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火火兔爸
01-17 00:08
$NuScale Power(SMR)$
这波电力短缺股价估计又会翻倍
火火兔爸
01-16 23:52
$NuScale Power(SMR)$
由于美国电力严重短缺,最近应该签单会增加
火火兔爸
01-16 20:05
$博通(AVGO)$
台积电都没产能,ASIC利润又低,要是和英伟达加价抢产能,利润直接归零,看木头姐投资得亏死。
火火兔爸
01-16 08:41
$谷歌(GOOG)$
清仓了 谷歌高管称美国电力传输限制、数据中心并网需十年以上,或拖累AI算力扩张,抬升资本开支与部署风险,压制增长预期。
火火兔爸
01-12
$谷歌(GOOG)$
原来因为这个拉起来
谷歌市值突破4万亿美元,苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri
火火兔爸
01-12
原来如此
谷歌市值突破4万亿美元,苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri
火火兔爸
01-12
$谷歌(GOOG)$
突然拉一下什么鬼
火火兔爸
01-09
$谷歌(GOOG)$
成交额远低于英伟达与登顶身份不配啊
火火兔爸
01-07
$谷歌(GOOG)$
芯片脚踩英伟达,大模型拳打openai,机器人与波士顿合作,手机眼镜多设备样样不落下,市盈率不算高。
火火兔爸
01-07
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
英伟达只是压死特斯拉的最后稻草,实际上是美股都要亡了
火火兔爸
01-06
对滴
火火兔爸
01-06
$富时中国H50指数主连 2601(FCHmain)$
由于美元要成翔,中美周期错配,民币利差将转为正向,内外资持续增配内资保险股及大市值股票拉动五零
火火兔爸
01-06
$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$
全球没有搞出大事情的只有环绕具有稳定器作用的中国的亚洲,拉美资金已经被迫绑架到美国身边
火火兔爸
01-05
$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$
高盛建议:2026年建议高配中国股票 预计2026年和2027年中国股市将每年上涨15%至20% 金十数据1月5日讯,高盛今日发布题为《中国2026年展望:探索新动能》的宏观报告。报告称,2026年建议高配中国股票。高盛股票策略团队此前在亚太范围内建议高配A股和港股,预计2026年和2027年中国股市将每年上涨15%至20%,分别由14%和12%的盈利增长以及约10%的估值向上重估所支撑。盈利增长加速的驱动因素包括人工智能应用、“出海”趋势和“反内卷”政策。此外,中国股市当前估值相比全球同业存在显著折价。报告分析,2026年,中国出口存在结构性上行空间;投资在政策支持下有望反弹;政策对服务消费更加重视,并鼓励增加假期和带薪休假。报告还谈到,“十五五”规划建议中,“建设现代化产业体系”和“加快高水平科技自立自强”被列为优先事项,未来几年中国的出口和经常账户可能会保持强劲。(中证金牛座) (来自金十数据App
火火兔爸
01-05
$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$
购入中国资产的美国机构和卖出中国资产抄底美股的散户互道沙币[笑哭]
火火兔爸
01-05
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$
只要黄金白银继续逼空,全球主权基金持仓量不下来,美国有金融危机的风险,美国只能强行降息可能会引发大通胀,所以特政府在想办法打委压油价。远离美元。
火火兔爸
01-03
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
美股这是按滞胀预期在走,先活下来,转做多YINN。
火火兔爸
01-03
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
美股这是按滞胀预期在走,先活下来 转去做多了三倍做多富时A50
火火兔爸
01-02
还在拿dyd等垃圾自动驾驶做对比
马斯克“自动驾驶狂热”难掩销量寒冬!特斯拉2026年面临更严峻考验
火火兔爸
01-02
无脑分析
马斯克“自动驾驶狂热”难掩销量寒冬!特斯拉2026年面临更严峻考验
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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台积电都没产能,ASIC利润又低,要是和英伟达加价抢产能,利润直接归零,看木头姐投资得亏死。","text":"$博通(AVGO)$ 台积电都没产能,ASIC利润又低,要是和英伟达加价抢产能,利润直接归零,看木头姐投资得亏死。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/522410827776496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":522191422029976,"gmtCreate":1768524093900,"gmtModify":1768529968391,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a> 清仓了 谷歌高管称美国电力传输限制、数据中心并网需十年以上,或拖累AI算力扩张,抬升资本开支与部署风险,压制增长预期。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a> 清仓了 谷歌高管称美国电力传输限制、数据中心并网需十年以上,或拖累AI算力扩张,抬升资本开支与部署风险,压制增长预期。","text":"$谷歌(GOOG)$ 清仓了 谷歌高管称美国电力传输限制、数据中心并网需十年以上,或拖累AI算力扩张,抬升资本开支与部署风险,压制增长预期。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/522191422029976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":521030492841232,"gmtCreate":1768233417780,"gmtModify":1768233421156,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a> 原来因为这个拉起来","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a> 原来因为这个拉起来","text":"$谷歌(GOOG)$ 原来因为这个拉起来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/521030492841232","repostId":"1171265777","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171265777","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1768231451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171265777?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-12 23:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"谷歌市值突破4万亿美元,苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171265777","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"谷歌盘中直线拉升。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周一, <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a> 盘中直线拉升,由跌转涨,创历史新高,总市值突破4万亿美元! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a> 选择谷歌的Gemini来驱动今年推出的人工智能Siri。</strong></p><p>一份声明显示,这项为期数年的合作伙伴关系将依托谷歌的 Gemini 模型和云技术,来构建苹果未来的基础模型。 苹果在声明中写道:“<strong>经过仔细评估,我们认定谷歌的技术为‘苹果基础模型(Apple Foundation Models)’提供了最强大的基础。我们非常期待这一合作为用户开启的创新体验。</strong>”</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a8171738277fd77e7b37c384fedd27\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>谷歌市值突破4万亿美元,苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a> 盘中直线拉升,由跌转涨,创历史新高,总市值突破4万亿美元! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a> 选择谷歌的Gemini来驱动今年推出的人工智能Siri。</strong></p><p>一份声明显示,这项为期数年的合作伙伴关系将依托谷歌的 Gemini 模型和云技术,来构建苹果未来的基础模型。 苹果在声明中写道:“<strong>经过仔细评估,我们认定谷歌的技术为‘苹果基础模型(Apple Foundation Models)’提供了最强大的基础。我们非常期待这一合作为用户开启的创新体验。