on the year. At $44.59 currently, Uber's stock trades below its 2019 IPO pricing of $45.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846312295,"gmtCreate":1636050297283,"gmtModify":1636050298776,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>NVDA IS A TOTAL BEAST TONIGHT, DINNERS ON ME!!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>NVDA IS A TOTAL BEAST TONIGHT, DINNERS ON ME!!!!","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$NVDA IS A TOTAL BEAST TONIGHT, DINNERS ON ME!!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f961564ecbdc6b6a1f4d32665944d22","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846312295","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847493196,"gmtCreate":1636542135543,"gmtModify":1636542137175,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come come lorrrr scared what? Crash only, so scared then don’t trade la [Cry]&nbsp;","listText":"Come come lorrrr scared what? Crash only, so scared then don’t trade la [Cry]&nbsp;","text":"Come come lorrrr scared what? Crash only, so scared then don’t trade la [Cry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847493196","repostId":"1179287524","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179287524","pubTimestamp":1636532973,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179287524?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-10 16:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179287524","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclica","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.</li>\n <li>The S&amp;P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 market top.</li>\n <li>While technology is leading the charge, sky-high valuations seem to be widespread amongst multiple sectors.</li>\n <li>A correction in ultra-high multiple names combined with multiple compression in more mature companies could cause a market meltdown soon.</li>\n <li>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Financial Prophet get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>There is extensive froth in the stock market right now, and you don't have to go far or dig deep to see what I mean.</p>\n<p><b>The S&amp;P 500/SPX</b>(SP500)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2323fa4ed6b27420f5433954b61f797b\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has now gained about 10% since I&nbsp;began calling to an end&nbsp;to the recent pullback at the lows several weeks ago. We've seen remarkable gains in a short time frame, as the SPX has appreciated in 18 out of its last 20 trading sessions. Moreover, the major stock average is up by about 35% over the previous year.</p>\n<p>Technically, the image is significantly overheated right now. The relative strength index (\"RSI\") is nearing 80, the highest level in over a year. The last time the RSI surged to 80 was right before the 10% correction last September. Moreover, the full stochastic is elevated and looks ready to turn downward, implying a possible shift in sentiment.</p>\n<p><b>Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF</b>(QQQ)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fc9224a93768c8e3e6fca68a191e0da\" tg-width=\"721\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>The Nasdaq 100 is even worse. QQQ looks like it topped out at $400, about a 15% gain from recent lows just several weeks ago. The RSI reached the absurdly high 80 levels and is hovering around 77, signaling highly overbought technical conditions. Incredibly, were looking at about a 43% gain over the last year here. Several other technical elements jump out. QQQ's price is now about 7% above its 50-day moving average. Again, the last time we saw anything close to this disconnect was the short-term top going into September 2020. Now we see the full stochastic turning downward, and the black candle at the recent top could mean that high-flying tech stocks are ready to head lower for now.</p>\n<p>Tech Stocks Gone Wild</p>\n<p>There is no shortage of froth in the tech sector today. I don't mean just technically, as fundamentally, some valuations seem absurd right now.</p>\n<p><b>NVIDIA</b>(NVDA)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fee6e0df3997c0eb900abe5f6c0fc89\" tg-width=\"723\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>Nvidia is a great company, and the stock has performed exceptionally well lately. Possibly too well, as shares have nearly tripled in just about one year, and the company is approaching a forward&nbsp;P/E valuation of 80 now. Also, if you thought an RSI of 80 was high, check out Nvidia pushing up to around 90 right now. In some cases, an 80 P/E ratio could make sense, but Nvidia is not likely to show exceptional earnings growth in future years. On the contrary, projections illustrate the probability of modest EPS growth in upcoming years.</p>\n<p>Therefore, Nvidia with a forward P/E ratio of 80 doesn't make sense in my mind. Additionally, the company is now around a $750 billion valuation with just about $25 billion in revenues set to come in this year. Thus, Nvidia is trading at about 30 times sales right now.</p>\n<p>Thirty times sales, what? Is Nvidia a rapidly growing small-cap tech or biotechnology firm? No, it is not. Nvidia is the top tech stock gone wild lately. It is now a mega-cap tech name, the&nbsp;number 7 weight wise&nbsp;company in the S&amp;P 500, and it looks hugely overvalued at this point.</p>\n<p>I am no Nvidia bear, and I owned shares in prior quarters. Possibly the only reason I don't own Nvidia now is that I have AMD in my portfolio. However, with the stock now 36% above its 50-day MA on essentially no news, things are getting absurd.</p>\n<p>Nvidia could drop by 33% from here, and it would still be relatively expensive at $200 with a forward multiple above $50.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla</b>(TSLA)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c21876fcb512c6599d06c5e93452165\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>If you thought Nvidia's valuation was an end to the madness, it's not, likely only the beginning. Let's talk about Tesla for a minute. Now, I am a long-term supporter of Tesla, I've owned the company's shares for a long time, and I've written many positive articles about the company. The first article I ever wrote on Seeking Alpha was \"Will Tesla Become A Trillion Dollar Company?\" Now, Tesla became a trillion-dollar company much sooner than I anticipated, and I took profits in the stock at around $1,200 recently.</p>\n<p>I still like Tesla longer-term, but let's face it, we're dealing with a stock that has expanded by about 4.5X over the last year (this is on top of a remarkable runup the previous year). While it might not be fair to judge Tesla's valuation on its 190 forward P/E multiple, I think the stock is richly priced at 22 times sales.</p>\n<p>Technically, the image is mind-boggling, as Tesla recently surged to 50% above its 50-day MA and hit an RSI level well above 90. Tesla is now the fifth-largest S&amp;P 500 component and accounts for about 2.5% of the major average's weight.</p>\n<p>Tesla is not the only stock to go wild in the EV space. We see other players like Lucid (LCID) hitting ludicrous valuations. Lucid now trades at a valuation of&nbsp;around $70 billion, while analysts anticipate the company to bring in about $1.7 billion in revenues next year. We're looking at a forward P/S ratio of about 40 here now. Lucid is another stock that has been up by about 4.5X over the last year, and this is another nameI took profits in recently.</p>\n<p>Tesla could drop to around $800 - 900 support, roughly around a 25-33% pullback from recent highs. The stock would look far more attractive then.</p>\n<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(AMD)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/008840326856d3681371b0d0f4f384d4\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p>\n<p>AMD has been one of my favorite stocks recently, and this is one that I'm still long for now. However, the recent runup has been intense. We see an RSI closing in on 90, and this name has nearly doubled over the last year. Yet, at about&nbsp;ten times sales&nbsp;and a forward P/E below 50, it seems relatively cheap to names like Nvidia and others right now. Incredibly, right?</p>\n<p>The list of big tech stocks surging lately can go on and on, but I want to look at the most prominent tech stock in the world that is not surging lately. I think it is pretty telling what Apple's stock is doing right now.</p>\n<p>AMD could use about a 20% discount around here. A forward P/E ratio closer to 40 would make the stock much more attractive at approximately $120 a share. I am using spreads to hedge my position here. Otherwise, I would take profits now.