sham1990的个人主页 - 老虎社区

sham1990

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2021-03-10

+1 plz.Gojek strong presence in indonesia is a strong force to be reckoned with.

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2021-03-10

Yay growth stockz for the win

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2021-03-08

Silicon valley and a more mature thoughts of future lifestyle enhancement of the masses

@胖虎哒哒:Coupang 36亿美元的IPO显示美国是科技公司IPO的福地

2021-03-06

Buy the DIPS

Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>

2021-03-05

Very useful to switch to value stocks categories such as consumer discretionary and medicinal related at this point of time

3 Medtech Trends That Will Outlive the Pandemic<blockquote>将在大流行之后持续存在的3个医疗技术趋势</blockquote>

2021-03-04

I wonder is a bigger entity manipulating the market or is it individual short sellers picking value stocks over growth stocks.

Wall Street drops as high-flying tech stocks retreat<blockquote>随着飙升的科技股回落，华尔街下跌</blockquote>

2021-03-03

$Assertio Holdings, Inc.(ASRT)$awesome buy !

2021-03-02

Hopefully this wld be able to quantify the bullish projections forecasted by the company

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2021-03-01

Great news for medicinal purposes

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2021-03-01

We shld learn to invest in the long term !

Which Companies Are Most At Risk From Surging Yields: Goldman Answers<blockquote>哪些公司面临收益率飙升的风险最大：高盛回答</blockquote>

2021-02-25

Dead cat jump for sure

@胖虎哒哒:GME股价再度暴涨，是不是死猫跳？

2021-02-25

Unbelievable is this considered insider news / trading..

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-24

Buy the dip ! Strong notions being played here

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-24

Great news after a market correction recently

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-23

I believe in Palantir tech stocks to be a very good buy

2021-02-20

Yes more employee benefits

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-20

Yes it is extremely convenient for people with no investment knowledge what so ever to get invested !

Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>

2021-02-06

Amazing !

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-06

A real bubble that is not going to managed or have any means to be bailed out or regulated

