火火兔爸的个人主页 - 老虎社区

火火兔爸

火火兔爸

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0勋章

08:31

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 沃什言论导致的

06-02 23:10

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 软件的资金到底还是被硬件吸走了。

06-02 22:41

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 光进铜退怎么可以少了康宁

06-02 22:39

$康宁(GLW)$ 光进铜退怎么可以少了康宁

06-02 21:32

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 涨多了，阶段获利回吐

06-02 17:21

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 盘前五个亿牛逼

06-02 16:55

$Snowflake(SNOW)$

06-02 16:45

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 加

06-02 16:40

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 盘前你们当其他软件股一样错杀，那我就捡点筹码，省的开盘老美抢走。

06-02 16:32

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 本轮软件股上涨，pltr属于散户认的多估值重新获得提高，但是毕竟本身估值依然高企不值得投资；service now 属于受snow业绩带动幻想业绩会同样变好的资金推动型，如果财报出幺蛾子怎么上来怎么下去；只有snow是真的转型成功并带动业绩推升，预期后期收入还将快速释放，整体市值仍低，涨的最有底气，业绩值得期待，股票值得持有。三者股价接下来将出现明显分化走势，单纯炒作的东西还会回到原点。

06-02 16:18

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 不错，两强结合，稳

Snowflake与Anthropic携手加速企业AI应用，受监管AI需求激增驱动

06-02 13:50

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 迈威尔业绩毕竟没上来还是吹泡泡拉估值阶段。

06-02 13:39

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 恭喜持仓的朋友

06-01 22:29

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 三倍做多舒服

06-01 22:27

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 真能折腾

06-01 21:37

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 这是预期大会迈威尔总裁有新东西配合英伟达发布。

06-01 16:07

$高通(QCOM)$ 还好跑了

05-31 22:34

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ $Snowflake(SNOW)$ 看多第二家palantir诞生了，只不过不涉及军事领域。

