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TheNoobish
2021-04-26
Hi
What to watch in the markets this week
TheNoobish
2021-04-16
Oi
Dow jumps 300 points to top 34,000 for the first time amid blowout economic data
TheNoobish
2021-03-22
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TheNoobish
2021-03-21
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TheNoobish
2021-03-21
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Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next
TheNoobish
2021-03-21
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TheNoobish
2021-03-21
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Powell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’
TheNoobish
2021-03-20
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TheNoobish
2021-03-20
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TheNoobish
2021-03-19
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Value stocks are so in favor they’ve become momentum stocks
TheNoobish
2021-03-19
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Coupang Is Not A Buy - At Least Not Right Now
TheNoobish
2021-03-18
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Disneyland to reopen on April 30, Disney CEO Bob Chapek says
TheNoobish
2021-03-18
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TheNoobish
2021-03-17
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TheNoobish
2021-03-17
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TheNoobish
2021-03-17
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TheNoobish
2021-03-16
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TheNoobish
2021-03-15
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Disney: What Is Disney+ Really Worth To Shareholders
TheNoobish
2021-03-13
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Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.
TheNoobish
2021-03-13
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US Daylight Saving Time
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10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to watch in the markets this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184404050","media":"CNBC","summary":"The last week of April will be extremely busy for markets with a third of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, and new spending and tax proposals from the White House.Big Tech is a highlight of the earnings calendar, with Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook and Alphabet all releasing results.The Fed is not expected to take any action, but economists expect it to defend its policy to let inflation run hot.There is some key data including first-quarter gross domestic product a","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThe last week of April will be extremely busy for markets with a third of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, and new spending and tax proposals from the White House....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/taxes-and-inflation-will-be-key-themes-for-markets-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to watch in the markets this week</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to watch in the markets this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-25 10:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/taxes-and-inflation-will-be-key-themes-for-markets-in-the-week-ahead.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThe last week of April will be extremely busy for markets with a third of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, and new spending and tax proposals from the White House....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/taxes-and-inflation-will-be-key-themes-for-markets-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌",".DJI":"道琼斯","GOOGL":"谷歌A","TSLA":"特斯拉","AMZN":"亚马逊",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/taxes-and-inflation-will-be-key-themes-for-markets-in-the-week-ahead.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1184404050","content_text":"KEY POINTSThe last week of April will be extremely busy for markets with a third of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, and new spending and tax proposals from the White House.Big Tech is a highlight of the earnings calendar, with Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook and Alphabet all releasing results.The Fed is not expected to take any action, but economists expect it to defend its policy to let inflation run hot.There is some key data including first-quarter gross domestic product and the Fed’s favorite inflation measure: the personal consumption expenditures deflator.The final week of April is going to be a busy one for markets with a Federal Reserve meeting and a deluge of earnings news.Hot topics in markets will continue to be inflation and taxes.President Joe Biden is expected to detail his “American Families Plan” and the tax increases to pay for it, including a much higher capital gains tax for the wealthy.The plan is the second part of his Build Back Better agenda and will include new spending proposals aimed at helping families. The president addresses a joint session of Congress Wednesday evening.It’s a huge week for earnings with about a third of the S&P 500 reporting, including Big Tech names, such as Apple,Microsoft,Alphabet and Amazon.As many have already done, firms like Boeing, Ford,Caterpillar and McDonald’s, are likely to detail cost pressures they are facing from rising materials and transportation costs and supply chain disruptions.At the same time, the Fed is expected to defend its policy of letting inflation run hot, while assuring markets it sees the pick-up in prices as only temporary. The central bank meets on Tuesday and Wednesday.The central bank takes the main stage“I think the Fed would like not to be a feature next week, but the Fed will be forced from the background because of concerns about inflation,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at Grant Thornton.The central bank is not expected to make any policy moves, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press briefing following the meeting Wednesday will be closely watched.So far, the barrage of earnings news has been positive, with 86% of companies reporting earnings beats. Corporate profits are expected to be up about 33.9% for the first quarter, based on estimates and actual reports, according to Refinitiv. Revenues are about 9.9% higher.There is important inflation data Friday when the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is reported.The personal consumption expenditure report is expected to show a 1.8% rise in core inflation, still below the Fed’s target of 2%. Other data releases include the first-quarter gross domestic product on Thursday, which is expected to have grown by 6.5%, according to Dow Jones.“I think the Fed has no urgency to shift monetary policy at this point,” said Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO. “The Fed needs to acknowledge that the data is improving. We had a strong first quarter.”“The Fed needs to acknowledge that but at the same time they’re keeping extremely accommodative policy in place, so they’ll have to make a note to the fact that the easy policy is warranted,” he said.Lyngen said the Fed will likely point to continued concerns about the pandemic globally as a potential risk to the economic recovery.Powell is also expected to once more explain that the Fed will let inflation rise above its 2% target for a period of time before it raises rates so that the economy can have more time to heal. “It’s going to be a challenge for the Fed,” said Swonk.The base effects for the next several months will make inflation appear to have jumped sharply because of the comparison to a weak period last year. The consumer price index for April could be above 3%, compared to 2.6% last month, Swonk added.“The Fed is trying to let a lot more people get out onto the dance floor before it calls ‘last call,’” she said. “Really what Powell has been saying since day one is if we take care of people on the margins and bring them back into the labor force, the rest will take care of itself.”Stocks were slightly lower in the past week, and Treasury yields held at lower levels. The 10-year yield,which moves opposite price, was at 1.55% Friday.The S&P 500was down 0.1%, ending the week at 4,180, while Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 0.3% at 14,016. The Dow was off just shy of 0.5% at 34,043.Tax hike prospectsStocks were hit hard on Thursday when after a news report said that Biden is expected to propose a capital gains tax rate of 39.6% for people earning more than $1 million a year.Combined with the 3.8% net investment income tax, the new levy would more than double the long term capital gains rate of 20% or the richest Americans.Strategists said Biden is expected to propose raising the income tax rate for those earning more than $400,000.“I think a lot of people are starting to price in the risk there going to be a significant increase in both corporate and capital gains taxes,” said Lyngen.So far, companies have not provided much in the way of commentary on the proposed hike in corporate taxes to 28% from 21% but they have been talking about other costs.David Bianco, chief investment strategist for the Americas at DWS, said he expects larger companies will do better dealing with supply chain constraints than smaller ones. Big Tech is also likely to fare better during the semiconductor shortage than auto makers, which have already announced production shutdowns, he said.“Next week is tech week. I think we’re going to get down on our knees and just be in awe of their business models and their ability to grow at a behemoth scale,” Bianco said.He said he’s not in favor of Wall Street’s popular trade into cyclicals and out of growth. He still favors growth.“We’re overweight equities really because we’re concerned about rising interest rates,” Bianco said. “I’m not bullish in that I expect the market to rise that much from here.”“We stuck with growth and dug deeper into bond substitutes, utilities, staples, real estate,” he said, adding he is underweight industrials, energy and materials. “Energy is doomed. It’s being nationalized via regulation. I do like industrials, they are well-run companies, but I do think infrastructure spending expectations for classic infrastructure are too high.”He also said industrials are good businesses, but the stocks have become overvalued.Bianco said he likes big box stores, but smaller retailers are facing big challenges that were already impacting them prior to Covid. He also finds small biotech firms attractive.“I like healthcare stocks. Those valuations are reasonable. People have been paranoid about politicians beating on them since 1992. They manage through it and lately they’ve been delivering,” he said.Week ahead calendarMondayEarnings:Tesla,Canadian National Railway, Canon,Check Point Software,Otis Worldwide, Vale,Ameriprise,NXP Semiconductor,Albertsons, Royal Phillips8:30 a.m. Durable goodsTuesdayFOMC begins two day meetingEarnings:Microsoft,Alphabet,Visa,Amgen,Advanced Micro Devices,3M,General Electric,Eli Lilly, Hasbro,United Parcel Service,BP,Novartis,JetBlue,Pultegroup,Archer Daniels Midland,Waste Management,Starbucks,Texas Instrument,Chubb,Mondelez,FireEye,Corning,Raytheon9:00 a.m. S&P/Case-Shiller9:00 a.m. FHFA home prices10:00 a.m. Consumer confidence10:00 a.m. Housing vacanciesWednesdayEarnings:Apple, Boeing,Facebook,Qualcomm,Ford,MGM Resorts,Humana,Norfolk Southern,General Dynamics,Boston Scientific, eBay, Samsung Electronics, GlaxoSmithKline,Yum Brands, SiriusXM, Aflac,Cheesecake Factory,Community Health System,CIT Group,Entergy,CME Group,Hess,Ryder System8:30 a.m. Advance economic indicators2:00 p.m. Fed statement2:30 p.m. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell briefingThursdayEarnings:Amazon,Caterpillar,McDonald’s,Twitter,Bristol-Myers Squibb,Comcast,Merck,Northrop Grumman, Airbus,Kraft Heinz,Intercontinental Exchange,Mastercard,Gilead Sciences,U.S. Steel, Cirrus Logic,Texas Roadhouse, Cabot Oil, PG&E,Royal Dutch Shell,Church & Dwight, Carlyle Group,Southern Co.8:30 a.m. Initial jobless claims8:30 a.m. Real GDP Q110:00 a.m. Pending home salesFridayEarnings:ExxonMobil,Chevron,Colgate-Palmolive,AstraZeneca,Clorox,Barclays, AbbVie, BNP Paribas,Weyerhaeuser,Illinois Tool Works, CBOE Global Markets, Lazard,Newell Brands,Aon,LyondellBasell,Pitney Bowes,Phillips 66,Charter Communications8:30 a.m. Personal income and spending8:30 a.m. Employment cost index Q19:45 a.m. Chicago PMI10:00 a.m. Consumer sentimentSaturdayEarnings:Berkshire Hathaway","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370034868,"gmtCreate":1618535400754,"gmtModify":1634292267585,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oi","listText":"Oi","text":"Oi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370034868","repostId":"1184470866","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184470866","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618530196,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184470866?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 07:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow jumps 300 points to top 34,000 for the first time amid blowout economic data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184470866","media":"CNBC","summary":"U.S. stocks climbed to record levels on Thursday after key companies reported strong earnings and fr","content":"<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks climbed to record levels on Thursday after key companies reported strong earnings and fresh economic data pointed to a rebound in consumer spending and the jobs market.\nThe Dow Jones ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/14/stock-futures-inch-higher-after-sp-500-retreats-from-record.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow jumps 300 points to top 34,000 for the first time amid blowout economic data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow jumps 300 points to top 34,000 for the first time amid blowout economic data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-16 07:43 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/14/stock-futures-inch-higher-after-sp-500-retreats-from-record.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks climbed to record levels on Thursday after key companies reported strong earnings and fresh economic data pointed to a rebound in consumer spending and the jobs market.\nThe Dow Jones ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/14/stock-futures-inch-higher-after-sp-500-retreats-from-record.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","NFLX":"奈飞","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/14/stock-futures-inch-higher-after-sp-500-retreats-from-record.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1184470866","content_text":"U.S. stocks climbed to record levels on Thursday after key companies reported strong earnings and fresh economic data pointed to a rebound in consumer spending and the jobs market.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 305.10 points, or 0.9%, to a record close of 34,035.99, marking the first time the blue-chip benchmark has crossed the 34,000 milestone. The S&P 500 gained 1.1% to 4,170.42, also reaching a record high. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.3% to 14,038.76.\nTechnology shares rebounded as bond yields fell. The so-called FAANG stocks – Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Alphabet – all climbed more than 1%. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped 8 basis points below 1.56%. Earlier in the year, higher rates caused investors to dump growth-oriented stocks.\nRetail sales surged 9.8% in March as additional stimulus sent consumer spending soaring, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. That number topped the Dow Jones estimate of a 6.1% gain.\nA separate report on Thursday showed that first-time filings for unemployment insurance dropped to the lowest level since March 2020. The Labor Department reported 576,000 new jobless claims for the week ended April 10. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a total of 710,000.\n“Although 34,000 by itself is just another number, this is a monumental feat when you think back to where we were last year at this time,” said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial. “The speed and resiliency of this economic recovery is unlike anything we’ve ever seen and it helps to justify stocks at all-time highs.”\nShares of UnitedHealth, a Dow member, gained 3.8% after results topped the Street’s forecasts and the health insurer raised guidance for 2021.\nPepsi shares added 0.1% after the consumer snack and drink maker said sales last quarter rose nearly 7%, topping estimates.\nThe market has been grinding higher to reach new records in recent sessions amid the economic reopening and trillions of dollars in stimulus. The S&P 500 has gained 11% in 2021 with energy and financials up the most year to date.\n“I am incredibly bullish on the markets, and you are right to be worried about our deficits,” Larry Fink, BlackRock CEO, said in an interview on “Squawk Box.”“If we don’t have economic growth that is sustainable over the next 10 years — our deficits are going to matter and they are going to elevate interest rates ... I believe because of monetary stimulus, fiscal stimulus, cash on the sidelines, earnings, markets are okay. Markets are going to continue to be stronger.”\nShares of Citigroup erased earlier gains and fell 0.5% The bank posted results that beat analysts’ estimates for first-quarter profit with strong investment banking revenue and a bigger-than-expected release of loan-loss reserves.\nBank of America shares rose as earnings last quarter blew past the Street on booming trading and investment banking results as well the release of loan-loss reserves. The shares dipped 2.9%, however.\nNewly public crypto exchange Coinbase rolled over and closed the day down 1.7% in volatile trading. The stock got a boost earlier after it was revealed Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood loaded up on the first day of trading.\nOn Tuesday, the Food and Drug Administration called for a pause in administering J&J’s Covid-19 vaccine after six people in the U.S. developed a rare disorder involving blood clots. The announcement triggered a sell-off in reopening plays earlier in the week, but is not expected to have a material impact on the pace of the U.S. vaccine rollout.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359853941,"gmtCreate":1616385121183,"gmtModify":1634526130427,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359853941","repostId":"1142823107","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359084127,"gmtCreate":1616301528769,"gmtModify":1634526420976,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please[开心] ","listText":"Like and comment please[开心] ","text":"Like and comment please[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359084127","repostId":"1103756496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359085069,"gmtCreate":1616301397851,"gmtModify":1634526422075,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359085069","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><blockquote>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><blockquote>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.</blockquote><p>The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><blockquote>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><blockquote>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b></blockquote><p>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><blockquote><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b></blockquote><p>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><blockquote>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...</blockquote><p>While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p>* * *</p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 22:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* * *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359082561,"gmtCreate":1616301380953,"gmtModify":1634526422421,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359082561","repostId":"1126157111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359082826,"gmtCreate":1616301335265,"gmtModify":1634526422769,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359082826","repostId":"1117450855","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117450855","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616166767,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117450855?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 23:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117450855","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.“The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration o","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”</p>\n<p>In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.</p>\n<p>“The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration of the fallout to avoid longer-run damage,” he said.</p>\n<p>Powell and his colleagues engineered a rapid response to the crisis, based on the lesson learned from slow recovery to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that swift action might have been better.</p>\n<p>The central bank quickly slashed its policy interest rate to zero and launched an open-ended asset purchase program known as quantitative easing.</p>\n<p>With economists penciling in strong growth for 2021 and more Americans getting vaccinated every day, financial markets are wondering how long Fed support will last.</p>\n<p>In the op-ed, Powell said the situation “is much improved.”</p>\n<p>“But the recovery is far from complete, so at the Fed we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes,” Powell said.</p>\n<p>“I truly believe that we will emerge from this crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before,” he said.</p>\n<p>On Wednesday, the Fed recommitted to its easy money policy stance at its latest policy meeting despite a forecast for stronger economic growth and higher inflation this year.</p>\n<p>The Fed chairman did not mention the outlook for inflation in his Friday article . Many on Wall Street are worried that the economy will overheat before the Fed pulls back its easy policy stance.</p>\n<p>Yields on the 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.734%have risen to 1.73% this week after starting the year below 1%.</p>\n<p>Stocks were trading lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.71%down 187 points in mid-morning trading.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 23:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-fed-will-keep-supporting-economy-for-as-long-as-it-takes-11616165178?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.\n\nFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-fed-will-keep-supporting-economy-for-as-long-as-it-takes-11616165178?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-fed-will-keep-supporting-economy-for-as-long-as-it-takes-11616165178?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1117450855","content_text":"Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.\n\nFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”\nIn an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.\n“The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration of the fallout to avoid longer-run damage,” he said.\nPowell and his colleagues engineered a rapid response to the crisis, based on the lesson learned from slow recovery to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that swift action might have been better.\nThe central bank quickly slashed its policy interest rate to zero and launched an open-ended asset purchase program known as quantitative easing.\nWith economists penciling in strong growth for 2021 and more Americans getting vaccinated every day, financial markets are wondering how long Fed support will last.\nIn the op-ed, Powell said the situation “is much improved.”\n“But the recovery is far from complete, so at the Fed we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes,” Powell said.\n“I truly believe that we will emerge from this crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before,” he said.\nOn Wednesday, the Fed recommitted to its easy money policy stance at its latest policy meeting despite a forecast for stronger economic growth and higher inflation this year.\nThe Fed chairman did not mention the outlook for inflation in his Friday article . Many on Wall Street are worried that the economy will overheat before the Fed pulls back its easy policy stance.\nYields on the 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.734%have risen to 1.73% this week after starting the year below 1%.