The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote>

2021-02-05

omg here it comes again

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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for the win","text":"Yay growth stockz for the win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323648898","repostId":"1118673419","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":329058949,"gmtCreate":1615193246181,"gmtModify":1703485429031,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Silicon valley and a more mature thoughts of future lifestyle enhancement of the masses","listText":"Silicon valley and a more mature thoughts of future lifestyle enhancement of the masses","text":"Silicon valley and a more mature thoughts of future lifestyle enhancement 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Inc.均在纽约上市。阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司和京东公司等中国电子商务巨头也在那里上市。Coupang正在寻求通过首次公开募股筹集至多36亿美元，并可能获得超过500亿美元的价值。自三星集团（Samsung Group）于2010年将其保险部门在国内公开上市以来，这将使其成为韩国公司最大的浮标。美国对科技公司估值最高Coupang在美国的首次公开发行（IPO）市盈率为4.3倍，超过了亚马逊的估值淑明大学市场营销学教授Suh YongGu表示，如果这家亏损的电子商务公司在韩国上市（从本月起允许无利可图的公司上市），Coupang的最高估值可能仅为100亿美元。 。Suh说：“韩国的资本主义历史很短，因此韩国人不会将高估值归因于亏损公司。”韩国的股票市场还不到70年的历史，主要由财阀或家族控制的工业集团主导。实际上，该县最大的财阀之一SK集团的子公司SK Bioscience Co.将在本月上市时成为最新一家拥有股票市场的公司。据韩国《首尔经济日报》周一报道，阿斯利康（A","listText":"彭博报道，韩国电子商务巨头Coupang Inc.有望成为韩国公司十年来最大的IPO。而且，就像当今大多数主要技术公司一样，这宗IPO正在纽约发生。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$</a>&nbsp;有三大原因可以解释为什么软银集团公司的孙正义（Masayoshi Son）支持的Coupang选择美股上上市是更好的选择。也许最重要的是，美股提供了可观的估值溢价。它还拥有更深入，更灵活的市场，并允许同股不同权的投票权，这将使Coupang的创始人哈佛商学院退学生Bom Kim受益。美国一直是大型科技公司首次公开募股的首选目的地，2020年规模最大的首次公开募股Airbnb Inc.和DoorDash Inc.均在纽约上市。阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司和京东公司等中国电子商务巨头也在那里上市。Coupang正在寻求通过首次公开募股筹集至多36亿美元，并可能获得超过500亿美元的价值。自三星集团（Samsung Group）于2010年将其保险部门在国内公开上市以来，这将使其成为韩国公司最大的浮标。美国对科技公司估值最高Coupang在美国的首次公开发行（IPO）市盈率为4.3倍，超过了亚马逊的估值淑明大学市场营销学教授Suh YongGu表示，如果这家亏损的电子商务公司在韩国上市（从本月起允许无利可图的公司上市），Coupang的最高估值可能仅为100亿美元。 。Suh说：“韩国的资本主义历史很短，因此韩国人不会将高估值归因于亏损公司。”韩国的股票市场还不到70年的历史，主要由财阀或家族控制的工业集团主导。实际上，该县最大的财阀之一SK集团的子公司SK Bioscience Co.将在本月上市时成为最新一家拥有股票市场的公司。据韩国《首尔经济日报》周一报道，阿斯利康（A","text":"彭博报道，韩国电子商务巨头Coupang Inc.有望成为韩国公司十年来最大的IPO。而且，就像当今大多数主要技术公司一样，这宗IPO正在纽约发生。$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$ 有三大原因可以解释为什么软银集团公司的孙正义（Masayoshi Son）支持的Coupang选择美股上上市是更好的选择。也许最重要的是，美股提供了可观的估值溢价。它还拥有更深入，更灵活的市场，并允许同股不同权的投票权，这将使Coupang的创始人哈佛商学院退学生Bom Kim受益。美国一直是大型科技公司首次公开募股的首选目的地，2020年规模最大的首次公开募股Airbnb Inc.和DoorDash Inc.均在纽约上市。阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司和京东公司等中国电子商务巨头也在那里上市。Coupang正在寻求通过首次公开募股筹集至多36亿美元，并可能获得超过500亿美元的价值。自三星集团（Samsung Group）于2010年将其保险部门在国内公开上市以来，这将使其成为韩国公司最大的浮标。美国对科技公司估值最高Coupang在美国的首次公开发行（IPO）市盈率为4.3倍，超过了亚马逊的估值淑明大学市场营销学教授Suh YongGu表示，如果这家亏损的电子商务公司在韩国上市（从本月起允许无利可图的公司上市），Coupang的最高估值可能仅为100亿美元。 。Suh说：“韩国的资本主义历史很短，因此韩国人不会将高估值归因于亏损公司。”韩国的股票市场还不到70年的历史，主要由财阀或家族控制的工业集团主导。实际上，该县最大的财阀之一SK集团的子公司SK Bioscience Co.将在本月上市时成为最新一家拥有股票市场的公司。据韩国《首尔经济日报》周一报道，阿斯利康（A","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91faa3f74dca29aeb60deca2d283d376","width":"688","height":"376"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5df45a9fe2843e32f3eb53d8f2672bf8","width":"688","height":"300"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/328d0e154c14da67dbc14a2b7ebca9bd","width":"688","height":"459"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320741750","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320334804,"gmtCreate":1615012842208,"gmtModify":1703484232986,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the DIPS&nbsp;","listText":"Buy the DIPS&nbsp;","text":"Buy the DIPS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320334804","repostId":"1169596583","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169596583","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614958557,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169596583?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169596583","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.","content":"<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-05 23:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169596583","content_text":"(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367169138,"gmtCreate":1614922017724,"gmtModify":1703483006190,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very useful to switch to value stocks categories such as consumer discretionary and medicinal related at this point of time&nbsp;","listText":"Very useful to switch to value stocks categories such as consumer discretionary and medicinal related at this point of time&nbsp;","text":"Very useful to switch to value stocks categories such as consumer discretionary and medicinal related at this point of time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367169138","repostId":"1138978257","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138978257","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614913165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138978257?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 10:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Medtech Trends That Will Outlive the Pandemic<blockquote>将在大流行之后持续存在的3个医疗技术趋势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138978257","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"Vaccines are starting to roll out in many parts of the world and some believe the beginning of the e","content":"<p>Vaccines are starting to roll out in many parts of the world and some believe the beginning of the end of the pandemic is in sight. Optimism is always welcome, but it’s important to acknowledge the challenges aren’t all behind us.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开始在世界许多地方推广，一些人认为大流行即将结束。乐观总是受欢迎的，但重要的是要承认挑战并没有全部过去。</blockquote></p><p> Neither are the solutions to those challenges.</p><p><blockquote>这些挑战的解决方案也不是。</blockquote></p><p> Innovative and exciting medtech solutions emerged over the past year in attempts to address our pandemic-induced problems head on, particularly in the field of medical technology. Which of these technologies offer advantages that go beyond the inconveniences of social distancing, and provide permanent value once relative normality has returned?</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，创新和令人兴奋的医疗技术解决方案出现了，试图正面解决我们的疫情引发的问题，特别是在医疗技术领域。这些技术中哪一项提供了超越社交距离不便的优势，并在相对正常恢复后提供永久价值？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Patient Safety</b></p><p><blockquote><b>患者安全</b></blockquote></p><p> While increased awareness of patient safety has made major strides in the last decade, COVID-19 has thrown the issue into the spotlight. It was 2016 when BMJ published a&nbsp;report&nbsp;citing medical errors as the third leading cause of death in the United States behind heart disease and cancer. The medical community took a brief moment to pause and reflect on how a certain proportion of human loss, through human error, is something we as a society have traditionally accepted. Now, we’re reflecting on patient safety again.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在过去十年中，患者安全意识的提高取得了重大进展，但新冠肺炎将这个问题推到了聚光灯下。2016年，BMJ发表了一份报告，称医疗差错是美国仅次于心脏病和癌症的第三大死亡原因。医学界花了一个短暂的时间停下来思考，由于人为错误，一定比例的人为损失是我们作为一个社会传统上接受的。现在，我们再次反思病人的安全。</blockquote></p><p> Social distancing, viral prevention, sanitation, and refined approaches to ICU patients all came to the fore during the height of the pandemic. Malnourishment among ICU patients, for instance, was a much more obscure concern before the pandemic. But with a rising number of patients requiring ICU support alongside more studies highlighting the dangers of malnourishment, medtech providers have developed unique methods to circumvent these dangers.</p><p><blockquote>社交距离、病毒预防、卫生设施和对ICU患者的改进方法都在疫情的高峰期脱颖而出。例如，在大流行之前，重症监护室患者的营养不良是一个更加模糊的问题。但随着越来越多的患者需要ICU支持，以及更多的研究强调营养不良的危险，医疗技术提供商开发了独特的方法来规避这些危险。</blockquote></p><p> Medical communities have even cultivated awareness campaigns to streamline the issue, with projects like the&nbsp;Patient Safety Movement, which aims to raise public awareness, expand clinical support, and create a wider sense of urgency surrounding the issue. The movement works to create and freely share actionable solutions (Actionable Patient Safety Solutions) to help mitigate potential dangers.</p><p><blockquote>医学界甚至开展了宣传活动来简化这一问题，如患者安全运动等项目，旨在提高公众意识，扩大临床支持，并围绕这一问题创造更广泛的紧迫感。该运动致力于创建和自由分享可操作的解决方案（可操作的患者安全解决方案），以帮助减轻潜在的危险。</blockquote></p><p> Publications such as the&nbsp;British Medical Journal&nbsp;had already red-flagged it as a serious concern long before the pandemic entered the frame. As such, the issue is unlikely to peter out once we’ve arrived at a point of greater normality.</p><p><blockquote>早在疫情进入框架之前，《英国医学杂志》等出版物就已经将其标记为严重问题。因此，一旦我们达到更正常的程度，这个问题就不太可能消失。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Telemedicine</b></p><p><blockquote><b>远程医疗</b></blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine is the very epitome of technology-driven healthcare and serves as a literal lifeline for millions of people who do not have access to proper medical facilities.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗是技术驱动的医疗保健的缩影，是数百万无法获得适当医疗设施的人的生命线。</blockquote></p><p> In April of 2020, 43.5 percent of Medicare primary care visits&nbsp;utilized&nbsp;telehealth methods rather than in-person visits. One of the major benefits of telehealth over in-person alternatives is that it has reduced contact between patients, healthcare workers, and other patients—making it a fitting solution within social distancing guidelines. Wearable devices enable healthcare workers to have real-time information on patient data while they remain at home, such as physicians being updated remotely by people with diabetes regarding insulin dosages.</p><p><blockquote>2020年4月，43.5%的医疗保险初级保健就诊使用远程医疗方法，而不是亲自就诊。与面对面替代方案相比，远程医疗的主要优势之一是它减少了患者、医护人员和其他患者之间的接触，使其成为社交距离准则内的合适解决方案。可穿戴设备使医护人员能够在家中获得患者数据的实时信息，例如糖尿病患者远程更新医生的胰岛素剂量。</blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine will likely become part of the medtech furniture beyond the pandemic, since its benefits and usability achieved vindication through the necessity of circumstance.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗可能会成为疫情以外的医疗技术家具的一部分，因为它的好处和可用性通过环境的必要性得到了证明。</blockquote></p><p> According&nbsp;to Mordor Intelligence, the industry will be worth more than $66 billion by 2021. It should be stressed that Telemedicine is not a product of 2020. It was being developed much prior and just like patient safety, the pandemic has acted as a wonderful springboard. In essence, telemedicine allows greater access to medical specialists while allowing medicine to treat more patients on a whole. Pandemic or no pandemic, this is a destination medicine will always strive for.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mordor Intelligence的数据，到2021年，该行业的价值将超过660亿美元。需要强调的是，远程医疗不是2020年的产物。它在很久以前就被开发出来了，就像病人安全一样，疫情是一个很好的跳板。从本质上讲，远程医疗允许更多地接触医学专家，同时允许医学在整体上治疗更多的患者。不管有没有疫情，这都是医学将永远努力的目标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deep Tech</b></p><p><blockquote><b>深度技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Digital technology is undeniably altering the way care is both accessed and delivered. 2020 has been a catalyst for this sphere—necessity is the mother of invention, and there has been plenty of necessary demand as of late.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，数字技术正在改变获得和提供护理的方式。2020年是这一领域的催化剂——必要性是发明之母，最近有大量的必要需求。</blockquote></p><p> Deeptech is the generic term designated for technologies not focused on end-user services that includes artificial intelligence, robotics, blockchain, and advanced material science, as well as photonics and electronics, biotech and quantum computing. Deeptech exists as a disruptor with a difference. We think about it as the technology that allows us to transcend the status quo, since current technologies ultimately block progress and deeptech is acting as the un-blocker.</p><p><blockquote>Deeptech是不专注于最终用户服务的技术的通用术语，包括人工智能、机器人、区块链和先进材料科学，以及光子学和电子学、生物技术和量子计算。Deeptech作为一个与众不同的颠覆者而存在。我们认为它是让我们超越现状的技术，因为当前的技术最终会阻碍进步，而deeptech则充当了解除障碍的角色。</blockquote></p><p> Swati Chaturvedi, CEO of Propel, put it succinctly in an&nbsp;interview&nbsp;with Medtech Innovation:</p><p><blockquote>Propel首席执行官Swati Chaturvedi在接受Medtech Innovation采访时简洁地说道：</blockquote></p><p> “They are trying to solve big issues that really affect the world around them.. For example, a new medical device or technique fighting cancer.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们试图解决真正影响他们周围世界的大问题……例如，一种新的抗癌医疗设备或技术。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Deep Tech has been taken by the travails of COVID-19, since the effects of the virus represent the most pressing priority for medtech going into the new year. But it would be a mistake to view Deep Tech as some temporary trend, it represents the first step for medtech in one of the most comprehensive transitions of our technological and functional capacities.</p><p><blockquote>深度技术已经被新冠肺炎的阵痛所困扰，因为病毒的影响代表了医疗技术进入新的一年最紧迫的优先事项。但将深度技术视为某种暂时趋势是错误的，它代表着医疗技术在我们的技术和功能能力最全面的转变之一中迈出的第一步。</blockquote></p><p> It would be easy to explain away medtech’s activity in 2020 as a direct result of Covid, with trends arising to to address the challenges. The truth is a large proportion of the trends we are seeing now have been in the pipelines for some time, some for decades. In some cases, it's taken extraordinary global circumstances for medical trends to propel, but now that the global mindset is becoming digitized, more demanding, and wearier of potential disaster, such trends are unlikely to depart any time soon. People are anesthetized by familiarity, and it requires a year of extreme trepidation for our mindsets to embrace unconventionally effective solutions.</p><p><blockquote>很容易将医疗技术在2020年的活动解释为Covid的直接结果，并出现了应对挑战的趋势。事实是，我们现在看到的大部分趋势已经酝酿了一段时间，有些已经酝酿了几十年。在某些情况下，医学趋势需要非凡的全球环境才能推动，但现在全球思维正变得数字化，要求更高，对潜在灾难更加厌倦，这种趋势不太可能很快消失。人们被熟悉感麻醉了，我们的心态需要一年的极度恐惧才能接受非常规有效的解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <i>About Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>关于作者</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Doron Besser, Chief Executive Officer: Doron Besser is the CEO of&nbsp;ENvizion Medical&nbsp;and Managing General Partner of Swing Medical. Prior to co-founding ENvizion with Shay Tsuker in 2013, Doron served as President and CEO of Angioslide Ltd., a company specializing in innovative, cost effective angioplasty products. Doron guided the company through its infancy stages, which included complicated animal and human trials, to FDA clearance, CE approval and initial market penetration in Europe and the US. Doron also served as VP of Clinical and Marketing and VP of Business Development at SuperDimension, a leader in minimally-invasive pulmonology devices. Doron holds a Doctor of Medicine from Ludwig Maximillians University in Munich, Germany.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Doron Besser，首席执行官：Doron Besser是ENvizion Medical的首席执行官和Swing Medical的管理普通合伙人。在2013年与Shay Tsuker共同创立ENvizion之前，Doron曾担任Angioslide Ltd.的总裁兼首席执行官，该公司专门从事创新、经济高效的血管成形术产品。Doron指导该公司度过了包括复杂的动物和人体试验在内的婴儿阶段，直至FDA批准、CE批准以及在欧洲和美国的初步市场渗透。Doron还曾担任微创肺病设备领导者SuperDimension的临床和营销副总裁以及业务开发副总裁。多伦拥有德国慕尼黑路德维希马克西米利安大学的医学博士学位。</i></blockquote></p><p> The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.</p><p><blockquote>本文表达的观点和意见是作者的观点和意见，不一定反映纳斯达克公司的观点和意见。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Medtech Trends That Will Outlive the Pandemic<blockquote>将在大流行之后持续存在的3个医疗技术趋势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Medtech Trends That Will Outlive the Pandemic<blockquote>将在大流行之后持续存在的3个医疗技术趋势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-05 10:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Vaccines are starting to roll out in many parts of the world and some believe the beginning of the end of the pandemic is in sight. Optimism is always welcome, but it’s important to acknowledge the challenges aren’t all behind us.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开始在世界许多地方推广，一些人认为大流行即将结束。乐观总是受欢迎的，但重要的是要承认挑战并没有全部过去。</blockquote></p><p> Neither are the solutions to those challenges.</p><p><blockquote>这些挑战的解决方案也不是。</blockquote></p><p> Innovative and exciting medtech solutions emerged over the past year in attempts to address our pandemic-induced problems head on, particularly in the field of medical technology. Which of these technologies offer advantages that go beyond the inconveniences of social distancing, and provide permanent value once relative normality has returned?</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，创新和令人兴奋的医疗技术解决方案出现了，试图正面解决我们的疫情引发的问题，特别是在医疗技术领域。这些技术中哪一项提供了超越社交距离不便的优势，并在相对正常恢复后提供永久价值？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Patient Safety</b></p><p><blockquote><b>患者安全</b></blockquote></p><p> While increased awareness of patient safety has made major strides in the last decade, COVID-19 has thrown the issue into the spotlight. It was 2016 when BMJ published a&nbsp;report&nbsp;citing medical errors as the third leading cause of death in the United States behind heart disease and cancer. The medical community took a brief moment to pause and reflect on how a certain proportion of human loss, through human error, is something we as a society have traditionally accepted. Now, we’re reflecting on patient safety again.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在过去十年中，患者安全意识的提高取得了重大进展，但新冠肺炎将这个问题推到了聚光灯下。2016年，BMJ发表了一份报告，称医疗差错是美国仅次于心脏病和癌症的第三大死亡原因。医学界花了一个短暂的时间停下来思考，由于人为错误，一定比例的人为损失是我们作为一个社会传统上接受的。现在，我们再次反思病人的安全。</blockquote></p><p> Social distancing, viral prevention, sanitation, and refined approaches to ICU patients all came to the fore during the height of the pandemic. Malnourishment among ICU patients, for instance, was a much more obscure concern before the pandemic. But with a rising number of patients requiring ICU support alongside more studies highlighting the dangers of malnourishment, medtech providers have developed unique methods to circumvent these dangers.</p><p><blockquote>社交距离、病毒预防、卫生设施和对ICU患者的改进方法都在疫情的高峰期脱颖而出。例如，在大流行之前，重症监护室患者的营养不良是一个更加模糊的问题。但随着越来越多的患者需要ICU支持，以及更多的研究强调营养不良的危险，医疗技术提供商开发了独特的方法来规避这些危险。</blockquote></p><p> Medical communities have even cultivated awareness campaigns to streamline the issue, with projects like the&nbsp;Patient Safety Movement, which aims to raise public awareness, expand clinical support, and create a wider sense of urgency surrounding the issue. The movement works to create and freely share actionable solutions (Actionable Patient Safety Solutions) to help mitigate potential dangers.</p><p><blockquote>医学界甚至开展了宣传活动来简化这一问题，如患者安全运动等项目，旨在提高公众意识，扩大临床支持，并围绕这一问题创造更广泛的紧迫感。该运动致力于创建和自由分享可操作的解决方案（可操作的患者安全解决方案），以帮助减轻潜在的危险。</blockquote></p><p> Publications such as the&nbsp;British Medical Journal&nbsp;had already red-flagged it as a serious concern long before the pandemic entered the frame. As such, the issue is unlikely to peter out once we’ve arrived at a point of greater normality.</p><p><blockquote>早在疫情进入框架之前，《英国医学杂志》等出版物就已经将其标记为严重问题。因此，一旦我们达到更正常的程度，这个问题就不太可能消失。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Telemedicine</b></p><p><blockquote><b>远程医疗</b></blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine is the very epitome of technology-driven healthcare and serves as a literal lifeline for millions of people who do not have access to proper medical facilities.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗是技术驱动的医疗保健的缩影，是数百万无法获得适当医疗设施的人的生命线。</blockquote></p><p> In April of 2020, 43.5 percent of Medicare primary care visits&nbsp;utilized&nbsp;telehealth methods rather than in-person visits. One of the major benefits of telehealth over in-person alternatives is that it has reduced contact between patients, healthcare workers, and other patients—making it a fitting solution within social distancing guidelines. Wearable devices enable healthcare workers to have real-time information on patient data while they remain at home, such as physicians being updated remotely by people with diabetes regarding insulin dosages.</p><p><blockquote>2020年4月，43.5%的医疗保险初级保健就诊使用远程医疗方法，而不是亲自就诊。与面对面替代方案相比，远程医疗的主要优势之一是它减少了患者、医护人员和其他患者之间的接触，使其成为社交距离准则内的合适解决方案。可穿戴设备使医护人员能够在家中获得患者数据的实时信息，例如糖尿病患者远程更新医生的胰岛素剂量。</blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine will likely become part of the medtech furniture beyond the pandemic, since its benefits and usability achieved vindication through the necessity of circumstance.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗可能会成为疫情以外的医疗技术家具的一部分，因为它的好处和可用性通过环境的必要性得到了证明。</blockquote></p><p> According&nbsp;to Mordor Intelligence, the industry will be worth more than $66 billion by 2021. It should be stressed that Telemedicine is not a product of 2020. It was being developed much prior and just like patient safety, the pandemic has acted as a wonderful springboard. In essence, telemedicine allows greater access to medical specialists while allowing medicine to treat more patients on a whole. Pandemic or no pandemic, this is a destination medicine will always strive for.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mordor Intelligence的数据，到2021年，该行业的价值将超过660亿美元。需要强调的是，远程医疗不是2020年的产物。它在很久以前就被开发出来了，就像病人安全一样，疫情是一个很好的跳板。从本质上讲，远程医疗允许更多地接触医学专家，同时允许医学在整体上治疗更多的患者。不管有没有疫情，这都是医学将永远努力的目标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deep Tech</b></p><p><blockquote><b>深度技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Digital technology is undeniably altering the way care is both accessed and delivered. 2020 has been a catalyst for this sphere—necessity is the mother of invention, and there has been plenty of necessary demand as of late.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，数字技术正在改变获得和提供护理的方式。2020年是这一领域的催化剂——必要性是发明之母，最近有大量的必要需求。</blockquote></p><p> Deeptech is the generic term designated for technologies not focused on end-user services that includes artificial intelligence, robotics, blockchain, and advanced material science, as well as photonics and electronics, biotech and quantum computing. Deeptech exists as a disruptor with a difference. We think about it as the technology that allows us to transcend the status quo, since current technologies ultimately block progress and deeptech is acting as the un-blocker.</p><p><blockquote>Deeptech是不专注于最终用户服务的技术的通用术语，包括人工智能、机器人、区块链和先进材料科学，以及光子学和电子学、生物技术和量子计算。Deeptech作为一个与众不同的颠覆者而存在。我们认为它是让我们超越现状的技术，因为当前的技术最终会阻碍进步，而deeptech则充当了解除障碍的角色。</blockquote></p><p> Swati Chaturvedi, CEO of Propel, put it succinctly in an&nbsp;interview&nbsp;with Medtech Innovation:</p><p><blockquote>Propel首席执行官Swati Chaturvedi在接受Medtech Innovation采访时简洁地说道：</blockquote></p><p> “They are trying to solve big issues that really affect the world around them.. For example, a new medical device or technique fighting cancer.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们试图解决真正影响他们周围世界的大问题……例如，一种新的抗癌医疗设备或技术。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Deep Tech has been taken by the travails of COVID-19, since the effects of the virus represent the most pressing priority for medtech going into the new year. But it would be a mistake to view Deep Tech as some temporary trend, it represents the first step for medtech in one of the most comprehensive transitions of our technological and functional capacities.</p><p><blockquote>深度技术已经被新冠肺炎的阵痛所困扰，因为病毒的影响代表了医疗技术进入新的一年最紧迫的优先事项。但将深度技术视为某种暂时趋势是错误的，它代表着医疗技术在我们的技术和功能能力最全面的转变之一中迈出的第一步。</blockquote></p><p> It would be easy to explain away medtech’s activity in 2020 as a direct result of Covid, with trends arising to to address the challenges. The truth is a large proportion of the trends we are seeing now have been in the pipelines for some time, some for decades. In some cases, it's taken extraordinary global circumstances for medical trends to propel, but now that the global mindset is becoming digitized, more demanding, and wearier of potential disaster, such trends are unlikely to depart any time soon. People are anesthetized by familiarity, and it requires a year of extreme trepidation for our mindsets to embrace unconventionally effective solutions.</p><p><blockquote>很容易将医疗技术在2020年的活动解释为Covid的直接结果，并出现了应对挑战的趋势。事实是，我们现在看到的大部分趋势已经酝酿了一段时间，有些已经酝酿了几十年。在某些情况下，医学趋势需要非凡的全球环境才能推动，但现在全球思维正变得数字化，要求更高，对潜在灾难更加厌倦，这种趋势不太可能很快消失。人们被熟悉感麻醉了，我们的心态需要一年的极度恐惧才能接受非常规有效的解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <i>About Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>关于作者</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Doron Besser, Chief Executive Officer: Doron Besser is the CEO of&nbsp;ENvizion Medical&nbsp;and Managing General Partner of Swing Medical. Prior to co-founding ENvizion with Shay Tsuker in 2013, Doron served as President and CEO of Angioslide Ltd., a company specializing in innovative, cost effective angioplasty products. Doron guided the company through its infancy stages, which included complicated animal and human trials, to FDA clearance, CE approval and initial market penetration in Europe and the US. Doron also served as VP of Clinical and Marketing and VP of Business Development at SuperDimension, a leader in minimally-invasive pulmonology devices. Doron holds a Doctor of Medicine from Ludwig Maximillians University in Munich, Germany.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Doron Besser，首席执行官：Doron Besser是ENvizion Medical的首席执行官和Swing Medical的管理普通合伙人。在2013年与Shay Tsuker共同创立ENvizion之前，Doron曾担任Angioslide Ltd.的总裁兼首席执行官，该公司专门从事创新、经济高效的血管成形术产品。Doron指导该公司度过了包括复杂的动物和人体试验在内的婴儿阶段，直至FDA批准、CE批准以及在欧洲和美国的初步市场渗透。Doron还曾担任微创肺病设备领导者SuperDimension的临床和营销副总裁以及业务开发副总裁。多伦拥有德国慕尼黑路德维希马克西米利安大学的医学博士学位。</i></blockquote></p><p> The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.</p><p><blockquote>本文表达的观点和意见是作者的观点和意见，不一定反映纳斯达克公司的观点和意见。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/3-medtech-trends-that-will-outlive-the-pandemic-2021-03-04\">Nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/3-medtech-trends-that-will-outlive-the-pandemic-2021-03-04","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138978257","content_text":"Vaccines are starting to roll out in many parts of the world and some believe the beginning of the end of the pandemic is in sight. Optimism is always welcome, but it’s important to acknowledge the challenges aren’t all behind us.\nNeither are the solutions to those challenges.\nInnovative and exciting medtech solutions emerged over the past year in attempts to address our pandemic-induced problems head on, particularly in the field of medical technology. Which of these technologies offer advantages that go beyond the inconveniences of social distancing, and provide permanent value once relative normality has returned?\nPatient Safety\nWhile increased awareness of patient safety has made major strides in the last decade, COVID-19 has thrown the issue into the spotlight. It was 2016 when BMJ published a report citing medical errors as the third leading cause of death in the United States behind heart disease and cancer. The medical community took a brief moment to pause and reflect on how a certain proportion of human loss, through human error, is something we as a society have traditionally accepted. Now, we’re reflecting on patient safety again.\nSocial distancing, viral prevention, sanitation, and refined approaches to ICU patients all came to the fore during the height of the pandemic. Malnourishment among ICU patients, for instance, was a much more obscure concern before the pandemic. But with a rising number of patients requiring ICU support alongside more studies highlighting the dangers of malnourishment, medtech providers have developed unique methods to circumvent these dangers.\nMedical communities have even cultivated awareness campaigns to streamline the issue, with projects like the Patient Safety Movement, which aims to raise public awareness, expand clinical support, and create a wider sense of urgency surrounding the issue. The movement works to create and freely share actionable solutions (Actionable Patient Safety Solutions) to help mitigate potential dangers.\nPublications such as the British Medical Journal had already red-flagged it as a serious concern long before the pandemic entered the frame. As such, the issue is unlikely to peter out once we’ve arrived at a point of greater normality.\nTelemedicine\nTelemedicine is the very epitome of technology-driven healthcare and serves as a literal lifeline for millions of people who do not have access to proper medical facilities.\nIn April of 2020, 43.5 percent of Medicare primary care visits utilized telehealth methods rather than in-person visits. One of the major benefits of telehealth over in-person alternatives is that it has reduced contact between patients, healthcare workers, and other patients—making it a fitting solution within social distancing guidelines. Wearable devices enable healthcare workers to have real-time information on patient data while they remain at home, such as physicians being updated remotely by people with diabetes regarding insulin dosages.\nTelemedicine will likely become part of the medtech furniture beyond the pandemic, since its benefits and usability achieved vindication through the necessity of circumstance.\nAccording to Mordor Intelligence, the industry will be worth more than $66 billion by 2021. It should be stressed that Telemedicine is not a product of 2020. It was being developed much prior and just like patient safety, the pandemic has acted as a wonderful springboard. In essence, telemedicine allows greater access to medical specialists while allowing medicine to treat more patients on a whole. Pandemic or no pandemic, this is a destination medicine will always strive for.\nDeep Tech\nDigital technology is undeniably altering the way care is both accessed and delivered. 2020 has been a catalyst for this sphere—necessity is the mother of invention, and there has been plenty of necessary demand as of late.\nDeeptech is the generic term designated for technologies not focused on end-user services that includes artificial intelligence, robotics, blockchain, and advanced material science, as well as photonics and electronics, biotech and quantum computing. Deeptech exists as a disruptor with a difference. We think about it as the technology that allows us to transcend the status quo, since current technologies ultimately block progress and deeptech is acting as the un-blocker.\nSwati Chaturvedi, CEO of Propel, put it succinctly in an interview with Medtech Innovation:\n“They are trying to solve big issues that really affect the world around them.. For example, a new medical device or technique fighting cancer.”\nDeep Tech has been taken by the travails of COVID-19, since the effects of the virus represent the most pressing priority for medtech going into the new year. But it would be a mistake to view Deep Tech as some temporary trend, it represents the first step for medtech in one of the most comprehensive transitions of our technological and functional capacities.\nIt would be easy to explain away medtech’s activity in 2020 as a direct result of Covid, with trends arising to to address the challenges. The truth is a large proportion of the trends we are seeing now have been in the pipelines for some time, some for decades. In some cases, it's taken extraordinary global circumstances for medical trends to propel, but now that the global mindset is becoming digitized, more demanding, and wearier of potential disaster, such trends are unlikely to depart any time soon. People are anesthetized by familiarity, and it requires a year of extreme trepidation for our mindsets to embrace unconventionally effective solutions.\nAbout Author\nDoron Besser, Chief Executive Officer: Doron Besser is the CEO of ENvizion Medical and Managing General Partner of Swing Medical. Prior to co-founding ENvizion with Shay Tsuker in 2013, Doron served as President and CEO of Angioslide Ltd., a company specializing in innovative, cost effective angioplasty products. Doron guided the company through its infancy stages, which included complicated animal and human trials, to FDA clearance, CE approval and initial market penetration in Europe and the US. Doron also served as VP of Clinical and Marketing and VP of Business Development at SuperDimension, a leader in minimally-invasive pulmonology devices. Doron holds a Doctor of Medicine from Ludwig Maximillians University in Munich, Germany.\nThe views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364357431,"gmtCreate":1614818233823,"gmtModify":1703481494693,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I wonder is a bigger entity manipulating the market or is it individual short sellers picking value stocks over growth stocks.","listText":"I wonder is a bigger entity manipulating the market or is it individual short sellers picking value stocks over growth stocks.","text":"I wonder is a bigger entity manipulating the market or is it individual short sellers picking value stocks over growth stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364357431","repostId":"1107788140","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107788140","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614816795,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107788140?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-04 08:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street drops as high-flying tech stocks retreat<blockquote>随着飙升的科技股回落，华尔街下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107788140","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Wednesday after investors sold high-flying technology ","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Wednesday after investors sold high-flying technology shares and pivoted to sectors viewed as more likely to benefit from an economic recovery on the back of fiscal stimulus and vaccination programs.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-纳斯达克周三大幅收低，此前投资者抛售股价飙升的科技股，转向被视为更有可能从财政刺激和疫苗接种计划推动的经济复苏中受益的行业。