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stormlee
2022-01-24
Pls like thanks
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stormlee
2022-01-24
Pls like thanks
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stormlee
2022-01-24
Pls like thanks
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stormlee
2022-01-24
Pls like thanks
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stormlee
2022-01-24
Pls like thanks
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stormlee
2022-01-21
Good buy..................................
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stormlee
2022-01-20
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-20
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-20
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-20
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-18
Pls like
Earnings Season in Full Swing, Fed Blackout Period: What to Know This Week<blockquote>财报季如火如荼,美联储封锁期:本周需要了解什么</blockquote>
stormlee
2022-01-13
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-13
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-13
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-13
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-13
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-13
Pls like thks
Airline stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>航空股早盘上涨</blockquote>
stormlee
2022-01-13
Pls like thks
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stormlee
2022-01-12
Pls like thk
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stormlee
2022-01-12
Pls like thk
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thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630307456","repostId":"1112957739","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697280684,"gmtCreate":1642487437049,"gmtModify":1642487448002,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571959390768435","authorIdStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697280684","repostId":"2204077133","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2204077133","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642462076,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2204077133?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-18 07:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Earnings Season in Full Swing, Fed Blackout Period: What to Know This Week<blockquote>财报季如火如荼,美联储封锁期:本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2204077133","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Earnings season is heating up this week.Even with one fewer trading day, markets are closed in obser","content":"<p><div> Earnings season is heating up this week.Even with one fewer trading day, markets are closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day Monday, investors will come back from the holiday weekend to a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>本周财报季正在升温。即使少了一个交易日,周一市场因纪念马丁·路德·金纪念日而休市,投资者仍将从假期周末回到...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-season-gains-momentum-fed-blackout-period-what-to-know-this-week-163248002.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-season-gains-momentum-fed-blackout-period-what-to-know-this-week-163248002.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Earnings Season in Full Swing, Fed Blackout Period: What to Know This Week<blockquote>财报季如火如荼,美联储封锁期:本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEarnings Season in Full Swing, Fed Blackout Period: What to Know This Week<blockquote>财报季如火如荼,美联储封锁期:本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-18 07:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Earnings season is heating up this week.Even with one fewer trading day, markets are closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day Monday, investors will come back from the holiday weekend to a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>本周财报季正在升温。即使少了一个交易日,周一市场因纪念马丁·路德·金纪念日而休市,投资者仍将从假期周末回到...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-season-gains-momentum-fed-blackout-period-what-to-know-this-week-163248002.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-season-gains-momentum-fed-blackout-period-what-to-know-this-week-163248002.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-season-gains-momentum-fed-blackout-period-what-to-know-this-week-163248002.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-season-gains-momentum-fed-blackout-period-what-to-know-this-week-163248002.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2204077133","content_text":"Earnings season is heating up this week.Even with one fewer trading day, markets are closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day Monday, investors will come back from the holiday weekend to a prolific lineup of fourth quarter reports from market heavyweights such as Goldman Sachs (GS), Proctor & Gamble (PG), Netflix (NFLX) and United Airlines (UAL). The period kicked off in earnest last week with lackluster results from major U.S. banks. JPMorgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) were among the financial forms posting less-than-impressive results that dragged on Wall Street and tempered expectations for a strong start to the earnings season.As fourth quarter earnings reports pick up speed, investors will shift their focus from monetary policy to look for signs of relief in company profits and other corporate metrics after economic uncertainty and worries around the Federal Reserve’s pace of interest rate hikes have weighed heavily on markets to start the new year.The S&P 500 is down 2.79% in 2022 so far, while the Dow has lost 1.84%. The Nasdaq has shed a whopping -5.93% year-to-date, with more than one third of companies in the index at least 50% from their 52-week highs, according to Bloomberg data.Earnings season kick into high gear this week. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidBrendan McDermid / reuters“We’ll have to see if earnings season comes to the rescue once again,” Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist at Ned Davis, told Bloomberg earlier this week. “Still, earnings revisions over the past several weeks weren’t as strong as other pre-announcement periods last year, which leads us to believe that we may not get those fantastic beat rates.”In the energy and industrials sector, which typically serves as a key driver in fourth quarter results, underlying fundamentals may lack the strength to power markets this earnings season, PNC chief investment officer Amanda Agati told Yahoo Finance Live.“Investors need to be starting to set their expectations a bit lower,” she said. “Not necessarily bearish, but we do think the moderation in terms of growth not only for earnings season going forward, but also for economic growth is really going to be a dominant theme.\"S&P 500 earnings in aggregate were expected to grow 21.7% for the fourth-quarter of 2021, according to recent data from FactSet Research vice president and senior earnings analyst John Butters. That figure would mark a fourth consecutive quarter that earnings growth tops 20%.Industry experts have previously predicted companies in the S&P 500 will report record-high earnings per share in 2022. Butters has pointed out that the bottom-up EPS estimate for the S&P 500 was $222.32 as of last month. If the forecast meets expectations, this would be the highest annual EPS number for the index since FactSet began tracking this metric in 1996.FactSet reported that, on average, analysts have overestimated the final EPS number by 7.2%. Even taking the overestimation into account, the final EPS value of $206.32 for 2022 would still beat previous records.The bottom-up EPS estimate for the S&P 500 is $222.32, a figure that would mark the highest on record, according to FactSet data.FactSet Research vice president and senior earnings analyst john buttersContinued signs of Omicron’s economic impact and increasing indication by the Federal Reserve that it will intervene more aggressively to curb rising inflation, however, continue to dampen the outlook for 2022.“Our expectation is that we're going to have a very solid and robust earnings season,” Schwab Asset Management CEO and CIO Omar Aguilar, though adding that the coming quarters may reflect the toll of Omicron more heavily than fourth quarter numbers.“That being said, we expect the earnings to continue to decelerate — still very robust and in a good place as companies continue to drive to generate free cash flow and generate business,” but we will hear a lot about supply chain disruptions and the potential higher costs in these sectors that may have been transitioned to consumers.\"I think what investors are really focused on is what are these CEOs going to say about two primary things, number one being inflation,\" TD Ameritrade Chief Market Strategist JJ Kinahan told Yahoo Finance Life.\"For the financials, it'll probably be more wage inflation and their ability to retain workers and pay up... and then on the other end of that, for the non-financials, perhaps it's more of whether they can go through supply chain issues, because of COVID or because of the cost of inflation, to deliver goods to their end customers.\"Meanwhile in Washington, Fed policymakers will enter a blackout period this week ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) next meeting on Jan. 26. The central bank has been top of mind for investors bracing for interest rate increases and tighter financial conditions that could come as soon as March.In confirmation hearings last week, Fed officials have doubled down on earlier assertions that the central bank is prepared to mitigate inflation through higher interest rates.