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Yyangg

Yyangg

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2021-06-16

@agoyagiWhat’s new 🤔

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-16

[Smile]

2021-06-13

//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?

2 Crucial Lessons From Cathie Wood About Apple Stock

2021-06-12

First principles☝🏻

Opinion: Stock investors now have come to a cliff in the road — and options are limited

2021-06-11

China tech 🤙🏻 //@agoyagi:Didi, Grab and Gojek, which are you looking forward the most?

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2021-06-09

🤔

S&P 500 closes little changed as "meme stocks" extend rally

2021-06-08

[666]

Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections

2021-06-07

//@agoyagi:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

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2021-06-06

Bull or Bear?

2021-06-04

😂 //@agoyagi:Why is Palantir considered a meme stock 🤔

Wall Street analysts foresee a 40% drop in the average meme stock, led by an AMC wipeout

2021-06-03

//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?

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2021-05-31

Invest safe

Headed for the Moon? Make Sure You Avoid These 4 Big Cryptocurrency Scams

2021-05-30

Rumor has it, ooh

Tesla shares dip on recall rumors

2021-05-29

Is 2X worth the wait 🤔 //@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?

How Much Is Palantir Worth?

2021-05-27

//@agoyagi:Bubble formation?

In 2008, he was CEO of the biggest bank to ever fail. He's worried about another crisis

2021-05-26

Repost

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2021-05-24

[Smile]

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2021-05-23

//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?

4 reasons you may want to buy Apple ahead of its annual developers conference

2021-05-22

//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-20

@agoyagiGood read

Has The Moment Of Truth Arrived For Tesla's Stock?

