半山畔的个人主页 - 老虎社区

半山畔

半山畔

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IP属地：陕西

42关注

5粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2023-12-27

没有及时调仓，应该坚持自己看好的股

2022-10-25

通关之日也就是重启之时

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-29

有空追明星确实是太闲

中央宣传部、国家广电总局约谈4省市广播电视台

2021-08-30

$维珍银河(SPCE)$抗了半年等到最高点，又跌到谷底了，就是不出手，看你表演.

2021-08-12

生怕别人不知道多牛逼一样，可以去UC报到了。

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-10

$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$D媒昨天下午才发话，今天这行情，阿里真牛.

2021-08-09

踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-09

d报下的踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-03

想多了吧，没有任何护城河，消费者口味多变，能坚持几年还未知.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-03

大半年了，还没涨到年初的价.

特斯拉盘中涨幅扩大至5%，创三个月以来新高

2021-08-03

果然，屁股决定脑袋，评论一边倒.

腾讯推出游戏未保“双减双打”新措施

2021-07-30

滴滴可能重新回归港股

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-28

涨起来还不是迟早的事

纳斯达克梦向三万点，或在这一个十年？

2021-07-28

涨一点真不容易

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-21

$奥罗拉大麻公司(ACB)$一直跌还没回本，为啥还不嗨起来.

2021-07-10

$维珍银河(SPCE)$马上飞的时候这一上一下的是故意的吗，等了大半年，从最高点跌到谷底也扛过来了，不破百对不起给你的支持啊。

2021-07-09

互联网企业风口已经过去，一代企业有一代企业的使命.

李彦宏：百度智能汽车预计2023年和大家见面

2021-07-09

跟着政策走，总归没错.