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told Congress Tuesday that if the pace of price increases does not settle, policymakers will get more aggressive with raising short-term borrowing costs. In a separate hearing on Thursday, Fed governor and vice chair nominee Lael Brainard pledged to use that \"powerful tool\" — the central bank's benchmark for short-term interest rates called the federal funds rate — to bring inflation down over time.Economic calendarMonday: Markets closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day; No economic reports scheduled for releaseTuesday: Empire Manufacturing, January (25 expected, 31.9 prior); NAHB Housing Market Index, January (84 expected, 84 prior); Net Long-Term TIC Flows, November ($7,100,000,000 prior); Total Net TIC Flows, November ($143,000,000,000 prior)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended January 14 (1.4% during prior week); Building Permits, December (1,700,000 expected, 1,712,000 during prior month, upwardly revised to 1,717,000); Building Permits, month-over-month, December (-1.0% expected, 3.6% during prior month, upwardly revised to 3.9%); Housing Starts, December (1,650,000 expected, 1,679,000 during prior month); Housing Starts, month over month, December (-1.7% expected, 11.8% during prior month)Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims, week ended January 15 (220,000 expected, 230,000 during prior week) Continuing Claims, week ended January 15 (1,521,000 expected, 1,559,000 prior week); Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook, January (19.8 expected, 15.4 prior); Existing Home Sales, December (6,410,000 expected, 6,460,000 during prior month); Existing Home Sales, month over month, December (-0.8% expected, 1.9% during prior month);Friday: Leading Index, December (0.8% expected, 1.1% prior)Earnings:Monday: NMarkets closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day; o reports scheduled for releaseTuesday: Goldman Sachs (GS) before market open, PNC Bank (PNC) before market open, Charles Schwab (SCHW), Bank of New York Mellon (BK) and Truist Financial (TFC) before market open; Interactive Brokers (IBKR), Hunt Transport (JBHT) after market close, Citrix Systems (CTXS)Wednesday: Bank of America (BAC) before market open, Procter & Gamble (PG) before market open, United Health (UNH) before market open, Morgan Stanley (MS) before market open, United Airlines (UAL) after market close, Discover Financial (DFS) after market close, State Street (STT) before market open, Comerica (CMA) before market openThursday: Travelers (TRV) and American Airlines (AAL) and Northern Trust (NTRS) before market open; Netflix (NFLX) at market closeFriday: Schlumberger (SLB), Ally Financial (ALLY)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694441396,"gmtCreate":1642088535024,"gmtModify":1642088536264,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571959390768435","authorIdStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like thks","listText":"Pls like thks","text":"Pls like 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thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694443488","repostId":"1184468197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694443514,"gmtCreate":1642088484646,"gmtModify":1642088485991,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571959390768435","authorIdStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like thks","listText":"Pls like thks","text":"Pls like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694443514","repostId":"1145654886","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694443225,"gmtCreate":1642088458473,"gmtModify":1642088459736,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571959390768435","authorIdStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like thks","listText":"Pls like thks","text":"Pls like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694443225","repostId":"1105224732","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105224732","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642086896,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105224732?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-13 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airline stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>航空股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105224732","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Airline stocks jumped in morning trading. Delta Air Lines,Southwest Airlines,United Continental and ","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Airline stocks jumped in morning trading. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">Delta Air Lines</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">United Continental</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">American Airlines</a> rose between 2% and 5%.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>航空股早盘上涨。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">United Continental</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空公司</a>涨幅在2%至5%之间。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5337c1fa70a52ef20ee586624787937c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1915\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirline stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>航空股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-13 23:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Airline stocks jumped in morning trading. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">Delta Air Lines</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">United Continental</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">American Airlines</a> rose between 2% and 5%.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>航空股早盘上涨。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">United Continental</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空公司</a>涨幅在2%至5%之间。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5337c1fa70a52ef20ee586624787937c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1915\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UAL":"联合大陆航空","DAL":"达美航空","BK4008":"航空公司","LUV":"西南航空","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4500":"航空公司","AAL":"美国航空"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105224732","content_text":"Airline stocks jumped in morning trading. Delta Air Lines,Southwest Airlines,United Continental and American Airlines rose between 2% and 5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAL":0.9,"LUV":0.9,"DAL":0.9,"UAL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1067,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694443612,"gmtCreate":1642088449518,"gmtModify":1642088450785,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571959390768435","authorIdStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like thks","listText":"Pls like thks","text":"Pls like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694443612","repostId":"1141843117","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694842043,"gmtCreate":1641916951290,"gmtModify":1641916952568,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571959390768435","authorIdStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like thk","listText":"Pls like thk","text":"Pls like thk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694842043","repostId":"2202789310","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694846754,"gmtCreate":1641916934486,"gmtModify":1641916935767,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571959390768435","authorIdStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like thk","listText":"Pls like thk","text":"Pls like thk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694846754","repostId":"1140709123","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":133982112,"gmtCreate":1621684552136,"gmtModify":1634187160147,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133982112","repostId":"2137907575","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809074183,"gmtCreate":1627342465542,"gmtModify":1633766024194,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809074183","repostId":"1153028059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153028059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627340900,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153028059?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量猛增98%;公司提高了成本较低的电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153028059","media":"Reuters","summary":" -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operati","content":"<p>(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-特斯拉公司周二公布的第二季度利润高于预期,这得益于其较便宜的电动汽车销量大幅增长,该公司提高了价格以提高其利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还削减了成本,这有助于抵消汽车行业面临的许多供应链和微芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年底以来,特斯拉的利润首次不依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售环境信用,这表明制造业务的财务状况日益健康。特斯拉通过削减其称未使用或不需要的功能以及提高美国汽车价格来提高其业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最有价值汽车制造商的股价在盘后交易中上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.</p><p><blockquote>在与投资者和分析师的看涨期权中,特斯拉高管表示,量产增长将取决于零部件供应情况,马斯克警告称,半导体短缺将持续。</blockquote></p><p> “The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重,”马斯克说。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,Musk表示,特斯拉预计今年将在德克萨斯和德意志的在建工厂投产Model Y SUV。他表示,该公司预计电池供应商明年的产量将翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临疫情和供应链危机,但得益于Model 3轿车和Model Y等更便宜车型的销售,特斯拉在本季度的交付量仍创下了纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家由亿万富翁企业家埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)领导的汽车制造商表示,收入从一年前的60.4亿美元跃升至119.6亿美元,当时其加州工厂因当地抗击疫情的封锁令而关闭了六周多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的IBES数据,分析师此前预计营收约为113亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>剔除项目后,特斯拉公布的每股利润为1.45美元,轻松超过分析师预期的每股98美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,营业收入随着销量增长和成本降低而上升,这抵消了供应链成本上升、监管信贷收入下降和其他项目,包括加密货币比特币投资损失2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力通常依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售监管信用,但在第二季度,特斯拉自2019年底以来首次在没有这些信用的情况下实现盈利。