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc dropped more than 2%, weighing more than any other stocks on the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>微软公司、苹果公司和亚马逊公司跌幅超过2%，跌幅超过标普500任何其他股票。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial and industrial sector indexes reached intra-day record highs. Most other S&amp;P 500 sectors declined.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融和工业板块指数创盘中历史新高。其他标普500板块多数下跌。</blockquote></p><p>“Today is the perfect encapsulation of the big theme we’ve been seeing in the past couple of months: The vaccine rollout is going well and the economy improving, and that is sending yields and rate expectations higher, which is hurting growth stocks,” said Baird investment strategist Ross Mayfield, in Louisville, Kentucky.</p><p><blockquote>“今天是我们过去几个月看到的大主题的完美概括：疫苗推出进展顺利，经济正在改善，这导致收益率和利率预期走高，这损害了成长型股票，”贝尔德投资策略师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)在肯塔基州路易斯维尔说道。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.39% to end at 31,270.09 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.31% to 3,819.72.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.39%，收于31,270.09点；标普500下跌1.31%，收于3,819.72点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.7% to 12,997.75. That left it at its lowest since early January and reduced its gain in 2021 to less than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.7%，至12,997.75点。这使其处于1月初以来的最低水平，并使2021年的涨幅降至不到1%。</blockquote></p><p>The U.S. economic recovery continued at a modest pace over the first weeks of this year, with businesses optimistic about the months to come and demand for housing “robust,” but only slow improvement in the job market, the Federal Reserve reported.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告称，今年头几周，美国经济继续温和复苏，企业对未来几个月持乐观态度，住房需求“强劲”，但就业市场改善缓慢。</blockquote></p><p>While the vaccine distribution is expected to help the economy, data showed U.S. private employers hired fewer workers than expected in February, suggesting the labor market was struggling to regain speed.</p><p><blockquote>虽然疫苗分发预计将有助于经济，但数据显示，美国私营雇主2月份雇用的工人少于预期，这表明劳动力市场正在努力恢复增长。</blockquote></p><p>Another report showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly slowed in February amid winter storms, while a measure of prices paid by companies for inputs surged to the highest level in nearly 12-1/2 years.</p><p><blockquote>另一份报告显示，由于冬季风暴，美国服务业活动在2月份意外放缓，而衡量企业为投入支付的价格的指标飙升至近12-1/2年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 1.47%, pressuring areas of the market with high valuations. It was still off last week’s peak of above 1.61% that roiled stock markets as investors bet on rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美国10年期国债收益率升至1.47%，给市场高估值领域带来压力。由于投资者押注通胀上升，该指数仍低于上周1.61%以上的峰值，该峰值扰乱了股市。</blockquote></p><p>Rising interest rates disproportionately hurt high-growth tech companies because investors value them based on earnings expected years into the future, and high interest rates hurt the value of future earnings more than the value of earnings made in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>利率上升对高增长科技公司的伤害尤其大，因为投资者根据未来几年的预期收益对它们进行估值，而高利率对未来收益价值的伤害大于短期收益价值。</blockquote></p><p>“There is a definite headwind for equity markets if yields go above the 1.5% level with most investors keeping an eye on the pace of yield growth,” said Michael Stritch, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p><blockquote>BMO财富管理公司首席投资官迈克尔·斯特里奇(Michael Stritch)表示：“如果收益率超过1.5%的水平，股市肯定会面临阻力，因为大多数投资者都在关注收益率增长的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p>President Joe Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill would phase out $1,400 payments to high-income Americans in a compromise with moderate Democratic senators, according to lawmakers and media reports.</p><p><blockquote>据议员和媒体报道，乔·拜登总统提出的1.9万亿美元冠状病毒救助法案将逐步取消向高收入美国人支付1400美元，这是与温和派民主党参议员的妥协。</blockquote></p><p>Exxon Mobil Corp rose 0.8% after the oil major unveiled plans to grow dividends and curb spending with projections that were less bold than previous years.</p><p><blockquote>埃克森美孚公司(Exxon Mobil Corp)股价上涨0.8%，此前这家石油巨头公布了增加股息和抑制支出的计划，但预测不如往年大胆。</blockquote></p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.31-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.95-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.31比1；在纳斯达克，1.95比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 62 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 284 new highs and 68 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下62个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得284个新高和68个新低。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14 billion shares, compared with the 14.9 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为140亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为149亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street drops as high-flying tech stocks retreat<blockquote>随着飙升的科技股回落，华尔街下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street drops as high-flying tech stocks retreat<blockquote>随着飙升的科技股回落，华尔街下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-04 08:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Wednesday after investors sold high-flying technology shares and pivoted to sectors viewed as more likely to benefit from an economic recovery on the back of fiscal stimulus and vaccination programs.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-纳斯达克周三大幅收低，此前投资者抛售股价飙升的科技股，转向被视为更有可能从财政刺激和疫苗接种计划推动的经济复苏中受益的行业。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc dropped more than 2%, weighing more than any other stocks on the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>微软公司、苹果公司和亚马逊公司跌幅超过2%，跌幅超过标普500任何其他股票。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial and industrial sector indexes reached intra-day record highs. Most other S&amp;P 500 sectors declined.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融和工业板块指数创盘中历史新高。其他标普500板块多数下跌。</blockquote></p><p>“Today is the perfect encapsulation of the big theme we’ve been seeing in the past couple of months: The vaccine rollout is going well and the economy improving, and that is sending yields and rate expectations higher, which is hurting growth stocks,” said Baird investment strategist Ross Mayfield, in Louisville, Kentucky.</p><p><blockquote>“今天是我们过去几个月看到的大主题的完美概括：疫苗推出进展顺利，经济正在改善，这导致收益率和利率预期走高，这损害了成长型股票，”贝尔德投资策略师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)在肯塔基州路易斯维尔说道。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.39% to end at 31,270.09 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.31% to 3,819.72.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.39%，收于31,270.09点；标普500下跌1.31%，收于3,819.72点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.7% to 12,997.75. That left it at its lowest since early January and reduced its gain in 2021 to less than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.7%，至12,997.75点。这使其处于1月初以来的最低水平，并使2021年的涨幅降至不到1%。</blockquote></p><p>The U.S. economic recovery continued at a modest pace over the first weeks of this year, with businesses optimistic about the months to come and demand for housing “robust,” but only slow improvement in the job market, the Federal Reserve reported.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告称，今年头几周，美国经济继续温和复苏，企业对未来几个月持乐观态度，住房需求“强劲”，但就业市场改善缓慢。</blockquote></p><p>While the vaccine distribution is expected to help the economy, data showed U.S. private employers hired fewer workers than expected in February, suggesting the labor market was struggling to regain speed.</p><p><blockquote>虽然疫苗分发预计将有助于经济，但数据显示，美国私营雇主2月份雇用的工人少于预期，这表明劳动力市场正在努力恢复增长。</blockquote></p><p>Another report showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly slowed in February amid winter storms, while a measure of prices paid by companies for inputs surged to the highest level in nearly 12-1/2 years.</p><p><blockquote>另一份报告显示，由于冬季风暴，美国服务业活动在2月份意外放缓，而衡量企业为投入支付的价格的指标飙升至近12-1/2年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 1.47%, pressuring areas of the market with high valuations. It was still off last week’s peak of above 1.61% that roiled stock markets as investors bet on rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美国10年期国债收益率升至1.47%，给市场高估值领域带来压力。由于投资者押注通胀上升，该指数仍低于上周1.61%以上的峰值，该峰值扰乱了股市。</blockquote></p><p>Rising interest rates disproportionately hurt high-growth tech companies because investors value them based on earnings expected years into the future, and high interest rates hurt the value of future earnings more than the value of earnings made in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>利率上升对高增长科技公司的伤害尤其大，因为投资者根据未来几年的预期收益对它们进行估值，而高利率对未来收益价值的伤害大于短期收益价值。</blockquote></p><p>“There is a definite headwind for equity markets if yields go above the 1.5% level with most investors keeping an eye on the pace of yield growth,” said Michael Stritch, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p><blockquote>BMO财富管理公司首席投资官迈克尔·斯特里奇(Michael Stritch)表示：“如果收益率超过1.5%的水平，股市肯定会面临阻力，因为大多数投资者都在关注收益率增长的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p>President Joe Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill would phase out $1,400 payments to high-income Americans in a compromise with moderate Democratic senators, according to lawmakers and media reports.</p><p><blockquote>据议员和媒体报道，乔·拜登总统提出的1.9万亿美元冠状病毒救助法案将逐步取消向高收入美国人支付1400美元，这是与温和派民主党参议员的妥协。</blockquote></p><p>Exxon Mobil Corp rose 0.8% after the oil major unveiled plans to grow dividends and curb spending with projections that were less bold than previous years.</p><p><blockquote>埃克森美孚公司(Exxon Mobil Corp)股价上涨0.8%，此前这家石油巨头公布了增加股息和抑制支出的计划，但预测不如往年大胆。</blockquote></p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.31-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.95-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.31比1；在纳斯达克，1.95比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 62 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 284 new highs and 68 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下62个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得284个新高和68个新低。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14 billion shares, compared with the 14.9 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为140亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为149亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/wall-street-drops-as-high-flying-tech-stocks-retreat-idUSKBN2AV1EG\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/wall-street-drops-as-high-flying-tech-stocks-retreat-idUSKBN2AV1EG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107788140","content_text":"(Reuters) - The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Wednesday after investors sold high-flying technology shares and pivoted to sectors viewed as more likely to benefit from an economic recovery on the back of fiscal stimulus and vaccination programs.Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc dropped more than 2%, weighing more than any other stocks on the S&P 500.The S&P 500 financial and industrial sector indexes reached intra-day record highs. Most other S&P 500 sectors declined.“Today is the perfect encapsulation of the big theme we’ve been seeing in the past couple of months: The vaccine rollout is going well and the economy improving, and that is sending yields and rate expectations higher, which is hurting growth stocks,” said Baird investment strategist Ross Mayfield, in Louisville, Kentucky.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.39% to end at 31,270.09 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.31% to 3,819.72.The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.7% to 12,997.75. That left it at its lowest since early January and reduced its gain in 2021 to less than 1%.The U.S. economic recovery continued at a modest pace over the first weeks of this year, with businesses optimistic about the months to come and demand for housing “robust,” but only slow improvement in the job market, the Federal Reserve reported.While the vaccine distribution is expected to help the economy, data showed U.S. private employers hired fewer workers than expected in February, suggesting the labor market was struggling to regain speed.Another report showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly slowed in February amid winter storms, while a measure of prices paid by companies for inputs surged to the highest level in nearly 12-1/2 years.The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 1.47%, pressuring areas of the market with high valuations. It was still off last week’s peak of above 1.61% that roiled stock markets as investors bet on rising inflation.Rising interest rates disproportionately hurt high-growth tech companies because investors value them based on earnings expected years into the future, and high interest rates hurt the value of future earnings more than the value of earnings made in the short term.“There is a definite headwind for equity markets if yields go above the 1.5% level with most investors keeping an eye on the pace of yield growth,” said Michael Stritch, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management.President Joe Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill would phase out $1,400 payments to high-income Americans in a compromise with moderate Democratic senators, according to lawmakers and media reports.Exxon Mobil Corp rose 0.8% after the oil major unveiled plans to grow dividends and curb spending with projections that were less bold than previous years.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.31-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.95-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 62 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 284 new highs and 68 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14 billion shares, compared with the 14.9 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365532503,"gmtCreate":1614758388202,"gmtModify":1703480708201,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASRT\">$Assertio Holdings, Inc.(ASRT)$</a>awesome buy !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASRT\">$Assertio Holdings, Inc.(ASRT)$</a>awesome buy !","text":"$Assertio Holdings, Inc.(ASRT)$awesome buy !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365532503","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1945,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362404746,"gmtCreate":1614654321885,"gmtModify":1703479410681,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hopefully this wld be able to quantify the bullish projections forecasted by the company","listText":"Hopefully this wld be able to quantify the bullish projections forecasted by the company","text":"Hopefully this wld be able to quantify the bullish projections forecasted by the company","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362404746","repostId":"2116856399","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362989988,"gmtCreate":1614587450744,"gmtModify":1703478494575,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news for medicinal purposes","listText":"Great news for medicinal purposes","text":"Great news for medicinal purposes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362989988","repostId":"1176148015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362980041,"gmtCreate":1614587389183,"gmtModify":1703478493033,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"We shld learn to invest in the long term !","listText":"We shld learn to invest in the long term !","text":"We shld learn to invest in the long term !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362980041","repostId":"1161169607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161169607","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614584947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161169607?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-01 15:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Which Companies Are Most At Risk From Surging Yields: Goldman Answers<blockquote>哪些公司面临收益率飙升的风险最大：高盛回答</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161169607","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For those living under a rock in 2021, the big story in the past month is that 10-year Treasury yiel","content":"<p>For those living under a rock in 2021, the big story in the past month is that 10-year Treasury yield have climbed by 50 bps in a month to 1.5% (technically as high as 1.61% for a few brief seconds on Thursday after the catastrophic 7Y auction triggered stop loss selling) as real rates jumped following a steady increase in inflation expectations (breakevens), which however are largely set by 10Y TIPS whose price is determined largely by the Fed due to its massive ongoing monetization of TIPS (thus crushing any actual signaling power TIPS may have). Whatever the cause, while rising breakeven inflation has driven most of the rise in yields during the past six months, the last two weeks have been characterized by a 40 bp jump in real yields.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些在2021年生活在岩石下的人来说，过去一个月的大新闻是，10年期国债收益率在一个月内攀升了50个基点至1.5%（在灾难性的7年期拍卖引发止损抛售后，技术上一度高达1.61%），因为实际利率在通胀预期（盈亏平衡）稳步上升后跃升，然而，通胀预期主要由10年期TIPS设定，其价格主要由美联储决定，因为其持续的TIPS大规模货币化（因此粉碎了TIPS可能具有的任何实际信号能力）。无论原因是什么，虽然盈亏平衡通胀上升推动了过去六个月收益率的大部分上涨，但过去两周的特点是实际收益率上涨了40个基点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efd3fa48c3856c9963ae7e9f6e6de625\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"232\">It's this sudden spike in real yields as opposed to breakevens, that has sparked much of the fear in markets in the past week, because as Goldman's David Kostin explains in his Sunday Start note, \"conceptually, and historically, equities digest rising inflation expectations more easily than rising real yields\" and not just rising real yields, but a rapid spike the likes of which were last observed during the taper tantrum as we discussed two weeks ago in \"Yields Soar, Sending 30Y Real Rates Positive Amid Overheating Panic: What Happens Next\"). In any case, as a result of the violent moves in the rates complex, it is hardly a surprise that Kostin writes \"<b>the recent backup in rates has sparked a new wave of client concern.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>正是实际收益率（而不是盈亏平衡）的突然飙升在过去一周引发了市场的大部分担忧，因为正如高盛的戴维·科斯汀（David Kostin）在他的周日开盘报告中解释的那样，“从概念上和历史上看，股市更容易消化不断上升的通胀预期”比实际收益率上升更容易”，而且不仅仅是实际收益率上升，而是快速飙升，正如我们两周前在“收益率飙升，在过热恐慌中导致30年期实际利率为正：接下来会发生什么”中讨论的那样）。无论如何，由于利率综合体的剧烈波动，科斯汀写道“<b>最近利率的回升引发了新一波客户担忧。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>First, investors ask whether the level of rates is becoming a threat to equity valuations.</b></li> </ul> Predictably,<i><b>Goldman's answer is an emphatic \"no\"</b></i>with Kostin claiming (with a straight face) that \"although the S&amp;P 500 forward P/E multiple of 22x currently ranks in the 99th historical percentile since 1976, ranking only behind the peak of the Tech Bubble in 2000, our dividend discount model (DDM) implies an equity risk premium (ERP) that ranks in the 28th percentile, 70 bp above the historical average.\" In other words, massively, record stretched PE multiples won't collapse if rates rise. Yeah, right. May want to Timestamp that David. We'll check back in a few weeks. So what<i><b>would</b></i>cause a market crash according to Goldman's head market cheerleader? Well, according to Kostin, \"<b>keeping the current P/E constant, the 10-year yield would have to reach 2.1% to bring the yield gap to the historical median of 250 bp.If instead the yield gap remains unchanged, and rates rise to 2.0%, then the P/E multiple would fall by 10% to 20x.\"</b>But don't worry, Kostin adds, because \"in today’s economic environment, our macro model suggests the ERP should be narrower than average.\" Translation: yes, a 10% drop is coming but our models say it may not come, so just keep buying.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>首先，投资者询问利率水平是否正在对股票估值构成威胁。</b></li></ul>可以预见的是，<i><b>高盛的回答是一个响亮的“不”</b></i>科斯汀（面无表情）声称，“尽管标普500 22倍的远期市盈率目前排在1976年以来的第99个历史百分位，仅排在2000年科技泡沫顶峰之后，但我们的股息贴现模型（DDM）意味着股权风险溢价（ERP）排在第28百分位，比历史平均水平高出70个基点。”换句话说，如果利率上升，创纪录的市盈率不会大幅下降。是的，没错。可能想给大卫打个时间戳。我们几周后再来看看。那又怎样<i><b>将会</b></i>高盛首席市场啦啦队长称导致市场崩盘？嗯，根据科斯汀的说法，“<b>如果保持当前市盈率不变，10年期国债收益率必须达到2.1%，才能使收益率差距达到250个基点的历史中值。相反，如果收益率差距保持不变，利率升至2.0%，那么市盈率将下降10%至20倍。”</b>但不用担心，科斯汀补充道，因为“在当今的经济环境下，我们的宏观模型表明ERP应该比平均水平窄。”翻译：是的，10%的下降即将到来，但我们的模型说它可能不会到来，所以继续购买。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cdbd39d9b2a4e20ee8ef423435a57d7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"169\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Second, Goldman's bullish US equity view has already embedded expectations of rising interest rates.</b></li> </ul> Addressing the second most regular pushback against its bizarre optimism, Goldman says that an environment of accelerating economic growth (and recall that recently Goldman found that theUS Economy is Growing At the Fastest Pace On Record), and higher bond yields is consistent with the bank's forecast that<b>S&amp;P 500 EPS in 2021 will grow by 27% and be 10% higher than pre-pandemic 2019, driving a 14% rise this year to our year-end price target of 4300 despite a flat P/E multiple.</b>In other words, multiples may indeed contract but the rise in earnings - a result of economic growth - will offset much if not all of the move. Furthermore, the forward market implies that 10-year nominal yields will climb 25 bp further to 1.7% - below Goldman's 2.1% redline - and real yields will climb by a similar amount to from -0.7% to -0.4% by year-end.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>其次，高盛看涨美股观点已经嵌入加息预期。</b></li></ul>针对其奇异乐观情绪的第二个最常见的阻力，高盛表示，经济加速增长的环境（回想一下高盛最近发现美国经济正以有记录以来最快的速度增长）和更高的债券收益率与该银行的预测一致<b>标普500 2021年每股收益将增长27%，比疫情前的2019年高出10%，尽管市盈率持平，但今年仍将上涨14%，达到我们的年终目标价4300点。</b>换句话说，市盈率可能确实会收缩，但盈利的增长——经济增长的结果——将抵消大部分（如果不是全部）变动。此外，远期市场暗示，10年期名义收益率将进一步攀升25个基点至1.7%，低于高盛2.1%的红线，实际收益率将在年底前攀升类似幅度，从-0.7%升至-0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Third, even Kostin is forced to concede that the recent change in yields has reached a magnitude that is usually a headwind for stocks.</b></li> </ul> As the Goldman strategist concedes, equities have generated an average return of nearly +1% per month,<b>but the return has averaged -1% during months when nominal rates rose by more than two standard deviations and -5% when real yields rose by that amount.</b>Today, a two standard deviation monthly rise in 10-year rates equates to 40 bp for nominal yields and 30 bp for real yields, both thresholds exceeded this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>第三，就连科斯汀也被迫承认，最近收益率的变化已经达到了通常对股市不利的程度。</b></li></ul>正如高盛策略师承认的那样，股票每月的平均回报率接近+1%，<b>但当名义利率上升超过两个标准差时，回报率平均为-1%，当实际收益率上升超过两个标准差时，回报率平均为-5%。</b>如今，10年期利率每月上升两个标准差，相当于名义收益率上升40个基点，实际收益率上升30个基点，本周都超过了这两个阈值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6a23015dc5dbaee1d4660e8e902a000\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"175\">Of course, it's not just absolute levels across risk that are impacted by rates: Kostin also notes that \"shifting interest rates have major implications for<i><b>rotations within the equity market,</b></i>a dynamic made clear in recent weeks.\" In mid-2020, Kostin's equity valuation model showed that equity duration –the expectations of earnings growth far in the future –had become a more important contributor to multiples than ever before. One key reason for the importance that investors ascribed to expected future growth was the extremely low level of interest rates. As rates have risen, the contribution of equity duration to stock valuations has declined while near-term growth profiles have become more important. Practically,<b>this means that both the improving growth outlook and rising rates have supported the outperformance of cyclicals and value stocks relative to stocks with the highest long-term growth.</b>Hardly surprising, in recent weeks Goldman's S&amp;P 500 Growth factor has declined by 9%, similar to the 12% decline around the announcement of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine efficacy in November</p><p><blockquote>当然，受利率影响的不仅仅是风险的绝对水平：科斯汀还指出，“利率变化对<i><b>股票市场内的轮动，</b></i>最近几周的动态变得很明显。”2020年中期，科斯汀的股票估值模型显示，股票久期——对遥远未来盈利增长的预期——已成为比以往任何时候都更重要的市盈率贡献者。投资者重视预期未来增长的一个关键原因是极低的利率水平。随着利率上升，股票久期对股票估值的贡献下降，而近期增长状况变得更加重要。实际上，<b>这意味着增长前景的改善和利率的上升都支持了周期性股票和价值股相对于长期增长最高的股票的优异表现。</b>毫不奇怪，最近几周高盛的标普500增长因子下降了9%，与11月份辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗功效公布前后12%的下降类似</blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the one sector most at risk from the continued risk in yields.</p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了收益率持续风险最大的一个行业。</blockquote></p><p> As Kostin writes, \"<b>this rotation has also weighed on one of the most spectacular outperformers of the last 12 months: Stocks with negative earnings but strong expected growth.\"</b>One of the most remarkable moves of the past year is that<b>a basket of non-profitable tech stocks soared by 204% last year and 27% in the first six weeks of 2021... before falling by 15% in last two weeks.</b>The decline of these high-growth firms has been particularly painful given the current record degree of leverage carried by hedge funds and the elevated activity of retail traders, both of whom have recently favored some of these long-duration stocks.</p><p><blockquote>正如科斯汀所写，“<b>这种轮换也给过去12个月中表现最出色的股票之一带来了压力：盈利为负但预期增长强劲的股票。”</b>过去一年最引人注目的举措之一是<b>一篮子未盈利的科技股去年飙升204%，2021年前六周飙升27%...在过去两周内下跌了15%。</b>鉴于对冲基金目前创纪录的杠杆程度和散户交易者活动的增加，这些高增长公司的衰落尤其令人痛苦，而散户交易者最近都青睐其中一些长期股票。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, while earnings for S&amp;P 500 firms declined by 13% in 2020, the fall in aggregate profits does not capture the wide dispersion in operating results that occurred inside the market. While 2020 EPS growth was negative for the overall index and the median stock,<b>the actual level of profits was positive... But not for every company.</b>In fact,<b>1082 firms or 37% of the constituents in the Russell 3000 posted negative net income in 2020 (i.e., a loss or negative EPS), and 21% posted negative EBITDA.</b></p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，虽然标普500公司的盈利在2020年下降了13%，但总利润的下降并没有反映出市场内部经营业绩的广泛分散。虽然2020年每股收益增长整体指数和股票中位数均为负，<b>实际利润水平为正...但并不是每家公司都如此。</b>事实上，<b>罗素3000指数成分股中有1082家公司（即37%的成分股）在2020年净利润为负（即亏损或每股收益为负），21%的公司EBITDA为负。</b></blockquote></p><p> Getting even more granular (and apologizing to George Orwell), Kostin then notes that all companies with losses are equal, but some are more equal than others. Some firms reported negative earnings in 2020 because the pandemic and economic shutdown disrupted their business and crushed their revenues.<b>But in other instances, the Goldman strategist points out that \"companies grew sales so rapidly that top-line was the focus of investors and bottom-line losses were ignored.\"</b>Indeed, consider that across all non-Financial US stocks with at least $50 million in revenues, \"<b>those with negative earnings and declining revenues in 2020 returned a median of -18% last year. In contrast, stocks with negative earnings and growing revenues returned +51%.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>科斯汀变得更加细致（并向乔治·奥威尔道歉），然后指出所有亏损的公司都是平等的，但有些公司比其他公司更平等。一些公司在2020年报告了负收益，因为疫情和经济停摆扰乱了他们的业务并压低了他们的收入。<b>但在其他情况下，高盛策略师指出，“公司销售额增长如此之快，以至于营收成为投资者关注的焦点，而利润损失却被忽视了。”</b>事实上，考虑到所有收入至少为5000万美元的非金融美国股票，”<b>2020年盈利为负且收入下降的企业去年的回报率中位数为-18%。相比之下，盈利为负且收入增长的股票回报率为+51%。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672e0f0b03d6b3cec8ec067276919bf9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"171\"><b>Recently, however, improving economic growth prospects from vaccination rollout and pending fiscal stimulus coupled with rising rates have moved firms that struggled most in 2020 into pole position so far in 2021.</b>The cyclical and virus-affected firms with<b>negative earnings and falling sales in 2020 have generated a median YTD return of +22%, outperforming the +10% return of the median stock that posted a loss but grew sales last year.</b>Unsurprisingly, these cyclical stocks have been positively correlated with both nominal and real interest rates. In contrast,<b>the ultra long-duration stocks have been negatively correlated with interest rates given they generate no earnings today and their valuations depend entirely on future growth prospects.</b>Cyclicals also carry far lower valuations, with a median EV/2022 sales ratio of 2x vs. 6x for the median negative earner with positive sales growth.</p><p><blockquote><b>然而，最近，疫苗接种的推出和即将出台的财政刺激措施改善了经济增长前景，加上利率上升，使2020年最困难的公司在2021年迄今为止处于领先地位。</b>周期性和受病毒影响的公司<b>2020年的负收益和销售额下降导致年初至今回报率中位数为+22%，超过了去年亏损但销售额增长的股票回报率中位数+10%。</b>不出所料，这些周期性股票与名义利率和实际利率都呈正相关。相比之下，<b>超长期股票与利率呈负相关，因为它们目前没有产生收益，而且它们的估值完全取决于未来的增长前景。</b>周期性股票的估值也低得多，EV/2022年销售比率中位数为2倍，而销售正增长的负收入者中位数为6倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00a42075ac35763072cb85546315087\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\">Putting it all together, Kostin concludes that \"<b>looking forward, investors must balance the appeal of promising businesses with the risk that rates rise further and the recent rotation continues.\"</b>The list of non-profitable companies that makes up GOldman's Non-Profitable Tech basket is shown below:</p><p><blockquote>综合起来，科斯汀得出的结论是“<b>展望未来，投资者必须平衡有前途的企业的吸引力与利率进一步上升和近期轮换持续的风险。”</b>构成高盛非营利科技篮子的非营利公司列表如下所示：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/782b2dbfc010259d8bc5120f85d13070\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"364\">And although secular growth stocks may remain the most appealing investments on a long-term horizon, Goldman believes that<b>those stocks will underperform more cyclical firms in the short-term if economic acceleration and inflation continue to lift interest rates.</b></p><p><blockquote>尽管长期成长型股票可能仍然是最有吸引力的投资，但高盛认为<b>如果经济加速和通胀继续提高利率，这些股票的短期表现将逊于更具周期性的公司。</b></blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the other side of the table: the<b>chart below shows the Russell 1000 firms from each sector with the shortest implied equity durations that have outperformed sector peers during the past two weeks as rates rose and are expected to grow revenues in 2021</b>. The median stock trades at a P/E ratio of 19x and has returned 7% YTD compared with 22x and 2% for the Russell 1000 median.</p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了桌子的另一边：<b>下图显示了每个行业隐含股权久期最短的罗素1000公司，这些公司在过去两周内随着利率上升而表现优于行业同行，预计2021年收入将增长</b>该股的市盈率中位数为19倍，年初至今回报率为7%，而罗素1000指数中位数为22倍和2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96e14fcedd553203d06c6a3639a17f8f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"365\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Which Companies Are Most At Risk From Surging Yields: Goldman Answers<blockquote>哪些公司面临收益率飙升的风险最大：高盛回答</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhich Companies Are Most At Risk From Surging Yields: Goldman Answers<blockquote>哪些公司面临收益率飙升的风险最大：高盛回答</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-01 15:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>For those living under a rock in 2021, the big story in the past month is that 10-year Treasury yield have climbed by 50 bps in a month to 1.5% (technically as high as 1.61% for a few brief seconds on Thursday after the catastrophic 7Y auction triggered stop loss selling) as real rates jumped following a steady increase in inflation expectations (breakevens), which however are largely set by 10Y TIPS whose price is determined largely by the Fed due to its massive ongoing monetization of TIPS (thus crushing any actual signaling power TIPS may have). Whatever the cause, while rising breakeven inflation has driven most of the rise in yields during the past six months, the last two weeks have been characterized by a 40 bp jump in real yields.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些在2021年生活在岩石下的人来说，过去一个月的大新闻是，10年期国债收益率在一个月内攀升了50个基点至1.5%（在灾难性的7年期拍卖引发止损抛售后，技术上一度高达1.61%），因为实际利率在通胀预期（盈亏平衡）稳步上升后跃升，然而，通胀预期主要由10年期TIPS设定，其价格主要由美联储决定，因为其持续的TIPS大规模货币化（因此粉碎了TIPS可能具有的任何实际信号能力）。无论原因是什么，虽然盈亏平衡通胀上升推动了过去六个月收益率的大部分上涨，但过去两周的特点是实际收益率上涨了40个基点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efd3fa48c3856c9963ae7e9f6e6de625\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"232\">It's this sudden spike in real yields as opposed to breakevens, that has sparked much of the fear in markets in the past week, because as Goldman's David Kostin explains in his Sunday Start note, \"conceptually, and historically, equities digest rising inflation expectations more easily than rising real yields\" and not just rising real yields, but a rapid spike the likes of which were last observed during the taper tantrum as we discussed two weeks ago in \"Yields Soar, Sending 30Y Real Rates Positive Amid Overheating Panic: What Happens Next\"). In any case, as a result of the violent moves in the rates complex, it is hardly a surprise that Kostin writes \"<b>the recent backup in rates has sparked a new wave of client concern.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>正是实际收益率（而不是盈亏平衡）的突然飙升在过去一周引发了市场的大部分担忧，因为正如高盛的戴维·科斯汀（David Kostin）在他的周日开盘报告中解释的那样，“从概念上和历史上看，股市更容易消化不断上升的通胀预期”比实际收益率上升更容易”，而且不仅仅是实际收益率上升，而是快速飙升，正如我们两周前在“收益率飙升，在过热恐慌中导致30年期实际利率为正：接下来会发生什么”中讨论的那样）。无论如何，由于利率综合体的剧烈波动，科斯汀写道“<b>最近利率的回升引发了新一波客户担忧。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>First, investors ask whether the level of rates is becoming a threat to equity valuations.</b></li> </ul> Predictably,<i><b>Goldman's answer is an emphatic \"no\"</b></i>with Kostin claiming (with a straight face) that \"although the S&amp;P 500 forward P/E multiple of 22x currently ranks in the 99th historical percentile since 1976, ranking only behind the peak of the Tech Bubble in 2000, our dividend discount model (DDM) implies an equity risk premium (ERP) that ranks in the 28th percentile, 70 bp above the historical average.