时代轮替的缩影？宁德时代掌门人身家超过了马云

2021-07-04

你要没问题，国家还这么大力度吗

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-02

偷偷摸摸跑出去上市

抱歉，原内容已删除

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>D媒昨天下午才发话，今天这行情，阿里真牛.","text":"$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$D媒昨天下午才发话，今天这行情，阿里真牛.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896631491","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":898683334,"gmtCreate":1628492949628,"gmtModify":1628492949628,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","listText":"踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","text":"踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898683334","repostId":"1106778750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1959,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":898680561,"gmtCreate":1628492804353,"gmtModify":1628492804353,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"d报下的踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","listText":"d报下的踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","text":"d报下的踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898680561","repostId":"1106778750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":807995594,"gmtCreate":1627994620118,"gmtModify":1627994620118,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"想多了吧，没有任何护城河，消费者口味多变，能坚持几年还未知.","listText":"想多了吧，没有任何护城河，消费者口味多变，能坚持几年还未知.","text":"想多了吧，没有任何护城河，消费者口味多变，能坚持几年还未知.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807995594","repostId":"1113470378","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":807993375,"gmtCreate":1627994237997,"gmtModify":1627994237997,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大半年了，还没涨到年初的价.","listText":"大半年了，还没涨到年初的价.","text":"大半年了，还没涨到年初的价.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807993375","repostId":"1168968867","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168968867","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627913025,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168968867?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 22:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉盘中涨幅扩大至5%，创三个月以来新高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168968867","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周一，特斯拉盘中涨幅扩大至5%，现报721美元，创三个月以来新高，成交额超60亿美元。","content":"<p>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘中涨幅扩大至5%，现报721美元，创三个月以来新高，成交额超60亿美元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8795dc5e7d0d4ec35e9cf45bff4f3d1a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉盘中涨幅扩大至5%，创三个月以来新高</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘中涨幅扩大至5%，现报721美元，创三个月以来新高，成交额超60亿美元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8795dc5e7d0d4ec35e9cf45bff4f3d1a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968c7f56416ea450ba452ed25e324d2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168968867","content_text":"周一，特斯拉盘中涨幅扩大至5%，现报721美元，创三个月以来新高，成交额超60亿美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2030,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":807905700,"gmtCreate":1627994027900,"gmtModify":1627994027900,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"果然，屁股决定脑袋，评论一边倒.","listText":"果然，屁股决定脑袋，评论一边倒.","text":"果然，屁股决定脑袋，评论一边倒.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807905700","repostId":"1107663036","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107663036","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627969162,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107663036?