</p>\n<p><b>Apple</b>(AAPL)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63d6d781b612860c8e34e5d7f53f2988\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com - Apple could get its P/E ratio compressed to around 20, implying a price of about $112 for its shares.</span></p>\n<p>So, what is Apple doing lately? Well, not much, as the stock is not skyrocketing to new ATHs as many other technology names are right now. It appears that Apple topped out in early September and has failed to make new highs since. Now, we see a lower high being put in, and Apple looks like it could trade sideways or even head lower for now.</p>\n<p>Now, I spoke about&nbsp;Apple being dead money&nbsp;in my previous article on the company, but there is a good reason for this, in my view. While Apple is not trading at 80 or 50 times forward earnings projections, the company is trading at about27 times forward earning&nbsp;sexpectations. The problem is that while AMD, Nvidia, Tesla, and others are still strong growth stories, Apple likely has minimal growth potential in the next few years.</p>\n<p>Analysts are typically bullish on Apple but predict low single-digit revenue and EPS growth in future years. So, why is Apple trading at such a premium multiple? After all, 27 times forward earnings are not cheap, and even in the current environment, a company should have robust growth prospects for the next several years.</p>\n<p>Apple seems overvalued here, and the company does not deserve such a premium multiple given the probability for stagnant growth in the next several years. Therefore, we could see multiple compression in Apple from now on, and the company's downturn could drag the broader down as well.</p>\n<p>The problem is that Apple accounts for a substantial portion of the S&amp;P 500's weight (6%). Another problem is that Apple is not alone, and this may come as a surprise to many people, but Apple is not even the most significant component of the SPX.</p>\n<p><b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT):</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9788532fa13a3b90f86289660c2cb238\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: StockCharts.com -Microsoft's stock would look much more attractive with a forward P/E ratio of about 30, suggesting a 20% correction for the stock. Microsoft at $270 looks like a much better buy than it is now.</span></p>\n<p>Talk about being overbought technically. Just look at Microsoft. The RSI here is approaching 80, the stock is up by nearly 60% over the last year, and Microsoft is now the most valuable company globally. Yes, this $2.52 trillion behemoth now accounts for around 6.35% of the SPX's weight. Now, I wish I could say that Microsoft is relatively inexpensive, but that is far from true. On the contrary, Microsoft trades at a whopping37 times forward earnings&nbsp;expectations.</p>\n<p>Granted, Microsoft offers better growth prospects than Apple in future years, but nearly 40 times forward estimates for a stock that could increase earnings by about 10-15% next year is very expensive. We don't typically value huge companies relative to their sales, but Microsoft now trades at a ridiculously high 15 times TTM sales.</p>\n<p>I also want to emphasize the growing influence of big tech in the S&amp;P 500 and other major averages. The top seven weighted holdings in the S&amp;P 500 are seven giant tech companies that account for a whopping27% of the index's weight. It's not difficult to imagine what will happen to the S&amp;P 500 and other major stock indexes when this massive tech bubble unwinds or corrects down the line.</p>\n<p><b>S&amp;P 500 Shiller P/E ratio</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2758adbaf32d04dd18b08589062e6f62\" tg-width=\"1669\" tg-height=\"739\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:multpl.com</span></p>\n<p>I spoke about Microsoft's lofty forward P/E ratio, but it is essentially in line with the Shiller/cyclically adjusted P/E ratio on the entire S&amp;P 500 right now. So, we see that this phenomenon of remarkably high valuations is not only concentrated in tech but is widespread right now. We also see that similar valuations have only been observed once before in history. Yes, around the height of the dot-com bubble, some of us know how that turned out, and the outcome was unfavorable for stocks.</p>\n<p>Another factor I want to go over is that while I use a forward P/E in many instances, no one knows what company earnings will be next year. We saw quite a few&nbsp;misses last quarter, far more disappointing results than was expected. Apple and Amazon (AMZN) are just a couple of examples, but many more big names missed guidance.</p>\n<p><b>Therefore, if we look at TTM P/E multiples:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Microsoft: 42</li>\n <li>Apple: 27</li>\n <li>Nvidia: 90</li>\n <li>Tesla: 228</li>\n <li>AMD: 63</li>\n <li>Lucid: N/A</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The Bottom Line</p>\n<p>We see many names trading at extremely high valuations right now. Moreover, many prominent companies and major stock market averages are grossly overbought technically. While I focused primarily on the dominant tech companies that account for a massive part of the S&amp;P 500's total weight, the frothy valuations go well beyond technology. The stock market, in general, looks frothy here technically, as well as from a fundamental perspective. Now, we could see a dynamic where the ultra-high multiple names that have skyrocketed lately begin to pull back. Simultaneously, we could see companies like Apple trade sideways or ever move lower due to growth concerns and subsequent multiple contractions. The result could be a \"deflation\" of the current bubble, which could cause a correction or even a mini-crash to occur as we advance into next year.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't Get Too Comfortable: The Crash May Be Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-10 16:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467619-dont-get-too-comfortable-the-crash-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1179287524","content_text":"Summary\n\nTech stocks are surging left and right like it's 1999 all over again.\nThe S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E ratio was higher just once before now. Yes, you guessed it, leading up to the 2000 market top.\nWhile technology is leading the charge, sky-high valuations seem to be widespread amongst multiple sectors.\nA correction in ultra-high multiple names combined with multiple compression in more mature companies could cause a market meltdown soon.\nLooking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Financial Prophet get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.\n\nThere is extensive froth in the stock market right now, and you don't have to go far or dig deep to see what I mean.\nThe S&P 500/SPX(SP500)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nThe S&P 500 has now gained about 10% since I began calling to an end to the recent pullback at the lows several weeks ago. We've seen remarkable gains in a short time frame, as the SPX has appreciated in 18 out of its last 20 trading sessions. Moreover, the major stock average is up by about 35% over the previous year.\nTechnically, the image is significantly overheated right now. The relative strength index (\"RSI\") is nearing 80, the highest level in over a year. The last time the RSI surged to 80 was right before the 10% correction last September. Moreover, the full stochastic is elevated and looks ready to turn downward, implying a possible shift in sentiment.\nInvesco Nasdaq 100 ETF(QQQ)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nThe Nasdaq 100 is even worse. QQQ looks like it topped out at $400, about a 15% gain from recent lows just several weeks ago. The RSI reached the absurdly high 80 levels and is hovering around 77, signaling highly overbought technical conditions. Incredibly, were looking at about a 43% gain over the last year here. Several other technical elements jump out. QQQ's price is now about 7% above its 50-day moving average. Again, the last time we saw anything close to this disconnect was the short-term top going into September 2020. Now we see the full stochastic turning downward, and the black candle at the recent top could mean that high-flying tech stocks are ready to head lower for now.\nTech Stocks Gone Wild\nThere is no shortage of froth in the tech sector today. I don't mean just technically, as fundamentally, some valuations seem absurd right now.