</strong>”</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a8171738277fd77e7b37c384fedd27\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ed03d3f06ef6d586c673a6d3f12935e","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171265777","content_text":"周一, 谷歌 盘中直线拉升,由跌转涨,创历史新高,总市值突破4万亿美元! 苹果 选择谷歌的Gemini来驱动今年推出的人工智能Siri。一份声明显示,这项为期数年的合作伙伴关系将依托谷歌的 Gemini 模型和云技术,来构建苹果未来的基础模型。 苹果在声明中写道:“经过仔细评估,我们认定谷歌的技术为‘苹果基础模型(Apple Foundation Models)’提供了最强大的基础。我们非常期待这一合作为用户开启的创新体验。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1,"GOOG":1,"GOOGL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":521029636150752,"gmtCreate":1768233282903,"gmtModify":1768233286927,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"原来如此","listText":"原来如此","text":"原来如此","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/521029636150752","repostId":"1171265777","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171265777","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1768231451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171265777?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-12 23:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"谷歌市值突破4万亿美元,苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171265777","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"谷歌盘中直线拉升。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周一, <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a> 盘中直线拉升,由跌转涨,创历史新高,总市值突破4万亿美元! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a> 选择谷歌的Gemini来驱动今年推出的人工智能Siri。</strong></p><p>一份声明显示,这项为期数年的合作伙伴关系将依托谷歌的 Gemini 模型和云技术,来构建苹果未来的基础模型。 苹果在声明中写道:“<strong>经过仔细评估,我们认定谷歌的技术为‘苹果基础模型(Apple Foundation Models)’提供了最强大的基础。我们非常期待这一合作为用户开启的创新体验。</strong>”</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a8171738277fd77e7b37c384fedd27\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>谷歌市值突破4万亿美元,苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-01-12 23:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周一, <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a> 盘中直线拉升,由跌转涨,创历史新高,总市值突破4万亿美元! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a> 选择谷歌的Gemini来驱动今年推出的人工智能Siri。</strong></p><p>一份声明显示,这项为期数年的合作伙伴关系将依托谷歌的 Gemini 模型和云技术,来构建苹果未来的基础模型。 苹果在声明中写道:“<strong>经过仔细评估,我们认定谷歌的技术为‘苹果基础模型(Apple Foundation Models)’提供了最强大的基础。我们非常期待这一合作为用户开启的创新体验。</strong>”</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a8171738277fd77e7b37c384fedd27\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ed03d3f06ef6d586c673a6d3f12935e","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171265777","content_text":"周一, 谷歌 盘中直线拉升,由跌转涨,创历史新高,总市值突破4万亿美元! 苹果 选择谷歌的Gemini来驱动今年推出的人工智能Siri。一份声明显示,这项为期数年的合作伙伴关系将依托谷歌的 Gemini 模型和云技术,来构建苹果未来的基础模型。 苹果在声明中写道:“经过仔细评估,我们认定谷歌的技术为‘苹果基础模型(Apple Foundation 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突然拉一下什么鬼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/521024521377176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":519652511483392,"gmtCreate":1767889622214,"gmtModify":1767889623948,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a> 成交额远低于英伟达与登顶身份不配啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a> 成交额远低于英伟达与登顶身份不配啊","text":"$谷歌(GOOG)$ 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美股这是按滞胀预期在走,先活下来,转做多YINN。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/517535045726808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3452830638291035","authorId":"3452830638291035","name":"假若","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fc2ee7a0e5289066fe0c47415fb5b3e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3452830638291035","idStr":"3452830638291035"},"content":"Tsla 这么悲观么","text":"Tsla 这么悲观么","html":"Tsla 这么悲观么"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":517752848519184,"gmtCreate":1767379834382,"gmtModify":1767379836199,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 美股这是按滞胀预期在走,先活下来 转去做多了三倍做多富时A50","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 美股这是按滞胀预期在走,先活下来 转去做多了三倍做多富时A50","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 美股这是按滞胀预期在走,先活下来 转去做多了三倍做多富时A50","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/517752848519184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3495002759494258","idStr":"3495002759494258"},"content":"如果是智障预期,这波200都保不住","text":"如果是智障预期,这波200都保不住","html":"如果是智障预期,这波200都保不住"},{"author":{"id":"4203686618771782","authorId":"4203686618771782","name":"DX777","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbdbbeaea2a5f11696288b32c801a8e0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4203686618771782","idStr":"4203686618771782"},"content":"特斯拉全清了?","text":"特斯拉全清了?","html":"特斯拉全清了?