05-30

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 机构调仓明显砸的英伟达谷歌加微软吧

05-30

$高通(QCOM)$ 已经转去snow了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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盘前你们当其他软件股一样错杀，那我就捡点筹码，省的开盘老美抢走。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/570840794023096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098362272416410","authorId":"4098362272416410","name":"T.L.X","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f0d2c98082fc2ee92786114faea6b07","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4098362272416410","authorIdStr":"4098362272416410"},"content":"我看他们股东减持了 有影响么？","text":"我看他们股东减持了 有影响么？","html":"我看他们股东减持了 有影响么？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":570837799424672,"gmtCreate":1780389148049,"gmtModify":1780389280980,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546249304196282","authorIdStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">$Snowflake(SNOW)$&nbsp;</a> 本轮软件股上涨，pltr属于散户认的多估值重新获得提高，但是毕竟本身估值依然高企不值得投资；service now 属于受snow业绩带动幻想业绩会同样变好的资金推动型，如果财报出幺蛾子怎么上来怎么下去；只有snow是真的转型成功并带动业绩推升，预期后期收入还将快速释放，整体市值仍低，涨的最有底气，业绩值得期待，股票值得持有。三者股价接下来将出现明显分化走势，单纯炒作的东西还会回到原点。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">$Snowflake(SNOW)$&nbsp;</a> 本轮软件股上涨，pltr属于散户认的多估值重新获得提高，但是毕竟本身估值依然高企不值得投资；service now 属于受snow业绩带动幻想业绩会同样变好的资金推动型，如果财报出幺蛾子怎么上来怎么下去；只有snow是真的转型成功并带动业绩推升，预期后期收入还将快速释放，整体市值仍低，涨的最有底气，业绩值得期待，股票值得持有。三者股价接下来将出现明显分化走势，单纯炒作的东西还会回到原点。","text":"$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 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name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Snowflake与Anthropic携手加速企业AI应用，受监管AI需求激增驱动</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3bf6d02ad1a6e9e7377eebbb162346a);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">美股速递 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-02 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>在受监管人工智能需求日益增长的推动下，Snowflake与Anthropic正携手加速企业级人工智能的采纳进程。这一合作旨在响应市场对具备治理框架的AI解决方案不断上升的需求，为企业提供更安全、可控的AI工具。</p>\n<p>双方的合作将聚焦于开发能够满足严格合规与治理标准的人工智能平台。通过整合Snowflake的数据云能力与Anthropic的先进AI技术，企业将能够更有效地部署和管理AI应用，同时确保数据安全与合规性。</p>\n<p>企业AI应用的加速不仅反映了技术演进的趋势，更凸显了市场对负责任AI实践的重视。随着监管环境日趋复杂，具备内置治理功能的AI解决方案正成为企业数字化转型的关键组成部分。</p>\n<p>这一发展趋势预示着，未来企业级AI的成功将愈发依赖于技术与治理能力的深度融合。Snowflake与Anthropic的协同努力，有望为行业树立新的标杆，推动AI技术在受监管环境中的创新与应用。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4613":"AI应用软件","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 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破不破都行，坚定持有老虎送的0.1股特斯拉，看看能翻出什么幺蛾子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/285710324834304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3565779873182513","authorId":"3565779873182513","name":"Widest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e848e194f86a1019b12907f98b072826","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3565779873182513","idStr":"3565779873182513"},"content":"亚马逊为什么要破呢？","text":"亚马逊为什么要破呢？","html":"亚马逊为什么要破呢？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":440268950704936,"gmtCreate":1748526446232,"gmtModify":1748526447399,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"作者没看懂pltr，应该对标微软","listText":"作者没看懂pltr，应该对标微软","text":"作者没看懂pltr，应该对标微软","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/440268950704936","repostId":"1168896343","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168896343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1748514945,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168896343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-05-29 18:35","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Palantir年内暴涨63%，领涨纳斯达克100指数，目前是阶段高点吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168896343","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><em>作者：Trevor Jennewine</em></p><p><em>来源：The Motley Fool</em></p><p><strong>摘要</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%，领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。</p></li><li><p>Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。</p></li><li><p>Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍，很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。</p></li></ul><p>5月14日，Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后，该股小幅回落，但截至5月27日，其年初至今的回报率高达63%，仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头？</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da861aca043563e01bdbf9139515aac2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策</strong></p><p>Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台（Gotham和Foundry）允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台（AIP）是一个大型语言模型编排工具，可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。</p><p>Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架，它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策，还能创建一个反馈循环，随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。</p><p>Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长，公司营收增长 39%，达到 8.84 亿美元，这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%，达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引，预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。</p><p>Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者，预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长，到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道：“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”</p><p>然而，投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要，但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说，这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而，Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期，平均高出 10%。</p><p><strong>Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一</strong></p><p>我刚才提到，对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说，Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此，有人可能会认为，由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir，其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以，让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。</p><p>Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍，并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值：在此期间，只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍，而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%，如下所述：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。</p></li><li><p>Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。</p></li><li><p>SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。</p></li><li><p>Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。</p></li><li><p>2024年12月26日，SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。</p></li><li><p>2020年10月19日，Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。</p></li></ul><p>如上所示，过去二十年中，除Palantir外，只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍，达到该估值后，其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上，对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。</p><p>具体来说，Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元，当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平，最终将下跌81%，至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。</p><p>当然，过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩，Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir年内暴涨63%，领涨纳斯达克100指数，目前是阶段高点吗？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir年内暴涨63%，领涨纳斯达克100指数，目前是阶段高点吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-05-29 18:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><em>作者：Trevor Jennewine</em></p><p><em>来源：The Motley Fool</em></p><p><strong>摘要</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%，领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。</p></li><li><p>Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。</p></li><li><p>Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍，很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。</p></li></ul><p>5月14日，Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后，该股小幅回落，但截至5月27日，其年初至今的回报率高达63%，仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头？</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da861aca043563e01bdbf9139515aac2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策</strong></p><p>Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台（Gotham和Foundry）允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台（AIP）是一个大型语言模型编排工具，可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。</p><p>Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架，它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策，还能创建一个反馈循环，随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。</p><p>Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长，公司营收增长 39%，达到 8.84 亿美元，这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%，达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引，预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。</p><p>Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者，预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长，到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道：“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”</p><p>然而，投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要，但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说，这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而，Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期，平均高出 10%。</p><p><strong>Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一</strong></p><p>我刚才提到，对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说，Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此，有人可能会认为，由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir，其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以，让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。</p><p>Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍，并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值：在此期间，只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍，而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%，如下所述：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。</p></li><li><p>Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。</p></li><li><p>SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。</p></li><li><p>Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。</p></li><li><p>2024年12月26日，SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。</p></li><li><p>2020年10月19日，Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。</p></li></ul><p>如上所示，过去二十年中，除Palantir外，只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍，达到该估值后，其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上，对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。</p><p>具体来说，Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元，当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平，最终将下跌81%，至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。</p><p>当然，过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩，Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d544e6f7498c68812d1a765bff723fc2","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168896343","content_text":"作者：Trevor Jennewine来源：The Motley Fool摘要Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%，领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍，很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。5月14日，Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后，该股小幅回落，但截至5月27日，其年初至今的回报率高达63%，仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头？Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台（Gotham和Foundry）允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台（AIP）是一个大型语言模型编排工具，可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架，它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策，还能创建一个反馈循环，随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长，公司营收增长 39%，达到 8.84 亿美元，这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%，达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引，预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者，预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长，到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道：“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”然而，投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要，但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说，这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而，Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期，平均高出 10%。Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一我刚才提到，对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说，Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此，有人可能会认为，由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir，其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以，让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍，并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值：在此期间，只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍，而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%，如下所述：Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。2024年12月26日，SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。2020年10月19日，Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。如上所示，过去二十年中，除Palantir外，只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍，达到该估值后，其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上，对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。具体来说，Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元，当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平，最终将下跌81%，至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。当然，过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩，Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579592247575705","authorId":"3579592247575705","name":"DrSean","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1463b1fdc8546a7d7fce66ec56cb9ca7","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3579592247575705","idStr":"3579592247575705"},"content":"对标微软，你是在搞笑吗？他靠的是什么在对标？微软、google哪些在AI方面没有基础架构没有研究？一直在吹自己AI方向多强，你听过PLTR有出过什么前沿算法的研究吗？Goolge18年就架构了 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沾沾大佬的喜气！"},{"author":{"id":"3515065343866850","authorId":"3515065343866850","name":"尖沙咀龍哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b179506c14a825d353bcd9e99387a7a","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3515065343866850","idStr":"3515065343866850"},"content":"主要靠期权吗","text":"主要靠期权吗","html":"主要靠期权吗"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}