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>What’s new 🤔","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>What’s new 🤔","text":"@agoyagiWhat’s new 🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160512609","repostId":"2143680537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160329765,"gmtCreate":1623773077757,"gmtModify":1631891863470,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160329765","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182914507,"gmtCreate":1623550435909,"gmtModify":1631891863472,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182914507","repostId":"1190309980","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190309980","pubTimestamp":1623411452,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190309980?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 19:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Crucial Lessons From Cathie Wood About Apple Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190309980","media":"The Street","summary":"Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest is not much of an investor in Apple stock. But the famed fund manager has offered valuable advice about the Cupertino company’s shares that is worth revisiting.In doing my daily research of Apple stock  -Get Report, I stumbled upon a gem from Ark Invest’s CEO, CIO and rockstar money manager Cathie Wood. In January 2016, during aninterviewwith CNBC, she was asked which stock seemed like a better buy at the time: AAPL or AMZN.Considering Apple stock’s loss of 5% in 2015, h","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest is not much of an investor in Apple stock. But the famed fund manager has offered valuable advice about the Cupertino company’s shares that is worth revisiting.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>In doing my daily research of Apple stock&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>) -Get Report, I stumbled upon a gem from Ark Invest’s CEO, CIO and rockstar money manager Cathie Wood. In January 2016, during aninterviewwith CNBC, she was asked which stock seemed like a better buy at the time: AAPL or AMZN.</p>\n<p>Considering Apple stock’s loss of 5% in 2015, her response was the following:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “At this moment, […] Apple might be, because […] the thinking there is so short term. […] Apple is going to become a big company, and [the stock] has been depressed recently by channel checks: how iPhone sales will do in the first quarter, or in the second quarter.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Since this interview, Apple share price climbed a whopping 400%-plus in just over five years.</p>\n<p><b>#1. Buying quality on weakness</b></p>\n<p>The first important lesson from Ms. Wood’s 2016 insight above is that high-quality companies, whose stocks are likely to climb over time, should be bought on weakness. The logic is simple: if the long-term trend is up, buy shares when the market is selling them at a discount.</p>\n<p>I put some numbers around this ideaa couple of months ago. Historically, it has made much more sense to buy AAPL when shares declined from a previous peak.</p>\n<p>The chart below shows the historical average one-year return in Apple stock under different scenarios. Notice that, the more shares dip, the higher the future returns have been.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8f3b347dced7ad7d67e5c7ef756c550\" tg-width=\"578\" tg-height=\"348\">Following the same logic, current Apple investors might be encouraged that the stock remains under water: 12% below the January 2021 top of $143. Should AAPL make fresh all-time highs soon, asI recently speculated that it could, returns for the remainder of the year may start to look appealing.</p>\n<p><b>#2. Filtering out short-term noise</b></p>\n<p>The second point made by Cathie Wood is at least as important. In her view, Apple stock was under pressure in 2015 and early 2016 due to short-term concerns over smartphone sales in the following couple of quarters, especially after the blockbuster release of the iPhone 6.</p>\n<p>In analyzing market movements, I believe it helps to think about the real drivers of share price: buyers and sellers of the stock. Sometimes, people on both sides of the transaction are more concerned about how a stock might perform in the near term, possibly hoping to make a quick buck – and this is just fine.</p>\n<p>In these cases, long-term buyers are probably better off ignoring “short term noise” about what sales or earnings might look like right around the corner. Better yet, they might want to take advantage of selling pressures created by short-term traders to enter a position at better prices.</p>\n<p>Apple might be faced with a similar setup in 2021. The chatter on Wall Street seems torevolve around the company’s follow throughto a successful pandemic year and launch of the first 5G-capable iPhone.</p>\n<p>But look beyond the next 12 months, and one might find it easier to make a bullish case on Apple stock. The company continues to grow revenues, expand margins, pile on cash, while it has yet to tap intoopportunities in mixed realityandautonomous vehicles.</p>\n<p><b>Twitter speaks</b></p>\n<p>Big Tech stocks like Amazon and Apple are a tiny piece of famed investor Cathie Wood’s ARK portfolios. In your view, which of the following FAAMG names would deserve higher allocation in a tech disrupter and innovator ETF? Leave your vote below on our partner's Twitter, @AmazonMaven.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/565580495c2d16818604c9b6d814b1db\" tg-width=\"582\" tg-height=\"480\"></p>\n<p><b>Is the price right?</b></p>\n<p>Looking at a company’s business fundamentals is only half the work needed to find a good stock. How much one pays to own the shares is a key factor in the success of any investment. This is why valuation analysis is so important.</p>\n<p>Alpha Spread’suser-friendly platform allows you to estimate a stock’s fair value –through valuation multiples, discounted cash flow, and more. I believe that the service is a must for anyone looking to own the right stock at the right price.Check out alphaspread.comand get started with a 7-day free trial.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Crucial Lessons From Cathie Wood About Apple Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Crucial Lessons From Cathie Wood About Apple Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 19:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/2-crucial-lessons-from-cathie-wood-about-apple-stock><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest is not much of an investor in Apple stock. But the famed fund manager has offered valuable advice about the Cupertino company’s shares that is worth revisiting.\n\nIn doing my ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/2-crucial-lessons-from-cathie-wood-about-apple-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/2-crucial-lessons-from-cathie-wood-about-apple-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190309980","content_text":"Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest is not much of an investor in Apple stock. But the famed fund manager has offered valuable advice about the Cupertino company’s shares that is worth revisiting.\n\nIn doing my daily research of Apple stock (AAPL) -Get Report, I stumbled upon a gem from Ark Invest’s CEO, CIO and rockstar money manager Cathie Wood. In January 2016, during aninterviewwith CNBC, she was asked which stock seemed like a better buy at the time: AAPL or AMZN.\nConsidering Apple stock’s loss of 5% in 2015, her response was the following:\n\n “At this moment, […] Apple might be, because […] the thinking there is so short term. […] Apple is going to become a big company, and [the stock] has been depressed recently by channel checks: how iPhone sales will do in the first quarter, or in the second quarter.”\n\nSince this interview, Apple share price climbed a whopping 400%-plus in just over five years.\n#1. Buying quality on weakness\nThe first important lesson from Ms. Wood’s 2016 insight above is that high-quality companies, whose stocks are likely to climb over time, should be bought on weakness. The logic is simple: if the long-term trend is up, buy shares when the market is selling them at a discount.\nI put some numbers around this ideaa couple of months ago. Historically, it has made much more sense to buy AAPL when shares declined from a previous peak.\nThe chart below shows the historical average one-year return in Apple stock under different scenarios. Notice that, the more shares dip, the higher the future returns have been.\nFollowing the same logic, current Apple investors might be encouraged that the stock remains under water: 12% below the January 2021 top of $143. Should AAPL make fresh all-time highs soon, asI recently speculated that it could, returns for the remainder of the year may start to look appealing.\n#2. Filtering out short-term noise\nThe second point made by Cathie Wood is at least as important. In her view, Apple stock was under pressure in 2015 and early 2016 due to short-term concerns over smartphone sales in the following couple of quarters, especially after the blockbuster release of the iPhone 6.\nIn analyzing market movements, I believe it helps to think about the real drivers of share price: buyers and sellers of the stock. Sometimes, people on both sides of the transaction are more concerned about how a stock might perform in the near term, possibly hoping to make a quick buck – and this is just fine.\nIn these cases, long-term buyers are probably better off ignoring “short term noise” about what sales or earnings might look like right around the corner. Better yet, they might want to take advantage of selling pressures created by short-term traders to enter a position at better prices.\nApple might be faced with a similar setup in 2021. The chatter on Wall Street seems torevolve around the company’s follow throughto a successful pandemic year and launch of the first 5G-capable iPhone.\nBut look beyond the next 12 months, and one might find it easier to make a bullish case on Apple stock. The company continues to grow revenues, expand margins, pile on cash, while it has yet to tap intoopportunities in mixed realityandautonomous vehicles.\nTwitter speaks\nBig Tech stocks like Amazon and Apple are a tiny piece of famed investor Cathie Wood’s ARK portfolios. In your view, which of the following FAAMG names would deserve higher allocation in a tech disrupter and innovator ETF? Leave your vote below on our partner's Twitter, @AmazonMaven.\n\nIs the price right?\nLooking at a company’s business fundamentals is only half the work needed to find a good stock. How much one pays to own the shares is a key factor in the success of any investment. This is why valuation analysis is so important.\nAlpha Spread’suser-friendly platform allows you to estimate a stock’s fair value –through valuation multiples, discounted cash flow, and more. I believe that the service is a must for anyone looking to own the right stock at the right price.Check out alphaspread.comand get started with a 7-day free trial.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188799953,"gmtCreate":1623461088172,"gmtModify":1631888692989,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"First principles☝🏻","listText":"First principles☝🏻","text":"First principles☝🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188799953","repostId":"1198311684","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198311684","pubTimestamp":1623415805,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198311684?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 20:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Stock investors now have come to a cliff in the road — and options are limited","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198311684","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Fundamental things haven’t applied to the U.S. market but that seems about to change.\n\nThe coronavir","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Fundamental things haven’t applied to the U.S. market but that seems about to change.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The coronavirus pandemic has been excellent for investors, but most now realize that the stock market’s extraordinary performance is not based on fundamentals, which ceased to matter some time ago.</p>\n<p>Central banks have been driving asset prices with massive liquidity infusions and zero interest rates. Consumption and corporate earnings are underpinned by large government transfer payments, fiscal stimulus and industry support.</p>\n<p>Will it last? The consensus is that most assets are overpriced. Prices ultimately are the present value of future cash flows. Authorities have manipulated the discount rate but altering underlying long-term cash flows, which are driven by the real economy, is more difficult. Low volatility, engineered by central banks, also encourages exuberant prices. At some stage, profligate government deficits may be reigned by either winding back spending or increasing taxes. These policies may also drive inflation, requiring tighter monetary policy and higher rates.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Currently high stock prices expose investors to the risk of a sudden correction, when the game of musical chairs stops unexpectedly. Given that almost all of the gains have been in price rather than income (dividends, interest, etc.), the vulnerability is exacerbated. The unstable structure of the financial system — high leverage, shadow banks, illiquidity, unresolved linkages, the rise in trend following investors — means that any problem may trigger a major adjustment.</p>\n<p>Investors’ options are limited. You could believe in the permanency of a “new normal.” Risky asset investments are then justified on the basis that authorities must ensure high- and rising asset prices, primarily as the alternative is too awful to contemplate. This assumes that policy options remain unconstrained indefinitely.</p>\n<p>Or investors can rely on momentum, essentially Keynes’ so-called beauty contest theory of investing, which anticipated today’s “meme stocks.” Successful investment requires investors to select the most popular faces among all judges, rather than those they may personally find the most attractive. The difficulty is knowing the judge’s mind and recognizing when to sell before the music stops.</p>\n<p>Third, investors can park their money in cash. This means accepting exceptionally low returns perhaps for a prolonged period and, worst of all, missing out on further gains.</p>\n<p>An alternative is to reposition defensively into assets or businesses with reliable income streams operating in essential industries or selling staples. These traditional “widows and orphans” investments are more difficult to find today. “Safe” government bonds now offer little income but high risk. Stock and property prices are highly correlated, reflecting investor behavior as well as the common reliance on leverage. More liquid and better-quality assets frequently come under selling pressure when leveraged investors need to raise cash. Today, just as a rising tide lifts all boats, a receding surge leaves everyone stranded.</p>\n<p>Fourth, investors can seek to benefit from higher inflation, switching to stocks that benefit from increasing prices. But the impact on equity prices will depend on whether it is profit inflation (that is, end-product prices rise) or cost inflation, including increases in wages. If it is the latter, then the squeeze on earnings may adversely affect equity valuations. Combined with higher rates, this may adversely affect stocks. Another alternative is inflation-linked securities, such as Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS) &nbsp;TIP,+0.52%&nbsp;or commodities.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Fifth, investors could go “off-piste,” believing that existing policies are unsustainable and the economic system is irredeemable broken. This favors crypto-currencies, precious metals or collectibles — non-traditional assets whose supply is naturally constrained. The ability of the state to confiscate, tax and regulate, as well as reliance on courts to enforce rights, complicates this quest for freedom.</p>\n<p>The ultra-rich and some high-net worth individuals have gone off-grid already by moving into private markets. Concerned about manipulated and gamified markets, they focus now on non-listed real businesses and assets as well as private debt, sacrificing liquidity and transparency for better economics, privacy and control. Unfortunately, these options are limited for ordinary individuals — a different form of inequality.</p>\n<p>Investors therefore face Hobson’s illusory choice, where only one thing is actually offered. They can lose by betting against price rises or that prices keep rising.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Policymakers, meanwhile, continue to compound decades of mistakes. They must now keep increasing debt and maintaining low rates in order to keep asset prices high. Government deficits are essential to maintaining economic activity. Kicking the can down the road is the only way to ensure that the day of reckoning is deferred — NIMTO (not in my term of office). This forces investors to go out further on the risk curve to generate returns.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Perhaps investors nowadays should stick to comedian Will Rogers’s famous investment advice: “Don’t gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up, then sell it. If it don’t go up, don’t buy it.”</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Stock investors now have come to a cliff in the road — and options are limited </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Stock investors now have come to a cliff in the road — and options are limited \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 20:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-investors-now-have-come-to-a-cliff-in-the-road-and-options-are-limited-11623375733?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fundamental things haven’t applied to the U.S. market but that seems about to change.\n\nThe coronavirus pandemic has been excellent for investors, but most now realize that the stock market’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-investors-now-have-come-to-a-cliff-in-the-road-and-options-are-limited-11623375733?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-investors-now-have-come-to-a-cliff-in-the-road-and-options-are-limited-11623375733?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198311684","content_text":"Fundamental things haven’t applied to the U.S. market but that seems about to change.\n\nThe coronavirus pandemic has been excellent for investors, but most now realize that the stock market’s extraordinary performance is not based on fundamentals, which ceased to matter some time ago.\nCentral banks have been driving asset prices with massive liquidity infusions and zero interest rates. Consumption and corporate earnings are underpinned by large government transfer payments, fiscal stimulus and industry support.\nWill it last? The consensus is that most assets are overpriced. Prices ultimately are the present value of future cash flows. Authorities have manipulated the discount rate but altering underlying long-term cash flows, which are driven by the real economy, is more difficult. Low volatility, engineered by central banks, also encourages exuberant prices. At some stage, profligate government deficits may be reigned by either winding back spending or increasing taxes. These policies may also drive inflation, requiring tighter monetary policy and higher rates. \nCurrently high stock prices expose investors to the risk of a sudden correction, when the game of musical chairs stops unexpectedly. Given that almost all of the gains have been in price rather than income (dividends, interest, etc.), the vulnerability is exacerbated. The unstable structure of the financial system — high leverage, shadow banks, illiquidity, unresolved linkages, the rise in trend following investors — means that any problem may trigger a major adjustment.\nInvestors’ options are limited. You could believe in the permanency of a “new normal.” Risky asset investments are then justified on the basis that authorities must ensure high- and rising asset prices, primarily as the alternative is too awful to contemplate. This assumes that policy options remain unconstrained indefinitely.\nOr investors can rely on momentum, essentially Keynes’ so-called beauty contest theory of investing, which anticipated today’s “meme stocks.” Successful investment requires investors to select the most popular faces among all judges, rather than those they may personally find the most attractive. The difficulty is knowing the judge’s mind and recognizing when to sell before the music stops.\nThird, investors can park their money in cash. This means accepting exceptionally low returns perhaps for a prolonged period and, worst of all, missing out on further gains.\nAn alternative is to reposition defensively into assets or businesses with reliable income streams operating in essential industries or selling staples. These traditional “widows and orphans” investments are more difficult to find today. “Safe” government bonds now offer little income but high risk. Stock and property prices are highly correlated, reflecting investor behavior as well as the common reliance on leverage. More liquid and better-quality assets frequently come under selling pressure when leveraged investors need to raise cash. Today, just as a rising tide lifts all boats, a receding surge leaves everyone stranded.\nFourth, investors can seek to benefit from higher inflation, switching to stocks that benefit from increasing prices. But the impact on equity prices will depend on whether it is profit inflation (that is, end-product prices rise) or cost inflation, including increases in wages. If it is the latter, then the squeeze on earnings may adversely affect equity valuations. Combined with higher rates, this may adversely affect stocks. Another alternative is inflation-linked securities, such as Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS)  TIP,+0.52% or commodities. \nFifth, investors could go “off-piste,” believing that existing policies are unsustainable and the economic system is irredeemable broken. This favors crypto-currencies, precious metals or collectibles — non-traditional assets whose supply is naturally constrained. The ability of the state to confiscate, tax and regulate, as well as reliance on courts to enforce rights, complicates this quest for freedom.\nThe ultra-rich and some high-net worth individuals have gone off-grid already by moving into private markets. Concerned about manipulated and gamified markets, they focus now on non-listed real businesses and assets as well as private debt, sacrificing liquidity and transparency for better economics, privacy and control. Unfortunately, these options are limited for ordinary individuals — a different form of inequality.\nInvestors therefore face Hobson’s illusory choice, where only one thing is actually offered. They can lose by betting against price rises or that prices keep rising. \nPolicymakers, meanwhile, continue to compound decades of mistakes. They must now keep increasing debt and maintaining low rates in order to keep asset prices high. Government deficits are essential to maintaining economic activity. Kicking the can down the road is the only way to ensure that the day of reckoning is deferred — NIMTO (not in my term of office). This forces investors to go out further on the risk curve to generate returns. \nPerhaps investors nowadays should stick to comedian Will Rogers’s famous investment advice: “Don’t gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up, then sell it. If it don’t go up, don’t buy it.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181940748,"gmtCreate":1623371772684,"gmtModify":1631884666512,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"China tech 🤙🏻&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Didi, Grab and Gojek, which are you looking forward the most?","listText":"China tech 🤙🏻&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Didi, Grab and Gojek, which are you looking forward the most?","text":"China tech 🤙🏻 //@agoyagi:Didi, Grab and Gojek, which are you looking forward the most?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181940748","repostId":"1152704038","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180807354,"gmtCreate":1623197216578,"gmtModify":1631891863480,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤔","listText":"🤔","text":"🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180807354","repostId":"1128909306","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128909306","pubTimestamp":1623193560,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128909306?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-09 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 closes little changed as \"meme stocks\" extend rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128909306","media":"reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks struggled to eke out closing gains on Tuesday as a lack of c","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks struggled to eke out closing gains on Tuesday as a lack of clear market catalysts kept institutional investors on the sidelines, while retail traders fueled the ongoing meme stocks rally.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the range-bound session near flat or higher, with the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow closing within about 0.5% of record highs.</p><p>The tech-laded Nasdaq Composite fared best, with Amazon.com Inc and Apple Inc providing the biggest boost.</p><p>“We’re waiting for inflation numbers, waiting for more from the (Federal Reserve), waiting for earnings season,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “There’s not a lot motivating the market today.”</p><p>“We’re in this twilight zone until probably right after the Fourth of July, when we see earnings season kick in,” Nolte added.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, a measure of investor anxiety, touched its lowest level in over a year.</p><p>Smallcaps, once again buoyed by the ongoing meme stock retail frenzy, were outperforming their larger counterparts.</p><p>Clover Health Investments seized top billing among meme stocks, surging 85.8%, the biggest percentage winner in the Nasdaq.</p><p>Other stocks whose recent explosive trading volumes have been attributed to social media buzz, including GameStop Corp, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc, Workhorse Group and others, ended the session between 7% and 12% higher.</p><p>“(Meme stocks) are where the action is, but you flip it over and look crypto and that’s a mess,” Nolte said. “Now the meme stocks are taking over from crypto as the place to be and it’s all a consequence of very easy monetary policy.”</p><p>Reports from the U.S. Labor Department and National Federation of Independent Business appeared to confirm a labor shortage even as demand roars back to life, which could put upward pressure on wages, a precursor to wider inflation.</p><p>Market participants look to Thursday’s consumer price index data for further clues regarding inflation, and how it could influence the Federal Reserve’s timetable for tightening its monetary policy.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 30.42 points, or 0.09%, to 34,599.82; the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.74 points, or 0.02%, at 4,227.26; and the Nasdaq Composite added 43.19 points, or 0.31%, at 13,924.91.</p><p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer discretionary enjoyed the biggest percentage gain, and utilities suffered the largest loss.</p><p>Sales of Tesla Inc’s China-made electric cars jumped in May by 29%, marking a 177% year-on-year increase, according to the China Passenger Car Association. The stock erased initial gains on the news to close down 0.3%.</p><p>Boeing Co shares were boosted by Southwest Airlines’ announcement that it had ordered 34 new 737 MAX aircraft, but the planemaker’s shares pared gains to end the session flat.</p><p>GameStop, the company most closely associated with the Reddit-driven short squeeze phenomenon, is expected to report quarterly results after markets close on Wednesday.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.74-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 54 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 172 new highs and 16 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.82 billion shares, compared with the 10.75 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","source":"lsy1601381805984","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 closes little changed as \"meme stocks\" extend rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 closes little changed as \"meme stocks\" extend rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 07:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-closes-little-changed-as-meme-stocks-extend-rally-idUSL2N2NQ2NX><strong>reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks struggled to eke out closing gains on Tuesday as a lack of clear market catalysts kept institutional investors on the sidelines, while retail traders fueled the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-closes-little-changed-as-meme-stocks-extend-rally-idUSL2N2NQ2NX\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-closes-little-changed-as-meme-stocks-extend-rally-idUSL2N2NQ2NX","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128909306","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks struggled to eke out closing gains on Tuesday as a lack of clear market catalysts kept institutional investors on the sidelines, while retail traders fueled the ongoing meme stocks rally.All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the range-bound session near flat or higher, with the S&P 500 and the Dow closing within about 0.5% of record highs.The tech-laded Nasdaq Composite fared best, with Amazon.com Inc and Apple Inc providing the biggest boost.“We’re waiting for inflation numbers, waiting for more from the (Federal Reserve), waiting for earnings season,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “There’s not a lot motivating the market today.”“We’re in this twilight zone until probably right after the Fourth of July, when we see earnings season kick in,” Nolte added.The CBOE volatility index, a measure of investor anxiety, touched its lowest level in over a year.Smallcaps, once again buoyed by the ongoing meme stock retail frenzy, were outperforming their larger counterparts.Clover Health Investments seized top billing among meme stocks, surging 85.8%, the biggest percentage winner in the Nasdaq.Other stocks whose recent explosive trading volumes have been attributed to social media buzz, including GameStop Corp, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc, Workhorse Group and others, ended the session between 7% and 12% higher.“(Meme stocks) are where the action is, but you flip it over and look crypto and that’s a mess,” Nolte said. “Now the meme stocks are taking over from crypto as the place to be and it’s all a consequence of very easy monetary policy.”Reports from the U.S. Labor Department and National Federation of Independent Business appeared to confirm a labor shortage even as demand roars back to life, which could put upward pressure on wages, a precursor to wider inflation.Market participants look to Thursday’s consumer price index data for further clues regarding inflation, and how it could influence the Federal Reserve’s timetable for tightening its monetary policy.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 30.42 points, or 0.09%, to 34,599.82; the S&P 500 gained 0.74 points, or 0.02%, at 4,227.26; and the Nasdaq Composite added 43.19 points, or 0.31%, at 13,924.91.Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer discretionary enjoyed the biggest percentage gain, and utilities suffered the largest loss.Sales of Tesla Inc’s China-made electric cars jumped in May by 29%, marking a 177% year-on-year increase, according to the China Passenger Car Association. The stock erased initial gains on the news to close down 0.3%.Boeing Co shares were boosted by Southwest Airlines’ announcement that it had ordered 34 new 737 MAX aircraft, but the planemaker’s shares pared gains to end the session flat.GameStop, the company most closely associated with the Reddit-driven short squeeze phenomenon, is expected to report quarterly results after markets close on Wednesday.Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.74-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 54 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 172 new highs and 16 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.82 billion shares, compared with the 10.75 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117937280,"gmtCreate":1623113021840,"gmtModify":1631891863482,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[666]&nbsp;","listText":"[666]&nbsp;","text":"[666]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117937280","repostId":"1133174841","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133174841","pubTimestamp":1623078982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133174841?