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":517503250657784,"gmtCreate":1767318601221,"gmtModify":1767318773550,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"还在拿dyd等垃圾自动驾驶做对比","listText":"还在拿dyd等垃圾自动驾驶做对比","text":"还在拿dyd等垃圾自动驾驶做对比","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/517503250657784","repostId":"2600066034","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2600066034","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1767312010,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2600066034?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-02 08:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克“自动驾驶狂热”难掩销量寒冬!特斯拉2026年面临更严峻考验","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2600066034","media":"智通财经","summary":"随着投资者越来越相信埃隆·马斯克对自动驾驶汽车的热情描绘,特斯拉(TSLA.US)以超11%的股价涨幅结束了2025年。这家全球市值最高的汽车制造商股价在2025年下半年大幅上涨,主要原因是马斯克大力","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>随着投资者越来越相信埃隆·马斯克对自动驾驶汽车的热情描绘,特斯拉(TSLA.US)以超11%的股价涨幅结束了2025年。这家全球市值最高的汽车制造商股价在2025年下半年大幅上涨,主要原因是马斯克大力宣扬特斯拉在人工智能和机器人技术方面的进展。然而,要真正打动汽车消费者却是另一回事。马斯克所高调宣称的这些突破,并未在展厅中转化为同等程度的成功——尽管第三季度交付量创下纪录,但公司在过去六个月里的汽车销量很可能低于一年前的同期水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">媒体汇编的数据显示,特斯拉预计将在周五公布第四季度交付约44.09万辆汽车,同比下降11%。而特斯拉本周采取了一项不同寻常的举措,主动发布了自家汇总的分析师平均预期,这一数字甚至比市场预期更加悲观,预计第四季度交付量将同比下降15%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华尔街对特斯拉2026年的汽车销售前景同样愈发悲观。就在两年前,分析师们还预计特斯拉的年交付量将超过300万辆。而如今,对2026年交付量的平均预测已骤降至约180万辆。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CFRA Research股票分析师加勒特·纳尔逊(Garrett Nelson)表示:“特斯拉投资者关注的是公司在未来5年、10年甚至15年后的样子,而不太在意短期内看到的情况。但问题在于,这种预期能否持续,尤其是在我们认为财务数据中逆风将愈发明显的情况下。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f00a6be60ab0a198bca19e4a47aadc2\" alt=\"特斯拉销售前景趋于黯淡\" title=\"特斯拉销售前景趋于黯淡\" tg-width=\"653\" tg-height=\"543\"/><span>特斯拉销售前景趋于黯淡</span></p><h2 id=\"id_679448430\">动荡不安</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">即便以马斯克和特斯拉——这两个几乎与“动荡”划等号的名字——为标准,2025年依然是极不平静的一年。这家车企的汽车销量在年初表现惨淡,部分原因在于公司对旗下所有汽车工厂的生产线进行改造,以迎接其最畅销车型Model Y的改款。另一个重要因素,则是外界对马斯克政治举动的强烈反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到2025年4月初,当马斯克公开就关税政策与特朗普政府内部人士发生冲突时,特斯拉股价已累计暴跌45%。随后,马斯克通过淡出政府事务、重新投入一项长期目标——启动一项他所称最终将实现自动驾驶的网约车业务——来推动股价反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">6月,特斯拉在奥斯汀推出了一项仅限受邀用户使用的Robotaxi服务,由安全员随车监督每一辆接送马斯克粉丝的Model Y。尽管这些车辆在首日便违反了交通法规,引起了一家联邦监管机构的注意,并对特斯拉驾驶系统展开了多项调查,但投资者对这些安全问题却不以为意。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">9月,特斯拉董事会提出了一项新的马斯克薪酬方案,根据包括交付数百万辆机器人出租车在内的里程碑,该方案的潜在回报可能高达1万亿美元。不久之后,这场“逆转”便宣告完成——特斯拉股价重新实现年内上涨。当股价在12月16日收于历史新高时,特斯拉市值在短短八个多月内增加了超过9150亿美元。</p><h2 id=\"id_3404114407\">仍需说服消费者</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而,尽管特斯拉的自动驾驶出租车前景令投资者着迷,普通汽车消费者的态度却相对谨慎。马斯克本人也已承认,在说服消费者购买特斯拉所称的“完全自动驾驶”(Full Self-Driving,简称FSD)方面存在挑战。这套功能仍然需要人工监督。有指控称,特斯拉通过夸大其车辆的自动驾驶能力误导加州消费者,这可能导致该州在今年年初暂停特斯拉的销售许可30天。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉试图凭借驾驶辅助功能在中国拥挤的电动车市场中脱颖而出,但这一策略同样未能奏效。包括比亚迪和小米在内的竞争对手,已将类似系统作为标准配置提供。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">由于比亚迪在中国的销量远高于特斯拉,并在欧洲市场势头强劲——而特斯拉至今仍未获得FSD在欧洲的监管批准——分析师预计,比亚迪的电动汽车销量将在全球范围内连续第五个季度超过特斯拉。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56c1e7bc98ca17a8f94671496a0700f0\" alt=\"比亚迪电动车销量超越特斯拉\" title=\"比亚迪电动车销量超越特斯拉\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"434\"/><span>比亚迪电动车销量超越特斯拉</span></p><h2 id=\"id_1570485942\">前路何在</h2><p>在市场普遍预期特斯拉2025年度销量将再次下滑——这将是连续第二年下降——之后,特斯拉在2026年仍将面临更多障碍。美国已停止为电动车购买和租赁提供联邦税收抵免,马斯克曾警告,这可能导致“几个艰难的季度”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过,也有人从美国政策支持的退出中看到了“一线希望”。由于支持退坡,许多大型制造商已缩减电动车投资。福特汽车(F.US)上月表示,预计将计提约195亿美元的费用,用于放弃那些注定亏损的电动车和电池项目。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马斯克在去年底通过渲染Cybercab的前景来吊足市场胃口。这是一款双座小型汽车,配备蝴蝶门。尽管他在2024年底首次展示的原型车没有方向盘和踏板,但特斯拉董事长罗宾·丹霍姆(Robyn Denholm)在10月表示,如果监管机构要求,公司将会为该车型配备这些部件。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Deepwater Asset Management管理合伙人吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)表示:“投资者已经完全接受了他的自动驾驶愿景,这来得正是时候,因为特斯拉的电动车业务明年很可能只是持平或增长5%。”他补充称:“在当前阶段,埃隆只需要让汽车业务在未来一年内保持稳定,就足以让投资者满意。”</p></body></html>","source":"live_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克“自动驾驶狂热”难掩销量寒冬!特斯拉2026年面临更严峻考验</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克“自动驾驶狂热”难掩销量寒冬!特斯拉2026年面临更严峻考验\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-02 08:00 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着投资者越来越相信埃隆·马斯克对自动驾驶汽车的热情描绘,特斯拉(TSLA.US)以超11%的股价涨幅结束了2025年。这家全球市值最高的汽车制造商股价在2025年下半年大幅上涨,主要原因是马斯克大力宣扬特斯拉在人工智能和机器人技术方面的进展。然而,要真正打动汽车消费者却是另一回事。马斯克所高调宣称的这些突破,并未在展厅中转化为同等程度的成功——尽管第三季度交付量创下纪录,但公司在过去六个月里的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2600066034","content_text":"随着投资者越来越相信埃隆·马斯克对自动驾驶汽车的热情描绘,特斯拉(TSLA.US)以超11%的股价涨幅结束了2025年。