\nStocks were trading lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.71%down 187 points in mid-morning trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350522520,"gmtCreate":1616235551260,"gmtModify":1634526625417,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心] ","listText":"[开心] ","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350522520","repostId":"1126157111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350522693,"gmtCreate":1616235506512,"gmtModify":1634526625539,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350522693","repostId":"1117450855","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":327741308,"gmtCreate":1616129815604,"gmtModify":1634527077319,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327741308","repostId":"1138262460","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138262460","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616124732,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138262460?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 11:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Value stocks are so in favor they’ve become momentum stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138262460","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"As investors continue to rotate their exposure into value sectors, stocks in that corner of the mark","content":"<p>As investors continue to rotate their exposure into value sectors, stocks in that corner of the market starting to take on characteristics of the momentum factor, an uncommon combination that bodes well for investors, said analysts at Alliance Bernstein in a research note out Wednesday.</p><p>“This is the holy grail of quant and Value investing!” the Bernstein analysts wrote.</p><p>Many investing models, they note, have been “built to overweight stocks where there is agreement between Value and Momentum – i.e. to overweight stocks which are cheap but which also have earnings momentum and/or price momentum. It was a very successful combination.”</p><p>Investors are currently in the midst of a rotation into stocks seen as offering value in terms of earnings or sales growth as the economy recovers from the coronavirus pandemic rotation and are paring exposure to stocks that rose sharply as they benefited from the work-from-home trend in the past year.</p><p>“It is being driven by the re-opening trade, and improving macro outlook, and is directly linked to continuously increasing nominal yields, a steepening yield curve and increasing inflation expectations. We are tactically long Value and think there is further to go,” the Alliance Bernstein analysts wrote.</p><p>Sectors that are benefitting now – that is, screening as both value and momentum – include autos, banks, energy, and materials. The energy, materials and financials sectors, as well as consumer discretionary, are the sectors with the largest increases in earnings estimates over the past six months. Share price performance is being driven by these earnings upgrades.</p><p>Specific stocks which fit the criteria as screening for both value and momentum — meaning they’re in the cheapest quintile for both Price to Book and 12-month Price Momentum — include Ford Motor Co.,PulteGroup,Baker Hughes Co.,Dupont de Nemours,and a host of financials, including KeyCorp,Fifth Third Bancorp,Regions Financial and Ally Financial Inc.</p><p>The Bernstein analysts note that the backdrop for this value rotation “is very different to any period in history. We are in a very different policy environment and possibly are at the start of a much bigger change in the inflation regime.”</p><p>Still, it’s worth drawing comparisons and distinctions between earlier value rotations, they add. The current one is the largest since 2009, which served as a rebound from the 2008 financial crisis.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Value stocks are so in favor they’ve become momentum stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nValue stocks are so in favor they’ve become momentum stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 11:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/value-stocks-are-so-in-favor-theyve-become-momentum-stocks-11616084864?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As investors continue to rotate their exposure into value sectors, stocks in that corner of the market starting to take on characteristics of the momentum factor, an uncommon combination that bodes ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/value-stocks-are-so-in-favor-theyve-become-momentum-stocks-11616084864?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/value-stocks-are-so-in-favor-theyve-become-momentum-stocks-11616084864?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1138262460","content_text":"As investors continue to rotate their exposure into value sectors, stocks in that corner of the market starting to take on characteristics of the momentum factor, an uncommon combination that bodes well for investors, said analysts at Alliance Bernstein in a research note out Wednesday.“This is the holy grail of quant and Value investing!” the Bernstein analysts wrote.Many investing models, they note, have been “built to overweight stocks where there is agreement between Value and Momentum – i.e. to overweight stocks which are cheap but which also have earnings momentum and/or price momentum. It was a very successful combination.”Investors are currently in the midst of a rotation into stocks seen as offering value in terms of earnings or sales growth as the economy recovers from the coronavirus pandemic rotation and are paring exposure to stocks that rose sharply as they benefited from the work-from-home trend in the past year.“It is being driven by the re-opening trade, and improving macro outlook, and is directly linked to continuously increasing nominal yields, a steepening yield curve and increasing inflation expectations. We are tactically long Value and think there is further to go,” the Alliance Bernstein analysts wrote.Sectors that are benefitting now – that is, screening as both value and momentum – include autos, banks, energy, and materials. The energy, materials and financials sectors, as well as consumer discretionary, are the sectors with the largest increases in earnings estimates over the past six months. Share price performance is being driven by these earnings upgrades.Specific stocks which fit the criteria as screening for both value and momentum — meaning they’re in the cheapest quintile for both Price to Book and 12-month Price Momentum — include Ford Motor Co.,PulteGroup,Baker Hughes Co.,Dupont de Nemours,and a host of financials, including KeyCorp,Fifth Third Bancorp,Regions Financial and Ally Financial Inc.The Bernstein analysts note that the backdrop for this value rotation “is very different to any period in history. We are in a very different policy environment and possibly are at the start of a much bigger change in the inflation regime.”Still, it’s worth drawing comparisons and distinctions between earlier value rotations, they add. The current one is the largest since 2009, which served as a rebound from the 2008 financial crisis.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327743515,"gmtCreate":1616129753537,"gmtModify":1634527077664,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心] ","listText":"[开心] ","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327743515","repostId":"1177979145","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177979145","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616126730,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177979145?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 12:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coupang Is Not A Buy - At Least Not Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177979145","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nCoupang is the Amazon of South Korea, making them a great long-term investment.\nCoupang is ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Coupang is the Amazon of South Korea, making them a great long-term investment.</li>\n <li>Coupang is a mix of Amazon, UPS, and Doordash.</li>\n <li>However, the stock rose over 40% opening day, making it a pass.</li>\n <li>Add to your watchlist to enter when tech stocks sell off further.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6007e02f2443cff3fc482b6093ae2fe4\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by LeoPatrizi/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<blockquote>\n How did I ever live without Coupang?\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n -Bom Suk Kim, Founder\n</blockquote>\n<p>Coupang (CPNG) is known to be the Amazon of South Korea - and for a good reason. They have dominated their home turf to become the top online retailer in the nation. While they are not identical to Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), their business model is similar in many ways, making CPNG an attractive investment for long-term investors.</p>\n<p>However, like recent tech IPOs that have seen 40%+ spikes on the first day of trading, CPNG is initially overpriced. However, I would argue they are an excellent long-term investment later in the year based on their competitive advantages.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29d4d846d6625dd56e0f232774597ae6\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"631\"><span>Source: S-1</span></p>\n<p>Brief Overview</p>\n<p>Coupang is an e-commerce platform similar to Amazon, where customers can purchase a wide variety of products with expedited shipping. They host over 200,000 merchants and hundreds of millions of SKU's providing customers with a wide variety of choices to suit their purchasing needs. The company wasfounded in 2010 by Bom Kim, the current CEO, who graduated from Harvard University and dropped out of Harvard Business School to start Coupang. Their culture is very customer-centric; throughout their S-1 is a relentless focus on making the customer happy. In an opening letter from Mr. Kim, he states, \"We want our customers to have it all,\" and \"Why force customers to choose between amazing service, low prices, and broad selection?\"</p>\n<p>Coupang received pre-IPO investments from prominent U.S. Hedge Fund managers Stanley Druckenmiller and Bill Ackman, who saw the potential of bringing the Amazon model to South Korea, where the e-commerce marketplace has been underserved. Coupang's rapid ascension is due in part to the South Korean market opportunity, which is the fourth-largest economy in Asia and the twelfth largest globally with a GDP of $1.6 trillion and GDP per capita of $31,847. Total e-commerce spend was $128 billion in 2019 and is expected to grow to $206 billion by 2024, equaling a CAGR of approximately 10%.</p>\n<p><b>Economic Moats</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n \"What we're trying to do, is we're trying to find a business with a wide and long-lasting moat around it, surrounded -- protecting a terrific economic castle with an honest lord in charge of the castle.\" -Warren Buffet.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Rocket WOW Membership</b></p>\n<p>Coupang has a membership program called Rocket WOW, similar to Prime, that provides unlimited free shipping with no minimums, free returns, and exclusive discounts. The cost is a mere $2.50 a month and being a part of this program also gives customers access to Rocket Dawn and Rocket Same-Day Delivery. With Rocket Dawn, if a customer places an order by midnight, even seconds before, they are promised arrival before7 am! Also, WOW members have access to two newer benefits in Rocket Fresh and Coupang Eats.</p>\n<p>Rocket Fresh provides Same-Day Delivery for fresh food such as vegetables, dairy, fruit, and meats. Since last year,Coupang has been the only e-commerce firm to deliver fresh foods directly to customer's doors in under 24 hours. Expedited shipping is vital for perishable foods, and with Coupangs massive distribution network, they can execute this type of delivery speed.</p>\n<p>Coupang Eats has piggybacked off Rocket Delivery by leveraging their technology and logistics to partner with independent restaurants to deliver food, similar to Doordash. Eats' success has become apparent by rising to the top as the largest online food delivery service in the nation.</p>\n<p>These value-added services to the WOW membership have paid dividends in growing their user base. Of Coupangs 14.8 million users,32%are WOW members whose frequency of purchases was over four times that of non-members!</p>\n<p><b>Virtuous Cycle</b></p>\n<p>Similar to Prime, Coupang's WOW Club fosters a virtuous circle. By offering unique services such as expedited shipping, Eats, and Fresh, more users sign up for the club. In turn, it increases purchases, providing more incentive for Merchants to join the platform to offer more products. Coupang generates more revenue to further invest in more offerings like Eats and Fresh, leading to more members joining.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19e77e9fdec1003aafdd8ca3bf1f05d0\" tg-width=\"626\" tg-height=\"255\"><span>Source: S-1</span></p>\n<p>The exceptional experience customers have using Coupang is reflected in their loyalty, retention, and increase in purchasing. As shown above, the chart demonstrates a cohort for each year a new user signed up. Displayed here is that more recent cohorts have increased their spending faster than older cohorts, with their more unique offerings like Eats and Fresh likely contributing to Coupang's stickiness.</p>\n<blockquote>\n For example, the 2017 cohort spent approximately 80% more in 2018 compared to 2017. By comparison, the 2018 and 2019 cohorts spent approximately 98% and approximately 119% more, respectively, in their second years compared to their first years with us.\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3c1f67801314390cc2189a8e5f9d0e\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"62\"><span>Source: S-1</span></p>\n<p>Furthermore, users' increased engagement and spending have translated to rapid user growth, with an increase in 2018 to 2020 from 9.1 million to 14.8 million, a 61% increase in just two years.</p>\n<p>The impressive user growth is highly encouraging to see how engaged, and loyal users of Coupang's platform are. As an American and avid Amazon customer, I can relate to many of the same perks where my experience isn't the same when I order online from Amazon's competitors. And through the years, as I have made many purchases via Amazon, my own loyalty has grown, and further disinterests me to try other eCommerce marketplaces.</p>\n<p><b>Massive Distribution and Geographic Domination</b></p>\n<p>South Korea didn't have a robust e-commerce infrastructure before Coupang. In the US, we have been fortunate to have the infrastructure built many years pre-internet with UPS (UPS) and FedEx (FDX), founded in 1907 and 1971. Thus there was a gaping hole in the logistics process, from packaging, fulfillment, shipping, and delivery in a streamlined process.</p>\n<p>In South Korea, merchants have been struggling to stitch together these highly fragmented services to create a well-integrated and end-to-end network for e-commerce. Coupang has built a massive distribution network with over 100 fulfillment and logistic centers in over 30 cities, encompassing over 25 million sq ft. Their workforce comprises over 40,000 workers, including 15,000 full-time delivery drivers guided by proprietary software, making Coupang the second-largest B2C logistics company in the nation.</p>\n<p>Coupang has strategically placed itself in critical parts of the country by building an extensive distribution network to execute its lofty delivery speed promises.Incredibly, nearly 70% of the population lives within just 7 miles of a logistics center in a country that is about 1% the size of the U.S. geographically.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28e7ec293f8a70f4003f3c1b2c34ab52\" tg-width=\"264\" tg-height=\"324\"><span>Source: Wikimedia Commons</span></p>\n<p>What's vital here is South Korea's geography and why that matters for Coupang's distribution model compared to competitors.Over 60% of the land is mountainous, making flat land-scarce and requiring the mega fulfillment centers to be built vertically. Meaning building a large logistics center is more complex, time-intensive, and capital-intensive. So current and future competitors will have a challenging time matching Coupang's logistics in South Korea. Also, by becoming the quasi-UPS of South Korea, the logistics network they are building will be hard to compete with economically as Coupang scales which will further drive down their costs.</p>\n<p><b>Convenience and Eco-Friendly</b></p>\n<p>Part of Coupang's plan to make life unlivable for Koreans without it is making purchasing simple and easy, which they have done. Coupang has the only significant payment experience that supports \"one-tap\" buying without additional verification. In a day in age with massive fraud and online theft, building a secure one-tap purchasing experience is convenient for users.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, frictionless returns are a crucial part of the user experience, and luckily for users of Coupang, they don't have to sacrifice convenience to be eco-friendly. They are committed to frictionless transactions in concert with their devotion to waste reduction and cardboard elimination. As of 2020, they have removed cardboard boxes in over 75% of parcels and instead replaced them with their coined \"Zero Packaging\" innovation. Instead of cardboard boxes, packages get delivered in eco-bags and re-collected for reuse after each delivery. Not to mention on returns, customers can forget packing and shipping returns. Customers need to tap a button on the app and leave their items outside their door for pickup.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation and Analysis</b></p>\n<p>Coupang had a fantastic 2020, with sales growing over 90% from $6.2 billion to $11.9 billion from 2019 to 2020. The likely reason for the jump from 55% growth in 2018-2019 is the pandemic that forced many local retailers' doors to close and moved many consumers to shop online. Clearly, Coupang was a significant beneficiary from the Pandemic and will likely retain many of the consumers who never shopped online to now continue shopping online. Still, I think it's unrealistic to expect a continuation of 90% growth.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a3a93d41e4b9d36db6febd41c059407\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"336\"><span>Source: S-1</span></p>\n<p>On IPO day, Coupang priced its shares at $35 yet finished at $49.25, a 40% pop and giving the company a hefty market cap of $84.47 billion. They are also not profitable, with a $475 million loss last year; however, their losses are dropping from $1.1 billion in 2018.</p>\n<p>Currently, they are trading at a Price to Sales (P/S) ratio of 7x, which is a significant multiple for a non-software company. On occasion, this high of a multiple for a software company can make sense because as they grow, their fixed costs stay the same and become significantly more profitable as they acquire more users. They are trading at 25x Gross Profit, a high multiple, especially with the market's current macro trends being volatile for growth stocks.</p>\n<p>Coupang is investing for the future and will continue to reinvest back into the business to build their eCommerce platform and infrastructure further; thus, they will likely not be profitable in the short term. However, I see a massive opportunity here. They mentioned they are in the early stating of advertising on their marketplace, an enormous revenue generator like Amazon receives from sellers on their platform.</p>\n<p>Overall I like their business model and believe they will continue to dominate the eCommerce market in South Korea. However, the 40% gain on day one and the volatile market makes this stock a pass for now. But add to your Watch List. If high growth tech stocks see another sell-off in the next couple of months, a better buying opportunity could arise.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coupang Is Not A Buy - At Least Not Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoupang Is Not A Buy - At Least Not Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 12:05 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4414947-coupang-not-a-buy-at-least-not-right-now><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nCoupang is the Amazon of South Korea, making them a great long-term investment.\nCoupang is a mix of Amazon, UPS, and Doordash.\nHowever, the stock rose over 40% opening day, making it a pass.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4414947-coupang-not-a-buy-at-least-not-right-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CPNG":"Coupang, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4414947-coupang-not-a-buy-at-least-not-right-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1177979145","content_text":"Summary\n\nCoupang is the Amazon of South Korea, making them a great long-term investment.\nCoupang is a mix of Amazon, UPS, and Doordash.\nHowever, the stock rose over 40% opening day, making it a pass.\nAdd to your watchlist to enter when tech stocks sell off further.\n\nPhoto by LeoPatrizi/E+ via Getty Images\n\n How did I ever live without Coupang?\"\n\n\n -Bom Suk Kim, Founder\n\nCoupang (CPNG) is known to be the Amazon of South Korea - and for a good reason. They have dominated their home turf to become the top online retailer in the nation. While they are not identical to Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), their business model is similar in many ways, making CPNG an attractive investment for long-term investors.\nHowever, like recent tech IPOs that have seen 40%+ spikes on the first day of trading, CPNG is initially overpriced. However, I would argue they are an excellent long-term investment later in the year based on their competitive advantages.\nSource: S-1\nBrief Overview\nCoupang is an e-commerce platform similar to Amazon, where customers can purchase a wide variety of products with expedited shipping. They host over 200,000 merchants and hundreds of millions of SKU's providing customers with a wide variety of choices to suit their purchasing needs. The company wasfounded in 2010 by Bom Kim, the current CEO, who graduated from Harvard University and dropped out of Harvard Business School to start Coupang. Their culture is very customer-centric; throughout their S-1 is a relentless focus on making the customer happy. In an opening letter from Mr. Kim, he states, \"We want our customers to have it all,\" and \"Why force customers to choose between amazing service, low prices, and broad selection?\"\nCoupang received pre-IPO investments from prominent U.S. Hedge Fund managers Stanley Druckenmiller and Bill Ackman, who saw the potential of bringing the Amazon model to South Korea, where the e-commerce marketplace has been underserved. Coupang's rapid ascension is due in part to the South Korean market opportunity, which is the fourth-largest economy in Asia and the twelfth largest globally with a GDP of $1.6 trillion and GDP per capita of $31,847. Total e-commerce spend was $128 billion in 2019 and is expected to grow to $206 billion by 2024, equaling a CAGR of approximately 10%.\nEconomic Moats\n\n \"What we're trying to do, is we're trying to find a business with a wide and long-lasting moat around it, surrounded -- protecting a terrific economic castle with an honest lord in charge of the castle.\" -Warren Buffet.\n\nRocket WOW Membership\nCoupang has a membership program called Rocket WOW, similar to Prime, that provides unlimited free shipping with no minimums, free returns, and exclusive discounts. The cost is a mere $2.50 a month and being a part of this program also gives customers access to Rocket Dawn and Rocket Same-Day Delivery. With Rocket Dawn, if a customer places an order by midnight, even seconds before, they are promised arrival before7 am! Also, WOW members have access to two newer benefits in Rocket Fresh and Coupang Eats.\nRocket Fresh provides Same-Day Delivery for fresh food such as vegetables, dairy, fruit, and meats. Since last year,Coupang has been the only e-commerce firm to deliver fresh foods directly to customer's doors in under 24 hours. Expedited shipping is vital for perishable foods, and with Coupangs massive distribution network, they can execute this type of delivery speed.\nCoupang Eats has piggybacked off Rocket Delivery by leveraging their technology and logistics to partner with independent restaurants to deliver food, similar to Doordash. Eats' success has become apparent by rising to the top as the largest online food delivery service in the nation.\nThese value-added services to the WOW membership have paid dividends in growing their user base. Of Coupangs 14.8 million users,32%are WOW members whose frequency of purchases was over four times that of non-members!\nVirtuous Cycle\nSimilar to Prime, Coupang's WOW Club fosters a virtuous circle. By offering unique services such as expedited shipping, Eats, and Fresh, more users sign up for the club. In turn, it increases purchases, providing more incentive for Merchants to join the platform to offer more products. Coupang generates more revenue to further invest in more offerings like Eats and Fresh, leading to more members joining.\nSource: S-1\nThe exceptional experience customers have using Coupang is reflected in their loyalty, retention, and increase in purchasing. As shown above, the chart demonstrates a cohort for each year a new user signed up. Displayed here is that more recent cohorts have increased their spending faster than older cohorts, with their more unique offerings like Eats and Fresh likely contributing to Coupang's stickiness.