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-07 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133174841","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nFirst, I look at Palantir's price action this year.\nSecond, I examine PLTR's growth project","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>First, I look at Palantir's price action this year.</li>\n <li>Second, I examine PLTR's growth projections.</li>\n <li>Third, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group.</li>\n <li>Lastly, I give my thoughts on price projections out through 2025.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>First, I look at Palantir's(NYSE:PLTR)price action this year. I provide some quick thoughts on what I've seen. Second, I look into PLTR's growth projections. I believe the aggression is hidden and I reveal why I feel that way. Third, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group, and what that means going forward, especially in light of revenue growth into 2025. Lastly, I revisit the topic of price but also price projections for investors.</p>\n<p><b>Rollercoaster</b></p>\n<p>Here's what's happened thus far in 2021.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db04b39e358c9cdec5bc2d02251bd13\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The summary is simple. We are back where we started in January. If you bought and then closed your eyes, you would have gone absolutely nowhere. And, if your eyes were wide open, you would have experienced rather significant volatility, bouncing up against $39 but also muddling through $18. It goes without saying that PLTR has moved 50% top to bottom. But, importantly, we are back where we started.</p>\n<p>Now, here's where it gets interesting, because just putting money into the NASDAQ (QQQ) would give you superior returns with far less stomach-churning volatility. I'm not concerned with owning QQQ. I'm more than happy to own PLTR because, as I'll show later, it's likely to 5x my investment from this point in time. In any case, take a look at the relative calm of QQQ.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5563cce1afd961f1fe70a3ad7af88891\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Here I want to add another layer of paint. We started with PLTR itself, then added QQQ. What happens when we go back in time to PLTR's direct listing?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/804f2c567c89bab14a62ee5b333631bb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This is the picture that matters most to me. Here's what this means in simple terms, which is what works best in my mind. If you bought early, nothing really happened for a few weeks but then PLTR really took off. Therefore, early investors -<i>like me</i>- took the risk and have benefitted greatly despite all volatility after the directly public offering. With a long view, volatility is not a threat or a \"risk\", but instead, it's an opportunity to buy low.</p>\n<p>In any case, if you started buying in 2021, then you're slightly behind versus the market but your investment certainly isn't trash. Furthermore, if you literally bought in the early part of 2021, and you held, then nothing bad has occurred. You are up. Again, volatility shakes out the weak hands. Long term, volatility is just noise - the price gets more and more smooth, year by year.</p>\n<p>Here's the insight. Buying and holding PLTR has worked out fine, even spectacularly, unless you bought during the big spikes in January, February, and March. Of course, if you traded against PLTR by shorting and buying puts during those times, you did fine. That's not my game, but I can see why it appeals to traders.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, here's the key: For long-term buy-and-hold investors, PLTR is moving along just fine. Perhaps it's not winning like crazy in terms of price, but it's not exactly losing either. Our horizon is long and strong.</p>\n<p>There Is a Disturbance in the Force</p>\n<p>I'm rather surprised that there hasn't been more focus on PLTR's big picture projections. Specifically, I am talking about this:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56383c3eaaea1d58abb1307e4fde30c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source:PLTR Q4 Business Update Presentation</p>\n<p>See the numbers there?<i>Revenue of $4 billion or more in 2025</i>.</p>\n<p>We also know that PLTR grew Q1 2021 revenue by49% year-over-year, generating $341 million across government and commercial segments. That's above the 45% revenue growth previously projected. That's a run rate of $800 million for 2021. And, for Q2 2021, revenue growth is expected to be 43%, which translates to $360 million.</p>\n<p>Those numbers for 2021 are fine and dandy and useful to hear. However, what I like more is that PLTR expects 30% growth in 2021 and the next four years. Yes, there's an implication of growth slowing in H2 of 2021, I see that too. However, we can run some pretty simple calculus with these numbers.</p>\n<p>First, we can start with the $800 million projection for 2021, check it against the 30% growth expectations. Here's how it lines up.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2021 = $800 million</li>\n <li>2022 = $1,040 million (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $1,350 million (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $1,760 million (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $2,300 million (30% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In other words, when we start with $800 million for 2021, it's pretty obvious that the 30% growth doesn't cut it. We cannot reach $4 billion by 2025 with \"only\" 30% growth. PLTR is perhapssandbaggingto keep expectations lower. It's hard to know for sure. It could also be that they expect faster growth in 2022 through 2025. Let's run these numbers again with 40% growth.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2021 = $800 million</li>\n <li>2022 = $1,120 million (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $1,570 million (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $2,195 million (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $3,070 million (40% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Once again, even with 40% year-over-year growth, we do not reach the $4 billion projected for 2025. Now, here's the first thing I want to point out about this oddity. My numbers might be wrong. My math might be too simple. I understand that possibility, but what this tells me is that PLTR has a different view of growth than my \"straight line\" projections. They are predators, but they are cautious too.</p>\n<p>What happens if we go a little crazy and use 49%, which is what PLTR achieved in Q1 2021. That's nearly 50% growth, of course. Here's how it looks using the same approach I've been using above.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2021 = $800 million</li>\n <li>2022 = $1,200 million (49% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $1,776 million (49% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $2,246 million (49% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $3,943 million (49% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Hopefully, now it's clear why I'm so surprised that this hasn't been given more attention. While I realize I'm using \"straight line\" projections year-over-year, I'm kind of shocked that these assumptions and projections haven't been better analyzed until now. The numbers are obvious and simple, and coming straight from PLTR.</p>\n<p>Again, maybe I've got something wrong here, but to achieve $4 billion in revenue in 2025,<i>PLTR is going to have to grow by 50% every year</i>, from 2022 through 2025. That's an empirical necessity. Therefore, either PLTR is dead wrong and cannot achieve $4 billion in revenue, or perhaps they expect growth to be 50% year-over-year, or maybe that growth will be 40%, then 50%, then even higher. That is, they expect growth to accelerate.</p>\n<p>I don't believe that PLTR would knowingly publish expectations of $4 billion in 2025 without strong conviction. That is to say, it doesn't appear to be aspirational given their relatively cautious and conservative leadership. After all, theywaited 17 years to go public. Plus, with their load of government customers, it's not like they can fly by the seat of their pants. It is not in their DNA or the culture of the business from what I've seen.</p>\n<p>Peers and Price</p>\n<p>Here we take an interesting turn. Although I've written about PLTR many times, I haven't revealed something publicly before. Specifically, I have direct experience with a defense contractor. To be even more precise, I worked inside a defense contractor in a privileged position with access to an amazing crew of programmers, engineers, and technicians. That experience gave me a direct, hands-on, real-world view of how government contracting works, how the government embraces technology, and how the pieces and parts are all stitched together. I'll stop short at this point; I can't provide more details.</p>\n<p>What I can tell you is that my previous work experience has helped me take a long view on PLTR. To wit, I bought PLTR early and I haven't sold a single share. Furthermore, as you might know already, I've boughtPLTR LEAPS.</p>\n<p>Additionally, I've had several people reach out to me 1-to-1 about PLTR, including their experiences and their views. During one of these exchanges, a high ranking official and I came to agree on PLTR's peer group. I'm certainly not talking about true competitors here. I'm very specifically talking about reasonable<i>comparisons</i>for the sake of valuation. I'm talking about the general vibe of data analytics at enterprise scale, user behavior analytics, data frameworks, and so on, and so forth. Here's the list:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Snowflake (SNOW)</li>\n <li>Alteryx (AYX)</li>\n <li>Datadog (DDOG)</li>\n <li>Salesforce (CRM)</li>\n <li>Splunk (SPLK)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It's not necessary to agree on all of these. Instead, these are merely a reasonable cluster of companies that have similar characteristics to PLTR, although I would offer that<i>none of them would be a true direct peer</i>. I do not see even a single company that is as rich and robust as PLTR, nevertheless, we need something of a \"peer group\" to move forward.</p>\n<p>Now, with this in mind, here's how we'll proceed. Since PLTR is so newly listed and it's relatively young on the public market, I will keep things simple. I'm very interested in earnings and profits, of course, but here I want to simply compare PLTR on the basis of sales. Therefore, I feel it's somewhat rational to compare PLTR using price-to-sales. Here's how PLTR stacks up.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c77f9e680346dc75cdad7e6073ba1c40\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"487\">Being really simple here, PLTR gets just 30-35% the P/S of SNOW. However, it gets triple that of CRM. That's quite a spread. Then again, SNOW is expecting 120% revenue growth in 2021 and86% in 2022. Right now, on the high end, SNOW has the growth edge. I am unclear about how that growth plays out into 2023, 2024, and 2025. I suspect the law of large numbers will kick in, and growth will slow. We'll see. Meanwhile, CRM is a large yet fast-growing company, clocking in with an impressive24% year-over-year revenue gain.</p>\n<p>I believe that SNOW's high growth rate will fall, as I hinted at above. Perhaps down into the 50-60% range over the next few years. We'll see. And, I believe that CRM will likely maintain a 22-25% growth rate. However, per PLTR's projections of $4 billion, I see growth above 30%. In fact, I see compound annual growth at 45-50%.</p>\n<p>In a funny way, all that doesn't even matter much. That's because the story I see is that PLTR doesn't need to massively grow beyond what we're already seeing. If we merely assume that PLTR can basically hang on to the growth it's getting right now - without any slowdown or acceleration - we can do some fun back-of-the-napkin math. The P/S ratios give us an indication that PLTR is trading at a price that is about right given its peers at this point in time. I'm not interested in SNOW vs. PLTR, or CRM vs. PLTR. I'm merely pointing out that PLTR's P/S is relatively rational given its growth. We can pivot a bit now.</p>\n<p>Here's another picture in my mind. If you take CRM and AYX, for example, both of which have a longer history than SNOW or PLTR, you can see that growing revenues translate to strongly growing stock prices. Furthermore, and more importantly, price growth roughly stays around revenue growth. Clearly, it's not perfect, but it sure looks highly correlated to me; 400% growth in AYX, and 150% growth in CRM. Timing matters here, of course, but the general trends here are telling.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20e55c201426815f58f411103f705b88\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\">This makes me feel comfortable making some broad generalizations. I'm going to give year-by-year price ranges for PLTR given 30-50% growth rates. This is supported by what I've seen in PLTR's peer group, whereby P/S makes sense given growth rates, and the revenue growth vs. share price growth seems to mirror each other fairly well. I'm not trying to be exactly right here. I'm looking for potentiality, given publicly available information.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Today = $24</li>\n <li>2022 = $31 (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $41 (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $52 (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $69 (30% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Now, let's juice the growth to 40%.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Today = $24</li>\n <li>2022 = $34 (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $47 (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $66 (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $92 (40% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>I still don't think that's accurate per my discussion up above. To achieve $4 billion in revenue, PLTR needs to hit about 50% growth every year. I'm going \"straight line\" again, with no assumptions about increasing or decreasing growth along the way. Again, I'm keeping this simple and easy. Here's how the price looks at that level of growth:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Today = $24</li>\n <li>2022 = $36 (50% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $54 (50% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $81 (50% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $122 (50% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Perspective Is Everything</b></p>\n<p>Clearly, it's possible to be happy or sad about PLTR's price depending on when you bought. It would be understandable to be frustrated with PLTR if you bought around in the $35-45 range. On the other hand, if you bought down around $10-15, then you're probably feeling just fine. This isn't just how it works with PLTR, of course. Nevertheless, it's a healthy reminder.</p>\n<p>In the past, I've said I believe that PLTR will hit $75 by 2023. Even my relatively aggressive numbers above with 50% growth do not hit $75 in 2023, and in fact, I'm seeing $54 in 2023. However, here's the critical point. I still believe that PLTR is likely to hit $70-75 in 2023. I don't expect it to hold that price for long, but I do think because it's a growth company and because news and contacts are \"lumpy\" that we'll see spikes into the $70-75 range. Yet, since I don't trade, I'm fine sticking with my $50-55 normalized target. After all, I'm still doubling my money from this point. And it'll actually be about 5x my original investment in 2023 and 8-10x by 2025. I'm looking ahead about 3-4 years, and I'm seeing a 10-bagger for myself, given my cost basis. For most investors, PLTR appears to be an easy hold, and in fact, I think at $22-25, PLTR is a rational buy right now. I'd be far less interested in buying if the price spiked to $35 or above unless I was trading short-term options.</p>\n<p>And finally, what I'm seeing indicates that<i>PLTR is sandbagging on growth</i>, otherwise, its $4 billion in 2023 would have been revised downward. Therefore, given that large revenue target, I think it's safe to assume that PLTR actually must expect 45-50% growth, not the lower projection of 30%+ revenue growth as they have indicated in theQ4 2020andQ1 2021Earnings Call presentations. In short, I place my bets on more growth, not less. If that's true, the price will easily hold. Or, more likely, the price moves upward more aggressively over the coming years.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433292-palantir-sandbagging-growth-projections><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nFirst, I look at Palantir's price action this year.\nSecond, I examine PLTR's growth projections.\nThird, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group.\nLastly, I give my ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433292-palantir-sandbagging-growth-projections\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433292-palantir-sandbagging-growth-projections","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1133174841","content_text":"Summary\n\nFirst, I look at Palantir's price action this year.\nSecond, I examine PLTR's growth projections.\nThird, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group.\nLastly, I give my thoughts on price projections out through 2025.\n\nFirst, I look at Palantir's(NYSE:PLTR)price action this year. I provide some quick thoughts on what I've seen. Second, I look into PLTR's growth projections. I believe the aggression is hidden and I reveal why I feel that way. Third, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group, and what that means going forward, especially in light of revenue growth into 2025. Lastly, I revisit the topic of price but also price projections for investors.\nRollercoaster\nHere's what's happened thus far in 2021.\nThe summary is simple. We are back where we started in January. If you bought and then closed your eyes, you would have gone absolutely nowhere. And, if your eyes were wide open, you would have experienced rather significant volatility, bouncing up against $39 but also muddling through $18. It goes without saying that PLTR has moved 50% top to bottom. But, importantly, we are back where we started.\nNow, here's where it gets interesting, because just putting money into the NASDAQ (QQQ) would give you superior returns with far less stomach-churning volatility. I'm not concerned with owning QQQ. I'm more than happy to own PLTR because, as I'll show later, it's likely to 5x my investment from this point in time. In any case, take a look at the relative calm of QQQ.\nHere I want to add another layer of paint. We started with PLTR itself, then added QQQ. What happens when we go back in time to PLTR's direct listing?\nThis is the picture that matters most to me. Here's what this means in simple terms, which is what works best in my mind. If you bought early, nothing really happened for a few weeks but then PLTR really took off. Therefore, early investors -like me- took the risk and have benefitted greatly despite all volatility after the directly public offering. With a long view, volatility is not a threat or a \"risk\", but instead, it's an opportunity to buy low.\nIn any case, if you started buying in 2021, then you're slightly behind versus the market but your investment certainly isn't trash. Furthermore, if you literally bought in the early part of 2021, and you held, then nothing bad has occurred. You are up. Again, volatility shakes out the weak hands. Long term, volatility is just noise - the price gets more and more smooth, year by year.\nHere's the insight. Buying and holding PLTR has worked out fine, even spectacularly, unless you bought during the big spikes in January, February, and March. Of course, if you traded against PLTR by shorting and buying puts during those times, you did fine. That's not my game, but I can see why it appeals to traders.\nNevertheless, here's the key: For long-term buy-and-hold investors, PLTR is moving along just fine. Perhaps it's not winning like crazy in terms of price, but it's not exactly losing either. Our horizon is long and strong.\nThere Is a Disturbance in the Force\nI'm rather surprised that there hasn't been more focus on PLTR's big picture projections. Specifically, I am talking about this:\nSource:PLTR Q4 Business Update Presentation\nSee the numbers there?Revenue of $4 billion or more in 2025.\nWe also know that PLTR grew Q1 2021 revenue by49% year-over-year, generating $341 million across government and commercial segments. That's above the 45% revenue growth previously projected. That's a run rate of $800 million for 2021. And, for Q2 2021, revenue growth is expected to be 43%, which translates to $360 million.\nThose numbers for 2021 are fine and dandy and useful to hear. However, what I like more is that PLTR expects 30% growth in 2021 and the next four years. Yes, there's an implication of growth slowing in H2 of 2021, I see that too. However, we can run some pretty simple calculus with these numbers.\nFirst, we can start with the $800 million projection for 2021, check it against the 30% growth expectations. Here's how it lines up.\n\n2021 = $800 million\n2022 = $1,040 million (30% growth)\n2023 = $1,350 million (30% growth)\n2024 = $1,760 million (30% growth)\n2025 = $2,300 million (30% growth)\n\nIn other words, when we start with $800 million for 2021, it's pretty obvious that the 30% growth doesn't cut it. We cannot reach $4 billion by 2025 with \"only\" 30% growth. PLTR is perhapssandbaggingto keep expectations lower. It's hard to know for sure. It could also be that they expect faster growth in 2022 through 2025. Let's run these numbers again with 40% growth.\n\n2021 = $800 million\n2022 = $1,120 million (40% growth)\n2023 = $1,570 million (40% growth)\n2024 = $2,195 million (40% growth)\n2025 = $3,070 million (40% growth)\n\nOnce again, even with 40% year-over-year growth, we do not reach the $4 billion projected for 2025. Now, here's the first thing I want to point out about this oddity. My numbers might be wrong. My math might be too simple. I understand that possibility, but what this tells me is that PLTR has a different view of growth than my \"straight line\" projections. They are predators, but they are cautious too.\nWhat happens if we go a little crazy and use 49%, which is what PLTR achieved in Q1 2021. That's nearly 50% growth, of course. Here's how it looks using the same approach I've been using above.\n\n2021 = $800 million\n2022 = $1,200 million (49% growth)\n2023 = $1,776 million (49% growth)\n2024 = $2,246 million (49% growth)\n2025 = $3,943 million (49% growth)\n\nHopefully, now it's clear why I'm so surprised that this hasn't been given more attention. While I realize I'm using \"straight line\" projections year-over-year, I'm kind of shocked that these assumptions and projections haven't been better analyzed until now. The numbers are obvious and simple, and coming straight from PLTR.\nAgain, maybe I've got something wrong here, but to achieve $4 billion in revenue in 2025,PLTR is going to have to grow by 50% every year, from 2022 through 2025. That's an empirical necessity. Therefore, either PLTR is dead wrong and cannot achieve $4 billion in revenue, or perhaps they expect growth to be 50% year-over-year, or maybe that growth will be 40%, then 50%, then even higher. That is, they expect growth to accelerate.\nI don't believe that PLTR would knowingly publish expectations of $4 billion in 2025 without strong conviction. That is to say, it doesn't appear to be aspirational given their relatively cautious and conservative leadership. After all, theywaited 17 years to go public. Plus, with their load of government customers, it's not like they can fly by the seat of their pants. It is not in their DNA or the culture of the business from what I've seen.\nPeers and Price\nHere we take an interesting turn. Although I've written about PLTR many times, I haven't revealed something publicly before. Specifically, I have direct experience with a defense contractor. To be even more precise, I worked inside a defense contractor in a privileged position with access to an amazing crew of programmers, engineers, and technicians. That experience gave me a direct, hands-on, real-world view of how government contracting works, how the government embraces technology, and how the pieces and parts are all stitched together. I'll stop short at this point; I can't provide more details.\nWhat I can tell you is that my previous work experience has helped me take a long view on PLTR. To wit, I bought PLTR early and I haven't sold a single share. Furthermore, as you might know already, I've boughtPLTR LEAPS.\nAdditionally, I've had several people reach out to me 1-to-1 about PLTR, including their experiences and their views. During one of these exchanges, a high ranking official and I came to agree on PLTR's peer group. I'm certainly not talking about true competitors here. I'm very specifically talking about reasonablecomparisonsfor the sake of valuation. I'm talking about the general vibe of data analytics at enterprise scale, user behavior analytics, data frameworks, and so on, and so forth. Here's the list:\n\nSnowflake (SNOW)\nAlteryx (AYX)\nDatadog (DDOG)\nSalesforce (CRM)\nSplunk (SPLK)\n\nIt's not necessary to agree on all of these. Instead, these are merely a reasonable cluster of companies that have similar characteristics to PLTR, although I would offer thatnone of them would be a true direct peer. I do not see even a single company that is as rich and robust as PLTR, nevertheless, we need something of a \"peer group\" to move forward.\nNow, with this in mind, here's how we'll proceed. Since PLTR is so newly listed and it's relatively young on the public market, I will keep things simple. I'm very interested in earnings and profits, of course, but here I want to simply compare PLTR on the basis of sales. Therefore, I feel it's somewhat rational to compare PLTR using price-to-sales. Here's how PLTR stacks up.\nBeing really simple here, PLTR gets just 30-35% the P/S of SNOW. However, it gets triple that of CRM. That's quite a spread. Then again, SNOW is expecting 120% revenue growth in 2021 and86% in 2022. Right now, on the high end, SNOW has the growth edge. I am unclear about how that growth plays out into 2023, 2024, and 2025. I suspect the law of large numbers will kick in, and growth will slow. We'll see. Meanwhile, CRM is a large yet fast-growing company, clocking in with an impressive24% year-over-year revenue gain.\nI believe that SNOW's high growth rate will fall, as I hinted at above. Perhaps down into the 50-60% range over the next few years. We'll see. And, I believe that CRM will likely maintain a 22-25% growth rate. However, per PLTR's projections of $4 billion, I see growth above 30%. In fact, I see compound annual growth at 45-50%.\nIn a funny way, all that doesn't even matter much. That's because the story I see is that PLTR doesn't need to massively grow beyond what we're already seeing. If we merely assume that PLTR can basically hang on to the growth it's getting right now - without any slowdown or acceleration - we can do some fun back-of-the-napkin math. The P/S ratios give us an indication that PLTR is trading at a price that is about right given its peers at this point in time. I'm not interested in SNOW vs. PLTR, or CRM vs. PLTR. I'm merely pointing out that PLTR's P/S is relatively rational given its growth. We can pivot a bit now.\nHere's another picture in my mind. If you take CRM and AYX, for example, both of which have a longer history than SNOW or PLTR, you can see that growing revenues translate to strongly growing stock prices. Furthermore, and more importantly, price growth roughly stays around revenue growth. Clearly, it's not perfect, but it sure looks highly correlated to me; 400% growth in AYX, and 150% growth in CRM. Timing matters here, of course, but the general trends here are telling.\nThis makes me feel comfortable making some broad generalizations. I'm going to give year-by-year price ranges for PLTR given 30-50% growth rates. This is supported by what I've seen in PLTR's peer group, whereby P/S makes sense given growth rates, and the revenue growth vs. share price growth seems to mirror each other fairly well. I'm not trying to be exactly right here. I'm looking for potentiality, given publicly available information.\n\nToday = $24\n2022 = $31 (30% growth)\n2023 = $41 (30% growth)\n2024 = $52 (30% growth)\n2025 = $69 (30% growth)\n\nNow, let's juice the growth to 40%.\n\nToday = $24\n2022 = $34 (40% growth)\n2023 = $47 (40% growth)\n2024 = $66 (40% growth)\n2025 = $92 (40% growth)\n\nI still don't think that's accurate per my discussion up above. To achieve $4 billion in revenue, PLTR needs to hit about 50% growth every year. I'm going \"straight line\" again, with no assumptions about increasing or decreasing growth along the way. Again, I'm keeping this simple and easy. Here's how the price looks at that level of growth:\n\nToday = $24\n2022 = $36 (50% growth)\n2023 = $54 (50% growth)\n2024 = $81 (50% growth)\n2025 = $122 (50% growth)\n\nPerspective Is Everything\nClearly, it's possible to be happy or sad about PLTR's price depending on when you bought. It would be understandable to be frustrated with PLTR if you bought around in the $35-45 range. On the other hand, if you bought down around $10-15, then you're probably feeling just fine. This isn't just how it works with PLTR, of course. Nevertheless, it's a healthy reminder.\nIn the past, I've said I believe that PLTR will hit $75 by 2023. Even my relatively aggressive numbers above with 50% growth do not hit $75 in 2023, and in fact, I'm seeing $54 in 2023. However, here's the critical point. I still believe that PLTR is likely to hit $70-75 in 2023. I don't expect it to hold that price for long, but I do think because it's a growth company and because news and contacts are \"lumpy\" that we'll see spikes into the $70-75 range. Yet, since I don't trade, I'm fine sticking with my $50-55 normalized target. After all, I'm still doubling my money from this point. And it'll actually be about 5x my original investment in 2023 and 8-10x by 2025. I'm looking ahead about 3-4 years, and I'm seeing a 10-bagger for myself, given my cost basis. For most investors, PLTR appears to be an easy hold, and in fact, I think at $22-25, PLTR is a rational buy right now. I'd be far less interested in buying if the price spiked to $35 or above unless I was trading short-term options.\nAnd finally, what I'm seeing indicates thatPLTR is sandbagging on growth, otherwise, its $4 billion in 2023 would have been revised downward. Therefore, given that large revenue target, I think it's safe to assume that PLTR actually must expect 45-50% growth, not the lower projection of 30%+ revenue growth as they have indicated in theQ4 2020andQ1 2021Earnings Call presentations. In short, I place my bets on more growth, not less. If that's true, the price will easily hold. Or, more likely, the price moves upward more aggressively over the coming years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114909276,"gmtCreate":1623039852195,"gmtModify":1631891863490,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"//@agoyagi:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114909276","repostId":"2141428145","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115075318,"gmtCreate":1622944516634,"gmtModify":1631891863491,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bull or Bear?","listText":"Bull or Bear?","text":"Bull or Bear?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115075318","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116516200,"gmtCreate":1622811344300,"gmtModify":1631891863494,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😂&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Why is Palantir considered a meme stock 🤔","listText":"😂&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Why is Palantir considered a meme stock 🤔","text":"😂 //@agoyagi:Why is Palantir considered a meme stock 🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116516200","repostId":"1150102285","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1150102285","pubTimestamp":1622730969,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150102285?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street analysts foresee a 40% drop in the average meme stock, led by an AMC wipeout","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150102285","media":"CNBC","summary":"Meme stocks are popping this week, but Wall Street analysts who study the fundamentals believe big d","content":"<div>\n<p>Meme stocks are popping this week, but Wall Street analysts who study the fundamentals believe big declines are looming.\nSpeculative trading from retail investors, many active on Reddit’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/03/wall-street-analysts-foresee-a-40percent-drop-in-the-average-meme-stock-led-by-an-amc-wipeout.