\" In other words, massively, record stretched PE multiples won't collapse if rates rise. Yeah, right. May want to Timestamp that David. We'll check back in a few weeks. So what<i><b>would</b></i>cause a market crash according to Goldman's head market cheerleader? Well, according to Kostin, \"<b>keeping the current P/E constant, the 10-year yield would have to reach 2.1% to bring the yield gap to the historical median of 250 bp.If instead the yield gap remains unchanged, and rates rise to 2.0%, then the P/E multiple would fall by 10% to 20x.\"</b>But don't worry, Kostin adds, because \"in today’s economic environment, our macro model suggests the ERP should be narrower than average.\" Translation: yes, a 10% drop is coming but our models say it may not come, so just keep buying.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>首先，投资者询问利率水平是否正在对股票估值构成威胁。</b></li></ul>可以预见的是，<i><b>高盛的回答是一个响亮的“不”</b></i>科斯汀（面无表情）声称，“尽管标普500 22倍的远期市盈率目前排在1976年以来的第99个历史百分位，仅排在2000年科技泡沫顶峰之后，但我们的股息贴现模型（DDM）意味着股权风险溢价（ERP）排在第28百分位，比历史平均水平高出70个基点。”换句话说，如果利率上升，创纪录的市盈率不会大幅下降。是的，没错。可能想给大卫打个时间戳。我们几周后再来看看。那又怎样<i><b>将会</b></i>高盛首席市场啦啦队长称导致市场崩盘？嗯，根据科斯汀的说法，“<b>如果保持当前市盈率不变，10年期国债收益率必须达到2.1%，才能使收益率差距达到250个基点的历史中值。相反，如果收益率差距保持不变，利率升至2.0%，那么市盈率将下降10%至20倍。”</b>但不用担心，科斯汀补充道，因为“在当今的经济环境下，我们的宏观模型表明ERP应该比平均水平窄。”翻译：是的，10%的下降即将到来，但我们的模型说它可能不会到来，所以继续购买。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cdbd39d9b2a4e20ee8ef423435a57d7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"169\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Second, Goldman's bullish US equity view has already embedded expectations of rising interest rates.</b></li> </ul> Addressing the second most regular pushback against its bizarre optimism, Goldman says that an environment of accelerating economic growth (and recall that recently Goldman found that theUS Economy is Growing At the Fastest Pace On Record), and higher bond yields is consistent with the bank's forecast that<b>S&amp;P 500 EPS in 2021 will grow by 27% and be 10% higher than pre-pandemic 2019, driving a 14% rise this year to our year-end price target of 4300 despite a flat P/E multiple.</b>In other words, multiples may indeed contract but the rise in earnings - a result of economic growth - will offset much if not all of the move. Furthermore, the forward market implies that 10-year nominal yields will climb 25 bp further to 1.7% - below Goldman's 2.1% redline - and real yields will climb by a similar amount to from -0.7% to -0.4% by year-end.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>其次，高盛看涨美股观点已经嵌入加息预期。</b></li></ul>针对其奇异乐观情绪的第二个最常见的阻力，高盛表示，经济加速增长的环境（回想一下高盛最近发现美国经济正以有记录以来最快的速度增长）和更高的债券收益率与该银行的预测一致<b>标普500 2021年每股收益将增长27%，比疫情前的2019年高出10%，尽管市盈率持平，但今年仍将上涨14%，达到我们的年终目标价4300点。</b>换句话说，市盈率可能确实会收缩，但盈利的增长——经济增长的结果——将抵消大部分（如果不是全部）变动。此外，远期市场暗示，10年期名义收益率将进一步攀升25个基点至1.7%，低于高盛2.1%的红线，实际收益率将在年底前攀升类似幅度，从-0.7%升至-0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Third, even Kostin is forced to concede that the recent change in yields has reached a magnitude that is usually a headwind for stocks.</b></li> </ul> As the Goldman strategist concedes, equities have generated an average return of nearly +1% per month,<b>but the return has averaged -1% during months when nominal rates rose by more than two standard deviations and -5% when real yields rose by that amount.</b>Today, a two standard deviation monthly rise in 10-year rates equates to 40 bp for nominal yields and 30 bp for real yields, both thresholds exceeded this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>第三，就连科斯汀也被迫承认，最近收益率的变化已经达到了通常对股市不利的程度。</b></li></ul>正如高盛策略师承认的那样，股票每月的平均回报率接近+1%，<b>但当名义利率上升超过两个标准差时，回报率平均为-1%，当实际收益率上升超过两个标准差时，回报率平均为-5%。</b>如今，10年期利率每月上升两个标准差，相当于名义收益率上升40个基点，实际收益率上升30个基点，本周都超过了这两个阈值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6a23015dc5dbaee1d4660e8e902a000\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"175\">Of course, it's not just absolute levels across risk that are impacted by rates: Kostin also notes that \"shifting interest rates have major implications for<i><b>rotations within the equity market,</b></i>a dynamic made clear in recent weeks.\" In mid-2020, Kostin's equity valuation model showed that equity duration –the expectations of earnings growth far in the future –had become a more important contributor to multiples than ever before. One key reason for the importance that investors ascribed to expected future growth was the extremely low level of interest rates. As rates have risen, the contribution of equity duration to stock valuations has declined while near-term growth profiles have become more important. Practically,<b>this means that both the improving growth outlook and rising rates have supported the outperformance of cyclicals and value stocks relative to stocks with the highest long-term growth.</b>Hardly surprising, in recent weeks Goldman's S&amp;P 500 Growth factor has declined by 9%, similar to the 12% decline around the announcement of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine efficacy in November</p><p><blockquote>当然，受利率影响的不仅仅是风险的绝对水平：科斯汀还指出，“利率变化对<i><b>股票市场内的轮动，</b></i>最近几周的动态变得很明显。”2020年中期，科斯汀的股票估值模型显示，股票久期——对遥远未来盈利增长的预期——已成为比以往任何时候都更重要的市盈率贡献者。投资者重视预期未来增长的一个关键原因是极低的利率水平。随着利率上升，股票久期对股票估值的贡献下降，而近期增长状况变得更加重要。实际上，<b>这意味着增长前景的改善和利率的上升都支持了周期性股票和价值股相对于长期增长最高的股票的优异表现。</b>毫不奇怪，最近几周高盛的标普500增长因子下降了9%，与11月份辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗功效公布前后12%的下降类似</blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the one sector most at risk from the continued risk in yields.</p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了收益率持续风险最大的一个行业。</blockquote></p><p> As Kostin writes, \"<b>this rotation has also weighed on one of the most spectacular outperformers of the last 12 months: Stocks with negative earnings but strong expected growth.\"</b>One of the most remarkable moves of the past year is that<b>a basket of non-profitable tech stocks soared by 204% last year and 27% in the first six weeks of 2021... before falling by 15% in last two weeks.</b>The decline of these high-growth firms has been particularly painful given the current record degree of leverage carried by hedge funds and the elevated activity of retail traders, both of whom have recently favored some of these long-duration stocks.</p><p><blockquote>正如科斯汀所写，“<b>这种轮换也给过去12个月中表现最出色的股票之一带来了压力：盈利为负但预期增长强劲的股票。”</b>过去一年最引人注目的举措之一是<b>一篮子未盈利的科技股去年飙升204%，2021年前六周飙升27%...在过去两周内下跌了15%。</b>鉴于对冲基金目前创纪录的杠杆程度和散户交易者活动的增加，这些高增长公司的衰落尤其令人痛苦，而散户交易者最近都青睐其中一些长期股票。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, while earnings for S&amp;P 500 firms declined by 13% in 2020, the fall in aggregate profits does not capture the wide dispersion in operating results that occurred inside the market. While 2020 EPS growth was negative for the overall index and the median stock,<b>the actual level of profits was positive... But not for every company.</b>In fact,<b>1082 firms or 37% of the constituents in the Russell 3000 posted negative net income in 2020 (i.e., a loss or negative EPS), and 21% posted negative EBITDA.</b></p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，虽然标普500公司的盈利在2020年下降了13%，但总利润的下降并没有反映出市场内部经营业绩的广泛分散。虽然2020年每股收益增长整体指数和股票中位数均为负，<b>实际利润水平为正...但并不是每家公司都如此。</b>事实上，<b>罗素3000指数成分股中有1082家公司（即37%的成分股）在2020年净利润为负（即亏损或每股收益为负），21%的公司EBITDA为负。</b></blockquote></p><p> Getting even more granular (and apologizing to George Orwell), Kostin then notes that all companies with losses are equal, but some are more equal than others. Some firms reported negative earnings in 2020 because the pandemic and economic shutdown disrupted their business and crushed their revenues.<b>But in other instances, the Goldman strategist points out that \"companies grew sales so rapidly that top-line was the focus of investors and bottom-line losses were ignored.\"</b>Indeed, consider that across all non-Financial US stocks with at least $50 million in revenues, \"<b>those with negative earnings and declining revenues in 2020 returned a median of -18% last year. In contrast, stocks with negative earnings and growing revenues returned +51%.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>科斯汀变得更加细致（并向乔治·奥威尔道歉），然后指出所有亏损的公司都是平等的，但有些公司比其他公司更平等。一些公司在2020年报告了负收益，因为疫情和经济停摆扰乱了他们的业务并压低了他们的收入。<b>但在其他情况下，高盛策略师指出，“公司销售额增长如此之快，以至于营收成为投资者关注的焦点，而利润损失却被忽视了。”</b>事实上，考虑到所有收入至少为5000万美元的非金融美国股票，”<b>2020年盈利为负且收入下降的企业去年的回报率中位数为-18%。相比之下，盈利为负且收入增长的股票回报率为+51%。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672e0f0b03d6b3cec8ec067276919bf9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"171\"><b>Recently, however, improving economic growth prospects from vaccination rollout and pending fiscal stimulus coupled with rising rates have moved firms that struggled most in 2020 into pole position so far in 2021.</b>The cyclical and virus-affected firms with<b>negative earnings and falling sales in 2020 have generated a median YTD return of +22%, outperforming the +10% return of the median stock that posted a loss but grew sales last year.</b>Unsurprisingly, these cyclical stocks have been positively correlated with both nominal and real interest rates. In contrast,<b>the ultra long-duration stocks have been negatively correlated with interest rates given they generate no earnings today and their valuations depend entirely on future growth prospects.</b>Cyclicals also carry far lower valuations, with a median EV/2022 sales ratio of 2x vs. 6x for the median negative earner with positive sales growth.</p><p><blockquote><b>然而，最近，疫苗接种的推出和即将出台的财政刺激措施改善了经济增长前景，加上利率上升，使2020年最困难的公司在2021年迄今为止处于领先地位。</b>周期性和受病毒影响的公司<b>2020年的负收益和销售额下降导致年初至今回报率中位数为+22%，超过了去年亏损但销售额增长的股票回报率中位数+10%。</b>不出所料，这些周期性股票与名义利率和实际利率都呈正相关。相比之下，<b>超长期股票与利率呈负相关，因为它们目前没有产生收益，而且它们的估值完全取决于未来的增长前景。</b>周期性股票的估值也低得多，EV/2022年销售比率中位数为2倍，而销售正增长的负收入者中位数为6倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00a42075ac35763072cb85546315087\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\">Putting it all together, Kostin concludes that \"<b>looking forward, investors must balance the appeal of promising businesses with the risk that rates rise further and the recent rotation continues.\"</b>The list of non-profitable companies that makes up GOldman's Non-Profitable Tech basket is shown below:</p><p><blockquote>综合起来，科斯汀得出的结论是“<b>展望未来，投资者必须平衡有前途的企业的吸引力与利率进一步上升和近期轮换持续的风险。”</b>构成高盛非营利科技篮子的非营利公司列表如下所示：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/782b2dbfc010259d8bc5120f85d13070\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"364\">And although secular growth stocks may remain the most appealing investments on a long-term horizon, Goldman believes that<b>those stocks will underperform more cyclical firms in the short-term if economic acceleration and inflation continue to lift interest rates.</b></p><p><blockquote>尽管长期成长型股票可能仍然是最有吸引力的投资，但高盛认为<b>如果经济加速和通胀继续提高利率，这些股票的短期表现将逊于更具周期性的公司。</b></blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the other side of the table: the<b>chart below shows the Russell 1000 firms from each sector with the shortest implied equity durations that have outperformed sector peers during the past two weeks as rates rose and are expected to grow revenues in 2021</b>. The median stock trades at a P/E ratio of 19x and has returned 7% YTD compared with 22x and 2% for the Russell 1000 median.</p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了桌子的另一边：<b>下图显示了每个行业隐含股权久期最短的罗素1000公司，这些公司在过去两周内随着利率上升而表现优于行业同行，预计2021年收入将增长</b>该股的市盈率中位数为19倍，年初至今回报率为7%，而罗素1000指数中位数为22倍和2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96e14fcedd553203d06c6a3639a17f8f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"365\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/which-companies-are-most-risk-surging-yields-goldman-answers?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/which-companies-are-most-risk-surging-yields-goldman-answers?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161169607","content_text":"For those living under a rock in 2021, the big story in the past month is that 10-year Treasury yield have climbed by 50 bps in a month to 1.5% (technically as high as 1.61% for a few brief seconds on Thursday after the catastrophic 7Y auction triggered stop loss selling) as real rates jumped following a steady increase in inflation expectations (breakevens), which however are largely set by 10Y TIPS whose price is determined largely by the Fed due to its massive ongoing monetization of TIPS (thus crushing any actual signaling power TIPS may have). Whatever the cause, while rising breakeven inflation has driven most of the rise in yields during the past six months, the last two weeks have been characterized by a 40 bp jump in real yields.\nIt's this sudden spike in real yields as opposed to breakevens, that has sparked much of the fear in markets in the past week, because as Goldman's David Kostin explains in his Sunday Start note, \"conceptually, and historically, equities digest rising inflation expectations more easily than rising real yields\" and not just rising real yields, but a rapid spike the likes of which were last observed during the taper tantrum as we discussed two weeks ago in \"Yields Soar, Sending 30Y Real Rates Positive Amid Overheating Panic: What Happens Next\"). In any case, as a result of the violent moves in the rates complex, it is hardly a surprise that Kostin writes \"the recent backup in rates has sparked a new wave of client concern.\"\n\nFirst, investors ask whether the level of rates is becoming a threat to equity valuations.\n\nPredictably,Goldman's answer is an emphatic \"no\"with Kostin claiming (with a straight face) that \"although the S&P 500 forward P/E multiple of 22x currently ranks in the 99th historical percentile since 1976, ranking only behind the peak of the Tech Bubble in 2000, our dividend discount model (DDM) implies an equity risk premium (ERP) that ranks in the 28th percentile, 70 bp above the historical average.\" In other words, massively, record stretched PE multiples won't collapse if rates rise. Yeah, right. May want to Timestamp that David. We'll check back in a few weeks. So whatwouldcause a market crash according to Goldman's head market cheerleader? Well, according to Kostin, \"keeping the current P/E constant, the 10-year yield would have to reach 2.1% to bring the yield gap to the historical median of 250 bp.If instead the yield gap remains unchanged, and rates rise to 2.0%, then the P/E multiple would fall by 10% to 20x.\"But don't worry, Kostin adds, because \"in today’s economic environment, our macro model suggests the ERP should be narrower than average.\" Translation: yes, a 10% drop is coming but our models say it may not come, so just keep buying.\n\n\nSecond, Goldman's bullish US equity view has already embedded expectations of rising interest rates.\n\nAddressing the second most regular pushback against its bizarre optimism, Goldman says that an environment of accelerating economic growth (and recall that recently Goldman found that theUS Economy is Growing At the Fastest Pace On Record), and higher bond yields is consistent with the bank's forecast thatS&P 500 EPS in 2021 will grow by 27% and be 10% higher than pre-pandemic 2019, driving a 14% rise this year to our year-end price target of 4300 despite a flat P/E multiple.In other words, multiples may indeed contract but the rise in earnings - a result of economic growth - will offset much if not all of the move. Furthermore, the forward market implies that 10-year nominal yields will climb 25 bp further to 1.7% - below Goldman's 2.1% redline - and real yields will climb by a similar amount to from -0.7% to -0.4% by year-end.\n\nThird, even Kostin is forced to concede that the recent change in yields has reached a magnitude that is usually a headwind for stocks.\n\nAs the Goldman strategist concedes, equities have generated an average return of nearly +1% per month,but the return has averaged -1% during months when nominal rates rose by more than two standard deviations and -5% when real yields rose by that amount.Today, a two standard deviation monthly rise in 10-year rates equates to 40 bp for nominal yields and 30 bp for real yields, both thresholds exceeded this week.\nOf course, it's not just absolute levels across risk that are impacted by rates: Kostin also notes that \"shifting interest rates have major implications forrotations within the equity market,a dynamic made clear in recent weeks.\" In mid-2020, Kostin's equity valuation model showed that equity duration –the expectations of earnings growth far in the future –had become a more important contributor to multiples than ever before. One key reason for the importance that investors ascribed to expected future growth was the extremely low level of interest rates. As rates have risen, the contribution of equity duration to stock valuations has declined while near-term growth profiles have become more important. Practically,this means that both the improving growth outlook and rising rates have supported the outperformance of cyclicals and value stocks relative to stocks with the highest long-term growth.Hardly surprising, in recent weeks Goldman's S&P 500 Growth factor has declined by 9%, similar to the 12% decline around the announcement of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine efficacy in November\nWhich brings us to the one sector most at risk from the continued risk in yields.\nAs Kostin writes, \"this rotation has also weighed on one of the most spectacular outperformers of the last 12 months: Stocks with negative earnings but strong expected growth.\"One of the most remarkable moves of the past year is thata basket of non-profitable tech stocks soared by 204% last year and 27% in the first six weeks of 2021... before falling by 15% in last two weeks.The decline of these high-growth firms has been particularly painful given the current record degree of leverage carried by hedge funds and the elevated activity of retail traders, both of whom have recently favored some of these long-duration stocks.\nTo be sure, while earnings for S&P 500 firms declined by 13% in 2020, the fall in aggregate profits does not capture the wide dispersion in operating results that occurred inside the market. While 2020 EPS growth was negative for the overall index and the median stock,the actual level of profits was positive... But not for every company.In fact,1082 firms or 37% of the constituents in the Russell 3000 posted negative net income in 2020 (i.e., a loss or negative EPS), and 21% posted negative EBITDA.\nGetting even more granular (and apologizing to George Orwell), Kostin then notes that all companies with losses are equal, but some are more equal than others. Some firms reported negative earnings in 2020 because the pandemic and economic shutdown disrupted their business and crushed their revenues.But in other instances, the Goldman strategist points out that \"companies grew sales so rapidly that top-line was the focus of investors and bottom-line losses were ignored.\"Indeed, consider that across all non-Financial US stocks with at least $50 million in revenues, \"those with negative earnings and declining revenues in 2020 returned a median of -18% last year. In contrast, stocks with negative earnings and growing revenues returned +51%.\"\nRecently, however, improving economic growth prospects from vaccination rollout and pending fiscal stimulus coupled with rising rates have moved firms that struggled most in 2020 into pole position so far in 2021.The cyclical and virus-affected firms withnegative earnings and falling sales in 2020 have generated a median YTD return of +22%, outperforming the +10% return of the median stock that posted a loss but grew sales last year.Unsurprisingly, these cyclical stocks have been positively correlated with both nominal and real interest rates. In contrast,the ultra long-duration stocks have been negatively correlated with interest rates given they generate no earnings today and their valuations depend entirely on future growth prospects.Cyclicals also carry far lower valuations, with a median EV/2022 sales ratio of 2x vs. 6x for the median negative earner with positive sales growth.\nPutting it all together, Kostin concludes that \"looking forward, investors must balance the appeal of promising businesses with the risk that rates rise further and the recent rotation continues.\"The list of non-profitable companies that makes up GOldman's Non-Profitable Tech basket is shown below:\nAnd although secular growth stocks may remain the most appealing investments on a long-term horizon, Goldman believes thatthose stocks will underperform more cyclical firms in the short-term if economic acceleration and inflation continue to lift interest rates.\nWhich brings us to the other side of the table: thechart below shows the Russell 1000 firms from each sector with the shortest implied equity durations that have outperformed sector peers during the past two weeks as rates rose and are expected to grow revenues in 2021. The median stock trades at a P/E ratio of 19x and has returned 7% YTD compared with 22x and 2% for the Russell 1000 median.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361264850,"gmtCreate":1614240421670,"gmtModify":1634550532265,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dead cat jump for sure&nbsp;","listText":"Dead cat jump for sure&nbsp;","text":"Dead cat jump for sure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361264850","repostId":"361284489","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":361284489,"gmtCreate":1614239534637,"gmtModify":1744960636183,"author":{"id":"3510558082622800","authorId":"3510558082622800","name":"胖虎哒哒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75b95d9326c02813b7b87ba8c1eccb5a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3510558082622800","idStr":"3510558082622800"},"themes":[],"title":"GME股价再度暴涨，是不是死猫跳？","htmlText":"GameStop的股票周三飙升了100％以上，今天在德国法兰克福交易所涨近240%，AMC涨近42%。从媒体解读来看，都认为主要因素是因为之前高管洗牌CFO出局的结果。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a> GameStop周二宣布，其首席财务官吉姆·贝尔将于3月26日辞职。该公司在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中说：“贝尔先生的辞职并不是因为在与公司的运营，政策或惯例有关的任何事项（包括会计原则和惯例）上与公司存在分歧。” 熟悉此事的消息人士告诉《商业内幕》，贝尔并没有自愿离开，而是被Chewy的联合创始人瑞安·科恩（Ryan Cohen）赶出的，&nbsp;后者去年对GameStop进行了投资，以帮助该公司加快在线推动。 彭博新闻社周二晚间报道说，据知情人士透露，GameStop董事会将贝尔推开，以便更快地执行转型。 1月，科恩被任命为GameStop董事会成员，这促使大量做空的股票上涨，这导致GameStop出现史诗般的空头紧缩，这引起了散户交易的狂热，并最终引起了国会的关注。 杰富瑞（Jefferies）证券分析师斯蒂芬妮·威辛克（Stephanie Wissink）告诉客户：“我们承认，领导层的变动通常是在激进主义者达成和解之后进行的，贝尔先生的退出是相互的，不直接的，并且表明与公司/董事会没有分歧。”“我们认为，在上一轮硬件周期的后期，即销售急剧下降时，贝尔先生采取了一系列保护GME权益的行动，应该得到认可。” Jefferies补充说，与零售背景相比，GameStop可能会寻求用技术取代CFO，因为GameStop专注于电子商务的增长","listText":"GameStop的股票周三飙升了100％以上，今天在德国法兰克福交易所涨近240%，AMC涨近42%。从媒体解读来看，都认为主要因素是因为之前高管洗牌CFO出局的结果。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a> GameStop周二宣布，其首席财务官吉姆·贝尔将于3月26日辞职。该公司在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中说：“贝尔先生的辞职并不是因为在与公司的运营，政策或惯例有关的任何事项（包括会计原则和惯例）上与公司存在分歧。” 熟悉此事的消息人士告诉《商业内幕》，贝尔并没有自愿离开，而是被Chewy的联合创始人瑞安·科恩（Ryan Cohen）赶出的，&nbsp;后者去年对GameStop进行了投资，以帮助该公司加快在线推动。 彭博新闻社周二晚间报道说，据知情人士透露，GameStop董事会将贝尔推开，以便更快地执行转型。 1月，科恩被任命为GameStop董事会成员，这促使大量做空的股票上涨，这导致GameStop出现史诗般的空头紧缩，这引起了散户交易的狂热，并最终引起了国会的关注。 杰富瑞（Jefferies）证券分析师斯蒂芬妮·威辛克（Stephanie Wissink）告诉客户：“我们承认，领导层的变动通常是在激进主义者达成和解之后进行的，贝尔先生的退出是相互的，不直接的，并且表明与公司/董事会没有分歧。”“我们认为，在上一轮硬件周期的后期，即销售急剧下降时，贝尔先生采取了一系列保护GME权益的行动，应该得到认可。” Jefferies补充说，与零售背景相比，GameStop可能会寻求用技术取代CFO，因为GameStop专注于电子商务的增长","text":"GameStop的股票周三飙升了100％以上，今天在德国法兰克福交易所涨近240%，AMC涨近42%。从媒体解读来看，都认为主要因素是因为之前高管洗牌CFO出局的结果。$游戏驿站(GME)$ $AMC院线(AMC)$ GameStop周二宣布，其首席财务官吉姆·贝尔将于3月26日辞职。该公司在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中说：“贝尔先生的辞职并不是因为在与公司的运营，政策或惯例有关的任何事项（包括会计原则和惯例）上与公司存在分歧。” 熟悉此事的消息人士告诉《商业内幕》，贝尔并没有自愿离开，而是被Chewy的联合创始人瑞安·科恩（Ryan Cohen）赶出的， 后者去年对GameStop进行了投资，以帮助该公司加快在线推动。 彭博新闻社周二晚间报道说，据知情人士透露，GameStop董事会将贝尔推开，以便更快地执行转型。 1月，科恩被任命为GameStop董事会成员，这促使大量做空的股票上涨，这导致GameStop出现史诗般的空头紧缩，这引起了散户交易的狂热，并最终引起了国会的关注。 杰富瑞（Jefferies）证券分析师斯蒂芬妮·威辛克（Stephanie Wissink）告诉客户：“我们承认，领导层的变动通常是在激进主义者达成和解之后进行的，贝尔先生的退出是相互的，不直接的，并且表明与公司/董事会没有分歧。”“我们认为，在上一轮硬件周期的后期，即销售急剧下降时，贝尔先生采取了一系列保护GME权益的行动，应该得到认可。” Jefferies补充说，与零售背景相比，GameStop可能会寻求用技术取代CFO，因为GameStop专注于电子商务的增长","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecd33b9aca957c92f208bfcb16b7c897","width":"839","height":"469"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361284489","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"vote":{"id":1360,"gmtBegin":1614239712679,"gmtEnd":1614585265101,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"GME股价再次暴涨是？","choices":[{"id":5061,"sort":1,"name":"死猫跳","userSize":561,"voted":false},{"id":5062,"sort":2,"name":"moon！🚀🚀🚀","userSize":726,"voted":false}]},"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361131807,"gmtCreate":1614212420509,"gmtModify":1634550708659,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unbelievable is this considered insider news / trading..","listText":"Unbelievable is this considered insider news / trading..","text":"Unbelievable is this considered insider news / trading..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361131807","repostId":"2113803180","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363666430,"gmtCreate":1614134880820,"gmtModify":1634551042670,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip ! Strong notions being played here&nbsp;","listText":"Buy the dip ! Strong notions being played here&nbsp;","text":"Buy the dip ! Strong notions being played here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363666430","repostId":"1178144401","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363666071,"gmtCreate":1614134793093,"gmtModify":1634551043131,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news after a market correction recently&nbsp;","listText":"Great news after a market correction recently&nbsp;","text":"Great news after a market correction recently","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363666071","repostId":"1178144401","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369476963,"gmtCreate":1614073614252,"gmtModify":1634551297613,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I believe in Palantir tech stocks to be a very good buy","listText":"I believe in Palantir tech stocks to be a very good buy","text":"I believe in Palantir tech stocks to be a very good buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369476963","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387796525,"gmtCreate":1613783977067,"gmtModify":1634552257803,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes more employee benefits","listText":"Yes more employee benefits","text":"Yes more employee benefits","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387796525","repostId":"1194607255","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387707150,"gmtCreate":1613783489670,"gmtModify":1634552261854,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes it is extremely convenient for people with no investment knowledge what so ever to get invested !","listText":"Yes it is extremely convenient for people with no investment knowledge what so ever to get invested !","text":"Yes it is extremely convenient for people with no investment knowledge what so ever to get invested !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387707150","repostId":"1161529893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161529893","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613733842,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161529893?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-19 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161529893","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by so","content":"<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-19 19:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161529893","content_text":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\n\nRobo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.\nNow anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.\n“Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\nAlthough the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.\n“People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.\nGoldman Sachs declined to comment.\nThe company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.\nFees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.\nThe median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.\nRobo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.\nRobo investing as a self-driving car\nConsumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.\nThe rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.\nSo what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.\nYou put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.\nRobo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.\nThere are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.\nAnd rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.\nCynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.\nAs she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”\nRobos appeal to inexperienced investors\nRobo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.\nThat makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.\n“When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”\nThat said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”\nOthers disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.\n“Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.\nThere is often no door to knock on\nYour robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.\nIt won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.\n“The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.\nNot all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.\nAdditionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.\nFor instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.\nBut with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.\nOn top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.\n“If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.\nDon’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.\nBut not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.\nThe results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380456081,"gmtCreate":1612578338144,"gmtModify":1703763798119,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing !","listText":"Amazing !","text":"Amazing !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380456081","repostId":"2109266857","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380458466,"gmtCreate":1612578283355,"gmtModify":1703763797777,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A real bubble that is not going to managed or have any means to be bailed out or regulated","listText":"A real bubble that is not going to managed or have any means to be bailed out or regulated","text":"A real bubble that is not going to managed or have any means to be bailed out or regulated","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380458466","repostId":"1180970570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180970570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612501989,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180970570?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-05 13:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180970570","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now droppi","content":"<p>Shares of GameStop&nbsp;and other companies or&nbsp;assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now&nbsp;dropping&nbsp;like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和其他最近几周价值飙升的公司或资产的股价现在像石头一样下跌。虽然我为许多可能会损失很多钱的投资者感到难过，但如果你想避免金融崩溃成为美国面临的一长串危机，股票回归地球实际上是一件好事。</blockquote></p><p>The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.</p><p><blockquote>原因与金融市场是什么以及它们不是什么有关，以及当股票和其他证券的价格脱离它们所代表的资产的基本价值时会发生什么有关。</blockquote></p><p>As a finance professor who does&nbsp;research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名研究市场如何对新信息做出反应的金融学教授，我认为保持证券价格和基本面之间的密切联系非常重要。当这种情况停止发生时，市场崩溃可能就在不远处。</blockquote></p><p>Capital markets aren’t casinos</p><p><blockquote>资本市场不是赌场</blockquote></p><p>Some have portrayed&nbsp;GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?</p><p><blockquote>有些人将GameStopGME(-42.11%)描绘成大卫与歌利亚的故事。根据这种说法，华尔街的大佬们多年来一直在股市SPX上赌博致富，+1.09%。小家伙一有机会有什么问题？</blockquote></p><p>The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino,&nbsp;as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.</p><p><blockquote>首先要记住的是，市场并不像一些人认为的那样是一个大赌场。他们的核心目的是有效地将投资者与公司和其他组织联系起来，最有效地利用他们的现金。</blockquote></p><p>Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without&nbsp;access to capital markets.</p><p><blockquote>准确的市场价格旨在反映公司的预期利润和整体风险水平，为投资者提供了一个重要信号，即他们是否应该交出资金以及应该获得什么回报。如果没有资本市场，像AppleAAPL(+2.58%)和AmazonAMZN(+0.56%)这样的公司就不会像我们今天所知的那样存在。</blockquote></p><p>The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when&nbsp;markets seemingly go crazy&nbsp;and on the&nbsp;speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as&nbsp;hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.</p><p><blockquote>对市场更有偏见的看法集中在市场似乎变得疯狂的时候，以及一些交易者（如对冲基金）的投机赌博行为。游戏驿站传奇融入了这个故事情节。</blockquote></p><p>But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.</p><p><blockquote>但游戏驿站也说明了当股价不能反映现实时会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p>The GameStop bubble</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫</blockquote></p><p>GameStop fundamentals&nbsp;are, to put it mildly, lackluster.</p><p><blockquote>委婉地说，游戏驿站的基本面黯淡无光。</blockquote></p><p>The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now&nbsp;take place as digital downloads. GameStop&nbsp;has been slow&nbsp;to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in&nbsp;2012 at US$9.55 billion&nbsp;and had dropped by a third&nbsp;as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是一家实体视频游戏连锁店。现在大多数视频游戏销售都是以数字下载的形式进行的。游戏驿站在适应这一新现实方面进展缓慢。其收入在2012年达到95.5亿美元的峰值，截至2019年下降了三分之一。自2017年以来，它就没有盈利过。简单来说，就是在竞争激烈、瞬息万变的行业中，它是一家亏损的公司。</blockquote></p><p>The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price&nbsp;from under $20 in early January to as high as $483&nbsp;in a little over two weeks,&nbsp;driven by retail investors on Reddit&nbsp;who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds,&nbsp;costing the professionals billions of dollars.