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 13:39","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"腾讯推出游戏未保“双减双打”新措施","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107663036","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"在刚刚结束的第19届中国国际数码互动娱乐展览会上，有关主管部门对全行业主动开展未成年保护工作、履行社会责任提出了更多希望与要求。$腾讯 $对此高度重视。为进一步加大保护力度，腾讯将从《王者荣耀》试点，逐步面向全线游戏推出“双减、双打、三提倡”的七条新举措。","content":"<p>在刚刚结束的第19届中国国际数码互动娱乐展览会上，有关主管部门对全行业主动开展未成年保护工作、履行社会责任提出了更多希望与要求。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>对此高度重视。尽管从2017年开始，我们通过不断升级未成年保护措施，平均每天对580万个帐号进行登录和支付环节限制，但深感任重道远。为进一步加大保护力度，腾讯将从《王者荣耀》试点，逐步面向全线游戏推出“双减、双打、三提倡”的七条新举措。</p>\n<p>双减：</p>\n<p>1、减时长：将执行比政策要求更严厉的未成年用户在线时长限制，非节假日从1.5小时降低至1小时，节假日从3小时减到2小时。</p>\n<p>2、减充值：未满12周岁未成年人（“小学生”）禁止在游戏内消费。</p>\n<p>双打：</p>\n<p>1、打击身份冒用：针对未成年人冒充成年人游戏的情况，将原来的“零点巡查”升级为“全天巡查”，可疑账户全部重新认证。</p>\n<p>2、打击作弊：积极配合政策，打击用户通过加速器登陆及部分第三方平台买卖成年人帐号的行为。</p>\n<p>三倡议：</p>\n<p>1、倡议全行业进一步强化游戏防沉迷系统，控制未成年人游戏总时长。</p>\n<p>2、倡议深化对游戏适龄评定和实施机制的研究。</p>\n<p>3、倡议全行业讨论全面禁止未满12周岁小学生进入游戏的可行性。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22b887d7aea1bbdecfb0d933de78111f\" 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n腾讯推出游戏未保“双减双打”新措施\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-03 13:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>在刚刚结束的第19届中国国际数码互动娱乐展览会上，有关主管部门对全行业主动开展未成年保护工作、履行社会责任提出了更多希望与要求。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>对此高度重视。尽管从2017年开始，我们通过不断升级未成年保护措施，平均每天对580万个帐号进行登录和支付环节限制，但深感任重道远。为进一步加大保护力度，腾讯将从《王者荣耀》试点，逐步面向全线游戏推出“双减、双打、三提倡”的七条新举措。</p>\n<p>双减：</p>\n<p>1、减时长：将执行比政策要求更严厉的未成年用户在线时长限制，非节假日从1.5小时降低至1小时，节假日从3小时减到2小时。</p>\n<p>2、减充值：未满12周岁未成年人（“小学生”）禁止在游戏内消费。</p>\n<p>双打：</p>\n<p>1、打击身份冒用：针对未成年人冒充成年人游戏的情况，将原来的“零点巡查”升级为“全天巡查”，可疑账户全部重新认证。</p>\n<p>2、打击作弊：积极配合政策，打击用户通过加速器登陆及部分第三方平台买卖成年人帐号的行为。</p>\n<p>三倡议：</p>\n<p>1、倡议全行业进一步强化游戏防沉迷系统，控制未成年人游戏总时长。</p>\n<p>2、倡议深化对游戏适龄评定和实施机制的研究。</p>\n<p>3、倡议全行业讨论全面禁止未满12周岁小学生进入游戏的可行性。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22b887d7aea1bbdecfb0d933de78111f\" tg-width=\"1113\" tg-height=\"1026\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7799eeb7043b8caaf3d109c3b13109e","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107663036","content_text":"在刚刚结束的第19届中国国际数码互动娱乐展览会上，有关主管部门对全行业主动开展未成年保护工作、履行社会责任提出了更多希望与要求。\n腾讯对此高度重视。尽管从2017年开始，我们通过不断升级未成年保护措施，平均每天对580万个帐号进行登录和支付环节限制，但深感任重道远。为进一步加大保护力度，腾讯将从《王者荣耀》试点，逐步面向全线游戏推出“双减、双打、三提倡”的七条新举措。\n双减：\n1、减时长：将执行比政策要求更严厉的未成年用户在线时长限制，非节假日从1.5小时降低至1小时，节假日从3小时减到2小时。\n2、减充值：未满12周岁未成年人（“小学生”）禁止在游戏内消费。\n双打：\n1、打击身份冒用：针对未成年人冒充成年人游戏的情况，将原来的“零点巡查”升级为“全天巡查”，可疑账户全部重新认证。\n2、打击作弊：积极配合政策，打击用户通过加速器登陆及部分第三方平台买卖成年人帐号的行为。\n三倡议：\n1、倡议全行业进一步强化游戏防沉迷系统，控制未成年人游戏总时长。\n2、倡议深化对游戏适龄评定和实施机制的研究。\n3、倡议全行业讨论全面禁止未满12周岁小学生进入游戏的可行性。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":806884812,"gmtCreate":1627649334236,"gmtModify":1627649334236,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"滴滴可能重新回归港股","listText":"滴滴可能重新回归港股","text":"滴滴可能重新回归港股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806884812","repostId":"1187761601","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":801370190,"gmtCreate":1627485005910,"gmtModify":1627485005910,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"涨起来还不是迟早的事","listText":"涨起来还不是迟早的事","text":"涨起来还不是迟早的事","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801370190","repostId":"1117872420","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117872420","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球第五大财经门户网站Investing.com中国官方微信，提供全球各国海量金融资讯和实时行情数据，包括股票股指、外汇、期货、基金、债券、加密货币等。关注全球金融市场动态的投资者千万不可错过。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"英为财情Investing","id":"92","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313"},"pubTimestamp":1627472509,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117872420?