其第二季度GAAP净利润为11.4亿美元。这些积分的收入总计仅为3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.</p><p><blockquote>Investing.com高级分析师Jesse Cohen表示:“特斯拉对其数据印象深刻,因为其大部分收入来自汽车销售。”</blockquote></p><p> Carmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商Stellantis预计今年将在没有从特斯拉购买环境信用额的情况下实现其欧洲二氧化碳(CO2)排放目标。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,由于今年电池和其他零部件的供应有限,该公司已将Semi卡车计划的启动推迟到2022年,以专注于启动工厂。</blockquote></p><p> But the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.</p><p><blockquote>但该公司的新型4680电池尚未准备好量产;高管们表示,很难预测技术挑战何时会得到解决。</blockquote></p><p> In an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句,马斯克表示,他“很可能不会在财报评级上”与投资者和分析师讨论财务业绩。这些评级是马斯克每季度举行的一次丰富多彩的仪式,马斯克用它来讨论特斯拉技术,或者回击竞争对手或批评者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量猛增98%;公司提高了成本较低的电动汽车的利润率</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量猛增98%;公司提高了成本较低的电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-特斯拉公司周二公布的第二季度利润高于预期,这得益于其较便宜的电动汽车销量大幅增长,该公司提高了价格以提高其利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还削减了成本,这有助于抵消汽车行业面临的许多供应链和微芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年底以来,特斯拉的利润首次不依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售环境信用,这表明制造业务的财务状况日益健康。特斯拉通过削减其称未使用或不需要的功能以及提高美国汽车价格来提高其业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最有价值汽车制造商的股价在盘后交易中上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.</p><p><blockquote>在与投资者和分析师的看涨期权中,特斯拉高管表示,量产增长将取决于零部件供应情况,马斯克警告称,半导体短缺将持续。</blockquote></p><p> “The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重,”马斯克说。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,Musk表示,特斯拉预计今年将在德克萨斯和德意志的在建工厂投产Model Y SUV。他表示,该公司预计电池供应商明年的产量将翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临疫情和供应链危机,但得益于Model 3轿车和Model Y等更便宜车型的销售,特斯拉在本季度的交付量仍创下了纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家由亿万富翁企业家埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)领导的汽车制造商表示,收入从一年前的60.4亿美元跃升至119.6亿美元,当时其加州工厂因当地抗击疫情的封锁令而关闭了六周多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的IBES数据,分析师此前预计营收约为113亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>剔除项目后,特斯拉公布的每股利润为1.45美元,轻松超过分析师预期的每股98美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,营业收入随着销量增长和成本降低而上升,这抵消了供应链成本上升、监管信贷收入下降和其他项目,包括加密货币比特币投资损失2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力通常依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售监管信用,但在第二季度,特斯拉自2019年底以来首次在没有这些信用的情况下实现盈利。其第二季度GAAP净利润为11.4亿美元。这些积分的收入总计仅为3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.</p><p><blockquote>Investing.com高级分析师Jesse Cohen表示:“特斯拉对其数据印象深刻,因为其大部分收入来自汽车销售。”</blockquote></p><p> Carmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商Stellantis预计今年将在没有从特斯拉购买环境信用额的情况下实现其欧洲二氧化碳(CO2)排放目标。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,由于今年电池和其他零部件的供应有限,该公司已将Semi卡车计划的启动推迟到2022年,以专注于启动工厂。</blockquote></p><p> But the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.</p><p><blockquote>但该公司的新型4680电池尚未准备好量产;高管们表示,很难预测技术挑战何时会得到解决。</blockquote></p><p> In an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句,马斯克表示,他“很可能不会在财报评级上”与投资者和分析师讨论财务业绩。这些评级是马斯克每季度举行的一次丰富多彩的仪式,马斯克用它来讨论特斯拉技术,或者回击竞争对手或批评者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/tesla-results/update-4-tesla-sales-surge-98-company-boosts-margins-on-its-less-costly-electric-cars-idUSL4N2P23I5\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/tesla-results/update-4-tesla-sales-surge-98-company-boosts-margins-on-its-less-costly-electric-cars-idUSL4N2P23I5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153028059","content_text":"(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.\nTesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.\nFor the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.\nShares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.\nIn a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.\n“The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.\nStill, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.\nDespite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.\nThe carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.\nAnalysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.\nExcluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.\nTesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.\nTesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.\n“Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.\nCarmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.\nTesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.\nBut the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.\nIn an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368401923,"gmtCreate":1614343658562,"gmtModify":1703476651252,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great!!! Please give comment. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ ","listText":"Great!!! Please give comment. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ ","text":"Great!!! Please give comment. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368401923","repostId":"2114371822","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":971,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350846440,"gmtCreate":1616195359480,"gmtModify":1634526819998,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like & comment. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ ","listText":"Please like & comment. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ ","text":"Please like & comment. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350846440","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望,让SLR救助到期:接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如本文所暗示和深入讨论的那样,在伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)等进步民主党人的政治压力下,美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率(SLR)豁免如期于3月31日(规则变更一周年)到期。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦银行监管机构今天宣布,2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率(SLR)的临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于新冠肺炎事件,这一临时变化是为了为存款机构向家庭和企业提供信贷提供灵活性。这一结果是前纽约联储大师Zoltan Pozsar(再次)正确预测的结果,他跟随FOMC表示,“事实上,美联储实际上是先发制人地做出了这一调整——目前没有使用o/n RRP工具,因此没有能力限制,而回购和票据收益率尚未为负——<b>暗示美联储正在为SLR豁免的结束“铺路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这将是市场的一个非常热门的问题,因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪,并指出,虽然SLR特殊待遇将于3月31日到期,但美联储正在“邀请公众就几项潜在的SLR修改发表评论”。此外,”<b>随着时间的推移,董事会可能需要解决SLR当前的设计和校准问题,以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力</b>”——简而言之,如果收益率飙升,美联储将立即重新引入SLR:</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布,银行控股公司补充杠杆率(SLR)的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外,董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动,确保SLR的任何变化不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解COVID-19大流行造成的国债市场压力并促进对家庭和企业的贷款,董事会去年暂时修改了SLR,将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。从那时起,国债市场已经稳定下来。<b>然而,由于最近中央银行储备供应和国债发行的增长,理事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题,以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保SLR(2014年作为额外资本要求而设立)在准备金较高的环境下保持有效,董事会将很快就几项潜在的SLR修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和评论将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来工作进行持续讨论,以确保国债市场的弹性。尽管美联储的WOD令人宽慰,<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后,美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息,股市暴跌...</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是受SLR救济影响最大的银行(正如昨天在“面对摩根大通的杠杆救济威胁”中所指出的)...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....萎靡不振。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下,以下是您应该关心SLR决定的原因:首先,对于那些错过了我们关于这个问题的入门知识的人来说,摩根大通的一些背景(具有讽刺意味的是,这是一家从美联储损失最大的银行)的决定)底线是,如果没有SLR救济,<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金(不一定是所有这些,也不是按这个顺序),就像美联储向市场注入数千亿美元一样随着财政部耗尽其TGA账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着美联储银行持有的银行准备金也同样大幅增长。<b>监管救济到期将使8个GSIB的杠杆敞口增加约2.1万亿美元。此外,TGA的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在2021年为系统再增加约2.35万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然3月31日豁免到期不会对GSIB产生直接影响,但全年杠杆资产的持续增加将增加长期债务(LTD)和优先要求。在这里,摩根大通持乐观观点,并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的发行情况也是非常可控的,LTD需要350亿美元来满足TLAC要求,优先需求为150-200亿美元,以将全行业SLR维持在5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大,其杠杆敞口增加的能力约为7,650亿美元,SLR为6.2%。”高盛的观点更令人不安:该行估计,在持续的量化宽松制度下,储备能力将出现约2万亿美元的缺口,主要是银行无法接受的存款形式,作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分(高盛对SLR困境的全面理解更是如此)。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢?</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>针对这个话题,昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm写道“<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表,但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免....以下是几种情况及其对回购市场的影响</i>:</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经完全定价了。准备金的豁免继续,但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者,因此进入市场的现金减少,回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者,波动性会增加。储备和国库的豁免均终止。同上。</b>换句话说,Skyrm持相对悲观的观点,警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者,因此进入市场的现金减少,回购利率上升。”此外,随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者,波动性可能会增加...</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了?上周,摩根大通为SLR制定了5种情景,其中两种预测SLR救济将于3月31日结束,具体如下:</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.纾困3月31日结束银行全面融资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.纾困3月31日结束,银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到Zoltan,让我们回想一下,这位回购大师还警告说,“结束准备金和国债在SLR计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金(而不是国债)的存款和准备金,为市场留出更多空间。做市活动,<b>这些资金流动将进一步增加来自TGA提款的货币基金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,Zoltan预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现广泛的混乱,相反,正如他在周二的一份报告中解释的那样,他对SLR已经产生的微不足道的影响(如果它被消除,将会产生)提供了更良性的看法。