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近的投机狂潮使游戏驿站股价在两周多一点的时间内从1月初的不到20美元上涨至483美元，这是由Reddit上的散户投资者推动的，他们协调购买以损害对冲基金，使专业人士损失了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>It is&nbsp;clearly a speculative price bubble&nbsp;and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially&nbsp;those attracted by the extreme price moves&nbsp;and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.</p><p><blockquote>这显然是一个投机性的价格泡沫，具有庞氏骗局的一些特征。许多晚“上车”并以虚高的价格买入的小投资者——尤其是那些被极端价格走势和媒体报道吸引的小投资者——将背黑锅。</blockquote></p><p>And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares&nbsp;were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.</p><p><blockquote>股价迟早会回到能够得到公司基本面支撑的水平。2月4日中午之前，股价自1月25日以来首次接近70美元。</blockquote></p><p>The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.</p><p><blockquote>当为时已晚时，问题就开始了。</blockquote></p><p>Bubbles are made to pop</p><p><blockquote>泡泡被制造出来</blockquote></p><p>Financial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.</p><p><blockquote>金融市场是由人组成的。人是不完美的，市场也是。这意味着市场价格并不总是“正确”的——而且通常很难知道什么是“正确”的价格。</blockquote></p><p>That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到游戏驿站等个股的价格泡沫时，情况确实如此。但当涉及到整个市场时，在更大的范围内也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 —&nbsp;after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s&nbsp;— an&nbsp;economic recession&nbsp;followed soon after. The bursting of a&nbsp;housing bubble in 2008&nbsp;triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>价格泡沫和崩盘对华尔街和大街都没有好处。当2000年互联网泡沫破裂时——在20世纪90年代末数十只科技股的价格呈指数级飙升——经济衰退随之而来。2008年房地产泡沫的破裂引发了全球金融危机和大衰退。</blockquote></p><p>Too much momentum</p><p><blockquote>动力太大</blockquote></p><p>So markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.</p><p><blockquote>因此，市场有时会失灵，我们需要明智的监管和执法来减少这种失灵的可能性。</blockquote></p><p>Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.</p><p><blockquote>孤立地看，游戏驿站热潮不太可能引发整体股市的混乱，特别是如果其价格继续下跌，更符合公司的基本价值。不幸的是，这不是一个孤立的案例。游戏驿站也不是问题的第一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p>In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the&nbsp;prices of silverSI00,0.61%&nbsp;and&nbsp;companies&nbsp;such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood&nbsp;have made trading easy, fun&nbsp;and basically free.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，Reddit用户还推高了silverSI00(0.61%)以及BlackBerryBB(+1.25%)和电影院巨头AMC EntertainmentAMC(-20.96%)等公司的价格。Robinhood等流行的交易应用程序使交易变得轻松、有趣且基本上免费。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example,&nbsp;skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called&nbsp;momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA(-0.55%)的股价去年飙升了720%，很大程度上是因为投资者买入该股是因为该股已经在上涨。这被称为动量投资，这是一种交易策略，投资者购买证券是因为他们正在上涨，只有当他们认为价格已经见顶时才出售。</blockquote></p><p>If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the&nbsp;already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation&nbsp;could hurt public confidence&nbsp;in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种情况持续下去，可能会导致更多的金融泡沫和崩溃，使企业更难筹集资金，对本已步履蹒跚的美国经济复苏构成威胁。即使最坏的情况没有发生，价格大幅波动和价格操纵指控也可能损害公众对金融市场的信心，这将使人们更不愿意投资于退休和其他项目。</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&nbsp;once said&nbsp;about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经谈到股市行为时说过：“灯可以随时从绿色变成红色，而不会在黄色时暂停。”</blockquote></p><p>What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，市场可能会突然转向并暴跌。他认为这些时刻是在市场上寻找交易的机会，但对大多数人来说，它们会导致恐慌、重大损失和大规模失业等经济后果——就像我们在1929年、2000年和2008年看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p>There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.</p><p><blockquote>没有什么特别的理由不会再发生。</blockquote></p><p><i>Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from&nbsp;crashing“.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚历山大·库罗夫是摩根敦西弗吉尼亚大学金融学教授，并担任弗雷德·T·塔特索尔金融学研究主席。这篇文章最初由The Conversation发表——“华尔街不仅仅是交易者可以押注游戏驿站和其他股票的赌场——它对于防止资本主义崩溃至关重要”。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-05 13:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of GameStop&nbsp;and other companies or&nbsp;assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now&nbsp;dropping&nbsp;like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和其他最近几周价值飙升的公司或资产的股价现在像石头一样下跌。虽然我为许多可能会损失很多钱的投资者感到难过，但如果你想避免金融崩溃成为美国面临的一长串危机，股票回归地球实际上是一件好事。</blockquote></p><p>The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.</p><p><blockquote>原因与金融市场是什么以及它们不是什么有关，以及当股票和其他证券的价格脱离它们所代表的资产的基本价值时会发生什么有关。</blockquote></p><p>As a finance professor who does&nbsp;research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名研究市场如何对新信息做出反应的金融学教授，我认为保持证券价格和基本面之间的密切联系非常重要。当这种情况停止发生时，市场崩溃可能就在不远处。</blockquote></p><p>Capital markets aren’t casinos</p><p><blockquote>资本市场不是赌场</blockquote></p><p>Some have portrayed&nbsp;GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?</p><p><blockquote>有些人将GameStopGME(-42.11%)描绘成大卫与歌利亚的故事。根据这种说法，华尔街的大佬们多年来一直在股市SPX上赌博致富，+1.09%。小家伙一有机会有什么问题？</blockquote></p><p>The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino,&nbsp;as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.</p><p><blockquote>首先要记住的是，市场并不像一些人认为的那样是一个大赌场。他们的核心目的是有效地将投资者与公司和其他组织联系起来，最有效地利用他们的现金。</blockquote></p><p>Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without&nbsp;access to capital markets.</p><p><blockquote>准确的市场价格旨在反映公司的预期利润和整体风险水平，为投资者提供了一个重要信号，即他们是否应该交出资金以及应该获得什么回报。如果没有资本市场，像AppleAAPL(+2.58%)和AmazonAMZN(+0.56%)这样的公司就不会像我们今天所知的那样存在。</blockquote></p><p>The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when&nbsp;markets seemingly go crazy&nbsp;and on the&nbsp;speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as&nbsp;hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.</p><p><blockquote>对市场更有偏见的看法集中在市场似乎变得疯狂的时候，以及一些交易者（如对冲基金）的投机赌博行为。游戏驿站传奇融入了这个故事情节。</blockquote></p><p>But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.</p><p><blockquote>但游戏驿站也说明了当股价不能反映现实时会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p>The GameStop bubble</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫</blockquote></p><p>GameStop fundamentals&nbsp;are, to put it mildly, lackluster.</p><p><blockquote>委婉地说，游戏驿站的基本面黯淡无光。</blockquote></p><p>The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now&nbsp;take place as digital downloads. GameStop&nbsp;has been slow&nbsp;to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in&nbsp;2012 at US$9.55 billion&nbsp;and had dropped by a third&nbsp;as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是一家实体视频游戏连锁店。现在大多数视频游戏销售都是以数字下载的形式进行的。游戏驿站在适应这一新现实方面进展缓慢。其收入在2012年达到95.5亿美元的峰值，截至2019年下降了三分之一。自2017年以来，它就没有盈利过。简单来说，就是在竞争激烈、瞬息万变的行业中，它是一家亏损的公司。</blockquote></p><p>The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price&nbsp;from under $20 in early January to as high as $483&nbsp;in a little over two weeks,&nbsp;driven by retail investors on Reddit&nbsp;who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds,&nbsp;costing the professionals billions of dollars.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近的投机狂潮使游戏驿站股价在两周多一点的时间内从1月初的不到20美元上涨至483美元，这是由Reddit上的散户投资者推动的，他们协调购买以损害对冲基金，使专业人士损失了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>It is&nbsp;clearly a speculative price bubble&nbsp;and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially&nbsp;those attracted by the extreme price moves&nbsp;and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.</p><p><blockquote>这显然是一个投机性的价格泡沫，具有庞氏骗局的一些特征。许多晚“上车”并以虚高的价格买入的小投资者——尤其是那些被极端价格走势和媒体报道吸引的小投资者——将背黑锅。</blockquote></p><p>And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares&nbsp;were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.</p><p><blockquote>股价迟早会回到能够得到公司基本面支撑的水平。2月4日中午之前，股价自1月25日以来首次接近70美元。</blockquote></p><p>The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.</p><p><blockquote>当为时已晚时，问题就开始了。</blockquote></p><p>Bubbles are made to pop</p><p><blockquote>泡泡被制造出来</blockquote></p><p>Financial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.</p><p><blockquote>金融市场是由人组成的。人是不完美的，市场也是。这意味着市场价格并不总是“正确”的——而且通常很难知道什么是“正确”的价格。</blockquote></p><p>That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到游戏驿站等个股的价格泡沫时，情况确实如此。但当涉及到整个市场时，在更大的范围内也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 —&nbsp;after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s&nbsp;— an&nbsp;economic recession&nbsp;followed soon after. The bursting of a&nbsp;housing bubble in 2008&nbsp;triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>价格泡沫和崩盘对华尔街和大街都没有好处。当2000年互联网泡沫破裂时——在20世纪90年代末数十只科技股的价格呈指数级飙升——经济衰退随之而来。2008年房地产泡沫的破裂引发了全球金融危机和大衰退。</blockquote></p><p>Too much momentum</p><p><blockquote>动力太大</blockquote></p><p>So markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.</p><p><blockquote>因此，市场有时会失灵，我们需要明智的监管和执法来减少这种失灵的可能性。</blockquote></p><p>Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.</p><p><blockquote>孤立地看，游戏驿站热潮不太可能引发整体股市的混乱，特别是如果其价格继续下跌，更符合公司的基本价值。不幸的是，这不是一个孤立的案例。游戏驿站也不是问题的第一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p>In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the&nbsp;prices of silverSI00,0.61%&nbsp;and&nbsp;companies&nbsp;such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood&nbsp;have made trading easy, fun&nbsp;and basically free.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，Reddit用户还推高了silverSI00(0.61%)以及BlackBerryBB(+1.25%)和电影院巨头AMC EntertainmentAMC(-20.96%)等公司的价格。Robinhood等流行的交易应用程序使交易变得轻松、有趣且基本上免费。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example,&nbsp;skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called&nbsp;momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA(-0.55%)的股价去年飙升了720%，很大程度上是因为投资者买入该股是因为该股已经在上涨。这被称为动量投资，这是一种交易策略，投资者购买证券是因为他们正在上涨，只有当他们认为价格已经见顶时才出售。</blockquote></p><p>If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the&nbsp;already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation&nbsp;could hurt public confidence&nbsp;in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种情况持续下去，可能会导致更多的金融泡沫和崩溃，使企业更难筹集资金，对本已步履蹒跚的美国经济复苏构成威胁。即使最坏的情况没有发生，价格大幅波动和价格操纵指控也可能损害公众对金融市场的信心，这将使人们更不愿意投资于退休和其他项目。</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&nbsp;once said&nbsp;about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经谈到股市行为时说过：“灯可以随时从绿色变成红色，而不会在黄色时暂停。”</blockquote></p><p>What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，市场可能会突然转向并暴跌。他认为这些时刻是在市场上寻找交易的机会，但对大多数人来说，它们会导致恐慌、重大损失和大规模失业等经济后果——就像我们在1929年、2000年和2008年看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p>There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.</p><p><blockquote>没有什么特别的理由不会再发生。</blockquote></p><p><i>Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from&nbsp;crashing“.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚历山大·库罗夫是摩根敦西弗吉尼亚大学金融学教授，并担任弗雷德·T·塔特索尔金融学研究主席。这篇文章最初由The Conversation发表——“华尔街不仅仅是交易者可以押注游戏驿站和其他股票的赌场——它对于防止资本主义崩溃至关重要”。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72bab52a7d49e9d26088350ab4826c1","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180970570","content_text":"Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now dropping like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.As a finance professor who does research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.Capital markets aren’t casinosSome have portrayed GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino, as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without access to capital markets.The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when markets seemingly go crazy and on the speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.The GameStop bubbleGameStop fundamentals are, to put it mildly, lackluster.The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now take place as digital downloads. GameStop has been slow to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in 2012 at US$9.55 billion and had dropped by a third as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price from under $20 in early January to as high as $483 in a little over two weeks, driven by retail investors on Reddit who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds, costing the professionals billions of dollars.It is clearly a speculative price bubble and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially those attracted by the extreme price moves and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.Bubbles are made to popFinancial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 — after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s — an economic recession followed soon after. The bursting of a housing bubble in 2008 triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.Too much momentumSo markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the prices of silverSI00,0.61% and companies such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood have made trading easy, fun and basically free.The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example, skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation could hurt public confidence in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.Warren Buffett once said about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from crashing“.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380097040,"gmtCreate":1612490789380,"gmtModify":1703762621559,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575180993558670","idStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"omg here it comes again","listText":"omg here it comes again","text":"omg here it comes again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380097040","repostId":"1180680925","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":320334804,"gmtCreate":1615012842208,"gmtModify":1703484232986,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the DIPS&nbsp;","listText":"Buy the DIPS&nbsp;","text":"Buy the DIPS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320334804","repostId":"1169596583","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169596583","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614958557,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169596583?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169596583","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.","content":"<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-05 23:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169596583","content_text":"(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367169138,"gmtCreate":1614922017724,"gmtModify":1703483006190,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very useful to switch to value stocks categories such as consumer discretionary and medicinal related at this point of time&nbsp;","listText":"Very useful to switch to value stocks categories such as consumer discretionary and medicinal related at this point of time&nbsp;","text":"Very useful to switch to value stocks categories such as consumer discretionary and medicinal related at this point of time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367169138","repostId":"1138978257","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138978257","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614913165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138978257?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 10:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Medtech Trends That Will Outlive the Pandemic<blockquote>将在大流行之后持续存在的3个医疗技术趋势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138978257","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"Vaccines are starting to roll out in many parts of the world and some believe the beginning of the e","content":"<p>Vaccines are starting to roll out in many parts of the world and some believe the beginning of the end of the pandemic is in sight. Optimism is always welcome, but it’s important to acknowledge the challenges aren’t all behind us.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开始在世界许多地方推广，一些人认为大流行即将结束。乐观总是受欢迎的，但重要的是要承认挑战并没有全部过去。</blockquote></p><p> Neither are the solutions to those challenges.</p><p><blockquote>这些挑战的解决方案也不是。</blockquote></p><p> Innovative and exciting medtech solutions emerged over the past year in attempts to address our pandemic-induced problems head on, particularly in the field of medical technology. Which of these technologies offer advantages that go beyond the inconveniences of social distancing, and provide permanent value once relative normality has returned?</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，创新和令人兴奋的医疗技术解决方案出现了，试图正面解决我们的疫情引发的问题，特别是在医疗技术领域。这些技术中哪一项提供了超越社交距离不便的优势，并在相对正常恢复后提供永久价值？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Patient Safety</b></p><p><blockquote><b>患者安全</b></blockquote></p><p> While increased awareness of patient safety has made major strides in the last decade, COVID-19 has thrown the issue into the spotlight. It was 2016 when BMJ published a&nbsp;report&nbsp;citing medical errors as the third leading cause of death in the United States behind heart disease and cancer. The medical community took a brief moment to pause and reflect on how a certain proportion of human loss, through human error, is something we as a society have traditionally accepted. Now, we’re reflecting on patient safety again.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在过去十年中，患者安全意识的提高取得了重大进展，但新冠肺炎将这个问题推到了聚光灯下。2016年，BMJ发表了一份报告，称医疗差错是美国仅次于心脏病和癌症的第三大死亡原因。医学界花了一个短暂的时间停下来思考，由于人为错误，一定比例的人为损失是我们作为一个社会传统上接受的。现在，我们再次反思病人的安全。</blockquote></p><p> Social distancing, viral prevention, sanitation, and refined approaches to ICU patients all came to the fore during the height of the pandemic. Malnourishment among ICU patients, for instance, was a much more obscure concern before the pandemic. But with a rising number of patients requiring ICU support alongside more studies highlighting the dangers of malnourishment, medtech providers have developed unique methods to circumvent these dangers.</p><p><blockquote>社交距离、病毒预防、卫生设施和对ICU患者的改进方法都在疫情的高峰期脱颖而出。例如，在大流行之前，重症监护室患者的营养不良是一个更加模糊的问题。但随着越来越多的患者需要ICU支持，以及更多的研究强调营养不良的危险，医疗技术提供商开发了独特的方法来规避这些危险。</blockquote></p><p> Medical communities have even cultivated awareness campaigns to streamline the issue, with projects like the&nbsp;Patient Safety Movement, which aims to raise public awareness, expand clinical support, and create a wider sense of urgency surrounding the issue. The movement works to create and freely share actionable solutions (Actionable Patient Safety Solutions) to help mitigate potential dangers.</p><p><blockquote>医学界甚至开展了宣传活动来简化这一问题，如患者安全运动等项目，旨在提高公众意识，扩大临床支持，并围绕这一问题创造更广泛的紧迫感。该运动致力于创建和自由分享可操作的解决方案（可操作的患者安全解决方案），以帮助减轻潜在的危险。</blockquote></p><p> Publications such as the&nbsp;British Medical Journal&nbsp;had already red-flagged it as a serious concern long before the pandemic entered the frame. As such, the issue is unlikely to peter out once we’ve arrived at a point of greater normality.</p><p><blockquote>早在疫情进入框架之前，《英国医学杂志》等出版物就已经将其标记为严重问题。因此，一旦我们达到更正常的程度，这个问题就不太可能消失。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Telemedicine</b></p><p><blockquote><b>远程医疗</b></blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine is the very epitome of technology-driven healthcare and serves as a literal lifeline for millions of people who do not have access to proper medical facilities.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗是技术驱动的医疗保健的缩影，是数百万无法获得适当医疗设施的人的生命线。</blockquote></p><p> In April of 2020, 43.5 percent of Medicare primary care visits&nbsp;utilized&nbsp;telehealth methods rather than in-person visits. One of the major benefits of telehealth over in-person alternatives is that it has reduced contact between patients, healthcare workers, and other patients—making it a fitting solution within social distancing guidelines. Wearable devices enable healthcare workers to have real-time information on patient data while they remain at home, such as physicians being updated remotely by people with diabetes regarding insulin dosages.</p><p><blockquote>2020年4月，43.5%的医疗保险初级保健就诊使用远程医疗方法，而不是亲自就诊。与面对面替代方案相比，远程医疗的主要优势之一是它减少了患者、医护人员和其他患者之间的接触，使其成为社交距离准则内的合适解决方案。可穿戴设备使医护人员能够在家中获得患者数据的实时信息，例如糖尿病患者远程更新医生的胰岛素剂量。</blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine will likely become part of the medtech furniture beyond the pandemic, since its benefits and usability achieved vindication through the necessity of circumstance.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗可能会成为疫情以外的医疗技术家具的一部分，因为它的好处和可用性通过环境的必要性得到了证明。</blockquote></p><p> According&nbsp;to Mordor Intelligence, the industry will be worth more than $66 billion by 2021. It should be stressed that Telemedicine is not a product of 2020. It was being developed much prior and just like patient safety, the pandemic has acted as a wonderful springboard. In essence, telemedicine allows greater access to medical specialists while allowing medicine to treat more patients on a whole. Pandemic or no pandemic, this is a destination medicine will always strive for.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mordor Intelligence的数据，到2021年，该行业的价值将超过660亿美元。需要强调的是，远程医疗不是2020年的产物。它在很久以前就被开发出来了，就像病人安全一样，疫情是一个很好的跳板。从本质上讲，远程医疗允许更多地接触医学专家，同时允许医学在整体上治疗更多的患者。不管有没有疫情，这都是医学将永远努力的目标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deep Tech</b></p><p><blockquote><b>深度技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Digital technology is undeniably altering the way care is both accessed and delivered. 2020 has been a catalyst for this sphere—necessity is the mother of invention, and there has been plenty of necessary demand as of late.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，数字技术正在改变获得和提供护理的方式。2020年是这一领域的催化剂——必要性是发明之母，最近有大量的必要需求。</blockquote></p><p> Deeptech is the generic term designated for technologies not focused on end-user services that includes artificial intelligence, robotics, blockchain, and advanced material science, as well as photonics and electronics, biotech and quantum computing. Deeptech exists as a disruptor with a difference. We think about it as the technology that allows us to transcend the status quo, since current technologies ultimately block progress and deeptech is acting as the un-blocker.</p><p><blockquote>Deeptech是不专注于最终用户服务的技术的通用术语，包括人工智能、机器人、区块链和先进材料科学，以及光子学和电子学、生物技术和量子计算。Deeptech作为一个与众不同的颠覆者而存在。我们认为它是让我们超越现状的技术，因为当前的技术最终会阻碍进步，而deeptech则充当了解除障碍的角色。</blockquote></p><p> Swati Chaturvedi, CEO of Propel, put it succinctly in an&nbsp;interview&nbsp;with Medtech Innovation:</p><p><blockquote>Propel首席执行官Swati Chaturvedi在接受Medtech Innovation采访时简洁地说道：</blockquote></p><p> “They are trying to solve big issues that really affect the world around them.. For example, a new medical device or technique fighting cancer.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们试图解决真正影响他们周围世界的大问题……例如，一种新的抗癌医疗设备或技术。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Deep Tech has been taken by the travails of COVID-19, since the effects of the virus represent the most pressing priority for medtech going into the new year. But it would be a mistake to view Deep Tech as some temporary trend, it represents the first step for medtech in one of the most comprehensive transitions of our technological and functional capacities.</p><p><blockquote>深度技术已经被新冠肺炎的阵痛所困扰，因为病毒的影响代表了医疗技术进入新的一年最紧迫的优先事项。但将深度技术视为某种暂时趋势是错误的，它代表着医疗技术在我们的技术和功能能力最全面的转变之一中迈出的第一步。</blockquote></p><p> It would be easy to explain away medtech’s activity in 2020 as a direct result of Covid, with trends arising to to address the challenges. The truth is a large proportion of the trends we are seeing now have been in the pipelines for some time, some for decades. In some cases, it's taken extraordinary global circumstances for medical trends to propel, but now that the global mindset is becoming digitized, more demanding, and wearier of potential disaster, such trends are unlikely to depart any time soon. People are anesthetized by familiarity, and it requires a year of extreme trepidation for our mindsets to embrace unconventionally effective solutions.</p><p><blockquote>很容易将医疗技术在2020年的活动解释为Covid的直接结果，并出现了应对挑战的趋势。事实是，我们现在看到的大部分趋势已经酝酿了一段时间，有些已经酝酿了几十年。在某些情况下，医学趋势需要非凡的全球环境才能推动，但现在全球思维正变得数字化，要求更高，对潜在灾难更加厌倦，这种趋势不太可能很快消失。人们被熟悉感麻醉了，我们的心态需要一年的极度恐惧才能接受非常规有效的解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <i>About Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>关于作者</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Doron Besser, Chief Executive Officer: Doron Besser is the CEO of&nbsp;ENvizion Medical&nbsp;and Managing General Partner of Swing Medical. Prior to co-founding ENvizion with Shay Tsuker in 2013, Doron served as President and CEO of Angioslide Ltd., a company specializing in innovative, cost effective angioplasty products. Doron guided the company through its infancy stages, which included complicated animal and human trials, to FDA clearance, CE approval and initial market penetration in Europe and the US. Doron also served as VP of Clinical and Marketing and VP of Business Development at SuperDimension, a leader in minimally-invasive pulmonology devices. Doron holds a Doctor of Medicine from Ludwig Maximillians University in Munich, Germany.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Doron Besser，首席执行官：Doron Besser是ENvizion Medical的首席执行官和Swing Medical的管理普通合伙人。在2013年与Shay Tsuker共同创立ENvizion之前，Doron曾担任Angioslide Ltd.的总裁兼首席执行官，该公司专门从事创新、经济高效的血管成形术产品。Doron指导该公司度过了包括复杂的动物和人体试验在内的婴儿阶段，直至FDA批准、CE批准以及在欧洲和美国的初步市场渗透。Doron还曾担任微创肺病设备领导者SuperDimension的临床和营销副总裁以及业务开发副总裁。多伦拥有德国慕尼黑路德维希马克西米利安大学的医学博士学位。</i></blockquote></p><p> The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.</p><p><blockquote>本文表达的观点和意见是作者的观点和意见，不一定反映纳斯达克公司的观点和意见。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Medtech Trends That Will Outlive the Pandemic<blockquote>将在大流行之后持续存在的3个医疗技术趋势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Medtech Trends That Will Outlive the Pandemic<blockquote>将在大流行之后持续存在的3个医疗技术趋势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-05 10:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Vaccines are starting to roll out in many parts of the world and some believe the beginning of the end of the pandemic is in sight. Optimism is always welcome, but it’s important to acknowledge the challenges aren’t all behind us.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开始在世界许多地方推广，一些人认为大流行即将结束。乐观总是受欢迎的，但重要的是要承认挑战并没有全部过去。</blockquote></p><p> Neither are the solutions to those challenges.</p><p><blockquote>这些挑战的解决方案也不是。</blockquote></p><p> Innovative and exciting medtech solutions emerged over the past year in attempts to address our pandemic-induced problems head on, particularly in the field of medical technology. Which of these technologies offer advantages that go beyond the inconveniences of social distancing, and provide permanent value once relative normality has returned?</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，创新和令人兴奋的医疗技术解决方案出现了，试图正面解决我们的疫情引发的问题，特别是在医疗技术领域。这些技术中哪一项提供了超越社交距离不便的优势，并在相对正常恢复后提供永久价值？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Patient Safety</b></p><p><blockquote><b>患者安全</b></blockquote></p><p> While increased awareness of patient safety has made major strides in the last decade, COVID-19 has thrown the issue into the spotlight. It was 2016 when BMJ published a&nbsp;report&nbsp;citing medical errors as the third leading cause of death in the United States behind heart disease and cancer. The medical community took a brief moment to pause and reflect on how a certain proportion of human loss, through human error, is something we as a society have traditionally accepted. Now, we’re reflecting on patient safety again.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在过去十年中，患者安全意识的提高取得了重大进展，但新冠肺炎将这个问题推到了聚光灯下。2016年，BMJ发表了一份报告，称医疗差错是美国仅次于心脏病和癌症的第三大死亡原因。医学界花了一个短暂的时间停下来思考，由于人为错误，一定比例的人为损失是我们作为一个社会传统上接受的。现在，我们再次反思病人的安全。</blockquote></p><p> Social distancing, viral prevention, sanitation, and refined approaches to ICU patients all came to the fore during the height of the pandemic. Malnourishment among ICU patients, for instance, was a much more obscure concern before the pandemic. But with a rising number of patients requiring ICU support alongside more studies highlighting the dangers of malnourishment, medtech providers have developed unique methods to circumvent these dangers.</p><p><blockquote>社交距离、病毒预防、卫生设施和对ICU患者的改进方法都在疫情的高峰期脱颖而出。例如，在大流行之前，重症监护室患者的营养不良是一个更加模糊的问题。但随着越来越多的患者需要ICU支持，以及更多的研究强调营养不良的危险，医疗技术提供商开发了独特的方法来规避这些危险。</blockquote></p><p> Medical communities have even cultivated awareness campaigns to streamline the issue, with projects like the&nbsp;Patient Safety Movement, which aims to raise public awareness, expand clinical support, and create a wider sense of urgency surrounding the issue. The movement works to create and freely share actionable solutions (Actionable Patient Safety Solutions) to help mitigate potential dangers.</p><p><blockquote>医学界甚至开展了宣传活动来简化这一问题，如患者安全运动等项目，旨在提高公众意识，扩大临床支持，并围绕这一问题创造更广泛的紧迫感。该运动致力于创建和自由分享可操作的解决方案（可操作的患者安全解决方案），以帮助减轻潜在的危险。</blockquote></p><p> Publications such as the&nbsp;British Medical Journal&nbsp;had already red-flagged it as a serious concern long before the pandemic entered the frame. As such, the issue is unlikely to peter out once we’ve arrived at a point of greater normality.</p><p><blockquote>早在疫情进入框架之前，《英国医学杂志》等出版物就已经将其标记为严重问题。因此，一旦我们达到更正常的程度，这个问题就不太可能消失。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Telemedicine</b></p><p><blockquote><b>远程医疗</b></blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine is the very epitome of technology-driven healthcare and serves as a literal lifeline for millions of people who do not have access to proper medical facilities.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗是技术驱动的医疗保健的缩影，是数百万无法获得适当医疗设施的人的生命线。</blockquote></p><p> In April of 2020, 43.5 percent of Medicare primary care visits&nbsp;utilized&nbsp;telehealth methods rather than in-person visits. One of the major benefits of telehealth over in-person alternatives is that it has reduced contact between patients, healthcare workers, and other patients—making it a fitting solution within social distancing guidelines. Wearable devices enable healthcare workers to have real-time information on patient data while they remain at home, such as physicians being updated remotely by people with diabetes regarding insulin dosages.</p><p><blockquote>2020年4月，43.5%的医疗保险初级保健就诊使用远程医疗方法，而不是亲自就诊。与面对面替代方案相比，远程医疗的主要优势之一是它减少了患者、医护人员和其他患者之间的接触，使其成为社交距离准则内的合适解决方案。可穿戴设备使医护人员能够在家中获得患者数据的实时信息，例如糖尿病患者远程更新医生的胰岛素剂量。</blockquote></p><p> Telemedicine will likely become part of the medtech furniture beyond the pandemic, since its benefits and usability achieved vindication through the necessity of circumstance.</p><p><blockquote>远程医疗可能会成为疫情以外的医疗技术家具的一部分，因为它的好处和可用性通过环境的必要性得到了证明。</blockquote></p><p> According&nbsp;to Mordor Intelligence, the industry will be worth more than $66 billion by 2021. It should be stressed that Telemedicine is not a product of 2020. It was being developed much prior and just like patient safety, the pandemic has acted as a wonderful springboard. In essence, telemedicine allows greater access to medical specialists while allowing medicine to treat more patients on a whole. Pandemic or no pandemic, this is a destination medicine will always strive for.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mordor Intelligence的数据，到2021年，该行业的价值将超过660亿美元。需要强调的是，远程医疗不是2020年的产物。它在很久以前就被开发出来了，就像病人安全一样，疫情是一个很好的跳板。从本质上讲，远程医疗允许更多地接触医学专家，同时允许医学在整体上治疗更多的患者。不管有没有疫情，这都是医学将永远努力的目标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deep Tech</b></p><p><blockquote><b>深度技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Digital technology is undeniably altering the way care is both accessed and delivered. 2020 has been a catalyst for this sphere—necessity is the mother of invention, and there has been plenty of necessary demand as of late.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，数字技术正在改变获得和提供护理的方式。2020年是这一领域的催化剂——必要性是发明之母，最近有大量的必要需求。</blockquote></p><p> Deeptech is the generic term designated for technologies not focused on end-user services that includes artificial intelligence, robotics, blockchain, and advanced material science, as well as photonics and electronics, biotech and quantum computing. Deeptech exists as a disruptor with a difference. We think about it as the technology that allows us to transcend the status quo, since current technologies ultimately block progress and deeptech is acting as the un-blocker.</p><p><blockquote>Deeptech是不专注于最终用户服务的技术的通用术语，包括人工智能、机器人、区块链和先进材料科学，以及光子学和电子学、生物技术和量子计算。Deeptech作为一个与众不同的颠覆者而存在。我们认为它是让我们超越现状的技术，因为当前的技术最终会阻碍进步，而deeptech则充当了解除障碍的角色。</blockquote></p><p> Swati Chaturvedi, CEO of Propel, put it succinctly in an&nbsp;interview&nbsp;with Medtech Innovation:</p><p><blockquote>Propel首席执行官Swati Chaturvedi在接受Medtech Innovation采访时简洁地说道：</blockquote></p><p> “They are trying to solve big issues that really affect the world around them.. For example, a new medical device or technique fighting cancer.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们试图解决真正影响他们周围世界的大问题……例如，一种新的抗癌医疗设备或技术。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Deep Tech has been taken by the travails of COVID-19, since the effects of the virus represent the most pressing priority for medtech going into the new year. But it would be a mistake to view Deep Tech as some temporary trend, it represents the first step for medtech in one of the most comprehensive transitions of our technological and functional capacities.</p><p><blockquote>深度技术已经被新冠肺炎的阵痛所困扰，因为病毒的影响代表了医疗技术进入新的一年最紧迫的优先事项。但将深度技术视为某种暂时趋势是错误的，它代表着医疗技术在我们的技术和功能能力最全面的转变之一中迈出的第一步。</blockquote></p><p> It would be easy to explain away medtech’s activity in 2020 as a direct result of Covid, with trends arising to to address the challenges. The truth is a large proportion of the trends we are seeing now have been in the pipelines for some time, some for decades. In some cases, it's taken extraordinary global circumstances for medical trends to propel, but now that the global mindset is becoming digitized, more demanding, and wearier of potential disaster, such trends are unlikely to depart any time soon. People are anesthetized by familiarity, and it requires a year of extreme trepidation for our mindsets to embrace unconventionally effective solutions.