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T0000023454

T0000023454

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IP属地：河北

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03-10 23:12

腰斩还有百倍市盈率

美股异动 | 特斯拉跌超7%，股价较历史最高价“腰斩”！

03-07

我平仓了$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

03-07

我开仓了$力拓(RIO)$ ,我开仓了$力拓(RIO)$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！顺周期守望

03-06

我平仓了$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

03-03

因为你和巴菲特所管理的资金规模不在一个量级

阿克曼批评巴菲特：投资原则过于保守

03-03

东方集团大股东倒是发展了也壮大了

央行等五部门：支持民营企业通过资本市场发展壮大

02-28

很棒的对话

传奇投资者格兰瑟姆：美股是一个超级泡沫，非美市场估值相对合理

02-26

百度的僵硬体制再也无法孕育伟大公司和伟大业务

抱歉，原内容已删除

02-26

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 涨了这么多以后居然还只有 20% 的市盈率，可见之前被外资打压的有多狠，国内的投资者也是别人洗了脑，失去了对价值标尺的自主判断能力，说实话这样的人真就不适合做投资，进来也是给少数投资者送钱。

02-26

连生老病死都半点由不得你，这类蠢话还是少说得好

抱歉，原内容已删除

02-26

自己的投资决策还要问别人，这样的投资趁早别做！

@鑫鑫燕姐:$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 各位老师现在卖合适吗

02-24

一时的兄弟，京东快递物流人最懂

京东：外卖骑手五险一金的所有成本，全部由京东承担

02-24

被外资入股就得低声下气

三菱公司：正在与伯克希尔商讨合作事宜，将努力改善与股东的对话。

02-23

娑婆世界是屁股决定嘴，蠢货看嘴，聪明人看屁股，智慧的人嘴和屁股都不看

02-21

我平仓了$ALB.HK 20250929 100.00 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

02-21

代金券咋兑换呦[真香]

阿里巴巴Q3营收同比增长8%超预期，云收入同比增长13%

02-21

公园前202年——公园8年的丝绸之路无疑推动了当时的欧亚经济一体化，我们可以将它视作今天全球化进程的缩略版，如果以借古观今来解读当下全球化所面临的问题与机遇或许是个不错的方法。那么下面我们尽最大努力抱定客观立场来对发生在两千年前的这次波澜壮阔的经济活动做出初步分析与解读，也希望读者朋友对逻辑错误之处给予指正，那么下面进入正题。公园前2世纪的世界经济体系几乎完全等于欧亚大陆的经济体系，这个作为地球上古往今来人口最多，自然资源最丰富的超级大陆正是在古丝绸之路的推动下走向了区域经济初步一体化，而中亚，西亚作为当时商队（中间商）的主体在连接东西方产销网路中更是获取了巨额回报，而且这种回报相对于当时生产端的中国与消费端的欧洲来说近乎接近零成本，作为生产端在一轮经济活动结束后必然要进行产业再投资，虽然汉唐时期政府对手工业重视并不够，也没有资本利用率的概念，但是产业再投资……