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street analysts foresee a 40% drop in the average meme stock, led by an AMC wipeout</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street analysts foresee a 40% drop in the average meme stock, led by an AMC wipeout\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 22:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/03/wall-street-analysts-foresee-a-40percent-drop-in-the-average-meme-stock-led-by-an-amc-wipeout.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Meme stocks are popping this week, but Wall Street analysts who study the fundamentals believe big declines are looming.\nSpeculative trading from retail investors, many active on Reddit’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/03/wall-street-analysts-foresee-a-40percent-drop-in-the-average-meme-stock-led-by-an-amc-wipeout.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","BBBY":"3B家居","AMC":"AMC院线","EXPR":"Express, Inc.","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/03/wall-street-analysts-foresee-a-40percent-drop-in-the-average-meme-stock-led-by-an-amc-wipeout.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1150102285","content_text":"Meme stocks are popping this week, but Wall Street analysts who study the fundamentals believe big declines are looming.\nSpeculative trading from retail investors, many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum, are taking these meme stocks to new heights. The stocks include AMC Entertainment,GameStop,BlackBerry and Bed Bath & Beyond.\nAMC shares closed at an all-time high of $62.55 on Wednesday, but the average 12-month target price of analysts is 91.8% lower, according to FactSet.\n“AMC has survived the pandemic but comes out the other end massively diluted and still over-levered,” Alan Gould of Loop Capital Markets said in a note Monday.\n“Fundamentally, the exclusive theatrical window has shortened, fewer movies are being released theatrically, industry-wide fewer theaters have closed than anticipated, and streaming has become more pervasive,” Gould said. “Eventually the valuation will reflect the fundamentals.”\nCNBC Pro looked at how much lower the Street predicts prices of nine meme stocks will drop in the next 12 months. Take a look:\nMEME STOCKS\n\n\n\nTICKER\nNAME\nMARKET VALUE (MILLION)\nDROP TO MEAN PRICE TARGET\nBUY RATING\nSHARES SOLD SHORT\n\n\n\n\nAMC\nAMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Class A\n31,323.8\n-91.8%\n0.0%\n21.1%\n\n\nBBBY\nBed Bath & Beyond Inc.\n4,712.1\n-40.2%\n10.0%\n31.8%\n\n\nBYND\nBeyond Meat, Inc.\n9,443.1\n-23.7%\n14.3%\n25.2%\n\n\nBB\nBlackBerry Limited\n8,567.3\n-35.3%\n11.1%\nN/A\n\n\nEXPR\nExpress, Inc.\n431.3\n-37.3%\n0.0%\n7.7%\n\n\nGME\nGameStop Corp. Class A\n19,974.6\n-82.9%\n0.0%\n21.0%\n\n\nPLTR\nPalantir Technologies Inc. Class A\n45,886.5\n-10.0%\n22.2%\n6.1%\n\n\nSNDL\nSundial Growers Inc.\n2,101.8\n-30.8%\n0.0%\n15.8%\n\n\nTLRY\nTilray, Inc.\n8,482.4\n-4.1%\n35.7%\n22.1%\n\n\n\nAnalysts believe AMC will lead the meme stock drop with a 91.8% wipeout in the next 12 months. The estimated declines are based on Wednesday closing prices.\nEven the company itself warned investors of the extreme risk associated with its stock. AMC said Thursday it plans to sell more than 11 million shares, sending the stock into a 30% nosedive in early trading.\n“We believe that the recent volatility and our current market prices reflect market and trading dynamics unrelated to our underlying business, or macro or industry fundamentals, and we do not know how long these dynamics will last,” AMC wrote in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing.\n“Under the circumstances, we caution you against investing in our Class A common stock, unless you are prepared to incur the risk of losing all or a substantial portion of your investment,” the company added.\nExpress, another meme stock gaining popularity on Reddit, also announced a share sale on Thursday. The company said it may offer and sell up to 15 million shares through an at-the-market equity offering program. The stock plunged 20% in early trading Thursday.\nWall Street analysts on average expect the price of Express shares to fall 37.3% within 12 months.\nShares of GameStop, which made headlines earlier this year in a short squeeze fueled by retail traders, are expected to plummet 82.9%.\nLooking at all nine meme stocks together, Wall Street predicts an average drop of roughly 40% for these shares.\n“My biggest concern is what’s going on with the individual investor though. They’ve got to be able to understand when they use leverage what that really means,” Joe Moglia, former chairman and CEO of TD Ameritrade, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday.\n“Leverage on the way up is a great thing,” Moglia said. “Leverage on the way down will rip your arms off.”\nWhat’s striking is the magnitude of the decline that’s predicted by these company analysts, considering this group is rarely accused of being too bearish. Analysts have faced criticism in the past of being too bullish on companies they cover, keeping buy ratings and high price targets to stay in good graces.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111206793,"gmtCreate":1622681146012,"gmtModify":1631891863496,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111206793","repostId":"2139480149","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110915431,"gmtCreate":1622421418623,"gmtModify":1631891863499,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Invest safe&nbsp;","listText":"Invest safe&nbsp;","text":"Invest safe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110915431","repostId":"1170226387","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170226387","pubTimestamp":1622211688,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170226387?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-28 22:21","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Headed for the Moon? Make Sure You Avoid These 4 Big Cryptocurrency Scams","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170226387","media":"investorplace","summary":"Cryptocurrencies are amazing. They allow us to send lightning-fast transactions overseas, develop applications in a decentralized way, encrypt information in a manner that is safe and effective, and — most importantly — they give us an innovative new way to grow our wealth.Bitcoin blazed the trail, creating the first generation of crypto billionaires and blockchain entrepreneurs. In its wake, altcoins have been cropping up everywhere as potential gateways to gains. Although this crypto craze bri","content":"<p>Cryptocurrencies are amazing. They allow us to send lightning-fast transactions overseas, develop applications in a decentralized way, encrypt information in a manner that is safe and effective, and — most importantly — they give us an innovative new way to grow our wealth.<b>Bitcoin</b>(CCC:<b>BTC-USD</b>) blazed the trail, creating the first generation of crypto billionaires and blockchain entrepreneurs. In its wake, altcoins have been cropping up everywhere as potential gateways to gains. Although this crypto craze brings great opportunity, it also brings a wealth of cryptocurrency scams, like theElon Musk impersonators who’ve made off with millionsin coins.</p><p>This new frontier of digital, decentralized finance can be a labyrinth for new investors. There are many bad actors who know that, and seek to take advantage of those who are just beginning to explore the complex world of cryptocurrencies.</p><p>At<i>InvestorPlace</i>, we want to ensure our readers are as educated as possible in order to tell the real from the fake. In the world of traditional investing, this means highlighting the risks that come with penny stocks and other volatile names. In the world of cryptocurrencies, it’s the same.</p><p>And, just like with traditional pump-and-dump schemes and other stock scams, there are signs you can look for to avoid falling for fraud.</p><p>Altcoin schemes are frustrating because they can take many forms.AARPsays it best, though: “For all cryptocurrency’s high-tech gloss, many of the related scams are just newfangled versions of classic frauds.”</p><p>In the six months from October 2020 to May 2021, those Elon Musk impersonators have been making a killing. By just creating a Twitter account using Musk’s profile image and name, these scammers have convinced users to send over $2 million in Bitcoin to them. The scam, a play on the popular“Nigerian prince”email scheme, is shockingly lucrative. And, unfortunately, it’s only a drop in the bucket as far as crypto scams go.</p><p>With this in mind, it’s a good idea to make yourself familiar with different crypto schemes to minimize the risk of falling victim to one. Let’s take a look at some of the most common crypto scams.</p><p><b>Cryptocurrency Scams to Avoid: Fake ICOs</b></p><p>A fake ICO, or initial coin offering, takes a similar shape to a pre-IPO scam. In it, a cryptocurrency will pop up. It will have a white paper and all the fixings, advertising a “groundbreaking” new blockchain tech oryield-farming modelthat is certain to bring<i>huge gains</i>.</p><p>These crypto scams usually also have great marketing. Victims are the type who are prone to speculative investing; they’ll bite, pouring money into an initial offering in order to get those “big gains.” Before you know it, they’re seeing no movement in their portfolio. Or, they’re getting a worthless token with absolutely no utility. The scammer rides off into the sunset with a full wallet.</p><p>A famous example of a fake ICO is&nbsp;<b>Pincoin</b>. The development teamraised $660 million from investors, launched a different coin from the one advertised, and compensated the victims with loads of the worthless crypto before disappearing. The resulting protests outside their Ho Chi Minh City office were a fruitless effort; the seven developersemptied the commercial space and never came back.</p><p>So how do you avoid these cryptocurrency scams? The key for spotting a fake ICO is in the details.</p><p>This means you should pore over the white paper, which is the cornerstone document to a blockchain project. It contains all the details of how a crypto functions, how it is used, and the roadmap for the underlying company and team.</p><p>The details of a white paper are where you will find the evidence of a scam. If it doesn’t have a white paper, that’s an immediate red flag. If there are typos, or if there is a lack of a clear vision or roadmap for the crypto, these are all signs of a cryptocurrency scam.</p><p><b>Ponzi Schemes</b></p><p>If you’re at all familiar with investing, you are familiar with Ponzi schemes. The scam is one in which old investors are paid with the money of new investors, under the guise of receiving gains from their investment. It’s a scheme as old as — well, as old as Charles Ponzi, who originated the scam under the façade of selling discounted postage stamps.</p><p>In the 100-plus years since, the scam has remained, but it’s become more sophisticated.</p><p>With cryptos, a Ponzi scheme takes a similar form. Scammers offer huge gains through an “up and coming” new arbitrage model. Money is taken from the new investors, given to the old investors disguised as the gains, and the scammer pockets his share.</p><p>The most notable Ponzi scheme in crypto is<b>Bitconnect</b>, a high-yield investment program disguised as an open-source currency. Users could stake their coins for high daily interest, which was actually just money taken from newer investors. And the company made a huge profit; Bitconnectwas a top 20 cryptocurrencyin terms of market capitalization before its collapse.</p><p>The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commissionkeeps a handy guideon spotting this particular crypto scheme. Investors should look out for the classic “high return, no risk” promise typical of a cryptocurrency scam. Overly complex strategies and returns that look uncannily consistent are also signs of fraud. Because of the nature of cryptos, overly consistent returns are unusual. Things ebb and flow on the market, so when returns are the same month after month, it suggests the gains are artificial.</p><p><b>Cryptocurrency Scams to Avoid: Fraud Wallets</b></p><p>A fraud wallet scam is closely related to the internet-age-old practice of phishing. But rather than sending out emails pretending to be a reputable company, fraud wallets typically wait for you to come to them.</p><p>Fraud wallets can take the shape of a website or a mobile app, just like a real crypto wallet. Everything might seem totally legitimate: a shiny logo, high ratings, a sleek interface; heck, just the fact that a wallet app is on the Apple App Store could seem like reason enough to believe a wallet is real.</p><p>Much like a lemon car, the fraud takes advantage of the adage “looks can be deceiving.” When one signs up for a fraudulent wallet, they do all the work for the scammer. They add in their information, link a card or two, and load crypto right into the scammers’ hands. Then, just as quickly as the scammers showed up, they vanish with the coins.</p><p><b>Trezor’s doppelgänger app</b>&nbsp;is a famous example of a fraud wallet scheme, evengetting coverage in the<i>Washington Post</i>. The app posed as Trezor, which is a reputable crypto wallet. However, the doppelgänger app was acting in bad faith and stripped customers’ coins. As a result, victims have lost nearly $1 million in cryptocurrency. The most disturbing part of it all is that the app was housed on Apple’s platform, a supposedly safe space to download applications. It proves that you can’t let your guard down.</p><p>My advice here is to stick with the biggest wallet players. Look for wallets with blue checkmarks on their Twitter profiles. Go to websites through official links to be sure you’re on legitimate sites. Don’t necessarily trust an app just because it has hundreds of reviews on an app store; security firm ESET says to “only trust cryptocurrency-related and other finance apps if they are linked from the official website of the service.”</p><p>Double and triple check that you’re looking through official channels when preparing to sign up for a wallet in-browser. If you go through as many channels as possible that evaluate content for fraud, the likelihood that you are using a crypto scam product decreases significantly.</p><p><b>Social Media Scams</b></p><p>Social media scams are not exclusive to cryptocurrency. They’ve been around as long as social media has existed, and while all seek different ends, many recent social media scams want your digital currency.</p><p>Another variant of phishing, social media scams typically involve an account advertising big gains, a survey, or something similar, with a link. Clicking the link can lead to malware being installed on one’s device. Or, scammers can simply lure you into entering your information.</p><p>In the crypto-sphere, these scams usually target Bitcoin holders, due simply to the coin’s high value and rapid growth. A famous scam occurred in 2020, when hackers gained access to a slew of different celebrities’ Twitter accounts. Tweets went out from Barack Obama, Elon Musk and Kanye West; all including a wallet address. The promise was that a Bitcoin payment to the address would be paid back to users in double. The hackersmade approximately $121,000 from willful payments.</p><p>This cryptocurrency scam is the most easily avoided of the bunch. If you don’t know a user, don’t click any mysterious links. Typically, the scam is perpetuated by scammers on accounts that are brand new, have zero followers, and no profile picture. Even in the case of the famous Twitter hack that saw scams coming from verified accounts, it’s obvious that a promise to double one’s investment for free is illegitimate. Tom Robinson, co-founder of&nbsp;<b>Elliptic</b>,says of these scams, “what we often see with these type [sic] of exploits is that the exploit itself can be very sophisticated but they’re not very good at monetizing it.”</p><p>Some common sense and a keen sense of skepticism can go a long way.</p><p><b>The Bottom Line on Cryptocurrency Scams</b></p><p>This list isn’t all-encompassing; as cryptocurrencies change shape to fit consumers’ needs, so too will scams shapeshift to lure in new victims. Crypto is a booming industry, and a large part of that is because it is not regulated. Users can do whatever they want, which means some will use their privileges for malicious purposes.</p><p>Meme coins are going to keep cropping up, promising the success of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>(CCC:<b>DOGE-USD</b>). They’re not all illegitimate, but keep all of this information stored. You should be able to stay wary and skim the fakes from the pool. Likewise, fraudulent wallets and exchanges will continue popping up as long as legitimate ones keep hitting the market as “innovative new platforms in blockchain tech.”</p><p>Almost all crypto scams can be rooted out by simply taking a closer look. Scammers are sloppy — they make typos, they leave out details. If it walks like a scam, and it talks like a scam, it’s best to stay away, because it’s a scam.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Headed for the Moon? Make Sure You Avoid These 4 Big Cryptocurrency Scams</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHeaded for the Moon? Make Sure You Avoid These 4 Big Cryptocurrency Scams\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-28 22:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/headed-for-the-moon-make-sure-you-avoid-these-4-big-cryptocurrency-scams/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cryptocurrencies are amazing. They allow us to send lightning-fast transactions overseas, develop applications in a decentralized way, encrypt information in a manner that is safe and effective, and —...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/headed-for-the-moon-make-sure-you-avoid-these-4-big-cryptocurrency-scams/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/headed-for-the-moon-make-sure-you-avoid-these-4-big-cryptocurrency-scams/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170226387","content_text":"Cryptocurrencies are amazing. They allow us to send lightning-fast transactions overseas, develop applications in a decentralized way, encrypt information in a manner that is safe and effective, and — most importantly — they give us an innovative new way to grow our wealth.Bitcoin(CCC:BTC-USD) blazed the trail, creating the first generation of crypto billionaires and blockchain entrepreneurs. In its wake, altcoins have been cropping up everywhere as potential gateways to gains. Although this crypto craze brings great opportunity, it also brings a wealth of cryptocurrency scams, like theElon Musk impersonators who’ve made off with millionsin coins.This new frontier of digital, decentralized finance can be a labyrinth for new investors. There are many bad actors who know that, and seek to take advantage of those who are just beginning to explore the complex world of cryptocurrencies.AtInvestorPlace, we want to ensure our readers are as educated as possible in order to tell the real from the fake. In the world of traditional investing, this means highlighting the risks that come with penny stocks and other volatile names. In the world of cryptocurrencies, it’s the same.And, just like with traditional pump-and-dump schemes and other stock scams, there are signs you can look for to avoid falling for fraud.Altcoin schemes are frustrating because they can take many forms.AARPsays it best, though: “For all cryptocurrency’s high-tech gloss, many of the related scams are just newfangled versions of classic frauds.”In the six months from October 2020 to May 2021, those Elon Musk impersonators have been making a killing. By just creating a Twitter account using Musk’s profile image and name, these scammers have convinced users to send over $2 million in Bitcoin to them. The scam, a play on the popular“Nigerian prince”email scheme, is shockingly lucrative. And, unfortunately, it’s only a drop in the bucket as far as crypto scams go.With this in mind, it’s a good idea to make yourself familiar with different crypto schemes to minimize the risk of falling victim to one. Let’s take a look at some of the most common crypto scams.Cryptocurrency Scams to Avoid: Fake ICOsA fake ICO, or initial coin offering, takes a similar shape to a pre-IPO scam. In it, a cryptocurrency will pop up. It will have a white paper and all the fixings, advertising a “groundbreaking” new blockchain tech oryield-farming modelthat is certain to bringhuge gains.These crypto scams usually also have great marketing. Victims are the type who are prone to speculative investing; they’ll bite, pouring money into an initial offering in order to get those “big gains.” Before you know it, they’re seeing no movement in their portfolio. Or, they’re getting a worthless token with absolutely no utility. The scammer rides off into the sunset with a full wallet.A famous example of a fake ICO is Pincoin. The development teamraised $660 million from investors, launched a different coin from the one advertised, and compensated the victims with loads of the worthless crypto before disappearing. The resulting protests outside their Ho Chi Minh City office were a fruitless effort; the seven developersemptied the commercial space and never came back.So how do you avoid these cryptocurrency scams? The key for spotting a fake ICO is in the details.This means you should pore over the white paper, which is the cornerstone document to a blockchain project. It contains all the details of how a crypto functions, how it is used, and the roadmap for the underlying company and team.The details of a white paper are where you will find the evidence of a scam. If it doesn’t have a white paper, that’s an immediate red flag. If there are typos, or if there is a lack of a clear vision or roadmap for the crypto, these are all signs of a cryptocurrency scam.Ponzi SchemesIf you’re at all familiar with investing, you are familiar with Ponzi schemes. The scam is one in which old investors are paid with the money of new investors, under the guise of receiving gains from their investment. It’s a scheme as old as — well, as old as Charles Ponzi, who originated the scam under the façade of selling discounted postage stamps.In the 100-plus years since, the scam has remained, but it’s become more sophisticated.With cryptos, a Ponzi scheme takes a similar form. Scammers offer huge gains through an “up and coming” new arbitrage model. Money is taken from the new investors, given to the old investors disguised as the gains, and the scammer pockets his share.The most notable Ponzi scheme in crypto isBitconnect, a high-yield investment program disguised as an open-source currency. Users could stake their coins for high daily interest, which was actually just money taken from newer investors. And the company made a huge profit; Bitconnectwas a top 20 cryptocurrencyin terms of market capitalization before its collapse.The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commissionkeeps a handy guideon spotting this particular crypto scheme. Investors should look out for the classic “high return, no risk” promise typical of a cryptocurrency scam. Overly complex strategies and returns that look uncannily consistent are also signs of fraud. Because of the nature of cryptos, overly consistent returns are unusual. Things ebb and flow on the market, so when returns are the same month after month, it suggests the gains are artificial.Cryptocurrency Scams to Avoid: Fraud WalletsA fraud wallet scam is closely related to the internet-age-old practice of phishing. But rather than sending out emails pretending to be a reputable company, fraud wallets typically wait for you to come to them.Fraud wallets can take the shape of a website or a mobile app, just like a real crypto wallet. Everything might seem totally legitimate: a shiny logo, high ratings, a sleek interface; heck, just the fact that a wallet app is on the Apple App Store could seem like reason enough to believe a wallet is real.Much like a lemon car, the fraud takes advantage of the adage “looks can be deceiving.” When one signs up for a fraudulent wallet, they do all the work for the scammer. They add in their information, link a card or two, and load crypto right into the scammers’ hands. Then, just as quickly as the scammers showed up, they vanish with the coins.Trezor’s doppelgänger app is a famous example of a fraud wallet scheme, evengetting coverage in theWashington Post. The app posed as Trezor, which is a reputable crypto wallet. However, the doppelgänger app was acting in bad faith and stripped customers’ coins. As a result, victims have lost nearly $1 million in cryptocurrency. The most disturbing part of it all is that the app was housed on Apple’s platform, a supposedly safe space to download applications. It proves that you can’t let your guard down.My advice here is to stick with the biggest wallet players. Look for wallets with blue checkmarks on their Twitter profiles. Go to websites through official links to be sure you’re on legitimate sites. Don’t necessarily trust an app just because it has hundreds of reviews on an app store; security firm ESET says to “only trust cryptocurrency-related and other finance apps if they are linked from the official website of the service.”Double and triple check that you’re looking through official channels when preparing to sign up for a wallet in-browser. If you go through as many channels as possible that evaluate content for fraud, the likelihood that you are using a crypto scam product decreases significantly.Social Media ScamsSocial media scams are not exclusive to cryptocurrency. They’ve been around as long as social media has existed, and while all seek different ends, many recent social media scams want your digital currency.Another variant of phishing, social media scams typically involve an account advertising big gains, a survey, or something similar, with a link. Clicking the link can lead to malware being installed on one’s device. Or, scammers can simply lure you into entering your information.In the crypto-sphere, these scams usually target Bitcoin holders, due simply to the coin’s high value and rapid growth. A famous scam occurred in 2020, when hackers gained access to a slew of different celebrities’ Twitter accounts. Tweets went out from Barack Obama, Elon Musk and Kanye West; all including a wallet address. The promise was that a Bitcoin payment to the address would be paid back to users in double. The hackersmade approximately $121,000 from willful payments.This cryptocurrency scam is the most easily avoided of the bunch. If you don’t know a user, don’t click any mysterious links. Typically, the scam is perpetuated by scammers on accounts that are brand new, have zero followers, and no profile picture. Even in the case of the famous Twitter hack that saw scams coming from verified accounts, it’s obvious that a promise to double one’s investment for free is illegitimate. Tom Robinson, co-founder of Elliptic,says of these scams, “what we often see with these type [sic] of exploits is that the exploit itself can be very sophisticated but they’re not very good at monetizing it.”Some common sense and a keen sense of skepticism can go a long way.The Bottom Line on Cryptocurrency ScamsThis list isn’t all-encompassing; as cryptocurrencies change shape to fit consumers’ needs, so too will scams shapeshift to lure in new victims. Crypto is a booming industry, and a large part of that is because it is not regulated. Users can do whatever they want, which means some will use their privileges for malicious purposes.Meme coins are going to keep cropping up, promising the success of Dogecoin(CCC:DOGE-USD). They’re not all illegitimate, but keep all of this information stored. You should be able to stay wary and skim the fakes from the pool. Likewise, fraudulent wallets and exchanges will continue popping up as long as legitimate ones keep hitting the market as “innovative new platforms in blockchain tech.”Almost all crypto scams can be rooted out by simply taking a closer look. Scammers are sloppy — they make typos, they leave out details. If it walks like a scam, and it talks like a scam, it’s best to stay away, because it’s a scam.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137846730,"gmtCreate":1622339476720,"gmtModify":1631891863502,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rumor has it, ooh","listText":"Rumor has it, ooh","text":"Rumor has it, ooh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137846730","repostId":"2138765488","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138765488","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1622215232,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138765488?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla shares dip on recall rumors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138765488","media":"Reuters","summary":"May 28  - Shares of Tesla Inc fell more than 1% on Friday after an unverified tweet said the electric carmaker had decided to recall some of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles, citing a note from the company.Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment and Reuters was unable to verify the statement from the company that was shown in the tweet.","content":"<p>May 28 (Reuters) - Shares of Tesla Inc&nbsp;fell more than 1% on Friday after an unverified tweet&nbsp;said the electric carmaker had decided to recall some of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles, citing a note from the company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba675bb3c29017bd5165f1d31830b19e\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"614\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment and Reuters was unable to verify the statement from the company that was shown in the tweet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla shares dip on recall rumors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla shares dip on recall rumors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>May 28 (Reuters) - Shares of Tesla Inc&nbsp;fell more than 1% on Friday after an unverified tweet&nbsp;said the electric carmaker had decided to recall some of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles, citing a note from the company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba675bb3c29017bd5165f1d31830b19e\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"614\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment and Reuters was unable to verify the statement from the company that was shown in the tweet.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138765488","content_text":"May 28 (Reuters) - Shares of Tesla Inc fell more than 1% on Friday after an unverified tweet said the electric carmaker had decided to recall some of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles, citing a note from the company.Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment and Reuters was unable to verify the statement from the company that was shown in the tweet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":53,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134521385,"gmtCreate":1622249481347,"gmtModify":1631891863504,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is 2X worth the wait 🤔&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Is 2X worth the wait 🤔&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Is 2X worth the wait 🤔 //@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134521385","repostId":"1157072297","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1157072297","pubTimestamp":1622179098,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157072297?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-28 13:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Much Is Palantir Worth?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157072297","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPLTR has a wide moat Gotham business, and its Foundry business has massive growth potential.T","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>PLTR has a wide moat Gotham business, and its Foundry business has massive growth potential.</li><li>The company continues to forego GAAP profitability today in order to invest aggressively for the long term.</li><li>What are PLTR shares worth today? We detail our full valuation model.</li></ul><p>Oneof our fewand our highest conviction tech investments, Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)has a wide moat Gotham (government) business and its Foundry (commercial) business has massive growth potential. Despite posting fat adjusted gross margins, the company continues to forego GAAP profitability today in order to invest aggressively for the long term.</p><p>What are PLTR shares worth today? In the following sections, we will attempt to give an estimate.</p><p><b>1. Qualitative Analysis</b></p><p>For a more thorough appraisal of the qualitative aspects of PLTR, please check out ourfull investment thesis. That said, in order to provide the proper context for our quantitative assumptions and analysis we will briefly outline our qualitative appraisal of the company here:</p><ul><li><i>Strong Government-Backed Moat</i></li></ul><p>PLTR's high-quality data analytics and artificial intelligence Gotham platform combine with its decades of successful partnership with US and US-aligned government agencies to give it a very strong competitive standing for winning additional government projects. As Big Data and A.I. grow in importance for national security in the years to come, we expect PLTR's share of the pie of government spending to only increase.