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 19:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纳斯达克梦向三万点，或在这一个十年？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117872420","media":"英为财情Investing","summary":"近期市场迎来美股财报季，苹果、特斯拉 、谷歌母公司等一个个靓丽的财报被披露，市场期待美股将继续上涨，甚至一度有纳斯达克指数冲上三万点的呼声。\n不过对于目前还在一万五千点附近徘徊的纳斯达克指数来说，站上","content":"<p>近期市场迎来美股财报季，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>母公司等一个个靓丽的财报被披露，市场期待美股将继续上涨，<b>甚至一度有纳斯达克指数冲上三万点的呼声</b>。</p>\n<p>不过对于目前还在一万五千点附近徘徊的纳斯达克指数来说，站上三万点无疑有些天方夜谭。但是如果你仔细研究一下过去的数据的话，纳指未来站上三万点或许并不是痴人说梦。</p>\n<p>在去年3月份的时候，纳斯达克指数还处于七千点下方。仅仅用了一年多的时间纳斯达克指数就翻了一倍来到了一万五千点。假如该指数继续以过去 12 个月的速度上涨的话，它将在短短两年内达到一个令人难以置信的里程碑——<b>三万点</b>！</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a4c8fc1297e84b4d3b550a54e7d7313\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>当然去年由于<b>疫情</b>的原因导致其处于低位，后面在市场的刺激下上涨速度较快。假如我们以纳斯达克指数在<b>过去五年中的回报速度</b>为基准，纳斯达克到达三万点的速度也只会略微增加到3.3 年。</p>\n<p>但是我们如果再次扩大时间线，回到互联网泡沫之前的峰值，以<b>过去21年的增速</b>为基准，纳斯达克指数就还需要14年才能到达三万点。</p>\n<p>所以，假如我们不考虑现阶段的各种因素，比如市场是否被高估，当前利率环境和财政政策等，只是简单的按照过去的涨跌幅来推断未来，那么我们需要尽可能多的回顾过去。就美国股市而言，数据至少可以追溯到1793年。</p>\n<p>由圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授Edward McQuarrie提供的数据库显示，自 1793 年以来的整体市场年化回报率比通胀率高 6.1%；而根据克利夫兰联储的数据模型显示，未来十年的通胀预期为1.6%，<b>则整体市场的回报率为7.7%</b>。</p>\n<p>根据Ken French教授自 1926 年以来关于大盘增长板块表现的数据（该板块与纳斯达克综合指数的股票最接近），<b>纳斯达克综合指数相对于整体市场的回报要低0.1%</b>。</p>\n<p>也就是说，<b>未来几年纳斯达克的名义回报率仅为7.6%</b>，这远低于纳斯达克综合指数过去 12 个月 41.8% 的回报率，也低于过去五年 23.8% 的年化回报率。</p>\n<p>世界上没有只涨不跌的东西，该贪婪的时候要贪婪，该恐惧的时候更要恐惧。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>纳斯达克梦向三万点，或在这一个十年？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n纳斯达克梦向三万点，或在这一个十年？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/92\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">英为财情Investing </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-28 19:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>近期市场迎来美股财报季，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>母公司等一个个靓丽的财报被披露，市场期待美股将继续上涨，<b>甚至一度有纳斯达克指数冲上三万点的呼声</b>。</p>\n<p>不过对于目前还在一万五千点附近徘徊的纳斯达克指数来说，站上三万点无疑有些天方夜谭。但是如果你仔细研究一下过去的数据的话，纳指未来站上三万点或许并不是痴人说梦。</p>\n<p>在去年3月份的时候，纳斯达克指数还处于七千点下方。仅仅用了一年多的时间纳斯达克指数就翻了一倍来到了一万五千点。假如该指数继续以过去 12 个月的速度上涨的话，它将在短短两年内达到一个令人难以置信的里程碑——<b>三万点</b>！</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a4c8fc1297e84b4d3b550a54e7d7313\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>当然去年由于<b>疫情</b>的原因导致其处于低位，后面在市场的刺激下上涨速度较快。假如我们以纳斯达克指数在<b>过去五年中的回报速度</b>为基准，纳斯达克到达三万点的速度也只会略微增加到3.3 年。</p>\n<p>但是我们如果再次扩大时间线，回到互联网泡沫之前的峰值，以<b>过去21年的增速</b>为基准，纳斯达克指数就还需要14年才能到达三万点。</p>\n<p>所以，假如我们不考虑现阶段的各种因素，比如市场是否被高估，当前利率环境和财政政策等，只是简单的按照过去的涨跌幅来推断未来，那么我们需要尽可能多的回顾过去。就美国股市而言，数据至少可以追溯到1793年。</p>\n<p>由圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授Edward McQuarrie提供的数据库显示，自 1793 年以来的整体市场年化回报率比通胀率高 6.1%；而根据克利夫兰联储的数据模型显示，未来十年的通胀预期为1.6%，<b>则整体市场的回报率为7.7%</b>。</p>\n<p>根据Ken French教授自 1926 年以来关于大盘增长板块表现的数据（该板块与纳斯达克综合指数的股票最接近），<b>纳斯达克综合指数相对于整体市场的回报要低0.1%</b>。</p>\n<p>也就是说，<b>未来几年纳斯达克的名义回报率仅为7.6%</b>，这远低于纳斯达克综合指数过去 12 个月 41.8% 的回报率，也低于过去五年 23.8% 的年化回报率。</p>\n<p>世界上没有只涨不跌的东西，该贪婪的时候要贪婪，该恐惧的时候更要恐惧。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","03086":"华夏纳指","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117872420","content_text":"近期市场迎来美股财报季，苹果、特斯拉 、谷歌母公司等一个个靓丽的财报被披露，市场期待美股将继续上涨，甚至一度有纳斯达克指数冲上三万点的呼声。\n不过对于目前还在一万五千点附近徘徊的纳斯达克指数来说，站上三万点无疑有些天方夜谭。但是如果你仔细研究一下过去的数据的话，纳指未来站上三万点或许并不是痴人说梦。\n在去年3月份的时候，纳斯达克指数还处于七千点下方。仅仅用了一年多的时间纳斯达克指数就翻了一倍来到了一万五千点。