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定Zoltan的良性观点是否正确?他在报告的最后写道,“鉴于我们到6月底FRA-OIS利差为零至负的看涨期权是基于SLR延期的结束以及美联储将尝试解决数量问题的假设价格而不是数量,今天的调整意味着FRA-OIS不会一直跌至零或负值。”</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>这里的FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易紧张程度,但以远低于零利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险...虽然账单偶尔会跌入负值,但到目前为止,它们避免了全面陷入NIRP,这可能只是市场正在等待的积极信号,以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* * *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后,对于那些好奇对市场的直接影响会是什么的人来说,国民西敏寺银行策略师布莱克·格温(Blake Gwinn)写道,美联储宣布银行监管豁免将于本月底到期,“确实是穿针引线”,缓解了人们对银行监管豁免的担忧。对市场的潜在长期影响<b>SLR承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题,以防止紧张局势的发展,从而“结束了它,但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>格温说:“我从来不担心银行第一天就会吐出国债或回购提款或类似的情况。”“我担心的是,从长远来看”,随着准备金继续上升,SLR是否会“成为一个麻烦并拖累国债和利差”格温总结道,通过这份声明,美联储<b>“真正解决这些恐惧,基本上是说,‘别担心,我们正在努力’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧,随着收益率在早期四巫交易中飙升至HOD,市场似乎确实对美联储的任何行动持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望,让SLR救助到期:接下来会发生什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 22:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如本文所暗示和深入讨论的那样,在伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)等进步民主党人的政治压力下,美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率(SLR)豁免如期于3月31日(规则变更一周年)到期。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦银行监管机构今天宣布,2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率(SLR)的临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于新冠肺炎事件,这一临时变化是为了为存款机构向家庭和企业提供信贷提供灵活性。这一结果是前纽约联储大师Zoltan Pozsar(再次)正确预测的结果,他跟随FOMC表示,“事实上,美联储实际上是先发制人地做出了这一调整——目前没有使用o/n RRP工具,因此没有能力限制,而回购和票据收益率尚未为负——<b>暗示美联储正在为SLR豁免的结束“铺路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这将是市场的一个非常热门的问题,因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪,并指出,虽然SLR特殊待遇将于3月31日到期,但美联储正在“邀请公众就几项潜在的SLR修改发表评论”。此外,”<b>随着时间的推移,董事会可能需要解决SLR当前的设计和校准问题,以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力</b>”——简而言之,如果收益率飙升,美联储将立即重新引入SLR:</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布,银行控股公司补充杠杆率(SLR)的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外,董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动,确保SLR的任何变化不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解COVID-19大流行造成的国债市场压力并促进对家庭和企业的贷款,董事会去年暂时修改了SLR,将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。从那时起,国债市场已经稳定下来。<b>然而,由于最近中央银行储备供应和国债发行的增长,理事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题,以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保SLR(2014年作为额外资本要求而设立)在准备金较高的环境下保持有效,董事会将很快就几项潜在的SLR修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和评论将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来工作进行持续讨论,以确保国债市场的弹性。尽管美联储的WOD令人宽慰,<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后,美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息,股市暴跌...</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是受SLR救济影响最大的银行(正如昨天在“面对摩根大通的杠杆救济威胁”中所指出的)...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....萎靡不振。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下,以下是您应该关心SLR决定的原因:首先,对于那些错过了我们关于这个问题的入门知识的人来说,摩根大通的一些背景(具有讽刺意味的是,这是一家从美联储损失最大的银行)的决定)底线是,如果没有SLR救济,<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金(不一定是所有这些,也不是按这个顺序),就像美联储向市场注入数千亿美元一样随着财政部耗尽其TGA账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着美联储银行持有的银行准备金也同样大幅增长。<b>监管救济到期将使8个GSIB的杠杆敞口增加约2.1万亿美元。此外,TGA的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在2021年为系统再增加约2.35万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然3月31日豁免到期不会对GSIB产生直接影响,但全年杠杆资产的持续增加将增加长期债务(LTD)和优先要求。在这里,摩根大通持乐观观点,并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的发行情况也是非常可控的,LTD需要350亿美元来满足TLAC要求,优先需求为150-200亿美元,以将全行业SLR维持在5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大,其杠杆敞口增加的能力约为7,650亿美元,SLR为6.2%。”高盛的观点更令人不安:该行估计,在持续的量化宽松制度下,储备能力将出现约2万亿美元的缺口,主要是银行无法接受的存款形式,作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分(高盛对SLR困境的全面理解更是如此)。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢?</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>针对这个话题,昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm写道“<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表,但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免....以下是几种情况及其对回购市场的影响</i>:</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经完全定价了。准备金的豁免继续,但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者,因此进入市场的现金减少,回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者,波动性会增加。储备和国库的豁免均终止。同上。</b>换句话说,Skyrm持相对悲观的观点,警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者,因此进入市场的现金减少,回购利率上升。”此外,随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者,波动性可能会增加...</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了?上周,摩根大通为SLR制定了5种情景,其中两种预测SLR救济将于3月31日结束,具体如下:</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.纾困3月31日结束银行全面融资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.纾困3月31日结束,银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到Zoltan,让我们回想一下,这位回购大师还警告说,“结束准备金和国债在SLR计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金(而不是国债)的存款和准备金,为市场留出更多空间。做市活动,<b>这些资金流动将进一步增加来自TGA提款的货币基金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,Zoltan预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现广泛的混乱,相反,正如他在周二的一份报告中解释的那样,他对SLR已经产生的微不足道的影响(如果它被消除,将会产生)提供了更良性的看法。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定Zoltan的良性观点是否正确?他在报告的最后写道,“鉴于我们到6月底FRA-OIS利差为零至负的看涨期权是基于SLR延期的结束以及美联储将尝试解决数量问题的假设价格而不是数量,今天的调整意味着FRA-OIS不会一直跌至零或负值。”</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>这里的FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易紧张程度,但以远低于零利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险...虽然账单偶尔会跌入负值,但到目前为止,它们避免了全面陷入NIRP,这可能只是市场正在等待的积极信号,以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* * *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后,对于那些好奇对市场的直接影响会是什么的人来说,国民西敏寺银行策略师布莱克·格温(Blake Gwinn)写道,美联储宣布银行监管豁免将于本月底到期,“确实是穿针引线”,缓解了人们对银行监管豁免的担忧。对市场的潜在长期影响<b>SLR承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题,以防止紧张局势的发展,从而“结束了它,但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>格温说:“我从来不担心银行第一天就会吐出国债或回购提款或类似的情况。”“我担心的是,从长远来看”,随着准备金继续上升,SLR是否会“成为一个麻烦并拖累国债和利差”格温总结道,通过这份声明,美联储<b>“真正解决这些恐惧,基本上是说,‘别担心,我们正在努力’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧,随着收益率在早期四巫交易中飙升至HOD,市场似乎确实对美联储的任何行动持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* * *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893841935,"gmtCreate":1628257182727,"gmtModify":1633752194051,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893841935","repostId":"1155656235","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155656235","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628227304,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155656235?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 13:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155656235","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales ","content":"<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p><p><blockquote>在该行业反弹的推动下,云ETF接近历史新高</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师预计,提供云服务的公司未来将实现强劲的销售增长。(盖蒂图片社/iStockphoto)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p><p><blockquote>尽管来自中国的传言和德尔塔变异毒株感染人数激增,但美国投资者仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p><p><blockquote>云公司——那些处于计算能力向互联网分布式模式转变前沿的公司——预计将在未来几年快速增长,覆盖该领域的五家最大交易所交易基金中有四家即将创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>下面是这些ETF持有的股票屏幕,显示了预计到2023年销售额增幅最大的股票。在一个许多参与者处于相对早期阶段的行业中,销售额的增长而不是盈利的增长可能是股价的最佳驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p><p><blockquote>首先,我们查看了五只最大的云ETF:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p><p><blockquote>ETF可能是您采取广泛方法长期参与云革命的最佳方式。如果您对任何ETF感兴趣,您应该查看基金经理的网站。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至8月4日的总回报比较,以及SPDR标普500 ETF和Invesco QQQ Trust(跟踪纳斯达克100指数)的总回报比较:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>ETF的方法不同。例如,方舟下一代互联网ETF是唯一一只主动管理的。其他人跟踪一个指数。根据Ark Invest 8月5日发布的信息,它也是唯一一家持有特斯拉公司股票的公司,占投资组合的10.65%。特斯拉是一家电动汽车制造商,但它也可以被视为一家云公司,因为它不断通过互联网分发软件更新,并提供其他基于云的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>在五只云ETF中,ARKW独有的另一个持股是华特迪士尼公司,该公司通过其Disney+流媒体服务无疑是一个重要的云参与者,即使该公司没有直接说明其销售额有多少来自该快速增长的部分。</blockquote></p><p> As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p><p><blockquote>作为对ARKW描述的一部分,FactSet表示如下:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“从广义上讲,ARKW的管理者似乎专注于物联网、云计算、数字货币和可穿戴技术等热门词汇。虽然该基金的重点可能是吸引对这些新技术有信心的投资者,但投资组合的实施是一项更加困难的任务:大多数开发这些进步的公司都是大公司,新兴技术仅占总收入的一小部分。因此,很难纯粹接触ARKW的目标技术,因此请务必确认该基金的持股(而不仅仅是其论点)与您对该领域的看法一致。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>云库存屏幕</b></blockquote></p><p> Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p><p><blockquote>上面列出的五只云ETF总共持有147只股票。为了预测2023年的销售增长,我们使用2020年日历的销售预测作为基线,然后查看FactSet调查的分析师对随后三年的一致预测(如果有)。(2020年的数字是估计值,因为许多公司的财年与日历不符。)</blockquote></p><p> To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p><p><blockquote>为了确保我们有一套可靠的估计,我们将该小组限制在FactSet调查的至少5名分析师覆盖的126家公司,这些公司可以获得2020年至2023年的一致销售估计。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p><p><blockquote>以下是预计到2023年销售额复合年增长率(CAGR)最高的20家公司:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.</p><p><blockquote>实际上有21只股票上市,包括Zillow Group Inc.的A类和C类股票。</blockquote></p><p> It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是,该榜单以ARKW持有的股票为主。该基金对云公司有广泛的定义,也关注销售增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是基于未来12个月共识预测的当前远期市销率、当前市值与2023年预计销售额的比率以及分析师对这些股票的意见摘要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下,SPDR标普500指数ETF的远期市销率为2.8,2023年预计市销率为2.6。对于QQQ,目前的市盈率为4.7,2023年将降至4.3。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 13:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p><p><blockquote>在该行业反弹的推动下,云ETF接近历史新高</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师预计,提供云服务的公司未来将实现强劲的销售增长。(盖蒂图片社/iStockphoto)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p><p><blockquote>尽管来自中国的传言和德尔塔变异毒株感染人数激增,但美国投资者仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p><p><blockquote>云公司——那些处于计算能力向互联网分布式模式转变前沿的公司——预计将在未来几年快速增长,覆盖该领域的五家最大交易所交易基金中有四家即将创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>下面是这些ETF持有的股票屏幕,显示了预计到2023年销售额增幅最大的股票。