</p><p><blockquote>很容易将医疗技术在2020年的活动解释为Covid的直接结果，并出现了应对挑战的趋势。事实是，我们现在看到的大部分趋势已经酝酿了一段时间，有些已经酝酿了几十年。在某些情况下，医学趋势需要非凡的全球环境才能推动，但现在全球思维正变得数字化，要求更高，对潜在灾难更加厌倦，这种趋势不太可能很快消失。人们被熟悉感麻醉了，我们的心态需要一年的极度恐惧才能接受非常规有效的解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <i>About Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>关于作者</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Doron Besser, Chief Executive Officer: Doron Besser is the CEO of&nbsp;ENvizion Medical&nbsp;and Managing General Partner of Swing Medical. Prior to co-founding ENvizion with Shay Tsuker in 2013, Doron served as President and CEO of Angioslide Ltd., a company specializing in innovative, cost effective angioplasty products. Doron guided the company through its infancy stages, which included complicated animal and human trials, to FDA clearance, CE approval and initial market penetration in Europe and the US. Doron also served as VP of Clinical and Marketing and VP of Business Development at SuperDimension, a leader in minimally-invasive pulmonology devices. Doron holds a Doctor of Medicine from Ludwig Maximillians University in Munich, Germany.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Doron Besser，首席执行官：Doron Besser是ENvizion Medical的首席执行官和Swing Medical的管理普通合伙人。在2013年与Shay Tsuker共同创立ENvizion之前，Doron曾担任Angioslide Ltd.的总裁兼首席执行官，该公司专门从事创新、经济高效的血管成形术产品。Doron指导该公司度过了包括复杂的动物和人体试验在内的婴儿阶段，直至FDA批准、CE批准以及在欧洲和美国的初步市场渗透。Doron还曾担任微创肺病设备领导者SuperDimension的临床和营销副总裁以及业务开发副总裁。多伦拥有德国慕尼黑路德维希马克西米利安大学的医学博士学位。</i></blockquote></p><p> The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.</p><p><blockquote>本文表达的观点和意见是作者的观点和意见，不一定反映纳斯达克公司的观点和意见。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/3-medtech-trends-that-will-outlive-the-pandemic-2021-03-04\">Nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/3-medtech-trends-that-will-outlive-the-pandemic-2021-03-04","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138978257","content_text":"Vaccines are starting to roll out in many parts of the world and some believe the beginning of the end of the pandemic is in sight. Optimism is always welcome, but it’s important to acknowledge the challenges aren’t all behind us.\nNeither are the solutions to those challenges.\nInnovative and exciting medtech solutions emerged over the past year in attempts to address our pandemic-induced problems head on, particularly in the field of medical technology. Which of these technologies offer advantages that go beyond the inconveniences of social distancing, and provide permanent value once relative normality has returned?\nPatient Safety\nWhile increased awareness of patient safety has made major strides in the last decade, COVID-19 has thrown the issue into the spotlight. It was 2016 when BMJ published a report citing medical errors as the third leading cause of death in the United States behind heart disease and cancer. The medical community took a brief moment to pause and reflect on how a certain proportion of human loss, through human error, is something we as a society have traditionally accepted. Now, we’re reflecting on patient safety again.\nSocial distancing, viral prevention, sanitation, and refined approaches to ICU patients all came to the fore during the height of the pandemic. Malnourishment among ICU patients, for instance, was a much more obscure concern before the pandemic. But with a rising number of patients requiring ICU support alongside more studies highlighting the dangers of malnourishment, medtech providers have developed unique methods to circumvent these dangers.\nMedical communities have even cultivated awareness campaigns to streamline the issue, with projects like the Patient Safety Movement, which aims to raise public awareness, expand clinical support, and create a wider sense of urgency surrounding the issue. The movement works to create and freely share actionable solutions (Actionable Patient Safety Solutions) to help mitigate potential dangers.\nPublications such as the British Medical Journal had already red-flagged it as a serious concern long before the pandemic entered the frame. As such, the issue is unlikely to peter out once we’ve arrived at a point of greater normality.\nTelemedicine\nTelemedicine is the very epitome of technology-driven healthcare and serves as a literal lifeline for millions of people who do not have access to proper medical facilities.\nIn April of 2020, 43.5 percent of Medicare primary care visits utilized telehealth methods rather than in-person visits. One of the major benefits of telehealth over in-person alternatives is that it has reduced contact between patients, healthcare workers, and other patients—making it a fitting solution within social distancing guidelines. Wearable devices enable healthcare workers to have real-time information on patient data while they remain at home, such as physicians being updated remotely by people with diabetes regarding insulin dosages.\nTelemedicine will likely become part of the medtech furniture beyond the pandemic, since its benefits and usability achieved vindication through the necessity of circumstance.\nAccording to Mordor Intelligence, the industry will be worth more than $66 billion by 2021. It should be stressed that Telemedicine is not a product of 2020. It was being developed much prior and just like patient safety, the pandemic has acted as a wonderful springboard. In essence, telemedicine allows greater access to medical specialists while allowing medicine to treat more patients on a whole. Pandemic or no pandemic, this is a destination medicine will always strive for.\nDeep Tech\nDigital technology is undeniably altering the way care is both accessed and delivered. 2020 has been a catalyst for this sphere—necessity is the mother of invention, and there has been plenty of necessary demand as of late.\nDeeptech is the generic term designated for technologies not focused on end-user services that includes artificial intelligence, robotics, blockchain, and advanced material science, as well as photonics and electronics, biotech and quantum computing. Deeptech exists as a disruptor with a difference. We think about it as the technology that allows us to transcend the status quo, since current technologies ultimately block progress and deeptech is acting as the un-blocker.\nSwati Chaturvedi, CEO of Propel, put it succinctly in an interview with Medtech Innovation:\n“They are trying to solve big issues that really affect the world around them.. For example, a new medical device or technique fighting cancer.”\nDeep Tech has been taken by the travails of COVID-19, since the effects of the virus represent the most pressing priority for medtech going into the new year. But it would be a mistake to view Deep Tech as some temporary trend, it represents the first step for medtech in one of the most comprehensive transitions of our technological and functional capacities.\nIt would be easy to explain away medtech’s activity in 2020 as a direct result of Covid, with trends arising to to address the challenges. The truth is a large proportion of the trends we are seeing now have been in the pipelines for some time, some for decades. In some cases, it's taken extraordinary global circumstances for medical trends to propel, but now that the global mindset is becoming digitized, more demanding, and wearier of potential disaster, such trends are unlikely to depart any time soon. People are anesthetized by familiarity, and it requires a year of extreme trepidation for our mindsets to embrace unconventionally effective solutions.\nAbout Author\nDoron Besser, Chief Executive Officer: Doron Besser is the CEO of ENvizion Medical and Managing General Partner of Swing Medical. Prior to co-founding ENvizion with Shay Tsuker in 2013, Doron served as President and CEO of Angioslide Ltd., a company specializing in innovative, cost effective angioplasty products. Doron guided the company through its infancy stages, which included complicated animal and human trials, to FDA clearance, CE approval and initial market penetration in Europe and the US. Doron also served as VP of Clinical and Marketing and VP of Business Development at SuperDimension, a leader in minimally-invasive pulmonology devices. Doron holds a Doctor of Medicine from Ludwig Maximillians University in Munich, Germany.\nThe views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387796525,"gmtCreate":1613783977067,"gmtModify":1634552257803,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes more employee benefits","listText":"Yes more employee benefits","text":"Yes more employee benefits","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387796525","repostId":"1194607255","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":323648898,"gmtCreate":1615340406414,"gmtModify":1703487573381,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay growth stockz for the win","listText":"Yay growth stockz for the win","text":"Yay growth stockz for the win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323648898","repostId":"1118673419","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362980041,"gmtCreate":1614587389183,"gmtModify":1703478493033,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"We shld learn to invest in the long term !","listText":"We shld learn to invest in the long term !","text":"We shld learn to invest in the long term !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362980041","repostId":"1161169607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161169607","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614584947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161169607?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-01 15:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Which Companies Are Most At Risk From Surging Yields: Goldman Answers<blockquote>哪些公司面临收益率飙升的风险最大：高盛回答</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161169607","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For those living under a rock in 2021, the big story in the past month is that 10-year Treasury yiel","content":"<p>For those living under a rock in 2021, the big story in the past month is that 10-year Treasury yield have climbed by 50 bps in a month to 1.5% (technically as high as 1.61% for a few brief seconds on Thursday after the catastrophic 7Y auction triggered stop loss selling) as real rates jumped following a steady increase in inflation expectations (breakevens), which however are largely set by 10Y TIPS whose price is determined largely by the Fed due to its massive ongoing monetization of TIPS (thus crushing any actual signaling power TIPS may have). Whatever the cause, while rising breakeven inflation has driven most of the rise in yields during the past six months, the last two weeks have been characterized by a 40 bp jump in real yields.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些在2021年生活在岩石下的人来说，过去一个月的大新闻是，10年期国债收益率在一个月内攀升了50个基点至1.5%（在灾难性的7年期拍卖引发止损抛售后，技术上一度高达1.61%），因为实际利率在通胀预期（盈亏平衡）稳步上升后跃升，然而，通胀预期主要由10年期TIPS设定，其价格主要由美联储决定，因为其持续的TIPS大规模货币化（因此粉碎了TIPS可能具有的任何实际信号能力）。无论原因是什么，虽然盈亏平衡通胀上升推动了过去六个月收益率的大部分上涨，但过去两周的特点是实际收益率上涨了40个基点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efd3fa48c3856c9963ae7e9f6e6de625\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"232\">It's this sudden spike in real yields as opposed to breakevens, that has sparked much of the fear in markets in the past week, because as Goldman's David Kostin explains in his Sunday Start note, \"conceptually, and historically, equities digest rising inflation expectations more easily than rising real yields\" and not just rising real yields, but a rapid spike the likes of which were last observed during the taper tantrum as we discussed two weeks ago in \"Yields Soar, Sending 30Y Real Rates Positive Amid Overheating Panic: What Happens Next\"). In any case, as a result of the violent moves in the rates complex, it is hardly a surprise that Kostin writes \"<b>the recent backup in rates has sparked a new wave of client concern.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>正是实际收益率（而不是盈亏平衡）的突然飙升在过去一周引发了市场的大部分担忧，因为正如高盛的戴维·科斯汀（David Kostin）在他的周日开盘报告中解释的那样，“从概念上和历史上看，股市更容易消化不断上升的通胀预期”比实际收益率上升更容易”，而且不仅仅是实际收益率上升，而是快速飙升，正如我们两周前在“收益率飙升，在过热恐慌中导致30年期实际利率为正：接下来会发生什么”中讨论的那样）。无论如何，由于利率综合体的剧烈波动，科斯汀写道“<b>最近利率的回升引发了新一波客户担忧。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>First, investors ask whether the level of rates is becoming a threat to equity valuations.</b></li> </ul> Predictably,<i><b>Goldman's answer is an emphatic \"no\"</b></i>with Kostin claiming (with a straight face) that \"although the S&amp;P 500 forward P/E multiple of 22x currently ranks in the 99th historical percentile since 1976, ranking only behind the peak of the Tech Bubble in 2000, our dividend discount model (DDM) implies an equity risk premium (ERP) that ranks in the 28th percentile, 70 bp above the historical average.\" In other words, massively, record stretched PE multiples won't collapse if rates rise. Yeah, right. May want to Timestamp that David. We'll check back in a few weeks. So what<i><b>would</b></i>cause a market crash according to Goldman's head market cheerleader? Well, according to Kostin, \"<b>keeping the current P/E constant, the 10-year yield would have to reach 2.1% to bring the yield gap to the historical median of 250 bp.If instead the yield gap remains unchanged, and rates rise to 2.0%, then the P/E multiple would fall by 10% to 20x.\"</b>But don't worry, Kostin adds, because \"in today’s economic environment, our macro model suggests the ERP should be narrower than average.\" Translation: yes, a 10% drop is coming but our models say it may not come, so just keep buying.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>首先，投资者询问利率水平是否正在对股票估值构成威胁。</b></li></ul>可以预见的是，<i><b>高盛的回答是一个响亮的“不”</b></i>科斯汀（面无表情）声称，“尽管标普500 22倍的远期市盈率目前排在1976年以来的第99个历史百分位，仅排在2000年科技泡沫顶峰之后，但我们的股息贴现模型（DDM）意味着股权风险溢价（ERP）排在第28百分位，比历史平均水平高出70个基点。”换句话说，如果利率上升，创纪录的市盈率不会大幅下降。是的，没错。可能想给大卫打个时间戳。我们几周后再来看看。那又怎样<i><b>将会</b></i>高盛首席市场啦啦队长称导致市场崩盘？嗯，根据科斯汀的说法，“<b>如果保持当前市盈率不变，10年期国债收益率必须达到2.1%，才能使收益率差距达到250个基点的历史中值。相反，如果收益率差距保持不变，利率升至2.0%，那么市盈率将下降10%至20倍。”</b>但不用担心，科斯汀补充道，因为“在当今的经济环境下，我们的宏观模型表明ERP应该比平均水平窄。”翻译：是的，10%的下降即将到来，但我们的模型说它可能不会到来，所以继续购买。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cdbd39d9b2a4e20ee8ef423435a57d7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"169\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Second, Goldman's bullish US equity view has already embedded expectations of rising interest rates.</b></li> </ul> Addressing the second most regular pushback against its bizarre optimism, Goldman says that an environment of accelerating economic growth (and recall that recently Goldman found that theUS Economy is Growing At the Fastest Pace On Record), and higher bond yields is consistent with the bank's forecast that<b>S&amp;P 500 EPS in 2021 will grow by 27% and be 10% higher than pre-pandemic 2019, driving a 14% rise this year to our year-end price target of 4300 despite a flat P/E multiple.</b>In other words, multiples may indeed contract but the rise in earnings - a result of economic growth - will offset much if not all of the move. Furthermore, the forward market implies that 10-year nominal yields will climb 25 bp further to 1.7% - below Goldman's 2.1% redline - and real yields will climb by a similar amount to from -0.7% to -0.4% by year-end.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>其次，高盛看涨美股观点已经嵌入加息预期。</b></li></ul>针对其奇异乐观情绪的第二个最常见的阻力，高盛表示，经济加速增长的环境（回想一下高盛最近发现美国经济正以有记录以来最快的速度增长）和更高的债券收益率与该银行的预测一致<b>标普500 2021年每股收益将增长27%，比疫情前的2019年高出10%，尽管市盈率持平，但今年仍将上涨14%，达到我们的年终目标价4300点。</b>换句话说，市盈率可能确实会收缩，但盈利的增长——经济增长的结果——将抵消大部分（如果不是全部）变动。此外，远期市场暗示，10年期名义收益率将进一步攀升25个基点至1.7%，低于高盛2.1%的红线，实际收益率将在年底前攀升类似幅度，从-0.7%升至-0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Third, even Kostin is forced to concede that the recent change in yields has reached a magnitude that is usually a headwind for stocks.</b></li> </ul> As the Goldman strategist concedes, equities have generated an average return of nearly +1% per month,<b>but the return has averaged -1% during months when nominal rates rose by more than two standard deviations and -5% when real yields rose by that amount.</b>Today, a two standard deviation monthly rise in 10-year rates equates to 40 bp for nominal yields and 30 bp for real yields, both thresholds exceeded this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>第三，就连科斯汀也被迫承认，最近收益率的变化已经达到了通常对股市不利的程度。</b></li></ul>正如高盛策略师承认的那样，股票每月的平均回报率接近+1%，<b>但当名义利率上升超过两个标准差时，回报率平均为-1%，当实际收益率上升超过两个标准差时，回报率平均为-5%。</b>如今，10年期利率每月上升两个标准差，相当于名义收益率上升40个基点，实际收益率上升30个基点，本周都超过了这两个阈值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6a23015dc5dbaee1d4660e8e902a000\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"175\">Of course, it's not just absolute levels across risk that are impacted by rates: Kostin also notes that \"shifting interest rates have major implications for<i><b>rotations within the equity market,</b></i>a dynamic made clear in recent weeks.\" In mid-2020, Kostin's equity valuation model showed that equity duration –the expectations of earnings growth far in the future –had become a more important contributor to multiples than ever before. One key reason for the importance that investors ascribed to expected future growth was the extremely low level of interest rates. As rates have risen, the contribution of equity duration to stock valuations has declined while near-term growth profiles have become more important. Practically,<b>this means that both the improving growth outlook and rising rates have supported the outperformance of cyclicals and value stocks relative to stocks with the highest long-term growth.</b>Hardly surprising, in recent weeks Goldman's S&amp;P 500 Growth factor has declined by 9%, similar to the 12% decline around the announcement of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine efficacy in November</p><p><blockquote>当然，受利率影响的不仅仅是风险的绝对水平：科斯汀还指出，“利率变化对<i><b>股票市场内的轮动，</b></i>最近几周的动态变得很明显。”2020年中期，科斯汀的股票估值模型显示，股票久期——对遥远未来盈利增长的预期——已成为比以往任何时候都更重要的市盈率贡献者。投资者重视预期未来增长的一个关键原因是极低的利率水平。随着利率上升，股票久期对股票估值的贡献下降，而近期增长状况变得更加重要。实际上，<b>这意味着增长前景的改善和利率的上升都支持了周期性股票和价值股相对于长期增长最高的股票的优异表现。</b>毫不奇怪，最近几周高盛的标普500增长因子下降了9%，与11月份辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗功效公布前后12%的下降类似</blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the one sector most at risk from the continued risk in yields.</p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了收益率持续风险最大的一个行业。</blockquote></p><p> As Kostin writes, \"<b>this rotation has also weighed on one of the most spectacular outperformers of the last 12 months: Stocks with negative earnings but strong expected growth.\"</b>One of the most remarkable moves of the past year is that<b>a basket of non-profitable tech stocks soared by 204% last year and 27% in the first six weeks of 2021... before falling by 15% in last two weeks.</b>The decline of these high-growth firms has been particularly painful given the current record degree of leverage carried by hedge funds and the elevated activity of retail traders, both of whom have recently favored some of these long-duration stocks.</p><p><blockquote>正如科斯汀所写，“<b>这种轮换也给过去12个月中表现最出色的股票之一带来了压力：盈利为负但预期增长强劲的股票。”</b>过去一年最引人注目的举措之一是<b>一篮子未盈利的科技股去年飙升204%，2021年前六周飙升27%...在过去两周内下跌了15%。</b>鉴于对冲基金目前创纪录的杠杆程度和散户交易者活动的增加，这些高增长公司的衰落尤其令人痛苦，而散户交易者最近都青睐其中一些长期股票。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, while earnings for S&amp;P 500 firms declined by 13% in 2020, the fall in aggregate profits does not capture the wide dispersion in operating results that occurred inside the market. While 2020 EPS growth was negative for the overall index and the median stock,<b>the actual level of profits was positive... But not for every company.</b>In fact,<b>1082 firms or 37% of the constituents in the Russell 3000 posted negative net income in 2020 (i.e., a loss or negative EPS), and 21% posted negative EBITDA.</b></p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，虽然标普500公司的盈利在2020年下降了13%，但总利润的下降并没有反映出市场内部经营业绩的广泛分散。虽然2020年每股收益增长整体指数和股票中位数均为负，<b>实际利润水平为正...但并不是每家公司都如此。</b>事实上，<b>罗素3000指数成分股中有1082家公司（即37%的成分股）在2020年净利润为负（即亏损或每股收益为负），21%的公司EBITDA为负。</b></blockquote></p><p> Getting even more granular (and apologizing to George Orwell), Kostin then notes that all companies with losses are equal, but some are more equal than others. Some firms reported negative earnings in 2020 because the pandemic and economic shutdown disrupted their business and crushed their revenues.<b>But in other instances, the Goldman strategist points out that \"companies grew sales so rapidly that top-line was the focus of investors and bottom-line losses were ignored.\"</b>Indeed, consider that across all non-Financial US stocks with at least $50 million in revenues, \"<b>those with negative earnings and declining revenues in 2020 returned a median of -18% last year. In contrast, stocks with negative earnings and growing revenues returned +51%.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>科斯汀变得更加细致（并向乔治·奥威尔道歉），然后指出所有亏损的公司都是平等的，但有些公司比其他公司更平等。一些公司在2020年报告了负收益，因为疫情和经济停摆扰乱了他们的业务并压低了他们的收入。<b>但在其他情况下，高盛策略师指出，“公司销售额增长如此之快，以至于营收成为投资者关注的焦点，而利润损失却被忽视了。”</b>事实上，考虑到所有收入至少为5000万美元的非金融美国股票，”<b>2020年盈利为负且收入下降的企业去年的回报率中位数为-18%。相比之下，盈利为负且收入增长的股票回报率为+51%。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672e0f0b03d6b3cec8ec067276919bf9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"171\"><b>Recently, however, improving economic growth prospects from vaccination rollout and pending fiscal stimulus coupled with rising rates have moved firms that struggled most in 2020 into pole position so far in 2021.</b>The cyclical and virus-affected firms with<b>negative earnings and falling sales in 2020 have generated a median YTD return of +22%, outperforming the +10% return of the median stock that posted a loss but grew sales last year.</b>Unsurprisingly, these cyclical stocks have been positively correlated with both nominal and real interest rates. In contrast,<b>the ultra long-duration stocks have been negatively correlated with interest rates given they generate no earnings today and their valuations depend entirely on future growth prospects.</b>Cyclicals also carry far lower valuations, with a median EV/2022 sales ratio of 2x vs. 6x for the median negative earner with positive sales growth.</p><p><blockquote><b>然而，最近，疫苗接种的推出和即将出台的财政刺激措施改善了经济增长前景，加上利率上升，使2020年最困难的公司在2021年迄今为止处于领先地位。</b>周期性和受病毒影响的公司<b>2020年的负收益和销售额下降导致年初至今回报率中位数为+22%，超过了去年亏损但销售额增长的股票回报率中位数+10%。</b>不出所料，这些周期性股票与名义利率和实际利率都呈正相关。相比之下，<b>超长期股票与利率呈负相关，因为它们目前没有产生收益，而且它们的估值完全取决于未来的增长前景。</b>周期性股票的估值也低得多，EV/2022年销售比率中位数为2倍，而销售正增长的负收入者中位数为6倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00a42075ac35763072cb85546315087\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\">Putting it all together, Kostin concludes that \"<b>looking forward, investors must balance the appeal of promising businesses with the risk that rates rise further and the recent rotation continues.\"</b>The list of non-profitable companies that makes up GOldman's Non-Profitable Tech basket is shown below:</p><p><blockquote>综合起来，科斯汀得出的结论是“<b>展望未来，投资者必须平衡有前途的企业的吸引力与利率进一步上升和近期轮换持续的风险。”</b>构成高盛非营利科技篮子的非营利公司列表如下所示：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/782b2dbfc010259d8bc5120f85d13070\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"364\">And although secular growth stocks may remain the most appealing investments on a long-term horizon, Goldman believes that<b>those stocks will underperform more cyclical firms in the short-term if economic acceleration and inflation continue to lift interest rates.</b></p><p><blockquote>尽管长期成长型股票可能仍然是最有吸引力的投资，但高盛认为<b>如果经济加速和通胀继续提高利率，这些股票的短期表现将逊于更具周期性的公司。</b></blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the other side of the table: the<b>chart below shows the Russell 1000 firms from each sector with the shortest implied equity durations that have outperformed sector peers during the past two weeks as rates rose and are expected to grow revenues in 2021</b>. The median stock trades at a P/E ratio of 19x and has returned 7% YTD compared with 22x and 2% for the Russell 1000 median.</p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了桌子的另一边：<b>下图显示了每个行业隐含股权久期最短的罗素1000公司，这些公司在过去两周内随着利率上升而表现优于行业同行，预计2021年收入将增长</b>该股的市盈率中位数为19倍，年初至今回报率为7%，而罗素1000指数中位数为22倍和2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96e14fcedd553203d06c6a3639a17f8f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"365\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Which Companies Are Most At Risk From Surging Yields: Goldman Answers<blockquote>哪些公司面临收益率飙升的风险最大：高盛回答</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhich Companies Are Most At Risk From Surging Yields: Goldman Answers<blockquote>哪些公司面临收益率飙升的风险最大：高盛回答</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-01 15:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>For those living under a rock in 2021, the big story in the past month is that 10-year Treasury yield have climbed by 50 bps in a month to 1.5% (technically as high as 1.61% for a few brief seconds on Thursday after the catastrophic 7Y auction triggered stop loss selling) as real rates jumped following a steady increase in inflation expectations (breakevens), which however are largely set by 10Y TIPS whose price is determined largely by the Fed due to its massive ongoing monetization of TIPS (thus crushing any actual signaling power TIPS may have). Whatever the cause, while rising breakeven inflation has driven most of the rise in yields during the past six months, the last two weeks have been characterized by a 40 bp jump in real yields.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些在2021年生活在岩石下的人来说，过去一个月的大新闻是，10年期国债收益率在一个月内攀升了50个基点至1.5%（在灾难性的7年期拍卖引发止损抛售后，技术上一度高达1.61%），因为实际利率在通胀预期（盈亏平衡）稳步上升后跃升，然而，通胀预期主要由10年期TIPS设定，其价格主要由美联储决定，因为其持续的TIPS大规模货币化（因此粉碎了TIPS可能具有的任何实际信号能力）。无论原因是什么，虽然盈亏平衡通胀上升推动了过去六个月收益率的大部分上涨，但过去两周的特点是实际收益率上涨了40个基点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efd3fa48c3856c9963ae7e9f6e6de625\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"232\">It's this sudden spike in real yields as opposed to breakevens, that has sparked much of the fear in markets in the past week, because as Goldman's David Kostin explains in his Sunday Start note, \"conceptually, and historically, equities digest rising inflation expectations more easily than rising real yields\" and not just rising real yields, but a rapid spike the likes of which were last observed during the taper tantrum as we discussed two weeks ago in \"Yields Soar, Sending 30Y Real Rates Positive Amid Overheating Panic: What Happens Next\"). In any case, as a result of the violent moves in the rates complex, it is hardly a surprise that Kostin writes \"<b>the recent backup in rates has sparked a new wave of client concern.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>正是实际收益率（而不是盈亏平衡）的突然飙升在过去一周引发了市场的大部分担忧，因为正如高盛的戴维·科斯汀（David Kostin）在他的周日开盘报告中解释的那样，“从概念上和历史上看，股市更容易消化不断上升的通胀预期”比实际收益率上升更容易”，而且不仅仅是实际收益率上升，而是快速飙升，正如我们两周前在“收益率飙升，在过热恐慌中导致30年期实际利率为正：接下来会发生什么”中讨论的那样）。无论如何，由于利率综合体的剧烈波动，科斯汀写道“<b>最近利率的回升引发了新一波客户担忧。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>First, investors ask whether the level of rates is becoming a threat to equity valuations.</b></li> </ul> Predictably,<i><b>Goldman's answer is an emphatic \"no\"</b></i>with Kostin claiming (with a straight face) that \"although the S&amp;P 500 forward P/E multiple of 22x currently ranks in the 99th historical percentile since 1976, ranking only behind the peak of the Tech Bubble in 2000, our dividend discount model (DDM) implies an equity risk premium (ERP) that ranks in the 28th percentile, 70 bp above the historical average.\" In other words, massively, record stretched PE multiples won't collapse if rates rise. Yeah, right. May want to Timestamp that David. We'll check back in a few weeks. So what<i><b>would</b></i>cause a market crash according to Goldman's head market cheerleader? Well, according to Kostin, \"<b>keeping the current P/E constant, the 10-year yield would have to reach 2.1% to bring the yield gap to the historical median of 250 bp.If instead the yield gap remains unchanged, and rates rise to 2.0%, then the P/E multiple would fall by 10% to 20x.\"</b>But don't worry, Kostin adds, because \"in today’s economic environment, our macro model suggests the ERP should be narrower than average.\" Translation: yes, a 10% drop is coming but our models say it may not come, so just keep buying.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>首先，投资者询问利率水平是否正在对股票估值构成威胁。</b></li></ul>可以预见的是，<i><b>高盛的回答是一个响亮的“不”</b></i>科斯汀（面无表情）声称，“尽管标普500 22倍的远期市盈率目前排在1976年以来的第99个历史百分位，仅排在2000年科技泡沫顶峰之后，但我们的股息贴现模型（DDM）意味着股权风险溢价（ERP）排在第28百分位，比历史平均水平高出70个基点。”换句话说，如果利率上升，创纪录的市盈率不会大幅下降。是的，没错。可能想给大卫打个时间戳。我们几周后再来看看。那又怎样<i><b>将会</b></i>高盛首席市场啦啦队长称导致市场崩盘？嗯，根据科斯汀的说法，“<b>如果保持当前市盈率不变，10年期国债收益率必须达到2.1%，才能使收益率差距达到250个基点的历史中值。相反，如果收益率差距保持不变，利率升至2.0%，那么市盈率将下降10%至20倍。”</b>但不用担心，科斯汀补充道，因为“在当今的经济环境下，我们的宏观模型表明ERP应该比平均水平窄。”翻译：是的，10%的下降即将到来，但我们的模型说它可能不会到来，所以继续购买。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cdbd39d9b2a4e20ee8ef423435a57d7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"169\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Second, Goldman's bullish US equity view has already embedded expectations of rising interest rates.</b></li> </ul> Addressing the second most regular pushback against its bizarre optimism, Goldman says that an environment of accelerating economic growth (and recall that recently Goldman found that theUS Economy is Growing At the Fastest Pace On Record), and higher bond yields is consistent with the bank's forecast that<b>S&amp;P 500 EPS in 2021 will grow by 27% and be 10% higher than pre-pandemic 2019, driving a 14% rise this year to our year-end price target of 4300 despite a flat P/E multiple.</b>In other words, multiples may indeed contract but the rise in earnings - a result of economic growth - will offset much if not all of the move. Furthermore, the forward market implies that 10-year nominal yields will climb 25 bp further to 1.7% - below Goldman's 2.1% redline - and real yields will climb by a similar amount to from -0.7% to -0.4% by year-end.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>其次，高盛看涨美股观点已经嵌入加息预期。</b></li></ul>针对其奇异乐观情绪的第二个最常见的阻力，高盛表示，经济加速增长的环境（回想一下高盛最近发现美国经济正以有记录以来最快的速度增长）和更高的债券收益率与该银行的预测一致<b>标普500 2021年每股收益将增长27%，比疫情前的2019年高出10%，尽管市盈率持平，但今年仍将上涨14%，达到我们的年终目标价4300点。</b>换句话说，市盈率可能确实会收缩，但盈利的增长——经济增长的结果——将抵消大部分（如果不是全部）变动。此外，远期市场暗示，10年期名义收益率将进一步攀升25个基点至1.7%，低于高盛2.1%的红线，实际收益率将在年底前攀升类似幅度，从-0.7%升至-0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Third, even Kostin is forced to concede that the recent change in yields has reached a magnitude that is usually a headwind for stocks.</b></li> </ul> As the Goldman strategist concedes, equities have generated an average return of nearly +1% per month,<b>but the return has averaged -1% during months when nominal rates rose by more than two standard deviations and -5% when real yields rose by that amount.</b>Today, a two standard deviation monthly rise in 10-year rates equates to 40 bp for nominal yields and 30 bp for real yields, both thresholds exceeded this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>第三，就连科斯汀也被迫承认，最近收益率的变化已经达到了通常对股市不利的程度。</b></li></ul>正如高盛策略师承认的那样，股票每月的平均回报率接近+1%，<b>但当名义利率上升超过两个标准差时，回报率平均为-1%，当实际收益率上升超过两个标准差时，回报率平均为-5%。</b>如今，10年期利率每月上升两个标准差，相当于名义收益率上升40个基点，实际收益率上升30个基点，本周都超过了这两个阈值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6a23015dc5dbaee1d4660e8e902a000\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"175\">Of course, it's not just absolute levels across risk that are impacted by rates: Kostin also notes that \"shifting interest rates have major implications for<i><b>rotations within the equity market,</b></i>a dynamic made clear in recent weeks.\" In mid-2020, Kostin's equity valuation model showed that equity duration –the expectations of earnings growth far in the future –had become a more important contributor to multiples than ever before. One key reason for the importance that investors ascribed to expected future growth was the extremely low level of interest rates. As rates have risen, the contribution of equity duration to stock valuations has declined while near-term growth profiles have become more important. Practically,<b>this means that both the improving growth outlook and rising rates have supported the outperformance of cyclicals and value stocks relative to stocks with the highest long-term growth.</b>Hardly surprising, in recent weeks Goldman's S&amp;P 500 Growth factor has declined by 9%, similar to the 12% decline around the announcement of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine efficacy in November</p><p><blockquote>当然，受利率影响的不仅仅是风险的绝对水平：科斯汀还指出，“利率变化对<i><b>股票市场内的轮动，</b></i>最近几周的动态变得很明显。”2020年中期，科斯汀的股票估值模型显示，股票久期——对遥远未来盈利增长的预期——已成为比以往任何时候都更重要的市盈率贡献者。投资者重视预期未来增长的一个关键原因是极低的利率水平。随着利率上升，股票久期对股票估值的贡献下降，而近期增长状况变得更加重要。实际上，<b>这意味着增长前景的改善和利率的上升都支持了周期性股票和价值股相对于长期增长最高的股票的优异表现。</b>毫不奇怪，最近几周高盛的标普500增长因子下降了9%，与11月份辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗功效公布前后12%的下降类似</blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the one sector most at risk from the continued risk in yields.</p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了收益率持续风险最大的一个行业。</blockquote></p><p> As Kostin writes, \"<b>this rotation has also weighed on one of the most spectacular outperformers of the last 12 months: Stocks with negative earnings but strong expected growth.\"</b>One of the most remarkable moves of the past year is that<b>a basket of non-profitable tech stocks soared by 204% last year and 27% in the first six weeks of 2021... before falling by 15% in last two weeks.</b>The decline of these high-growth firms has been particularly painful given the current record degree of leverage carried by hedge funds and the elevated activity of retail traders, both of whom have recently favored some of these long-duration stocks.</p><p><blockquote>正如科斯汀所写，“<b>这种轮换也给过去12个月中表现最出色的股票之一带来了压力：盈利为负但预期增长强劲的股票。”</b>过去一年最引人注目的举措之一是<b>一篮子未盈利的科技股去年飙升204%，2021年前六周飙升27%...