假如该指数继续以过去 12 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>大会中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>创始人李彦宏表示：智能汽车未来更像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>，或者说，未来主流机器人的长相，更像智能汽车，百度的智能汽车正在研发当中，预计2023年和大家见面。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/381de823e7e45a2319c3f9f332b1afb6","relate_stocks":{"161033":"智能汽车","399432":"智能汽车","09888":"百度集团-SW","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BIDU":"百度"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116104328","content_text":"7月8日讯，在2021世界人工智能大会中，百度创始人李彦宏表示：智能汽车未来更像机器人，或者说，未来主流机器人的长相，更像智能汽车，百度的智能汽车正在研发当中，预计2023年和大家见面。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1049,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":141839692,"gmtCreate":1625845495316,"gmtModify":1625845495316,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"跟着政策走，总归没错.","listText":"跟着政策走，总归没错.","text":"跟着政策走，总归没错.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141839692","repostId":"2150682378","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2150682378","pubTimestamp":1625814142,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2150682378?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 15:02","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"时代轮替的缩影？宁德时代掌门人身家超过了马云","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150682378","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"曾毓群首次成为亚洲最富有的五人之一。","content":"<p>福布斯富豪榜的实时榜单显示，全球最大电动汽车电池制造商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>的创始人曾毓群身家已达到495亿美元，全球财富排名第25位。</p>\n<p>这超过了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>创始人马云481亿美元的身家，并使曾毓群首次成为亚洲最富有的五人之一。</p>\n<p><b>全球清洁能源的热潮</b></p>\n<p>宁德时代是全球领先的锂离子研发制造公司，专注于新能源汽车动力电池系统、储能系统的研发、生产和销售，客户包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、奔驰、宝马等众多企业，最后一次创业的雷军也曾于5月份拜访宁德时代，商讨电池供应问题。</p>\n<p>宁德时代的客户几乎囊括了汽车领域的前十企业，经营利润也是逐年高增，股价更是爆炸性上升。</p>\n<p>随着电动汽车需求的增加、各国努力减少碳排放和成本的下降，自2018年宁德时代在深圳上市以来，其股价已飙升逾20倍，仅今年就上涨了59%。</p>\n<p>宁德时代市值目前突破1.28万亿，位居A股总市值第5位。</p>\n<p>我国力争二氧化碳排放量于2030年前达到峰值，在2060年实现碳中和目标，已经在全球电动汽车销售市场中处于领先地位。根据中国乘用车协会的数据，2020年中国电动汽车销量增长9.8%至111万辆。</p>\n<p>SNE Research的一份报告显示，今年前五个月，全球电动汽车电池销量较去年同比增长一倍以上，其中宁德时代市场份额最大，占31.2%。</p>\n<p>这场清洁能源热潮推高了宁德时代等特斯拉主要供应商的股价，也使得他们积累了巨额的财富。</p>\n<p>3年前，宁德时代刚刚上市的时候，很多人可能未曾料到锂电池这个行业前景如此巨大，没有意识到新能源汽车未来会取代传统燃油车。</p>\n<p><b>发展前景或将继续广阔</b></p>\n<p>值得注意的是，曾毓群并不是唯一一位受益于宁德时代股价飙升的亿万富翁。公司副董事长黄世林身家已超过210亿美元，而副董事长李平身家85亿美元。</p>\n<p>随着曾毓群的事业平步青云，马云的星途却逐渐衰落，今年他的财富损失了25亿美元。</p>\n<p>据彭博报道，清华大学NIFR全球家族企业研究中心主任高昊表示：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 过去亿万富翁排名由房地产大亨和科技企业家主导，现在更多来自新能源领域。作为电动汽车电池的行业领导者，宁德时代将从碳中和目标中受益最大。\n</blockquote>\n<p>彭博预计，得益于规模经济、具有成本竞争力的上游供应链和稳固的客户基础，宁德时代的全球销售额将继续增长。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601995\">中金公司</a>近日发布报告称，宁德时代此次与特斯拉的协议较之前合作力度更大，考虑到公司下游需求超预期，上调宁德时代的盈利预测，并将目标价调升9%至600元人民币。分析师曾韬等在报告中指出，此次协议未约定中国市场，意味着宁德时代将以配合特斯拉全球市场供应为契机，推动产品加速走向全球。全球需求提振下，宁德远期全球市场份额有望达到30%以上。</p>\n<p>从长期发展的角度来看，宁德时代能否抓住当前的机遇，赶快实现全产业的覆盖，乃至于产业上下游市场的拓展，真正让市场的预期和市场的空间进行一次全面的匹配，让业绩来说话，可能才是宁德时代必须立刻解决的问题。</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>时代轮替的缩影？宁德时代掌门人身家超过了马云</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n时代轮替的缩影？宁德时代掌门人身家超过了马云\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-09 15:02 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3634987><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>福布斯富豪榜的实时榜单显示，全球最大电动汽车电池制造商宁德时代的创始人曾毓群身家已达到495亿美元，全球财富排名第25位。\n这超过了阿里巴巴创始人马云481亿美元的身家，并使曾毓群首次成为亚洲最富有的五人之一。\n全球清洁能源的热潮\n宁德时代是全球领先的锂离子研发制造公司，专注于新能源汽车动力电池系统、储能系统的研发、生产和销售，客户包括特斯拉、奔驰、宝马等众多企业，最后一次创业的雷军也曾于5月份...