\nNVIDIA(NVDA)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nNvidia is a great company, and the stock has performed exceptionally well lately. Possibly too well, as shares have nearly tripled in just about one year, and the company is approaching a forward P/E valuation of 80 now. Also, if you thought an RSI of 80 was high, check out Nvidia pushing up to around 90 right now. In some cases, an 80 P/E ratio could make sense, but Nvidia is not likely to show exceptional earnings growth in future years. On the contrary, projections illustrate the probability of modest EPS growth in upcoming years.\nTherefore, Nvidia with a forward P/E ratio of 80 doesn't make sense in my mind. Additionally, the company is now around a $750 billion valuation with just about $25 billion in revenues set to come in this year. Thus, Nvidia is trading at about 30 times sales right now.\nThirty times sales, what? Is Nvidia a rapidly growing small-cap tech or biotechnology firm? No, it is not. Nvidia is the top tech stock gone wild lately. It is now a mega-cap tech name, the number 7 weight wise company in the S&P 500, and it looks hugely overvalued at this point.\nI am no Nvidia bear, and I owned shares in prior quarters. Possibly the only reason I don't own Nvidia now is that I have AMD in my portfolio. However, with the stock now 36% above its 50-day MA on essentially no news, things are getting absurd.\nNvidia could drop by 33% from here, and it would still be relatively expensive at $200 with a forward multiple above $50.\nTesla(TSLA)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nIf you thought Nvidia's valuation was an end to the madness, it's not, likely only the beginning. Let's talk about Tesla for a minute. Now, I am a long-term supporter of Tesla, I've owned the company's shares for a long time, and I've written many positive articles about the company. The first article I ever wrote on Seeking Alpha was \"Will Tesla Become A Trillion Dollar Company?\" Now, Tesla became a trillion-dollar company much sooner than I anticipated, and I took profits in the stock at around $1,200 recently.\nI still like Tesla longer-term, but let's face it, we're dealing with a stock that has expanded by about 4.5X over the last year (this is on top of a remarkable runup the previous year). While it might not be fair to judge Tesla's valuation on its 190 forward P/E multiple, I think the stock is richly priced at 22 times sales.\nTechnically, the image is mind-boggling, as Tesla recently surged to 50% above its 50-day MA and hit an RSI level well above 90. Tesla is now the fifth-largest S&P 500 component and accounts for about 2.5% of the major average's weight.\nTesla is not the only stock to go wild in the EV space. We see other players like Lucid (LCID) hitting ludicrous valuations. Lucid now trades at a valuation of around $70 billion, while analysts anticipate the company to bring in about $1.7 billion in revenues next year. We're looking at a forward P/S ratio of about 40 here now. Lucid is another stock that has been up by about 4.5X over the last year, and this is another nameI took profits in recently.\nTesla could drop to around $800 - 900 support, roughly around a 25-33% pullback from recent highs. The stock would look far more attractive then.\nAdvanced Micro Devices(AMD)\nSource: StockCharts.com\nAMD has been one of my favorite stocks recently, and this is one that I'm still long for now. However, the recent runup has been intense. We see an RSI closing in on 90, and this name has nearly doubled over the last year. Yet, at about ten times sales and a forward P/E below 50, it seems relatively cheap to names like Nvidia and others right now. Incredibly, right?\nThe list of big tech stocks surging lately can go on and on, but I want to look at the most prominent tech stock in the world that is not surging lately. I think it is pretty telling what Apple's stock is doing right now.\nAMD could use about a 20% discount around here. A forward P/E ratio closer to 40 would make the stock much more attractive at approximately $120 a share. I am using spreads to hedge my position here. Otherwise, I would take profits now.\nApple(AAPL)\nSource: StockCharts.com - Apple could get its P/E ratio compressed to around 20, implying a price of about $112 for its shares.\nSo, what is Apple doing lately? Well, not much, as the stock is not skyrocketing to new ATHs as many other technology names are right now. It appears that Apple topped out in early September and has failed to make new highs since. Now, we see a lower high being put in, and Apple looks like it could trade sideways or even head lower for now.\nNow, I spoke about Apple being dead money in my previous article on the company, but there is a good reason for this, in my view. While Apple is not trading at 80 or 50 times forward earnings projections, the company is trading at about27 times forward earning sexpectations. The problem is that while AMD, Nvidia, Tesla, and others are still strong growth stories, Apple likely has minimal growth potential in the next few years.\nAnalysts are typically bullish on Apple but predict low single-digit revenue and EPS growth in future years. So, why is Apple trading at such a premium multiple? After all, 27 times forward earnings are not cheap, and even in the current environment, a company should have robust growth prospects for the next several years.\nApple seems overvalued here, and the company does not deserve such a premium multiple given the probability for stagnant growth in the next several years. Therefore, we could see multiple compression in Apple from now on, and the company's downturn could drag the broader down as well.\nThe problem is that Apple accounts for a substantial portion of the S&P 500's weight (6%). Another problem is that Apple is not alone, and this may come as a surprise to many people, but Apple is not even the most significant component of the SPX.\nMicrosoft(MSFT):\nSource: StockCharts.com -Microsoft's stock would look much more attractive with a forward P/E ratio of about 30, suggesting a 20% correction for the stock. Microsoft at $270 looks like a much better buy than it is now.\nTalk about being overbought technically. Just look at Microsoft. The RSI here is approaching 80, the stock is up by nearly 60% over the last year, and Microsoft is now the most valuable company globally. Yes, this $2.52 trillion behemoth now accounts for around 6.35% of the SPX's weight. Now, I wish I could say that Microsoft is relatively inexpensive, but that is far from true. On the contrary, Microsoft trades at a whopping37 times forward earnings expectations.\nGranted, Microsoft offers better growth prospects than Apple in future years, but nearly 40 times forward estimates for a stock that could increase earnings by about 10-15% next year is very expensive. We don't typically value huge companies relative to their sales, but Microsoft now trades at a ridiculously high 15 times TTM sales.\nI also want to emphasize the growing influence of big tech in the S&P 500 and other major averages. The top seven weighted holdings in the S&P 500 are seven giant tech companies that account for a whopping27% of the index's weight. It's not difficult to imagine what will happen to the S&P 500 and other major stock indexes when this massive tech bubble unwinds or corrects down the line.\nS&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio\nSource:multpl.com\nI spoke about Microsoft's lofty forward P/E ratio, but it is essentially in line with the Shiller/cyclically adjusted P/E ratio on the entire S&P 500 right now. So, we see that this phenomenon of remarkably high valuations is not only concentrated in tech but is widespread right now. We also see that similar valuations have only been observed once before in history. Yes, around the height of the dot-com bubble, some of us know how that turned out, and the outcome was unfavorable for stocks.\nAnother factor I want to go over is that while I use a forward P/E in many instances, no one knows what company earnings will be next year. We saw quite a few misses last quarter, far more disappointing results than was expected. Apple and Amazon (AMZN) are just a couple of examples, but many more big names missed guidance.