</p><p>In fact, itsQ1 resultsshowed exactly that with total government revenue surging by 76% year-over-year and US government business growing by an even faster 83%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76849a1437b60ad615d46d63da06e109\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>source</i></p><p>The contracts it is winning include a 5-year contract worth up to $90 million to help protect and manage the U.S. nuclear stockpile, powering all 11 DoD combatant commands for major exercises, servicing other major defense contractors, and - most recently -expanding its Space Force partnership.</p><p>This robust growth should continue for the foreseeable future as their total government revenue is less than 10 basis points of total US defense spending and senior US government personnel remain thrilled with their product. As Space Force Colonel Krolikowski stated in the wake of the expanded Space Force partnership:</p><blockquote><i>I’m excited about this partnership and the work we are doing to provide better data-driven decision making to our leadership. Palantir’s technology and framework has truly accelerated our ability to remove data stovepipes throughout the community and create actionable knowledge</i></blockquote><ul><li><i>Accelerating Foundry Growth</i></li></ul><p>PLTR's other major platform - Foundry - is seeing accelerating growth in its pursuit of commercial contracts and it is investing aggressively in ensuring that momentum continues. In fact, PLTR expects that their Foundry business may one day become their largest source of revenue.</p><p>In Q1, US commercial revenue grew by 72% and overall revenue grew by 49% year-over-year fueled by 11 new commercial customers coming on board and 29% growth in revenue per customer. Q2 should see similarly strong growth, with management forecasting 43% year-over-year growth with 30%+ annual growth expected through 2025 as management is pursuing multiple strategic growth initiatives:</p><p>(1) Afree Foundry trialfor select companies to assist them with re-opening after COVID-19 and hopefully win their long-term business.</p><p>(2) Investing heavily in growing and enhancing their sales team by adding nearly 50 sales personnel in Q1 with the expectation of growing by over 100 by year-end.</p><p>(3) Buying equity in some of its smaller clients that it believes will be long-term winners while also creating a symbiotic relationship with them.</p><p>(4)Exploringways to play a role with Bitcoin and the broader emergence of cryptocurrency.</p><p>(5) Adapting their product and marketing to attract a wider range of businesses, thereby boosting their qualified pipeline by 2.5 times in the U.S. and U.K.</p><ul><li><i>Solid Balance Sheet</i></li></ul><p>With billions of dollars in cash on the balance sheet, minimal debt, and adjusted free cash flow positive, PLTR is well-capitalized and sufficiently liquid to continue investing aggressively in its growth initiatives.</p><ul><li><i>Strong Brain Trust</i></li></ul><p>Operating in a space where technical and innovative capabilities are the name of the game, PLTR is well-positioned to win given its ability to attract and retain the best and brightest minds in the industry.</p><p><b>2. Quantitative Analysis</b></p><p>Now that we have established that PLTR is a high-quality company in virtually every respect with strong growth momentum and a lengthy runway, let's dig into numbers to see if we can get a sense of how much it is actually worth.</p><p>The company is currently valued at an enterprise value of $38.4 billion as its market cap of $40.3 billion includes a substantial net cash position. The company is expected to generate ~$1.5 billion in revenue in 2021 and just over $1.9 billion in 2022. Meanwhile, its EBITDA is expected to come in at $363.2 million in 2021 and $508.3 million in 2022. By 2025, PLTR has an announced goal of achieving $4 billion in revenues.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5ac0eb66cdb91fcbb57a41107924119\" tg-width=\"448\" tg-height=\"203\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>source</i></p><p>They view their total addressable market as currently being ~$119 billion and we expect this to grow rapidly as the quantity and role of data and A.I. are increasing quickly and PLTR continues to invest in developing new capabilities which should expand its sphere of addressable operations over time.</p><p>Their government and commercial addressable markets are both roughly equivalent, and the U.S. government total addressable market is a whopping $26 billion currently. Given that we believe their US government business is by far their strongest, this is an important number for us to latch onto in our projections.</p><p>We believe that the US will continue to place an ever-increasing amount of trust in PLTR as it desperately strives to defeat China in the A.I. race over the next several decades. Seeing that PLTR has already won some extremely important contracts with the US government, we expect them to be the odds-on favorites to win a large portion of the US total addressable market in the years to come.</p><p>While we are optimistic that they will capture at least 25% of their current total addressable market from the U.S. government by the end of the decade and will see solid growth in their other business opportunities, they do face some stiff competition in the commercial space from companies like Microsoft (MSFT) and foreign governments - even if US-aligned - may be somewhat cautious of linking their critical government agencies to a US company.</p><p>As a result, we see them capturing a more conservative 5% of current total addressable market in each of these categories over the next decade (which is quite conservative given that these total addressable markets will likely grow significantly during that span). In fact, the global big data market isexpected to growat a CAGR of 22.4% through 2030, with the North American big data market expected to grow at a 15.6% CAGR and Europe's big data market expected to grow at a CAGR of 19.1%, so they would only need to capture only a few percentage points of the total addressable market at that point to reach $10+ billion in revenue.</p><p>Using these assumptions means that we expect their revenue to grow from ~$1.5 billion at year-end 2021 to ~$11 billion by the end of 2030. While this might sound ludicrous, we see little reason to expect their growth rate to slow after this year as they are making aggressive investments in their business and are only now starting to really ramp up their sales team while also partnering with vaunted sales teams at companies like IBM (IBM) and with Amazon's (AMZN) Web Services business to facilitate growth. To reach $11 billion by the end of 2030, they would only need to grow at an annualized 25% rate, which we believe is very doable given their aforementioned strengths and initiatives, particularly in the US government business, along with the fact that they are likely to not pay out any dividends or buy back shares over that period and instead continue investing aggressively in their business.</p><p>Now that we have arrived at a revenue number, let's look at the profitability potential.</p><p>PLTR demonstrated during Q1 that its operating profitability is improving rapidly. During Q1, they generated earnings-per-share of $0.04 as the adjusted gross margin expanded by 800 basis points year-over-year to 83% and the contribution margin soared by 1900 basis points to 60%.</p><p>As a result, adjusted operating income improved $133 million year-over-year, coming in at $117 million in Q1 2021 (adjusted operating margin of 34%). Adjusted free cash flow was $151 million in Q1, good for a 44% adjusted free cash flow margin.</p><p>While these numbers look fantastic as a 34% adjusted operating margin would imply ~$3.75 billion in operating income by 2030 which, given that they will likely still be growing by 20%+ annually at that point under our assumptions, would likely warrant a multiple of ~50x (depending on interest rates and overall macroeconomic conditions). As a result, the company would conservatively be worth ~$190 billion by 2030, making it a near 5x over the next 9 years (which would represent a ~20% CAGR to 2030). Under this assumption, PLTR should be worth an enterprise value of ~$85 billion today (which would represent a 9%-10% CAGR to 2030), which would put the shares at a fair value of between $45 and $50 today.</p><p>However, this model overlooks one major negative factor that makes the adjusted free cash flow numbers misleading: stock-based compensation. While we do not take issue with this management practice given that it is being used to attract and retain the best talent in the industry without draining the company's cash pile that it needs to invest aggressively to win long-term in the space, it is still important to account for its impact when modeling the company's valuation.</p><p>In Q1 2021, stock-based compensation and employer payroll taxes related to stock-based compensation totaled a whopping ~$230 million. While this figure will likely grow to some degree as the company continues to grow and add payroll, it will ultimately decline as a percentage of the total revenues as the company continues to grow. Stock-based compensation currently accounts for ~2.3% of the company's total equity valuation and we expect this to decline over time as the company will likely grow faster than its payroll.</p><p>Therefore, through 2030, we conservatively estimate average annual dilution of ~1.5% from stock-based compensation and estimate it will be at $2 billion annually by 2030. This would leave GAAP operating income at just $1.75 billion in 2030, and, at a 50x multiple would imply the company would be worth just $87.5 billion at that point, making it a mere 2.3x from its present value. Adding in the dilutive impact of 1.5% annualized stock-based compensation and the estimated per-share value in 2030 would be $44, making it a double over a 9-year period (i.e., just a mediocre ~8% CAGR).</p><p>As a result, it is reasonable to conclude that shares are currently fairly valued. However, at the same time, it is important to realize that there are two factors that will significantly impact this assessment:</p><p><i>(1) Operating Margin:</i>The company has significant momentum in improving its operating margins. As they continue to scale rapidly, there is a strong likelihood that operating margins will improve further. Of course, competition will also increase, so there will be pressure on gross margins. Ultimately, we expect them to reach an adjusted operating margin of 40% as rapid scaling should more than offset competitive pressures, especially in their government business, which should enjoy fatter margins than their narrower moat commercial business. This 600 basis point improvement alone would raise their estimated 2030 valuation by a whopping 37% and push their expected shareholder CAGR firmly into the double digits.</p><p><i>(2) Growth Rates:</i>We used somewhat conservative growth rate assumptions in our model as we do not want to bank on their commercial business becoming a powerhouse given that competition is likely to be stiff.</p><p>That said, all of that stock-based compensation is going towards attracting and retaining some of the brightest data analytics, machine learning, and software engineering minds, which should not be underestimated. As a result, we would not be shocked at all to see them gain better headway in the commercial market than our initial model assumes and therefore significantly outperform their 2025 and our 2030 revenue estimates.</p><p>While it is true that it is easier to sustain a high growth rate at their current (relatively) small size and that the bigger you scale the harder it is to sustain that growth rate, we also know that they are only know really trying to scale their sales team, they are reinvesting aggressively into their business, and the role of data, machine learning, and software is likely to explode exponentially in the coming decade, providing a massive tailwind to their growth.</p><p>While we assume a 25% annualized growth rate through 2030 from the present, if they can simply increase that to 30%, their revenue will be closer to $16 billion, which in turn would likely lead to even higher operating margins and immensely higher operating income, making their stock-based compensation even a smaller portion of the pie and their upside potential immensely higher than it is perceived to be today.</p><p>Of course, the downside risk is that their Foundry platform will fail to make any significant headway in the private sector, leading to dramatically declining growth rates and them having to continue leaning heavily on their government business. Such a scenario would lead to mediocre total returns as their revenue would likely only end up in the $8 billion range and - though their stock-based compensation would obviously be lower as well - their operating income would probably wind up being ~$1.5 billion, making the company worth only $75 billion, or presenting a mere mid-single digit CAGR through 2030 which would make it a rather unappealing comparative investment.</p><p><b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p>PLTR is a great company and is very likely to remain a mission-critical component of US government technical infrastructure for the foreseeable future. That alone gives the business significant stability concerning its future and will likely lead to strong growth.</p><p>However, stock-based compensation and lingering uncertainty about the long-term competitive strength of its Foundry platform are the main overhangs weighing on the stock right now. While we believe that the former overhang is a major key to positively resolving the latter uncertainty, only time will tell.</p><p>Based on our assumptions of 25%+ annualized revenue growth through 2030, 40% adjusted operating margins in 2030, and $2 billion in 2030 stock-based compensation, we expect the company to be worth at least 3x what it is today and generate ~12%-13% annualized returns over that period, making it a buy today and a strong buy at $20 or less.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Much Is Palantir Worth?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Much Is Palantir Worth?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-28 13:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4431750-how-much-is-palantir-worth><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPLTR has a wide moat Gotham business, and its Foundry business has massive growth potential.The company continues to forego GAAP profitability today in order to invest aggressively for the long...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4431750-how-much-is-palantir-worth\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4431750-how-much-is-palantir-worth","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1157072297","content_text":"SummaryPLTR has a wide moat Gotham business, and its Foundry business has massive growth potential.The company continues to forego GAAP profitability today in order to invest aggressively for the long term.What are PLTR shares worth today? We detail our full valuation model.Oneof our fewand our highest conviction tech investments, Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)has a wide moat Gotham (government) business and its Foundry (commercial) business has massive growth potential. Despite posting fat adjusted gross margins, the company continues to forego GAAP profitability today in order to invest aggressively for the long term.What are PLTR shares worth today? In the following sections, we will attempt to give an estimate.1. Qualitative AnalysisFor a more thorough appraisal of the qualitative aspects of PLTR, please check out ourfull investment thesis. That said, in order to provide the proper context for our quantitative assumptions and analysis we will briefly outline our qualitative appraisal of the company here:Strong Government-Backed MoatPLTR's high-quality data analytics and artificial intelligence Gotham platform combine with its decades of successful partnership with US and US-aligned government agencies to give it a very strong competitive standing for winning additional government projects. As Big Data and A.I. grow in importance for national security in the years to come, we expect PLTR's share of the pie of government spending to only increase.In fact, itsQ1 resultsshowed exactly that with total government revenue surging by 76% year-over-year and US government business growing by an even faster 83%.sourceThe contracts it is winning include a 5-year contract worth up to $90 million to help protect and manage the U.S. nuclear stockpile, powering all 11 DoD combatant commands for major exercises, servicing other major defense contractors, and - most recently -expanding its Space Force partnership.This robust growth should continue for the foreseeable future as their total government revenue is less than 10 basis points of total US defense spending and senior US government personnel remain thrilled with their product. As Space Force Colonel Krolikowski stated in the wake of the expanded Space Force partnership:I’m excited about this partnership and the work we are doing to provide better data-driven decision making to our leadership. Palantir’s technology and framework has truly accelerated our ability to remove data stovepipes throughout the community and create actionable knowledgeAccelerating Foundry GrowthPLTR's other major platform - Foundry - is seeing accelerating growth in its pursuit of commercial contracts and it is investing aggressively in ensuring that momentum continues. In fact, PLTR expects that their Foundry business may one day become their largest source of revenue.In Q1, US commercial revenue grew by 72% and overall revenue grew by 49% year-over-year fueled by 11 new commercial customers coming on board and 29% growth in revenue per customer. Q2 should see similarly strong growth, with management forecasting 43% year-over-year growth with 30%+ annual growth expected through 2025 as management is pursuing multiple strategic growth initiatives:(1) Afree Foundry trialfor select companies to assist them with re-opening after COVID-19 and hopefully win their long-term business.(2) Investing heavily in growing and enhancing their sales team by adding nearly 50 sales personnel in Q1 with the expectation of growing by over 100 by year-end.(3) Buying equity in some of its smaller clients that it believes will be long-term winners while also creating a symbiotic relationship with them.(4)Exploringways to play a role with Bitcoin and the broader emergence of cryptocurrency.(5) Adapting their product and marketing to attract a wider range of businesses, thereby boosting their qualified pipeline by 2.5 times in the U.S. and U.K.Solid Balance SheetWith billions of dollars in cash on the balance sheet, minimal debt, and adjusted free cash flow positive, PLTR is well-capitalized and sufficiently liquid to continue investing aggressively in its growth initiatives.Strong Brain TrustOperating in a space where technical and innovative capabilities are the name of the game, PLTR is well-positioned to win given its ability to attract and retain the best and brightest minds in the industry.2. Quantitative AnalysisNow that we have established that PLTR is a high-quality company in virtually every respect with strong growth momentum and a lengthy runway, let's dig into numbers to see if we can get a sense of how much it is actually worth.The company is currently valued at an enterprise value of $38.4 billion as its market cap of $40.3 billion includes a substantial net cash position. The company is expected to generate ~$1.5 billion in revenue in 2021 and just over $1.9 billion in 2022. Meanwhile, its EBITDA is expected to come in at $363.2 million in 2021 and $508.3 million in 2022. By 2025, PLTR has an announced goal of achieving $4 billion in revenues.sourceThey view their total addressable market as currently being ~$119 billion and we expect this to grow rapidly as the quantity and role of data and A.I. are increasing quickly and PLTR continues to invest in developing new capabilities which should expand its sphere of addressable operations over time.Their government and commercial addressable markets are both roughly equivalent, and the U.S. government total addressable market is a whopping $26 billion currently. Given that we believe their US government business is by far their strongest, this is an important number for us to latch onto in our projections.We believe that the US will continue to place an ever-increasing amount of trust in PLTR as it desperately strives to defeat China in the A.I. race over the next several decades. Seeing that PLTR has already won some extremely important contracts with the US government, we expect them to be the odds-on favorites to win a large portion of the US total addressable market in the years to come.While we are optimistic that they will capture at least 25% of their current total addressable market from the U.S. government by the end of the decade and will see solid growth in their other business opportunities, they do face some stiff competition in the commercial space from companies like Microsoft (MSFT) and foreign governments - even if US-aligned - may be somewhat cautious of linking their critical government agencies to a US company.As a result, we see them capturing a more conservative 5% of current total addressable market in each of these categories over the next decade (which is quite conservative given that these total addressable markets will likely grow significantly during that span). In fact, the global big data market isexpected to growat a CAGR of 22.4% through 2030, with the North American big data market expected to grow at a 15.6% CAGR and Europe's big data market expected to grow at a CAGR of 19.1%, so they would only need to capture only a few percentage points of the total addressable market at that point to reach $10+ billion in revenue.Using these assumptions means that we expect their revenue to grow from ~$1.5 billion at year-end 2021 to ~$11 billion by the end of 2030. While this might sound ludicrous, we see little reason to expect their growth rate to slow after this year as they are making aggressive investments in their business and are only now starting to really ramp up their sales team while also partnering with vaunted sales teams at companies like IBM (IBM) and with Amazon's (AMZN) Web Services business to facilitate growth. To reach $11 billion by the end of 2030, they would only need to grow at an annualized 25% rate, which we believe is very doable given their aforementioned strengths and initiatives, particularly in the US government business, along with the fact that they are likely to not pay out any dividends or buy back shares over that period and instead continue investing aggressively in their business.Now that we have arrived at a revenue number, let's look at the profitability potential.PLTR demonstrated during Q1 that its operating profitability is improving rapidly. During Q1, they generated earnings-per-share of $0.04 as the adjusted gross margin expanded by 800 basis points year-over-year to 83% and the contribution margin soared by 1900 basis points to 60%.As a result, adjusted operating income improved $133 million year-over-year, coming in at $117 million in Q1 2021 (adjusted operating margin of 34%). Adjusted free cash flow was $151 million in Q1, good for a 44% adjusted free cash flow margin.While these numbers look fantastic as a 34% adjusted operating margin would imply ~$3.75 billion in operating income by 2030 which, given that they will likely still be growing by 20%+ annually at that point under our assumptions, would likely warrant a multiple of ~50x (depending on interest rates and overall macroeconomic conditions). As a result, the company would conservatively be worth ~$190 billion by 2030, making it a near 5x over the next 9 years (which would represent a ~20% CAGR to 2030). Under this assumption, PLTR should be worth an enterprise value of ~$85 billion today (which would represent a 9%-10% CAGR to 2030), which would put the shares at a fair value of between $45 and $50 today.However, this model overlooks one major negative factor that makes the adjusted free cash flow numbers misleading: stock-based compensation. While we do not take issue with this management practice given that it is being used to attract and retain the best talent in the industry without draining the company's cash pile that it needs to invest aggressively to win long-term in the space, it is still important to account for its impact when modeling the company's valuation.In Q1 2021, stock-based compensation and employer payroll taxes related to stock-based compensation totaled a whopping ~$230 million. While this figure will likely grow to some degree as the company continues to grow and add payroll, it will ultimately decline as a percentage of the total revenues as the company continues to grow. Stock-based compensation currently accounts for ~2.3% of the company's total equity valuation and we expect this to decline over time as the company will likely grow faster than its payroll.Therefore, through 2030, we conservatively estimate average annual dilution of ~1.5% from stock-based compensation and estimate it will be at $2 billion annually by 2030. This would leave GAAP operating income at just $1.75 billion in 2030, and, at a 50x multiple would imply the company would be worth just $87.5 billion at that point, making it a mere 2.3x from its present value. Adding in the dilutive impact of 1.5% annualized stock-based compensation and the estimated per-share value in 2030 would be $44, making it a double over a 9-year period (i.e., just a mediocre ~8% CAGR).As a result, it is reasonable to conclude that shares are currently fairly valued. However, at the same time, it is important to realize that there are two factors that will significantly impact this assessment:(1) Operating Margin:The company has significant momentum in improving its operating margins. As they continue to scale rapidly, there is a strong likelihood that operating margins will improve further. Of course, competition will also increase, so there will be pressure on gross margins. Ultimately, we expect them to reach an adjusted operating margin of 40% as rapid scaling should more than offset competitive pressures, especially in their government business, which should enjoy fatter margins than their narrower moat commercial business. This 600 basis point improvement alone would raise their estimated 2030 valuation by a whopping 37% and push their expected shareholder CAGR firmly into the double digits.(2) Growth Rates:We used somewhat conservative growth rate assumptions in our model as we do not want to bank on their commercial business becoming a powerhouse given that competition is likely to be stiff.That said, all of that stock-based compensation is going towards attracting and retaining some of the brightest data analytics, machine learning, and software engineering minds, which should not be underestimated. As a result, we would not be shocked at all to see them gain better headway in the commercial market than our initial model assumes and therefore significantly outperform their 2025 and our 2030 revenue estimates.While it is true that it is easier to sustain a high growth rate at their current (relatively) small size and that the bigger you scale the harder it is to sustain that growth rate, we also know that they are only know really trying to scale their sales team, they are reinvesting aggressively into their business, and the role of data, machine learning, and software is likely to explode exponentially in the coming decade, providing a massive tailwind to their growth.While we assume a 25% annualized growth rate through 2030 from the present, if they can simply increase that to 30%, their revenue will be closer to $16 billion, which in turn would likely lead to even higher operating margins and immensely higher operating income, making their stock-based compensation even a smaller portion of the pie and their upside potential immensely higher than it is perceived to be today.Of course, the downside risk is that their Foundry platform will fail to make any significant headway in the private sector, leading to dramatically declining growth rates and them having to continue leaning heavily on their government business. Such a scenario would lead to mediocre total returns as their revenue would likely only end up in the $8 billion range and - though their stock-based compensation would obviously be lower as well - their operating income would probably wind up being ~$1.5 billion, making the company worth only $75 billion, or presenting a mere mid-single digit CAGR through 2030 which would make it a rather unappealing comparative investment.Investor TakeawayPLTR is a great company and is very likely to remain a mission-critical component of US government technical infrastructure for the foreseeable future. That alone gives the business significant stability concerning its future and will likely lead to strong growth.However, stock-based compensation and lingering uncertainty about the long-term competitive strength of its Foundry platform are the main overhangs weighing on the stock right now. While we believe that the former overhang is a major key to positively resolving the latter uncertainty, only time will tell.Based on our assumptions of 25%+ annualized revenue growth through 2030, 40% adjusted operating margins in 2030, and $2 billion in 2030 stock-based compensation, we expect the company to be worth at least 3x what it is today and generate ~12%-13% annualized returns over that period, making it a buy today and a strong buy at $20 or less.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132169489,"gmtCreate":1622076194741,"gmtModify":1631891863510,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Bubble formation?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Bubble formation?","text":"//@agoyagi:Bubble formation?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132169489","repostId":"1129186705","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129186705","pubTimestamp":1622001447,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129186705?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-26 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"In 2008, he was CEO of the biggest bank to ever fail. He's worried about another crisis","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129186705","media":"cnn","summary":"New York The banking world nearly caved in 13 years ago. The former CEO of Washington Mutual is worried that another bubble is brewing.Kerry Killinger was named CEO of WaMu in 1990 and was fired in September 2008 -- just weeks before the bank failed as a growing number of mortgage loans went bad.\"Regulated banks do have more concentrated market share now so they have to be more careful,\" Killinger said. \"But the health of the industry is great, earnings are good and oversight is strong. I'm not ","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)The banking world nearly caved in 13 years ago. The former CEO of Washington Mutual is worried that another bubble is brewing.</p>\n<p>Kerry Killinger was named CEO of WaMu in 1990 and was fired in September 2008 -- just weeks before the bank failed as a growing number of mortgage loans went bad.</p>\n<p>WaMu was one of several top financial firms to collapse during the financial crisis last decade, but the giant savings and loan with more than $300 billion in assets still ranks as the biggest-ever bank failure. WaMu was seized by regulators in September 2008 and sold to JPMorgan Chase (JPM) for a fire-sale price of $1.9 billion.</p>\n<p>Killinger spoke to CNN Business about the similarities and differences between now and 13 years ago.</p>\n<p><b>The good news</b></p>\n<p>The Global Financial Crisis led to a wave of new federal rules that were designed to strengthen the balance sheets of top banks and ensure that another catastrophe like 2008 could never happen again.</p>\n<p>The good news is that Killinger thinks JPMorgan Chase and other \"too big to fail banks\" are in much better shape now after laws like Dodd-Frank and the Volcker Rule were put into place in the wake of the financial crisis to make big banks safer.</p>\n<p>That group of institutions also includes Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS), as well as others that received government bailouts in 2008.</p>\n<p>\"Regulated banks do have more concentrated market share now so they have to be more careful,\" Killinger said. \"But the health of the industry is great, earnings are good and oversight is strong. I'm not too concerned there.\"</p>\n<p>Subprime lending, the practice of giving mortgages to people with less-than-worthy credit histories, isn't nearly as prevalent as it was during the last housing boom. But Killinger is worried about bubbles in many other parts of the economy that threaten the stability of the markets.</p>\n<p><b>Too big to fail 2.0?</b></p>\n<p>Although housing prices have surged again, Killinger is more nervous about the fact that 0% interest rates and big bond purchases by the Federal Reserve have sparked a broader mania in other assets, including cryptocurrencies and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), meme stocks, blank check SPAC mergers and exotic exchange-traded funds.