02-20

$YALA 20250718 5.0 CALL$ 高低切换，小幅调仓

02-19

Replying to @小虎通知:还有就是股票或 ETF 在合股时能不能设置为提醒?//@小虎通知:您好，请问您提出的股票名称抬头，是指股票的名称备注吗？

@T0000023454:基础功能希望改善，比如在更改股票名称抬头的时候可以单独更改，而不是一个按钮全部覆盖。

02-19

我平仓了$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>参与政治所带来的负面影响。</p><p>艾夫斯对特斯拉给出的12个月目标价为每股550美元，是分析师中最高的，他刚刚将该公司股票加入其最佳投资理念名单。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">艾夫斯和他的团队在给客户的一份报告中表示：“对于特斯拉的多头（包括我们自己）来说，在特斯拉股价大幅下跌、恐慌情绪蔓延之后，现在是需要扪心自问的时刻。空头在短期内主导著特斯拉的叙事，原因是1月/ 2月欧洲、中国和美国的销售数据低迷，再加上对<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>的抗议活动/品牌忧虑，引发了诸多担忧。”该团队对特斯拉的评级为强于大盘。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但他们估计，尽管“全球对<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>的看法很严厉”，“政府效率部/特朗普与<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>的铁杆伙伴关系给特斯拉品牌带来了重大担忧”，但特斯拉全球销量中面临风险的部分不到5%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">虽然Wedbush分析师没有解释他们是如何得出5%的风险数字的，但根据FactSet的估计，欧洲在特斯拉收入中的占比很小，其中德国为2.2%，英国为1.7%。而特斯拉的最大市场美国也出现了反马斯克和特斯拉的示威活动。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股异动 | 特斯拉跌超7%，股价较历史最高价“腰斩”！\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-10 22:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>本周一（3月10日）美股盘初， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 一度跌超7%，股价较历史最高价“腰斩”！</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/660f1bfcc899677eccc383c5d1dd713e\" tg-height=\"240\" tg-width=\"560\"/></p><p>消息面上，近日于美国纽约，有数百人聚集在一家特斯拉门店外进行示威活动，抗议特斯拉首席执行官<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>牵头“政府效率部”推动削减联邦开支的行为，有9人曾被逮捕。</p><p>同一日，还有大量抗议者聚集在佛罗里达州杰克逊维尔市、马萨诸塞州波士顿等城市的特斯拉门店外，共同进行抗议活动。</p><p>Wedbush分析师丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）领导的一个团队表示，投资者忽视了特斯拉股票的真正价值，夸大了该公司首席执行官埃隆-<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>参与政治所带来的负面影响。</p><p>艾夫斯对特斯拉给出的12个月目标价为每股550美元，是分析师中最高的，他刚刚将该公司股票加入其最佳投资理念名单。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">艾夫斯和他的团队在给客户的一份报告中表示：“对于特斯拉的多头（包括我们自己）来说，在特斯拉股价大幅下跌、恐慌情绪蔓延之后，现在是需要扪心自问的时刻。空头在短期内主导著特斯拉的叙事，原因是1月/ 2月欧洲、中国和美国的销售数据低迷，再加上对<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>的抗议活动/品牌忧虑，引发了诸多担忧。”该团队对特斯拉的评级为强于大盘。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但他们估计，尽管“全球对<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>的看法很严厉”，“政府效率部/特朗普与<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4197425891462882\">马斯克</a>的铁杆伙伴关系给特斯拉品牌带来了重大担忧”，但特斯拉全球销量中面临风险的部分不到5%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">虽然Wedbush分析师没有解释他们是如何得出5%的风险数字的，但根据FactSet的估计，欧洲在特斯拉收入中的占比很小，其中德国为2.2%，英国为1.7%。而特斯拉的最大市场美国也出现了反马斯克和特斯拉的示威活动。</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb3952e78c4c7330e4960d16950edf07","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134287172","content_text":"本周一（3月10日）美股盘初， 特斯拉 一度跌超7%，股价较历史最高价“腰斩”！消息面上，近日于美国纽约，有数百人聚集在一家特斯拉门店外进行示威活动，抗议特斯拉首席执行官马斯克牵头“政府效率部”推动削减联邦开支的行为，有9人曾被逮捕。同一日，还有大量抗议者聚集在佛罗里达州杰克逊维尔市、马萨诸塞州波士顿等城市的特斯拉门店外，共同进行抗议活动。Wedbush分析师丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）领导的一个团队表示，投资者忽视了特斯拉股票的真正价值，夸大了该公司首席执行官埃隆-马斯克参与政治所带来的负面影响。艾夫斯对特斯拉给出的12个月目标价为每股550美元，是分析师中最高的，他刚刚将该公司股票加入其最佳投资理念名单。艾夫斯和他的团队在给客户的一份报告中表示：“对于特斯拉的多头（包括我们自己）来说，在特斯拉股价大幅下跌、恐慌情绪蔓延之后，现在是需要扪心自问的时刻。空头在短期内主导著特斯拉的叙事，原因是1月/ 2月欧洲、中国和美国的销售数据低迷，再加上对马斯克的抗议活动/品牌忧虑，引发了诸多担忧。”该团队对特斯拉的评级为强于大盘。但他们估计，尽管“全球对马斯克的看法很严厉”，“政府效率部/特朗普与马斯克的铁杆伙伴关系给特斯拉品牌带来了重大担忧”，但特斯拉全球销量中面临风险的部分不到5%。虽然Wedbush分析师没有解释他们是如何得出5%的风险数字的，但根据FactSet的估计，欧洲在特斯拉收入中的占比很小，其中德国为2.2%，英国为1.7%。而特斯拉的最大市场美国也出现了反马斯克和特斯拉的示威活动。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":410932099703440,"gmtCreate":1741358326306,"gmtModify":1741358411482,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL\">$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$&nbsp;</a>,来看看我最新分享的订单！","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL\">$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$&nbsp;</a>,来看看我最新分享的订单！","text":"我平仓了$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410932099703440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":410930068418592,"gmtCreate":1741358292133,"gmtModify":1741361664570,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIO\">$力拓(RIO)$&nbsp;</a>,我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIO\">$力拓(RIO)$&nbsp;</a>,来看看我最新分享的订单！顺周期守望","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIO\">$力拓(RIO)$&nbsp;</a>,我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIO\">$力拓(RIO)$&nbsp;</a>,来看看我最新分享的订单！顺周期守望","text":"我开仓了$力拓(RIO)$ ,我开仓了$力拓(RIO)$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！