\nTherefore, if we look at TTM P/E multiples:\n\nMicrosoft: 42\nApple: 27\nNvidia: 90\nTesla: 228\nAMD: 63\nLucid: N/A\n\nThe Bottom Line\nWe see many names trading at extremely high valuations right now. Moreover, many prominent companies and major stock market averages are grossly overbought technically. While I focused primarily on the dominant tech companies that account for a massive part of the S&P 500's total weight, the frothy valuations go well beyond technology. The stock market, in general, looks frothy here technically, as well as from a fundamental perspective. Now, we could see a dynamic where the ultra-high multiple names that have skyrocketed lately begin to pull back. Simultaneously, we could see companies like Apple trade sideways or ever move lower due to growth concerns and subsequent multiple contractions. The result could be a \"deflation\" of the current bubble, which could cause a correction or even a mini-crash to occur as we advance into next year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820715649,"gmtCreate":1633432693463,"gmtModify":1633432744265,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whatever that goes down will always come back up. So stop whining like some lil’ kid oOoOooO market crash ooOoooOoo I’m shooooo scareddddd [Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"Whatever that goes down will always come back up. So stop whining like some lil’ kid oOoOooO market crash ooOoooOoo I’m shooooo scareddddd [Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"Whatever that goes down will always come back up. So stop whining like some lil’ kid oOoOooO market crash ooOoooOoo I’m shooooo scareddddd [Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820715649","repostId":"1121989111","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121989111","pubTimestamp":1633417444,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121989111?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 15:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock market’s volatile October history means it’s time to steady yourself for a ‘black swan’ event","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121989111","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"U.S. stocks already are having a rough October — two trading days in. October is the most volatile m","content":"<p>U.S. stocks already are having a rough October — two trading days in. October is the most volatile month for stocks — and when stocks suffered their two worst crashes in U.S. market history.</p>\n<p>Moreover, there’s a 0.06% chance that the stock market this month will experience a one-day crash as bad as 1987’s Black Monday.</p>\n<p>Those odds don’t seem like much — but they are not zero. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.94% tumbled 22.6% on Oct. 19, 1987, Black Monday. An equivalent percentage drop from its current level would take more than 7,700 points off the Dow in a single trading day.</p>\n<p>Few investors in the market nowadays remember the trauma of Black Monday. Those who do may reassure themselves that a similar crash couldn’t happen today, given market reforms that were instituted in the wake of the selloff.</p>\n<p>They are kidding themselves, according to a study conducted by Xavier Gabaix, a professor of economics and finance at Harvard. He and his-coauthors derived a formula that predicts the frequency, over long periods of time, of large daily swings in the market. Upon testing the formula against hundreds of years of stock market returns in both the U.S. and around the world, they found the formula to be impressively accurate.</p>\n<p>For example, Gabaix’s formula predicts that a 22.6% drop in the market will occur every 150 years, on average, over long periods of time. That doesn’t mean such a crash will occur every 150 years, since this predicted frequency is an average over extremely long periods. So the market could experience no such crash over a 150-year period, or experience two of them (or more).</p>\n<p>What you can’t conclude, however, is that the odds of a crash are zero.</p>\n<p>Why market reforms can’t prevent a crash</p>\n<p>You might object to this conclusion on the grounds that market reforms instituted since 1987 will prevent another crash from occurring — circuit breakers, trading halts and other safeguards. But, as Gabaix has explained to me many times in interviews over the years, such reforms are powerless to prevent a crash. That’s because all markets are dominated by their largest investors, and when many of them want to get out of the market simultaneously, for whatever reason, the market will crash.</p>\n<p>For example, even if trading halts and other restrictions succeed in preventing these large investors from selling on U.S. exchanges, they can still sell on foreign exchanges where many U.S. stocks also trade. They can also sell short with stock index futures contracts or via the purchase of put options. You’re kidding yourself if you think these large investors will be prevented from getting out if they want to.</p>\n<p>Black swans</p>\n<p>Gabaix’s research underlines why it’s so important to prepare for so-called black swan events like market crashes that are sudden, awful, unpredictable and rare. Notice that, by this definition, they are unpredictable, so it’s false comfort to believe you can anticipate future black swans in time to reduce your portfolio risk and thereby sidestep a market crash. Did you foresee the COVID-induced bear market in time to avoid big losses?</p>\n<p>The investment implication is to make changes to your portfolio that will protect you from a crash, if and when it occurs. It’s like buying fire insurance on your house. Most of you will not ever have your houses burn down, but that’s not a reason forego fire insurance. I doubt any of you complain about having to purchase such insurance, since the downside risk of losing everything is sufficiently awful.</p>\n<p>What might be the functional equivalent of fire insurance for your stock portfolio? I discussed several different possibilities in acolumn this summer, and I direct your attention to it.</p>\n<p>One possibility is to regularly allocate a small percentage of your portfolio to long-dated, out of the money put options on the S&amp;P 500SPX,-1.30%.In my previous column on this subject, I reported on one such strategy that each year allocated 3.33% to an S&amp;P 500 put option that was 60% out of the money and with two years left before expiration.</p>\n<p>In this particular case, your portfolio’s “fire insurance” carries a premium of 3.33% per year. That doesn’t seem prohibitive, especially since in backtesting back to 2006 this strategy beat the S&amp;P 500 itself. So over this particular period there was no net cost to your insurance. Not bad.</p>\n<p>It won’t always work out this well, of course, and this is not the only black swan strategy. But it gives you an idea. The anniversary of the two worst crashes in U.S. market history is an excellent time in which to consider insuring your portfolio against black swans.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock market’s volatile October history means it’s time to steady yourself for a ‘black swan’ event</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock market’s volatile October history means it’s time to steady yourself for a ‘black swan’ event\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-05 15:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-markets-volatile-october-history-means-its-time-to-steady-yourself-for-a-black-swan-event-11633366226?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks already are having a rough October — two trading days in. October is the most volatile month for stocks — and when stocks suffered their two worst crashes in U.S. market history.\nMoreover,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-markets-volatile-october-history-means-its-time-to-steady-yourself-for-a-black-swan-event-11633366226?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-markets-volatile-october-history-means-its-time-to-steady-yourself-for-a-black-swan-event-11633366226?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1121989111","content_text":"U.S. stocks already are having a rough October — two trading days in. October is the most volatile month for stocks — and when stocks suffered their two worst crashes in U.S. market history.\nMoreover, there’s a 0.06% chance that the stock market this month will experience a one-day crash as bad as 1987’s Black Monday.\nThose odds don’t seem like much — but they are not zero. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.94% tumbled 22.6% on Oct. 19, 1987, Black Monday. An equivalent percentage drop from its current level would take more than 7,700 points off the Dow in a single trading day.\nFew investors in the market nowadays remember the trauma of Black Monday. Those who do may reassure themselves that a similar crash couldn’t happen today, given market reforms that were instituted in the wake of the selloff.