</p>\n<p>\"The bubbles today are broader and deeper in a variety of categories, not just housing,\" Killinger said. \"The Fed's policy of low rates and massive asset purchases worked well to get out of the downturn, but when you keep extending it you can cause unintended consequences.\"</p>\n<p>\"The economy continues to improve. It's time for the Fed to pull in the reins on stimulus and allow interest rates to rise,\" he added.</p>\n<p>Killinger and his wife Linda, a former vice chair of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Des Moines, have written a book about the 2008 meltdown called \"Nothing Is Too Big to Fail: How the Last Financial Crisis Informs Today.\"</p>\n<p>Linda Killinger told CNN Business she's concerned about the rise of of financial tech companies, hedge funds. private equity firms and other so-called shadow banks that face little to no regulation in Washington.</p>\n<p>\"The non-bank system is a big part of the problem. And there are still a lot of loans being done by non-regulated banks such as online banks and many private companies,\" she said.</p>\n<p><b>Large financial firms may be embracing too much risk again</b></p>\n<p>At least one prominent senator is worried, like the Killingers are, that some financial firms are once again getting too unwieldy.</p>\n<p>Elizabeth Warren questioned Treasury secretary Janet Yellen earlier this year about why BlackRock (BLK), the iShares ETF giant that manages more than $9 trillion in assets but is not a bank, is not considered \"too big to fail.\"</p>\n<p>Wall Street has already gotten a brief taste of how risky some of these firms are when Archegos Capital Management, a family office with big positions in media giants ViacomCBS (VIACA) and Discovery (DISCA) and Chinese techs Baidu (BIDU) and Tencent Music (TME), imploded and caused billions of dollars in losses for banks. (AT&amp;T (T) is planning to merge its WarnerMedia unit, CNN's parent company, with Discovery.)</p>\n<p>For its part, the Fed has acknowledged some of the growing risks to the markets and economy from keeping rates lower for longer and continuing to provide crisis-level stimulus.</p>\n<p>In the minutes of its latest policy meeting, the central bank acknowledged that \"if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee's goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases.\"</p>\n<p>But Kerry Killinger thinks the Fed has to do a better job of stress-testing big banks for their exposure to some of the types of assets that have been surging in the past year to make sure that they can withstand even more volatility.</p>\n<p>\"The Fed made the mistake of underestimating subprime in the last crisis,\" he said, referring to the now infamous comments from then Fed chair Ben Bernanke in May 2007 that \"the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will likely be limited.\"</p>\n<p>\"There are growing asset bubbles,\" Kerry Killinger said. \"The Fed needs to test more how firms would perform if these asset prices decline further. If there is a major correction, the impact could be dramatic.\"</p>\n<p>The heads of big banks will also get their chance to talk about their views on the economy later this week. The Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on Wednesday and the House Financial Services Committee has one scheduled for Thursday.</p>\n<p>JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon will appear at both hearings, as will new Citgroup CEO Jane Fraser, BofA's Brian Moynihan, Wells Fargo's Charles Scharf, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and Morgan Stanley's James Gorman.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>In 2008, he was CEO of the biggest bank to ever fail. He's worried about another crisis</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIn 2008, he was CEO of the biggest bank to ever fail. He's worried about another crisis\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-26 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/25/investing/washington-mutual-kerry-killinger-banks/index.html><strong>cnn</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)The banking world nearly caved in 13 years ago. The former CEO of Washington Mutual is worried that another bubble is brewing.\nKerry Killinger was named CEO of WaMu in 1990 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/25/investing/washington-mutual-kerry-killinger-banks/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/25/investing/washington-mutual-kerry-killinger-banks/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129186705","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)The banking world nearly caved in 13 years ago. The former CEO of Washington Mutual is worried that another bubble is brewing.\nKerry Killinger was named CEO of WaMu in 1990 and was fired in September 2008 -- just weeks before the bank failed as a growing number of mortgage loans went bad.\nWaMu was one of several top financial firms to collapse during the financial crisis last decade, but the giant savings and loan with more than $300 billion in assets still ranks as the biggest-ever bank failure. WaMu was seized by regulators in September 2008 and sold to JPMorgan Chase (JPM) for a fire-sale price of $1.9 billion.\nKillinger spoke to CNN Business about the similarities and differences between now and 13 years ago.\nThe good news\nThe Global Financial Crisis led to a wave of new federal rules that were designed to strengthen the balance sheets of top banks and ensure that another catastrophe like 2008 could never happen again.\nThe good news is that Killinger thinks JPMorgan Chase and other \"too big to fail banks\" are in much better shape now after laws like Dodd-Frank and the Volcker Rule were put into place in the wake of the financial crisis to make big banks safer.\nThat group of institutions also includes Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS), as well as others that received government bailouts in 2008.\n\"Regulated banks do have more concentrated market share now so they have to be more careful,\" Killinger said. \"But the health of the industry is great, earnings are good and oversight is strong. I'm not too concerned there.\"\nSubprime lending, the practice of giving mortgages to people with less-than-worthy credit histories, isn't nearly as prevalent as it was during the last housing boom. But Killinger is worried about bubbles in many other parts of the economy that threaten the stability of the markets.\nToo big to fail 2.0?\nAlthough housing prices have surged again, Killinger is more nervous about the fact that 0% interest rates and big bond purchases by the Federal Reserve have sparked a broader mania in other assets, including cryptocurrencies and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), meme stocks, blank check SPAC mergers and exotic exchange-traded funds.\n\"The bubbles today are broader and deeper in a variety of categories, not just housing,\" Killinger said. \"The Fed's policy of low rates and massive asset purchases worked well to get out of the downturn, but when you keep extending it you can cause unintended consequences.\"\n\"The economy continues to improve. It's time for the Fed to pull in the reins on stimulus and allow interest rates to rise,\" he added.\nKillinger and his wife Linda, a former vice chair of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Des Moines, have written a book about the 2008 meltdown called \"Nothing Is Too Big to Fail: How the Last Financial Crisis Informs Today.\"\nLinda Killinger told CNN Business she's concerned about the rise of of financial tech companies, hedge funds. private equity firms and other so-called shadow banks that face little to no regulation in Washington.\n\"The non-bank system is a big part of the problem. And there are still a lot of loans being done by non-regulated banks such as online banks and many private companies,\" she said.\nLarge financial firms may be embracing too much risk again\nAt least one prominent senator is worried, like the Killingers are, that some financial firms are once again getting too unwieldy.\nElizabeth Warren questioned Treasury secretary Janet Yellen earlier this year about why BlackRock (BLK), the iShares ETF giant that manages more than $9 trillion in assets but is not a bank, is not considered \"too big to fail.\"\nWall Street has already gotten a brief taste of how risky some of these firms are when Archegos Capital Management, a family office with big positions in media giants ViacomCBS (VIACA) and Discovery (DISCA) and Chinese techs Baidu (BIDU) and Tencent Music (TME), imploded and caused billions of dollars in losses for banks. (AT&T (T) is planning to merge its WarnerMedia unit, CNN's parent company, with Discovery.)\nFor its part, the Fed has acknowledged some of the growing risks to the markets and economy from keeping rates lower for longer and continuing to provide crisis-level stimulus.\nIn the minutes of its latest policy meeting, the central bank acknowledged that \"if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee's goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases.\"\nBut Kerry Killinger thinks the Fed has to do a better job of stress-testing big banks for their exposure to some of the types of assets that have been surging in the past year to make sure that they can withstand even more volatility.\n\"The Fed made the mistake of underestimating subprime in the last crisis,\" he said, referring to the now infamous comments from then Fed chair Ben Bernanke in May 2007 that \"the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will likely be limited.\"\n\"There are growing asset bubbles,\" Kerry Killinger said. \"The Fed needs to test more how firms would perform if these asset prices decline further. If there is a major correction, the impact could be dramatic.\"\nThe heads of big banks will also get their chance to talk about their views on the economy later this week. The Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on Wednesday and the House Financial Services Committee has one scheduled for Thursday.\nJPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon will appear at both hearings, as will new Citgroup CEO Jane Fraser, BofA's Brian Moynihan, Wells Fargo's Charles Scharf, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and Morgan Stanley's James Gorman.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136903468,"gmtCreate":1621988435054,"gmtModify":1631891863514,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Repost","listText":"Repost","text":"Repost","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136903468","repostId":"1116025923","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131083293,"gmtCreate":1621816612412,"gmtModify":1631891863517,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131083293","repostId":"2137972546","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133179902,"gmtCreate":1621731579506,"gmtModify":1631891863518,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133179902","repostId":"1159725394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159725394","pubTimestamp":1621596616,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159725394?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-21 19:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 reasons you may want to buy Apple ahead of its annual developers conference","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159725394","media":"CNBC","summary":"Apple’s stock could soon see a wave of positive catalysts, according to one trader.Apple is expected to unveil new operating systems for devices including the Mac, iPad, Apple Watch and Apple TV at its annual developers conference, which Gordon sees as a possible boon for the stock.Add in rumors of a new iPhone and redesigned MacBook Pro coming later this year, and the fundamentals largely support an upside move in the stock, he said.“Apple has 30% of the 5G smartphone market right now and it’s ","content":"<div>\n<p>Apple’s stock could soon see a wave of positive catalysts, according to one trader.\nFour things in particular make it a particularly attractive buy ahead of its June 7 worldwide developers conference,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/21/-apple-wwdc-four-reasons-you-may-want-to-buy-apple-stock-soon.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 reasons you may want to buy Apple ahead of its annual developers conference</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 reasons you may want to buy Apple ahead of its annual developers conference\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-21 19:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/21/-apple-wwdc-four-reasons-you-may-want-to-buy-apple-stock-soon.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple’s stock could soon see a wave of positive catalysts, according to one trader.\nFour things in particular make it a particularly attractive buy ahead of its June 7 worldwide developers conference,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/21/-apple-wwdc-four-reasons-you-may-want-to-buy-apple-stock-soon.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/21/-apple-wwdc-four-reasons-you-may-want-to-buy-apple-stock-soon.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1159725394","content_text":"Apple’s stock could soon see a wave of positive catalysts, according to one trader.\nFour things in particular make it a particularly attractive buy ahead of its June 7 worldwide developers conference, TradingAnalysis.com founder Todd Gordon told CNBC’s“Trading Nation”on Thursday.\n1. Fundamentals\nApple is expected to unveil new operating systems for devices including the Mac, iPad, Apple Watch and Apple TV at its annual developers conference, which Gordon sees as a possible boon for the stock.\nAdd in rumors of a new iPhone and redesigned MacBook Pro coming later this year, and the fundamentals largely support an upside move in the stock, he said.\n“Apple has 30% of the 5G smartphone market right now and it’s growing,” Gordon said. “The Q2 earnings blew expectations away. They had double-digit growth rates across all product categories.”\n2. Market dynamics\nThough rising Treasury yields have put pressure on the technology trade in recent weeks, that correlation may be weakening, Gordon said.\n“After the initial move up in March of ’21, yields have gone nowhere. They’ve just gone sideways for two months,” he said.\n\n“We might see a push up in interest rates, but I think the market is starting to expect that, and the initial shock of a sharp move up in rates won’t be as drastic as we see it continue to move up,” he said.\n3. Sector rotation\nHe says a chart showing the sector SPDR ETFs for financials, materials, discretionary and tech rotating in and out of favor is showing an improving outlook for tech.\n\n“In late April into May we saw a very big move into financials and materials,” Gordon said. “We’re starting to see a really nice move into technology. As we head up into [the blue] quadrant, this is the improving quadrant. This is the early sign of a possible rotation back in.”\n4. Technicals\nApple’s stock has also been forming a pattern that plays into Elliott wave theory, a type of predictive technical analysis based on recurring price movements, Gordon said.\nHe said the stock has formed a five-wave pattern while consolidating that could signal a sharp upward move.\n“It looks like we could begin to push higher from this consolidation pattern,” Gordon said.\n\n“If we break below $116.20 in Apple, this pattern is invalid. I would use that as a stop loss,” he said. “I think the upside, using multiple projections that we use, gets you up just south of $200 in Apple. I think that could happen over the next six to nine months in Apple.”\nApple closed at $127.31 on Thursday.\n“For those four reasons, I do think Apple is a buy with a very defined risk, only about $10 from current market prices,” Gordon said. “We could move up, say, $60, $70 from here.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139539093,"gmtCreate":1621643538612,"gmtModify":1631891863519,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139539093","repostId":"1161150268","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130382189,"gmtCreate":1621513253341,"gmtModify":1631891863524,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>Good read","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>Good read","text":"@agoyagiGood read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130382189","repostId":"1187748837","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187748837","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621479312,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187748837?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Has The Moment Of Truth Arrived For Tesla's Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187748837","media":"Benzinga","summary":"When an issue has a ridiculous rally, reaches a ridiculous valuation and retreats, it's impossible to predict if the issue will return to its former glory.This description can be applied to a slew of companies, however, the issue with arguably the biggest cult following is Tesla Inc. and is the PreMarket Prep Stock Of The Day.Besides the masterful influence its CEO, Elon Musk, exhibits through Twitter, there are three important events over the last nine months that have accounted for the fluff o","content":"<p>When an issue has a ridiculous rally, reaches a ridiculous valuation and retreats, it's impossible to predict if the issue will return to its former glory.</p><p>This description can be applied to a slew of companies, however, the issue with arguably the biggest cult&nbsp;following is&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc.</b>&nbsp;and is the PreMarket Prep Stock Of The Day.</p><p><b>How Did It Get So Overvalued?</b>Besides the masterful influence its CEO, Elon Musk, exhibits through Twitter, there are three important events over the last nine months that have accounted for the fluff on top of an already fluffy issue.</p><p>The first one being, the issue's 5-for-1 stock split announced on Aug.&nbsp;11, 2020, which became effective on Aug. 28. In addition, to rallying from its price prior to the announcement ($274.88) to $442.68 (the closing price before the split), it tacked on another $50&nbsp;on the day following the split.</p><p>Many shorts were convinced the split put in the all-time high and were rewarded when the issue cratered to $329.86 in the next five sessions. However, there was another powerful catalyst waiting in wings.</p><p>On Nov. 30, when the issue was hovering at the $400 area, it was announced&nbsp;the company was going to be added to the S&amp;P 500 as of Dec. 21. In an all-out assault on indexers that would need to purchase&nbsp;shares by that date, frontrunners were out in full force.</p><p>Over the next few weeks, the issue rallied from its Nov. 16 close ($408.09) and wasn't added to the index until the staggering price of $695. No change in the fundamentals of the company, but a 70% rally nonetheless.</p><p>Once again, shorts were again convinced that the top was in and were rewarded in the short-term when Tesla swooned to $614.23 only two days later. However, when it cleared that high in the first trading session of 2021, panic buying boosted the issue to $884.49 just&nbsp;five sessions later.</p><p>The ultimate high wasn't made until Jan.&nbsp;25 at $900.40.</p><p>When adding the price increase in Tesla from only two of those events, the split ($225), the S&amp;P 500 add ($287) for a total of $512. When discounting that from its all-time, many consider the fair value of Tesla to be $388 instead of its current price around $560.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5de7cbce5df03f0ec42689a442f148\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The Moment Of Truth Has Arrived</b>: Whatever you think of the above math and logic behind it, there is one thing for certain:&nbsp;the issue has retreated 38%&nbsp;from its all-time high and has reached a critical support level.</p><p>This is simple math from a technical standpoint. Ahead of the January ramp, the issue bottomed in December at $541.21. Panic selling in March took the issue to $539.49 and Wednesday’s low stands at $546.98.</p><p>One does not have to be a Chartered Technical Analyst to know that if the trio of lows at the $540 level is breached, it's&nbsp;going to get real ugly and in a hurry. Support is support until it's breached and once that happens it often becomes major resistance.</p><p>Shareholders are hoping that level isn't taken out, but the longer it hangs out in this area, the more concerned they'll be.</p><p><i>Disclosure: The author of this article is long shares of Tesla.</i></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Has The Moment Of Truth Arrived For Tesla's Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHas The Moment Of Truth Arrived For Tesla's Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-20 10:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When an issue has a ridiculous rally, reaches a ridiculous valuation and retreats, it's impossible to predict if the issue will return to its former glory.</p><p>This description can be applied to a slew of companies, however, the issue with arguably the biggest cult&nbsp;following is&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc.</b>&nbsp;and is the PreMarket Prep Stock Of The Day.</p><p><b>How Did It Get So Overvalued?</b>Besides the masterful influence its CEO, Elon Musk, exhibits through Twitter, there are three important events over the last nine months that have accounted for the fluff on top of an already fluffy issue.</p><p>The first one being, the issue's 5-for-1 stock split announced on Aug.&nbsp;11, 2020, which became effective on Aug. 28. In addition, to rallying from its price prior to the announcement ($274.88) to $442.68 (the closing price before the split), it tacked on another $50&nbsp;on the day following the split.</p><p>Many shorts were convinced the split put in the all-time high and were rewarded when the issue cratered to $329.86 in the next five sessions. However, there was another powerful catalyst waiting in wings.</p><p>On Nov. 30, when the issue was hovering at the $400 area, it was announced&nbsp;the company was going to be added to the S&amp;P 500 as of Dec. 21. In an all-out assault on indexers that would need to purchase&nbsp;shares by that date, frontrunners were out in full force.</p><p>Over the next few weeks, the issue rallied from its Nov. 16 close ($408.09) and wasn't added to the index until the staggering price of $695. No change in the fundamentals of the company, but a 70% rally nonetheless.</p><p>Once again, shorts were again convinced that the top was in and were rewarded in the short-term when Tesla swooned to $614.23 only two days later. However, when it cleared that high in the first trading session of 2021, panic buying boosted the issue to $884.49 just&nbsp;five sessions later.</p><p>The ultimate high wasn't made until Jan.&nbsp;25 at $900.40.</p><p>When adding the price increase in Tesla from only two of those events, the split ($225), the S&amp;P 500 add ($287) for a total of $512. When discounting that from its all-time, many consider the fair value of Tesla to be $388 instead of its current price around $560.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5de7cbce5df03f0ec42689a442f148\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The Moment Of Truth Has Arrived</b>: Whatever you think of the above math and logic behind it, there is one thing for certain:&nbsp;the issue has retreated 38%&nbsp;from its all-time high and has reached a critical support level.</p><p>This is simple math from a technical standpoint. Ahead of the January ramp, the issue bottomed in December at $541.21. Panic selling in March took the issue to $539.49 and Wednesday’s low stands at $546.98.</p><p>One does not have to be a Chartered Technical Analyst to know that if the trio of lows at the $540 level is breached, it's&nbsp;going to get real ugly and in a hurry. Support is support until it's breached and once that happens it often becomes major resistance.</p><p>Shareholders are hoping that level isn't taken out, but the longer it hangs out in this area, the more concerned they'll be.</p><p><i>Disclosure: The author of this article is long shares of Tesla.</i></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187748837","content_text":"When an issue has a ridiculous rally, reaches a ridiculous valuation and retreats, it's impossible to predict if the issue will return to its former glory.This description can be applied to a slew of companies, however, the issue with arguably the biggest cult following is Tesla Inc. and is the PreMarket Prep Stock Of The Day.How Did It Get So Overvalued?Besides the masterful influence its CEO, Elon Musk, exhibits through Twitter, there are three important events over the last nine months that have accounted for the fluff on top of an already fluffy issue.The first one being, the issue's 5-for-1 stock split announced on Aug. 11, 2020, which became effective on Aug. 28. In addition, to rallying from its price prior to the announcement ($274.88) to $442.68 (the closing price before the split), it tacked on another $50 on the day following the split.Many shorts were convinced the split put in the all-time high and were rewarded when the issue cratered to $329.86 in the next five sessions. However, there was another powerful catalyst waiting in wings.On Nov. 30, when the issue was hovering at the $400 area, it was announced the company was going to be added to the S&P 500 as of Dec. 21. In an all-out assault on indexers that would need to purchase shares by that date, frontrunners were out in full force.Over the next few weeks, the issue rallied from its Nov. 16 close ($408.09) and wasn't added to the index until the staggering price of $695. No change in the fundamentals of the company, but a 70% rally nonetheless.Once again, shorts were again convinced that the top was in and were rewarded in the short-term when Tesla swooned to $614.23 only two days later. However, when it cleared that high in the first trading session of 2021, panic buying boosted the issue to $884.49 just five sessions later.The ultimate high wasn't made until Jan. 25 at $900.40.When adding the price increase in Tesla from only two of those events, the split ($225), the S&P 500 add ($287) for a total of $512. When discounting that from its all-time, many consider the fair value of Tesla to be $388 instead of its current price around $560.The Moment Of Truth Has Arrived: Whatever you think of the above math and logic behind it, there is one thing for certain: the issue has retreated 38% from its all-time high and has reached a critical support level.This is simple math from a technical standpoint. Ahead of the January ramp, the issue bottomed in December at $541.21. Panic selling in March took the issue to $539.49 and Wednesday’s low stands at $546.98.One does not have to be a Chartered Technical Analyst to know that if the trio of lows at the $540 level is breached, it's going to get real ugly and in a hurry. Support is support until it's breached and once that happens it often becomes major resistance.Shareholders are hoping that level isn't taken out, but the longer it hangs out in this area, the more concerned they'll be.Disclosure: The author of this article is long shares of Tesla.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":181940748,"gmtCreate":1623371772684,"gmtModify":1631884666512,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"China tech 🤙🏻&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Didi, Grab and Gojek, which are you looking forward the most?","listText":"China tech 🤙🏻&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Didi, Grab and Gojek, which are you looking forward the most?","text":"China tech 🤙🏻 //@agoyagi:Didi, Grab and Gojek, which are you looking forward the most?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181940748","repostId":"1152704038","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152704038","pubTimestamp":1623367425,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152704038?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 07:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China's Didi reveals U.S. IPO filing, sets stage for blockbuster New York float","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152704038","media":"reuters","summary":"(Reuters) -Didi Chuxing, China’s biggest ride-hailing firm, on Thursday made public its filing for a","content":"<p>(Reuters) -Didi Chuxing, China’s biggest ride-hailing firm, on Thursday made public its filing for a U.S. stock market listing, setting the stage for what is expected to be the world’s biggest initial public offering this year.</p>\n<p>The company - backed by Asia’s largest technology investment firms, SoftBank, Alibaba and Tencent - did not reveal the size of the offering, but sources familiar with the matter had previously told Reuters that the ride-hailing giant could raise around $10 billion and seek a valuation of close to $100 billion.</p>\n<p>At that valuation, Didi’s stock market flotation would be the biggest Chinese share offering in the United States, since Alibaba raised $25 billion in its blockbuster IPO in 2014.</p>\n<p>In its filing on Thursday, Didi revealed slower revenue growth in 2020 due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, which grounded the global ride-hailing industry to a halt as lockdowns were enforced all over the globe.</p>\n<p>For 2020, Didi reported revenue of 141.7 billion yuan ($22.17 billion), down from 154.8 billion yuan a year earlier. Net loss stood at 10.6 billion yuan in 2020, compared with 9.7 billion yuan a year earlier.</p>\n<p>However, Didi started 2021 strongly, as businesses reopened in China. Revenue more than doubled to 42.2 billion yuan (US$6.4 billion) for the three months ended March 31 from 20.5 billion yuan a year earlier.</p>\n<p>CHINESE IPO GOLD RUSH</p>\n<p>Didi confidentially filed for its IPO in April. A source familiar with the matter on Thursday said Didi was aiming to go public in July.</p>\n<p>The mega IPO highlights the lucrative business opportunity presented by Asian tech giants for Wall Street’s big investment banks.</p>\n<p>Earlier this year, Singapore’s biggest ride-hailing firm, Grab, struck a $40 billion deal with a special purpose acquisition company, backed by investment firm Altimeter, to go public in the United States.</p>\n<p>Last year, Chinese companies raised $12 billion from U.S. listings, more than triple the fundraising amount in 2019, according to Refinitiv data. This year, the raise from Chinese floats on U.S. exchanges is expected to comfortably surpass last year’s tally.</p>\n<p>Didi, which merged with then main rival Kuaidi in 2015 to create a smartphone-based transport services giant, counts as its core business a mobile app, where users can hail taxis, privately owned cars, car-pool options and even buses in some cities.</p>\n<p>Didi plans to list American Depositary Shares (ADSs) on either Nasdaq or the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol \"DIDI\", the company said. (bit.ly/2RGjK0s)</p>\n<p>Didi Chief Executive Cheng Wei said last year the firm aims to have 800 million monthly active users globally and complete 100 million orders a day by 2022, including ride-sharing, bike and food delivery orders.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and J.P.Morgan are the lead underwriters for the offering.</p>","source":"lsy1601381805984","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China's Didi reveals U.S. IPO filing, sets stage for blockbuster New York float</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina's Didi reveals U.S. IPO filing, sets stage for blockbuster New York float\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 07:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/didi-ipo/update-2-chinas-didi-reveals-u-s-ipo-filing-sets-stage-for-blockbuster-new-york-float-idUSL3N2NS42U><strong>reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) -Didi Chuxing, China’s biggest ride-hailing firm, on Thursday made public its filing for a U.S. stock market listing, setting the stage for what is expected to be the world’s biggest initial...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/didi-ipo/update-2-chinas-didi-reveals-u-s-ipo-filing-sets-stage-for-blockbuster-new-york-float-idUSL3N2NS42U\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/didi-ipo/update-2-chinas-didi-reveals-u-s-ipo-filing-sets-stage-for-blockbuster-new-york-float-idUSL3N2NS42U","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152704038","content_text":"(Reuters) -Didi Chuxing, China’s biggest ride-hailing firm, on Thursday made public its filing for a U.S. stock market listing, setting the stage for what is expected to be the world’s biggest initial public offering this year.\nThe company - backed by Asia’s largest technology investment firms, SoftBank, Alibaba and Tencent - did not reveal the size of the offering, but sources familiar with the matter had previously told Reuters that the ride-hailing giant could raise around $10 billion and seek a valuation of close to $100 billion.\nAt that valuation, Didi’s stock market flotation would be the biggest Chinese share offering in the United States, since Alibaba raised $25 billion in its blockbuster IPO in 2014.