\n\n For example, the 2017 cohort spent approximately 80% more in 2018 compared to 2017. By comparison, the 2018 and 2019 cohorts spent approximately 98% and approximately 119% more, respectively, in their second years compared to their first years with us.\n\nSource: S-1\nFurthermore, users' increased engagement and spending have translated to rapid user growth, with an increase in 2018 to 2020 from 9.1 million to 14.8 million, a 61% increase in just two years.\nThe impressive user growth is highly encouraging to see how engaged, and loyal users of Coupang's platform are. As an American and avid Amazon customer, I can relate to many of the same perks where my experience isn't the same when I order online from Amazon's competitors. And through the years, as I have made many purchases via Amazon, my own loyalty has grown, and further disinterests me to try other eCommerce marketplaces.\nMassive Distribution and Geographic Domination\nSouth Korea didn't have a robust e-commerce infrastructure before Coupang. In the US, we have been fortunate to have the infrastructure built many years pre-internet with UPS (UPS) and FedEx (FDX), founded in 1907 and 1971. Thus there was a gaping hole in the logistics process, from packaging, fulfillment, shipping, and delivery in a streamlined process.\nIn South Korea, merchants have been struggling to stitch together these highly fragmented services to create a well-integrated and end-to-end network for e-commerce. Coupang has built a massive distribution network with over 100 fulfillment and logistic centers in over 30 cities, encompassing over 25 million sq ft. Their workforce comprises over 40,000 workers, including 15,000 full-time delivery drivers guided by proprietary software, making Coupang the second-largest B2C logistics company in the nation.\nCoupang has strategically placed itself in critical parts of the country by building an extensive distribution network to execute its lofty delivery speed promises.Incredibly, nearly 70% of the population lives within just 7 miles of a logistics center in a country that is about 1% the size of the U.S. geographically.\nSource: Wikimedia Commons\nWhat's vital here is South Korea's geography and why that matters for Coupang's distribution model compared to competitors.Over 60% of the land is mountainous, making flat land-scarce and requiring the mega fulfillment centers to be built vertically. Meaning building a large logistics center is more complex, time-intensive, and capital-intensive. So current and future competitors will have a challenging time matching Coupang's logistics in South Korea. Also, by becoming the quasi-UPS of South Korea, the logistics network they are building will be hard to compete with economically as Coupang scales which will further drive down their costs.\nConvenience and Eco-Friendly\nPart of Coupang's plan to make life unlivable for Koreans without it is making purchasing simple and easy, which they have done. Coupang has the only significant payment experience that supports \"one-tap\" buying without additional verification. In a day in age with massive fraud and online theft, building a secure one-tap purchasing experience is convenient for users.\nFurthermore, frictionless returns are a crucial part of the user experience, and luckily for users of Coupang, they don't have to sacrifice convenience to be eco-friendly. They are committed to frictionless transactions in concert with their devotion to waste reduction and cardboard elimination. As of 2020, they have removed cardboard boxes in over 75% of parcels and instead replaced them with their coined \"Zero Packaging\" innovation. Instead of cardboard boxes, packages get delivered in eco-bags and re-collected for reuse after each delivery. Not to mention on returns, customers can forget packing and shipping returns. Customers need to tap a button on the app and leave their items outside their door for pickup.\nValuation and Analysis\nCoupang had a fantastic 2020, with sales growing over 90% from $6.2 billion to $11.9 billion from 2019 to 2020. The likely reason for the jump from 55% growth in 2018-2019 is the pandemic that forced many local retailers' doors to close and moved many consumers to shop online. Clearly, Coupang was a significant beneficiary from the Pandemic and will likely retain many of the consumers who never shopped online to now continue shopping online. Still, I think it's unrealistic to expect a continuation of 90% growth.\nSource: S-1\nOn IPO day, Coupang priced its shares at $35 yet finished at $49.25, a 40% pop and giving the company a hefty market cap of $84.47 billion. They are also not profitable, with a $475 million loss last year; however, their losses are dropping from $1.1 billion in 2018.\nCurrently, they are trading at a Price to Sales (P/S) ratio of 7x, which is a significant multiple for a non-software company. On occasion, this high of a multiple for a software company can make sense because as they grow, their fixed costs stay the same and become significantly more profitable as they acquire more users. They are trading at 25x Gross Profit, a high multiple, especially with the market's current macro trends being volatile for growth stocks.\nCoupang is investing for the future and will continue to reinvest back into the business to build their eCommerce platform and infrastructure further; thus, they will likely not be profitable in the short term. However, I see a massive opportunity here. They mentioned they are in the early stating of advertising on their marketplace, an enormous revenue generator like Amazon receives from sellers on their platform.\nOverall I like their business model and believe they will continue to dominate the eCommerce market in South Korea. However, the 40% gain on day one and the volatile market makes this stock a pass for now. But add to your Watch List. If high growth tech stocks see another sell-off in the next couple of months, a better buying opportunity could arise.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":324446640,"gmtCreate":1616027670080,"gmtModify":1703496515492,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心] ","listText":"[开心] ","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324446640","repostId":"1131950550","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131950550","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616027214,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131950550?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-18 08:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disneyland to reopen on April 30, Disney CEO Bob Chapek says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131950550","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nDisney’s two California theme parks will reopen on April 30, CEO Bob Chapek said Wednesd","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nDisney’s two California theme parks will reopen on April 30, CEO Bob Chapek said Wednesday.\nThe parks will operate at around 15% capacity to start.\n\nCalifornia’s two Disney theme parks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/17/disneyland-to-reopen-on-april-30-disney-ceo-bob-chapek-says.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disneyland to reopen on April 30, Disney CEO Bob Chapek says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisneyland to reopen on April 30, Disney CEO Bob Chapek says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-18 08:26 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/17/disneyland-to-reopen-on-april-30-disney-ceo-bob-chapek-says.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nDisney’s two California theme parks will reopen on April 30, CEO Bob Chapek said Wednesday.\nThe parks will operate at around 15% capacity to start.\n\nCalifornia’s two Disney theme parks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/17/disneyland-to-reopen-on-april-30-disney-ceo-bob-chapek-says.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/17/disneyland-to-reopen-on-april-30-disney-ceo-bob-chapek-says.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1131950550","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nDisney’s two California theme parks will reopen on April 30, CEO Bob Chapek said Wednesday.\nThe parks will operate at around 15% capacity to start.\n\nCalifornia’s two Disney theme parks will reopen on April 30, CEO Bob Chapek said Wednesday on CNBC’s “Squawk Alley.”\nWe’ve seen the enthusiasm, the craving for people to return to our parks around the world,” Chapek told CNBC’s Julia Boorstin. “We’ve been operating at Walt Disney World for about nine months, and there certainly is no shortage of demand.”\n“I think as people become vaccinated, they become a little bit more confident in the fact that they can travel, and, you know, stay Covid-free,” he added. “Consumers trust Disney to do the right thing, and we’ve certainly proven that we can [open] responsibly, whether it’s temperature checks, masks, social distancing, [or] improved hygiene around the parks.”\nDisney’s Grand Californian Hotel and Spa will reopen April 29 with limited capacity ahead of the parks. The Vacation Club Villa at the Grand Californian will reopen on May 2, and Disney’s Paradise Pier Hotel and the Disneyland Hotel will reopen at a later date.\nAll theme parks in California have been closed due to Covid-related restrictions for the past year. While guidelines in other states, such as Florida, allowed parks to reopen with limited capacity, California’s rules have kept theme parks large and small shuttered.\nHowever, new state guidance permits amusement parks to reopen beginning April 1 with 15% to 35% capacity depending on the prevalence of the virus in the community. Masks and other health precautions will be required. Chapek said the two parks will operate at around 15% capacity to start.\nCalifornia is reporting just under 2,900 new Covid-19 cases per day, based on a weekly average, a near 32% decline compared with a week ago, according to a CNBC analysis of data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. The rate of new Covid cases has been on the decline as more people have been getting vaccinated. With ramp-ups in supply and access, on average about 2.4 million people are getting vaccinated daily in the U.S.\nOrange County, where Disneyland and California Adventure are located, is seeing four new cases a day per 100,000 residents. At its peak, in mid-January, the county saw 118 new cases a day per 100,000 people.\nThe shutdown last year led Disney to lay off tens of thousands of workers and slashed an important source of revenue for the media company. The parks, experiences and consumer products segment accounted for 37% of the company’s $69.6 billion in total revenue in 2019, or around $26.2 billion.\nA year later, revenue shrank to $16.5 billion, or around 25% of the company’s $65.4 billion in total revenue.\nDuring the company’s fiscal first-quarter earnings call, Chief Financial Officer Christine McCarthy said that for the parks that have been open during the pandemic, the company was able to make “a net incremental positive contribution” from the guests who visited despite reduced capacity levels. This means that revenue exceeded the variable costs associated with the opening, she explained.\nAs parks expand capacity and reopen, there will be some level of social distancing and mask-wearing for the rest of the year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":324446993,"gmtCreate":1616027656612,"gmtModify":1703496514803,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324446993","repostId":"1139841674","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324981114,"gmtCreate":1615952129738,"gmtModify":1703495451407,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oi","listText":"Oi","text":"Oi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324981114","repostId":"2120726179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324983228,"gmtCreate":1615952030764,"gmtModify":1703495450547,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324983228","repostId":"1193182776","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":324983180,"gmtCreate":1615952014640,"gmtModify":1703495450201,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324983180","repostId":"2120726179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":325900948,"gmtCreate":1615854687284,"gmtModify":1703493974060,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325900948","repostId":"1124726208","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":322379466,"gmtCreate":1615777646555,"gmtModify":1703492808123,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322379466","repostId":"1141300773","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141300773","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615777101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141300773?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-15 10:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney: What Is Disney+ Really Worth To Shareholders","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141300773","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"In the past 16 months, Disney+ has gained 100 million subscribers.The market has generally viewed Disney+ as a major needle mover for the company overall.My goal is to find out how much value can Disney+ add for current shareholders.Disney+ has been a major catalyst for The Walt Disney Company since it was first announced in April of 2019. The company was clearly making a strong pitch for getting content directly to consumers through the use of streaming services. Ever since the company had acq","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In the past 16 months, Disney+ has gained 100 million subscribers.</li>\n <li>The market has generally viewed Disney+ as a major needle mover for the company overall.</li>\n <li>My goal is to find out how much value can Disney+ add for current shareholders.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>Disney+ has been a major catalyst for The Walt Disney Company (DIS) since it was first announced in April of 2019. The company was clearly making a strong pitch for getting content directly to consumers through the use of streaming services. Ever since the company had acquired Bamtech in 2017, the plan was clearly to leverage this technology to change the way consumers view their content. With a huge library of content already available to the company, the only obstacle was getting the content distributed.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbdead1e1d98934dccef59fe49bc1246\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"853\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>I have a been a shareholder since the middle of 2018 and have a cost basis of $100 per share and my question is how much value is Disney+ actually adding? I am at a point of trying to figure out if the excitement around Disney+ and its incredible subscriber growth is worth the premium that the stock is currently trading at. For me, the idea of locking in a 100% return in three years would be great as this is one of the first stocks I invested in. What I want to do is try to look at Disney+ on its own and see what value I can come up for the service to see if I should continue to hold the stock long term or if I should lock in my gains and move on to other opportunities. As a disclaimer, this is purely my valuation and where I see the service going. As such, your valuation will probably differ depending on how you view a few of the assumptions I had to make. Unfortunately, the company does not break out the operating cost of Disney+, but there are some clues as to what the operating margins are, and as such, I will be pulling together what I believe are the operating margins for the service.</p>\n<p><b>What Are The Costs Of Disney+?</b></p>\n<p>The first thing I needed to find out was what were the operating expenses for Disney+? In Disney's most recent 10-Q, they do break out what the cost are for their DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) segment, but while this includes Disney+ expenses, it also includes the expenses of ESPN+ and Hulu. So, in going through the line items of the expense side of the income statement and deciphering the footnotes, we can come to a reasonable operating income for Disney+. If you see below, the DTC segment is still operating at a loss, but these losses are starting to deteriorate and may soon become a profitable segment for Disney in the near future.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc30a144042eaefbed0c83e9765c5d70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)</span></p>\n<p>You can see for the quarter, the overall operating expenses come in at $2,921 million, SG&A at $970 million and Depreciation and amortization at $79 million. From here, we will have to go the footnotes in order to see if we can extrapolate Disney+'s overall operating cost.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d110655bf2e940dec8116ebe66f9e9d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\"><span>(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)</span></p>\n<p>We can see that in December of 2019, overall expenses here were $2,343 billion and in January of 2021, expenses were $2,921 million. This can be a good starting point and offer an idea of what it cost per quarter to run Disney+. This of course is an approximation because Disney+ was launched in November of 2019, so our base quarter does have some of those expenses rolled into it, but I believe it is minimal due to the fact that there is only one month of data rolled into these expenses. I should note that some of these expense increases were due to Disney's 67% ownership in Hulu and as such most likely did contribute as well to the overall operating expenses. Since we don't really know for sure what the split is between Hulu and Disney+, we will assume that all of the increase was due to Disney+ (call it a margin of safety if you will). So, given that fact we can assume that per quarter it cost about $578 million or $2,312 million a year for operating expenses. For SG&A, it looks like we can safely assume about a $238 million per quarter increase attributable solely to marketing for Disney+, which works out to be about $952 million for the year. Depreciation and amortization is also tied almost directly to Disney+ at about $19 million per quarter of, $76 million for the year. You can see below that the total expenses for running Disney plus come out to be about $3,186 million per year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73b127864cd5486905755e3e9e44bbed\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"320\"></p>\n<p><b>What Will Revenues Be?</b></p>\n<p>This is where we have to make our biggest assumptions on what revenues will look like for Disney+. The growth in subscribers has even surprised Disney executives, with over 50% of subscribers being households without kids,making the value appeal for subscribers even broader. As of March 9th of 2021, total subscribers for the service topped 100 million, which blew past Disney's initial estimates and they have now revised their estimates to reflect between 230 and 260 million subscribers by 2024. While it will be hard to tell how realistic this goal is, the service certainly has the momentum to justify the overall growth given the potential international reach. What will be interesting to watch for is the average revenue per user (ARPU) and how that will grow as time goes on. You can see that so far for Disney+, ARPU has declined from about $5.56 to $4.03. According to the most recent 10-Q, the decline is attributable to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar service launched in India and Indonesia.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8d515e5a68c0cb68e17984492298aa4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"156\"><span>(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)</span></p>\n<p>As it stands with 100 million subscribers and an ARPU of $4.03, revenues so far would fall at $403 million per month or $4,836 million per year. If we assume that for this year that subscribers will grow about 6 million per month for the next nine months and an ARPU of $4 for the year we would come to 154 million subscribers and $7,392 million in revenue which we will us for our base case in our valuation of Disney+.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdade273a773d9de241df796dbcf680c\" tg-width=\"817\" tg-height=\"272\"></p>\n<p><b>Valuing Disney+</b></p>\n<p>One of the biggest challenges with valuation is making the assumptions in growth over a long period of time. My usual method for valuing any business is by taking a range of values of using a couple of scenarios that I believe are possible and this is how I will present my valuation. Both scenarios will assume that the high growth phase for Disney+ continues for at least the next five years and then begins to fade for the next five years. Each scenario will also assume that the number of subscribers begins at 154 million with $7,392 million in revenue based on $4 monthly ARPU and margins will begin at 34%. I have calculated Disney's overall cost of capital to be about 9.5% and this will be used in both scenarios.</p>\n<p><b>Scenario 1:</b></p>\n<p>In this scenario Disney+ will continue to grow at a high rate even after the first 5 years, although this pace will be slower than the first five years. The competition has a hard time keeping up and as such there is low churn and the platform has great sticking power, ARPU will continue to rise at a moderately high rate until it reaches about $16. As growth begins to slow, Disney will pull back on the growth marketing spend and transition to a more moderate amount of marketing to replace churn which will raise margins.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f32924a0a6e113ef9d89fac4143d4b14\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"83\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dba93c03f1d4a4e745021aa3b1cc220\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"317\"></p>\n<p><b>Scenario 2:</b></p>\n<p>In this scenario, Disney+ growth in the first five years is slower than expected. The goal of between 230 to 240 takes a couple more years to achieve than expected and due to this lower growth ARPU does not rise nearly as fast in order to reduce churn and keep the value proposition intact. Margins will start to lower as more money is being spent to attract new subscribers and make more content. Disney+ in this instance faces more competition from other services and has to create more content which would result in some of this content being a flop.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0aaed5ea9a63f499ddcb441b68b45994\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"82\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72734aac549e172bfe59a411dcaeb81e\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"320\"></p>\n<p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p>\n<p>Based on both of my scenarios, the value of Disney+ has quite a large range. The potential for Disney+ landed in between $148 and $36 per share of added value. If you take the midpoint of these two extremes, you would land around $92 a share of added value. I will note the one item I did not include was what taxes will be in the future. I didn't model this just due to the uncertainties around future taxes and the fact that Disney may have incurred net operating losses due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, this has been a helpful exercise in trying to determine what I should do going forward.</p>\n<p>With the majority of the stock price movement being attributed to Disney+, it looks like there may be justification to today's current price. That being said, the stock may be close to fully priced, especially given the current state of the rest of Disney's operating segments, most notably the Parks and Experiences segments. When I initially invested in Disney, the plan was to hold onto this stock forever, but the current valuation of Disney+ is certainly given me pause and I will need to rethink whether I should sell and move on to other opportunities. I still believe this is a great company with a long runway, but with the words of Warren Buffett in my ear, \"Price is what you pay, value is what you get\".</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney: What Is Disney+ Really Worth To Shareholders</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney: What Is Disney+ Really Worth To Shareholders\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-15 10:58 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413801-what-is-disney-plus-really-worth-to-shareholders><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIn the past 16 months, Disney+ has gained 100 million subscribers.\nThe market has generally viewed Disney+ as a major needle mover for the company overall.\nMy goal is to find out how much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413801-what-is-disney-plus-really-worth-to-shareholders\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413801-what-is-disney-plus-really-worth-to-shareholders","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1141300773","content_text":"Summary\n\nIn the past 16 months, Disney+ has gained 100 million subscribers.