\nThey are kidding themselves, according to a study conducted by Xavier Gabaix, a professor of economics and finance at Harvard. He and his-coauthors derived a formula that predicts the frequency, over long periods of time, of large daily swings in the market. Upon testing the formula against hundreds of years of stock market returns in both the U.S. and around the world, they found the formula to be impressively accurate.\nFor example, Gabaix’s formula predicts that a 22.6% drop in the market will occur every 150 years, on average, over long periods of time. That doesn’t mean such a crash will occur every 150 years, since this predicted frequency is an average over extremely long periods. So the market could experience no such crash over a 150-year period, or experience two of them (or more).\nWhat you can’t conclude, however, is that the odds of a crash are zero.\nWhy market reforms can’t prevent a crash\nYou might object to this conclusion on the grounds that market reforms instituted since 1987 will prevent another crash from occurring — circuit breakers, trading halts and other safeguards. But, as Gabaix has explained to me many times in interviews over the years, such reforms are powerless to prevent a crash. That’s because all markets are dominated by their largest investors, and when many of them want to get out of the market simultaneously, for whatever reason, the market will crash.\nFor example, even if trading halts and other restrictions succeed in preventing these large investors from selling on U.S. exchanges, they can still sell on foreign exchanges where many U.S. stocks also trade. They can also sell short with stock index futures contracts or via the purchase of put options. You’re kidding yourself if you think these large investors will be prevented from getting out if they want to.\nBlack swans\nGabaix’s research underlines why it’s so important to prepare for so-called black swan events like market crashes that are sudden, awful, unpredictable and rare. Notice that, by this definition, they are unpredictable, so it’s false comfort to believe you can anticipate future black swans in time to reduce your portfolio risk and thereby sidestep a market crash. Did you foresee the COVID-induced bear market in time to avoid big losses?\nThe investment implication is to make changes to your portfolio that will protect you from a crash, if and when it occurs. It’s like buying fire insurance on your house. Most of you will not ever have your houses burn down, but that’s not a reason forego fire insurance. I doubt any of you complain about having to purchase such insurance, since the downside risk of losing everything is sufficiently awful.\nWhat might be the functional equivalent of fire insurance for your stock portfolio? I discussed several different possibilities in acolumn this summer, and I direct your attention to it.\nOne possibility is to regularly allocate a small percentage of your portfolio to long-dated, out of the money put options on the S&P 500SPX,-1.30%.In my previous column on this subject, I reported on one such strategy that each year allocated 3.33% to an S&P 500 put option that was 60% out of the money and with two years left before expiration.\nIn this particular case, your portfolio’s “fire insurance” carries a premium of 3.33% per year. That doesn’t seem prohibitive, especially since in backtesting back to 2006 this strategy beat the S&P 500 itself. So over this particular period there was no net cost to your insurance. Not bad.\nIt won’t always work out this well, of course, and this is not the only black swan strategy. But it gives you an idea. The anniversary of the two worst crashes in U.S. market history is an excellent time in which to consider insuring your portfolio against black swans.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878570264,"gmtCreate":1637212861189,"gmtModify":1637212861690,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tired of your roti prata news, when Rivian&nbsp;went up all say buy buy buy. Now dip alry 才來馬後炮 say buy growth stocks. WAKE UP YOUR IDEA LA","listText":"Tired of your roti prata news, when Rivian&nbsp;went up all say buy buy buy. Now dip alry 才來馬後炮 say buy growth stocks. WAKE UP YOUR IDEA LA","text":"Tired of your roti prata news, when Rivian went up all say buy buy buy. Now dip alry 才來馬後炮 say buy growth stocks. WAKE UP YOUR IDEA LA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878570264","repostId":"2184853339","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2184853339","pubTimestamp":1637206020,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2184853339?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-18 11:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tired of Rivian and Lucid? 3 Better Growth Stocks to Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2184853339","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Electric vehicle stocks are hot, but these industrial companies could be better buys now.","content":"<p>With everything going on in the stock market and cryptocurrency market, it's hard for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> story to dominate headlines for a day, much less a week. Yet that's exactly what electric vehicle (EV) stocks have done since <b>Rivian Automotive</b> (NASDAQ:RIVN) had its initial public offering (IPO) last week. After debuting at a price of $78 per share, Rivian stock has already doubled. Similarly, share prices of <b>Lucid Group</b> (NASDAQ:LCID), a luxury EV company, have more than doubled in the last month. But those gains are in the past. It's time to look at what's the best option now.</p>\n<p>Investors scanning the horizon for growth stocks may be better off taking a look at <b>Trimble</b> (NASDAQ:TRMB), <b>Array Technologies </b>(NASDAQ:ARRY), and <b>MP Materials</b> (NYSE:MP). Here's why some Fool.com contributors think each is a great buy now.</p>\n<h2>The infrastructure bill is just one of many growth drivers for Trimble</h2>\n<p><b>Lee Samaha (Trimble):</b> Trimble is a leading light in the positioning and modeling business. As such, its roots lie in the geospatial industry (mapping and surveying). The geospatial industry is still a significant end market -- making up around 23% of Trimble's third-quarter revenue. However, its largest end market is buildings and construction (39% of revenue). The other two end markets are the fast-growing resources and utilities (20% of revenue) space and transportation (18% of revenue).</p>\n<p>Trimble's solutions are increasingly used as an integral part of its customers' daily activities. For example, trucking companies use Trimble to make sure their fleets are running safely and effectively, all the time analyzing real-time data to improve performance. In agriculture, its precision agriculture hardware and software help farmers make better decisions when it comes to planting, nurturing, and harvesting crops.</p>\n<p>Moreover, in building and construction, the company's technology helps contractors accurately complete building and infrastructure projects, and in doing so, reduce waste and carbon emissions. As such, the infrastructure bill will lead to plenty of growth opportunities as upgrading the nation's infrastructure can be achieved in a more cost-efficient and environmentally friendly way using Trimble.</p>\n<p>Given the explosion of connected devices, digital technologies, and analytics capability, it's highly likely that there will be increased adoption of positioning and modeling technology in the future. Again, Trimble is ideally placed to take advantage.</p>\n<h2>This solar stock went from cold to hot</h2>\n<p><b>Daniel Foelber&nbsp;(Array Technologies):</b> Share prices of solar tracking manufacturer Array Technologies have staged quite the comeback since falling 74% from its high in May. The company was caught completely off guard by supply chain constraints and rising raw material costs -- namely steel. The news not only stunted its growth, but crippled its margins, too.</p>\n<p>Although the company's short-term performance continues to suffer,&nbsp;it has done a good job partnering with companies like <b>Nucor</b> to secure more reliable steel pricing, as well as building a healthy backlog of projects. Although Array's Q3 figures were weak, the company's outlook for the year ahead casts a bright light that the worst of its problems may be over.