在一个许多参与者处于相对早期阶段的行业中,销售额的增长而不是盈利的增长可能是股价的最佳驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p><p><blockquote>首先,我们查看了五只最大的云ETF:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p><p><blockquote>ETF可能是您采取广泛方法长期参与云革命的最佳方式。如果您对任何ETF感兴趣,您应该查看基金经理的网站。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至8月4日的总回报比较,以及SPDR标普500 ETF和Invesco QQQ Trust(跟踪纳斯达克100指数)的总回报比较:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>ETF的方法不同。例如,方舟下一代互联网ETF是唯一一只主动管理的。其他人跟踪一个指数。根据Ark Invest 8月5日发布的信息,它也是唯一一家持有特斯拉公司股票的公司,占投资组合的10.65%。特斯拉是一家电动汽车制造商,但它也可以被视为一家云公司,因为它不断通过互联网分发软件更新,并提供其他基于云的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>在五只云ETF中,ARKW独有的另一个持股是华特迪士尼公司,该公司通过其Disney+流媒体服务无疑是一个重要的云参与者,即使该公司没有直接说明其销售额有多少来自该快速增长的部分。</blockquote></p><p> As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p><p><blockquote>作为对ARKW描述的一部分,FactSet表示如下:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“从广义上讲,ARKW的管理者似乎专注于物联网、云计算、数字货币和可穿戴技术等热门词汇。虽然该基金的重点可能是吸引对这些新技术有信心的投资者,但投资组合的实施是一项更加困难的任务:大多数开发这些进步的公司都是大公司,新兴技术仅占总收入的一小部分。因此,很难纯粹接触ARKW的目标技术,因此请务必确认该基金的持股(而不仅仅是其论点)与您对该领域的看法一致。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>云库存屏幕</b></blockquote></p><p> Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p><p><blockquote>上面列出的五只云ETF总共持有147只股票。为了预测2023年的销售增长,我们使用2020年日历的销售预测作为基线,然后查看FactSet调查的分析师对随后三年的一致预测(如果有)。(2020年的数字是估计值,因为许多公司的财年与日历不符。)</blockquote></p><p> To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p><p><blockquote>为了确保我们有一套可靠的估计,我们将该小组限制在FactSet调查的至少5名分析师覆盖的126家公司,这些公司可以获得2020年至2023年的一致销售估计。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p><p><blockquote>以下是预计到2023年销售额复合年增长率(CAGR)最高的20家公司:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.</p><p><blockquote>实际上有21只股票上市,包括Zillow Group Inc.的A类和C类股票。</blockquote></p><p> It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是,该榜单以ARKW持有的股票为主。该基金对云公司有广泛的定义,也关注销售增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是基于未来12个月共识预测的当前远期市销率、当前市值与2023年预计销售额的比率以及分析师对这些股票的意见摘要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下,SPDR标普500指数ETF的远期市销率为2.8,2023年预计市销率为2.6。对于QQQ,目前的市盈率为4.7,2023年将降至4.3。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","ROKU":"Roku Inc","ZG":"Zillow Class A","Z":"Zillow","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","MELI":"MercadoLibre","PDD":"拼多多","TSLA":"特斯拉","ADYEY":"Adyen N.V.","VCYT":"Veracyte Inc","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","OKTA":"Okta Inc.","SE":"Sea Ltd","SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","KC":"金山云","SNAP":"Snap Inc","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","LC":"LendingClub"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155656235","content_text":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)\nU.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.\nCloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.\nBelow is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.\nTo begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:\nSource: FactSet\nETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.\nHere’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:\nSource: FactSet\nThe ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.\nAnother holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.\nAs part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:\n“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”\nCloud-stock screen\nTogether, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)\nTo make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.\nHere are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:\n\nSource: FactSet\nThere are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.\nIt is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.\nHere are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.\n\nSource: FactSet\nIn comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ADYEY":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"LC":0.9,"OKTA":0.9,"SNAP":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"SE":0.9,"SKLZ":0.9,"VCYT":0.9,"MELI":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"ZG":0.9,"KC":0.9,"Z":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"PINS":0.9,"SHOP":0.9,"CRWD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804931494,"gmtCreate":1627915179618,"gmtModify":1633755298319,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804931494","repostId":"1183793139","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183793139","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627914562,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183793139?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 22:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductor stocks rally after ON Semi's strong earnings<blockquote>安森美强劲盈利后半导体股上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183793139","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(August 2) The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up 1.6%, outperforming the 0.3% gain for the broa","content":"<p>(August 2) The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up 1.6%, outperforming the 0.3% gain for the broader tech sector (NYSEARCA:XLK) after chipmaker ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) reported strong earnings and an upside forecast despite the continuing supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>(8月2日)费城半导体指数上涨1.6%,跑赢更广泛的科技板块(NYSEARCA:XLK)0.3%的涨幅,此前芯片制造商安森美半导体(纳斯达克:ON)报告了强劲的收益和上行预测,尽管供应链持续受到限制。</blockquote></p><p> ON Semiconductor stock surges over 14% after record earnings that beat expectations, upbeat outlook.</p><p><blockquote>在创纪录的盈利超出预期、前景乐观后,安森美半导体股价飙升超过14%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor Corp.</a> (ON) shot up over 14% in morning trading Monday, after the chipmaker reported record adjusted profit and revenue that beat expectations and provided an upbeat outlook, citing accelerating demand in the automotive and industrial end markets.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体公司。</a>(ON)周一早盘交易中飙升超过14%,此前这家芯片制造商公布了创纪录的调整后利润和收入,超出预期,并提供了乐观的前景,理由是汽车和工业终端市场的需求加速。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Net income was $184.1 million, or 42 cents a share, after a loss of $1.4 billion, or roughly breakeven on a per-share basis, in the year-ago period.</li> <li>Excluding nonrecurring items, adjusted earnings per share increased to a record 63 cents from 12 cents, beating the FactSet consensus of 49 cents.</li> <li>Revenue grew 37.6% to $1.67 billion, above the FactSet consensus of $1.62 billion.</li> <li>For the third quarter, the company expects adjusted EPS of 68 cents to 80 cents and revenue of $1.66 billion to $1.76 billion, above the FactSet consensus for EPS of 51 cents and revenue of $1.61 billion.</li> <li>Gross margin is expected to improve to 38.8% to 40.9% in the third quarter from 38.3% in the second quarter.</li> </ul> The stock has rallied 19.3% year to date through Friday, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has run up 20.1% and the S&P 500 has advanced 17.0%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>净利润为1.841亿美元,即每股42美分,去年同期亏损14亿美元,即每股大致盈亏平衡。</li><li>不包括非经常性项目,调整后每股收益从12美分增至创纪录的63美分,超过FactSet预期的49美分。</li><li>收入增长37.6%至16.7亿美元,高于FactSet预期的16.2亿美元。</li><li>该公司预计第三季度调整后每股收益为68美分至80美分,营收为16.6亿美元至17.6亿美元,高于FactSet预期的每股收益51美分和营收16.1亿美元。</li><li>预计第三季度毛利率将从第二季度的38.3%改善至38.8%至40.9%。</li></ul>截至周五,该股今年迄今已上涨19.3%,而PHLX半导体指数上涨20.1%,标普500上涨17.0%。</blockquote></p><p> MKM Partners notes that ON called out \"accelerating demand for the auto and industrial end markets\" even as the global chip shortage continues.</p><p><blockquote>MKM Partners指出,尽管全球芯片短缺仍在持续,但ON仍呼吁“汽车和工业终端市场的需求正在加速”。</blockquote></p><p> Top semiconductor gainers include ON's auto chip peers Microchip (MCHP +3.3%) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI +2.6%) with the latter reporting earnings today after the bell. Semiconductor equipment players Applied Materials (AMAT +3.2%) and Lam Research (LRCX +2.0%) are also among the top tech gainers.</p><p><blockquote>半导体涨幅最大的股票包括ON的汽车芯片同行Microchip(MCHP+3.3%)和恩智浦半导体(NXPI+2.6%),后者今天盘后公布了财报。半导体设备公司应用材料公司(AMAT+3.2%)和泛林研究(LRCX+2.0%)也位居科技股涨幅前列。</blockquote></p><p> Silicon Labs (SLAB +4.2%) continues to rally after announcing plans for a $1B modified Dutch auction.</p><p><blockquote>Silicon Labs(SLAB+4.2%)在宣布计划进行10亿美元修改后的荷兰拍卖后继续上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29705170f6277ecc6c92943d45c08bb7\" tg-width=\"315\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductor stocks rally after ON Semi's strong earnings<blockquote>安森美强劲盈利后半导体股上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductor stocks rally after ON Semi's strong earnings<blockquote>安森美强劲盈利后半导体股上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 22:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(August 2) The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up 1.6%, outperforming the 0.3% gain for the broader tech sector (NYSEARCA:XLK) after chipmaker ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) reported strong earnings and an upside forecast despite the continuing supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>(8月2日)费城半导体指数上涨1.6%,跑赢更广泛的科技板块(NYSEARCA:XLK)0.3%的涨幅,此前芯片制造商安森美半导体(纳斯达克:ON)报告了强劲的收益和上行预测,尽管供应链持续受到限制。</blockquote></p><p> ON Semiconductor stock surges over 14% after record earnings that beat expectations, upbeat outlook.</p><p><blockquote>在创纪录的盈利超出预期、前景乐观后,安森美半导体股价飙升超过14%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor Corp.</a> (ON) shot up over 14% in morning trading Monday, after the chipmaker reported record adjusted profit and revenue that beat expectations and provided an upbeat outlook, citing accelerating demand in the automotive and industrial end markets.