\nThe market has generally viewed Disney+ as a major needle mover for the company overall.\nMy goal is to find out how much value can Disney+ add for current shareholders.\n\nIntroduction\nDisney+ has been a major catalyst for The Walt Disney Company (DIS) since it was first announced in April of 2019. The company was clearly making a strong pitch for getting content directly to consumers through the use of streaming services. Ever since the company had acquired Bamtech in 2017, the plan was clearly to leverage this technology to change the way consumers view their content. With a huge library of content already available to the company, the only obstacle was getting the content distributed.\nSource: Company\nI have a been a shareholder since the middle of 2018 and have a cost basis of $100 per share and my question is how much value is Disney+ actually adding? I am at a point of trying to figure out if the excitement around Disney+ and its incredible subscriber growth is worth the premium that the stock is currently trading at. For me, the idea of locking in a 100% return in three years would be great as this is one of the first stocks I invested in. What I want to do is try to look at Disney+ on its own and see what value I can come up for the service to see if I should continue to hold the stock long term or if I should lock in my gains and move on to other opportunities. As a disclaimer, this is purely my valuation and where I see the service going. As such, your valuation will probably differ depending on how you view a few of the assumptions I had to make. Unfortunately, the company does not break out the operating cost of Disney+, but there are some clues as to what the operating margins are, and as such, I will be pulling together what I believe are the operating margins for the service.\nWhat Are The Costs Of Disney+?\nThe first thing I needed to find out was what were the operating expenses for Disney+? In Disney's most recent 10-Q, they do break out what the cost are for their DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) segment, but while this includes Disney+ expenses, it also includes the expenses of ESPN+ and Hulu. So, in going through the line items of the expense side of the income statement and deciphering the footnotes, we can come to a reasonable operating income for Disney+. If you see below, the DTC segment is still operating at a loss, but these losses are starting to deteriorate and may soon become a profitable segment for Disney in the near future.\n(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)\nYou can see for the quarter, the overall operating expenses come in at $2,921 million, SG&A at $970 million and Depreciation and amortization at $79 million. From here, we will have to go the footnotes in order to see if we can extrapolate Disney+'s overall operating cost.\n(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)\nWe can see that in December of 2019, overall expenses here were $2,343 billion and in January of 2021, expenses were $2,921 million. This can be a good starting point and offer an idea of what it cost per quarter to run Disney+. This of course is an approximation because Disney+ was launched in November of 2019, so our base quarter does have some of those expenses rolled into it, but I believe it is minimal due to the fact that there is only one month of data rolled into these expenses. I should note that some of these expense increases were due to Disney's 67% ownership in Hulu and as such most likely did contribute as well to the overall operating expenses. Since we don't really know for sure what the split is between Hulu and Disney+, we will assume that all of the increase was due to Disney+ (call it a margin of safety if you will). So, given that fact we can assume that per quarter it cost about $578 million or $2,312 million a year for operating expenses. For SG&A, it looks like we can safely assume about a $238 million per quarter increase attributable solely to marketing for Disney+, which works out to be about $952 million for the year. Depreciation and amortization is also tied almost directly to Disney+ at about $19 million per quarter of, $76 million for the year. You can see below that the total expenses for running Disney plus come out to be about $3,186 million per year.\n\nWhat Will Revenues Be?\nThis is where we have to make our biggest assumptions on what revenues will look like for Disney+. The growth in subscribers has even surprised Disney executives, with over 50% of subscribers being households without kids,making the value appeal for subscribers even broader. As of March 9th of 2021, total subscribers for the service topped 100 million, which blew past Disney's initial estimates and they have now revised their estimates to reflect between 230 and 260 million subscribers by 2024. While it will be hard to tell how realistic this goal is, the service certainly has the momentum to justify the overall growth given the potential international reach. What will be interesting to watch for is the average revenue per user (ARPU) and how that will grow as time goes on. You can see that so far for Disney+, ARPU has declined from about $5.56 to $4.03. According to the most recent 10-Q, the decline is attributable to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar service launched in India and Indonesia.\n(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)\nAs it stands with 100 million subscribers and an ARPU of $4.03, revenues so far would fall at $403 million per month or $4,836 million per year. If we assume that for this year that subscribers will grow about 6 million per month for the next nine months and an ARPU of $4 for the year we would come to 154 million subscribers and $7,392 million in revenue which we will us for our base case in our valuation of Disney+.\n\nValuing Disney+\nOne of the biggest challenges with valuation is making the assumptions in growth over a long period of time. My usual method for valuing any business is by taking a range of values of using a couple of scenarios that I believe are possible and this is how I will present my valuation. Both scenarios will assume that the high growth phase for Disney+ continues for at least the next five years and then begins to fade for the next five years. Each scenario will also assume that the number of subscribers begins at 154 million with $7,392 million in revenue based on $4 monthly ARPU and margins will begin at 34%. I have calculated Disney's overall cost of capital to be about 9.5% and this will be used in both scenarios.\nScenario 1:\nIn this scenario Disney+ will continue to grow at a high rate even after the first 5 years, although this pace will be slower than the first five years. The competition has a hard time keeping up and as such there is low churn and the platform has great sticking power, ARPU will continue to rise at a moderately high rate until it reaches about $16. As growth begins to slow, Disney will pull back on the growth marketing spend and transition to a more moderate amount of marketing to replace churn which will raise margins.\n\nScenario 2:\nIn this scenario, Disney+ growth in the first five years is slower than expected. The goal of between 230 to 240 takes a couple more years to achieve than expected and due to this lower growth ARPU does not rise nearly as fast in order to reduce churn and keep the value proposition intact. Margins will start to lower as more money is being spent to attract new subscribers and make more content. Disney+ in this instance faces more competition from other services and has to create more content which would result in some of this content being a flop.\n\nFinal Thoughts\nBased on both of my scenarios, the value of Disney+ has quite a large range. The potential for Disney+ landed in between $148 and $36 per share of added value. If you take the midpoint of these two extremes, you would land around $92 a share of added value. I will note the one item I did not include was what taxes will be in the future. I didn't model this just due to the uncertainties around future taxes and the fact that Disney may have incurred net operating losses due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, this has been a helpful exercise in trying to determine what I should do going forward.\nWith the majority of the stock price movement being attributed to Disney+, it looks like there may be justification to today's current price. That being said, the stock may be close to fully priced, especially given the current state of the rest of Disney's operating segments, most notably the Parks and Experiences segments. When I initially invested in Disney, the plan was to hold onto this stock forever, but the current valuation of Disney+ is certainly given me pause and I will need to rethink whether I should sell and move on to other opportunities. I still believe this is a great company with a long runway, but with the words of Warren Buffett in my ear, \"Price is what you pay, value is what you get\".","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":326835792,"gmtCreate":1615610593216,"gmtModify":1703491617675,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326835792","repostId":"1100128328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100128328","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615563404,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100128328?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100128328","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock inTesla is lower after CNBC reported that the electric-vehicle company had a firein its Fremon","content":"<p>Stock inTesla is lower after CNBC reported that the electric-vehicle company had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.</p><p>Fires are just a normal, albeit unfortunate, operating problem for any manufacturer. Tesla (ticker: TSLA) didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the fire or the damage it may have caused.</p><p>President Joe Biden is probably responsible for the share-price decline, which left the stock about 2.7% lower in premarket trading, at about $680. It has beena wild weekfor Tesla stockholders. Shares started off the week at about $675,traded above $700and fell to about $560 before bounding back, up 4.7% Thursday, to just under $700.</p><p>Nothing Tesla has done appears to be the reason for the recent volatility. It’s all about interest rates.</p><p>That is where the president comes into the picture. Thursday evening, he addressed the nation, focusing on putting Covid-19 in the rearview mirror a year after the World Health Organization declared that a pandemic had begun.</p><p>“All adult Americans will be eligible to get a vaccine no later than May 1,” said the president, adding the federal government is setting up hundreds of vaccination sites and procuring millions more vaccine doses.</p><p>It’s good news, but the market is selling off Friday morning. For stocks, the speech represents almost too much of a good thing. The economy is reopening and, as a result,bond yields are rising, putting pressure on high-growth stocks.</p><p>Futures on the Nasdaq Composite Index, home to many highflying tech stocks, are down 1.6%.Dow Jones Industrial Averagefutures, on the other hand, are flat.</p><p>Higher yields hurt richly valued, fast-growing companies more than others for a couple of reasons. One, they makes funding growth more expensive. Two, high- growth companies are expected generate most of their cash far in the future. That cash is a little less valuable in present terms when rates are high, compared with when rates are low. In a higher-rate environment, investors have more options to earn interest today, which puts pressure on high-growth stocks’ valuations.</p><p>A Friday dip, however,doesn’t mean the end of the bull market in Tesla, EV stocks or the Nasdaq. Getting the economy back on its feet is a good thing. Investors just need a chance to adjust to the changing landscape.</p><p>“There’s a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard or in your neighborhood and have a cookout …and celebrate Independence Day,” Biden said. That is great news.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-12 23:36 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-down-you-could-blame-joe-biden-51615557806?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock inTesla is lower after CNBC reported that the electric-vehicle company had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.Fires are just a normal, albeit...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-down-you-could-blame-joe-biden-51615557806?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-down-you-could-blame-joe-biden-51615557806?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100128328","content_text":"Stock inTesla is lower after CNBC reported that the electric-vehicle company had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.Fires are just a normal, albeit unfortunate, operating problem for any manufacturer. Tesla (ticker: TSLA) didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the fire or the damage it may have caused.President Joe Biden is probably responsible for the share-price decline, which left the stock about 2.7% lower in premarket trading, at about $680. It has beena wild weekfor Tesla stockholders. Shares started off the week at about $675,traded above $700and fell to about $560 before bounding back, up 4.7% Thursday, to just under $700.Nothing Tesla has done appears to be the reason for the recent volatility. It’s all about interest rates.That is where the president comes into the picture. Thursday evening, he addressed the nation, focusing on putting Covid-19 in the rearview mirror a year after the World Health Organization declared that a pandemic had begun.“All adult Americans will be eligible to get a vaccine no later than May 1,” said the president, adding the federal government is setting up hundreds of vaccination sites and procuring millions more vaccine doses.It’s good news, but the market is selling off Friday morning. For stocks, the speech represents almost too much of a good thing. The economy is reopening and, as a result,bond yields are rising, putting pressure on high-growth stocks.Futures on the Nasdaq Composite Index, home to many highflying tech stocks, are down 1.6%.Dow Jones Industrial Averagefutures, on the other hand, are flat.Higher yields hurt richly valued, fast-growing companies more than others for a couple of reasons. One, they makes funding growth more expensive. Two, high- growth companies are expected generate most of their cash far in the future. That cash is a little less valuable in present terms when rates are high, compared with when rates are low. In a higher-rate environment, investors have more options to earn interest today, which puts pressure on high-growth stocks’ valuations.A Friday dip, however,doesn’t mean the end of the bull market in Tesla, EV stocks or the Nasdaq. Getting the economy back on its feet is a good thing. Investors just need a chance to adjust to the changing landscape.“There’s a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard or in your neighborhood and have a cookout …and celebrate Independence Day,” Biden said. That is great news.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":326835131,"gmtCreate":1615610558623,"gmtModify":1703491616814,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326835131","repostId":"1199156489","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199156489","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615452861,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199156489?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-11 16:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Daylight Saving Time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199156489","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving tim","content":"<p>From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.</p><p>So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.</p><p><b>What is daylight saving time?</b></p><p>The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.</p><p>Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Daylight Saving Time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Daylight Saving Time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-11 16:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.</p><p>So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.</p><p><b>What is daylight saving time?</b></p><p>The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.</p><p>Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199156489","content_text":"From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.What is daylight saving time?The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":385166139,"gmtCreate":1613523864421,"gmtModify":1634553325653,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385166139","repostId":"1108705396","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108705396","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613469786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108705396?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108705396","media":"CNN Business","summary":"New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a doubl","content":"<p><b>New York (CNN Business) </b>The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington and millions of families were about to lose crucial benefits.</p>\n<p>Fast forward two months, and the economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.</p>\n<p>Economists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.</p>\n<p>The renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the health crisis is easing and Uncle Sam is coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.</p>\n<p>After supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.</p>\n<p>\"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.</p>\n<p>The turning point happened last month when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.</p>\n<p><b>'Summer mini-boom'</b></p>\n<p>Before the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.</p>\n<p>\"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.</p>\n<p>Oxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.</p>\n<p>Likewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"</p>\n<p>\"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.</p>\n<p>Indeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.</p>\n<p>The rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.</p>\n<p><b>Double-dip recession averted</b></p>\n<p>The Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.</p>\n<p>For months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.</p>\n<p>At the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.</p>\n<p>\"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.</p>\n<p>Slammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States added just 49,000 jobs in January.</p>\n<p>Jobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccines to the rescue</b></p>\n<p>But there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.</p>\n<p>Critically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.</p>\n<p>And Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.</p>\n<p>All of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.</p>\n<p>That's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.</p>\n<p><b>Low-wage workers are still hurting badly</b></p>\n<p>Against this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.</p>\n<p>\"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"</p>\n<p>Doing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.</p>\n<p>Employment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.</p>\n<p>\"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.</p>\n<p>However, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.</p>\n<p>\"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.</p>\n<p><b>'Bring it on'</b></p>\n<p>Some economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington overheats the economy by injecting too much support.</p>\n<p>\"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.</p>\n<p>And that in turn would spook the red-hot stock market.</p>\n<p>Fed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.</p>\n<p>Citing \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.</p>\n<p>Zandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.</p>\n<p>\"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWith Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-16 18:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html><strong>CNN Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108705396","content_text":"New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington and millions of families were about to lose crucial benefits.\nFast forward two months, and the economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.\nEconomists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.\nThe renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the health crisis is easing and Uncle Sam is coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.\nAfter supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.\n\"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.\nThe turning point happened last month when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.\n'Summer mini-boom'\nBefore the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.\n\"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.\nOxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.\nLikewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"\n\"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.\nIndeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.\nThe rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.\nDouble-dip recession averted\nThe Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.\nFor months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.\nAt the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.\n\"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.\nSlammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States added just 49,000 jobs in January.\nJobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.\nVaccines to the rescue\nBut there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.\nCritically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.\nAnd Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.\nAll of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.\nThat's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.\nLow-wage workers are still hurting badly\nAgainst this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.\n\"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"\nDoing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.\nEmployment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.\n\"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.\nHowever, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.\n\"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.\n'Bring it on'\nSome economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington overheats the economy by injecting too much support.\n\"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.\nAnd that in turn would spook the red-hot stock market.\nFed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.\nCiting \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.\nZandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.\n\"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":317709256,"gmtCreate":1612482226375,"gmtModify":1703762457129,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZOM\">$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$</a> will drop to around $1.21. Load up more on the dip","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZOM\">$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$</a> will drop to around $1.21. Load up more on the dip","text":"$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$ will drop to around $1.21. Load up more on the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/317709256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362122569,"gmtCreate":1614609195251,"gmtModify":1703478814953,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362122569","repostId":"1183681213","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183681213","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614609159,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183681213?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-01 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks rally at Monday's open; Dow up more than 1%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183681213","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 1) U.S. stock benchmarks kicked off trade in March sharply higher, with some strategists attr","content":"<p>(March 1) U.S. stock benchmarks kicked off trade in March sharply higher, with some strategists attributing the enthusiasm to a cool-down in the rapid rise in bond yields that had unsettled the bullish mood on Wall Street last week.