</p>\n<p>Array is a great example of a growth stock that looked strong headed into 2021, suffered a lot of setbacks, and is now beginning to get back on its feet. Now is the perfect time for investors to revisit the long-term investment thesis, which centers around the growing need for more efficient and cost-effective solar tracking. Array's industry-leading technology maximizes the amount of solar energy that a panel can generate, which saves costs in the long run. The company's business is almost entirely in the U.S. but there are plans to expand internationally as new markets demand more efficient solar systems. Given the lower cost of utility-solar and estimates that solar will only grow its share in the global energy mix, Array is a growth stock worth following as its fundamentals improve.</p>\n<h2>Dig this under-the-radar EV stock</h2>\n<p><b>Scott Levine (MP Materials): </b>Soaring steeply higher in its short time as a publicly traded company, Rivian's stock is charging into the hearts -- and portfolios -- of many EV-focused investors. While the stock is currently the talk of the town, there's another EV stock that represents another great growth opportunity, though it hardly finds itself in the limelight as Rivian currently does. MP Materials is a mining company that owns and operates Mountain Pass, where it mines and processes rare earth minerals. Although lithium is the mineral that is likely most familiar to renewable energy investors, rare earth minerals are critical components in the production of magnets used in EVs and other advanced motion technologies like wind turbines and drones.</p>\n<p>The bull case for MP Materials is predicated largely on the fact that rare earth minerals are, well, <i>rare --&nbsp;</i>not something you can easily find in your backyard -- so owning and operating one of the largest integrated rare earth mining and processing facilities in the world (as MP Materials proclaims to do) is fairly compelling. Add to that the fact that the United States has voiced a desire to shore up its supply of rare earth materials by distancing itself from China, where the majority of rare earth minerals are currently sourced, and MP Materials becomes even more attractive.</p>\n<p>During an investors presentation last year, MP Materials projected that its revenue would rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53% from $75 million in 2019 to $415 million in 2023. But it wouldn't be surprising if the top line grows at an even greater clip than that. Through the first nine months of 2021, the company has reported revenue of $233 million, blowing past its earlier forecast of $171 million for all of 2021. Pivoting to the cash flow statement, investors will find that while this growth company has a long runway ahead of it, the company's risks are mitigated by the fact that it's cash-flow positive. Through the first nine months of 2021, MP Materials has generated operating cash flow of $70.5 million, and management expects it to become free-cash-flow positive in 2022.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tired of Rivian and Lucid? 3 Better Growth Stocks to Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTired of Rivian and Lucid? 3 Better Growth Stocks to Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-18 11:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/17/tired-of-rivian-and-lucid-3-better-growth-stocks-t/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With everything going on in the stock market and cryptocurrency market, it's hard for one story to dominate headlines for a day, much less a week. Yet that's exactly what electric vehicle (EV) stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/17/tired-of-rivian-and-lucid-3-better-growth-stocks-t/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARRY":"Array Technologies Inc.","MP":"MP Materials Corp.","TRMB":"天宝导航"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/17/tired-of-rivian-and-lucid-3-better-growth-stocks-t/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2184853339","content_text":"With everything going on in the stock market and cryptocurrency market, it's hard for one story to dominate headlines for a day, much less a week. Yet that's exactly what electric vehicle (EV) stocks have done since Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) had its initial public offering (IPO) last week. After debuting at a price of $78 per share, Rivian stock has already doubled. Similarly, share prices of Lucid Group (NASDAQ:LCID), a luxury EV company, have more than doubled in the last month. But those gains are in the past. It's time to look at what's the best option now.\nInvestors scanning the horizon for growth stocks may be better off taking a look at Trimble (NASDAQ:TRMB), Array Technologies (NASDAQ:ARRY), and MP Materials (NYSE:MP). Here's why some Fool.com contributors think each is a great buy now.\nThe infrastructure bill is just one of many growth drivers for Trimble\nLee Samaha (Trimble): Trimble is a leading light in the positioning and modeling business. As such, its roots lie in the geospatial industry (mapping and surveying). The geospatial industry is still a significant end market -- making up around 23% of Trimble's third-quarter revenue. However, its largest end market is buildings and construction (39% of revenue). The other two end markets are the fast-growing resources and utilities (20% of revenue) space and transportation (18% of revenue).\nTrimble's solutions are increasingly used as an integral part of its customers' daily activities. For example, trucking companies use Trimble to make sure their fleets are running safely and effectively, all the time analyzing real-time data to improve performance. In agriculture, its precision agriculture hardware and software help farmers make better decisions when it comes to planting, nurturing, and harvesting crops.\nMoreover, in building and construction, the company's technology helps contractors accurately complete building and infrastructure projects, and in doing so, reduce waste and carbon emissions. As such, the infrastructure bill will lead to plenty of growth opportunities as upgrading the nation's infrastructure can be achieved in a more cost-efficient and environmentally friendly way using Trimble.\nGiven the explosion of connected devices, digital technologies, and analytics capability, it's highly likely that there will be increased adoption of positioning and modeling technology in the future. Again, Trimble is ideally placed to take advantage.\nThis solar stock went from cold to hot\nDaniel Foelber (Array Technologies): Share prices of solar tracking manufacturer Array Technologies have staged quite the comeback since falling 74% from its high in May. The company was caught completely off guard by supply chain constraints and rising raw material costs -- namely steel. The news not only stunted its growth, but crippled its margins, too.\nAlthough the company's short-term performance continues to suffer, it has done a good job partnering with companies like Nucor to secure more reliable steel pricing, as well as building a healthy backlog of projects. Although Array's Q3 figures were weak, the company's outlook for the year ahead casts a bright light that the worst of its problems may be over.\nArray is a great example of a growth stock that looked strong headed into 2021, suffered a lot of setbacks, and is now beginning to get back on its feet. Now is the perfect time for investors to revisit the long-term investment thesis, which centers around the growing need for more efficient and cost-effective solar tracking. Array's industry-leading technology maximizes the amount of solar energy that a panel can generate, which saves costs in the long run. The company's business is almost entirely in the U.S. but there are plans to expand internationally as new markets demand more efficient solar systems. Given the lower cost of utility-solar and estimates that solar will only grow its share in the global energy mix, Array is a growth stock worth following as its fundamentals improve.\nDig this under-the-radar EV stock\nScott Levine (MP Materials): Soaring steeply higher in its short time as a publicly traded company, Rivian's stock is charging into the hearts -- and portfolios -- of many EV-focused investors. While the stock is currently the talk of the town, there's another EV stock that represents another great growth opportunity, though it hardly finds itself in the limelight as Rivian currently does. MP Materials is a mining company that owns and operates Mountain Pass, where it mines and processes rare earth minerals. Although lithium is the mineral that is likely most familiar to renewable energy investors, rare earth minerals are critical components in the production of magnets used in EVs and other advanced motion technologies like wind turbines and drones.