这家全球市值最高的汽车制造商股价在2025年下半年大幅上涨,主要原因是马斯克大力宣扬特斯拉在人工智能和机器人技术方面的进展。然而,要真正打动汽车消费者却是另一回事。马斯克所高调宣称的这些突破,并未在展厅中转化为同等程度的成功——尽管第三季度交付量创下纪录,但公司在过去六个月里的汽车销量很可能低于一年前的同期水平。媒体汇编的数据显示,特斯拉预计将在周五公布第四季度交付约44.09万辆汽车,同比下降11%。而特斯拉本周采取了一项不同寻常的举措,主动发布了自家汇总的分析师平均预期,这一数字甚至比市场预期更加悲观,预计第四季度交付量将同比下降15%。华尔街对特斯拉2026年的汽车销售前景同样愈发悲观。就在两年前,分析师们还预计特斯拉的年交付量将超过300万辆。而如今,对2026年交付量的平均预测已骤降至约180万辆。CFRA Research股票分析师加勒特·纳尔逊(Garrett Nelson)表示:“特斯拉投资者关注的是公司在未来5年、10年甚至15年后的样子,而不太在意短期内看到的情况。但问题在于,这种预期能否持续,尤其是在我们认为财务数据中逆风将愈发明显的情况下。”特斯拉销售前景趋于黯淡动荡不安即便以马斯克和特斯拉——这两个几乎与“动荡”划等号的名字——为标准,2025年依然是极不平静的一年。这家车企的汽车销量在年初表现惨淡,部分原因在于公司对旗下所有汽车工厂的生产线进行改造,以迎接其最畅销车型Model Y的改款。另一个重要因素,则是外界对马斯克政治举动的强烈反弹。到2025年4月初,当马斯克公开就关税政策与特朗普政府内部人士发生冲突时,特斯拉股价已累计暴跌45%。随后,马斯克通过淡出政府事务、重新投入一项长期目标——启动一项他所称最终将实现自动驾驶的网约车业务——来推动股价反弹。6月,特斯拉在奥斯汀推出了一项仅限受邀用户使用的Robotaxi服务,由安全员随车监督每一辆接送马斯克粉丝的Model Y。尽管这些车辆在首日便违反了交通法规,引起了一家联邦监管机构的注意,并对特斯拉驾驶系统展开了多项调查,但投资者对这些安全问题却不以为意。9月,特斯拉董事会提出了一项新的马斯克薪酬方案,根据包括交付数百万辆机器人出租车在内的里程碑,该方案的潜在回报可能高达1万亿美元。不久之后,这场“逆转”便宣告完成——特斯拉股价重新实现年内上涨。当股价在12月16日收于历史新高时,特斯拉市值在短短八个多月内增加了超过9150亿美元。仍需说服消费者然而,尽管特斯拉的自动驾驶出租车前景令投资者着迷,普通汽车消费者的态度却相对谨慎。马斯克本人也已承认,在说服消费者购买特斯拉所称的“完全自动驾驶”(Full Self-Driving,简称FSD)方面存在挑战。这套功能仍然需要人工监督。有指控称,特斯拉通过夸大其车辆的自动驾驶能力误导加州消费者,这可能导致该州在今年年初暂停特斯拉的销售许可30天。特斯拉试图凭借驾驶辅助功能在中国拥挤的电动车市场中脱颖而出,但这一策略同样未能奏效。包括比亚迪和小米在内的竞争对手,已将类似系统作为标准配置提供。由于比亚迪在中国的销量远高于特斯拉,并在欧洲市场势头强劲——而特斯拉至今仍未获得FSD在欧洲的监管批准——分析师预计,比亚迪的电动汽车销量将在全球范围内连续第五个季度超过特斯拉。比亚迪电动车销量超越特斯拉前路何在在市场普遍预期特斯拉2025年度销量将再次下滑——这将是连续第二年下降——之后,特斯拉在2026年仍将面临更多障碍。美国已停止为电动车购买和租赁提供联邦税收抵免,马斯克曾警告,这可能导致“几个艰难的季度”。不过,也有人从美国政策支持的退出中看到了“一线希望”。由于支持退坡,许多大型制造商已缩减电动车投资。福特汽车(F.US)上月表示,预计将计提约195亿美元的费用,用于放弃那些注定亏损的电动车和电池项目。马斯克在去年底通过渲染Cybercab的前景来吊足市场胃口。这是一款双座小型汽车,配备蝴蝶门。尽管他在2024年底首次展示的原型车没有方向盘和踏板,但特斯拉董事长罗宾·丹霍姆(Robyn Denholm)在10月表示,如果监管机构要求,公司将会为该车型配备这些部件。Deepwater Asset Management管理合伙人吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)表示:“投资者已经完全接受了他的自动驾驶愿景,这来得正是时候,因为特斯拉的电动车业务明年很可能只是持平或增长5%。”他补充称:“在当前阶段,埃隆只需要让汽车业务在未来一年内保持稳定,就足以让投资者满意。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3506462233722179","authorId":"3506462233722179","name":"请输入昵称已阅读","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3506462233722179","idStr":"3506462233722179"},"content":"你这个信徒多卖几辆 [开心]","text":"你这个信徒多卖几辆 [开心]","html":"你这个信徒多卖几辆 [开心]"},{"author":{"id":"4224093708882770","authorId":"4224093708882770","name":"nijia1994","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4224093708882770","idStr":"4224093708882770"},"content":"自动驾驶确实牛,国内不开放","text":"自动驾驶确实牛,国内不开放","html":"自动驾驶确实牛,国内不开放"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":517503048008184,"gmtCreate":1767318551746,"gmtModify":1767318773498,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"无脑分析","listText":"无脑分析","text":"无脑分析","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/517503048008184","repostId":"2600066034","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2600066034","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1767312010,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2600066034?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-02 08:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克“自动驾驶狂热”难掩销量寒冬!特斯拉2026年面临更严峻考验","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2600066034","media":"智通财经","summary":"随着投资者越来越相信埃隆·马斯克对自动驾驶汽车的热情描绘,特斯拉(TSLA.US)以超11%的股价涨幅结束了2025年。这家全球市值最高的汽车制造商股价在2025年下半年大幅上涨,主要原因是马斯克大力","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>随着投资者越来越相信埃隆·马斯克对自动驾驶汽车的热情描绘,特斯拉(TSLA.US)以超11%的股价涨幅结束了2025年。这家全球市值最高的汽车制造商股价在2025年下半年大幅上涨,主要原因是马斯克大力宣扬特斯拉在人工智能和机器人技术方面的进展。然而,要真正打动汽车消费者却是另一回事。马斯克所高调宣称的这些突破,并未在展厅中转化为同等程度的成功——尽管第三季度交付量创下纪录,但公司在过去六个月里的汽车销量很可能低于一年前的同期水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">媒体汇编的数据显示,特斯拉预计将在周五公布第四季度交付约44.09万辆汽车,同比下降11%。而特斯拉本周采取了一项不同寻常的举措,主动发布了自家汇总的分析师平均预期,这一数字甚至比市场预期更加悲观,预计第四季度交付量将同比下降15%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华尔街对特斯拉2026年的汽车销售前景同样愈发悲观。就在两年前,分析师们还预计特斯拉的年交付量将超过300万辆。而如今,对2026年交付量的平均预测已骤降至约180万辆。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CFRA Research股票分析师加勒特·纳尔逊(Garrett Nelson)表示:“特斯拉投资者关注的是公司在未来5年、10年甚至15年后的样子,而不太在意短期内看到的情况。但问题在于,这种预期能否持续,尤其是在我们认为财务数据中逆风将愈发明显的情况下。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f00a6be60ab0a198bca19e4a47aadc2\" alt=\"特斯拉销售前景趋于黯淡\" title=\"特斯拉销售前景趋于黯淡\" tg-width=\"653\" tg-height=\"543\"/><span>特斯拉销售前景趋于黯淡</span></p><h2 id=\"id_679448430\">动荡不安</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">即便以马斯克和特斯拉——这两个几乎与“动荡”划等号的名字——为标准,2025年依然是极不平静的一年。这家车企的汽车销量在年初表现惨淡,部分原因在于公司对旗下所有汽车工厂的生产线进行改造,以迎接其最畅销车型Model Y的改款。