顺周期守望","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410930068418592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":410578563510472,"gmtCreate":1741267696097,"gmtModify":1741268303831,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL\">$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$&nbsp;</a>,来看看我最新分享的订单！","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL\">$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$&nbsp;</a>,来看看我最新分享的订单！","text":"我平仓了$TCH.HK 20250328 390.00 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410578563510472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":409307379503672,"gmtCreate":1740946661905,"gmtModify":1740946663815,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"因为你和巴菲特所管理的资金规模不在一个量级","listText":"因为你和巴菲特所管理的资金规模不在一个量级","text":"因为你和巴菲特所管理的资金规模不在一个量级","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/409307379503672","repostId":"1112098629","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112098629","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1740872542,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112098629?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-03-02 07:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"阿克曼批评巴菲特：投资原则过于保守","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112098629","media":"巴伦中文","summary":"阿克曼认为，巴菲特的价值投资方法导致他无法充分利用股市上的机会。亿万富豪投资者比尔·阿克曼是巴菲特的忠实粉丝，并且曾经投资过伯克希尔-哈撒韦的股票。在最近的一个播客节目中，阿克曼针对巴菲特发表了一些挑衅性言论，他说，巴菲特离开后，伯克希尔将得到更好的管理，他还说，94岁的巴菲特的投资原则过于保守。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p><a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180241061876092\">阿克曼</a>认为，<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180165723785092\">巴菲特</a>的价值投资方法导致他无法充分利用股市上的机会。</p></blockquote><p>亿万富豪投资者<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180241061876092\">比尔·阿克曼</a>(<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180241061876092\">Bill Ackman</a>)是<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180165723785092\">巴菲特</a>的忠实粉丝，并且曾经投资过伯克希尔-哈撒韦(BRK.B)的股票。目前正在尝试收购房地产公司霍华德休斯(HHH)的阿克曼甚至打算把这家公司打造为他口中的“现代版伯克希尔”。</p><p>在最近的一个播客节目中，阿克曼针对巴菲特发表了一些挑衅性言论，他说，巴菲特离开后，伯克希尔将得到更好的管理，他还说，94岁的巴菲特的投资原则过于保守。</p><p>阿克曼很欣赏巴菲特的接班人、伯克希尔高管格雷格·阿贝尔(Greg Abel)，他说：“格雷格更像是一个经营者，在更好地经营伯克希尔的业务方面，有很多价值可以挖掘。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img alt=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a27b25c19b95b5786b1be44ae27e8561\" tg-height=\"720\" tg-width=\"1080\" title=\"\"/></p><p>阿克曼是资本管理公司Pershing Square Capital Management的创始人，该公司管理着近200亿美元资产，其最大的投资工具是在欧洲上市的封闭式基金Pershing Square Holdings (PSH）。</p><p>阿克曼在播客中告诉Boyar Value Group总裁乔纳森·波雅尔(Jonathan Boyar)，巴菲特在管理伯克希尔几十项业务时采用的是一种“不插手”的方法。</p><p>阿克曼说：“巴菲特一直不愿参与修复伯克希尔旗的子公司，下一代（领导层）在这方面的纪律性将更强。（伯克希尔旗下各业务部门的）CEO应该早在几年前就该被撤换了。”</p><p>阿克曼以伯克希尔最大的子公司之一伯灵顿北方圣达菲铁路公司(Burlington Northern Santa Fe)为例，称其“可能是所有铁路公司中运营效率最低的”。灵顿北方圣达菲铁路公司的利润率低于其主要竞争对手联合太平洋(Union Pacific)。</p><p>巴菲特表扬过伯克希尔非保险业务负责人阿贝尔，因为阿贝尔让伯克希尔的多个部门取得了更好的业绩，也比他自己更能让伯克希尔的经理们承担起更多责任。</p><p>巴菲特在最近发布的年度致股东信中说，伯灵顿北方圣达菲铁路公司和伯克希尔旗下公用事业公司伯克希尔-哈撒韦能源“还有很多目标要达成”。</p><p>阿克曼在播客中说，巴菲特的价值投资方法导致他无法充分利用股市上的机会。</p><p>阿克曼说：“沃伦在估值方面有自己的原则，如果一只股票的股价与营业利润之比超过10倍，无论其业务有多大吸引力，他都不会买，但很多拥有极好前景的好公司的股价与税前营业利润之比都超过10倍。</p><p>阿克曼说：“六七十年来他的这个原则对他来说很有效，他为什么要改变呢？”</p><p>巴菲特此前没有公开说过自己遵循上述原则，不过，他的投资活动印证了阿克曼的观点。</p><p>举个例子，2016年到2018年间，伯克希尔积累了大量苹果(AAPL)的股票，当时苹果股价与税前营业利润之比约为10倍。20世纪80年代，伯克希尔以类似估值投资了可口可乐(KO)和美国运通(AXP)。</p><p>伯克希尔在2017年首次建仓卡车站运营商Pilot Travel Centers后买入该公司剩余股份时，这一比率也为10倍。</p><p>当被问到如何看待伯克希尔成为股票净卖家时阿克曼说，巴菲特“可能不喜欢目前股市的估值水平。”</p><p>阿克曼说，他曾尝试让巴菲特进行各种投资，但巴菲特拒绝了。</p><p>阿克曼回忆说，当希尔顿酒店由黑石集团控制时，他曾尝试安排把希尔顿卖给伯克希尔，但巴菲特拒绝了。阿克曼说：“收购希尔顿对伯克希尔来说本应是一笔非常好的交易。”希尔顿最后成为黑石最好的投资之一，过去10年希尔顿的股价上涨了五倍多。</p><p>阿克曼说，2020年2月，他和巴菲特谈到过新冠疫情可能造成的问题，但巴菲特“没有理会”他的关切。2020年3月新冠疫情暴发导致股市暴跌时，巴菲特没能充分利用阿克曼所说的难以置信的机会，阿克曼说巴菲特被“吓呆了”。</p><p>2020年阿克曼的公司大赚一笔，他预料到疫情将导致市场大跌，通过做空美国公司债券赚了几十亿美元，其他各种投资也是赚得盆满钵满，他的封闭式基金当年上涨了70%。</p><p>阿克曼的公司在2020年初抛售了伯克希尔的股票，因为他认为希尔顿和Lowe's (LOW)等股票更有吸引力。他的公司甚至将伯克希尔的一些股票卖回给了伯克希尔。</p><p>阿克曼在播客中补充说：“我爱巴菲特，他给了我很多的灵感。”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1718164085300","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" name=\"viewport\"/>\n<meta content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" name=\"format-detection\"/>\n<title>阿克曼批评巴菲特：投资原则过于保守</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180241061876092\">阿克曼</a>批评<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180165723785092\">巴菲特</a>：投资原则过于保守\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-03-02 07:42 北京时间   <a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/s3ZDVG0023RGLYX-StsdhQ\"><strong>巴伦中文</strong></a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p><a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180241061876092\">阿克曼</a>认为，<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180165723785092\">巴菲特</a>的价值投资方法导致他无法充分利用股市上的机会。亿万富豪投资者<a class=\"promotion-word\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4180241061876092\">比尔·阿克曼</a>(Bill Ackman)是巴菲特的忠实粉丝，并且曾经投资过伯克希尔-哈撒韦(BRK.B)的股票。