\nThe bull case for MP Materials is predicated largely on the fact that rare earth minerals are, well, rare -- not something you can easily find in your backyard -- so owning and operating one of the largest integrated rare earth mining and processing facilities in the world (as MP Materials proclaims to do) is fairly compelling. Add to that the fact that the United States has voiced a desire to shore up its supply of rare earth materials by distancing itself from China, where the majority of rare earth minerals are currently sourced, and MP Materials becomes even more attractive.\nDuring an investors presentation last year, MP Materials projected that its revenue would rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53% from $75 million in 2019 to $415 million in 2023. But it wouldn't be surprising if the top line grows at an even greater clip than that. Through the first nine months of 2021, the company has reported revenue of $233 million, blowing past its earlier forecast of $171 million for all of 2021. Pivoting to the cash flow statement, investors will find that while this growth company has a long runway ahead of it, the company's risks are mitigated by the fact that it's cash-flow positive. Through the first nine months of 2021, MP Materials has generated operating cash flow of $70.5 million, and management expects it to become free-cash-flow positive in 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873422145,"gmtCreate":1636979627518,"gmtModify":1636979627962,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mummy Woods is the Hedgies Queen btw, no wonder whatever she does, all the minions follows [LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"Mummy Woods is the Hedgies Queen btw, no wonder whatever she does, all the minions follows [LOL]&nbsp;","text":"Mummy Woods is the Hedgies Queen btw, no wonder whatever she does, all the minions follows [LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873422145","repostId":"2183046479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859776346,"gmtCreate":1634738801929,"gmtModify":1634780645660,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GBTC\">$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$</a>Boy oh boy! I have 2000 GBTC shares, I leave the maths to you, to calculate my earnings [Cool]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GBTC\">$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$</a>Boy oh boy! I have 2000 GBTC shares, I leave the maths to you, to calculate my earnings [Cool]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)(GBTC)$Boy oh boy! I have 2000 GBTC shares, I leave the maths to you, to calculate my earnings [Cool] [Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98445341e11c529268e19f0fb80b3334","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859776346","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607024933,"gmtCreate":1639461714734,"gmtModify":1639461715629,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What’s next? CHRISTMAS SALES IS NEXT LA! [LOL]&nbsp;Anw my entry is $500 so this dip is none of my business [Tongue]&nbsp;","listText":"What’s next? CHRISTMAS SALES IS NEXT LA! [LOL]&nbsp;Anw my entry is $500 so this dip is none of my business [Tongue]&nbsp;","text":"What’s next? CHRISTMAS SALES IS NEXT LA! [LOL] Anw my entry is $500 so this dip is none of my business [Tongue]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607024933","repostId":"1114636896","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1114636896","pubTimestamp":1639439509,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114636896?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114636896","media":"Barrons","summary":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is ","content":"<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;crossed into bear-market territory&nbsp;today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.</p>\n<p>Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;both closed down 0.9%.</p>\n<p>The Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.</p>\n<p>Whether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.</p>\n<p>Whether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.</p>\n<p>One of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, <i>Barron’s</i> wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.</p>\n<p>Back then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.</p>\n<p>That would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.</p>\n<p>With all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.</p>\n<p>Two things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.</p>\n<p>Second, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.</p>\n<p>The Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.</p>\n<p>Still, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-14 07:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114636896","content_text":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed down 0.9%.\nThe Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.\nWhether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.\nWhether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.\nOne of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, Barron’s wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.\nBack then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.\nThat would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.\nWith all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.\nTwo things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.\nSecond, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com (AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.\nThe Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.\nStill, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878738826,"gmtCreate":1637230816259,"gmtModify":1637230816703,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck to those that got slashed by the fallingknife [Cry]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"Good luck to those that got slashed by the fallingknife [Cry]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"Good luck to those that got slashed by the fallingknife [Cry] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878738826","repostId":"1162579269","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690612718,"gmtCreate":1639663289731,"gmtModify":1639663290666,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"10x you sure or nt, nvr 10x how, you pay me ah","listText":"10x you sure or nt, nvr 10x how, you pay me ah","text":"10x you sure or nt, nvr 10x how, you pay me ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690612718","repostId":"2191910948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2191910948","pubTimestamp":1639657328,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2191910948?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Cheap Stocks With 10X Potential to Buy in 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2191910948","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These two companies have massive growth opportunities and have declined sharply in recent months.","content":"<p>You've probably noticed that stock market volatility has picked up recently. That's especially true if you're invested in highly valued growth stocks, many of which have declined by 30%, 50%, or even more from their all-time highs.</p>\n<p>While nobody <i>enjoys</i> watching the value of their investments go down, periods of volatility like this <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> can create opportunities to get into long-term winners at a discount. Here are two, in particular, that have 10X growth potential (or possibly <i>much</i> more) that are at the top of my watch list as we head toward 2022.</p>\n<h2>This healthcare innovator has unlimited applications for its data</h2>\n<p>Most people know <b>23andMe</b> (NASDAQ:ME) for its home genetic-testing kits. While this is certainly the most consumer-facing side of the business, there's a lot more to the company than that.</p>\n<p>Specifically, the data that its core genetic-testing business provides makes the company so interesting. 23andMe has a data library from nearly 12 million genotyped individuals. The next closest competitor has less than one-tenth of that.</p>\n<p>This data could be leveraged to develop therapeutics, and 23andMe is doing exactly that with a 50/50 partnership with pharmaceutical-heavyweight <b>GlaxoSmithKline </b>(NYSE:GSK). Even one successful therapeutic could be worth billions, and the company has a promising development pipeline already.</p>\n<p>In addition, 23andMe is still in the early stages of building out personalized healthcare products. And 75% of consumers say that they wish their healthcare experience was more personalized, so there's a massive opportunity to disrupt the industry over time. Thanks to the recent market decline, investors can buy shares for about 25% less than SPAC investors like Richard Branson paid earlier this year.