另一个重要因素,则是外界对马斯克政治举动的强烈反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到2025年4月初,当马斯克公开就关税政策与特朗普政府内部人士发生冲突时,特斯拉股价已累计暴跌45%。随后,马斯克通过淡出政府事务、重新投入一项长期目标——启动一项他所称最终将实现自动驾驶的网约车业务——来推动股价反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">6月,特斯拉在奥斯汀推出了一项仅限受邀用户使用的Robotaxi服务,由安全员随车监督每一辆接送马斯克粉丝的Model Y。尽管这些车辆在首日便违反了交通法规,引起了一家联邦监管机构的注意,并对特斯拉驾驶系统展开了多项调查,但投资者对这些安全问题却不以为意。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">9月,特斯拉董事会提出了一项新的马斯克薪酬方案,根据包括交付数百万辆机器人出租车在内的里程碑,该方案的潜在回报可能高达1万亿美元。不久之后,这场“逆转”便宣告完成——特斯拉股价重新实现年内上涨。当股价在12月16日收于历史新高时,特斯拉市值在短短八个多月内增加了超过9150亿美元。</p><h2 id=\"id_3404114407\">仍需说服消费者</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而,尽管特斯拉的自动驾驶出租车前景令投资者着迷,普通汽车消费者的态度却相对谨慎。马斯克本人也已承认,在说服消费者购买特斯拉所称的“完全自动驾驶”(Full Self-Driving,简称FSD)方面存在挑战。这套功能仍然需要人工监督。有指控称,特斯拉通过夸大其车辆的自动驾驶能力误导加州消费者,这可能导致该州在今年年初暂停特斯拉的销售许可30天。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉试图凭借驾驶辅助功能在中国拥挤的电动车市场中脱颖而出,但这一策略同样未能奏效。包括比亚迪和小米在内的竞争对手,已将类似系统作为标准配置提供。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">由于比亚迪在中国的销量远高于特斯拉,并在欧洲市场势头强劲——而特斯拉至今仍未获得FSD在欧洲的监管批准——分析师预计,比亚迪的电动汽车销量将在全球范围内连续第五个季度超过特斯拉。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56c1e7bc98ca17a8f94671496a0700f0\" alt=\"比亚迪电动车销量超越特斯拉\" title=\"比亚迪电动车销量超越特斯拉\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"434\"/><span>比亚迪电动车销量超越特斯拉</span></p><h2 id=\"id_1570485942\">前路何在</h2><p>在市场普遍预期特斯拉2025年度销量将再次下滑——这将是连续第二年下降——之后,特斯拉在2026年仍将面临更多障碍。美国已停止为电动车购买和租赁提供联邦税收抵免,马斯克曾警告,这可能导致“几个艰难的季度”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过,也有人从美国政策支持的退出中看到了“一线希望”。由于支持退坡,许多大型制造商已缩减电动车投资。福特汽车(F.US)上月表示,预计将计提约195亿美元的费用,用于放弃那些注定亏损的电动车和电池项目。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马斯克在去年底通过渲染Cybercab的前景来吊足市场胃口。这是一款双座小型汽车,配备蝴蝶门。尽管他在2024年底首次展示的原型车没有方向盘和踏板,但特斯拉董事长罗宾·丹霍姆(Robyn Denholm)在10月表示,如果监管机构要求,公司将会为该车型配备这些部件。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Deepwater Asset Management管理合伙人吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)表示:“投资者已经完全接受了他的自动驾驶愿景,这来得正是时候,因为特斯拉的电动车业务明年很可能只是持平或增长5%。”他补充称:“在当前阶段,埃隆只需要让汽车业务在未来一年内保持稳定,就足以让投资者满意。”</p></body></html>","source":"live_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克“自动驾驶狂热”难掩销量寒冬!特斯拉2026年面临更严峻考验</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克“自动驾驶狂热”难掩销量寒冬!特斯拉2026年面临更严峻考验\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-02 08:00 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着投资者越来越相信埃隆·马斯克对自动驾驶汽车的热情描绘,特斯拉(TSLA.US)以超11%的股价涨幅结束了2025年。这家全球市值最高的汽车制造商股价在2025年下半年大幅上涨,主要原因是马斯克大力宣扬特斯拉在人工智能和机器人技术方面的进展。然而,要真正打动汽车消费者却是另一回事。马斯克所高调宣称的这些突破,并未在展厅中转化为同等程度的成功——尽管第三季度交付量创下纪录,但公司在过去六个月里的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2600066034","content_text":"随着投资者越来越相信埃隆·马斯克对自动驾驶汽车的热情描绘,特斯拉(TSLA.US)以超11%的股价涨幅结束了2025年。这家全球市值最高的汽车制造商股价在2025年下半年大幅上涨,主要原因是马斯克大力宣扬特斯拉在人工智能和机器人技术方面的进展。然而,要真正打动汽车消费者却是另一回事。马斯克所高调宣称的这些突破,并未在展厅中转化为同等程度的成功——尽管第三季度交付量创下纪录,但公司在过去六个月里的汽车销量很可能低于一年前的同期水平。媒体汇编的数据显示,特斯拉预计将在周五公布第四季度交付约44.09万辆汽车,同比下降11%。而特斯拉本周采取了一项不同寻常的举措,主动发布了自家汇总的分析师平均预期,这一数字甚至比市场预期更加悲观,预计第四季度交付量将同比下降15%。华尔街对特斯拉2026年的汽车销售前景同样愈发悲观。就在两年前,分析师们还预计特斯拉的年交付量将超过300万辆。而如今,对2026年交付量的平均预测已骤降至约180万辆。CFRA Research股票分析师加勒特·纳尔逊(Garrett Nelson)表示:“特斯拉投资者关注的是公司在未来5年、10年甚至15年后的样子,而不太在意短期内看到的情况。但问题在于,这种预期能否持续,尤其是在我们认为财务数据中逆风将愈发明显的情况下。”特斯拉销售前景趋于黯淡动荡不安即便以马斯克和特斯拉——这两个几乎与“动荡”划等号的名字——为标准,2025年依然是极不平静的一年。这家车企的汽车销量在年初表现惨淡,部分原因在于公司对旗下所有汽车工厂的生产线进行改造,以迎接其最畅销车型Model Y的改款。另一个重要因素,则是外界对马斯克政治举动的强烈反弹。到2025年4月初,当马斯克公开就关税政策与特朗普政府内部人士发生冲突时,特斯拉股价已累计暴跌45%。随后,马斯克通过淡出政府事务、重新投入一项长期目标——启动一项他所称最终将实现自动驾驶的网约车业务——来推动股价反弹。6月,特斯拉在奥斯汀推出了一项仅限受邀用户使用的Robotaxi服务,由安全员随车监督每一辆接送马斯克粉丝的Model Y。尽管这些车辆在首日便违反了交通法规,引起了一家联邦监管机构的注意,并对特斯拉驾驶系统展开了多项调查,但投资者对这些安全问题却不以为意。9月,特斯拉董事会提出了一项新的马斯克薪酬方案,根据包括交付数百万辆机器人出租车在内的里程碑,该方案的潜在回报可能高达1万亿美元。不久之后,这场“逆转”便宣告完成——特斯拉股价重新实现年内上涨。当股价在12月16日收于历史新高时,特斯拉市值在短短八个多月内增加了超过9150亿美元。仍需说服消费者然而,尽管特斯拉的自动驾驶出租车前景令投资者着迷,普通汽车消费者的态度却相对谨慎。马斯克本人也已承认,在说服消费者购买特斯拉所称的“完全自动驾驶”(Full Self-Driving,简称FSD)方面存在挑战。这套功能仍然需要人工监督。有指控称,特斯拉通过夸大其车辆的自动驾驶能力误导加州消费者,这可能导致该州在今年年初暂停特斯拉的销售许可30天。特斯拉试图凭借驾驶辅助功能在中国拥挤的电动车市场中脱颖而出,但这一策略同样未能奏效。包括比亚迪和小米在内的竞争对手,已将类似系统作为标准配置提供。由于比亚迪在中国的销量远高于特斯拉,并在欧洲市场势头强劲——而特斯拉至今仍未获得FSD在欧洲的监管批准——分析师预计,比亚迪的电动汽车销量将在全球范围内连续第五个季度超过特斯拉。比亚迪电动车销量超越特斯拉前路何在在市场普遍预期特斯拉2025年度销量将再次下滑——这将是连续第二年下降——之后,特斯拉在2026年仍将面临更多障碍。美国已停止为电动车购买和租赁提供联邦税收抵免,马斯克曾警告,这可能导致“几个艰难的季度”。不过,也有人从美国政策支持的退出中看到了“一线希望”。由于支持退坡,许多大型制造商已缩减电动车投资。福特汽车(F.US)上月表示,预计将计提约195亿美元的费用,用于放弃那些注定亏损的电动车和电池项目。马斯克在去年底通过渲染Cybercab的前景来吊足市场胃口。这是一款双座小型汽车,配备蝴蝶门。尽管他在2024年底首次展示的原型车没有方向盘和踏板,但特斯拉董事长罗宾·丹霍姆(Robyn Denholm)在10月表示,如果监管机构要求,公司将会为该车型配备这些部件。Deepwater Asset Management管理合伙人吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)表示:“投资者已经完全接受了他的自动驾驶愿景,这来得正是时候,因为特斯拉的电动车业务明年很可能只是持平或增长5%。”他补充称:“在当前阶段,埃隆只需要让汽车业务在未来一年内保持稳定,就足以让投资者满意。