\nIn its filing on Thursday, Didi revealed slower revenue growth in 2020 due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, which grounded the global ride-hailing industry to a halt as lockdowns were enforced all over the globe.\nFor 2020, Didi reported revenue of 141.7 billion yuan ($22.17 billion), down from 154.8 billion yuan a year earlier. Net loss stood at 10.6 billion yuan in 2020, compared with 9.7 billion yuan a year earlier.\nHowever, Didi started 2021 strongly, as businesses reopened in China. Revenue more than doubled to 42.2 billion yuan (US$6.4 billion) for the three months ended March 31 from 20.5 billion yuan a year earlier.\nCHINESE IPO GOLD RUSH\nDidi confidentially filed for its IPO in April. A source familiar with the matter on Thursday said Didi was aiming to go public in July.\nThe mega IPO highlights the lucrative business opportunity presented by Asian tech giants for Wall Street’s big investment banks.\nEarlier this year, Singapore’s biggest ride-hailing firm, Grab, struck a $40 billion deal with a special purpose acquisition company, backed by investment firm Altimeter, to go public in the United States.\nLast year, Chinese companies raised $12 billion from U.S. listings, more than triple the fundraising amount in 2019, according to Refinitiv data. This year, the raise from Chinese floats on U.S. exchanges is expected to comfortably surpass last year’s tally.\nDidi, which merged with then main rival Kuaidi in 2015 to create a smartphone-based transport services giant, counts as its core business a mobile app, where users can hail taxis, privately owned cars, car-pool options and even buses in some cities.\nDidi plans to list American Depositary Shares (ADSs) on either Nasdaq or the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol \"DIDI\", the company said. (bit.ly/2RGjK0s)\nDidi Chief Executive Cheng Wei said last year the firm aims to have 800 million monthly active users globally and complete 100 million orders a day by 2022, including ride-sharing, bike and food delivery orders.\nGoldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and J.P.Morgan are the lead underwriters for the offering.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160512609,"gmtCreate":1623801859201,"gmtModify":1631891863465,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>What’s new 🤔","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>What’s new 🤔","text":"@agoyagiWhat’s new 🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160512609","repostId":"2143680537","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143680537","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623797252,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2143680537?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 06:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down as data spooks investors awaiting Fed report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143680537","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street’s main indices closed lower on Tuesday as data showing stronger inflation and weaker U.S. retail sales in May spooked already-jittery investors awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.Assurance from the Fed that rising prices are transitory and falling U.S. Treasury yields have helped ease some concerns over inflation and supported U.S. stocks in recent weeks. All eyes are now on the central bank’s statement at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Wedn","content":"<p>Wall Street’s main indices closed lower on Tuesday as data showing stronger inflation and weaker U.S. retail sales in May spooked already-jittery investors awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.</p>\n<p>Assurance from the Fed that rising prices are transitory and falling U.S. Treasury yields have helped ease some concerns over inflation and supported U.S. stocks in recent weeks. All eyes are now on the central bank’s statement at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Data showed an acceleration in producer prices last month as supply chains struggled to meet demand unleashed by the reopening of the economy. A separate report showed U.S. retail sales dropped more than expected in May.</p>\n<p>“There was a bit of a reaction to the economic data we got, which, for the most part, shows that the economy is starting to wean itself off stimulus, the recovery is slowing down a little, and inflation is continuing to grow,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at OANDA.</p>\n<p>“We’re seeing some very modest weakness, and it’ll be choppy leading up to the Fed decision. Right now, the Fed is probably in a position to show they are thinking about tapering, but they’re still a long way from actually doing it.”</p>\n<p>The Fed is likely to announce in August or September a strategy for reducing its massive bond buying program, but will not start cutting monthly purchases until early next year, a Reuters poll of economists found.</p>\n<p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500, the blue-chip Dow Jones and the tech-focused Nasdaq have risen 13%, 12.1% and 9.2% respectively so far this year, largely driven by optimism about an economic reopening.</p>\n<p>However, the S&amp;P 500 has been broadly stuck within a range, despite recording its 29th record-high finish of 2021 on Monday, versus 33 for all of last year.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.42 points, or 0.27%, to 34,299.33, the S&amp;P 500 lost 8.56 points, or 0.20%, to 4,246.59 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.29 points, or 0.71%, to 14,072.86.</p>\n<p>Seven of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors slipped. Among them was communication services, which ended 0.5% lower, having hit a record intraday high earlier in the session.</p>\n<p>The largest gainer was the energy index, which rose 2.1% on oil prices hitting multi-year highs on a positive demand outlook. Exxon Mobil Corp had its best day since Mar. 5, jumping 3.6%. [O/R]</p>\n<p>In corporate news, Boeing Co gained 0.6% after the United States and the European Union agreed on a truce in their 17-year conflict over aircraft subsidies involving the planemaker and its rival Airbus.</p>\n<p>Having slumped 19% on Monday, Lordstown Motors Corp shares rebounded 11.3% after comments from the electric truck manufacturer’s president on orders.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.98 billion shares, compared with the 10.58 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 87 new highs and 21 new lows.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down as data spooks investors awaiting Fed report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down as data spooks investors awaiting Fed report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-16 06:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wall Street’s main indices closed lower on Tuesday as data showing stronger inflation and weaker U.S. retail sales in May spooked already-jittery investors awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.</p>\n<p>Assurance from the Fed that rising prices are transitory and falling U.S. Treasury yields have helped ease some concerns over inflation and supported U.S. stocks in recent weeks. All eyes are now on the central bank’s statement at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Data showed an acceleration in producer prices last month as supply chains struggled to meet demand unleashed by the reopening of the economy. A separate report showed U.S. retail sales dropped more than expected in May.</p>\n<p>“There was a bit of a reaction to the economic data we got, which, for the most part, shows that the economy is starting to wean itself off stimulus, the recovery is slowing down a little, and inflation is continuing to grow,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at OANDA.</p>\n<p>“We’re seeing some very modest weakness, and it’ll be choppy leading up to the Fed decision. Right now, the Fed is probably in a position to show they are thinking about tapering, but they’re still a long way from actually doing it.”</p>\n<p>The Fed is likely to announce in August or September a strategy for reducing its massive bond buying program, but will not start cutting monthly purchases until early next year, a Reuters poll of economists found.</p>\n<p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500, the blue-chip Dow Jones and the tech-focused Nasdaq have risen 13%, 12.1% and 9.2% respectively so far this year, largely driven by optimism about an economic reopening.</p>\n<p>However, the S&amp;P 500 has been broadly stuck within a range, despite recording its 29th record-high finish of 2021 on Monday, versus 33 for all of last year.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.42 points, or 0.27%, to 34,299.33, the S&amp;P 500 lost 8.56 points, or 0.20%, to 4,246.59 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.29 points, or 0.71%, to 14,072.86.</p>\n<p>Seven of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors slipped. Among them was communication services, which ended 0.5% lower, having hit a record intraday high earlier in the session.</p>\n<p>The largest gainer was the energy index, which rose 2.1% on oil prices hitting multi-year highs on a positive demand outlook. Exxon Mobil Corp had its best day since Mar. 5, jumping 3.6%. [O/R]</p>\n<p>In corporate news, Boeing Co gained 0.6% after the United States and the European Union agreed on a truce in their 17-year conflict over aircraft subsidies involving the planemaker and its rival Airbus.</p>\n<p>Having slumped 19% on Monday, Lordstown Motors Corp shares rebounded 11.3% after comments from the electric truck manufacturer’s president on orders.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.98 billion shares, compared with the 10.58 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 87 new highs and 21 new lows.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","BA":"波音","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143680537","content_text":"Wall Street’s main indices closed lower on Tuesday as data showing stronger inflation and weaker U.S. retail sales in May spooked already-jittery investors awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.\nAssurance from the Fed that rising prices are transitory and falling U.S. Treasury yields have helped ease some concerns over inflation and supported U.S. stocks in recent weeks. All eyes are now on the central bank’s statement at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.\nData showed an acceleration in producer prices last month as supply chains struggled to meet demand unleashed by the reopening of the economy. A separate report showed U.S. retail sales dropped more than expected in May.\n“There was a bit of a reaction to the economic data we got, which, for the most part, shows that the economy is starting to wean itself off stimulus, the recovery is slowing down a little, and inflation is continuing to grow,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at OANDA.\n“We’re seeing some very modest weakness, and it’ll be choppy leading up to the Fed decision. Right now, the Fed is probably in a position to show they are thinking about tapering, but they’re still a long way from actually doing it.”\nThe Fed is likely to announce in August or September a strategy for reducing its massive bond buying program, but will not start cutting monthly purchases until early next year, a Reuters poll of economists found.\nThe benchmark S&P 500, the blue-chip Dow Jones and the tech-focused Nasdaq have risen 13%, 12.1% and 9.2% respectively so far this year, largely driven by optimism about an economic reopening.\nHowever, the S&P 500 has been broadly stuck within a range, despite recording its 29th record-high finish of 2021 on Monday, versus 33 for all of last year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.42 points, or 0.27%, to 34,299.33, the S&P 500 lost 8.56 points, or 0.20%, to 4,246.59 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.29 points, or 0.71%, to 14,072.86.\nSeven of the 11 major S&P sectors slipped. Among them was communication services, which ended 0.5% lower, having hit a record intraday high earlier in the session.\nThe largest gainer was the energy index, which rose 2.1% on oil prices hitting multi-year highs on a positive demand outlook. Exxon Mobil Corp had its best day since Mar. 5, jumping 3.6%. [O/R]\nIn corporate news, Boeing Co gained 0.6% after the United States and the European Union agreed on a truce in their 17-year conflict over aircraft subsidies involving the planemaker and its rival Airbus.\nHaving slumped 19% on Monday, Lordstown Motors Corp shares rebounded 11.3% after comments from the electric truck manufacturer’s president on orders.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.98 billion shares, compared with the 10.58 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 87 new highs and 21 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106384595,"gmtCreate":1620088605117,"gmtModify":1631891863592,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reaching the target soon?","listText":"Reaching the target soon?","text":"Reaching the target soon?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/038a3ccd8a5d38a6d6f563bef3303adf","width":"1125","height":"2756"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106384595","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190839150,"gmtCreate":1620609947670,"gmtModify":1634197757782,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190839150","repostId":"1120563519","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120563519","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620445920,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120563519?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 11:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Raises China Model 3 Prices, Citing Cost Fluctuations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120563519","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla Inc.raised the price of a Model 3 sedan in China by 1,000 yuan ($155) from Saturday, citing co","content":"<p>Tesla Inc.raised the price of a Model 3 sedan in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> by 1,000 yuan ($155) from Saturday, citing cost fluctuations.</p><p>The basic model of the vehicle is now priced at 250,900 yuan, the automaker said in aposton its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">Weibo</a> social media account.</p><p>China’sinflationis generally under control, The Economic Daily reported Friday, citing an official from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">National</a> Bureau of Statistics.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aedaee7c79ea684b08f11620857e02a7\" tg-width=\"741\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Raises China Model 3 Prices, Citing Cost Fluctuations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Raises China Model 3 Prices, Citing Cost Fluctuations\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-08 11:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla Inc.raised the price of a Model 3 sedan in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> by 1,000 yuan ($155) from Saturday, citing cost fluctuations.</p><p>The basic model of the vehicle is now priced at 250,900 yuan, the automaker said in aposton its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">Weibo</a> social media account.</p><p>China’sinflationis generally under control, The Economic Daily reported Friday, citing an official from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">National</a> Bureau of Statistics.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aedaee7c79ea684b08f11620857e02a7\" tg-width=\"741\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","CAAS":"中汽系统"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120563519","content_text":"Tesla Inc.raised the price of a Model 3 sedan in China by 1,000 yuan ($155) from Saturday, citing cost fluctuations.The basic model of the vehicle is now priced at 250,900 yuan, the automaker said in aposton its Weibo social media account.China’sinflationis generally under control, The Economic Daily reported Friday, citing an official from the National Bureau of Statistics.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115075318,"gmtCreate":1622944516634,"gmtModify":1631891863491,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bull or Bear?","listText":"Bull or Bear?","text":"Bull or Bear?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115075318","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111206793,"gmtCreate":1622681146012,"gmtModify":1631891863496,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111206793","repostId":"2139480149","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130382189,"gmtCreate":1621513253341,"gmtModify":1631891863524,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>Good read","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>Good read","text":"@agoyagiGood read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130382189","repostId":"1187748837","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187748837","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621479312,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187748837?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Has The Moment Of Truth Arrived For Tesla's Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187748837","media":"Benzinga","summary":"When an issue has a ridiculous rally, reaches a ridiculous valuation and retreats, it's impossible to predict if the issue will return to its former glory.This description can be applied to a slew of companies, however, the issue with arguably the biggest cult following is Tesla Inc. and is the PreMarket Prep Stock Of The Day.Besides the masterful influence its CEO, Elon Musk, exhibits through Twitter, there are three important events over the last nine months that have accounted for the fluff o","content":"<p>When an issue has a ridiculous rally, reaches a ridiculous valuation and retreats, it's impossible to predict if the issue will return to its former glory.</p><p>This description can be applied to a slew of companies, however, the issue with arguably the biggest cult&nbsp;following is&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc.</b>&nbsp;and is the PreMarket Prep Stock Of The Day.</p><p><b>How Did It Get So Overvalued?</b>Besides the masterful influence its CEO, Elon Musk, exhibits through Twitter, there are three important events over the last nine months that have accounted for the fluff on top of an already fluffy issue.</p><p>The first one being, the issue's 5-for-1 stock split announced on Aug.&nbsp;11, 2020, which became effective on Aug. 28. In addition, to rallying from its price prior to the announcement ($274.88) to $442.68 (the closing price before the split), it tacked on another $50&nbsp;on the day following the split.</p><p>Many shorts were convinced the split put in the all-time high and were rewarded when the issue cratered to $329.86 in the next five sessions. However, there was another powerful catalyst waiting in wings.</p><p>On Nov. 30, when the issue was hovering at the $400 area, it was announced&nbsp;the company was going to be added to the S&amp;P 500 as of Dec. 21. In an all-out assault on indexers that would need to purchase&nbsp;shares by that date, frontrunners were out in full force.</p><p>Over the next few weeks, the issue rallied from its Nov. 16 close ($408.09) and wasn't added to the index until the staggering price of $695. No change in the fundamentals of the company, but a 70% rally nonetheless.</p><p>Once again, shorts were again convinced that the top was in and were rewarded in the short-term when Tesla swooned to $614.23 only two days later. However, when it cleared that high in the first trading session of 2021, panic buying boosted the issue to $884.49 just&nbsp;five sessions later.</p><p>The ultimate high wasn't made until Jan.&nbsp;25 at $900.40.</p><p>When adding the price increase in Tesla from only two of those events, the split ($225), the S&amp;P 500 add ($287) for a total of $512. When discounting that from its all-time, many consider the fair value of Tesla to be $388 instead of its current price around $560.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5de7cbce5df03f0ec42689a442f148\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The Moment Of Truth Has Arrived</b>: Whatever you think of the above math and logic behind it, there is one thing for certain:&nbsp;the issue has retreated 38%&nbsp;from its all-time high and has reached a critical support level.</p><p>This is simple math from a technical standpoint. Ahead of the January ramp, the issue bottomed in December at $541.21. Panic selling in March took the issue to $539.49 and Wednesday’s low stands at $546.98.</p><p>One does not have to be a Chartered Technical Analyst to know that if the trio of lows at the $540 level is breached, it's&nbsp;going to get real ugly and in a hurry. Support is support until it's breached and once that happens it often becomes major resistance.</p><p>Shareholders are hoping that level isn't taken out, but the longer it hangs out in this area, the more concerned they'll be.</p><p><i>Disclosure: The author of this article is long shares of Tesla.</i></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Has The Moment Of Truth Arrived For Tesla's Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHas The Moment Of Truth Arrived For Tesla's Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-20 10:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When an issue has a ridiculous rally, reaches a ridiculous valuation and retreats, it's impossible to predict if the issue will return to its former glory.</p><p>This description can be applied to a slew of companies, however, the issue with arguably the biggest cult&nbsp;following is&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc.</b>&nbsp;and is the PreMarket Prep Stock Of The Day.</p><p><b>How Did It Get So Overvalued?</b>Besides the masterful influence its CEO, Elon Musk, exhibits through Twitter, there are three important events over the last nine months that have accounted for the fluff on top of an already fluffy issue.</p><p>The first one being, the issue's 5-for-1 stock split announced on Aug.&nbsp;11, 2020, which became effective on Aug. 28. In addition, to rallying from its price prior to the announcement ($274.88) to $442.68 (the closing price before the split), it tacked on another $50&nbsp;on the day following the split.</p><p>Many shorts were convinced the split put in the all-time high and were rewarded when the issue cratered to $329.86 in the next five sessions. However, there was another powerful catalyst waiting in wings.</p><p>On Nov. 30, when the issue was hovering at the $400 area, it was announced&nbsp;the company was going to be added to the S&amp;P 500 as of Dec. 21. In an all-out assault on indexers that would need to purchase&nbsp;shares by that date, frontrunners were out in full force.</p><p>Over the next few weeks, the issue rallied from its Nov. 16 close ($408.09) and wasn't added to the index until the staggering price of $695. No change in the fundamentals of the company, but a 70% rally nonetheless.</p><p>Once again, shorts were again convinced that the top was in and were rewarded in the short-term when Tesla swooned to $614.23 only two days later. However, when it cleared that high in the first trading session of 2021, panic buying boosted the issue to $884.49 just&nbsp;five sessions later.</p><p>The ultimate high wasn't made until Jan.&nbsp;25 at $900.40.</p><p>When adding the price increase in Tesla from only two of those events, the split ($225), the S&amp;P 500 add ($287) for a total of $512. When discounting that from its all-time, many consider the fair value of Tesla to be $388 instead of its current price around $560.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5de7cbce5df03f0ec42689a442f148\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The Moment Of Truth Has Arrived</b>: Whatever you think of the above math and logic behind it, there is one thing for certain:&nbsp;the issue has retreated 38%&nbsp;from its all-time high and has reached a critical support level.</p><p>This is simple math from a technical standpoint. Ahead of the January ramp, the issue bottomed in December at $541.21. Panic selling in March took the issue to $539.49 and Wednesday’s low stands at $546.98.</p><p>One does not have to be a Chartered Technical Analyst to know that if the trio of lows at the $540 level is breached, it's&nbsp;going to get real ugly and in a hurry. Support is support until it's breached and once that happens it often becomes major resistance.</p><p>Shareholders are hoping that level isn't taken out, but the longer it hangs out in this area, the more concerned they'll be.</p><p><i>Disclosure: The author of this article is long shares of Tesla.</i></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187748837","content_text":"When an issue has a ridiculous rally, reaches a ridiculous valuation and retreats, it's impossible to predict if the issue will return to its former glory.This description can be applied to a slew of companies, however, the issue with arguably the biggest cult following is Tesla Inc. and is the PreMarket Prep Stock Of The Day.How Did It Get So Overvalued?Besides the masterful influence its CEO, Elon Musk, exhibits through Twitter, there are three important events over the last nine months that have accounted for the fluff on top of an already fluffy issue.The first one being, the issue's 5-for-1 stock split announced on Aug. 11, 2020, which became effective on Aug. 28. In addition, to rallying from its price prior to the announcement ($274.88) to $442.68 (the closing price before the split), it tacked on another $50 on the day following the split.Many shorts were convinced the split put in the all-time high and were rewarded when the issue cratered to $329.86 in the next five sessions. However, there was another powerful catalyst waiting in wings.On Nov. 30, when the issue was hovering at the $400 area, it was announced the company was going to be added to the S&P 500 as of Dec. 21. In an all-out assault on indexers that would need to purchase shares by that date, frontrunners were out in full force.Over the next few weeks, the issue rallied from its Nov. 16 close ($408.09) and wasn't added to the index until the staggering price of $695. No change in the fundamentals of the company, but a 70% rally nonetheless.Once again, shorts were again convinced that the top was in and were rewarded in the short-term when Tesla swooned to $614.23 only two days later. However, when it cleared that high in the first trading session of 2021, panic buying boosted the issue to $884.49 just five sessions later.The ultimate high wasn't made until Jan. 25 at $900.40.When adding the price increase in Tesla from only two of those events, the split ($225), the S&P 500 add ($287) for a total of $512. When discounting that from its all-time, many consider the fair value of Tesla to be $388 instead of its current price around $560.The Moment Of Truth Has Arrived: Whatever you think of the above math and logic behind it, there is one thing for certain: the issue has retreated 38% from its all-time high and has reached a critical support level.This is simple math from a technical standpoint. Ahead of the January ramp, the issue bottomed in December at $541.21. Panic selling in March took the issue to $539.49 and Wednesday’s low stands at $546.98.One does not have to be a Chartered Technical Analyst to know that if the trio of lows at the $540 level is breached, it's going to get real ugly and in a hurry. Support is support until it's breached and once that happens it often becomes major resistance.Shareholders are hoping that level isn't taken out, but the longer it hangs out in this area, the more concerned they'll be.Disclosure: The author of this article is long shares of Tesla.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107579263,"gmtCreate":1620525429452,"gmtModify":1634198270812,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"End of May - A date to look out for [Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"End of May - A date to look out for [Smile]&nbsp;","text":"End of May - A date to look out for [Smile]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3479d49f7167aea7da78ce1bf976440","width":"1125","height":"2497"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107579263","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182914507,"gmtCreate":1623550435909,"gmtModify":1631891863472,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182914507","repostId":"1190309980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117937280,"gmtCreate":1623113021840,"gmtModify":1631891863482,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[666]&nbsp;","listText":"[666]&nbsp;","text":"[666]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117937280","repostId":"1133174841","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133174841","pubTimestamp":1623078982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133174841?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-07 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133174841","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nFirst, I look at Palantir's price action this year.\nSecond, I examine PLTR's growth project","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>First, I look at Palantir's price action this year.</li>\n <li>Second, I examine PLTR's growth projections.</li>\n <li>Third, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group.</li>\n <li>Lastly, I give my thoughts on price projections out through 2025.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>First, I look at Palantir's(NYSE:PLTR)price action this year. I provide some quick thoughts on what I've seen. Second, I look into PLTR's growth projections. I believe the aggression is hidden and I reveal why I feel that way. Third, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group, and what that means going forward, especially in light of revenue growth into 2025. Lastly, I revisit the topic of price but also price projections for investors.</p>\n<p><b>Rollercoaster</b></p>\n<p>Here's what's happened thus far in 2021.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db04b39e358c9cdec5bc2d02251bd13\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The summary is simple. We are back where we started in January. If you bought and then closed your eyes, you would have gone absolutely nowhere. And, if your eyes were wide open, you would have experienced rather significant volatility, bouncing up against $39 but also muddling through $18. It goes without saying that PLTR has moved 50% top to bottom. But, importantly, we are back where we started.</p>\n<p>Now, here's where it gets interesting, because just putting money into the NASDAQ (QQQ) would give you superior returns with far less stomach-churning volatility. I'm not concerned with owning QQQ. I'm more than happy to own PLTR because, as I'll show later, it's likely to 5x my investment from this point in time. In any case, take a look at the relative calm of QQQ.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5563cce1afd961f1fe70a3ad7af88891\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Here I want to add another layer of paint. We started with PLTR itself, then added QQQ. What happens when we go back in time to PLTR's direct listing?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/804f2c567c89bab14a62ee5b333631bb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This is the picture that matters most to me. Here's what this means in simple terms, which is what works best in my mind. If you bought early, nothing really happened for a few weeks but then PLTR really took off. Therefore, early investors -<i>like me</i>- took the risk and have benefitted greatly despite all volatility after the directly public offering. With a long view, volatility is not a threat or a \"risk\", but instead, it's an opportunity to buy low.</p>\n<p>In any case, if you started buying in 2021, then you're slightly behind versus the market but your investment certainly isn't trash. Furthermore, if you literally bought in the early part of 2021, and you held, then nothing bad has occurred. You are up. Again, volatility shakes out the weak hands. Long term, volatility is just noise - the price gets more and more smooth, year by year.</p>\n<p>Here's the insight. Buying and holding PLTR has worked out fine, even spectacularly, unless you bought during the big spikes in January, February, and March. Of course, if you traded against PLTR by shorting and buying puts during those times, you did fine. That's not my game, but I can see why it appeals to traders.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, here's the key: For long-term buy-and-hold investors, PLTR is moving along just fine. Perhaps it's not winning like crazy in terms of price, but it's not exactly losing either. Our horizon is long and strong.</p>\n<p>There Is a Disturbance in the Force</p>\n<p>I'm rather surprised that there hasn't been more focus on PLTR's big picture projections. Specifically, I am talking about this:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56383c3eaaea1d58abb1307e4fde30c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source:PLTR Q4 Business Update Presentation</p>\n<p>See the numbers there?