目前正在尝试收购房地产公司霍华德休斯(HHH)的阿克曼甚至打算把这家公司打造为他口中的“现代版伯克希尔”。在最近的一个播客节目中，阿克曼针对巴菲特发表了一些挑衅性言论，他说，巴菲特离开后，伯克希尔将得到更好的管理...</p>\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/s3ZDVG0023RGLYX-StsdhQ\">Web Link</a>\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a27b25c19b95b5786b1be44ae27e8561","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/s3ZDVG0023RGLYX-StsdhQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112098629","content_text":"阿克曼认为，巴菲特的价值投资方法导致他无法充分利用股市上的机会。亿万富豪投资者比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)是巴菲特的忠实粉丝，并且曾经投资过伯克希尔-哈撒韦(BRK.B)的股票。目前正在尝试收购房地产公司霍华德休斯(HHH)的阿克曼甚至打算把这家公司打造为他口中的“现代版伯克希尔”。在最近的一个播客节目中，阿克曼针对巴菲特发表了一些挑衅性言论，他说，巴菲特离开后，伯克希尔将得到更好的管理，他还说，94岁的巴菲特的投资原则过于保守。阿克曼很欣赏巴菲特的接班人、伯克希尔高管格雷格·阿贝尔(Greg Abel)，他说：“格雷格更像是一个经营者，在更好地经营伯克希尔的业务方面，有很多价值可以挖掘。”阿克曼是资本管理公司Pershing Square Capital Management的创始人，该公司管理着近200亿美元资产，其最大的投资工具是在欧洲上市的封闭式基金Pershing Square Holdings (PSH）。阿克曼在播客中告诉Boyar Value Group总裁乔纳森·波雅尔(Jonathan Boyar)，巴菲特在管理伯克希尔几十项业务时采用的是一种“不插手”的方法。阿克曼说：“巴菲特一直不愿参与修复伯克希尔旗的子公司，下一代（领导层）在这方面的纪律性将更强。（伯克希尔旗下各业务部门的）CEO应该早在几年前就该被撤换了。”阿克曼以伯克希尔最大的子公司之一伯灵顿北方圣达菲铁路公司(Burlington Northern Santa Fe)为例，称其“可能是所有铁路公司中运营效率最低的”。灵顿北方圣达菲铁路公司的利润率低于其主要竞争对手联合太平洋(Union Pacific)。巴菲特表扬过伯克希尔非保险业务负责人阿贝尔，因为阿贝尔让伯克希尔的多个部门取得了更好的业绩，也比他自己更能让伯克希尔的经理们承担起更多责任。巴菲特在最近发布的年度致股东信中说，伯灵顿北方圣达菲铁路公司和伯克希尔旗下公用事业公司伯克希尔-哈撒韦能源“还有很多目标要达成”。阿克曼在播客中说，巴菲特的价值投资方法导致他无法充分利用股市上的机会。阿克曼说：“沃伦在估值方面有自己的原则，如果一只股票的股价与营业利润之比超过10倍，无论其业务有多大吸引力，他都不会买，但很多拥有极好前景的好公司的股价与税前营业利润之比都超过10倍。阿克曼说：“六七十年来他的这个原则对他来说很有效，他为什么要改变呢？”巴菲特此前没有公开说过自己遵循上述原则，不过，他的投资活动印证了阿克曼的观点。举个例子，2016年到2018年间，伯克希尔积累了大量苹果(AAPL)的股票，当时苹果股价与税前营业利润之比约为10倍。20世纪80年代，伯克希尔以类似估值投资了可口可乐(KO)和美国运通(AXP)。伯克希尔在2017年首次建仓卡车站运营商Pilot Travel Centers后买入该公司剩余股份时，这一比率也为10倍。当被问到如何看待伯克希尔成为股票净卖家时阿克曼说，巴菲特“可能不喜欢目前股市的估值水平。”阿克曼说，他曾尝试让巴菲特进行各种投资，但巴菲特拒绝了。阿克曼回忆说，当希尔顿酒店由黑石集团控制时，他曾尝试安排把希尔顿卖给伯克希尔，但巴菲特拒绝了。阿克曼说：“收购希尔顿对伯克希尔来说本应是一笔非常好的交易。”希尔顿最后成为黑石最好的投资之一，过去10年希尔顿的股价上涨了五倍多。阿克曼说，2020年2月，他和巴菲特谈到过新冠疫情可能造成的问题，但巴菲特“没有理会”他的关切。2020年3月新冠疫情暴发导致股市暴跌时，巴菲特没能充分利用阿克曼所说的难以置信的机会，阿克曼说巴菲特被“吓呆了”。2020年阿克曼的公司大赚一笔，他预料到疫情将导致市场大跌，通过做空美国公司债券赚了几十亿美元，其他各种投资也是赚得盆满钵满，他的封闭式基金当年上涨了70%。阿克曼的公司在2020年初抛售了伯克希尔的股票，因为他认为希尔顿和Lowe's (LOW)等股票更有吸引力。他的公司甚至将伯克希尔的一些股票卖回给了伯克希尔。阿克曼在播客中补充说：“我爱巴菲特，他给了我很多的灵感。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":409305497956584,"gmtCreate":1740945759869,"gmtModify":1740945761089,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"东方集团大股东倒是发展了也壮大了","listText":"东方集团大股东倒是发展了也壮大了","text":"东方集团大股东倒是发展了也壮大了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/409305497956584","repostId":"1197673100","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197673100","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1740895556,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197673100?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-03-02 14:05","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"央行等五部门：支持民营企业通过资本市场发展壮大","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197673100","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月2日，金融支持民营企业高质量发展座谈会要求，强化债券市场制度建设和产品创新，持续发挥“第二支箭”的撬动引领作用。抓好“科创板八条”“服务现代化产业体系十六条”“并购六条”等政策落实落地，支持民营企业通过资本市场发展壮大。金融支持民营企业高质量发展座谈会强调，各方要增强协同联动，推动完善融资配套机制，下大气力解决民营企业融资难、融资贵问题，共同营造更优的民营企业发展环境。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月2日，为深入学习贯彻习近平总书记在民营企业座谈会上的重要讲话精神，落实党中央、国务院关于金融支持民营企业发展的决策部署，2025年2月28日，中国人民银行、全国工商联、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局联合召开金融支持民营企业高质量发展座谈会。中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜，中央统战部副部长、全国工商联党组书记沈莹，金融监管总局党委委员、副局长周亮，中国证监会党委委员、副主席李超出席会议并讲话。中国人民银行党委委员、副行长、国家外汇局党组书记、局长朱鹤新主持会议，全国工商联副主席安立佳出席会议。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5d87861cf05ecd9083adc832945c0c4\" tg-height=\"3011\" tg-width=\"4517\" title=\"\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">座谈会上，依文集团、吉利控股、商汤科技、圆通速递、伊利集团等5家民营企业及全联并购公会负责人介绍了企业经营情况并提出意见建议。工商银行、人保集团、中信证券、国担基金等4家金融机构及上海证券交易所负责人作经验交流。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">会议认为，习近平总书记在民营企业座谈会上的重要讲话，为民营经济发展把脉定向、提振信心、增添动力，为做好新时代促进民营经济发展工作提供了科学指南和根本遵循。支持民营经济发展是金融服务实体经济的内在要求，也是践行金融工作政治性、人民性的具体体现。金融部门要坚持“两个毫不动摇”，积极健全政策框架，强化督导落实，为民营经济健康发展和民营企业做强做优做大提供有力的金融支持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">会议要求，要实施好适度宽松的货币政策，发挥好结构性货币政策工具作用，强化监管引领，引导金融机构“一视同仁”对待各类所有制企业，增加对民营和小微企业信贷投放。执行好金融支持民营经济25条举措，健全民营中小企业增信制度，加快出台规范供应链金融业务政策文件。强化债券市场制度建设和产品创新，持续发挥“第二支箭”的撬动引领作用。抓好“科创板八条”“服务现代化产业体系十六条”“并购六条”等政策落实落地，支持民营企业通过资本市场发展壮大。金融机构要强化金融服务能力建设，进一步畅通民营企业股、债、贷等多元化融资渠道，加大各类金融资源要素投入，将民营企业金融服务做实、做深、做精。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">会议强调，各方要增强协同联动，推动完善融资配套机制，下大气力解决民营企业融资难、融资贵问题，共同营造更优的民营企业发展环境。各级工商联要充分发挥桥梁纽带和助手作用，深化调查研究，搭建对接平台，会同金融管理部门、金融机构提升民营企业融资可得性和便利性。民营企业要加强自主创新，完善治理结构，重视信用管理，加强风险管控，坚定不移走高质量发展之路。