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":390166039871696,"gmtCreate":1736289684052,"gmtModify":1736289685362,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ </a> 空仓等周五非农数据","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ </a> 空仓等周五非农数据","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 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Marcil等人相关的投资基金拖欠款项。根据诉讼,加州银行与信托在2016年和2017年向这些借款人提供了总额超过6000万美元的两项循环信贷额度,用于资助其购买不良商业抵押贷款。但经过调查,该银行发现许多票据和相关物业已被转移至其他实体。根据诉讼,这些物业已被没收及即将被没收。受此消息影响,美股KBW银行指数收跌3.6%。","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 美国地区银行危机再现?一小银行计提5000万美元减值 金十数据10月17日讯,美国地区银行再现危机,拖累银行股价大跌,两家美国银行先后表示,向投资不良商业抵押贷款的基金提供贷款时遭受诈骗,加剧市场对信贷危机的担忧。Zions Bancorp(齐昂银行)股价一度跌15%,公司披露其全资子公司圣地亚哥加州银行与信托承销的一笔贷款计提了5000万美元的减值费用。Western Alliance Bancorp(西联银行)股价一度跌13%,公司亦表示曾向同一借款人提供贷款。Zions在一项诉讼中表示,加州银行与信托被两个与Andrew Stupin和Gerald 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18:35","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Palantir年内暴涨63%,领涨纳斯达克100指数,目前是阶段高点吗?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168896343","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><em>作者:Trevor Jennewine</em></p><p><em>来源:The Motley Fool</em></p><p><strong>摘要</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%,领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。</p></li><li><p>Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。</p></li><li><p>Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍,很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。</p></li></ul><p>5月14日,Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后,该股小幅回落,但截至5月27日,其年初至今的回报率高达63%,仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头?</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da861aca043563e01bdbf9139515aac2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策</strong></p><p>Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台(Gotham和Foundry)允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台(AIP)是一个大型语言模型编排工具,可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。</p><p>Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架,它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策,还能创建一个反馈循环,随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。</p><p>Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长,公司营收增长 39%,达到 8.84 亿美元,这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%,达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引,预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。</p><p>Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者,预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长,到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道:“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”</p><p>然而,投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要,但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说,这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而,Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期,平均高出 10%。</p><p><strong>Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一</strong></p><p>我刚才提到,对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说,Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此,有人可能会认为,由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir,其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以,让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。</p><p>Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍,并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值:在此期间,只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍,而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%,如下所述:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。</p></li><li><p>Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。</p></li><li><p>SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。</p></li><li><p>Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。</p></li><li><p>2024年12月26日,SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。</p></li><li><p>2020年10月19日,Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。</p></li></ul><p>如上所示,过去二十年中,除Palantir外,只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍,达到该估值后,其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上,对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。</p><p>具体来说,Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元,当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平,最终将下跌81%,至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。</p><p>当然,过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩,Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir年内暴涨63%,领涨纳斯达克100指数,目前是阶段高点吗?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir年内暴涨63%,领涨纳斯达克100指数,目前是阶段高点吗?