<i>Revenue of $4 billion or more in 2025</i>.</p>\n<p>We also know that PLTR grew Q1 2021 revenue by49% year-over-year, generating $341 million across government and commercial segments. That's above the 45% revenue growth previously projected. That's a run rate of $800 million for 2021. And, for Q2 2021, revenue growth is expected to be 43%, which translates to $360 million.</p>\n<p>Those numbers for 2021 are fine and dandy and useful to hear. However, what I like more is that PLTR expects 30% growth in 2021 and the next four years. Yes, there's an implication of growth slowing in H2 of 2021, I see that too. However, we can run some pretty simple calculus with these numbers.</p>\n<p>First, we can start with the $800 million projection for 2021, check it against the 30% growth expectations. Here's how it lines up.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2021 = $800 million</li>\n <li>2022 = $1,040 million (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $1,350 million (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $1,760 million (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $2,300 million (30% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In other words, when we start with $800 million for 2021, it's pretty obvious that the 30% growth doesn't cut it. We cannot reach $4 billion by 2025 with \"only\" 30% growth. PLTR is perhapssandbaggingto keep expectations lower. It's hard to know for sure. It could also be that they expect faster growth in 2022 through 2025. Let's run these numbers again with 40% growth.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2021 = $800 million</li>\n <li>2022 = $1,120 million (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $1,570 million (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $2,195 million (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $3,070 million (40% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Once again, even with 40% year-over-year growth, we do not reach the $4 billion projected for 2025. Now, here's the first thing I want to point out about this oddity. My numbers might be wrong. My math might be too simple. I understand that possibility, but what this tells me is that PLTR has a different view of growth than my \"straight line\" projections. They are predators, but they are cautious too.</p>\n<p>What happens if we go a little crazy and use 49%, which is what PLTR achieved in Q1 2021. That's nearly 50% growth, of course. Here's how it looks using the same approach I've been using above.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2021 = $800 million</li>\n <li>2022 = $1,200 million (49% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $1,776 million (49% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $2,246 million (49% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $3,943 million (49% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Hopefully, now it's clear why I'm so surprised that this hasn't been given more attention. While I realize I'm using \"straight line\" projections year-over-year, I'm kind of shocked that these assumptions and projections haven't been better analyzed until now. The numbers are obvious and simple, and coming straight from PLTR.</p>\n<p>Again, maybe I've got something wrong here, but to achieve $4 billion in revenue in 2025,<i>PLTR is going to have to grow by 50% every year</i>, from 2022 through 2025. That's an empirical necessity. Therefore, either PLTR is dead wrong and cannot achieve $4 billion in revenue, or perhaps they expect growth to be 50% year-over-year, or maybe that growth will be 40%, then 50%, then even higher. That is, they expect growth to accelerate.</p>\n<p>I don't believe that PLTR would knowingly publish expectations of $4 billion in 2025 without strong conviction. That is to say, it doesn't appear to be aspirational given their relatively cautious and conservative leadership. After all, theywaited 17 years to go public. Plus, with their load of government customers, it's not like they can fly by the seat of their pants. It is not in their DNA or the culture of the business from what I've seen.</p>\n<p>Peers and Price</p>\n<p>Here we take an interesting turn. Although I've written about PLTR many times, I haven't revealed something publicly before. Specifically, I have direct experience with a defense contractor. To be even more precise, I worked inside a defense contractor in a privileged position with access to an amazing crew of programmers, engineers, and technicians. That experience gave me a direct, hands-on, real-world view of how government contracting works, how the government embraces technology, and how the pieces and parts are all stitched together. I'll stop short at this point; I can't provide more details.</p>\n<p>What I can tell you is that my previous work experience has helped me take a long view on PLTR. To wit, I bought PLTR early and I haven't sold a single share. Furthermore, as you might know already, I've boughtPLTR LEAPS.</p>\n<p>Additionally, I've had several people reach out to me 1-to-1 about PLTR, including their experiences and their views. During one of these exchanges, a high ranking official and I came to agree on PLTR's peer group. I'm certainly not talking about true competitors here. I'm very specifically talking about reasonable<i>comparisons</i>for the sake of valuation. I'm talking about the general vibe of data analytics at enterprise scale, user behavior analytics, data frameworks, and so on, and so forth. Here's the list:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Snowflake (SNOW)</li>\n <li>Alteryx (AYX)</li>\n <li>Datadog (DDOG)</li>\n <li>Salesforce (CRM)</li>\n <li>Splunk (SPLK)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It's not necessary to agree on all of these. Instead, these are merely a reasonable cluster of companies that have similar characteristics to PLTR, although I would offer that<i>none of them would be a true direct peer</i>. I do not see even a single company that is as rich and robust as PLTR, nevertheless, we need something of a \"peer group\" to move forward.</p>\n<p>Now, with this in mind, here's how we'll proceed. Since PLTR is so newly listed and it's relatively young on the public market, I will keep things simple. I'm very interested in earnings and profits, of course, but here I want to simply compare PLTR on the basis of sales. Therefore, I feel it's somewhat rational to compare PLTR using price-to-sales. Here's how PLTR stacks up.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c77f9e680346dc75cdad7e6073ba1c40\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"487\">Being really simple here, PLTR gets just 30-35% the P/S of SNOW. However, it gets triple that of CRM. That's quite a spread. Then again, SNOW is expecting 120% revenue growth in 2021 and86% in 2022. Right now, on the high end, SNOW has the growth edge. I am unclear about how that growth plays out into 2023, 2024, and 2025. I suspect the law of large numbers will kick in, and growth will slow. We'll see. Meanwhile, CRM is a large yet fast-growing company, clocking in with an impressive24% year-over-year revenue gain.</p>\n<p>I believe that SNOW's high growth rate will fall, as I hinted at above. Perhaps down into the 50-60% range over the next few years. We'll see. And, I believe that CRM will likely maintain a 22-25% growth rate. However, per PLTR's projections of $4 billion, I see growth above 30%. In fact, I see compound annual growth at 45-50%.</p>\n<p>In a funny way, all that doesn't even matter much. That's because the story I see is that PLTR doesn't need to massively grow beyond what we're already seeing. If we merely assume that PLTR can basically hang on to the growth it's getting right now - without any slowdown or acceleration - we can do some fun back-of-the-napkin math. The P/S ratios give us an indication that PLTR is trading at a price that is about right given its peers at this point in time. I'm not interested in SNOW vs. PLTR, or CRM vs. PLTR. I'm merely pointing out that PLTR's P/S is relatively rational given its growth. We can pivot a bit now.</p>\n<p>Here's another picture in my mind. If you take CRM and AYX, for example, both of which have a longer history than SNOW or PLTR, you can see that growing revenues translate to strongly growing stock prices. Furthermore, and more importantly, price growth roughly stays around revenue growth. Clearly, it's not perfect, but it sure looks highly correlated to me; 400% growth in AYX, and 150% growth in CRM. Timing matters here, of course, but the general trends here are telling.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20e55c201426815f58f411103f705b88\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\">This makes me feel comfortable making some broad generalizations. I'm going to give year-by-year price ranges for PLTR given 30-50% growth rates. This is supported by what I've seen in PLTR's peer group, whereby P/S makes sense given growth rates, and the revenue growth vs. share price growth seems to mirror each other fairly well. I'm not trying to be exactly right here. I'm looking for potentiality, given publicly available information.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Today = $24</li>\n <li>2022 = $31 (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $41 (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $52 (30% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $69 (30% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Now, let's juice the growth to 40%.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Today = $24</li>\n <li>2022 = $34 (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $47 (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $66 (40% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $92 (40% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>I still don't think that's accurate per my discussion up above. To achieve $4 billion in revenue, PLTR needs to hit about 50% growth every year. I'm going \"straight line\" again, with no assumptions about increasing or decreasing growth along the way. Again, I'm keeping this simple and easy. Here's how the price looks at that level of growth:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Today = $24</li>\n <li>2022 = $36 (50% growth)</li>\n <li>2023 = $54 (50% growth)</li>\n <li>2024 = $81 (50% growth)</li>\n <li>2025 = $122 (50% growth)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Perspective Is Everything</b></p>\n<p>Clearly, it's possible to be happy or sad about PLTR's price depending on when you bought. It would be understandable to be frustrated with PLTR if you bought around in the $35-45 range. On the other hand, if you bought down around $10-15, then you're probably feeling just fine. This isn't just how it works with PLTR, of course. Nevertheless, it's a healthy reminder.</p>\n<p>In the past, I've said I believe that PLTR will hit $75 by 2023. Even my relatively aggressive numbers above with 50% growth do not hit $75 in 2023, and in fact, I'm seeing $54 in 2023. However, here's the critical point. I still believe that PLTR is likely to hit $70-75 in 2023. I don't expect it to hold that price for long, but I do think because it's a growth company and because news and contacts are \"lumpy\" that we'll see spikes into the $70-75 range. Yet, since I don't trade, I'm fine sticking with my $50-55 normalized target. After all, I'm still doubling my money from this point. And it'll actually be about 5x my original investment in 2023 and 8-10x by 2025. I'm looking ahead about 3-4 years, and I'm seeing a 10-bagger for myself, given my cost basis. For most investors, PLTR appears to be an easy hold, and in fact, I think at $22-25, PLTR is a rational buy right now. I'd be far less interested in buying if the price spiked to $35 or above unless I was trading short-term options.</p>\n<p>And finally, what I'm seeing indicates that<i>PLTR is sandbagging on growth</i>, otherwise, its $4 billion in 2023 would have been revised downward. Therefore, given that large revenue target, I think it's safe to assume that PLTR actually must expect 45-50% growth, not the lower projection of 30%+ revenue growth as they have indicated in theQ4 2020andQ1 2021Earnings Call presentations. In short, I place my bets on more growth, not less. If that's true, the price will easily hold. Or, more likely, the price moves upward more aggressively over the coming years.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433292-palantir-sandbagging-growth-projections><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nFirst, I look at Palantir's price action this year.\nSecond, I examine PLTR's growth projections.\nThird, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group.\nLastly, I give my ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433292-palantir-sandbagging-growth-projections\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433292-palantir-sandbagging-growth-projections","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1133174841","content_text":"Summary\n\nFirst, I look at Palantir's price action this year.\nSecond, I examine PLTR's growth projections.\nThird, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group.\nLastly, I give my thoughts on price projections out through 2025.\n\nFirst, I look at Palantir's(NYSE:PLTR)price action this year. I provide some quick thoughts on what I've seen. Second, I look into PLTR's growth projections. I believe the aggression is hidden and I reveal why I feel that way. Third, I provide an overview of price-to-sales in PLTR's peer group, and what that means going forward, especially in light of revenue growth into 2025. Lastly, I revisit the topic of price but also price projections for investors.\nRollercoaster\nHere's what's happened thus far in 2021.\nThe summary is simple. We are back where we started in January. If you bought and then closed your eyes, you would have gone absolutely nowhere. And, if your eyes were wide open, you would have experienced rather significant volatility, bouncing up against $39 but also muddling through $18. It goes without saying that PLTR has moved 50% top to bottom. But, importantly, we are back where we started.\nNow, here's where it gets interesting, because just putting money into the NASDAQ (QQQ) would give you superior returns with far less stomach-churning volatility. I'm not concerned with owning QQQ. I'm more than happy to own PLTR because, as I'll show later, it's likely to 5x my investment from this point in time. In any case, take a look at the relative calm of QQQ.\nHere I want to add another layer of paint. We started with PLTR itself, then added QQQ. What happens when we go back in time to PLTR's direct listing?\nThis is the picture that matters most to me. Here's what this means in simple terms, which is what works best in my mind. If you bought early, nothing really happened for a few weeks but then PLTR really took off. Therefore, early investors -like me- took the risk and have benefitted greatly despite all volatility after the directly public offering. With a long view, volatility is not a threat or a \"risk\", but instead, it's an opportunity to buy low.\nIn any case, if you started buying in 2021, then you're slightly behind versus the market but your investment certainly isn't trash. Furthermore, if you literally bought in the early part of 2021, and you held, then nothing bad has occurred. You are up. Again, volatility shakes out the weak hands. Long term, volatility is just noise - the price gets more and more smooth, year by year.\nHere's the insight. Buying and holding PLTR has worked out fine, even spectacularly, unless you bought during the big spikes in January, February, and March. Of course, if you traded against PLTR by shorting and buying puts during those times, you did fine. That's not my game, but I can see why it appeals to traders.\nNevertheless, here's the key: For long-term buy-and-hold investors, PLTR is moving along just fine. Perhaps it's not winning like crazy in terms of price, but it's not exactly losing either. Our horizon is long and strong.\nThere Is a Disturbance in the Force\nI'm rather surprised that there hasn't been more focus on PLTR's big picture projections. Specifically, I am talking about this:\nSource:PLTR Q4 Business Update Presentation\nSee the numbers there?Revenue of $4 billion or more in 2025.\nWe also know that PLTR grew Q1 2021 revenue by49% year-over-year, generating $341 million across government and commercial segments. That's above the 45% revenue growth previously projected. That's a run rate of $800 million for 2021. And, for Q2 2021, revenue growth is expected to be 43%, which translates to $360 million.\nThose numbers for 2021 are fine and dandy and useful to hear. However, what I like more is that PLTR expects 30% growth in 2021 and the next four years. Yes, there's an implication of growth slowing in H2 of 2021, I see that too. However, we can run some pretty simple calculus with these numbers.\nFirst, we can start with the $800 million projection for 2021, check it against the 30% growth expectations. Here's how it lines up.\n\n2021 = $800 million\n2022 = $1,040 million (30% growth)\n2023 = $1,350 million (30% growth)\n2024 = $1,760 million (30% growth)\n2025 = $2,300 million (30% growth)\n\nIn other words, when we start with $800 million for 2021, it's pretty obvious that the 30% growth doesn't cut it. We cannot reach $4 billion by 2025 with \"only\" 30% growth. PLTR is perhapssandbaggingto keep expectations lower. It's hard to know for sure. It could also be that they expect faster growth in 2022 through 2025. Let's run these numbers again with 40% growth.\n\n2021 = $800 million\n2022 = $1,120 million (40% growth)\n2023 = $1,570 million (40% growth)\n2024 = $2,195 million (40% growth)\n2025 = $3,070 million (40% growth)\n\nOnce again, even with 40% year-over-year growth, we do not reach the $4 billion projected for 2025. Now, here's the first thing I want to point out about this oddity. My numbers might be wrong. My math might be too simple. I understand that possibility, but what this tells me is that PLTR has a different view of growth than my \"straight line\" projections. They are predators, but they are cautious too.\nWhat happens if we go a little crazy and use 49%, which is what PLTR achieved in Q1 2021. That's nearly 50% growth, of course. Here's how it looks using the same approach I've been using above.\n\n2021 = $800 million\n2022 = $1,200 million (49% growth)\n2023 = $1,776 million (49% growth)\n2024 = $2,246 million (49% growth)\n2025 = $3,943 million (49% growth)\n\nHopefully, now it's clear why I'm so surprised that this hasn't been given more attention. While I realize I'm using \"straight line\" projections year-over-year, I'm kind of shocked that these assumptions and projections haven't been better analyzed until now. The numbers are obvious and simple, and coming straight from PLTR.\nAgain, maybe I've got something wrong here, but to achieve $4 billion in revenue in 2025,PLTR is going to have to grow by 50% every year, from 2022 through 2025. That's an empirical necessity. Therefore, either PLTR is dead wrong and cannot achieve $4 billion in revenue, or perhaps they expect growth to be 50% year-over-year, or maybe that growth will be 40%, then 50%, then even higher. That is, they expect growth to accelerate.\nI don't believe that PLTR would knowingly publish expectations of $4 billion in 2025 without strong conviction. That is to say, it doesn't appear to be aspirational given their relatively cautious and conservative leadership. After all, theywaited 17 years to go public. Plus, with their load of government customers, it's not like they can fly by the seat of their pants. It is not in their DNA or the culture of the business from what I've seen.\nPeers and Price\nHere we take an interesting turn. Although I've written about PLTR many times, I haven't revealed something publicly before. Specifically, I have direct experience with a defense contractor. To be even more precise, I worked inside a defense contractor in a privileged position with access to an amazing crew of programmers, engineers, and technicians. That experience gave me a direct, hands-on, real-world view of how government contracting works, how the government embraces technology, and how the pieces and parts are all stitched together. I'll stop short at this point; I can't provide more details.\nWhat I can tell you is that my previous work experience has helped me take a long view on PLTR. To wit, I bought PLTR early and I haven't sold a single share. Furthermore, as you might know already, I've boughtPLTR LEAPS.\nAdditionally, I've had several people reach out to me 1-to-1 about PLTR, including their experiences and their views. During one of these exchanges, a high ranking official and I came to agree on PLTR's peer group. I'm certainly not talking about true competitors here. I'm very specifically talking about reasonablecomparisonsfor the sake of valuation. I'm talking about the general vibe of data analytics at enterprise scale, user behavior analytics, data frameworks, and so on, and so forth. Here's the list:\n\nSnowflake (SNOW)\nAlteryx (AYX)\nDatadog (DDOG)\nSalesforce (CRM)\nSplunk (SPLK)\n\nIt's not necessary to agree on all of these. Instead, these are merely a reasonable cluster of companies that have similar characteristics to PLTR, although I would offer thatnone of them would be a true direct peer. I do not see even a single company that is as rich and robust as PLTR, nevertheless, we need something of a \"peer group\" to move forward.\nNow, with this in mind, here's how we'll proceed. Since PLTR is so newly listed and it's relatively young on the public market, I will keep things simple. I'm very interested in earnings and profits, of course, but here I want to simply compare PLTR on the basis of sales. Therefore, I feel it's somewhat rational to compare PLTR using price-to-sales. Here's how PLTR stacks up.\nBeing really simple here, PLTR gets just 30-35% the P/S of SNOW. However, it gets triple that of CRM. That's quite a spread. Then again, SNOW is expecting 120% revenue growth in 2021 and86% in 2022. Right now, on the high end, SNOW has the growth edge. I am unclear about how that growth plays out into 2023, 2024, and 2025. I suspect the law of large numbers will kick in, and growth will slow. We'll see. Meanwhile, CRM is a large yet fast-growing company, clocking in with an impressive24% year-over-year revenue gain.\nI believe that SNOW's high growth rate will fall, as I hinted at above. Perhaps down into the 50-60% range over the next few years. We'll see. And, I believe that CRM will likely maintain a 22-25% growth rate. However, per PLTR's projections of $4 billion, I see growth above 30%. In fact, I see compound annual growth at 45-50%.\nIn a funny way, all that doesn't even matter much. That's because the story I see is that PLTR doesn't need to massively grow beyond what we're already seeing. If we merely assume that PLTR can basically hang on to the growth it's getting right now - without any slowdown or acceleration - we can do some fun back-of-the-napkin math. The P/S ratios give us an indication that PLTR is trading at a price that is about right given its peers at this point in time. I'm not interested in SNOW vs. PLTR, or CRM vs. PLTR. I'm merely pointing out that PLTR's P/S is relatively rational given its growth. We can pivot a bit now.\nHere's another picture in my mind. If you take CRM and AYX, for example, both of which have a longer history than SNOW or PLTR, you can see that growing revenues translate to strongly growing stock prices. Furthermore, and more importantly, price growth roughly stays around revenue growth. Clearly, it's not perfect, but it sure looks highly correlated to me; 400% growth in AYX, and 150% growth in CRM. Timing matters here, of course, but the general trends here are telling.\nThis makes me feel comfortable making some broad generalizations. I'm going to give year-by-year price ranges for PLTR given 30-50% growth rates. This is supported by what I've seen in PLTR's peer group, whereby P/S makes sense given growth rates, and the revenue growth vs. share price growth seems to mirror each other fairly well. I'm not trying to be exactly right here. I'm looking for potentiality, given publicly available information.\n\nToday = $24\n2022 = $31 (30% growth)\n2023 = $41 (30% growth)\n2024 = $52 (30% growth)\n2025 = $69 (30% growth)\n\nNow, let's juice the growth to 40%.\n\nToday = $24\n2022 = $34 (40% growth)\n2023 = $47 (40% growth)\n2024 = $66 (40% growth)\n2025 = $92 (40% growth)\n\nI still don't think that's accurate per my discussion up above. To achieve $4 billion in revenue, PLTR needs to hit about 50% growth every year. I'm going \"straight line\" again, with no assumptions about increasing or decreasing growth along the way. Again, I'm keeping this simple and easy. Here's how the price looks at that level of growth:\n\nToday = $24\n2022 = $36 (50% growth)\n2023 = $54 (50% growth)\n2024 = $81 (50% growth)\n2025 = $122 (50% growth)\n\nPerspective Is Everything\nClearly, it's possible to be happy or sad about PLTR's price depending on when you bought. It would be understandable to be frustrated with PLTR if you bought around in the $35-45 range. On the other hand, if you bought down around $10-15, then you're probably feeling just fine. This isn't just how it works with PLTR, of course. Nevertheless, it's a healthy reminder.\nIn the past, I've said I believe that PLTR will hit $75 by 2023. Even my relatively aggressive numbers above with 50% growth do not hit $75 in 2023, and in fact, I'm seeing $54 in 2023. However, here's the critical point. I still believe that PLTR is likely to hit $70-75 in 2023. I don't expect it to hold that price for long, but I do think because it's a growth company and because news and contacts are \"lumpy\" that we'll see spikes into the $70-75 range. Yet, since I don't trade, I'm fine sticking with my $50-55 normalized target. After all, I'm still doubling my money from this point. And it'll actually be about 5x my original investment in 2023 and 8-10x by 2025. I'm looking ahead about 3-4 years, and I'm seeing a 10-bagger for myself, given my cost basis. For most investors, PLTR appears to be an easy hold, and in fact, I think at $22-25, PLTR is a rational buy right now. I'd be far less interested in buying if the price spiked to $35 or above unless I was trading short-term options.\nAnd finally, what I'm seeing indicates thatPLTR is sandbagging on growth, otherwise, its $4 billion in 2023 would have been revised downward. Therefore, given that large revenue target, I think it's safe to assume that PLTR actually must expect 45-50% growth, not the lower projection of 30%+ revenue growth as they have indicated in theQ4 2020andQ1 2021Earnings Call presentations. In short, I place my bets on more growth, not less. If that's true, the price will easily hold. Or, more likely, the price moves upward more aggressively over the coming years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374309356,"gmtCreate":1619414317875,"gmtModify":1634273657159,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I’m watching 🤓","listText":"I’m watching 🤓","text":"I’m watching 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11:13","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index takes first steps in biggest-ever overhaul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2137972546","media":"BLOOMBERG","summary":"HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) - A wide-ranging overhaul of Hong Kong's equity benchmark is set to begin Frid","content":"<div>\n<p>HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) - A wide-ranging overhaul of Hong Kong's equity benchmark is set to begin Friday (May 21), marking the first step to diversify the financials-heavy index.The quarterly review is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/hong-kongs-hang-seng-index-takes-first-steps-in-biggest-ever-overhaul\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"straits_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index takes first steps in biggest-ever overhaul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong's Hang Seng Index takes first steps in biggest-ever overhaul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-21 11:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/hong-kongs-hang-seng-index-takes-first-steps-in-biggest-ever-overhaul><strong>BLOOMBERG</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) - A wide-ranging overhaul of Hong Kong's equity benchmark is set to begin Friday (May 21), marking the first step to diversify the financials-heavy index.The quarterly review is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/hong-kongs-hang-seng-index-takes-first-steps-in-biggest-ever-overhaul\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03143":"华夏香港银行股","00939":"建设银行","00700":"腾讯控股","HSI":"恒生指数"},"source_url":"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/hong-kongs-hang-seng-index-takes-first-steps-in-biggest-ever-overhaul","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2137972546","content_text":"HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) - A wide-ranging overhaul of Hong Kong's equity benchmark is set to begin Friday (May 21), marking the first step to diversify the financials-heavy index.The quarterly review is the first since Hang Seng Indexes Co. announced its biggest-ever overhaul in March, which includes boosting the total number of components to 80 from 55 by mid-2022, adding firms from underweight sectors and reducing the impact of the city's biggest companies.The changes are expected to be made over the course of five quarterly reviews.HSI's compiler has been looking to lower the weight of financial stocks in the index to better represent the stock market, where the technology sector overtook financials to become Hong Kong's biggest sector by market value in 2019.AIA Group and Tencent currently have the heaviest weighting on the gauge at around 10 per cent each.A chase for cyclical and value stocks in recent months has made these changes more timely, with the weight of financials in the gauge rising since February. Analysts expect the first batch of new HSI constituents will be selected from industries that are currently under-represented, such as consumer and healthcare sectors.\"Balancing the weight of different industries could be a key priority in Hang Seng's early moves in the reshuffle,\" said CGS-CIMB analyst Chi Man Wong.But \"it's unlikely for them to add technology stocks in the first round, as the tech sector already has a relatively big weight in the index.\"About US$16 billion (S$21.3 billion) worth of exchange traded funds track the HSI, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The changes to be announced on Friday will take effect from the market open on June 7.NEW JOINERSHang Seng is expected to add five stocks every quarter through mid-2022 in order to reduce market volatility, said CCB International Securities head of strategy Cliff Zhao. Companies likely to be added include JD Health International, a recently-listed drug store operator, and Chinese apparel retailer Li Ning, according to analysts at CGS-CIMB, CCB International and UOB Kay Hian (Hong Kong).CICC's picks include some of the biggest companies by market value, including JD.com and NetEase. Analysts including Hanfeng Wang say chances of inclusion are good for China Resources Beer and infant milk powder producer China Feihe.With technology stocks underperforming in the past three months, the addition of names from the sector could become a drag on the gauge.Hong Kong has been one of the worst-performing equity markets globally since its February high, shedding 8.5 per cent while the tech sector has lost 28 per cent.CCB's Zhao says Hang Seng could cut Bank of Communications to lower the weight of Chinese banks. The relatively less-traded AAC Technologies and Hengan International Group could also get removed.Hang Seng is also expected to lower the maximum weighting for a single stock to 8 per cent from 10 per cent. That means the index's current biggest members - AIA, Tencent and HSBC, all of which have a weighting of over 8 per cent - will see their influence in the benchmark drop. Analysts say that should occur during this rebalancing.About HK$2.85 billion worth of passive funds is expected to flow out of Tencent, and around the same from AIA, according to calculations by CGS-CIMB.Alibaba Group might see its weight rise to 8 per cent from the current 5 per cent, attracting about HK$4.6 billion (S$789 million) worth of inflows, while Chinese delivery giant Meituan could also see its weight boosted to nearly 8 per cent, according to CGS-CIMB.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139539093,"gmtCreate":1621643538612,"gmtModify":1631891863519,"author":{"id":"3576883299034662","authorId":"3576883299034662","name":"Yyangg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74cbe0d51c849a822760af8bc2dd6068","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576883299034662","idStr":"3576883299034662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579932425739623\">@agoyagi</a>:Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"//@agoyagi:Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139539093","repostId":"1161150268","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}