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3634987\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4781a43b3aa306dd3d778e1dbf292b9","relate_stocks":{"300750":"宁德时代","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3634987","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150682378","content_text":"福布斯富豪榜的实时榜单显示，全球最大电动汽车电池制造商宁德时代的创始人曾毓群身家已达到495亿美元，全球财富排名第25位。\n这超过了阿里巴巴创始人马云481亿美元的身家，并使曾毓群首次成为亚洲最富有的五人之一。\n全球清洁能源的热潮\n宁德时代是全球领先的锂离子研发制造公司，专注于新能源汽车动力电池系统、储能系统的研发、生产和销售，客户包括特斯拉、奔驰、宝马等众多企业，最后一次创业的雷军也曾于5月份拜访宁德时代，商讨电池供应问题。\n宁德时代的客户几乎囊括了汽车领域的前十企业，经营利润也是逐年高增，股价更是爆炸性上升。\n随着电动汽车需求的增加、各国努力减少碳排放和成本的下降，自2018年宁德时代在深圳上市以来，其股价已飙升逾20倍，仅今年就上涨了59%。\n宁德时代市值目前突破1.28万亿，位居A股总市值第5位。\n我国力争二氧化碳排放量于2030年前达到峰值，在2060年实现碳中和目标，已经在全球电动汽车销售市场中处于领先地位。根据中国乘用车协会的数据，2020年中国电动汽车销量增长9.8%至111万辆。\nSNE Research的一份报告显示，今年前五个月，全球电动汽车电池销量较去年同比增长一倍以上，其中宁德时代市场份额最大，占31.2%。\n这场清洁能源热潮推高了宁德时代等特斯拉主要供应商的股价，也使得他们积累了巨额的财富。\n3年前，宁德时代刚刚上市的时候，很多人可能未曾料到锂电池这个行业前景如此巨大，没有意识到新能源汽车未来会取代传统燃油车。\n发展前景或将继续广阔\n值得注意的是，曾毓群并不是唯一一位受益于宁德时代股价飙升的亿万富翁。公司副董事长黄世林身家已超过210亿美元，而副董事长李平身家85亿美元。\n随着曾毓群的事业平步青云，马云的星途却逐渐衰落，今年他的财富损失了25亿美元。\n据彭博报道，清华大学NIFR全球家族企业研究中心主任高昊表示：\n\n 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EZGO\">$易电行(EZGO)$</a>垃圾股，上市就拉高砸死你，中概股就是这么不靠谱。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EZGO\">$易电行(EZGO)$</a>垃圾股，上市就拉高砸死你，中概股就是这么不靠谱。","text":"$易电行(EZGO)$垃圾股，上市就拉高砸死你，中概股就是这么不靠谱。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/381490234","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316228095,"gmtCreate":1611934240217,"gmtModify":1703756718844,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRPAU\">$Big Rock Partners Acquisition Corp(BRPAU)$</a>啥妖股","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRPAU\">$Big Rock Partners Acquisition Corp(BRPAU)$</a>啥妖股","text":"$Big Rock Partners Acquisition Corp(BRPAU)$啥妖股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316228095","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":801370190,"gmtCreate":1627485005910,"gmtModify":1627485005910,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"涨起来还不是迟早的事","listText":"涨起来还不是迟早的事","text":"涨起来还不是迟早的事","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801370190","repostId":"1117872420","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117872420","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球第五大财经门户网站Investing.com中国官方微信，提供全球各国海量金融资讯和实时行情数据，包括股票股指、外汇、期货、基金、债券、加密货币等。关注全球金融市场动态的投资者千万不可错过。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"英为财情Investing","id":"92","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313"},"pubTimestamp":1627472509,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117872420?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 19:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纳斯达克梦向三万点，或在这一个十年？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117872420","media":"英为财情Investing","summary":"近期市场迎来美股财报季，苹果、特斯拉 、谷歌母公司等一个个靓丽的财报被披露，市场期待美股将继续上涨，甚至一度有纳斯达克指数冲上三万点的呼声。\n不过对于目前还在一万五千点附近徘徊的纳斯达克指数来说，站上","content":"<p>近期市场迎来美股财报季，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>母公司等一个个靓丽的财报被披露，市场期待美股将继续上涨，<b>甚至一度有纳斯达克指数冲上三万点的呼声</b>。</p>\n<p>不过对于目前还在一万五千点附近徘徊的纳斯达克指数来说，站上三万点无疑有些天方夜谭。但是如果你仔细研究一下过去的数据的话，纳指未来站上三万点或许并不是痴人说梦。</p>\n<p>在去年3月份的时候，纳斯达克指数还处于七千点下方。仅仅用了一年多的时间纳斯达克指数就翻了一倍来到了一万五千点。假如该指数继续以过去 12 个月的速度上涨的话，它将在短短两年内达到一个令人难以置信的里程碑——<b>三万点</b>！</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a4c8fc1297e84b4d3b550a54e7d7313\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>当然去年由于<b>疫情</b>的原因导致其处于低位，后面在市场的刺激下上涨速度较快。假如我们以纳斯达克指数在<b>过去五年中的回报速度</b>为基准，纳斯达克到达三万点的速度也只会略微增加到3.3 年。</p>\n<p>但是我们如果再次扩大时间线，回到互联网泡沫之前的峰值，以<b>过去21年的增速</b>为基准，纳斯达克指数就还需要14年才能到达三万点。</p>\n<p>所以，假如我们不考虑现阶段的各种因素，比如市场是否被高估，当前利率环境和财政政策等，只是简单的按照过去的涨跌幅来推断未来，那么我们需要尽可能多的回顾过去。