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体公司。</a>(ON)周一早盘交易中飙升超过14%,此前这家芯片制造商公布了创纪录的调整后利润和收入,超出预期,并提供了乐观的前景,理由是汽车和工业终端市场的需求加速。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Net income was $184.1 million, or 42 cents a share, after a loss of $1.4 billion, or roughly breakeven on a per-share basis, in the year-ago period.</li> <li>Excluding nonrecurring items, adjusted earnings per share increased to a record 63 cents from 12 cents, beating the FactSet consensus of 49 cents.</li> <li>Revenue grew 37.6% to $1.67 billion, above the FactSet consensus of $1.62 billion.</li> <li>For the third quarter, the company expects adjusted EPS of 68 cents to 80 cents and revenue of $1.66 billion to $1.76 billion, above the FactSet consensus for EPS of 51 cents and revenue of $1.61 billion.</li> <li>Gross margin is expected to improve to 38.8% to 40.9% in the third quarter from 38.3% in the second quarter.</li> </ul> The stock has rallied 19.3% year to date through Friday, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has run up 20.1% and the S&P 500 has advanced 17.0%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>净利润为1.841亿美元,即每股42美分,去年同期亏损14亿美元,即每股大致盈亏平衡。</li><li>不包括非经常性项目,调整后每股收益从12美分增至创纪录的63美分,超过FactSet预期的49美分。</li><li>收入增长37.6%至16.7亿美元,高于FactSet预期的16.2亿美元。</li><li>该公司预计第三季度调整后每股收益为68美分至80美分,营收为16.6亿美元至17.6亿美元,高于FactSet预期的每股收益51美分和营收16.1亿美元。</li><li>预计第三季度毛利率将从第二季度的38.3%改善至38.8%至40.9%。</li></ul>截至周五,该股今年迄今已上涨19.3%,而PHLX半导体指数上涨20.1%,标普500上涨17.0%。</blockquote></p><p> MKM Partners notes that ON called out \"accelerating demand for the auto and industrial end markets\" even as the global chip shortage continues.</p><p><blockquote>MKM Partners指出,尽管全球芯片短缺仍在持续,但ON仍呼吁“汽车和工业终端市场的需求正在加速”。</blockquote></p><p> Top semiconductor gainers include ON's auto chip peers Microchip (MCHP +3.3%) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI +2.6%) with the latter reporting earnings today after the bell. Semiconductor equipment players Applied Materials (AMAT +3.2%) and Lam Research (LRCX +2.0%) are also among the top tech gainers.</p><p><blockquote>半导体涨幅最大的股票包括ON的汽车芯片同行Microchip(MCHP+3.3%)和恩智浦半导体(NXPI+2.6%),后者今天盘后公布了财报。半导体设备公司应用材料公司(AMAT+3.2%)和泛林研究(LRCX+2.0%)也位居科技股涨幅前列。</blockquote></p><p> Silicon Labs (SLAB +4.2%) continues to rally after announcing plans for a $1B modified Dutch auction.</p><p><blockquote>Silicon Labs(SLAB+4.2%)在宣布计划进行10亿美元修改后的荷兰拍卖后继续上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29705170f6277ecc6c92943d45c08bb7\" tg-width=\"315\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183793139","content_text":"(August 2) The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up 1.6%, outperforming the 0.3% gain for the broader tech sector (NYSEARCA:XLK) after chipmaker ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) reported strong earnings and an upside forecast despite the continuing supply chain constraints.\nON Semiconductor stock surges over 14% after record earnings that beat expectations, upbeat outlook.\nShares of ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) shot up over 14% in morning trading Monday, after the chipmaker reported record adjusted profit and revenue that beat expectations and provided an upbeat outlook, citing accelerating demand in the automotive and industrial end markets.\n\nNet income was $184.1 million, or 42 cents a share, after a loss of $1.4 billion, or roughly breakeven on a per-share basis, in the year-ago period.\nExcluding nonrecurring items, adjusted earnings per share increased to a record 63 cents from 12 cents, beating the FactSet consensus of 49 cents.\nRevenue grew 37.6% to $1.67 billion, above the FactSet consensus of $1.62 billion.\nFor the third quarter, the company expects adjusted EPS of 68 cents to 80 cents and revenue of $1.66 billion to $1.76 billion, above the FactSet consensus for EPS of 51 cents and revenue of $1.61 billion.\nGross margin is expected to improve to 38.8% to 40.9% in the third quarter from 38.3% in the second quarter.\n\nThe stock has rallied 19.3% year to date through Friday, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has run up 20.1% and the S&P 500 has advanced 17.0%.\nMKM Partners notes that ON called out \"accelerating demand for the auto and industrial end markets\" even as the global chip shortage continues.\nTop semiconductor gainers include ON's auto chip peers Microchip (MCHP +3.3%) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI +2.6%) with the latter reporting earnings today after the bell. Semiconductor equipment players Applied Materials (AMAT +3.2%) and Lam Research (LRCX +2.0%) are also among the top tech gainers.\nSilicon Labs (SLAB +4.2%) continues to rally after announcing plans for a $1B modified Dutch auction.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180056042,"gmtCreate":1623165681686,"gmtModify":1634036221852,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like 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pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106999928","repostId":"1194616315","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194658326,"gmtCreate":1621379641265,"gmtModify":1634192092037,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194658326","repostId":"1118874404","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118874404","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621348771,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118874404?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 22:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股票再次火爆。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118874404","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again on Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Mo","content":"<p>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again on Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周二再次火爆。菲斯克上涨9%,小牛上涨7%,理想汽车上涨5%,小鹏汽车上涨3%,特斯拉上涨2%,蔚来上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c154e9ee88b69416f48d71722ce1901\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股票再次火爆。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股票再次火爆。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 22:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again on Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周二再次火爆。菲斯克上涨9%,小牛上涨7%,理想汽车上涨5%,小鹏汽车上涨3%,特斯拉上涨2%,蔚来上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c154e9ee88b69416f48d71722ce1901\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FSR":"菲斯克","TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","NIU":"小牛电动","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118874404","content_text":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again on Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"LI":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"NIU":0.9,"FSR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191375412,"gmtCreate":1620861319036,"gmtModify":1634195859943,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191375412","repostId":"1196961143","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105752446,"gmtCreate":1620342377285,"gmtModify":1634206017101,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105752446","repostId":"1116905516","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372292681,"gmtCreate":1619218627843,"gmtModify":1634287742705,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372292681","repostId":"1180713929","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180713929","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619191972,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180713929?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMD Stock Popped After Intel's Earnings Beat<blockquote>为什么英特尔盈利超出预期后AMD股价上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180713929","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Here's a hint: It's not because Intel reported great news.What happenedShares of rising Intel (NASDA","content":"<p>Here's a hint: It's not because Intel reported great news.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个提示:这并不是因为英特尔报道了好消息。</blockquote></p><p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p>Shares of rising <b>Intel</b> (NASDAQ:INTC) rival and fellow semiconductors giant <b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ:AMD) popped in early trading on the Nasdaq Friday, the first day afterIntel's disappointing Q1 2021 earnings report. AMD's shares were up 4.5% as of 11:30 a.m. EDT.</p><p><blockquote>瑞星股份<b>英特尔</b>(纳斯达克:INTC)竞争对手和半导体巨头<b>先进微设备公司</b>(纳斯达克:AMD)周五在纳斯达克早盘交易中上涨,这是英特尔发布令人失望的2021年第一季度收益报告的第一天。截至美国东部时间上午11:30,AMD股价上涨4.5%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/368e9bc79febd0164dab4a88ffd13c42\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf04377bf945cfdaa9a52157bb5560f7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p>Intel, if you haven't heard, actually beat on its Q1 earnings. Despite sales declining 1% year over year, the company managed to report a pro forma profit of $1.39 per share, which was ahead of analyst expectations.</p><p><blockquote>如果您还没有听说过,英特尔第一季度的盈利实际上超出了预期。尽管销售额同比下降1%,但该公司仍报告预计每股利润为1.39美元,超出分析师预期。</blockquote></p><p>Regardless, Intel reported a steep 540 basis point decline in its gross margin to 55.2%, and it saw its operating margin cut nearly in half as the company spent heavily to race to catch up to its rivals in advanced computer chips. Analysts at Citigroup commented yesterday that Intel stock appears to be close to its peak valuation and is likely to decline as investors acclimate to the new environment in which Intel is losing, not gaining, market share.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何,英特尔报告称其毛利率大幅下降540个基点至55.2%,并且由于该公司斥巨资追赶先进计算机芯片领域的竞争对手,其营业利润率几乎减半。