</p><p>The Dow rises 1.28%, the Nasdaq Composite advances 1.62%, and the S&P 500 up 1.41%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5801b265d4d7c471efebbacc2decdf48\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"567\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 09:30</span></p><p>The broad advance came as the yield on 10-year Treasury notes, the benchmark borrowing cost in global debt markets, slipped to 1.43% from 1.459% Friday. Yields fall when bond prices rise.</p><p>Stocks, and particularly shares of tech companies, have been buffeted byvolatile moves in government-bond marketsin recent trading sessions. A lurch higher in yields last week called into question the prospect of a long period of low interest rates, which had underpinned the past year’s booming rally in stocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks rally at Monday's open; Dow up more than 1%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks rally at Monday's open; Dow up more than 1%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-01 22:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 1) U.S. stock benchmarks kicked off trade in March sharply higher, with some strategists attributing the enthusiasm to a cool-down in the rapid rise in bond yields that had unsettled the bullish mood on Wall Street last week.</p><p>The Dow rises 1.28%, the Nasdaq Composite advances 1.62%, and the S&P 500 up 1.41%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5801b265d4d7c471efebbacc2decdf48\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"567\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 09:30</span></p><p>The broad advance came as the yield on 10-year Treasury notes, the benchmark borrowing cost in global debt markets, slipped to 1.43% from 1.459% Friday. Yields fall when bond prices rise.</p><p>Stocks, and particularly shares of tech companies, have been buffeted byvolatile moves in government-bond marketsin recent trading sessions. A lurch higher in yields last week called into question the prospect of a long period of low interest rates, which had underpinned the past year’s booming rally in stocks.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183681213","content_text":"(March 1) U.S. stock benchmarks kicked off trade in March sharply higher, with some strategists attributing the enthusiasm to a cool-down in the rapid rise in bond yields that had unsettled the bullish mood on Wall Street last week.The Dow rises 1.28%, the Nasdaq Composite advances 1.62%, and the S&P 500 up 1.41%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 09:30The broad advance came as the yield on 10-year Treasury notes, the benchmark borrowing cost in global debt markets, slipped to 1.43% from 1.459% Friday. Yields fall when bond prices rise.Stocks, and particularly shares of tech companies, have been buffeted byvolatile moves in government-bond marketsin recent trading sessions. A lurch higher in yields last week called into question the prospect of a long period of low interest rates, which had underpinned the past year’s booming rally in stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":389587598,"gmtCreate":1612788612414,"gmtModify":1703765009303,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OZSC\">$Ozop Surgical Corp.(OZSC)$</a> hello to all the future millionaires ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OZSC\">$Ozop Surgical Corp.(OZSC)$</a> hello to all the future millionaires ","text":"$Ozop Surgical Corp.(OZSC)$ hello to all the future millionaires","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389587598","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359853941,"gmtCreate":1616385121183,"gmtModify":1634526130427,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359853941","repostId":"1142823107","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142823107","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616384869,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142823107?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-22 11:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Australia's Crown Resorts receives $6.2 billion proposal from Blackstone","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142823107","media":"reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Troubled Australian casino operator Crown Resorts Ltd on Monday said it had received a c","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Troubled Australian casino operator Crown Resorts Ltd on Monday said it had received a conditional buyout proposal from U.S. private equity giant Blackstone, sending its shares 19% higher.</p>\n<p>The indicative proposal comes as casinos and gaming operators around the world have seen values plunge as coronavirus lockdowns battered earnings, putting them on the radar of cashed-up investment firms.</p>\n<p>Crown has suffered more than most after a year-long regulatory inquiry aired allegations of money laundering and governance failures at the company, leading to the loss of its gambling licence for its new A$2.2 billion Sydney casino last month.</p>\n<p>Since then, top executives including its chief executive resigned, paving the way for Crown to repair its reputation and regain its licence with ex-federal communications minister and Chairman Helen Coonan at the helm of the overhaul.</p>\n<p>Crown said Blackstone’s proposal was A$11.85 per share, a premium of 20.2% to the company’s last closing price, and valuing it at A$8.02 billion ($6.2 billion).</p>\n<p>Its shares jumped to A$11.750 following news of the proposal on Monday, their highest in a year. The stock fell nearly 20% in 2020 as the inquiry exposed major flaws in the company’s governance.</p>\n<p>Blackstone currently has a 10% stake in Crown which it bought from Macau’s Melco Resorts & Entertainment in April last year at just A$8.15 per share, and is the second-largest holder after billionaire founder James Packer.</p>\n<p>The company’s board had not yet formed a view on the offer, which was subject to conditions including due diligence, arranging debt finance and Blackstone receiving gambling approvals to allow it to operate Crown’s Sydney, Melbourne and Perth licences, the company said in a statement.</p>\n<p>Blackstone most recently acquired the Bellagio in Las Vegas for $4.25 billion, and also owns a casino resort called “The Cosmopolitan” in Las Vegas and Spanish gaming hall operator Cirsa.</p>\n<p>($1 = 1.2967 Australian dollars)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Australia's Crown Resorts receives $6.2 billion proposal from Blackstone</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAustralia's Crown Resorts receives $6.2 billion proposal from Blackstone\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-22 11:47 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-crown-resorts-m-a-blackstone-group/blackstone-proposal-values-australian-casino-operator-crown-at-6-2-billion-idUSKBN2BD0SM?il=0><strong>reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) - Troubled Australian casino operator Crown Resorts Ltd on Monday said it had received a conditional buyout proposal from U.S. private equity giant Blackstone, sending its shares 19% higher....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-crown-resorts-m-a-blackstone-group/blackstone-proposal-values-australian-casino-operator-crown-at-6-2-billion-idUSKBN2BD0SM?il=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BX":"黑石"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-crown-resorts-m-a-blackstone-group/blackstone-proposal-values-australian-casino-operator-crown-at-6-2-billion-idUSKBN2BD0SM?il=0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142823107","content_text":"(Reuters) - Troubled Australian casino operator Crown Resorts Ltd on Monday said it had received a conditional buyout proposal from U.S. private equity giant Blackstone, sending its shares 19% higher.\nThe indicative proposal comes as casinos and gaming operators around the world have seen values plunge as coronavirus lockdowns battered earnings, putting them on the radar of cashed-up investment firms.\nCrown has suffered more than most after a year-long regulatory inquiry aired allegations of money laundering and governance failures at the company, leading to the loss of its gambling licence for its new A$2.2 billion Sydney casino last month.\nSince then, top executives including its chief executive resigned, paving the way for Crown to repair its reputation and regain its licence with ex-federal communications minister and Chairman Helen Coonan at the helm of the overhaul.\nCrown said Blackstone’s proposal was A$11.85 per share, a premium of 20.2% to the company’s last closing price, and valuing it at A$8.02 billion ($6.2 billion).\nIts shares jumped to A$11.750 following news of the proposal on Monday, their highest in a year. The stock fell nearly 20% in 2020 as the inquiry exposed major flaws in the company’s governance.\nBlackstone currently has a 10% stake in Crown which it bought from Macau’s Melco Resorts & Entertainment in April last year at just A$8.15 per share, and is the second-largest holder after billionaire founder James Packer.\nThe company’s board had not yet formed a view on the offer, which was subject to conditions including due diligence, arranging debt finance and Blackstone receiving gambling approvals to allow it to operate Crown’s Sydney, Melbourne and Perth licences, the company said in a statement.\nBlackstone most recently acquired the Bellagio in Las Vegas for $4.25 billion, and also owns a casino resort called “The Cosmopolitan” in Las Vegas and Spanish gaming hall operator Cirsa.\n($1 = 1.2967 Australian dollars)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":325900948,"gmtCreate":1615854687284,"gmtModify":1703493974060,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325900948","repostId":"1124726208","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124726208","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615854446,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124726208?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-16 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk Is Now the ‘Technoking’ of Tesla. What’s Behind the Name.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124726208","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s Elon Musk isn’t only a CEO. On Monday, he became a king of sorts.The electric vehicle pioneer toldthe Securities and Exchange Commissionthat founderMuskwill add the title Technoking of Tesla . CFO Zach Kirkhorn is getting another one, too: Master of Coin.In the SEC 8-K filing, Kirkhorn adds: “Elon and Zach will also maintain their respective positions as Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer.”The new titles might reflect the men’s decision to put some of Tesla’s cash into B","content":"<p>Tesla’s Elon Musk isn’t only a CEO. On Monday, he became a king of sorts.</p><p>The electric vehicle pioneer toldthe Securities and Exchange Commissionthat founderMuskwill add the title Technoking of Tesla (ticker: TSLA). CFO Zach Kirkhorn is getting another one, too: Master of Coin.</p><p>In the SEC 8-K filing, Kirkhorn adds: “Elon and Zach will also maintain their respective positions as Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer.”</p><p>An 8-K form is what companies file to notify shareholders of important information, such as earnings news releases, management appointments and corporate acquisitions.</p><p>The new titles might reflect the men’s decision to put some of Tesla’s cash into Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency hit $60,000 over the weekend, making the EV maker more than $1 billion on its initial $1.5 billion buy. Tesla invested back when Bitcoin was about $33,000.</p><p>Bitcoin has fallen back in Monday trading to about $56,000, but is still up more than 90% year to date and more than 20% in March.</p><p>Musk spent part of his weekend tweeting about another of his favorite cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin, which is up to a little more than a nickel a Dogecoin—roughly about 1,300% year to date.</p><p>Institutional investors are playing a major role in Bitcoin's recent uptick. Here's why, and what it means for the future.</p><p>The Technoking and Master of Coin titles fall in line with Tesla’s offbeat approach. Musk has turned Tesla into the most valuable car company in the world by, essentially, paying no attention to what traditional automotive companies and analysts say.</p><p>Still, the news isn’t doing much to Tesla stock, which is up about 2% on Monday.S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up about 0.7% and 0.5%, respectively.</p><p>Investors are really waiting for the Federal Reserve to comment on interest rates later in the week. The U.S. 10 Year Treasury bond yield is up to about 1.6% from 1.2% only a few weeks back. The rapid rise has hit growth stocks, including Tesla shares. The Nasdaq Composite,home to many richly valued, high-growth stocks, is down about 5% since Feb. 16, when the index hit an all-time high. The Dow is up about 4% over the same period.</p><p>Tesla stock is down about 13% since then. Higher rate shit high-growth stocks harder than others. They make it more expensive to finance growth like what Mush is targeting—vehicle delivery growth a year on average for the foreseeable future.</p><p>What’s more, growth companies generate cash far in the future which is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors have other options to earn higher rates of interest today.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk Is Now the ‘Technoking’ of Tesla. What’s Behind the Name.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk Is Now the ‘Technoking’ of Tesla. What’s Behind the Name.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-16 08:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/teslas-elon-musk-adds-a-title-and-tells-the-sec-about-it-51615816265?mod=hp_DAY_4><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla’s Elon Musk isn’t only a CEO. On Monday, he became a king of sorts.The electric vehicle pioneer toldthe Securities and Exchange Commissionthat founderMuskwill add the title Technoking of Tesla (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/teslas-elon-musk-adds-a-title-and-tells-the-sec-about-it-51615816265?mod=hp_DAY_4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/teslas-elon-musk-adds-a-title-and-tells-the-sec-about-it-51615816265?mod=hp_DAY_4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124726208","content_text":"Tesla’s Elon Musk isn’t only a CEO. On Monday, he became a king of sorts.The electric vehicle pioneer toldthe Securities and Exchange Commissionthat founderMuskwill add the title Technoking of Tesla (ticker: TSLA). CFO Zach Kirkhorn is getting another one, too: Master of Coin.In the SEC 8-K filing, Kirkhorn adds: “Elon and Zach will also maintain their respective positions as Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer.”An 8-K form is what companies file to notify shareholders of important information, such as earnings news releases, management appointments and corporate acquisitions.The new titles might reflect the men’s decision to put some of Tesla’s cash into Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency hit $60,000 over the weekend, making the EV maker more than $1 billion on its initial $1.5 billion buy. Tesla invested back when Bitcoin was about $33,000.Bitcoin has fallen back in Monday trading to about $56,000, but is still up more than 90% year to date and more than 20% in March.Musk spent part of his weekend tweeting about another of his favorite cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin, which is up to a little more than a nickel a Dogecoin—roughly about 1,300% year to date.Institutional investors are playing a major role in Bitcoin's recent uptick. Here's why, and what it means for the future.The Technoking and Master of Coin titles fall in line with Tesla’s offbeat approach. Musk has turned Tesla into the most valuable car company in the world by, essentially, paying no attention to what traditional automotive companies and analysts say.Still, the news isn’t doing much to Tesla stock, which is up about 2% on Monday.S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up about 0.7% and 0.5%, respectively.Investors are really waiting for the Federal Reserve to comment on interest rates later in the week. The U.S. 10 Year Treasury bond yield is up to about 1.6% from 1.2% only a few weeks back. The rapid rise has hit growth stocks, including Tesla shares. The Nasdaq Composite,home to many richly valued, high-growth stocks, is down about 5% since Feb. 16, when the index hit an all-time high. The Dow is up about 4% over the same period.Tesla stock is down about 13% since then. Higher rate shit high-growth stocks harder than others. They make it more expensive to finance growth like what Mush is targeting—vehicle delivery growth a year on average for the foreseeable future.What’s more, growth companies generate cash far in the future which is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors have other options to earn higher rates of interest today.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":329979232,"gmtCreate":1615203089126,"gmtModify":1703485597268,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意] ","listText":"[得意] ","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329979232","repostId":"1143083276","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143083276","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615201169,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143083276?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-08 18:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Betting On A Dream\": Could Tesla Be The Canary In The ETF Liquidity Coal Mine?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143083276","media":"zerohedge","summary":"All eyes are going to be on Tesla this year.The stock has been smashed over the last few weeks amidst a broader sentiment heat-check for NASDAQ names, high flying technology stocks and, well,just other speculative garbage.Over the last month, Tesla has fallen from about $868 to $598, a plunge of about 31%. But it isn't just Tesla investors that are feeling the pain: with the stock having risen in popularity over the last 18 months, Tesla is now tied to numerous ETFs that it winds up pulling lowe","content":"<p>All eyes are going to be on Tesla this year.</p>\n<p>The stock has been smashed over the last few weeks amidst a broader sentiment heat-check for NASDAQ names, high flying technology stocks and, well,<i>just other speculative garbage.</i></p>\n<p>Over the last month, Tesla has fallen from about $868 to $598, a plunge of about 31%. But it isn't just Tesla investors that are feeling the pain: with the stock having risen in popularity over the last 18 months, Tesla is now tied to numerous ETFs that it winds up pulling lower when it underperforms. In fact,Bloomberg notesthat \"at one point on Friday, every one of the 54 U.S.-based ETFs that have assets under management exceeding $1 billion and more than 1% invested in Tesla had fallen.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/163d6ed9599ca25e62542be9688eafd1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"295\">The most notable ETF is ARKK, which we have profiled at length, and exhaustively. Manager Cathie Woodhad been buyingshares of Tesla for the ETF as it plunged over the last couple weeks.</p>\n<p>Analysts are warning that one stock having as much of an impact as Tesla does could very quickly lead to things \"going haywire\", should it plunge further.</p>\n<p>Mohit Bajaj, director of ETFs for WallachBeth Capital, told Bloomberg: “Any fund that holds a large weight in a single stock, if there is selling of that fund, it will pressure the stock, and vice versa -- especially on down days when bids tend to disappear. We are seeing heavy pressure in some of these names that had such a huge run last year.”</p>\n<p>James Pillow, managing director at Moors & Cabot Inc., added: “High-flying stocks are great to own when there’s still wind beneath them.<b>But when that breadth thrust is withdrawn because of liquidity, they often fall much faster than they rose. Holding such high fliers is a significant risk to concentrated portfolios, and frankly it’s a risk for the confidence in the entire stock market.”</b></p>\n<p>Arthur Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities Corp., concluded: “Tesla is the poster child for betting on a dream. When you start looking at things and saying, ‘This is going to be the greatest fill-in-the-blank ever,’ and then running up its valuation, you have to understand, there are no one-way trades. Trees don’t grow to the sky. So when something goes parabolic, it tends to come back down to Earth at some juncture.”</p>\n<p>In other words, what goes up quickly, can come down even quicker.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/705c2ec9a4e4ab84d2b0a208ab2f7c97\" tg-width=\"461\" tg-height=\"586\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Betting On A Dream\": Could Tesla Be The Canary In The ETF Liquidity Coal Mine?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Betting On A Dream\": Could Tesla Be The Canary In The ETF Liquidity Coal Mine?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-08 18:59 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/betting-dream-could-tesla-be-canary-etf-liquidity-coal-mine?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>All eyes are going to be on Tesla this year.\nThe stock has been smashed over the last few weeks amidst a broader sentiment heat-check for NASDAQ names, high flying technology stocks and, well,just ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/betting-dream-could-tesla-be-canary-etf-liquidity-coal-mine?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/betting-dream-could-tesla-be-canary-etf-liquidity-coal-mine?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143083276","content_text":"All eyes are going to be on Tesla this year.\nThe stock has been smashed over the last few weeks amidst a broader sentiment heat-check for NASDAQ names, high flying technology stocks and, well,just other speculative garbage.\nOver the last month, Tesla has fallen from about $868 to $598, a plunge of about 31%. But it isn't just Tesla investors that are feeling the pain: with the stock having risen in popularity over the last 18 months, Tesla is now tied to numerous ETFs that it winds up pulling lower when it underperforms. In fact,Bloomberg notesthat \"at one point on Friday, every one of the 54 U.S.-based ETFs that have assets under management exceeding $1 billion and more than 1% invested in Tesla had fallen.\"\nThe most notable ETF is ARKK, which we have profiled at length, and exhaustively. Manager Cathie Woodhad been buyingshares of Tesla for the ETF as it plunged over the last couple weeks.\nAnalysts are warning that one stock having as much of an impact as Tesla does could very quickly lead to things \"going haywire\", should it plunge further.\nMohit Bajaj, director of ETFs for WallachBeth Capital, told Bloomberg: “Any fund that holds a large weight in a single stock, if there is selling of that fund, it will pressure the stock, and vice versa -- especially on down days when bids tend to disappear. We are seeing heavy pressure in some of these names that had such a huge run last year.”\nJames Pillow, managing director at Moors & Cabot Inc., added: “High-flying stocks are great to own when there’s still wind beneath them.But when that breadth thrust is withdrawn because of liquidity, they often fall much faster than they rose. Holding such high fliers is a significant risk to concentrated portfolios, and frankly it’s a risk for the confidence in the entire stock market.”\nArthur Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities Corp., concluded: “Tesla is the poster child for betting on a dream. When you start looking at things and saying, ‘This is going to be the greatest fill-in-the-blank ever,’ and then running up its valuation, you have to understand, there are no one-way trades. Trees don’t grow to the sky. So when something goes parabolic, it tends to come back down to Earth at some juncture.”\nIn other words, what goes up quickly, can come down even quicker.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360333943,"gmtCreate":1613827929682,"gmtModify":1634552092602,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360333943","repostId":"1143100356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143100356","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613792715,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143100356?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-20 11:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy Now for Big Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143100356","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped during the week of February 15, after they closed at new records last week. Despite the drop in some of the big tech names such as AppleAAPL, FacebookFB, MicrosoftMSFT, Zoom VideoZM, and countless others this week, the market fundamentals remain relatively strong.Ebbs and flows, as well as pullbacks and corrections are healthy aspects of the market. And they need not be viewed as anything but normal occurrences, especially as strong earnings results ","content":"<p>The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped during the week of February 15, after they closed at new records last week. Despite the drop in some of the big tech names such as AppleAAPL, FacebookFB, MicrosoftMSFT, Zoom VideoZM, and countless others this week, the market fundamentals remain relatively strong.