就美国股市而言，数据至少可以追溯到1793年。</p>\n<p>由圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授Edward McQuarrie提供的数据库显示，自 1793 年以来的整体市场年化回报率比通胀率高 6.1%；而根据克利夫兰联储的数据模型显示，未来十年的通胀预期为1.6%，<b>则整体市场的回报率为7.7%</b>。</p>\n<p>根据Ken French教授自 1926 年以来关于大盘增长板块表现的数据（该板块与纳斯达克综合指数的股票最接近），<b>纳斯达克综合指数相对于整体市场的回报要低0.1%</b>。</p>\n<p>也就是说，<b>未来几年纳斯达克的名义回报率仅为7.6%</b>，这远低于纳斯达克综合指数过去 12 个月 41.8% 的回报率，也低于过去五年 23.8% 的年化回报率。</p>\n<p>世界上没有只涨不跌的东西，该贪婪的时候要贪婪，该恐惧的时候更要恐惧。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>纳斯达克梦向三万点，或在这一个十年？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n纳斯达克梦向三万点，或在这一个十年？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/92\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">英为财情Investing </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-28 19:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>近期市场迎来美股财报季，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>母公司等一个个靓丽的财报被披露，市场期待美股将继续上涨，<b>甚至一度有纳斯达克指数冲上三万点的呼声</b>。</p>\n<p>不过对于目前还在一万五千点附近徘徊的纳斯达克指数来说，站上三万点无疑有些天方夜谭。但是如果你仔细研究一下过去的数据的话，纳指未来站上三万点或许并不是痴人说梦。</p>\n<p>在去年3月份的时候，纳斯达克指数还处于七千点下方。仅仅用了一年多的时间纳斯达克指数就翻了一倍来到了一万五千点。假如该指数继续以过去 12 个月的速度上涨的话，它将在短短两年内达到一个令人难以置信的里程碑——<b>三万点</b>！</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a4c8fc1297e84b4d3b550a54e7d7313\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>当然去年由于<b>疫情</b>的原因导致其处于低位，后面在市场的刺激下上涨速度较快。假如我们以纳斯达克指数在<b>过去五年中的回报速度</b>为基准，纳斯达克到达三万点的速度也只会略微增加到3.3 年。</p>\n<p>但是我们如果再次扩大时间线，回到互联网泡沫之前的峰值，以<b>过去21年的增速</b>为基准，纳斯达克指数就还需要14年才能到达三万点。</p>\n<p>所以，假如我们不考虑现阶段的各种因素，比如市场是否被高估，当前利率环境和财政政策等，只是简单的按照过去的涨跌幅来推断未来，那么我们需要尽可能多的回顾过去。就美国股市而言，数据至少可以追溯到1793年。</p>\n<p>由圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授Edward McQuarrie提供的数据库显示，自 1793 年以来的整体市场年化回报率比通胀率高 6.1%；而根据克利夫兰联储的数据模型显示，未来十年的通胀预期为1.6%，<b>则整体市场的回报率为7.7%</b>。</p>\n<p>根据Ken French教授自 1926 年以来关于大盘增长板块表现的数据（该板块与纳斯达克综合指数的股票最接近），<b>纳斯达克综合指数相对于整体市场的回报要低0.1%</b>。</p>\n<p>也就是说，<b>未来几年纳斯达克的名义回报率仅为7.6%</b>，这远低于纳斯达克综合指数过去 12 个月 41.8% 的回报率，也低于过去五年 23.8% 的年化回报率。</p>\n<p>世界上没有只涨不跌的东西，该贪婪的时候要贪婪，该恐惧的时候更要恐惧。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","03086":"华夏纳指","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117872420","content_text":"近期市场迎来美股财报季，苹果、特斯拉 、谷歌母公司等一个个靓丽的财报被披露，市场期待美股将继续上涨，甚至一度有纳斯达克指数冲上三万点的呼声。\n不过对于目前还在一万五千点附近徘徊的纳斯达克指数来说，站上三万点无疑有些天方夜谭。但是如果你仔细研究一下过去的数据的话，纳指未来站上三万点或许并不是痴人说梦。\n在去年3月份的时候，纳斯达克指数还处于七千点下方。仅仅用了一年多的时间纳斯达克指数就翻了一倍来到了一万五千点。假如该指数继续以过去 12 个月的速度上涨的话，它将在短短两年内达到一个令人难以置信的里程碑——三万点！\n\n当然去年由于疫情的原因导致其处于低位，后面在市场的刺激下上涨速度较快。假如我们以纳斯达克指数在过去五年中的回报速度为基准，纳斯达克到达三万点的速度也只会略微增加到3.3 年。\n但是我们如果再次扩大时间线，回到互联网泡沫之前的峰值，以过去21年的增速为基准，纳斯达克指数就还需要14年才能到达三万点。\n所以，假如我们不考虑现阶段的各种因素，比如市场是否被高估，当前利率环境和财政政策等，只是简单的按照过去的涨跌幅来推断未来，那么我们需要尽可能多的回顾过去。就美国股市而言，数据至少可以追溯到1793年。\n由圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授Edward McQuarrie提供的数据库显示，自 1793 年以来的整体市场年化回报率比通胀率高 6.1%；而根据克利夫兰联储的数据模型显示，未来十年的通胀预期为1.6%，则整体市场的回报率为7.7%。\n根据Ken French教授自 1926 年以来关于大盘增长板块表现的数据（该板块与纳斯达克综合指数的股票最接近），纳斯达克综合指数相对于整体市场的回报要低0.1%。\n也就是说，未来几年纳斯达克的名义回报率仅为7.6%，这远低于纳斯达克综合指数过去 12 个月 41.8% 的回报率，也低于过去五年 23.8% 的年化回报率。\n世界上没有只涨不跌的东西，该贪婪的时候要贪婪，该恐惧的时候更要恐惧。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256507185504488,"gmtCreate":1703642924224,"gmtModify":1703642925789,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没有及时调仓，应该坚持自己看好的股","listText":"没有及时调仓，应该坚持自己看好的股","text":"没有及时调仓，应该坚持自己看好的股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256507185504488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662416174,"gmtCreate":1666694887499,"gmtModify":1666694891315,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"通关之日也就是重启之时","listText":"通关之日也就是重启之时","text":"通关之日也就是重启之时","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662416174","repostId":"1146432244","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857953864,"gmtCreate":1635503703969,"gmtModify":1635503703969,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有空追明星确实是太闲","listText":"有空追明星确实是太闲","text":"有空追明星确实是太闲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857953864","repostId":"1125292420","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125292420","pubTimestamp":1635481480,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125292420?