在过去两周内下跌了15%。</b>鉴于对冲基金目前创纪录的杠杆程度和散户交易者活动的增加，这些高增长公司的衰落尤其令人痛苦，而散户交易者最近都青睐其中一些长期股票。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, while earnings for S&amp;P 500 firms declined by 13% in 2020, the fall in aggregate profits does not capture the wide dispersion in operating results that occurred inside the market. While 2020 EPS growth was negative for the overall index and the median stock,<b>the actual level of profits was positive... But not for every company.</b>In fact,<b>1082 firms or 37% of the constituents in the Russell 3000 posted negative net income in 2020 (i.e., a loss or negative EPS), and 21% posted negative EBITDA.</b></p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，虽然标普500公司的盈利在2020年下降了13%，但总利润的下降并没有反映出市场内部经营业绩的广泛分散。虽然2020年每股收益增长整体指数和股票中位数均为负，<b>实际利润水平为正...但并不是每家公司都如此。</b>事实上，<b>罗素3000指数成分股中有1082家公司（即37%的成分股）在2020年净利润为负（即亏损或每股收益为负），21%的公司EBITDA为负。</b></blockquote></p><p> Getting even more granular (and apologizing to George Orwell), Kostin then notes that all companies with losses are equal, but some are more equal than others. Some firms reported negative earnings in 2020 because the pandemic and economic shutdown disrupted their business and crushed their revenues.<b>But in other instances, the Goldman strategist points out that \"companies grew sales so rapidly that top-line was the focus of investors and bottom-line losses were ignored.\"</b>Indeed, consider that across all non-Financial US stocks with at least $50 million in revenues, \"<b>those with negative earnings and declining revenues in 2020 returned a median of -18% last year. In contrast, stocks with negative earnings and growing revenues returned +51%.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>科斯汀变得更加细致（并向乔治·奥威尔道歉），然后指出所有亏损的公司都是平等的，但有些公司比其他公司更平等。一些公司在2020年报告了负收益，因为疫情和经济停摆扰乱了他们的业务并压低了他们的收入。<b>但在其他情况下，高盛策略师指出，“公司销售额增长如此之快，以至于营收成为投资者关注的焦点，而利润损失却被忽视了。”</b>事实上，考虑到所有收入至少为5000万美元的非金融美国股票，”<b>2020年盈利为负且收入下降的企业去年的回报率中位数为-18%。相比之下，盈利为负且收入增长的股票回报率为+51%。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672e0f0b03d6b3cec8ec067276919bf9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"171\"><b>Recently, however, improving economic growth prospects from vaccination rollout and pending fiscal stimulus coupled with rising rates have moved firms that struggled most in 2020 into pole position so far in 2021.</b>The cyclical and virus-affected firms with<b>negative earnings and falling sales in 2020 have generated a median YTD return of +22%, outperforming the +10% return of the median stock that posted a loss but grew sales last year.</b>Unsurprisingly, these cyclical stocks have been positively correlated with both nominal and real interest rates. In contrast,<b>the ultra long-duration stocks have been negatively correlated with interest rates given they generate no earnings today and their valuations depend entirely on future growth prospects.</b>Cyclicals also carry far lower valuations, with a median EV/2022 sales ratio of 2x vs. 6x for the median negative earner with positive sales growth.</p><p><blockquote><b>然而，最近，疫苗接种的推出和即将出台的财政刺激措施改善了经济增长前景，加上利率上升，使2020年最困难的公司在2021年迄今为止处于领先地位。</b>周期性和受病毒影响的公司<b>2020年的负收益和销售额下降导致年初至今回报率中位数为+22%，超过了去年亏损但销售额增长的股票回报率中位数+10%。</b>不出所料，这些周期性股票与名义利率和实际利率都呈正相关。相比之下，<b>超长期股票与利率呈负相关，因为它们目前没有产生收益，而且它们的估值完全取决于未来的增长前景。</b>周期性股票的估值也低得多，EV/2022年销售比率中位数为2倍，而销售正增长的负收入者中位数为6倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00a42075ac35763072cb85546315087\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\">Putting it all together, Kostin concludes that \"<b>looking forward, investors must balance the appeal of promising businesses with the risk that rates rise further and the recent rotation continues.\"</b>The list of non-profitable companies that makes up GOldman's Non-Profitable Tech basket is shown below:</p><p><blockquote>综合起来，科斯汀得出的结论是“<b>展望未来，投资者必须平衡有前途的企业的吸引力与利率进一步上升和近期轮换持续的风险。”</b>构成高盛非营利科技篮子的非营利公司列表如下所示：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/782b2dbfc010259d8bc5120f85d13070\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"364\">And although secular growth stocks may remain the most appealing investments on a long-term horizon, Goldman believes that<b>those stocks will underperform more cyclical firms in the short-term if economic acceleration and inflation continue to lift interest rates.</b></p><p><blockquote>尽管长期成长型股票可能仍然是最有吸引力的投资，但高盛认为<b>如果经济加速和通胀继续提高利率，这些股票的短期表现将逊于更具周期性的公司。</b></blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the other side of the table: the<b>chart below shows the Russell 1000 firms from each sector with the shortest implied equity durations that have outperformed sector peers during the past two weeks as rates rose and are expected to grow revenues in 2021</b>. The median stock trades at a P/E ratio of 19x and has returned 7% YTD compared with 22x and 2% for the Russell 1000 median.</p><p><blockquote>这就把我们带到了桌子的另一边：<b>下图显示了每个行业隐含股权久期最短的罗素1000公司，这些公司在过去两周内随着利率上升而表现优于行业同行，预计2021年收入将增长</b>该股的市盈率中位数为19倍，年初至今回报率为7%，而罗素1000指数中位数为22倍和2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96e14fcedd553203d06c6a3639a17f8f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"365\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/which-companies-are-most-risk-surging-yields-goldman-answers?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/which-companies-are-most-risk-surging-yields-goldman-answers?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161169607","content_text":"For those living under a rock in 2021, the big story in the past month is that 10-year Treasury yield have climbed by 50 bps in a month to 1.5% (technically as high as 1.61% for a few brief seconds on Thursday after the catastrophic 7Y auction triggered stop loss selling) as real rates jumped following a steady increase in inflation expectations (breakevens), which however are largely set by 10Y TIPS whose price is determined largely by the Fed due to its massive ongoing monetization of TIPS (thus crushing any actual signaling power TIPS may have). Whatever the cause, while rising breakeven inflation has driven most of the rise in yields during the past six months, the last two weeks have been characterized by a 40 bp jump in real yields.\nIt's this sudden spike in real yields as opposed to breakevens, that has sparked much of the fear in markets in the past week, because as Goldman's David Kostin explains in his Sunday Start note, \"conceptually, and historically, equities digest rising inflation expectations more easily than rising real yields\" and not just rising real yields, but a rapid spike the likes of which were last observed during the taper tantrum as we discussed two weeks ago in \"Yields Soar, Sending 30Y Real Rates Positive Amid Overheating Panic: What Happens Next\"). In any case, as a result of the violent moves in the rates complex, it is hardly a surprise that Kostin writes \"the recent backup in rates has sparked a new wave of client concern.\"\n\nFirst, investors ask whether the level of rates is becoming a threat to equity valuations.\n\nPredictably,Goldman's answer is an emphatic \"no\"with Kostin claiming (with a straight face) that \"although the S&P 500 forward P/E multiple of 22x currently ranks in the 99th historical percentile since 1976, ranking only behind the peak of the Tech Bubble in 2000, our dividend discount model (DDM) implies an equity risk premium (ERP) that ranks in the 28th percentile, 70 bp above the historical average.\" In other words, massively, record stretched PE multiples won't collapse if rates rise. Yeah, right. May want to Timestamp that David. We'll check back in a few weeks. So whatwouldcause a market crash according to Goldman's head market cheerleader? Well, according to Kostin, \"keeping the current P/E constant, the 10-year yield would have to reach 2.1% to bring the yield gap to the historical median of 250 bp.If instead the yield gap remains unchanged, and rates rise to 2.0%, then the P/E multiple would fall by 10% to 20x.\"But don't worry, Kostin adds, because \"in today’s economic environment, our macro model suggests the ERP should be narrower than average.\" Translation: yes, a 10% drop is coming but our models say it may not come, so just keep buying.\n\n\nSecond, Goldman's bullish US equity view has already embedded expectations of rising interest rates.\n\nAddressing the second most regular pushback against its bizarre optimism, Goldman says that an environment of accelerating economic growth (and recall that recently Goldman found that theUS Economy is Growing At the Fastest Pace On Record), and higher bond yields is consistent with the bank's forecast thatS&P 500 EPS in 2021 will grow by 27% and be 10% higher than pre-pandemic 2019, driving a 14% rise this year to our year-end price target of 4300 despite a flat P/E multiple.In other words, multiples may indeed contract but the rise in earnings - a result of economic growth - will offset much if not all of the move. Furthermore, the forward market implies that 10-year nominal yields will climb 25 bp further to 1.7% - below Goldman's 2.1% redline - and real yields will climb by a similar amount to from -0.7% to -0.4% by year-end.\n\nThird, even Kostin is forced to concede that the recent change in yields has reached a magnitude that is usually a headwind for stocks.\n\nAs the Goldman strategist concedes, equities have generated an average return of nearly +1% per month,but the return has averaged -1% during months when nominal rates rose by more than two standard deviations and -5% when real yields rose by that amount.Today, a two standard deviation monthly rise in 10-year rates equates to 40 bp for nominal yields and 30 bp for real yields, both thresholds exceeded this week.\nOf course, it's not just absolute levels across risk that are impacted by rates: Kostin also notes that \"shifting interest rates have major implications forrotations within the equity market,a dynamic made clear in recent weeks.\" In mid-2020, Kostin's equity valuation model showed that equity duration –the expectations of earnings growth far in the future –had become a more important contributor to multiples than ever before. One key reason for the importance that investors ascribed to expected future growth was the extremely low level of interest rates. As rates have risen, the contribution of equity duration to stock valuations has declined while near-term growth profiles have become more important. Practically,this means that both the improving growth outlook and rising rates have supported the outperformance of cyclicals and value stocks relative to stocks with the highest long-term growth.Hardly surprising, in recent weeks Goldman's S&P 500 Growth factor has declined by 9%, similar to the 12% decline around the announcement of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine efficacy in November\nWhich brings us to the one sector most at risk from the continued risk in yields.\nAs Kostin writes, \"this rotation has also weighed on one of the most spectacular outperformers of the last 12 months: Stocks with negative earnings but strong expected growth.\"One of the most remarkable moves of the past year is thata basket of non-profitable tech stocks soared by 204% last year and 27% in the first six weeks of 2021... before falling by 15% in last two weeks.The decline of these high-growth firms has been particularly painful given the current record degree of leverage carried by hedge funds and the elevated activity of retail traders, both of whom have recently favored some of these long-duration stocks.\nTo be sure, while earnings for S&P 500 firms declined by 13% in 2020, the fall in aggregate profits does not capture the wide dispersion in operating results that occurred inside the market. While 2020 EPS growth was negative for the overall index and the median stock,the actual level of profits was positive... But not for every company.In fact,1082 firms or 37% of the constituents in the Russell 3000 posted negative net income in 2020 (i.e., a loss or negative EPS), and 21% posted negative EBITDA.\nGetting even more granular (and apologizing to George Orwell), Kostin then notes that all companies with losses are equal, but some are more equal than others. Some firms reported negative earnings in 2020 because the pandemic and economic shutdown disrupted their business and crushed their revenues.But in other instances, the Goldman strategist points out that \"companies grew sales so rapidly that top-line was the focus of investors and bottom-line losses were ignored.\"Indeed, consider that across all non-Financial US stocks with at least $50 million in revenues, \"those with negative earnings and declining revenues in 2020 returned a median of -18% last year. In contrast, stocks with negative earnings and growing revenues returned +51%.\"\nRecently, however, improving economic growth prospects from vaccination rollout and pending fiscal stimulus coupled with rising rates have moved firms that struggled most in 2020 into pole position so far in 2021.The cyclical and virus-affected firms withnegative earnings and falling sales in 2020 have generated a median YTD return of +22%, outperforming the +10% return of the median stock that posted a loss but grew sales last year.Unsurprisingly, these cyclical stocks have been positively correlated with both nominal and real interest rates. In contrast,the ultra long-duration stocks have been negatively correlated with interest rates given they generate no earnings today and their valuations depend entirely on future growth prospects.Cyclicals also carry far lower valuations, with a median EV/2022 sales ratio of 2x vs. 6x for the median negative earner with positive sales growth.\nPutting it all together, Kostin concludes that \"looking forward, investors must balance the appeal of promising businesses with the risk that rates rise further and the recent rotation continues.\"The list of non-profitable companies that makes up GOldman's Non-Profitable Tech basket is shown below:\nAnd although secular growth stocks may remain the most appealing investments on a long-term horizon, Goldman believes thatthose stocks will underperform more cyclical firms in the short-term if economic acceleration and inflation continue to lift interest rates.\nWhich brings us to the other side of the table: thechart below shows the Russell 1000 firms from each sector with the shortest implied equity durations that have outperformed sector peers during the past two weeks as rates rose and are expected to grow revenues in 2021. The median stock trades at a P/E ratio of 19x and has returned 7% YTD compared with 22x and 2% for the Russell 1000 median.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362404746,"gmtCreate":1614654321885,"gmtModify":1703479410681,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hopefully this wld be able to quantify the bullish projections forecasted by the company","listText":"Hopefully this wld be able to quantify the bullish projections forecasted by the company","text":"Hopefully this wld be able to quantify the bullish projections forecasted by the company","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362404746","repostId":"2116856399","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362989988,"gmtCreate":1614587450744,"gmtModify":1703478494575,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news for medicinal purposes","listText":"Great news for medicinal purposes","text":"Great news for medicinal purposes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362989988","repostId":"1176148015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365532503,"gmtCreate":1614758388202,"gmtModify":1703480708201,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASRT\">$Assertio Holdings, Inc.(ASRT)$</a>awesome buy !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASRT\">$Assertio Holdings, Inc.(ASRT)$</a>awesome buy !","text":"$Assertio Holdings, Inc.(ASRT)$awesome buy !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365532503","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1945,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369476963,"gmtCreate":1614073614252,"gmtModify":1634551297613,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I believe in Palantir tech stocks to be a very good buy","listText":"I believe in Palantir tech stocks to be a very good buy","text":"I believe in Palantir tech stocks to be a very good buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369476963","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":323645877,"gmtCreate":1615340557199,"gmtModify":1703487578034,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"+1 plz.Gojek strong presence in indonesia is a strong force to be reckoned with.","listText":"+1 plz.Gojek strong presence in indonesia is a strong force to be reckoned with.","text":"+1 plz.Gojek strong presence in indonesia is a strong force to be reckoned with.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323645877","repostId":"2118625319","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":329058949,"gmtCreate":1615193246181,"gmtModify":1703485429031,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Silicon valley and a more mature thoughts of future lifestyle enhancement of the masses","listText":"Silicon valley and a more mature thoughts of future lifestyle enhancement of the masses","text":"Silicon valley and a more mature thoughts of future lifestyle enhancement of the masses","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329058949","repostId":"320741750","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":320741750,"gmtCreate":1615182078270,"gmtModify":1703485300529,"author":{"id":"3510558082622800","authorId":"3510558082622800","name":"胖虎哒哒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75b95d9326c02813b7b87ba8c1eccb5a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3510558082622800","authorIdStr":"3510558082622800"},"themes":[],"title":"Coupang 36亿美元的IPO显示美国是科技公司IPO的福地","htmlText":"彭博报道，韩国电子商务巨头Coupang Inc.有望成为韩国公司十年来最大的IPO。而且，就像当今大多数主要技术公司一样，这宗IPO正在纽约发生。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$</a>&nbsp;有三大原因可以解释为什么软银集团公司的孙正义（Masayoshi Son）支持的Coupang选择美股上上市是更好的选择。也许最重要的是，美股提供了可观的估值溢价。它还拥有更深入，更灵活的市场，并允许同股不同权的投票权，这将使Coupang的创始人哈佛商学院退学生Bom Kim受益。美国一直是大型科技公司首次公开募股的首选目的地，2020年规模最大的首次公开募股Airbnb Inc.和DoorDash Inc.均在纽约上市。阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司和京东公司等中国电子商务巨头也在那里上市。Coupang正在寻求通过首次公开募股筹集至多36亿美元，并可能获得超过500亿美元的价值。自三星集团（Samsung Group）于2010年将其保险部门在国内公开上市以来，这将使其成为韩国公司最大的浮标。美国对科技公司估值最高Coupang在美国的首次公开发行（IPO）市盈率为4.3倍，超过了亚马逊的估值淑明大学市场营销学教授Suh YongGu表示，如果这家亏损的电子商务公司在韩国上市（从本月起允许无利可图的公司上市），Coupang的最高估值可能仅为100亿美元。 。Suh说：“韩国的资本主义历史很短，因此韩国人不会将高估值归因于亏损公司。”韩国的股票市场还不到70年的历史，主要由财阀或家族控制的工业集团主导。实际上，该县最大的财阀之一SK集团的子公司SK Bioscience Co.将在本月上市时成为最新一家拥有股票市场的公司。据韩国《首尔经济日报》周一报道，阿斯利康（A","listText":"彭博报道，韩国电子商务巨头Coupang Inc.有望成为韩国公司十年来最大的IPO。而且，就像当今大多数主要技术公司一样，这宗IPO正在纽约发生。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$</a>&nbsp;有三大原因可以解释为什么软银集团公司的孙正义（Masayoshi Son）支持的Coupang选择美股上上市是更好的选择。也许最重要的是，美股提供了可观的估值溢价。它还拥有更深入，更灵活的市场，并允许同股不同权的投票权，这将使Coupang的创始人哈佛商学院退学生Bom Kim受益。美国一直是大型科技公司首次公开募股的首选目的地，2020年规模最大的首次公开募股Airbnb Inc.和DoorDash Inc.均在纽约上市。阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司和京东公司等中国电子商务巨头也在那里上市。Coupang正在寻求通过首次公开募股筹集至多36亿美元，并可能获得超过500亿美元的价值。自三星集团（Samsung Group）于2010年将其保险部门在国内公开上市以来，这将使其成为韩国公司最大的浮标。美国对科技公司估值最高Coupang在美国的首次公开发行（IPO）市盈率为4.3倍，超过了亚马逊的估值淑明大学市场营销学教授Suh YongGu表示，如果这家亏损的电子商务公司在韩国上市（从本月起允许无利可图的公司上市），Coupang的最高估值可能仅为100亿美元。 。Suh说：“韩国的资本主义历史很短，因此韩国人不会将高估值归因于亏损公司。”韩国的股票市场还不到70年的历史，主要由财阀或家族控制的工业集团主导。实际上，该县最大的财阀之一SK集团的子公司SK Bioscience Co.将在本月上市时成为最新一家拥有股票市场的公司。据韩国《首尔经济日报》周一报道，阿斯利康（A","text":"彭博报道，韩国电子商务巨头Coupang Inc.有望成为韩国公司十年来最大的IPO。而且，就像当今大多数主要技术公司一样，这宗IPO正在纽约发生。$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$ 有三大原因可以解释为什么软银集团公司的孙正义（Masayoshi Son）支持的Coupang选择美股上上市是更好的选择。也许最重要的是，美股提供了可观的估值溢价。它还拥有更深入，更灵活的市场，并允许同股不同权的投票权，这将使Coupang的创始人哈佛商学院退学生Bom Kim受益。美国一直是大型科技公司首次公开募股的首选目的地，2020年规模最大的首次公开募股Airbnb Inc.和DoorDash Inc.均在纽约上市。阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司和京东公司等中国电子商务巨头也在那里上市。Coupang正在寻求通过首次公开募股筹集至多36亿美元，并可能获得超过500亿美元的价值。自三星集团（Samsung Group）于2010年将其保险部门在国内公开上市以来，这将使其成为韩国公司最大的浮标。美国对科技公司估值最高Coupang在美国的首次公开发行（IPO）市盈率为4.3倍，超过了亚马逊的估值淑明大学市场营销学教授Suh YongGu表示，如果这家亏损的电子商务公司在韩国上市（从本月起允许无利可图的公司上市），Coupang的最高估值可能仅为100亿美元。 。Suh说：“韩国的资本主义历史很短，因此韩国人不会将高估值归因于亏损公司。”韩国的股票市场还不到70年的历史，主要由财阀或家族控制的工业集团主导。实际上，该县最大的财阀之一SK集团的子公司SK Bioscience Co.将在本月上市时成为最新一家拥有股票市场的公司。据韩国《首尔经济日报》周一报道，阿斯利康（A","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91faa3f74dca29aeb60deca2d283d376","width":"688","height":"376"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5df45a9fe2843e32f3eb53d8f2672bf8","width":"688","height":"300"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/328d0e154c14da67dbc14a2b7ebca9bd","width":"688","height":"459"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320741750","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364357431,"gmtCreate":1614818233823,"gmtModify":1703481494693,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I wonder is a bigger entity manipulating the market or is it individual short sellers picking value stocks over growth stocks.","listText":"I wonder is a bigger entity manipulating the market or is it individual short sellers picking value stocks over growth stocks.","text":"I wonder is a bigger entity manipulating the market or is it individual short sellers picking value stocks over growth stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364357431","repostId":"1107788140","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107788140","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614816795,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107788140?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-04 08:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street drops as high-flying tech stocks retreat<blockquote>随着飙升的科技股回落，华尔街下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107788140","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Wednesday after investors sold high-flying technology ","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Wednesday after investors sold high-flying technology shares and pivoted to sectors viewed as more likely to benefit from an economic recovery on the back of fiscal stimulus and vaccination programs.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-纳斯达克周三大幅收低，此前投资者抛售股价飙升的科技股，转向被视为更有可能从财政刺激和疫苗接种计划推动的经济复苏中受益的行业。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc dropped more than 2%, weighing more than any other stocks on the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>微软公司、苹果公司和亚马逊公司跌幅超过2%，跌幅超过标普500任何其他股票。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial and industrial sector indexes reached intra-day record highs. Most other S&amp;P 500 sectors declined.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融和工业板块指数创盘中历史新高。其他标普500板块多数下跌。</blockquote></p><p>“Today is the perfect encapsulation of the big theme we’ve been seeing in the past couple of months: The vaccine rollout is going well and the economy improving, and that is sending yields and rate expectations higher, which is hurting growth stocks,” said Baird investment strategist Ross Mayfield, in Louisville, Kentucky.</p><p><blockquote>“今天是我们过去几个月看到的大主题的完美概括：疫苗推出进展顺利，经济正在改善，这导致收益率和利率预期走高，这损害了成长型股票，”贝尔德投资策略师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)在肯塔基州路易斯维尔说道。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.39% to end at 31,270.09 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.31% to 3,819.72.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.39%，收于31,270.09点；标普500下跌1.31%，收于3,819.72点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.7% to 12,997.75. That left it at its lowest since early January and reduced its gain in 2021 to less than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.7%，至12,997.75点。这使其处于1月初以来的最低水平，并使2021年的涨幅降至不到1%。</blockquote></p><p>The U.S. economic recovery continued at a modest pace over the first weeks of this year, with businesses optimistic about the months to come and demand for housing “robust,” but only slow improvement in the job market, the Federal Reserve reported.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告称，今年头几周，美国经济继续温和复苏，企业对未来几个月持乐观态度，住房需求“强劲”，但就业市场改善缓慢。</blockquote></p><p>While the vaccine distribution is expected to help the economy, data showed U.S. private employers hired fewer workers than expected in February, suggesting the labor market was struggling to regain speed.</p><p><blockquote>虽然疫苗分发预计将有助于经济，但数据显示，美国私营雇主2月份雇用的工人少于预期，这表明劳动力市场正在努力恢复增长。</blockquote></p><p>Another report showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly slowed in February amid winter storms, while a measure of prices paid by companies for inputs surged to the highest level in nearly 12-1/2 years.</p><p><blockquote>另一份报告显示，由于冬季风暴，美国服务业活动在2月份意外放缓，而衡量企业为投入支付的价格的指标飙升至近12-1/2年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 1.47%, pressuring areas of the market with high valuations. It was still off last week’s peak of above 1.61% that roiled stock markets as investors bet on rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美国10年期国债收益率升至1.47%，给市场高估值领域带来压力。由于投资者押注通胀上升，该指数仍低于上周1.61%以上的峰值，该峰值扰乱了股市。</blockquote></p><p>Rising interest rates disproportionately hurt high-growth tech companies because investors value them based on earnings expected years into the future, and high interest rates hurt the value of future earnings more than the value of earnings made in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>利率上升对高增长科技公司的伤害尤其大，因为投资者根据未来几年的预期收益对它们进行估值，而高利率对未来收益价值的伤害大于短期收益价值。</blockquote></p><p>“There is a definite headwind for equity markets if yields go above the 1.5% level with most investors keeping an eye on the pace of yield growth,” said Michael Stritch, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p><blockquote>BMO财富管理公司首席投资官迈克尔·斯特里奇(Michael Stritch)表示：“如果收益率超过1.5%的水平，股市肯定会面临阻力，因为大多数投资者都在关注收益率增长的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p>President Joe Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill would phase out $1,400 payments to high-income Americans in a compromise with moderate Democratic senators, according to lawmakers and media reports.</p><p><blockquote>据议员和媒体报道，乔·拜登总统提出的1.9万亿美元冠状病毒救助法案将逐步取消向高收入美国人支付1400美元，这是与温和派民主党参议员的妥协。</blockquote></p><p>Exxon Mobil Corp rose 0.8% after the oil major unveiled plans to grow dividends and curb spending with projections that were less bold than previous years.</p><p><blockquote>埃克森美孚公司(Exxon Mobil Corp)股价上涨0.8%，此前这家石油巨头公布了增加股息和抑制支出的计划，但预测不如往年大胆。</blockquote></p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.31-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.95-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.31比1；在纳斯达克，1.95比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 62 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 284 new highs and 68 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下62个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得284个新高和68个新低。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14 billion shares, compared with the 14.9 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为140亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为149亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street drops as high-flying tech stocks retreat<blockquote>随着飙升的科技股回落，华尔街下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street drops as high-flying tech stocks retreat<blockquote>随着飙升的科技股回落，华尔街下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-04 08:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Wednesday after investors sold high-flying technology shares and pivoted to sectors viewed as more likely to benefit from an economic recovery on the back of fiscal stimulus and vaccination programs.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-纳斯达克周三大幅收低，此前投资者抛售股价飙升的科技股，转向被视为更有可能从财政刺激和疫苗接种计划推动的经济复苏中受益的行业。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc dropped more than 2%, weighing more than any other stocks on the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>微软公司、苹果公司和亚马逊公司跌幅超过2%，跌幅超过标普500任何其他股票。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial and industrial sector indexes reached intra-day record highs. Most other S&amp;P 500 sectors declined.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融和工业板块指数创盘中历史新高。其他标普500板块多数下跌。</blockquote></p><p>“Today is the perfect encapsulation of the big theme we’ve been seeing in the past couple of months: The vaccine rollout is going well and the economy improving, and that is sending yields and rate expectations higher, which is hurting growth stocks,” said Baird investment strategist Ross Mayfield, in Louisville, Kentucky.</p><p><blockquote>“今天是我们过去几个月看到的大主题的完美概括：疫苗推出进展顺利，经济正在改善，这导致收益率和利率预期走高，这损害了成长型股票，”贝尔德投资策略师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)在肯塔基州路易斯维尔说道。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.39% to end at 31,270.09 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.31% to 3,819.72.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.39%，收于31,270.09点；标普500下跌1.31%，收于3,819.72点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.7% to 12,997.75. That left it at its lowest since early January and reduced its gain in 2021 to less than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.7%，至12,997.75点。这使其处于1月初以来的最低水平，并使2021年的涨幅降至不到1%。</blockquote></p><p>The U.S. economic recovery continued at a modest pace over the first weeks of this year, with businesses optimistic about the months to come and demand for housing “robust,” but only slow improvement in the job market, the Federal Reserve reported.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告称，今年头几周，美国经济继续温和复苏，企业对未来几个月持乐观态度，住房需求“强劲”，但就业市场改善缓慢。</blockquote></p><p>While the vaccine distribution is expected to help the economy, data showed U.S. private employers hired fewer workers than expected in February, suggesting the labor market was struggling to regain speed.</p><p><blockquote>虽然疫苗分发预计将有助于经济，但数据显示，美国私营雇主2月份雇用的工人少于预期，这表明劳动力市场正在努力恢复增长。</blockquote></p><p>Another report showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly slowed in February amid winter storms, while a measure of prices paid by companies for inputs surged to the highest level in nearly 12-1/2 years.</p><p><blockquote>另一份报告显示，由于冬季风暴，美国服务业活动在2月份意外放缓，而衡量企业为投入支付的价格的指标飙升至近12-1/2年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 1.47%, pressuring areas of the market with high valuations. It was still off last week’s peak of above 1.61% that roiled stock markets as investors bet on rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美国10年期国债收益率升至1.47%，给市场高估值领域带来压力。由于投资者押注通胀上升，该指数仍低于上周1.61%以上的峰值，该峰值扰乱了股市。</blockquote></p><p>Rising interest rates disproportionately hurt high-growth tech companies because investors value them based on earnings expected years into the future, and high interest rates hurt the value of future earnings more than the value of earnings made in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>利率上升对高增长科技公司的伤害尤其大，因为投资者根据未来几年的预期收益对它们进行估值，而高利率对未来收益价值的伤害大于短期收益价值。</blockquote></p><p>“There is a definite headwind for equity markets if yields go above the 1.5% level with most investors keeping an eye on the pace of yield growth,” said Michael Stritch, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p><blockquote>BMO财富管理公司首席投资官迈克尔·斯特里奇(Michael Stritch)表示：“如果收益率超过1.5%的水平，股市肯定会面临阻力，因为大多数投资者都在关注收益率增长的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p>President Joe Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill would phase out $1,400 payments to high-income Americans in a compromise with moderate Democratic senators, according to lawmakers and media reports.</p><p><blockquote>据议员和媒体报道，乔·拜登总统提出的1.9万亿美元冠状病毒救助法案将逐步取消向高收入美国人支付1400美元，这是与温和派民主党参议员的妥协。</blockquote></p><p>Exxon Mobil Corp rose 0.8% after the oil major unveiled plans to grow dividends and curb spending with projections that were less bold than previous years.</p><p><blockquote>埃克森美孚公司(Exxon Mobil Corp)股价上涨0.8%，此前这家石油巨头公布了增加股息和抑制支出的计划，但预测不如往年大胆。</blockquote></p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.31-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.95-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.31比1；在纳斯达克，1.95比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 62 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 284 new highs and 68 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下62个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得284个新高和68个新低。</blockquote></p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14 billion shares, compared with the 14.9 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为140亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为149亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/wall-street-drops-as-high-flying-tech-stocks-retreat-idUSKBN2AV1EG\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/wall-street-drops-as-high-flying-tech-stocks-retreat-idUSKBN2AV1EG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107788140","content_text":"(Reuters) - The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Wednesday after investors sold high-flying technology shares and pivoted to sectors viewed as more likely to benefit from an economic recovery on the back of fiscal stimulus and vaccination programs.Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc and Amazon.com Inc dropped more than 2%, weighing more than any other stocks on the S&P 500.The S&P 500 financial and industrial sector indexes reached intra-day record highs. Most other S&P 500 sectors declined.“Today is the perfect encapsulation of the big theme we’ve been seeing in the past couple of months: The vaccine rollout is going well and the economy improving, and that is sending yields and rate expectations higher, which is hurting growth stocks,” said Baird investment strategist Ross Mayfield, in Louisville, Kentucky.