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">部分民营企业和金融机构负责人，中央金融办、中国人民银行、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局有关司局，全国工商联有关部门、直属商会和北京市工商联，上海、深圳、北京证券交易所，银行间市场交易商协会负责同志参加会议。</p><p><strong>潘功胜：确保民企融资成本在今后比较长的时间中保持在较低水平</strong></p><p>央行行长潘功胜透露，下一步，央行将引导金融机构增加大对民营经济的进一步投入。实施好适度宽松的货币政策，保持市场流动性宽裕。只要中国的通货膨胀压力不大，将确保民企融资成本在今后比较长的时间中保持在较低水平，为民营企业发展创造一个良好的宏观货币金融环境。</p><p><strong>工行董事长廖林：计划未来3年为民企提供投融资不低于6万亿元</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">工商银行董事长廖林表示，为民营企业发展提供高质量服务，接下来将加强资源倾斜，畅通股、债、贷等融资渠道，计划未来3年为民企提供投融资不低于6万亿元，增加信用和中长期资金供给。</p><p><strong>上交所：下一步将推动更多优质民营科技型企业在科创板发行上市</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">上海证券交易所副总经理苑多然表示，下一步，上交所将以服务新质生产力发展为着力点，持续拓宽民营企业股权融资渠道。包括推动更多优质民营科技型企业在科创板发行上市。对于科创板上市公司并购轻资产标的、未盈利标的等情形适当提高估值的包容性，推动更多代表性案例落地。大力发展指数化投资，积极推动各类中长期资金入市，优化民营企业融资环境。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" 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.h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n央行等五部门：支持民营企业通过资本市场发展壮大\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-02 14:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>3月2日，为深入学习贯彻习近平总书记在民营企业座谈会上的重要讲话精神，落实党中央、国务院关于金融支持民营企业发展的决策部署，2025年2月28日，中国人民银行、全国工商联、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局联合召开金融支持民营企业高质量发展座谈会。中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜，中央统战部副部长、全国工商联党组书记沈莹，金融监管总局党委委员、副局长周亮，中国证监会党委委员、副主席李超出席会议并讲话。中国人民银行党委委员、副行长、国家外汇局党组书记、局长朱鹤新主持会议，全国工商联副主席安立佳出席会议。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5d87861cf05ecd9083adc832945c0c4\" tg-height=\"3011\" tg-width=\"4517\" title=\"\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">座谈会上，依文集团、吉利控股、商汤科技、圆通速递、伊利集团等5家民营企业及全联并购公会负责人介绍了企业经营情况并提出意见建议。工商银行、人保集团、中信证券、国担基金等4家金融机构及上海证券交易所负责人作经验交流。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">会议认为，习近平总书记在民营企业座谈会上的重要讲话，为民营经济发展把脉定向、提振信心、增添动力，为做好新时代促进民营经济发展工作提供了科学指南和根本遵循。支持民营经济发展是金融服务实体经济的内在要求，也是践行金融工作政治性、人民性的具体体现。金融部门要坚持“两个毫不动摇”，积极健全政策框架，强化督导落实，为民营经济健康发展和民营企业做强做优做大提供有力的金融支持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">会议要求，要实施好适度宽松的货币政策，发挥好结构性货币政策工具作用，强化监管引领，引导金融机构“一视同仁”对待各类所有制企业，增加对民营和小微企业信贷投放。执行好金融支持民营经济25条举措，健全民营中小企业增信制度，加快出台规范供应链金融业务政策文件。强化债券市场制度建设和产品创新，持续发挥“第二支箭”的撬动引领作用。抓好“科创板八条”“服务现代化产业体系十六条”“并购六条”等政策落实落地，支持民营企业通过资本市场发展壮大。金融机构要强化金融服务能力建设，进一步畅通民营企业股、债、贷等多元化融资渠道，加大各类金融资源要素投入，将民营企业金融服务做实、做深、做精。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">会议强调，各方要增强协同联动，推动完善融资配套机制，下大气力解决民营企业融资难、融资贵问题，共同营造更优的民营企业发展环境。各级工商联要充分发挥桥梁纽带和助手作用，深化调查研究，搭建对接平台，会同金融管理部门、金融机构提升民营企业融资可得性和便利性。民营企业要加强自主创新，完善治理结构，重视信用管理，加强风险管控，坚定不移走高质量发展之路。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">部分民营企业和金融机构负责人，中央金融办、中国人民银行、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局有关司局，全国工商联有关部门、直属商会和北京市工商联，上海、深圳、北京证券交易所，银行间市场交易商协会负责同志参加会议。</p><p><strong>潘功胜：确保民企融资成本在今后比较长的时间中保持在较低水平</strong></p><p>央行行长潘功胜透露，下一步，央行将引导金融机构增加大对民营经济的进一步投入。实施好适度宽松的货币政策，保持市场流动性宽裕。只要中国的通货膨胀压力不大，将确保民企融资成本在今后比较长的时间中保持在较低水平，为民营企业发展创造一个良好的宏观货币金融环境。</p><p><strong>工行董事长廖林：计划未来3年为民企提供投融资不低于6万亿元</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">工商银行董事长廖林表示，为民营企业发展提供高质量服务，接下来将加强资源倾斜，畅通股、债、贷等融资渠道，计划未来3年为民企提供投融资不低于6万亿元，增加信用和中长期资金供给。</p><p><strong>上交所：下一步将推动更多优质民营科技型企业在科创板发行上市</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">上海证券交易所副总经理苑多然表示，下一步，上交所将以服务新质生产力发展为着力点，持续拓宽民营企业股权融资渠道。包括推动更多优质民营科技型企业在科创板发行上市。对于科创板上市公司并购轻资产标的、未盈利标的等情形适当提高估值的包容性，推动更多代表性案例落地。大力发展指数化投资，积极推动各类中长期资金入市，优化民营企业融资环境。</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5d87861cf05ecd9083adc832945c0c4","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197673100","content_text":"3月2日，为深入学习贯彻习近平总书记在民营企业座谈会上的重要讲话精神，落实党中央、国务院关于金融支持民营企业发展的决策部署，2025年2月28日，中国人民银行、全国工商联、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局联合召开金融支持民营企业高质量发展座谈会。中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜，中央统战部副部长、全国工商联党组书记沈莹，金融监管总局党委委员、副局长周亮，中国证监会党委委员、副主席李超出席会议并讲话。中国人民银行党委委员、副行长、国家外汇局党组书记、局长朱鹤新主持会议，全国工商联副主席安立佳出席会议。座谈会上，依文集团、吉利控股、商汤科技、圆通速递、伊利集团等5家民营企业及全联并购公会负责人介绍了企业经营情况并提出意见建议。工商银行、人保集团、中信证券、国担基金等4家金融机构及上海证券交易所负责人作经验交流。会议认为，习近平总书记在民营企业座谈会上的重要讲话，为民营经济发展把脉定向、提振信心、增添动力，为做好新时代促进民营经济发展工作提供了科学指南和根本遵循。支持民营经济发展是金融服务实体经济的内在要求，也是践行金融工作政治性、人民性的具体体现。金融部门要坚持“两个毫不动摇”，积极健全政策框架，强化督导落实，为民营经济健康发展和民营企业做强做优做大提供有力的金融支持。会议要求，要实施好适度宽松的货币政策，发挥好结构性货币政策工具作用，强化监管引领，引导金融机构“一视同仁”对待各类所有制企业，增加对民营和小微企业信贷投放。执行好金融支持民营经济25条举措，健全民营中小企业增信制度，加快出台规范供应链金融业务政策文件。强化债券市场制度建设和产品创新，持续发挥“第二支箭”的撬动引领作用。抓好“科创板八条”“服务现代化产业体系十六条”“并购六条”等政策落实落地，支持民营企业通过资本市场发展壮大。金融机构要强化金融服务能力建设，进一步畅通民营企业股、债、贷等多元化融资渠道，加大各类金融资源要素投入，将民营企业金融服务做实、做深、做精。会议强调，各方要增强协同联动，推动完善融资配套机制，下大气力解决民营企业融资难、融资贵问题，共同营造更优的民营企业发展环境。各级工商联要充分发挥桥梁纽带和助手作用，深化调查研究，搭建对接平台，会同金融管理部门、金融机构提升民营企业融资可得性和便利性。民营企业要加强自主创新，完善治理结构，重视信用管理，加强风险管控，坚定不移走高质量发展之路。部分民营企业和金融机构负责人，中央金融办、中国人民银行、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局有关司局，全国工商联有关部门、直属商会和北京市工商联，上海、深圳、北京证券交易所，银行间市场交易商协会负责同志参加会议。