</p><p>Ebbs and flows, as well as pullbacks and corrections are healthy aspects of the market. And they need not be viewed as anything but normal occurrences, especially as strong earnings results continue to pour in. Better yet, the outlook for the first quarter and the rest of 2021 has improved significantly.</p><p>Vaccine distribution will hopefully help the economy roar back by the summer and lift some of the hardest-hit areas of the economy. Meanwhile, Wall Street is banking on more spending under the Biden administration and the Fed remains firmly committed to keeping interest rates low.</p><p>All of these factors set up a bullish outlook for 2021. But instead of focusing on companies that need a vaccine to really grow, let’s look at two tech stocks that have posted big sales growth during the pandemic and are ready to expand for years within futuristic industries…</p><p><b>NIO Inc.NIO</b></p><p>Every major automaker, from FordFto Volvo, is racing to roll out more electric vehicles as they try to catch TeslaTSLA. Luckily for investors, the EV market is far from a zero-sum game and newcomers continue to enter the space. Chinese EV maker NIO is a rising star in the booming market, as its sales continue to grow. The company is also focused on autonomous driving tech, as well as batteries, which are the lifeblood of the industry.</p><p>NIO sells multiple models that are somewhat in-line with Tesla, from smaller SUVs to sedans. The company said in early January that it delivered 17,353 vehicles in the fourth quarter, which marked a 110% jump.</p><p>Overall, NIO’s full-year deliveries surged 113% to nearly 44,000 vehicles in 2020. And its January 2021 figures were even more impressive, with deliveries up 350% from the year-ago period to push its overall cumulative deliveries to 83K.</p><p>With this in mind, Zacks estimates call for NIO’s FY20 revenue to jump 120% to $2.49 billion, with FY21 projected to come in another 97% higher to reach $4.89 billion. The Chinese EV company is also expected to significantly shrink its adjusted losses during this stretch.</p><p>NIO has topped our EPS estimates in the trailing two periods and its positive earnings revisions help it land a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) heading into the release of its Q4 results on March 1.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b6233d1784a5cb7db62b437f7632a3f\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>NIO, which rocks an “A” grade for Growth in our Style Scores system, has seen its stock skyrocket over 1,000% in the last year and 300% in the past six months. Luckily for investors who missed the ride, NIO has cooled down, up only 12% in the last three months.</p><p>At roughly $55 per share, it’s down about 13% from its late January records. The recent downturn has seen it fall from overbought in terms of the Relative Strength Index to around 45—an RSI above 70 is often regarded as overbought, with any number below 30 considered oversold.</p><p>NIO’s recent price performance could give it room to run if it’s able to impress Wall Street. And the stock jumped over 1% through morning trading Friday, as it bounces off its 50-day moving average. NIO shares also trade at a discount compared to other high-flyers at 12.7X forward sales, which marks a discount against Tesla’s 15.5X and comes in 25% below its own six-months highs.</p><p>Three out of the nine brokerage recommendations that Zacks has for NIO come in at a “Strong Buy,” with none below a “Hold.” NIO might be worth buying as a long-term play that’s far less expensive than Tesla ($784 a share), in a world where EVs already accounted for over 30% of Volvo’s new car sales in Europe in 2020. And let’s remember that China is one of the world’s largest EV markets.</p><p><b>CrowdStrikeCRWD</b></p><p>CrowdStrike is a cloud-focused cybersecurity firm that utilizes machine learning and AI to protect endpoints and cloud workloads. This is crucial in the cloud age that’s full of rapidly expanding endpoints, which include laptops, desktops, smartphones, IoT devices, and more.</p><p>Remote work and schooling pushed this area of the ever-growing cybersecurity space to the forefront, but it was already booming. More importantly, as devices proliferate and our digitally-connected world grows more complex, it becomes more vulnerable.</p><p>CrowdStrike on February announced plans to bolster its offerings through the acquisition of Humio for $400 million—expected to close in the first quarter. Humio provides high-performance cloud log management and observability technology. The deal is set to “further expand its eXtended Detection and Response (XDR) capabilities by ingesting and correlating data from any log, application or feed to deliver actionable insights and real-time protection.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f684cfbac7ba46e2cf8ab6e063461a2\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"280\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>CrowdStrike, which went public in the summer of 2019, has soared nearly 280% in the past 12 months. More recently, the stock is up 65% in the last six months, and it already bounced back to new records—which it hit earlier in the week—after it slipped in mid-January.</p><p>The stock is firmly a growth play at the moment, trading at 42.7X forward sales, which puts it right in line with e-commerce giant ShopifySHOP. Despite its run, the stock is not currently considered overbought, with an RSI of 64.</p><p>CRWD’s positive earnings revisions help it grab a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at the moment, with it set to release its fourth quarter fiscal 2021 results on March 16. Meanwhile, 14 of the 19 brokerage ratings Zacks has for CRWD come in at a “Strong Buy,” with none lower than a “Hold.”</p><p>Looking back, the company crushed our Q3 estimates in December, with sales up 86%. CrowdStrike also lifted its guidance at the time. Zacks estimates currently call for it to swing from an adjusted loss of -$0.02 a share in the year-ago period to +$0.09 in the fourth quarter on 65% stronger sales.</p><p>In total, the cybersecurity firm is projected to soar from a loss of -$0.42 a share to +$0.23 in fiscal 2021. Plus, CRWD’s FY22 EPS figure is projected to climb another 70% higher, all the way to $0.39 a share. Meanwhile, its revenue is projected to jump 79% to hit $861 million in FY21 and then climb another 42% to $1.22 billion in FY22.</p><p>CrowdStrike’s expected growth would come on top of FY20’s 93% sales expansion. The stock has clearly already gone on an impressive run. But it is poised to continue to grow in a world where everything is connected and data is endless. Therefore, cybersecurity firms such as CrowdStrike might make for strong long-term growth plays.</p><p><b>These Stocks Are Poised to Soar Past the Pandemic</b>The COVID-19 outbreak has shifted consumer behavior dramatically, and a handful of high-tech companies have stepped up to keep America running. Right now, investors in these companies have a shot at serious profits. For example, Zoom jumped 108.5% in less than 4 months while most other stocks were sinking.</p><p>Our research shows that 5 cutting-edge stocks could skyrocket from the exponential increase in demand for “stay at home” technologies. This could be one of the biggest buying opportunities of this decade, especially for those who get in early.</p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy Now for Big Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy Now for Big Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-20 11:45 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-now-for-big-growth-2021-02-19><strong>Nasdaq</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped during the week of February 15, after they closed at new records last week. Despite the drop in some of the big tech names such as AppleAAPL, FacebookFB, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-now-for-big-growth-2021-02-19\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-now-for-big-growth-2021-02-19","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143100356","content_text":"The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped during the week of February 15, after they closed at new records last week. Despite the drop in some of the big tech names such as AppleAAPL, FacebookFB, MicrosoftMSFT, Zoom VideoZM, and countless others this week, the market fundamentals remain relatively strong.Ebbs and flows, as well as pullbacks and corrections are healthy aspects of the market. And they need not be viewed as anything but normal occurrences, especially as strong earnings results continue to pour in. Better yet, the outlook for the first quarter and the rest of 2021 has improved significantly.Vaccine distribution will hopefully help the economy roar back by the summer and lift some of the hardest-hit areas of the economy. Meanwhile, Wall Street is banking on more spending under the Biden administration and the Fed remains firmly committed to keeping interest rates low.All of these factors set up a bullish outlook for 2021. But instead of focusing on companies that need a vaccine to really grow, let’s look at two tech stocks that have posted big sales growth during the pandemic and are ready to expand for years within futuristic industries…NIO Inc.NIOEvery major automaker, from FordFto Volvo, is racing to roll out more electric vehicles as they try to catch TeslaTSLA. Luckily for investors, the EV market is far from a zero-sum game and newcomers continue to enter the space. Chinese EV maker NIO is a rising star in the booming market, as its sales continue to grow. The company is also focused on autonomous driving tech, as well as batteries, which are the lifeblood of the industry.NIO sells multiple models that are somewhat in-line with Tesla, from smaller SUVs to sedans. The company said in early January that it delivered 17,353 vehicles in the fourth quarter, which marked a 110% jump.Overall, NIO’s full-year deliveries surged 113% to nearly 44,000 vehicles in 2020. And its January 2021 figures were even more impressive, with deliveries up 350% from the year-ago period to push its overall cumulative deliveries to 83K.With this in mind, Zacks estimates call for NIO’s FY20 revenue to jump 120% to $2.49 billion, with FY21 projected to come in another 97% higher to reach $4.89 billion. The Chinese EV company is also expected to significantly shrink its adjusted losses during this stretch.NIO has topped our EPS estimates in the trailing two periods and its positive earnings revisions help it land a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) heading into the release of its Q4 results on March 1.NIO, which rocks an “A” grade for Growth in our Style Scores system, has seen its stock skyrocket over 1,000% in the last year and 300% in the past six months. Luckily for investors who missed the ride, NIO has cooled down, up only 12% in the last three months.At roughly $55 per share, it’s down about 13% from its late January records. The recent downturn has seen it fall from overbought in terms of the Relative Strength Index to around 45—an RSI above 70 is often regarded as overbought, with any number below 30 considered oversold.NIO’s recent price performance could give it room to run if it’s able to impress Wall Street. And the stock jumped over 1% through morning trading Friday, as it bounces off its 50-day moving average. NIO shares also trade at a discount compared to other high-flyers at 12.7X forward sales, which marks a discount against Tesla’s 15.5X and comes in 25% below its own six-months highs.Three out of the nine brokerage recommendations that Zacks has for NIO come in at a “Strong Buy,” with none below a “Hold.” NIO might be worth buying as a long-term play that’s far less expensive than Tesla ($784 a share), in a world where EVs already accounted for over 30% of Volvo’s new car sales in Europe in 2020. And let’s remember that China is one of the world’s largest EV markets.CrowdStrikeCRWDCrowdStrike is a cloud-focused cybersecurity firm that utilizes machine learning and AI to protect endpoints and cloud workloads. This is crucial in the cloud age that’s full of rapidly expanding endpoints, which include laptops, desktops, smartphones, IoT devices, and more.Remote work and schooling pushed this area of the ever-growing cybersecurity space to the forefront, but it was already booming. More importantly, as devices proliferate and our digitally-connected world grows more complex, it becomes more vulnerable.CrowdStrike on February announced plans to bolster its offerings through the acquisition of Humio for $400 million—expected to close in the first quarter. Humio provides high-performance cloud log management and observability technology. The deal is set to “further expand its eXtended Detection and Response (XDR) capabilities by ingesting and correlating data from any log, application or feed to deliver actionable insights and real-time protection.”CrowdStrike, which went public in the summer of 2019, has soared nearly 280% in the past 12 months. More recently, the stock is up 65% in the last six months, and it already bounced back to new records—which it hit earlier in the week—after it slipped in mid-January.The stock is firmly a growth play at the moment, trading at 42.7X forward sales, which puts it right in line with e-commerce giant ShopifySHOP. Despite its run, the stock is not currently considered overbought, with an RSI of 64.CRWD’s positive earnings revisions help it grab a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at the moment, with it set to release its fourth quarter fiscal 2021 results on March 16. Meanwhile, 14 of the 19 brokerage ratings Zacks has for CRWD come in at a “Strong Buy,” with none lower than a “Hold.”Looking back, the company crushed our Q3 estimates in December, with sales up 86%. CrowdStrike also lifted its guidance at the time. Zacks estimates currently call for it to swing from an adjusted loss of -$0.02 a share in the year-ago period to +$0.09 in the fourth quarter on 65% stronger sales.In total, the cybersecurity firm is projected to soar from a loss of -$0.42 a share to +$0.23 in fiscal 2021. Plus, CRWD’s FY22 EPS figure is projected to climb another 70% higher, all the way to $0.39 a share. Meanwhile, its revenue is projected to jump 79% to hit $861 million in FY21 and then climb another 42% to $1.22 billion in FY22.CrowdStrike’s expected growth would come on top of FY20’s 93% sales expansion. The stock has clearly already gone on an impressive run. But it is poised to continue to grow in a world where everything is connected and data is endless. Therefore, cybersecurity firms such as CrowdStrike might make for strong long-term growth plays.These Stocks Are Poised to Soar Past the PandemicThe COVID-19 outbreak has shifted consumer behavior dramatically, and a handful of high-tech companies have stepped up to keep America running. Right now, investors in these companies have a shot at serious profits. For example, Zoom jumped 108.5% in less than 4 months while most other stocks were sinking.Our research shows that 5 cutting-edge stocks could skyrocket from the exponential increase in demand for “stay at home” technologies. This could be one of the biggest buying opportunities of this decade, especially for those who get in early.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":324446993,"gmtCreate":1616027656612,"gmtModify":1703496514803,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324446993","repostId":"1139841674","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":329970769,"gmtCreate":1615203012251,"gmtModify":1703485596056,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[贱笑] ","listText":"[贱笑] ","text":"[贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329970769","repostId":"1180822399","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180822399","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615202063,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180822399?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-08 19:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Is Having the Worst Run in a Year as Big Bets Falter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180822399","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"ARKK ETF drops in early trading after three weeks in retreat\nTesla, Square, Roku and other large hol","content":"<ul>\n <li>ARKK ETF drops in early trading after three weeks in retreat</li>\n <li>Tesla, Square, Roku and other large holdings are all tumbling</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Cathie Wood’s exchange-traded funds slumped in the pre-market on Monday, signaling no end to the selling that has wiped 25% from her flagship investing strategy over three turbulent weeks.</p>\n<p>That’s the longest stretch of weekly losses for the Ark Innovation ETF (tickerARKK) since the Covid-spurred meltdown last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The fund dropped about 4.3% as of 5:20 a.m. in New York, with other products from Wood’s Ark Investment Management falling in lockstep.</p>\n<p>Contracts on the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.8% in early trading as benchmark Treasury yields topped 1.6%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c236f6e5a0344af5c61c9bcd134a028\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>A glance at some of the biggest Ark holdings told the story: Tesla Inc., its top bet, was down 5%. Square Inc. slid by 3.9%, and Teladoc Health, Inc. declined 3.5%. Zillow Group Inc. was edging lower.</p>\n<p>These stocks have benn some of the hottest on Wall Street, surging as the pandemic accelerated a shift to online working while the election of U.S. President Joe Biden raised expectations of a policy boost for electric vehicles. Now, the prospect of rising inflation amid an economic recovery is driving up bond yields, making the highest priced equities less attractive.</p>\n<p>The prolonged run of losses across Wood’s funds represents the biggest test yet for the firm she founded in 2014. Investors poured billions of dollars into her funds in recent months inspired by Ark’s stellar returns in 2020.</p>\n<p>The latest data showed that the main fund recorded a small inflow on Thursday, even as it dropped 5.3%. Other funds like the Ark Next Generation ETF (ARKW) and the Ark Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) saw hundreds of millions in outflows.</p>\n<p>Short interest in ARKK, as measured by the percentage of available shares that are on loan, has climbed to a record of more than 5%, according to data from IHS Markit Ltd. Bearish bets had eased slightly on Thursday.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Is Having the Worst Run in a Year as Big Bets Falter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Is Having the Worst Run in a Year as Big Bets Falter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-08 19:14 GMT+8 <a href=http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-08/cathie-wood-is-having-the-worst-run-in-a-year-as-big-bets-falter?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ARKK ETF drops in early trading after three weeks in retreat\nTesla, Square, Roku and other large holdings are all tumbling\n\nCathie Wood’s exchange-traded funds slumped in the pre-market on Monday, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-08/cathie-wood-is-having-the-worst-run-in-a-year-as-big-bets-falter?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","ROKU":"Roku Inc","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","SQ":"Block"},"source_url":"http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-08/cathie-wood-is-having-the-worst-run-in-a-year-as-big-bets-falter?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180822399","content_text":"ARKK ETF drops in early trading after three weeks in retreat\nTesla, Square, Roku and other large holdings are all tumbling\n\nCathie Wood’s exchange-traded funds slumped in the pre-market on Monday, signaling no end to the selling that has wiped 25% from her flagship investing strategy over three turbulent weeks.\nThat’s the longest stretch of weekly losses for the Ark Innovation ETF (tickerARKK) since the Covid-spurred meltdown last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The fund dropped about 4.3% as of 5:20 a.m. in New York, with other products from Wood’s Ark Investment Management falling in lockstep.\nContracts on the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.8% in early trading as benchmark Treasury yields topped 1.6%.\n\nA glance at some of the biggest Ark holdings told the story: Tesla Inc., its top bet, was down 5%. Square Inc. slid by 3.9%, and Teladoc Health, Inc. declined 3.5%. Zillow Group Inc. was edging lower.\nThese stocks have benn some of the hottest on Wall Street, surging as the pandemic accelerated a shift to online working while the election of U.S. President Joe Biden raised expectations of a policy boost for electric vehicles. Now, the prospect of rising inflation amid an economic recovery is driving up bond yields, making the highest priced equities less attractive.\nThe prolonged run of losses across Wood’s funds represents the biggest test yet for the firm she founded in 2014. Investors poured billions of dollars into her funds in recent months inspired by Ark’s stellar returns in 2020.\nThe latest data showed that the main fund recorded a small inflow on Thursday, even as it dropped 5.3%. Other funds like the Ark Next Generation ETF (ARKW) and the Ark Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) saw hundreds of millions in outflows.\nShort interest in ARKK, as measured by the percentage of available shares that are on loan, has climbed to a record of more than 5%, according to data from IHS Markit Ltd. Bearish bets had eased slightly on Thursday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365884158,"gmtCreate":1614727661274,"gmtModify":1703480312199,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365884158","repostId":"1172570236","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":383905632,"gmtCreate":1612825878126,"gmtModify":1703765492368,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noobs","listText":"Noobs","text":"Noobs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383905632","repostId":"1195153829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195153829","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612781502,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195153829?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-08 18:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s What the GameStop Affair Has Taught Us","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195153829","media":"Barrons","summary":"This commentary was issued recently by money managers, research firms, and market newsletter writers","content":"<p><i>This commentary was issued recently by money managers, research firms, and market newsletter writers and has been edited by Barron’s.</i></p>\n<p>What GameStop Taught Us</p>\n<p><i>The Weekly Speculator</i></p>\n<p><i>Marketfield Asset Management</i></p>\n<p>marketfield.com</p>\n<p>Feb. 4: After all is said and done, one of the most lasting effects of theGameStop(ticker: GME) episode will be to educate many market participants about the key role and ultimate power held by the clearing institution, the Depository Trust Company. One of the stranger aspects of the affair has been the attempt to paint it as some form of moral crusade, or an opportunity for the “little guy” to get even with Wall Street. The truth is that some large investors lost a great deal of money, while others were well rewarded, just as some small investors will have reaped life-changing sums while others will have lost funds that may prove to be equally impactful. In this sense, the market is a meritocracy, which isn’t quite the same as saying that it is always fair in delivering outcomes.</p>\n<p>What is also clear is that late January saw a very significant degrossing of levered hedge-fund investors, without causing a deep correction in the equity market. The S&P 500 essentially respected support at the 50-day moving average, and didn’t need to move down to 3600, which we had set as a “worst case” target. The Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and MSCI Emerging Markets Index didn’t need to touch their corresponding trend support, and all three indexes managed to generate a positive return in January, unlike the S&P 500, which registered a small loss. The subsequent bounce has been rapid and broad, as would be expected from a catalyst that was both technical and ephemeral in nature.</p>\n<p>That it is not a wholly positive or inconsequential affair. The long bull market is now showing signs of developing into a historic mania. This doesn’t mean that a market peak is imminent, but the normative process—whereby what is “appropriate” is ultimately influenced by extremes—means that the levels of risk being taken by the average investor are probably significantly higher than they were pre-Covid.</p>\n<p>—Michael Shaoul, Timothy Brackett</p>\n<p>Heigh-Ho Silver!