</p>\n<h2>Could this real estate disruptor change the way we buy and sell houses?</h2>\n<p><b>Offerpad</b> (NYSE:OPAD) is an iBuyer. If you aren't familiar, an iBuyer (or instant buyer) is a company that buys homes directly from sellers. The general idea is that by doing so, it removes most consumer pain points from the home-selling process.</p>\n<p>For example, when you sell to an iBuyer, you won't have to find a real estate agent, allow countless showings, stage your home, make cosmetic repairs, etc. And perhaps most importantly, you can control the timeline. iBuyers can close homes in as little as three days from making an all-cash offer or can wait months, if that's what the seller needs.</p>\n<p>Offerpad is one of three companies that engage in iBuying on a large scale (the other two are <b>Opendoor</b>&nbsp;and<b> Redfin</b>, and although it isn't the biggest, it's found the best balance between growth and efficiency. Its unit economics -- the profit margin per home -- are the best in the industry.</p>\n<p>The concept of iBuying is still pretty new, with less than 1% of all home sales in the U.S., but this is a multitrillion-dollar market. If Offerpad can grow its volume to several times the current level and do so profitably, it could easily grow 10X from here.</p>\n<h2>Expect a roller-coaster ride</h2>\n<p>As a final thought, it's important to emphasize that no stock with a 10X return potential is likely to be a smooth ride, and these two aren't exceptions. Even the now-huge tech behemoths like <b>Amazon </b>and <b>Apple</b> fell by more than 50% from their highs several times on the way to where they are today. Although both of these are down significantly in recent months, if market volatility continues, they could fall further.</p>\n<p>Having said that, I own both of these in my own stock portfolio for one simple reason -- they have <i>huge</i> growth opportunities, and I feel the risk/reward dynamic makes a lot of sense. But I'm invested in these because I think they could be huge in a decade or two, not for what they could do in the coming months.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Cheap Stocks With 10X Potential to Buy in 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Cheap Stocks With 10X Potential to Buy in 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-16 20:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/2-cheap-stocks-with-10x-potential-to-buy-in-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You've probably noticed that stock market volatility has picked up recently. That's especially true if you're invested in highly valued growth stocks, many of which have declined by 30%, 50%, or even ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/2-cheap-stocks-with-10x-potential-to-buy-in-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4121":"生命科学工具和服务","ME":"23andMe, Inc.","BK4007":"制药","OPAD":"Offerpad Solutions","GSK.UK":"葛兰素史克","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","GSK":"葛兰素史克"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/2-cheap-stocks-with-10x-potential-to-buy-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2191910948","content_text":"You've probably noticed that stock market volatility has picked up recently. That's especially true if you're invested in highly valued growth stocks, many of which have declined by 30%, 50%, or even more from their all-time highs.\nWhile nobody enjoys watching the value of their investments go down, periods of volatility like this one can create opportunities to get into long-term winners at a discount. Here are two, in particular, that have 10X growth potential (or possibly much more) that are at the top of my watch list as we head toward 2022.\nThis healthcare innovator has unlimited applications for its data\nMost people know 23andMe (NASDAQ:ME) for its home genetic-testing kits. While this is certainly the most consumer-facing side of the business, there's a lot more to the company than that.\nSpecifically, the data that its core genetic-testing business provides makes the company so interesting. 23andMe has a data library from nearly 12 million genotyped individuals. The next closest competitor has less than one-tenth of that.\nThis data could be leveraged to develop therapeutics, and 23andMe is doing exactly that with a 50/50 partnership with pharmaceutical-heavyweight GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Even one successful therapeutic could be worth billions, and the company has a promising development pipeline already.\nIn addition, 23andMe is still in the early stages of building out personalized healthcare products. And 75% of consumers say that they wish their healthcare experience was more personalized, so there's a massive opportunity to disrupt the industry over time. Thanks to the recent market decline, investors can buy shares for about 25% less than SPAC investors like Richard Branson paid earlier this year.\nCould this real estate disruptor change the way we buy and sell houses?\nOfferpad (NYSE:OPAD) is an iBuyer. If you aren't familiar, an iBuyer (or instant buyer) is a company that buys homes directly from sellers. The general idea is that by doing so, it removes most consumer pain points from the home-selling process.\nFor example, when you sell to an iBuyer, you won't have to find a real estate agent, allow countless showings, stage your home, make cosmetic repairs, etc. And perhaps most importantly, you can control the timeline. iBuyers can close homes in as little as three days from making an all-cash offer or can wait months, if that's what the seller needs.\nOfferpad is one of three companies that engage in iBuying on a large scale (the other two are Opendoor and Redfin, and although it isn't the biggest, it's found the best balance between growth and efficiency. Its unit economics -- the profit margin per home -- are the best in the industry.\nThe concept of iBuying is still pretty new, with less than 1% of all home sales in the U.S., but this is a multitrillion-dollar market. If Offerpad can grow its volume to several times the current level and do so profitably, it could easily grow 10X from here.\nExpect a roller-coaster ride\nAs a final thought, it's important to emphasize that no stock with a 10X return potential is likely to be a smooth ride, and these two aren't exceptions. Even the now-huge tech behemoths like Amazon and Apple fell by more than 50% from their highs several times on the way to where they are today. Although both of these are down significantly in recent months, if market volatility continues, they could fall further.\nHaving said that, I own both of these in my own stock portfolio for one simple reason -- they have huge growth opportunities, and I feel the risk/reward dynamic makes a lot of sense. But I'm invested in these because I think they could be huge in a decade or two, not for what they could do in the coming months.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855399133,"gmtCreate":1635332854864,"gmtModify":1635332855293,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Only paper hands will be crying over mini dips like this. If you can’t handle then just quit. Whatever that goes down, will come back up higher. Buy the dip ladies","listText":"Only paper hands will be crying over mini dips like this. If you can’t handle then just quit. Whatever that goes down, will come back up higher. Buy the dip ladies","text":"Only paper hands will be crying over mini dips like this. If you can’t handle then just quit. Whatever that goes down, will come back up higher. Buy the dip ladies","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855399133","repostId":"2178128766","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848633032,"gmtCreate":1635993223818,"gmtModify":1635993225296,"author":{"id":"3579266597292844","authorId":"3579266597292844","name":"LoneSurvivor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82eb7b56f99eff92f30a4ece3e5c96c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sold it right smack at the peak [Miser]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"Sold it right smack at the peak [Miser]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","text":"Sold it right smack at the peak [Miser] [LOL]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33498331b6861dcb2b5349c80923b364","width":"828","height":"1792"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848633032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}