潘功胜：确保民企融资成本在今后比较长的时间中保持在较低水平央行行长潘功胜透露，下一步，央行将引导金融机构增加大对民营经济的进一步投入。实施好适度宽松的货币政策，保持市场流动性宽裕。只要中国的通货膨胀压力不大，将确保民企融资成本在今后比较长的时间中保持在较低水平，为民营企业发展创造一个良好的宏观货币金融环境。工行董事长廖林：计划未来3年为民企提供投融资不低于6万亿元工商银行董事长廖林表示，为民营企业发展提供高质量服务，接下来将加强资源倾斜，畅通股、债、贷等融资渠道，计划未来3年为民企提供投融资不低于6万亿元，增加信用和中长期资金供给。上交所：下一步将推动更多优质民营科技型企业在科创板发行上市上海证券交易所副总经理苑多然表示，下一步，上交所将以服务新质生产力发展为着力点，持续拓宽民营企业股权融资渠道。包括推动更多优质民营科技型企业在科创板发行上市。对于科创板上市公司并购轻资产标的、未盈利标的等情形适当提高估值的包容性，推动更多代表性案例落地。大力发展指数化投资，积极推动各类中长期资金入市，优化民营企业融资环境。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":408422975902008,"gmtCreate":1740730504967,"gmtModify":1740730506517,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"很棒的对话","listText":"很棒的对话","text":"很棒的对话","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/408422975902008","repostId":"1132777656","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1132777656","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1740728946,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132777656?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-02-28 15:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"传奇投资者格兰瑟姆：美股是一个超级泡沫，非美市场估值相对合理","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132777656","media":"金十数据","summary":"美股需暴跌50%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>在一次对话中，主持人采访GMO联合创始人、以精准预测市场泡沫闻名的投资策略师杰里米·格兰瑟姆（Jeremy Grantham）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆基于五十余年投资经验，剖析当前市场的“超级泡沫”、绿色转型困境、人口危机等议题，并对美股发出严厉警告。以下是对话精选节录。</p><h2 id=\"id_2846368287\" style=\"text-align: left;\">美股：一场史无前例的超级泡沫</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：你曾预言美股将迎来重大调整，但市场至今坚挺。AI热潮甚至让泡沫愈演愈烈。你的观点是否改变？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：泡沫越大，风险越高。<strong>当前美股已跻身历史第三大超级泡沫</strong>，仅次于1989年日本股市和房地产泡沫，但远超1929年大萧条和2021年的上一轮峰值。以席勒市盈率（Shiller PE）衡量，美股估值已达历史最高水平，总市值与经济增加值之比更是创下纪录。若按行为模型回归常态，<strong>美股需暴跌50%——这仅是回到“人类正常心理承受范围”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：支持者认为AI将重塑经济，高估值会被未来增长消化。你如何反驳？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：<strong>重大技术革命必然伴随泡沫！</strong>19世纪的铁路、20世纪末的互联网皆是如此。人们为“改变世界”的愿景疯狂投入，最终多数人血本无归，幸存者（如亚马逊）则通吃市场。AI同样逃不过这一规律：它确实将颠覆社会，但泡沫破灭时，99%的概念股会消失，仅有少数赢家收割红利。</p><h2 id=\"id_114372679\" style=\"text-align: left;\">AI的悖论：生产力提升与社会撕裂</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：若AI全面替代人力，经济系统如何维系？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：假设未来全是机器人工作，谁来消费？<strong>答案只能是政府强力再分配。</strong>历史证明，当生产力增长普惠大众时（如1935-1975年的美国“黄金时代”），社会稳定性最强；而若财富集中到顶层（如1975年后美国），不满情绪将引发政治动荡。当前欧美民众对建制派的普遍反感，正是这种失衡的体现。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：AI时代是否需要“大政府”？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：必须的！<strong>政府无需庞大官僚体系，但需确保财富通过税收和福利流向底层。</strong>否则，我们将面临饥荒或革命。</p><h2 id=\"id_2222771285\" style=\"text-align: left;\">投资避风港：绿色转型与抗冲击资产</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：美股是否还有安全角落？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：绿色经济相关股票被严重低估。气候危机的紧迫性不容回避——火灾、洪水已常态化，全球脱碳进程必然加速，相关领域将迎来长期投资机会。此外，高利润、低负债的优质公司（如可口可乐在1929年危机中的表现）比廉价股更具抗跌性。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：欧洲与中国市场是否值得关注？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：<strong>非美市场估值相对合理，长期可能跑赢美股。</strong>以新兴市场为例，2022年标普下跌22%，它们却几乎持平。这种分化未来仍将上演。</p><h2 id=\"id_1868764123\" style=\"text-align: left;\">人口危机：被忽视的定时炸弹</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：为何人口下降如此危险？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：劳动力萎缩直接拖累GDP，更可怕的是打击“动物精神”。当企业不再扩张、晋升机会减少，社会将陷入保守与悲观。日本“失落的二十年”就是前车之鉴。<strong>移民只能短期缓解压力，但全球生育率下跌趋势不可逆</strong>——非洲生育率已从6.5骤降至4.2，欧洲多国靠移民维持人口，但这终非长久之计。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：解决方案呢？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：<strong>必须重构社会激励！</strong>政府需通过住房补贴、高额育儿津贴、免费教育等政策，将生育重塑为“公共品”。文化上，需重新赋予家庭价值崇高地位，而非将生育视为个人负担。</p><h2 id=\"id_1905207604\" style=\"text-align: left;\">黄金与加密货币：避险还是陷阱？</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问：如何看待黄金与比特币？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：<strong>黄金虽无实际产出，但历经万年考验，比加密货币靠谱得多。</strong>比特币是纯粹的投机工具，而AI引发的电力需求暴增，已让加密货币挖矿成为环境灾难。</p><h2 id=\"id_533847042\" style=\"text-align: left;\">终极警告：经济学的物理边界</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">格兰瑟姆：传统经济学忽视了一个事实：在有限星球上追求无限增长，必然撞上物理法则的南墙。当资源耗尽、环境崩溃时，任何模型都将失效——这才是人类最大的泡沫。</p></body></html>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" name=\"viewport\"/>\n<meta content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" name=\"format-detection\"/>\n<title>传奇投资者格兰瑟姆：美股是一个超级泡沫，非美市场估值相对合理</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n传奇投资者格兰瑟姆：美股是一个超级泡沫，非美市场估值相对合理\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-02-28 15:49 北京时间   <a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/165161\"><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在一次对话中，主持人采访GMO联合创始人、以精准预测市场泡沫闻名的投资策略师杰里米·格兰瑟姆（Jeremy Grantham）。