</p>\n<p><i>The Aden Forecast Weekly Update</i></p>\n<p><i>The Aden Forecast</i></p>\n<p>adenforecast.com</p>\n<p>Feb. 4: Silver caught on fire by zipping up to the August highs near $30 on Monday during the Reddit buying frenzy. Silver was strong anyway, and it’s been holding up well, so whoever pegged silver knew what they were doing. Silver shares also got a big boost upward, and while they have since calmed down, it looks like volatility will stay with us. Silver has been holding above its 15-week moving average since December, and it’ll remain strong by staying above it at $25. The next milestone to surpass is the $30 level, the highs for this bull market. If clearly broken, another leg up will be underway. Keep your silver and silver share positions.</p>\n<p>—Mary Anne and Pamela Aden</p>\n<p>How to Play Oil’s Recent Rally</p>\n<p><i>Daily Insights</i></p>\n<p><i>BCA Research</i></p>\n<p><i>bcaresearch.com</i></p>\n<p>Feb 4: The recent oil rally will have consequences for asset prices beyond the energy market. While higher oil prices benefit oil exporters, they hurt the economies of oil importers, often with a lag.</p>\n<p>A great example of these dynamics is China. The Chinese economy is a large oil importer; hence, rising oil prices act as a tax on Chinese growth. Moreover, Chinese A shares massively overweight tech stocks, which receive no benefit from higher energy prices. In fact, over the past four years, increasing Brent prices reliably lead to a decline in on-shore domestic markets by roughly three months. The current setup is reminiscent of early 2018. Back then, Chinese A shares had been rallying for a few months after oil prices had started to rally. Ultimately, a deceleration in Chinese growth and cautious policy making from Beijing resulted in a powerful selloff of Chinese equities. Today, Chinese growth is once again decelerating and Beijing is conducting some significant regulatory tightening, while the People’s Bank of China is draining liquidity. Thus, a significant correction in Chinese shares is likely this spring.</p>\n<p>A lower-octane strategy to play these dynamics is to go long United Kingdom equities relative to Germany’s while espousing the implicit currency exposure. German equities are extremely underweight energy, and Germany imports its entire oil consumption. Meanwhile, the U.K. benchmark is replete with energy stocks and the U.K. remains an oil producer, even if it imports some of its oil (rising Brent represents a comparatively smaller tax on the U.K. economy). As a side benefit, the pound is very cheap against the euro and the U.K.’s vaccination campaign is massively ahead of the eurozone’s, which could result in earlier economic dividends north of the Channel and hurt the euro/pound in the process.</p>\n<p>—Mathieu Savary and Team</p>\n<p>High-Yield Opportunities</p>\n<p><i>Carret Credit Insight</i></p>\n<p><i>Carret Asset Mangaement</i></p>\n<p>carret.com</p>\n<p>Feb. 3: At year-end 2020, the iBoxx High-Yield Index yielded 4.23%, an all-time low. Spreads also registered record tightness. Low yields aren’t a surprise as investors globally reach for income. The Federal Reserve has backstopped the “fallen angels,” allowing many high-yield (HY) companies to refinance at ever-lower rates and extend upcoming maturities for another day. Strong equity markets are forecasting an earnings rebound, and the vaccines will bring brighter days soon. We continue to find attractive values in the short/intermediate portion of the high-quality HY market.</p>\n<p>We want to share a recent academic study with you regarding the risk and returns in the HY bond market: George Mason Universityrecently publisheda report on HY bond-fund returns and volatility relative to equities (S&P 500). Since 1990, the average HY bond fund has delivered average annualized returns of 7.1% with a volatility of 7.7%. Over the same time period, the S&P 500 delivered an average annualized return of 7.8%, but with almost double the volatility of 14.5%. The conclusion: HY bonds have paid total returns near those of the U.S. stock market with half of the volatility. We believe the HY market will offer competitive returns in the decade ahead, as equity valuations have risen and Treasury yields have plummeted. Our ability to utilize busted convertibles, preferreds, and special-situation income investments enhances our cash-flow opportunities.</p>\n<p>—Jason R. Graybill, Neil D. Klein</p>\n<p>Emerging Markets Blast Off</p>\n<p><i>PCM Report</i></p>\n<p><i>Peak Capital Management</i></p>\n<p>pcmstrategies.com</p>\n<p>Feb. 1: So far, 2021 has been a good year for emerging-market equities. Year to date, theiShares MSCI Emerging Marketsexchange-traded fund (EEM) is higher by roughly 8%, compared to a gain of approximately 3% for theSPDR S&P 500ETF (SPY). Ever since the financial crisis of 2008, emerging markets collectively have woefully lagged U.S. equities.</p>\n<p>What could propel the asset class higher in 20201 and beyond? In the long term, the likely catalyst is demographics. Developed markets such as the U.S. and Europe have aging populations, which could suggest lower productivity and gross-domestic-product growth over the next decade compared to emerging-market economies.</p>\n<p>In its most recent capital-markets report, JPMorgan projected GDP growth across emerging markets to be 3.9% in 2021, compared to 1.6% across developed markets. The report suggests China and India will drive GDP growth, and emerging markets’ productivity and human capital will gradually converge to developed-market levels.</p>\n<p>—Clint Pekrul</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title> Here’s What the GameStop Affair Has Taught Us</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n Here’s What the GameStop Affair Has Taught Us\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-08 18:51 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-episode-offers-lessons-for-investors-51612572300?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This commentary was issued recently by money managers, research firms, and market newsletter writers and has been edited by Barron’s.\nWhat GameStop Taught Us\nThe Weekly Speculator\nMarketfield Asset ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-episode-offers-lessons-for-investors-51612572300?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GME":"游戏驿站",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-episode-offers-lessons-for-investors-51612572300?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195153829","content_text":"This commentary was issued recently by money managers, research firms, and market newsletter writers and has been edited by Barron’s.\nWhat GameStop Taught Us\nThe Weekly Speculator\nMarketfield Asset Management\nmarketfield.com\nFeb. 4: After all is said and done, one of the most lasting effects of theGameStop(ticker: GME) episode will be to educate many market participants about the key role and ultimate power held by the clearing institution, the Depository Trust Company. One of the stranger aspects of the affair has been the attempt to paint it as some form of moral crusade, or an opportunity for the “little guy” to get even with Wall Street. The truth is that some large investors lost a great deal of money, while others were well rewarded, just as some small investors will have reaped life-changing sums while others will have lost funds that may prove to be equally impactful. In this sense, the market is a meritocracy, which isn’t quite the same as saying that it is always fair in delivering outcomes.\nWhat is also clear is that late January saw a very significant degrossing of levered hedge-fund investors, without causing a deep correction in the equity market. The S&P 500 essentially respected support at the 50-day moving average, and didn’t need to move down to 3600, which we had set as a “worst case” target. The Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and MSCI Emerging Markets Index didn’t need to touch their corresponding trend support, and all three indexes managed to generate a positive return in January, unlike the S&P 500, which registered a small loss. The subsequent bounce has been rapid and broad, as would be expected from a catalyst that was both technical and ephemeral in nature.\nThat it is not a wholly positive or inconsequential affair. The long bull market is now showing signs of developing into a historic mania. This doesn’t mean that a market peak is imminent, but the normative process—whereby what is “appropriate” is ultimately influenced by extremes—means that the levels of risk being taken by the average investor are probably significantly higher than they were pre-Covid.\n—Michael Shaoul, Timothy Brackett\nHeigh-Ho Silver!\nThe Aden Forecast Weekly Update\nThe Aden Forecast\nadenforecast.com\nFeb. 4: Silver caught on fire by zipping up to the August highs near $30 on Monday during the Reddit buying frenzy. Silver was strong anyway, and it’s been holding up well, so whoever pegged silver knew what they were doing. Silver shares also got a big boost upward, and while they have since calmed down, it looks like volatility will stay with us. Silver has been holding above its 15-week moving average since December, and it’ll remain strong by staying above it at $25. The next milestone to surpass is the $30 level, the highs for this bull market. If clearly broken, another leg up will be underway. Keep your silver and silver share positions.\n—Mary Anne and Pamela Aden\nHow to Play Oil’s Recent Rally\nDaily Insights\nBCA Research\nbcaresearch.com\nFeb 4: The recent oil rally will have consequences for asset prices beyond the energy market. While higher oil prices benefit oil exporters, they hurt the economies of oil importers, often with a lag.\nA great example of these dynamics is China. The Chinese economy is a large oil importer; hence, rising oil prices act as a tax on Chinese growth. Moreover, Chinese A shares massively overweight tech stocks, which receive no benefit from higher energy prices. In fact, over the past four years, increasing Brent prices reliably lead to a decline in on-shore domestic markets by roughly three months. The current setup is reminiscent of early 2018. Back then, Chinese A shares had been rallying for a few months after oil prices had started to rally. Ultimately, a deceleration in Chinese growth and cautious policy making from Beijing resulted in a powerful selloff of Chinese equities. Today, Chinese growth is once again decelerating and Beijing is conducting some significant regulatory tightening, while the People’s Bank of China is draining liquidity. Thus, a significant correction in Chinese shares is likely this spring.\nA lower-octane strategy to play these dynamics is to go long United Kingdom equities relative to Germany’s while espousing the implicit currency exposure. German equities are extremely underweight energy, and Germany imports its entire oil consumption. Meanwhile, the U.K. benchmark is replete with energy stocks and the U.K. remains an oil producer, even if it imports some of its oil (rising Brent represents a comparatively smaller tax on the U.K. economy). As a side benefit, the pound is very cheap against the euro and the U.K.’s vaccination campaign is massively ahead of the eurozone’s, which could result in earlier economic dividends north of the Channel and hurt the euro/pound in the process.\n—Mathieu Savary and Team\nHigh-Yield Opportunities\nCarret Credit Insight\nCarret Asset Mangaement\ncarret.com\nFeb. 3: At year-end 2020, the iBoxx High-Yield Index yielded 4.23%, an all-time low. Spreads also registered record tightness. Low yields aren’t a surprise as investors globally reach for income. The Federal Reserve has backstopped the “fallen angels,” allowing many high-yield (HY) companies to refinance at ever-lower rates and extend upcoming maturities for another day. Strong equity markets are forecasting an earnings rebound, and the vaccines will bring brighter days soon. We continue to find attractive values in the short/intermediate portion of the high-quality HY market.\nWe want to share a recent academic study with you regarding the risk and returns in the HY bond market: George Mason Universityrecently publisheda report on HY bond-fund returns and volatility relative to equities (S&P 500). Since 1990, the average HY bond fund has delivered average annualized returns of 7.1% with a volatility of 7.7%. Over the same time period, the S&P 500 delivered an average annualized return of 7.8%, but with almost double the volatility of 14.5%. The conclusion: HY bonds have paid total returns near those of the U.S. stock market with half of the volatility. We believe the HY market will offer competitive returns in the decade ahead, as equity valuations have risen and Treasury yields have plummeted. Our ability to utilize busted convertibles, preferreds, and special-situation income investments enhances our cash-flow opportunities.\n—Jason R. Graybill, Neil D. Klein\nEmerging Markets Blast Off\nPCM Report\nPeak Capital Management\npcmstrategies.com\nFeb. 1: So far, 2021 has been a good year for emerging-market equities. Year to date, theiShares MSCI Emerging Marketsexchange-traded fund (EEM) is higher by roughly 8%, compared to a gain of approximately 3% for theSPDR S&P 500ETF (SPY). Ever since the financial crisis of 2008, emerging markets collectively have woefully lagged U.S. equities.\nWhat could propel the asset class higher in 20201 and beyond? In the long term, the likely catalyst is demographics. Developed markets such as the U.S. and Europe have aging populations, which could suggest lower productivity and gross-domestic-product growth over the next decade compared to emerging-market economies.\nIn its most recent capital-markets report, JPMorgan projected GDP growth across emerging markets to be 3.9% in 2021, compared to 1.6% across developed markets. The report suggests China and India will drive GDP growth, and emerging markets’ productivity and human capital will gradually converge to developed-market levels.\n—Clint Pekrul","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359084127,"gmtCreate":1616301528769,"gmtModify":1634526420976,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please[开心] ","listText":"Like and comment please[开心] ","text":"Like and comment please[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359084127","repostId":"1103756496","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103756496","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616163949,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103756496?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103756496","media":"The Street","summary":"Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.Now, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares?At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the s","content":"<p>Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.</p>\n<p>Now, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares? At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the stock price from current levels.</p>\n<p><b>Apple might be too hyped</b></p>\n<p>Goldman Sach’s Rod Hall is one of those very rare Apple analysts that maintain a sell rating on the stock. While I have not come across research from him that is more recent thanlate January, most of his bearish points still seem relevant today.</p>\n<p>For starters, Goldman does not seem impressed with the near-term smartphone opportunity. According to the research shop, the iPhone 12 resembles a “redesign cycle” rather thana more meaningful “5G super cycle”. As a result, iPhone replacement rates should be low in 2021.</p>\n<p>Still on the same subject, Goldman projects ASP (average selling price) to come down this year, as buyers shift to cheaper models like the iPhone 12 mini and the iPhone 11. Here,recent data points have been suggesting the opposite: the mini seems to be the biggest loser within the product portfolio, while the Pro and Pro Max have been performing above expectations.</p>\n<p>Also, Mr. Hall does not seethe Apple Car opportunityas a profitable initiative.Accordingto him:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “The auto industry has generally lower gross margins than Apple's own current businesses. Tesla's gross margins are about 20%, compared to Apple's 40%. Operating margins are even lower, typically in the high single digits. Even in optimistic scenarios, the release of a production Apple Car is likely to have only a minor impact on Apple's bottom line.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Lastly, the analyst believes that the end of the COVID-19 crisis will trigger a discretionary spending shift from tech devices (iPhones, Macs) to away-from-home services (travel and leisure). This could be a negative catalyst for the stock in 2021.</p>\n<p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p>\n<p>In my opinion, the market is not the place to cheer for or against a stock. This is what sports arenas are for (after the pandemic is over, of course). So, I think that even the most confident of Apple investors should pay attention to the bearish case on the stock, and think through the arguments critically.</p>\n<p>I think Goldman raises good points about the hype around the 5G super cycle and the Apple Car. Whether either can push Apple’s financial results significantly above current consensus remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the stockseems to have already priced some of the upside.</p>\n<p>I also understand the risk in discretionary spending migrating away from tech hardware, software and services. Just as an example,air travel bookings for the summer seasonhave already started to climb fast. Where will the money to cover these costs come from? A brand-new iPad could be one answer.</p>\n<p>Still, the Apple Maven sees more upside to investing in Apple at current levels than downside risk. In addition to the bullish points on the business fundamentals,the valuation floor and dip-buying opportunityincreases the probability that an investment in Apple today will pay off in the long term.</p>\n<p><b>Twitter speaks</b></p>\n<p>The most bullish analysts say that Apple could head to $225 per share, under the rosiest scenario. The most bearish of them says “not so fast”, and sees 35% downside risk. Who will be proven right?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/416292f8a70685b7612b592d29c72df6\" tg-width=\"589\" tg-height=\"454\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e715d243108042b76de007cc2748aed\" tg-width=\"678\" tg-height=\"520\"></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 22:25 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103756496","content_text":"Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.\nNow, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares? At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the stock price from current levels.\nApple might be too hyped\nGoldman Sach’s Rod Hall is one of those very rare Apple analysts that maintain a sell rating on the stock. While I have not come across research from him that is more recent thanlate January, most of his bearish points still seem relevant today.\nFor starters, Goldman does not seem impressed with the near-term smartphone opportunity. According to the research shop, the iPhone 12 resembles a “redesign cycle” rather thana more meaningful “5G super cycle”. As a result, iPhone replacement rates should be low in 2021.\nStill on the same subject, Goldman projects ASP (average selling price) to come down this year, as buyers shift to cheaper models like the iPhone 12 mini and the iPhone 11. Here,recent data points have been suggesting the opposite: the mini seems to be the biggest loser within the product portfolio, while the Pro and Pro Max have been performing above expectations.\nAlso, Mr. Hall does not seethe Apple Car opportunityas a profitable initiative.Accordingto him:\n\n “The auto industry has generally lower gross margins than Apple's own current businesses. Tesla's gross margins are about 20%, compared to Apple's 40%. Operating margins are even lower, typically in the high single digits. Even in optimistic scenarios, the release of a production Apple Car is likely to have only a minor impact on Apple's bottom line.”\n\nLastly, the analyst believes that the end of the COVID-19 crisis will trigger a discretionary spending shift from tech devices (iPhones, Macs) to away-from-home services (travel and leisure). This could be a negative catalyst for the stock in 2021.\nThe Apple Maven’s take\nIn my opinion, the market is not the place to cheer for or against a stock. This is what sports arenas are for (after the pandemic is over, of course). So, I think that even the most confident of Apple investors should pay attention to the bearish case on the stock, and think through the arguments critically.\nI think Goldman raises good points about the hype around the 5G super cycle and the Apple Car. Whether either can push Apple’s financial results significantly above current consensus remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the stockseems to have already priced some of the upside.\nI also understand the risk in discretionary spending migrating away from tech hardware, software and services. Just as an example,air travel bookings for the summer seasonhave already started to climb fast. Where will the money to cover these costs come from? A brand-new iPad could be one answer.\nStill, the Apple Maven sees more upside to investing in Apple at current levels than downside risk. In addition to the bullish points on the business fundamentals,the valuation floor and dip-buying opportunityincreases the probability that an investment in Apple today will pay off in the long term.\nTwitter speaks\nThe most bullish analysts say that Apple could head to $225 per share, under the rosiest scenario. The most bearish of them says “not so fast”, and sees 35% downside risk. Who will be proven right?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350522693,"gmtCreate":1616235506512,"gmtModify":1634526625539,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350522693","repostId":"1117450855","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":322379466,"gmtCreate":1615777646555,"gmtModify":1703492808123,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322379466","repostId":"1141300773","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141300773","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615777101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141300773?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-15 10:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney: What Is Disney+ Really Worth To Shareholders","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141300773","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"In the past 16 months, Disney+ has gained 100 million subscribers.The market has generally viewed Disney+ as a major needle mover for the company overall.My goal is to find out how much value can Disney+ add for current shareholders.Disney+ has been a major catalyst for The Walt Disney Company since it was first announced in April of 2019. The company was clearly making a strong pitch for getting content directly to consumers through the use of streaming services. Ever since the company had acq","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In the past 16 months, Disney+ has gained 100 million subscribers.</li>\n <li>The market has generally viewed Disney+ as a major needle mover for the company overall.</li>\n <li>My goal is to find out how much value can Disney+ add for current shareholders.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>Disney+ has been a major catalyst for The Walt Disney Company (DIS) since it was first announced in April of 2019. The company was clearly making a strong pitch for getting content directly to consumers through the use of streaming services. Ever since the company had acquired Bamtech in 2017, the plan was clearly to leverage this technology to change the way consumers view their content. With a huge library of content already available to the company, the only obstacle was getting the content distributed.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbdead1e1d98934dccef59fe49bc1246\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"853\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>I have a been a shareholder since the middle of 2018 and have a cost basis of $100 per share and my question is how much value is Disney+ actually adding? I am at a point of trying to figure out if the excitement around Disney+ and its incredible subscriber growth is worth the premium that the stock is currently trading at. For me, the idea of locking in a 100% return in three years would be great as this is one of the first stocks I invested in. What I want to do is try to look at Disney+ on its own and see what value I can come up for the service to see if I should continue to hold the stock long term or if I should lock in my gains and move on to other opportunities. As a disclaimer, this is purely my valuation and where I see the service going. As such, your valuation will probably differ depending on how you view a few of the assumptions I had to make. Unfortunately, the company does not break out the operating cost of Disney+, but there are some clues as to what the operating margins are, and as such, I will be pulling together what I believe are the operating margins for the service.