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.39% to end at 31,270.09 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.31% to 3,819.72.The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.7% to 12,997.75. That left it at its lowest since early January and reduced its gain in 2021 to less than 1%.The U.S. economic recovery continued at a modest pace over the first weeks of this year, with businesses optimistic about the months to come and demand for housing “robust,” but only slow improvement in the job market, the Federal Reserve reported.While the vaccine distribution is expected to help the economy, data showed U.S. private employers hired fewer workers than expected in February, suggesting the labor market was struggling to regain speed.Another report showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly slowed in February amid winter storms, while a measure of prices paid by companies for inputs surged to the highest level in nearly 12-1/2 years.The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 1.47%, pressuring areas of the market with high valuations. It was still off last week’s peak of above 1.61% that roiled stock markets as investors bet on rising inflation.Rising interest rates disproportionately hurt high-growth tech companies because investors value them based on earnings expected years into the future, and high interest rates hurt the value of future earnings more than the value of earnings made in the short term.“There is a definite headwind for equity markets if yields go above the 1.5% level with most investors keeping an eye on the pace of yield growth,” said Michael Stritch, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management.President Joe Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill would phase out $1,400 payments to high-income Americans in a compromise with moderate Democratic senators, according to lawmakers and media reports.Exxon Mobil Corp rose 0.8% after the oil major unveiled plans to grow dividends and curb spending with projections that were less bold than previous years.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.31-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.95-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 62 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 284 new highs and 68 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14 billion shares, compared with the 14.9 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361264850,"gmtCreate":1614240421670,"gmtModify":1634550532265,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dead cat jump for sure&nbsp;","listText":"Dead cat jump for sure&nbsp;","text":"Dead cat jump for sure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361264850","repostId":"361284489","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":361284489,"gmtCreate":1614239534637,"gmtModify":1744960636183,"author":{"id":"3510558082622800","authorId":"3510558082622800","name":"胖虎哒哒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75b95d9326c02813b7b87ba8c1eccb5a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3510558082622800","authorIdStr":"3510558082622800"},"themes":[],"title":"GME股价再度暴涨，是不是死猫跳？","htmlText":"GameStop的股票周三飙升了100％以上，今天在德国法兰克福交易所涨近240%，AMC涨近42%。从媒体解读来看，都认为主要因素是因为之前高管洗牌CFO出局的结果。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a> GameStop周二宣布，其首席财务官吉姆·贝尔将于3月26日辞职。该公司在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中说：“贝尔先生的辞职并不是因为在与公司的运营，政策或惯例有关的任何事项（包括会计原则和惯例）上与公司存在分歧。” 熟悉此事的消息人士告诉《商业内幕》，贝尔并没有自愿离开，而是被Chewy的联合创始人瑞安·科恩（Ryan Cohen）赶出的，&nbsp;后者去年对GameStop进行了投资，以帮助该公司加快在线推动。 彭博新闻社周二晚间报道说，据知情人士透露，GameStop董事会将贝尔推开，以便更快地执行转型。 1月，科恩被任命为GameStop董事会成员，这促使大量做空的股票上涨，这导致GameStop出现史诗般的空头紧缩，这引起了散户交易的狂热，并最终引起了国会的关注。 杰富瑞（Jefferies）证券分析师斯蒂芬妮·威辛克（Stephanie Wissink）告诉客户：“我们承认，领导层的变动通常是在激进主义者达成和解之后进行的，贝尔先生的退出是相互的，不直接的，并且表明与公司/董事会没有分歧。”“我们认为，在上一轮硬件周期的后期，即销售急剧下降时，贝尔先生采取了一系列保护GME权益的行动，应该得到认可。” Jefferies补充说，与零售背景相比，GameStop可能会寻求用技术取代CFO，因为GameStop专注于电子商务的增长","listText":"GameStop的股票周三飙升了100％以上，今天在德国法兰克福交易所涨近240%，AMC涨近42%。从媒体解读来看，都认为主要因素是因为之前高管洗牌CFO出局的结果。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a> GameStop周二宣布，其首席财务官吉姆·贝尔将于3月26日辞职。该公司在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中说：“贝尔先生的辞职并不是因为在与公司的运营，政策或惯例有关的任何事项（包括会计原则和惯例）上与公司存在分歧。” 熟悉此事的消息人士告诉《商业内幕》，贝尔并没有自愿离开，而是被Chewy的联合创始人瑞安·科恩（Ryan Cohen）赶出的，&nbsp;后者去年对GameStop进行了投资，以帮助该公司加快在线推动。 彭博新闻社周二晚间报道说，据知情人士透露，GameStop董事会将贝尔推开，以便更快地执行转型。 1月，科恩被任命为GameStop董事会成员，这促使大量做空的股票上涨，这导致GameStop出现史诗般的空头紧缩，这引起了散户交易的狂热，并最终引起了国会的关注。 杰富瑞（Jefferies）证券分析师斯蒂芬妮·威辛克（Stephanie Wissink）告诉客户：“我们承认，领导层的变动通常是在激进主义者达成和解之后进行的，贝尔先生的退出是相互的，不直接的，并且表明与公司/董事会没有分歧。”“我们认为，在上一轮硬件周期的后期，即销售急剧下降时，贝尔先生采取了一系列保护GME权益的行动，应该得到认可。” Jefferies补充说，与零售背景相比，GameStop可能会寻求用技术取代CFO，因为GameStop专注于电子商务的增长","text":"GameStop的股票周三飙升了100％以上，今天在德国法兰克福交易所涨近240%，AMC涨近42%。从媒体解读来看，都认为主要因素是因为之前高管洗牌CFO出局的结果。$游戏驿站(GME)$ $AMC院线(AMC)$ GameStop周二宣布，其首席财务官吉姆·贝尔将于3月26日辞职。该公司在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中说：“贝尔先生的辞职并不是因为在与公司的运营，政策或惯例有关的任何事项（包括会计原则和惯例）上与公司存在分歧。” 熟悉此事的消息人士告诉《商业内幕》，贝尔并没有自愿离开，而是被Chewy的联合创始人瑞安·科恩（Ryan Cohen）赶出的， 后者去年对GameStop进行了投资，以帮助该公司加快在线推动。 彭博新闻社周二晚间报道说，据知情人士透露，GameStop董事会将贝尔推开，以便更快地执行转型。 1月，科恩被任命为GameStop董事会成员，这促使大量做空的股票上涨，这导致GameStop出现史诗般的空头紧缩，这引起了散户交易的狂热，并最终引起了国会的关注。 杰富瑞（Jefferies）证券分析师斯蒂芬妮·威辛克（Stephanie Wissink）告诉客户：“我们承认，领导层的变动通常是在激进主义者达成和解之后进行的，贝尔先生的退出是相互的，不直接的，并且表明与公司/董事会没有分歧。”“我们认为，在上一轮硬件周期的后期，即销售急剧下降时，贝尔先生采取了一系列保护GME权益的行动，应该得到认可。” Jefferies补充说，与零售背景相比，GameStop可能会寻求用技术取代CFO，因为GameStop专注于电子商务的增长","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecd33b9aca957c92f208bfcb16b7c897","width":"839","height":"469"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361284489","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"vote":{"id":1360,"gmtBegin":1614239712679,"gmtEnd":1614585265101,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"GME股价再次暴涨是？","choices":[{"id":5061,"sort":1,"name":"死猫跳","userSize":561,"voted":false},{"id":5062,"sort":2,"name":"moon！🚀🚀🚀","userSize":726,"voted":false}]},"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361131807,"gmtCreate":1614212420509,"gmtModify":1634550708659,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unbelievable is this considered insider news / trading..","listText":"Unbelievable is this considered insider news / trading..","text":"Unbelievable is this considered insider news / trading..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361131807","repostId":"2113803180","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363666071,"gmtCreate":1614134793093,"gmtModify":1634551043131,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news after a market correction recently&nbsp;","listText":"Great news after a market correction recently&nbsp;","text":"Great news after a market correction recently","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363666071","repostId":"1178144401","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387707150,"gmtCreate":1613783489670,"gmtModify":1634552261854,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes it is extremely convenient for people with no investment knowledge what so ever to get invested !","listText":"Yes it is extremely convenient for people with no investment knowledge what so ever to get invested !","text":"Yes it is extremely convenient for people with no investment knowledge what so ever to get invested !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387707150","repostId":"1161529893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161529893","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613733842,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161529893?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-19 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161529893","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by so","content":"<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-19 19:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161529893","content_text":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\n\nRobo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.\nNow anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.\n“Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\nAlthough the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.\n“People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.\nGoldman Sachs declined to comment.\nThe company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.\nFees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.\nThe median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.\nRobo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.\nRobo investing as a self-driving car\nConsumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.\nThe rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.\nSo what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.\nYou put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.\nRobo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.\nThere are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.\nAnd rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.\nCynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.\nAs she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”\nRobos appeal to inexperienced investors\nRobo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.\nThat makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.\n“When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”\nThat said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”\nOthers disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.\n“Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.\nThere is often no door to knock on\nYour robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.\nIt won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.\n“The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.\nNot all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.\nAdditionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.\nFor instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.\nBut with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.\nOn top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.\n“If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.\nDon’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.\nBut not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.\nThe results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380456081,"gmtCreate":1612578338144,"gmtModify":1703763798119,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing !","listText":"Amazing !","text":"Amazing !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380456081","repostId":"2109266857","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380458466,"gmtCreate":1612578283355,"gmtModify":1703763797777,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A real bubble that is not going to managed or have any means to be bailed out or regulated","listText":"A real bubble that is not going to managed or have any means to be bailed out or regulated","text":"A real bubble that is not going to managed or have any means to be bailed out or regulated","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380458466","repostId":"1180970570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180970570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612501989,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180970570?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-05 13:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180970570","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now droppi","content":"<p>Shares of GameStop&nbsp;and other companies or&nbsp;assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now&nbsp;dropping&nbsp;like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和其他最近几周价值飙升的公司或资产的股价现在像石头一样下跌。虽然我为许多可能会损失很多钱的投资者感到难过，但如果你想避免金融崩溃成为美国面临的一长串危机，股票回归地球实际上是一件好事。</blockquote></p><p>The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.</p><p><blockquote>原因与金融市场是什么以及它们不是什么有关，以及当股票和其他证券的价格脱离它们所代表的资产的基本价值时会发生什么有关。</blockquote></p><p>As a finance professor who does&nbsp;research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名研究市场如何对新信息做出反应的金融学教授，我认为保持证券价格和基本面之间的密切联系非常重要。当这种情况停止发生时，市场崩溃可能就在不远处。</blockquote></p><p>Capital markets aren’t casinos</p><p><blockquote>资本市场不是赌场</blockquote></p><p>Some have portrayed&nbsp;GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?</p><p><blockquote>有些人将GameStopGME(-42.11%)描绘成大卫与歌利亚的故事。根据这种说法，华尔街的大佬们多年来一直在股市SPX上赌博致富，+1.09%。小家伙一有机会有什么问题？</blockquote></p><p>The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino,&nbsp;as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.</p><p><blockquote>首先要记住的是，市场并不像一些人认为的那样是一个大赌场。他们的核心目的是有效地将投资者与公司和其他组织联系起来，最有效地利用他们的现金。</blockquote></p><p>Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without&nbsp;access to capital markets.</p><p><blockquote>准确的市场价格旨在反映公司的预期利润和整体风险水平，为投资者提供了一个重要信号，即他们是否应该交出资金以及应该获得什么回报。如果没有资本市场，像AppleAAPL(+2.58%)和AmazonAMZN(+0.56%)这样的公司就不会像我们今天所知的那样存在。</blockquote></p><p>The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when&nbsp;markets seemingly go crazy&nbsp;and on the&nbsp;speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as&nbsp;hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.</p><p><blockquote>对市场更有偏见的看法集中在市场似乎变得疯狂的时候，以及一些交易者（如对冲基金）的投机赌博行为。游戏驿站传奇融入了这个故事情节。</blockquote></p><p>But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.</p><p><blockquote>但游戏驿站也说明了当股价不能反映现实时会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p>The GameStop bubble</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫</blockquote></p><p>GameStop fundamentals&nbsp;are, to put it mildly, lackluster.</p><p><blockquote>委婉地说，游戏驿站的基本面黯淡无光。</blockquote></p><p>The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now&nbsp;take place as digital downloads. GameStop&nbsp;has been slow&nbsp;to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in&nbsp;2012 at US$9.55 billion&nbsp;and had dropped by a third&nbsp;as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是一家实体视频游戏连锁店。现在大多数视频游戏销售都是以数字下载的形式进行的。游戏驿站在适应这一新现实方面进展缓慢。其收入在2012年达到95.5亿美元的峰值，截至2019年下降了三分之一。自2017年以来，它就没有盈利过。简单来说，就是在竞争激烈、瞬息万变的行业中，它是一家亏损的公司。</blockquote></p><p>The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price&nbsp;from under $20 in early January to as high as $483&nbsp;in a little over two weeks,&nbsp;driven by retail investors on Reddit&nbsp;who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds,&nbsp;costing the professionals billions of dollars.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近的投机狂潮使游戏驿站股价在两周多一点的时间内从1月初的不到20美元上涨至483美元，这是由Reddit上的散户投资者推动的，他们协调购买以损害对冲基金，使专业人士损失了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>It is&nbsp;clearly a speculative price bubble&nbsp;and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially&nbsp;those attracted by the extreme price moves&nbsp;and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.</p><p><blockquote>这显然是一个投机性的价格泡沫，具有庞氏骗局的一些特征。许多晚“上车”并以虚高的价格买入的小投资者——尤其是那些被极端价格走势和媒体报道吸引的小投资者——将背黑锅。</blockquote></p><p>And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares&nbsp;were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.</p><p><blockquote>股价迟早会回到能够得到公司基本面支撑的水平。2月4日中午之前，股价自1月25日以来首次接近70美元。</blockquote></p><p>The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.</p><p><blockquote>当为时已晚时，问题就开始了。</blockquote></p><p>Bubbles are made to pop</p><p><blockquote>泡泡被制造出来</blockquote></p><p>Financial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.</p><p><blockquote>金融市场是由人组成的。人是不完美的，市场也是。这意味着市场价格并不总是“正确”的——而且通常很难知道什么是“正确”的价格。</blockquote></p><p>That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到游戏驿站等个股的价格泡沫时，情况确实如此。但当涉及到整个市场时，在更大的范围内也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 —&nbsp;after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s&nbsp;— an&nbsp;economic recession&nbsp;followed soon after. The bursting of a&nbsp;housing bubble in 2008&nbsp;triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>价格泡沫和崩盘对华尔街和大街都没有好处。当2000年互联网泡沫破裂时——在20世纪90年代末数十只科技股的价格呈指数级飙升——经济衰退随之而来。2008年房地产泡沫的破裂引发了全球金融危机和大衰退。</blockquote></p><p>Too much momentum</p><p><blockquote>动力太大</blockquote></p><p>So markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.</p><p><blockquote>因此，市场有时会失灵，我们需要明智的监管和执法来减少这种失灵的可能性。</blockquote></p><p>Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.</p><p><blockquote>孤立地看，游戏驿站热潮不太可能引发整体股市的混乱，特别是如果其价格继续下跌，更符合公司的基本价值。不幸的是，这不是一个孤立的案例。游戏驿站也不是问题的第一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p>In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the&nbsp;prices of silverSI00,0.61%&nbsp;and&nbsp;companies&nbsp;such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood&nbsp;have made trading easy, fun&nbsp;and basically free.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，Reddit用户还推高了silverSI00(0.61%)以及BlackBerryBB(+1.25%)和电影院巨头AMC EntertainmentAMC(-20.96%)等公司的价格。Robinhood等流行的交易应用程序使交易变得轻松、有趣且基本上免费。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example,&nbsp;skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called&nbsp;momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA(-0.55%)的股价去年飙升了720%，很大程度上是因为投资者买入该股是因为该股已经在上涨。这被称为动量投资，这是一种交易策略，投资者购买证券是因为他们正在上涨，只有当他们认为价格已经见顶时才出售。</blockquote></p><p>If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the&nbsp;already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation&nbsp;could hurt public confidence&nbsp;in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种情况持续下去，可能会导致更多的金融泡沫和崩溃，使企业更难筹集资金，对本已步履蹒跚的美国经济复苏构成威胁。即使最坏的情况没有发生，价格大幅波动和价格操纵指控也可能损害公众对金融市场的信心，这将使人们更不愿意投资于退休和其他项目。</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&nbsp;once said&nbsp;about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经谈到股市行为时说过：“灯可以随时从绿色变成红色，而不会在黄色时暂停。”</blockquote></p><p>What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，市场可能会突然转向并暴跌。他认为这些时刻是在市场上寻找交易的机会，但对大多数人来说，它们会导致恐慌、重大损失和大规模失业等经济后果——就像我们在1929年、2000年和2008年看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p>There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.</p><p><blockquote>没有什么特别的理由不会再发生。</blockquote></p><p><i>Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from&nbsp;crashing“.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚历山大·库罗夫是摩根敦西弗吉尼亚大学金融学教授，并担任弗雷德·T·塔特索尔金融学研究主席。这篇文章最初由The Conversation发表——“华尔街不仅仅是交易者可以押注游戏驿站和其他股票的赌场——它对于防止资本主义崩溃至关重要”。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-05 13:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of GameStop&nbsp;and other companies or&nbsp;assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now&nbsp;dropping&nbsp;like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和其他最近几周价值飙升的公司或资产的股价现在像石头一样下跌。虽然我为许多可能会损失很多钱的投资者感到难过，但如果你想避免金融崩溃成为美国面临的一长串危机，股票回归地球实际上是一件好事。</blockquote></p><p>The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.</p><p><blockquote>原因与金融市场是什么以及它们不是什么有关，以及当股票和其他证券的价格脱离它们所代表的资产的基本价值时会发生什么有关。</blockquote></p><p>As a finance professor who does&nbsp;research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名研究市场如何对新信息做出反应的金融学教授，我认为保持证券价格和基本面之间的密切联系非常重要。当这种情况停止发生时，市场崩溃可能就在不远处。</blockquote></p><p>Capital markets aren’t casinos</p><p><blockquote>资本市场不是赌场</blockquote></p><p>Some have portrayed&nbsp;GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?</p><p><blockquote>有些人将GameStopGME(-42.11%)描绘成大卫与歌利亚的故事。根据这种说法，华尔街的大佬们多年来一直在股市SPX上赌博致富，+1.09%。小家伙一有机会有什么问题？</blockquote></p><p>The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino,&nbsp;as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.</p><p><blockquote>首先要记住的是，市场并不像一些人认为的那样是一个大赌场。他们的核心目的是有效地将投资者与公司和其他组织联系起来，最有效地利用他们的现金。</blockquote></p><p>Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without&nbsp;access to capital markets.</p><p><blockquote>准确的市场价格旨在反映公司的预期利润和整体风险水平，为投资者提供了一个重要信号，即他们是否应该交出资金以及应该获得什么回报。如果没有资本市场，像AppleAAPL(+2.58%)和AmazonAMZN(+0.56%)这样的公司就不会像我们今天所知的那样存在。</blockquote></p><p>The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when&nbsp;markets seemingly go crazy&nbsp;and on the&nbsp;speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as&nbsp;hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.</p><p><blockquote>对市场更有偏见的看法集中在市场似乎变得疯狂的时候，以及一些交易者（如对冲基金）的投机赌博行为。游戏驿站传奇融入了这个故事情节。</blockquote></p><p>But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.</p><p><blockquote>但游戏驿站也说明了当股价不能反映现实时会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p>The GameStop bubble</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫</blockquote></p><p>GameStop fundamentals&nbsp;are, to put it mildly, lackluster.</p><p><blockquote>委婉地说，游戏驿站的基本面黯淡无光。</blockquote></p><p>The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now&nbsp;take place as digital downloads. GameStop&nbsp;has been slow&nbsp;to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in&nbsp;2012 at US$9.55 billion&nbsp;and had dropped by a third&nbsp;as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是一家实体视频游戏连锁店。现在大多数视频游戏销售都是以数字下载的形式进行的。游戏驿站在适应这一新现实方面进展缓慢。其收入在2012年达到95.5亿美元的峰值，截至2019年下降了三分之一。自2017年以来，它就没有盈利过。简单来说，就是在竞争激烈、瞬息万变的行业中，它是一家亏损的公司。</blockquote></p><p>The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price&nbsp;from under $20 in early January to as high as $483&nbsp;in a little over two weeks,&nbsp;driven by retail investors on Reddit&nbsp;who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds,&nbsp;costing the professionals billions of dollars.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近的投机狂潮使游戏驿站股价在两周多一点的时间内从1月初的不到20美元上涨至483美元，这是由Reddit上的散户投资者推动的，他们协调购买以损害对冲基金，使专业人士损失了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>It is&nbsp;clearly a speculative price bubble&nbsp;and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially&nbsp;those attracted by the extreme price moves&nbsp;and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.</p><p><blockquote>这显然是一个投机性的价格泡沫，具有庞氏骗局的一些特征。许多晚“上车”并以虚高的价格买入的小投资者——尤其是那些被极端价格走势和媒体报道吸引的小投资者——将背黑锅。</blockquote></p><p>And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares&nbsp;were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.</p><p><blockquote>股价迟早会回到能够得到公司基本面支撑的水平。2月4日中午之前，股价自1月25日以来首次接近70美元。</blockquote></p><p>The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.</p><p><blockquote>当为时已晚时，问题就开始了。</blockquote></p><p>Bubbles are made to pop</p><p><blockquote>泡泡被制造出来</blockquote></p><p>Financial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.</p><p><blockquote>金融市场是由人组成的。人是不完美的，市场也是。这意味着市场价格并不总是“正确”的——而且通常很难知道什么是“正确”的价格。</blockquote></p><p>That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到游戏驿站等个股的价格泡沫时，情况确实如此。但当涉及到整个市场时，在更大的范围内也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 —&nbsp;after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s&nbsp;— an&nbsp;economic recession&nbsp;followed soon after. The bursting of a&nbsp;housing bubble in 2008&nbsp;triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>价格泡沫和崩盘对华尔街和大街都没有好处。当2000年互联网泡沫破裂时——在20世纪90年代末数十只科技股的价格呈指数级飙升——经济衰退随之而来。2008年房地产泡沫的破裂引发了全球金融危机和大衰退。</blockquote></p><p>Too much momentum</p><p><blockquote>动力太大</blockquote></p><p>So markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.</p><p><blockquote>因此，市场有时会失灵，我们需要明智的监管和执法来减少这种失灵的可能性。</blockquote></p><p>Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.</p><p><blockquote>孤立地看，游戏驿站热潮不太可能引发整体股市的混乱，特别是如果其价格继续下跌，更符合公司的基本价值。不幸的是，这不是一个孤立的案例。游戏驿站也不是问题的第一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p>In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the&nbsp;prices of silverSI00,0.61%&nbsp;and&nbsp;companies&nbsp;such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood&nbsp;have made trading easy, fun&nbsp;and basically free.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，Reddit用户还推高了silverSI00(0.61%)以及BlackBerryBB(+1.25%)和电影院巨头AMC EntertainmentAMC(-20.96%)等公司的价格。Robinhood等流行的交易应用程序使交易变得轻松、有趣且基本上免费。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example,&nbsp;skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called&nbsp;momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA(-0.55%)的股价去年飙升了720%，很大程度上是因为投资者买入该股是因为该股已经在上涨。这被称为动量投资，这是一种交易策略，投资者购买证券是因为他们正在上涨，只有当他们认为价格已经见顶时才出售。</blockquote></p><p>If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the&nbsp;already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation&nbsp;could hurt public confidence&nbsp;in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种情况持续下去，可能会导致更多的金融泡沫和崩溃，使企业更难筹集资金，对本已步履蹒跚的美国经济复苏构成威胁。即使最坏的情况没有发生，价格大幅波动和价格操纵指控也可能损害公众对金融市场的信心，这将使人们更不愿意投资于退休和其他项目。</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&nbsp;once said&nbsp;about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经谈到股市行为时说过：“灯可以随时从绿色变成红色，而不会在黄色时暂停。”</blockquote></p><p>What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，市场可能会突然转向并暴跌。他认为这些时刻是在市场上寻找交易的机会，但对大多数人来说，它们会导致恐慌、重大损失和大规模失业等经济后果——就像我们在1929年、2000年和2008年看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p>There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.</p><p><blockquote>没有什么特别的理由不会再发生。</blockquote></p><p><i>Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from&nbsp;crashing“.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚历山大·库罗夫是摩根敦西弗吉尼亚大学金融学教授，并担任弗雷德·T·塔特索尔金融学研究主席。这篇文章最初由The Conversation发表——“华尔街不仅仅是交易者可以押注游戏驿站和其他股票的赌场——它对于防止资本主义崩溃至关重要”。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72bab52a7d49e9d26088350ab4826c1","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180970570","content_text":"Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now dropping like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.As a finance professor who does research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.Capital markets aren’t casinosSome have portrayed GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino, as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without access to capital markets.The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when markets seemingly go crazy and on the speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.The GameStop bubbleGameStop fundamentals are, to put it mildly, lackluster.The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now take place as digital downloads. GameStop has been slow to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in 2012 at US$9.55 billion and had dropped by a third as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price from under $20 in early January to as high as $483 in a little over two weeks, driven by retail investors on Reddit who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds, costing the professionals billions of dollars.It is clearly a speculative price bubble and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially those attracted by the extreme price moves and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.Bubbles are made to popFinancial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 — after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s — an economic recession followed soon after. The bursting of a housing bubble in 2008 triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.Too much momentumSo markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the prices of silverSI00,0.61% and companies such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood have made trading easy, fun and basically free.The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example, skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation could hurt public confidence in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.Warren Buffett once said about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from crashing“.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380097040,"gmtCreate":1612490789380,"gmtModify":1703762621559,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"omg here it comes again","listText":"omg here it comes again","text":"omg here it comes again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380097040","repostId":"1180680925","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380094020,"gmtCreate":1612490693460,"gmtModify":1703762620008,"author":{"id":"3575180993558670","authorId":"3575180993558670","name":"sham1990","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575180993558670","authorIdStr":"3575180993558670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"? Unsure what it would hold for the mkts ahead&nbsp;","listText":"? Unsure what it would hold for the mkts ahead&nbsp;","text":"? Unsure what it would hold for the mkts ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380094020","repostId":"1177377712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177377712","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612431358,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177377712?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-04 17:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chinese cloud communication provider Cloopen Group Holding sets terms for $280 million US IPO<blockquote>中国云通信提供商Cloopen Group Holding设定2.8亿美元美国IPO条款</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177377712","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Cloopen Group Holding, which provides cloud-based communication services in China, announced terms f","content":"<p>Cloopen Group Holding, which provides cloud-based communication services in China, announced terms for its IPO on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>在中国提供基于云的通信服务的Cloopen Group Holding周三宣布了IPO条款。</blockquote></p><p> The Beijing, China-based company plans to raise $280 million by offering 20 million ADSs at a price range of $13 to $15. At the midpoint of the proposed range, Cloopen Group Holding would command a market value of $2.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于中国北京的公司计划通过以13至15美元的价格发行2000万股ADS来筹集2.8亿美元。在拟议范围的中点，Cloopen Group Holding的市值将达到21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of 2019 revenue, Cloopen Group operates the largest multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. It is also the only provider in China that offers a full suite of cloud-based communications solutions, covering communications platform as a service, cloud-based contact centers, and cloud-based unified communications and collaborations.</p><p><blockquote>按2019年收入计算，Cloopen Group运营着中国最大的多功能云通信解决方案提供商。它也是中国唯一一家提供全套基于云的通信解决方案的提供商，涵盖基于云的通信平台即服务、基于云的联络中心以及基于云的统一通信和协作。</blockquote></p><p> Cloopen Group Holding was founded in 2012 and booked $113 million in revenue for the 12 months ended September 30, 2020. It plans to list on the NYSE under the symbolRAAS. Goldman Sachs, Citi and CICC are the joint bookrunners on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>Cloopen Group Holding成立于2012年，截至2020年9月30日的12个月收入为1.13亿美元。它计划在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为RAAS。高盛、花旗和中金公司是该交易的联席账簿管理人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese cloud communication provider Cloopen Group Holding sets terms for $280 million US IPO<blockquote>中国云通信提供商Cloopen Group Holding设定2.8亿美元美国IPO条款</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese cloud communication provider Cloopen Group Holding sets terms for $280 million US IPO<blockquote>中国云通信提供商Cloopen Group Holding设定2.8亿美元美国IPO条款</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-04 17:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cloopen Group Holding, which provides cloud-based communication services in China, announced terms for its IPO on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>在中国提供基于云的通信服务的Cloopen Group Holding周三宣布了IPO条款。</blockquote></p><p> The Beijing, China-based company plans to raise $280 million by offering 20 million ADSs at a price range of $13 to $15. At the midpoint of the proposed range, Cloopen Group Holding would command a market value of $2.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于中国北京的公司计划通过以13至15美元的价格发行2000万股ADS来筹集2.8亿美元。在拟议范围的中点，Cloopen Group Holding的市值将达到21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of 2019 revenue, Cloopen Group operates the largest multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. It is also the only provider in China that offers a full suite of cloud-based communications solutions, covering communications platform as a service, cloud-based contact centers, and cloud-based unified communications and collaborations.</p><p><blockquote>按2019年收入计算，Cloopen Group运营着中国最大的多功能云通信解决方案提供商。它也是中国唯一一家提供全套基于云的通信解决方案的提供商，涵盖基于云的通信平台即服务、基于云的联络中心以及基于云的统一通信和协作。</blockquote></p><p> Cloopen Group Holding was founded in 2012 and booked $113 million in revenue for the 12 months ended September 30, 2020. It plans to list on the NYSE under the symbolRAAS. Goldman Sachs, Citi and CICC are the joint bookrunners on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>Cloopen Group Holding成立于2012年，截至2020年9月30日的12个月收入为1.13亿美元。它计划在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为RAAS。高盛、花旗和中金公司是该交易的联席账簿管理人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/76061/Chinese-cloud-communication-provider-Cloopen-Group-Holding-sets-terms-for-$\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/76061/Chinese-cloud-communication-provider-Cloopen-Group-Holding-sets-terms-for-$","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177377712","content_text":"Cloopen Group Holding, which provides cloud-based communication services in China, announced terms for its IPO on Wednesday.\nThe Beijing, China-based company plans to raise $280 million by offering 20 million ADSs at a price range of $13 to $15. At the midpoint of the proposed range, Cloopen Group Holding would command a market value of $2.1 billion.\nIn terms of 2019 revenue, Cloopen Group operates the largest multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. It is also the only provider in China that offers a full suite of cloud-based communications solutions, covering communications platform as a service, cloud-based contact centers, and cloud-based unified communications and collaborations.\nCloopen Group Holding was founded in 2012 and booked $113 million in revenue for the 12 months ended September 30, 2020. It plans to list on the NYSE under the symbolRAAS. Goldman Sachs, Citi and CICC are the joint bookrunners on the deal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RAAS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}