格兰瑟姆基于五十余年投资经验，剖析当前市场的“超级泡沫”、绿色转型困境、人口危机等议题，并对美股发出严厉警告。以下是对话精选节录。美股：一场史无前例的超级泡沫问：你曾预言美股将迎来重大调整，但市场至今坚挺。AI热潮甚至让泡沫愈演愈烈。你的观点是否改变？格兰瑟姆：泡沫越大，...</p>\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/165161\">Web Link</a>\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b37be579a75481a8e954868019cfbe3e","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a> 涨了这么多以后居然还只有 20% 的市盈率，可见之前被外资打压的有多狠，国内的投资者也是别人洗了脑，失去了对价值标尺的自主判断能力，说实话这样的人真就不适合做投资，进来也是给少数投资者送钱。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a> 涨了这么多以后居然还只有 20% 的市盈率，可见之前被外资打压的有多狠，国内的投资者也是别人洗了脑，失去了对价值标尺的自主判断能力，说实话这样的人真就不适合做投资，进来也是给少数投资者送钱。","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 涨了这么多以后居然还只有 20% 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各位老师现在卖合适吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/407437529420256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":407040132329824,"gmtCreate":1740393592897,"gmtModify":1740393594471,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一时的兄弟，京东快递物流人最懂","listText":"一时的兄弟，京东快递物流人最懂","text":"一时的兄弟，京东快递物流人最懂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/407040132329824","repostId":"1166496488","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166496488","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1740391073,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166496488?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-02-24 17:57","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"京东：外卖骑手五险一金的所有成本，全部由京东承担","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166496488","media":"新浪科技","summary":"未来，京东集团将大力推进同工同酬。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">2月24日晚间消息，京东集团宣布，鉴于目前外卖骑手的平均薪酬远低于京东快递小哥，为了薪酬公平性，未来一段时期签约的外卖全职骑手缴纳五险一金的所有成本，包含个人所需缴纳部分，全部由京东承担，确保骑手现金收入绝不会因为缴纳五险一金而减少，此项举措包含现有骑手和新加入的骑手。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">未来，京东集团将大力推进同工同酬，逐步提高外卖骑手的福利待遇，通过实现一体化管理大幅降低管理成本，从而让外卖全职骑手和京东快递小哥一样，成为收入稳定、工作幸福、老有保障的庞大就业群体。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">此前，京东集团率先启动为现有和新加入的京东外卖全职骑手缴纳五险一金，为兼职骑手提供意外险和健康医疗险。（闫妍）</p></body></html>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" name=\"viewport\"/>\n<meta content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/it/2025-02-24/doc-inemqtxe9886238.shtml\"><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2月24日晚间消息，京东集团宣布，鉴于目前外卖骑手的平均薪酬远低于京东快递小哥，为了薪酬公平性，未来一段时期签约的外卖全职骑手缴纳五险一金的所有成本，包含个人所需缴纳部分，全部由京东承担，确保骑手现金收入绝不会因为缴纳五险一金而减少，此项举措包含现有骑手和新加入的骑手。未来，京东集团将大力推进同工同酬，逐步提高外卖骑手的福利待遇，通过实现一体化管理大幅降低管理成本，从而让外卖全职骑手和京东快递小哥...</p>\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/it/2025-02-24/doc-inemqtxe9886238.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6d614d2a350aedef2a05b5cddc42006","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/it/2025-02-24/doc-inemqtxe9886238.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166496488","content_text":"2月24日晚间消息，京东集团宣布，鉴于目前外卖骑手的平均薪酬远低于京东快递小哥，为了薪酬公平性，未来一段时期签约的外卖全职骑手缴纳五险一金的所有成本，包含个人所需缴纳部分，全部由京东承担，确保骑手现金收入绝不会因为缴纳五险一金而减少，此项举措包含现有骑手和新加入的骑手。未来，京东集团将大力推进同工同酬，逐步提高外卖骑手的福利待遇，通过实现一体化管理大幅降低管理成本，从而让外卖全职骑手和京东快递小哥一样，成为收入稳定、工作幸福、老有保障的庞大就业群体。此前，京东集团率先启动为现有和新加入的京东外卖全职骑手缴纳五险一金，为兼职骑手提供意外险和健康医疗险。（闫妍）","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":406738524570152,"gmtCreate":1740346108213,"gmtModify":1740361104137,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"被外资入股就得低声下气","listText":"被外资入股就得低声下气","text":"被外资入股就得低声下气","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/406738524570152","repostId":"2513200202","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2513200202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1740268452,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2513200202?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-02-23 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,来看看我最新分享的订单！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/405844053942304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":405756285124944,"gmtCreate":1740087966316,"gmtModify":1740087969155,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"代金券咋兑换呦[真香]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"代金券咋兑换呦[真香]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"代金券咋兑换呦[真香]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0491d602875e6b1231de91f5a1a53b0f"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/405756285124944","repostId":"1124976905","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1124976905","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1740047834,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124976905?