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-05-29 18:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><em>作者:Trevor Jennewine</em></p><p><em>来源:The Motley Fool</em></p><p><strong>摘要</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%,领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。</p></li><li><p>Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。</p></li><li><p>Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍,很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。</p></li></ul><p>5月14日,Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后,该股小幅回落,但截至5月27日,其年初至今的回报率高达63%,仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头?</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da861aca043563e01bdbf9139515aac2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策</strong></p><p>Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台(Gotham和Foundry)允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台(AIP)是一个大型语言模型编排工具,可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。</p><p>Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架,它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策,还能创建一个反馈循环,随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。</p><p>Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长,公司营收增长 39%,达到 8.84 亿美元,这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%,达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引,预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。</p><p>Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者,预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长,到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道:“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”</p><p>然而,投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要,但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说,这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而,Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期,平均高出 10%。</p><p><strong>Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一</strong></p><p>我刚才提到,对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说,Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此,有人可能会认为,由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir,其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以,让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。</p><p>Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍,并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值:在此期间,只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍,而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%,如下所述:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。</p></li><li><p>Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。</p></li><li><p>SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。</p></li><li><p>Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。</p></li><li><p>2024年12月26日,SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。</p></li><li><p>2020年10月19日,Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。</p></li></ul><p>如上所示,过去二十年中,除Palantir外,只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍,达到该估值后,其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上,对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。</p><p>具体来说,Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元,当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平,最终将下跌81%,至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。</p><p>当然,过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩,Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d544e6f7498c68812d1a765bff723fc2","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168896343","content_text":"作者:Trevor Jennewine来源:The Motley Fool摘要Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%,领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍,很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。5月14日,Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后,该股小幅回落,但截至5月27日,其年初至今的回报率高达63%,仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头?Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台(Gotham和Foundry)允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台(AIP)是一个大型语言模型编排工具,可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架,它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策,还能创建一个反馈循环,随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长,公司营收增长 39%,达到 8.84 亿美元,这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%,达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引,预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者,预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长,到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道:“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”然而,投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要,但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说,这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而,Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期,平均高出 10%。Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一我刚才提到,对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说,Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此,有人可能会认为,由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir,其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以,让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍,并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值:在此期间,只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍,而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%,如下所述:Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。2024年12月26日,SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。2020年10月19日,Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。如上所示,过去二十年中,除Palantir外,只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍,达到该估值后,其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上,对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。具体来说,Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元,当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平,最终将下跌81%,至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。当然,过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩,Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579592247575705","authorId":"3579592247575705","name":"DrSean","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1463b1fdc8546a7d7fce66ec56cb9ca7","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3579592247575705","idStr":"3579592247575705"},"content":"对标微软,你是在搞笑吗?他靠的是什么在对标?微软、google哪些在AI方面没有基础架构没有研究?一直在吹自己AI方向多强,你听过PLTR有出过什么前沿算法的研究吗?Goolge18年就架构了 Transformer模型,现在主流方向都在用这个,Deepseek用蒸馏模型,他提出什么模型了?比别人好了吗?销售方面政府订单一半,说明没有市场竞争能力,靠的都是政府关系,你见过国内哪家公司靠政府关系能做大的?而且这个情况在美国,你觉得他能吃下多少市场?现在一个季度销售8个亿,每个季度增长这么点,现在市值已经3000亿美金了,你对他估值是多少?难道1万亿?现在万亿的公司一共5家,全世界都能看到他们的产品,你见过PLTR的产品吗?想想这些再做多吧。","text":"对标微软,你是在搞笑吗?他靠的是什么在对标?微软、google哪些在AI方面没有基础架构没有研究?一直在吹自己AI方向多强,你听过PLTR有出过什么前沿算法的研究吗?Goolge18年就架构了 Transformer模型,现在主流方向都在用这个,Deepseek用蒸馏模型,他提出什么模型了?比别人好了吗?销售方面政府订单一半,说明没有市场竞争能力,靠的都是政府关系,你见过国内哪家公司靠政府关系能做大的?而且这个情况在美国,你觉得他能吃下多少市场?现在一个季度销售8个亿,每个季度增长这么点,现在市值已经3000亿美金了,你对他估值是多少?难道1万亿?现在万亿的公司一共5家,全世界都能看到他们的产品,你见过PLTR的产品吗?想想这些再做多吧。","html":"对标微软,你是在搞笑吗?他靠的是什么在对标?微软、google哪些在AI方面没有基础架构没有研究?一直在吹自己AI方向多强,你听过PLTR有出过什么前沿算法的研究吗?Goolge18年就架构了 Transformer模型,现在主流方向都在用这个,Deepseek用蒸馏模型,他提出什么模型了?比别人好了吗?销售方面政府订单一半,说明没有市场竞争能力,靠的都是政府关系,你见过国内哪家公司靠政府关系能做大的?而且这个情况在美国,你觉得他能吃下多少市场?现在一个季度销售8个亿,每个季度增长这么点,现在市值已经3000亿美金了,你对他估值是多少?难道1万亿?现在万亿的公司一共5家,全世界都能看到他们的产品,你见过PLTR的产品吗?想想这些再做多吧。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":502945250431784,"gmtCreate":1763817445622,"gmtModify":1763875802269,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">$礼来(LLY)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 感谢英伟达pltr和礼来共同促使我三年一个月达成五百倍收益","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">$礼来(LLY)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 感谢英伟达pltr和礼来共同促使我三年一个月达成五百倍收益","text":"$礼来(LLY)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ 感谢英伟达pltr和礼来共同促使我三年一个月达成五百倍收益","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad0936828ff47f9ec7f671129f676c2d","width":"957","height":"216"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":18,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/502945250431784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575453506994802","authorId":"3575453506994802","name":"老鹰飞翔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3033df8d5693e4a9045f973d88b65f87","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575453506994802","idStr":"3575453506994802"},"content":"恭喜恭喜🎉🎉🎉 沾沾大佬的喜气!","text":"恭喜恭喜🎉🎉🎉 沾沾大佬的喜气!","html":"恭喜恭喜🎉🎉🎉 沾沾大佬的喜气!"},{"author":{"id":"3515065343866850","authorId":"3515065343866850","name":"尖沙咀龍哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b179506c14a825d353bcd9e99387a7a","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3515065343866850","idStr":"3515065343866850"},"content":"主要靠期权吗","text":"主要靠期权吗","html":"主要靠期权吗"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":267210360516872,"gmtCreate":1706261374372,"gmtModify":1706447402020,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"晒晒收益,只做正股不搞期权<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> ","listText":"晒晒收益,只做正股不搞期权<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 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