花旗集团分析师昨日评论称,英特尔股价似乎已接近其估值峰值,随着投资者适应英特尔正在失去而非获得市场份额的新环境,英特尔股价可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p>And the reason this is good news for AMD is that, according to Citi at least, it's AMD that's taking that market share away from Intel.</p><p><blockquote>这对AMD来说是个好消息的原因是,至少根据花旗的说法,AMD正在从英特尔手中夺走市场份额。</blockquote></p><p><b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p>So what's an investor to do with all this information?</p><p><blockquote>那么投资者如何处理所有这些信息呢?</blockquote></p><p>At a valuation of just 13.6 times trailing earnings, Intel stock certainly looks like a relative bargain when compared with AMD stock, which trades at 38.4 times earnings. But AMD has acash-rich balance sheet, versus Intel that's carrying $13.5 billion in net debt. And analysts see Intel's earnings growing only 10% annually over the next five years, while AMD is pegged for 29.5% annualized earnings growth, according toS&P Global Market Intelligencedata.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股票的市盈率仅为13.6倍,与AMD股票的市盈率为38.4倍相比,英特尔股票看起来确实相对便宜。但AMD的资产负债表现金充裕,而英特尔的净债务为135亿美元。根据标准普尔全球市场情报数据,分析师预计英特尔未来五年的盈利年增长率仅为10%,而AMD的年化盈利增长率预计为29.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Intel may look like a value stockright now, but it's AMD that's gotall the momentum.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔现在可能看起来像一只价值股,但拥有所有动力的是AMD。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMD Stock Popped After Intel's Earnings Beat<blockquote>为什么英特尔盈利超出预期后AMD股价上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMD Stock Popped After Intel's Earnings Beat<blockquote>为什么英特尔盈利超出预期后AMD股价上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-23 23:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Here's a hint: It's not because Intel reported great news.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个提示:这并不是因为英特尔报道了好消息。</blockquote></p><p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p>Shares of rising <b>Intel</b> (NASDAQ:INTC) rival and fellow semiconductors giant <b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ:AMD) popped in early trading on the Nasdaq Friday, the first day afterIntel's disappointing Q1 2021 earnings report. AMD's shares were up 4.5% as of 11:30 a.m. EDT.</p><p><blockquote>瑞星股份<b>英特尔</b>(纳斯达克:INTC)竞争对手和半导体巨头<b>先进微设备公司</b>(纳斯达克:AMD)周五在纳斯达克早盘交易中上涨,这是英特尔发布令人失望的2021年第一季度收益报告的第一天。截至美国东部时间上午11:30,AMD股价上涨4.5%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/368e9bc79febd0164dab4a88ffd13c42\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf04377bf945cfdaa9a52157bb5560f7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p>Intel, if you haven't heard, actually beat on its Q1 earnings. Despite sales declining 1% year over year, the company managed to report a pro forma profit of $1.39 per share, which was ahead of analyst expectations.</p><p><blockquote>如果您还没有听说过,英特尔第一季度的盈利实际上超出了预期。尽管销售额同比下降1%,但该公司仍报告预计每股利润为1.39美元,超出分析师预期。</blockquote></p><p>Regardless, Intel reported a steep 540 basis point decline in its gross margin to 55.2%, and it saw its operating margin cut nearly in half as the company spent heavily to race to catch up to its rivals in advanced computer chips. Analysts at Citigroup commented yesterday that Intel stock appears to be close to its peak valuation and is likely to decline as investors acclimate to the new environment in which Intel is losing, not gaining, market share.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何,英特尔报告称其毛利率大幅下降540个基点至55.2%,并且由于该公司斥巨资追赶先进计算机芯片领域的竞争对手,其营业利润率几乎减半。花旗集团分析师昨日评论称,英特尔股价似乎已接近其估值峰值,随着投资者适应英特尔正在失去而非获得市场份额的新环境,英特尔股价可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p>And the reason this is good news for AMD is that, according to Citi at least, it's AMD that's taking that market share away from Intel.</p><p><blockquote>这对AMD来说是个好消息的原因是,至少根据花旗的说法,AMD正在从英特尔手中夺走市场份额。</blockquote></p><p><b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p>So what's an investor to do with all this information?</p><p><blockquote>那么投资者如何处理所有这些信息呢?</blockquote></p><p>At a valuation of just 13.6 times trailing earnings, Intel stock certainly looks like a relative bargain when compared with AMD stock, which trades at 38.4 times earnings. But AMD has acash-rich balance sheet, versus Intel that's carrying $13.5 billion in net debt. And analysts see Intel's earnings growing only 10% annually over the next five years, while AMD is pegged for 29.5% annualized earnings growth, according toS&P Global Market Intelligencedata.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股票的市盈率仅为13.6倍,与AMD股票的市盈率为38.4倍相比,英特尔股票看起来确实相对便宜。但AMD的资产负债表现金充裕,而英特尔的净债务为135亿美元。根据标准普尔全球市场情报数据,分析师预计英特尔未来五年的盈利年增长率仅为10%,而AMD的年化盈利增长率预计为29.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Intel may look like a value stockright now, but it's AMD that's gotall the momentum.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔现在可能看起来像一只价值股,但拥有所有动力的是AMD。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","INTC":"英特尔"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180713929","content_text":"Here's a hint: It's not because Intel reported great news.What happenedShares of rising Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) rival and fellow semiconductors giant Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) popped in early trading on the Nasdaq Friday, the first day afterIntel's disappointing Q1 2021 earnings report. AMD's shares were up 4.5% as of 11:30 a.m. EDT.So whatIntel, if you haven't heard, actually beat on its Q1 earnings. Despite sales declining 1% year over year, the company managed to report a pro forma profit of $1.39 per share, which was ahead of analyst expectations.Regardless, Intel reported a steep 540 basis point decline in its gross margin to 55.2%, and it saw its operating margin cut nearly in half as the company spent heavily to race to catch up to its rivals in advanced computer chips. Analysts at Citigroup commented yesterday that Intel stock appears to be close to its peak valuation and is likely to decline as investors acclimate to the new environment in which Intel is losing, not gaining, market share.And the reason this is good news for AMD is that, according to Citi at least, it's AMD that's taking that market share away from Intel.Now whatSo what's an investor to do with all this information?At a valuation of just 13.6 times trailing earnings, Intel stock certainly looks like a relative bargain when compared with AMD stock, which trades at 38.4 times earnings. But AMD has acash-rich balance sheet, versus Intel that's carrying $13.5 billion in net debt. And analysts see Intel's earnings growing only 10% annually over the next five years, while AMD is pegged for 29.5% annualized earnings growth, according toS&P Global Market Intelligencedata.Intel may look like a value stockright now, but it's AMD that's gotall the momentum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340557061,"gmtCreate":1617438867853,"gmtModify":1634520949316,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment & like. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ ","listText":"Please comment & like. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ ","text":"Please comment & like. Help me to get 🐯 coin. TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340557061","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191998262?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<p> You may not like the answer. For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p><p><blockquote>你可能不喜欢这个答案。在过去的一年里,投资者享受了有史以来最大的反弹之一。基准后<b>标普500</b>由于围绕冠状病毒大流行的前所未有的不确定性,(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)在短短几周内就损失了三分之一的价值,但随后反弹至较低点上涨了75%左右。你可以正确地说,耐心得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者——尤其是长期投资者——敏锐地意识到了另一个现实:股市崩盘或调整的倾向。现在情况可能看起来很好,但下一次大幅暴跌总是在等待。</blockquote></p><p> It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了一个问题:股市崩盘的可能性有多大?让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>平均每1.87年出现两位数的下降</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p><p><blockquote>首先,股市调整(即至少下跌10%)在标普500中很常见。根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据,自1950年初以来,标普500已经出现了38次回调。这意味着基准指数平均每1.87年下降两位数。由于距离市场触及熊市底部已经一年多了,平均水平肯定不会受到投资者的青睐。</blockquote></p><p> However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p><p><blockquote>然而,平均值不过如此...平均值。市场并不遵循平均值,即使有些人的投资基于历史上发生的事情。</blockquote></p><p> We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能会进入一个类似于1991年到1996年的时期,那里的修正为零。或者我们可以延续2010年初以来的主题,平均每19个月就会出现一次修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在熊市触底后的三年内,调整是历史性的</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得研究的有趣证据是标普500在触及熊市底部后修正的频率。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p><p><blockquote>自1960年初(为了简单起见,我随意选择了一年)以来,这个广受关注的指数已经经历了九次熊市,包括冠状病毒崩盘。在从之前八次熊市低点反弹的过程中,100%的情况下,三年内至少有一次两位数的百分比下跌。在过去八次熊市底部之后的三年内,总共发生了13次调整(即每次底部之后都有一次或两次)。</blockquote></p><p> Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,从熊市底部反弹很少是直线走高。然而,自2020年3月23日以来,上涨、上涨和离开几乎一直是投资者的主题。历史表明,未来两年内股市很有可能走低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当达到这个估值指标时,经常会发生崩溃</b></blockquote></p><p> But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p><p><blockquote>但最确凿的证据可能是标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)。这是一个估值指标,考察过去10年经通胀调整后的平均收益。你可能也知道它是周期性调整市盈率,或CAPE。</blockquote></p><p> As of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月30日收盘,标普500的席勒市盈率达到35.61。这是150年来平均水平16.8的两倍多。以持续的牛市走势为参数,这是其历史上第二高的读数。</blockquote></p><p> To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p><p><blockquote>在某种程度上,现在的股票估值应该高于历史水平是有道理的。这是因为利率接近历史低点,而且互联网接入有效地打破了华尔街和主街之间的障碍,这些障碍在过去可能会阻碍市盈率倍数。</blockquote></p><p> However, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>然而,此前标普500席勒市盈率突破并维持在30水平的情况并没有得到很好的结局。在之前四次席勒市盈率超过并保持在30以上的情况下,基准指数下跌了20%至89%。尽管如今不太可能出现大萧条期间经历的89%的暴跌,但从历史上看,当估值延长时,就有可能出现大幅下跌,就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将现金放在手边,以防机会来袭</b></blockquote></p><p> To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p><p><blockquote>回到手头的最初问题,数据非常清楚地表明,股市崩盘或调整的可能性已经大大增加。