</p>\n<p><b>What Are The Costs Of Disney+?</b></p>\n<p>The first thing I needed to find out was what were the operating expenses for Disney+? In Disney's most recent 10-Q, they do break out what the cost are for their DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) segment, but while this includes Disney+ expenses, it also includes the expenses of ESPN+ and Hulu. So, in going through the line items of the expense side of the income statement and deciphering the footnotes, we can come to a reasonable operating income for Disney+. If you see below, the DTC segment is still operating at a loss, but these losses are starting to deteriorate and may soon become a profitable segment for Disney in the near future.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc30a144042eaefbed0c83e9765c5d70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)</span></p>\n<p>You can see for the quarter, the overall operating expenses come in at $2,921 million, SG&A at $970 million and Depreciation and amortization at $79 million. From here, we will have to go the footnotes in order to see if we can extrapolate Disney+'s overall operating cost.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d110655bf2e940dec8116ebe66f9e9d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\"><span>(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)</span></p>\n<p>We can see that in December of 2019, overall expenses here were $2,343 billion and in January of 2021, expenses were $2,921 million. This can be a good starting point and offer an idea of what it cost per quarter to run Disney+. This of course is an approximation because Disney+ was launched in November of 2019, so our base quarter does have some of those expenses rolled into it, but I believe it is minimal due to the fact that there is only one month of data rolled into these expenses. I should note that some of these expense increases were due to Disney's 67% ownership in Hulu and as such most likely did contribute as well to the overall operating expenses. Since we don't really know for sure what the split is between Hulu and Disney+, we will assume that all of the increase was due to Disney+ (call it a margin of safety if you will). So, given that fact we can assume that per quarter it cost about $578 million or $2,312 million a year for operating expenses. For SG&A, it looks like we can safely assume about a $238 million per quarter increase attributable solely to marketing for Disney+, which works out to be about $952 million for the year. Depreciation and amortization is also tied almost directly to Disney+ at about $19 million per quarter of, $76 million for the year. You can see below that the total expenses for running Disney plus come out to be about $3,186 million per year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73b127864cd5486905755e3e9e44bbed\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"320\"></p>\n<p><b>What Will Revenues Be?</b></p>\n<p>This is where we have to make our biggest assumptions on what revenues will look like for Disney+. The growth in subscribers has even surprised Disney executives, with over 50% of subscribers being households without kids,making the value appeal for subscribers even broader. As of March 9th of 2021, total subscribers for the service topped 100 million, which blew past Disney's initial estimates and they have now revised their estimates to reflect between 230 and 260 million subscribers by 2024. While it will be hard to tell how realistic this goal is, the service certainly has the momentum to justify the overall growth given the potential international reach. What will be interesting to watch for is the average revenue per user (ARPU) and how that will grow as time goes on. You can see that so far for Disney+, ARPU has declined from about $5.56 to $4.03. According to the most recent 10-Q, the decline is attributable to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar service launched in India and Indonesia.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8d515e5a68c0cb68e17984492298aa4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"156\"><span>(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)</span></p>\n<p>As it stands with 100 million subscribers and an ARPU of $4.03, revenues so far would fall at $403 million per month or $4,836 million per year. If we assume that for this year that subscribers will grow about 6 million per month for the next nine months and an ARPU of $4 for the year we would come to 154 million subscribers and $7,392 million in revenue which we will us for our base case in our valuation of Disney+.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdade273a773d9de241df796dbcf680c\" tg-width=\"817\" tg-height=\"272\"></p>\n<p><b>Valuing Disney+</b></p>\n<p>One of the biggest challenges with valuation is making the assumptions in growth over a long period of time. My usual method for valuing any business is by taking a range of values of using a couple of scenarios that I believe are possible and this is how I will present my valuation. Both scenarios will assume that the high growth phase for Disney+ continues for at least the next five years and then begins to fade for the next five years. Each scenario will also assume that the number of subscribers begins at 154 million with $7,392 million in revenue based on $4 monthly ARPU and margins will begin at 34%. I have calculated Disney's overall cost of capital to be about 9.5% and this will be used in both scenarios.</p>\n<p><b>Scenario 1:</b></p>\n<p>In this scenario Disney+ will continue to grow at a high rate even after the first 5 years, although this pace will be slower than the first five years. The competition has a hard time keeping up and as such there is low churn and the platform has great sticking power, ARPU will continue to rise at a moderately high rate until it reaches about $16. As growth begins to slow, Disney will pull back on the growth marketing spend and transition to a more moderate amount of marketing to replace churn which will raise margins.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f32924a0a6e113ef9d89fac4143d4b14\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"83\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dba93c03f1d4a4e745021aa3b1cc220\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"317\"></p>\n<p><b>Scenario 2:</b></p>\n<p>In this scenario, Disney+ growth in the first five years is slower than expected. The goal of between 230 to 240 takes a couple more years to achieve than expected and due to this lower growth ARPU does not rise nearly as fast in order to reduce churn and keep the value proposition intact. Margins will start to lower as more money is being spent to attract new subscribers and make more content. Disney+ in this instance faces more competition from other services and has to create more content which would result in some of this content being a flop.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0aaed5ea9a63f499ddcb441b68b45994\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"82\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72734aac549e172bfe59a411dcaeb81e\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"320\"></p>\n<p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p>\n<p>Based on both of my scenarios, the value of Disney+ has quite a large range. The potential for Disney+ landed in between $148 and $36 per share of added value. If you take the midpoint of these two extremes, you would land around $92 a share of added value. I will note the one item I did not include was what taxes will be in the future. I didn't model this just due to the uncertainties around future taxes and the fact that Disney may have incurred net operating losses due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, this has been a helpful exercise in trying to determine what I should do going forward.</p>\n<p>With the majority of the stock price movement being attributed to Disney+, it looks like there may be justification to today's current price. That being said, the stock may be close to fully priced, especially given the current state of the rest of Disney's operating segments, most notably the Parks and Experiences segments. When I initially invested in Disney, the plan was to hold onto this stock forever, but the current valuation of Disney+ is certainly given me pause and I will need to rethink whether I should sell and move on to other opportunities. I still believe this is a great company with a long runway, but with the words of Warren Buffett in my ear, \"Price is what you pay, value is what you get\".</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney: What Is Disney+ Really Worth To Shareholders</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney: What Is Disney+ Really Worth To Shareholders\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-15 10:58 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413801-what-is-disney-plus-really-worth-to-shareholders><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIn the past 16 months, Disney+ has gained 100 million subscribers.\nThe market has generally viewed Disney+ as a major needle mover for the company overall.\nMy goal is to find out how much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413801-what-is-disney-plus-really-worth-to-shareholders\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413801-what-is-disney-plus-really-worth-to-shareholders","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1141300773","content_text":"Summary\n\nIn the past 16 months, Disney+ has gained 100 million subscribers.\nThe market has generally viewed Disney+ as a major needle mover for the company overall.\nMy goal is to find out how much value can Disney+ add for current shareholders.\n\nIntroduction\nDisney+ has been a major catalyst for The Walt Disney Company (DIS) since it was first announced in April of 2019. The company was clearly making a strong pitch for getting content directly to consumers through the use of streaming services. Ever since the company had acquired Bamtech in 2017, the plan was clearly to leverage this technology to change the way consumers view their content. With a huge library of content already available to the company, the only obstacle was getting the content distributed.\nSource: Company\nI have a been a shareholder since the middle of 2018 and have a cost basis of $100 per share and my question is how much value is Disney+ actually adding? I am at a point of trying to figure out if the excitement around Disney+ and its incredible subscriber growth is worth the premium that the stock is currently trading at. For me, the idea of locking in a 100% return in three years would be great as this is one of the first stocks I invested in. What I want to do is try to look at Disney+ on its own and see what value I can come up for the service to see if I should continue to hold the stock long term or if I should lock in my gains and move on to other opportunities. As a disclaimer, this is purely my valuation and where I see the service going. As such, your valuation will probably differ depending on how you view a few of the assumptions I had to make. Unfortunately, the company does not break out the operating cost of Disney+, but there are some clues as to what the operating margins are, and as such, I will be pulling together what I believe are the operating margins for the service.\nWhat Are The Costs Of Disney+?\nThe first thing I needed to find out was what were the operating expenses for Disney+? In Disney's most recent 10-Q, they do break out what the cost are for their DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) segment, but while this includes Disney+ expenses, it also includes the expenses of ESPN+ and Hulu. So, in going through the line items of the expense side of the income statement and deciphering the footnotes, we can come to a reasonable operating income for Disney+. If you see below, the DTC segment is still operating at a loss, but these losses are starting to deteriorate and may soon become a profitable segment for Disney in the near future.\n(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)\nYou can see for the quarter, the overall operating expenses come in at $2,921 million, SG&A at $970 million and Depreciation and amortization at $79 million. From here, we will have to go the footnotes in order to see if we can extrapolate Disney+'s overall operating cost.\n(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)\nWe can see that in December of 2019, overall expenses here were $2,343 billion and in January of 2021, expenses were $2,921 million. This can be a good starting point and offer an idea of what it cost per quarter to run Disney+. This of course is an approximation because Disney+ was launched in November of 2019, so our base quarter does have some of those expenses rolled into it, but I believe it is minimal due to the fact that there is only one month of data rolled into these expenses. I should note that some of these expense increases were due to Disney's 67% ownership in Hulu and as such most likely did contribute as well to the overall operating expenses. Since we don't really know for sure what the split is between Hulu and Disney+, we will assume that all of the increase was due to Disney+ (call it a margin of safety if you will). So, given that fact we can assume that per quarter it cost about $578 million or $2,312 million a year for operating expenses. For SG&A, it looks like we can safely assume about a $238 million per quarter increase attributable solely to marketing for Disney+, which works out to be about $952 million for the year. Depreciation and amortization is also tied almost directly to Disney+ at about $19 million per quarter of, $76 million for the year. You can see below that the total expenses for running Disney plus come out to be about $3,186 million per year.\n\nWhat Will Revenues Be?\nThis is where we have to make our biggest assumptions on what revenues will look like for Disney+. The growth in subscribers has even surprised Disney executives, with over 50% of subscribers being households without kids,making the value appeal for subscribers even broader. As of March 9th of 2021, total subscribers for the service topped 100 million, which blew past Disney's initial estimates and they have now revised their estimates to reflect between 230 and 260 million subscribers by 2024. While it will be hard to tell how realistic this goal is, the service certainly has the momentum to justify the overall growth given the potential international reach. What will be interesting to watch for is the average revenue per user (ARPU) and how that will grow as time goes on. You can see that so far for Disney+, ARPU has declined from about $5.56 to $4.03. According to the most recent 10-Q, the decline is attributable to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar service launched in India and Indonesia.\n(Source: Disney 2021 Q1 10-Q)\nAs it stands with 100 million subscribers and an ARPU of $4.03, revenues so far would fall at $403 million per month or $4,836 million per year. If we assume that for this year that subscribers will grow about 6 million per month for the next nine months and an ARPU of $4 for the year we would come to 154 million subscribers and $7,392 million in revenue which we will us for our base case in our valuation of Disney+.\n\nValuing Disney+\nOne of the biggest challenges with valuation is making the assumptions in growth over a long period of time. My usual method for valuing any business is by taking a range of values of using a couple of scenarios that I believe are possible and this is how I will present my valuation. Both scenarios will assume that the high growth phase for Disney+ continues for at least the next five years and then begins to fade for the next five years. Each scenario will also assume that the number of subscribers begins at 154 million with $7,392 million in revenue based on $4 monthly ARPU and margins will begin at 34%. I have calculated Disney's overall cost of capital to be about 9.5% and this will be used in both scenarios.\nScenario 1:\nIn this scenario Disney+ will continue to grow at a high rate even after the first 5 years, although this pace will be slower than the first five years. The competition has a hard time keeping up and as such there is low churn and the platform has great sticking power, ARPU will continue to rise at a moderately high rate until it reaches about $16. As growth begins to slow, Disney will pull back on the growth marketing spend and transition to a more moderate amount of marketing to replace churn which will raise margins.\n\nScenario 2:\nIn this scenario, Disney+ growth in the first five years is slower than expected. The goal of between 230 to 240 takes a couple more years to achieve than expected and due to this lower growth ARPU does not rise nearly as fast in order to reduce churn and keep the value proposition intact. Margins will start to lower as more money is being spent to attract new subscribers and make more content. Disney+ in this instance faces more competition from other services and has to create more content which would result in some of this content being a flop.\n\nFinal Thoughts\nBased on both of my scenarios, the value of Disney+ has quite a large range. The potential for Disney+ landed in between $148 and $36 per share of added value. If you take the midpoint of these two extremes, you would land around $92 a share of added value. I will note the one item I did not include was what taxes will be in the future. I didn't model this just due to the uncertainties around future taxes and the fact that Disney may have incurred net operating losses due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, this has been a helpful exercise in trying to determine what I should do going forward.\nWith the majority of the stock price movement being attributed to Disney+, it looks like there may be justification to today's current price. That being said, the stock may be close to fully priced, especially given the current state of the rest of Disney's operating segments, most notably the Parks and Experiences segments. When I initially invested in Disney, the plan was to hold onto this stock forever, but the current valuation of Disney+ is certainly given me pause and I will need to rethink whether I should sell and move on to other opportunities. I still believe this is a great company with a long runway, but with the words of Warren Buffett in my ear, \"Price is what you pay, value is what you get\".","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":329407942,"gmtCreate":1615265205286,"gmtModify":1703486468608,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[惊讶] ","listText":"[惊讶] ","text":"[惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329407942","repostId":"1164788474","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":381988115,"gmtCreate":1612921331637,"gmtModify":1703766946660,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZOM\">$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$</a>[愤怒] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZOM\">$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$</a>[愤怒] ","text":"$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$[愤怒]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/381988115","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":389978763,"gmtCreate":1612674788952,"gmtModify":1703764236309,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😂 ","listText":"😂 ","text":"😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389978763","repostId":"1132260998","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132260998","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1612519255,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132260998?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-05 18:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Performance of funds invested in GameStop in past two weeks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132260998","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The Morgan Stanley Institutional Small Co. Inception Portfolio fund was among the top ga","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The Morgan Stanley Institutional Small Co. Inception Portfolio fund was among the top gainers among mutual funds over the past two weeks having exposure to videogame retailer GameStop, data from Refinitiv Lipper showed.</p>\n<p>Crowds of retail punters sent shares in GameStop up by more than 2000% last month, causing some Wall Street hedge funds to lose billions of dollars on their short bets on the stock.</p>\n<p>The Morgan Stanley fund, which had 346,943 shares of GameStop as per the latest filing, gained 23% in the last two weeks, according to the data, which was based on the last two weeks’ price performance.</p>\n<p>The fund’s net assets rose 61% to $746.7 million in January, the data showed.</p>\n<p>Shares of iShares Micro-Cap ETF and Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF also gained about 7% each in the past two weeks.</p>\n<p>Graphic: Mutual fund gainers in the past two weeks</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdf861b5fe2dd34bcafbc688c67e9075\" tg-width=\"962\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Shares of GameStop have fallen more than 83.5% in the first four days of this month as the retail frenzy faded.</p>\n<p>Graphic: Bottom performers in the past two weeks</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee25f46afa762db3e988a73a7147042d\" tg-width=\"940\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Performance of funds invested in GameStop in past two weeks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPerformance of funds invested in GameStop in past two weeks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-02-05 18:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The Morgan Stanley Institutional Small Co. Inception Portfolio fund was among the top gainers among mutual funds over the past two weeks having exposure to videogame retailer GameStop, data from Refinitiv Lipper showed.</p>\n<p>Crowds of retail punters sent shares in GameStop up by more than 2000% last month, causing some Wall Street hedge funds to lose billions of dollars on their short bets on the stock.</p>\n<p>The Morgan Stanley fund, which had 346,943 shares of GameStop as per the latest filing, gained 23% in the last two weeks, according to the data, which was based on the last two weeks’ price performance.</p>\n<p>The fund’s net assets rose 61% to $746.7 million in January, the data showed.</p>\n<p>Shares of iShares Micro-Cap ETF and Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF also gained about 7% each in the past two weeks.</p>\n<p>Graphic: Mutual fund gainers in the past two weeks</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdf861b5fe2dd34bcafbc688c67e9075\" tg-width=\"962\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Shares of GameStop have fallen more than 83.5% in the first four days of this month as the retail frenzy faded.</p>\n<p>Graphic: Bottom performers in the past two weeks</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee25f46afa762db3e988a73a7147042d\" tg-width=\"940\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72bab52a7d49e9d26088350ab4826c1","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132260998","content_text":"(Reuters) - The Morgan Stanley Institutional Small Co. Inception Portfolio fund was among the top gainers among mutual funds over the past two weeks having exposure to videogame retailer GameStop, data from Refinitiv Lipper showed.\nCrowds of retail punters sent shares in GameStop up by more than 2000% last month, causing some Wall Street hedge funds to lose billions of dollars on their short bets on the stock.\nThe Morgan Stanley fund, which had 346,943 shares of GameStop as per the latest filing, gained 23% in the last two weeks, according to the data, which was based on the last two weeks’ price performance.\nThe fund’s net assets rose 61% to $746.7 million in January, the data showed.\nShares of iShares Micro-Cap ETF and Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF also gained about 7% each in the past two weeks.\nGraphic: Mutual fund gainers in the past two weeks\n\nShares of GameStop have fallen more than 83.5% in the first four days of this month as the retail frenzy faded.\nGraphic: Bottom performers in the past two weeks","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370034868,"gmtCreate":1618535400754,"gmtModify":1634292267585,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oi","listText":"Oi","text":"Oi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370034868","repostId":"1184470866","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359082561,"gmtCreate":1616301380953,"gmtModify":1634526422421,"author":{"id":"3573629425643030","authorId":"3573629425643030","name":"TheNoobish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/910b578d24b81b2a3a53154a96d972cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573629425643030","authorIdStr":"3573629425643030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359082561","repostId":"1126157111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}