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 12:24","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"中央宣传部、国家广电总局约谈4省市广播电视台","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125292420","media":"新华网","summary":"各卫视频道不同程度存在过度娱乐化、追星炒星等问题，必须坚决整改。","content":"<div>\n<p>新华社北京10月29日电  10月29日，中央宣传部、国家广电总局就卫视节目存在的过度娱乐化问题，对上海、江苏、浙江、湖南广播电视台进行约谈，4省市党委宣传部参加。\n约谈指出，近年来，4省市广播电视台积极推动媒体深度融合发展，在弘扬主流价值观、传播正能量方面作出了积极贡献。但各卫视频道也不同程度存在过度娱乐化、追星炒星等问题，必须坚决整改。\n约谈强调，4省市广播电视台要深入开展文娱领域综合治理工作...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.news.cn/politics/2021-10/29/c_1128009277.htm\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"xhw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中央宣传部、国家广电总局约谈4省市广播电视台</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中央宣传部、国家广电总局约谈4省市广播电视台\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-29 12:24 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.news.cn/politics/2021-10/29/c_1128009277.htm><strong>新华网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新华社北京10月29日电  10月29日，中央宣传部、国家广电总局就卫视节目存在的过度娱乐化问题，对上海、江苏、浙江、湖南广播电视台进行约谈，4省市党委宣传部参加。\n约谈指出，近年来，4省市广播电视台积极推动媒体深度融合发展，在弘扬主流价值观、传播正能量方面作出了积极贡献。但各卫视频道也不同程度存在过度娱乐化、追星炒星等问题，必须坚决整改。\n约谈强调，4省市广播电视台要深入开展文娱领域综合治理工作...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.news.cn/politics/2021-10/29/c_1128009277.htm\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3397c06631b3768f61f6d02f1985f93","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"http://www.news.cn/politics/2021-10/29/c_1128009277.htm","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125292420","content_text":"新华社北京10月29日电  10月29日，中央宣传部、国家广电总局就卫视节目存在的过度娱乐化问题，对上海、江苏、浙江、湖南广播电视台进行约谈，4省市党委宣传部参加。\n约谈指出，近年来，4省市广播电视台积极推动媒体深度融合发展，在弘扬主流价值观、传播正能量方面作出了积极贡献。但各卫视频道也不同程度存在过度娱乐化、追星炒星等问题，必须坚决整改。\n约谈强调，4省市广播电视台要深入开展文娱领域综合治理工作，坚持政治家办台，坚持社会效益优先，大力弘扬社会主义核心价值观，更加聚焦新时代火热生活，聚焦新时代奋斗者、劳动者，当好省级广电转型发展排头兵。\n4省市广播电视台表示，要认真落实约谈要求，全面加强整改，加快转型发展，用更多高品质的电视节目丰富和引领人民群众的高质量精神文化生活。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":898683334,"gmtCreate":1628492949628,"gmtModify":1628492949628,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","listText":"踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","text":"踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898683334","repostId":"1106778750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1959,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":898680561,"gmtCreate":1628492804353,"gmtModify":1628492804353,"author":{"id":"3574049767140562","authorId":"3574049767140562","name":"半山畔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be4cce76e69cee47a2c29648da513952","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574049767140562","authorIdStr":"3574049767140562"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"d报下的踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","listText":"d报下的踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","text":"d报下的踏浪青年文章对这次事件说的挺狠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898680561","repostId":"1106778750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}