不可能准确预测崩盘何时可能发生,下跌将持续多长时间,或者下跌幅度有多大。但数据强烈表明下行趋势即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对一些投资者来说可能是一个令人失望的发现,但事实并非如此。崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分。更重要的是,它们为投资者提供了以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。想想去年三月你可能会因为没有购买而自责的所有伟大公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.</p><p><blockquote>对崩溃和修正感到兴奋的原因也可以在数据中找到。你看,自1950年初以来的38次标普500调整中,每一次最终都被牛市反弹抛到了后视镜中。此外,在过去的一个世纪里,标普500的20年滚动总回报率(包括股息)从未为负。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果您在调整期间需要进一步鼓励买入,请记住,标普500 38次两位数下跌中有24次是在104个或更短的日历日(3.5个月或更短)内触底的。崩溃和修正有时可能很剧烈,但往往会很快解决。这是你在机会来临时准备好现金的提示。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-02 20:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> You may not like the answer. For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p><p><blockquote>你可能不喜欢这个答案。在过去的一年里,投资者享受了有史以来最大的反弹之一。基准后<b>标普500</b>由于围绕冠状病毒大流行的前所未有的不确定性,(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)在短短几周内就损失了三分之一的价值,但随后反弹至较低点上涨了75%左右。你可以正确地说,耐心得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者——尤其是长期投资者——敏锐地意识到了另一个现实:股市崩盘或调整的倾向。现在情况可能看起来很好,但下一次大幅暴跌总是在等待。</blockquote></p><p> It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了一个问题:股市崩盘的可能性有多大?让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>平均每1.87年出现两位数的下降</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p><p><blockquote>首先,股市调整(即至少下跌10%)在标普500中很常见。根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据,自1950年初以来,标普500已经出现了38次回调。这意味着基准指数平均每1.87年下降两位数。由于距离市场触及熊市底部已经一年多了,平均水平肯定不会受到投资者的青睐。</blockquote></p><p> However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p><p><blockquote>然而,平均值不过如此...平均值。市场并不遵循平均值,即使有些人的投资基于历史上发生的事情。</blockquote></p><p> We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能会进入一个类似于1991年到1996年的时期,那里的修正为零。或者我们可以延续2010年初以来的主题,平均每19个月就会出现一次修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在熊市触底后的三年内,调整是历史性的</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得研究的有趣证据是标普500在触及熊市底部后修正的频率。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p><p><blockquote>自1960年初(为了简单起见,我随意选择了一年)以来,这个广受关注的指数已经经历了九次熊市,包括冠状病毒崩盘。在从之前八次熊市低点反弹的过程中,100%的情况下,三年内至少有一次两位数的百分比下跌。在过去八次熊市底部之后的三年内,总共发生了13次调整(即每次底部之后都有一次或两次)。</blockquote></p><p> Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,从熊市底部反弹很少是直线走高。然而,自2020年3月23日以来,上涨、上涨和离开几乎一直是投资者的主题。历史表明,未来两年内股市很有可能走低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当达到这个估值指标时,经常会发生崩溃</b></blockquote></p><p> But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p><p><blockquote>但最确凿的证据可能是标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)。这是一个估值指标,考察过去10年经通胀调整后的平均收益。你可能也知道它是周期性调整市盈率,或CAPE。</blockquote></p><p> As of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月30日收盘,标普500的席勒市盈率达到35.61。这是150年来平均水平16.8的两倍多。以持续的牛市走势为参数,这是其历史上第二高的读数。</blockquote></p><p> To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p><p><blockquote>在某种程度上,现在的股票估值应该高于历史水平是有道理的。这是因为利率接近历史低点,而且互联网接入有效地打破了华尔街和主街之间的障碍,这些障碍在过去可能会阻碍市盈率倍数。</blockquote></p><p> However, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>然而,此前标普500席勒市盈率突破并维持在30水平的情况并没有得到很好的结局。在之前四次席勒市盈率超过并保持在30以上的情况下,基准指数下跌了20%至89%。尽管如今不太可能出现大萧条期间经历的89%的暴跌,但从历史上看,当估值延长时,就有可能出现大幅下跌,就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将现金放在手边,以防机会来袭</b></blockquote></p><p> To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p><p><blockquote>回到手头的最初问题,数据非常清楚地表明,股市崩盘或调整的可能性已经大大增加。不可能准确预测崩盘何时可能发生,下跌将持续多长时间,或者下跌幅度有多大。但数据强烈表明下行趋势即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对一些投资者来说可能是一个令人失望的发现,但事实并非如此。崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分。更重要的是,它们为投资者提供了以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。想想去年三月你可能会因为没有购买而自责的所有伟大公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.</p><p><blockquote>对崩溃和修正感到兴奋的原因也可以在数据中找到。你看,自1950年初以来的38次标普500调整中,每一次最终都被牛市反弹抛到了后视镜中。此外,在过去的一个世纪里,标普500的20年滚动总回报率(包括股息)从未为负。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果您在调整期间需要进一步鼓励买入,请记住,标普500 38次两位数下跌中有24次是在104个或更短的日历日(3.5个月或更短)内触底的。崩溃和修正有时可能很剧烈,但往往会很快解决。这是你在机会来临时准备好现金的提示。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179668313,"gmtCreate":1626519761532,"gmtModify":1633926078993,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179668313","repostId":"1198202103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114289614,"gmtCreate":1623075366738,"gmtModify":1634037222785,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114289614","repostId":"1134507398","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132306369,"gmtCreate":1622070765651,"gmtModify":1634184246070,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132306369","repostId":"1113786599","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346410597,"gmtCreate":1618101406119,"gmtModify":1634294932241,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like, please ","listText":"Comment & like, please ","text":"Comment & like, please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346410597","repostId":"1104081344","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":828381854,"gmtCreate":1633844439673,"gmtModify":1633844440150,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like tks","listText":"Pls like tks","text":"Pls like tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828381854","repostId":"1194780749","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894063054,"gmtCreate":1628778163378,"gmtModify":1633689564210,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894063054","repostId":"1140749727","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140749727","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628775487,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140749727?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-12 21:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron Stock Slides nearly 6% on Morgan Stanley Downgrade, Memory Chip Sector Warning<blockquote>大摩评级下调,存储芯片行业警告,美光科技股价下跌近6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140749727","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Micron Technology shares slumped nearly 6% after analysts at Morgan Stanley cut their rating on the ","content":"<p>Micron Technology shares slumped nearly 6% after analysts at Morgan Stanley cut their rating on the group amid a warning that 'winter is coming' for the global memory chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师因警告全球存储芯片行业“冬天即将来临”而下调美光科技评级,该公司股价下跌近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8d2a465fc843b4324fc0a010c494ede\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"624\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore lowered his rating on the stock by one notch, to 'equal-weight', while slashing his price target by $30 to $75 a share, as the bank noted \"a challenging backdrop for forward returns” for Micron as \"DRAM conditions lose steam\" in its shift from mid to late cycle. Morgan Stanley also cut its rating on South Korean chipmakers SK Hynix.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师Joseph Moore将该股评级下调一级,至“同等权重”,同时将目标价下调30美元至每股75美元,因为该行指出,美光科技“远期回报的背景充满挑战”,因为“DRAM状况在从周期中后期转向周期中失去动力”。摩根士丹利还下调了对韩国芯片制造商SK海力士的评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron Stock Slides nearly 6% on Morgan Stanley Downgrade, Memory Chip Sector Warning<blockquote>大摩评级下调,存储芯片行业警告,美光科技股价下跌近6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron Stock Slides nearly 6% on Morgan Stanley Downgrade, Memory Chip Sector Warning<blockquote>大摩评级下调,存储芯片行业警告,美光科技股价下跌近6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-12 21:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Micron Technology shares slumped nearly 6% after analysts at Morgan Stanley cut their rating on the group amid a warning that 'winter is coming' for the global memory chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师因警告全球存储芯片行业“冬天即将来临”而下调美光科技评级,该公司股价下跌近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8d2a465fc843b4324fc0a010c494ede\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"624\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore lowered his rating on the stock by one notch, to 'equal-weight', while slashing his price target by $30 to $75 a share, as the bank noted \"a challenging backdrop for forward returns” for Micron as \"DRAM conditions lose steam\" in its shift from mid to late cycle. Morgan Stanley also cut its rating on South Korean chipmakers SK Hynix.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师Joseph Moore将该股评级下调一级,至“同等权重”,同时将目标价下调30美元至每股75美元,因为该行指出,美光科技“远期回报的背景充满挑战”,因为“DRAM状况在从周期中后期转向周期中失去动力”。摩根士丹利还下调了对韩国芯片制造商SK海力士的评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/micron-stock-slides-on-morgan-stanley-downgrade-dram-warning?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/micron-stock-slides-on-morgan-stanley-downgrade-dram-warning?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140749727","content_text":"Micron Technology shares slumped nearly 6% after analysts at Morgan Stanley cut their rating on the group amid a warning that 'winter is coming' for the global memory chip sector.\n\nMorgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore lowered his rating on the stock by one notch, to 'equal-weight', while slashing his price target by $30 to $75 a share, as the bank noted \"a challenging backdrop for forward returns” for Micron as \"DRAM conditions lose steam\" in its shift from mid to late cycle. Morgan Stanley also cut its rating on South Korean chipmakers SK Hynix.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124182167,"gmtCreate":1624753689459,"gmtModify":1633949132410,"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment & like pls","listText":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124182167","repostId":"1110293570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}