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-02-20 18:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"阿里巴巴Q3营收同比增长8%超预期，云收入同比增长13%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124976905","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"2月20日，阿里巴巴盘前发布财报，财报显示：阿里巴巴第三财季营收2,801.5亿元人民币，预估2,773.7亿元人民币。第三财季调整后EBITDA 620.5亿元人民币，调整后每ADS收益 21.39元人民币。财报发布后，阿里巴巴美股盘前上涨。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>2月20日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>发布2024年12月份季度业绩，2025财年第三季度（截至2024年12月31日止季度）营收2,801.5亿元人民币，同比增长8%，预估2,773.7亿元人民币。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e83608184931f270a3db7ec0a7f69ca\" tg-height=\"1080\" tg-width=\"1080\" title=\"\"/></p><p><strong>1）主要财务数据：</strong></p><blockquote><ul style=\"\"><li><p>营收2801.5亿元人民币，预估2773.7亿元人民币，同比增长8%。</p></li><li><p>净利润464.34亿元，同比增长333%。</p></li><li><p>经调整净利润510.66亿元，同比增长6%。</p></li><li><p>调整后EBITDA 620.5亿元。</p></li><li><p>调整后每ADS收益 21.39元，同比增长13%</p></li></ul></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2029c35a36e5e25ac36cd02ae7fe63e\" tg-height=\"657\" tg-width=\"1155\" title=\"\"/></p><p><strong>2）业务营收数据：</strong></p><blockquote><ul style=\"\"><li><p>淘天集团：收入为1360.91亿元，同比增长5%。其中，客户管理收入同比增长9%，达1007.90亿元，主要由线上GMV增长和Take rate提升驱动。</p></li><li><p>阿里云：收入为317.42亿元，同比增长13%。</p></li><li><p>国际数字商业集团：收入同比增长32%至377.56亿元，主要由跨境业务的强劲表现所带动。</p></li><li><p>菜鸟集团：收入为人民币282.41亿元，同比下降1%。</p></li><li><p>本地生活集团：收入同比增长12%至人民币169.88亿元，由高德和饿了么的整体订单增长，以及市场营销服务的收入增长所带动。</p></li><li><p>大文娱集团：收入为54.38亿元，同比增长8%。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a44d681fc6fc9321bd88031396addd4a\" tg-height=\"715\" tg-width=\"1060\" title=\"\"/></p><p>阿里巴巴集团首席执行官吴泳铭：</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“本季度的业绩充分展示我们在‘用户为先，AI驱动’的战略取得显著进展，核心业务增长重新加速。本季度，淘天集团的客户管理收入增长9%，得益于用户体验提升和有效的商业化举措。云业务收入重回13%的双位数增长，其中AI相关产品收入连续六个季度实现三位数增长。展望未来，由AI推动的云智能集团收入增速还会持续提升。我们将继续执行聚焦电商和云计算的战略，持续投入以推动长期增长。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">阿里巴巴集团首席财务官徐宏：</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“我们加大投入促进核心业务重回增长的同时，保持了财务稳健性并提升营运效率，实现淘天集团的EBITA正增长。本季度，我们通过出售重大非核心资产、股份回购，并以优惠利率延长债务期限，持续积极管理资产负债表。”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" name=\"viewport\"/>\n<meta content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" name=\"format-detection\"/>\n<title>阿里巴巴Q3营收同比增长8%超预期，云收入同比增长13%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n阿里巴巴Q3营收同比增长8%超预期，云收入同比增长13%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-02-20 18:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>2月20日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>发布2024年12月份季度业绩，2025财年第三季度（截至2024年12月31日止季度）营收2,801.5亿元人民币，同比增长8%，预估2,773.7亿元人民币。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e83608184931f270a3db7ec0a7f69ca\" tg-height=\"1080\" tg-width=\"1080\" title=\"\"/></p><p><strong>1）主要财务数据：</strong></p><blockquote><ul style=\"\"><li><p>营收2801.5亿元人民币，预估2773.7亿元人民币，同比增长8%。</p></li><li><p>净利润464.34亿元，同比增长333%。</p></li><li><p>经调整净利润510.66亿元，同比增长6%。</p></li><li><p>调整后EBITDA 620.5亿元。</p></li><li><p>调整后每ADS收益 21.39元，同比增长13%</p></li></ul></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2029c35a36e5e25ac36cd02ae7fe63e\" tg-height=\"657\" tg-width=\"1155\" title=\"\"/></p><p><strong>2）业务营收数据：</strong></p><blockquote><ul style=\"\"><li><p>淘天集团：收入为1360.91亿元，同比增长5%。其中，客户管理收入同比增长9%，达1007.90亿元，主要由线上GMV增长和Take rate提升驱动。</p></li><li><p>阿里云：收入为317.42亿元，同比增长13%。</p></li><li><p>国际数字商业集团：收入同比增长32%至377.56亿元，主要由跨境业务的强劲表现所带动。</p></li><li><p>菜鸟集团：收入为人民币282.41亿元，同比下降1%。</p></li><li><p>本地生活集团：收入同比增长12%至人民币169.88亿元，由高德和饿了么的整体订单增长，以及市场营销服务的收入增长所带动。</p></li><li><p>大文娱集团：收入为54.38亿元，同比增长8%。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a44d681fc6fc9321bd88031396addd4a\" tg-height=\"715\" tg-width=\"1060\" title=\"\"/></p><p>阿里巴巴集团首席执行官吴泳铭：</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“本季度的业绩充分展示我们在‘用户为先，AI驱动’的战略取得显著进展，核心业务增长重新加速。本季度，淘天集团的客户管理收入增长9%，得益于用户体验提升和有效的商业化举措。云业务收入重回13%的双位数增长，其中AI相关产品收入连续六个季度实现三位数增长。展望未来，由AI推动的云智能集团收入增速还会持续提升。我们将继续执行聚焦电商和云计算的战略，持续投入以推动长期增长。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">阿里巴巴集团首席财务官徐宏：</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“我们加大投入促进核心业务重回增长的同时，保持了财务稳健性并提升营运效率，实现淘天集团的EBITA正增长。本季度，我们通过出售重大非核心资产、股份回购，并以优惠利率延长债务期限，持续积极管理资产负债表。”</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2161e8ddb469de4171b1fb09459c6b","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124976905","content_text":"2月20日，阿里巴巴发布2024年12月份季度业绩，2025财年第三季度（截至2024年12月31日止季度）营收2,801.5亿元人民币，同比增长8%，预估2,773.7亿元人民币。1）主要财务数据：营收2801.5亿元人民币，预估2773.7亿元人民币，同比增长8%。净利润464.34亿元，同比增长333%。经调整净利润510.66亿元，同比增长6%。调整后EBITDA 620.5亿元。调整后每ADS收益 21.39元，同比增长13%2）业务营收数据：淘天集团：收入为1360.91亿元，同比增长5%。其中，客户管理收入同比增长9%，达1007.90亿元，主要由线上GMV增长和Take rate提升驱动。阿里云：收入为317.42亿元，同比增长13%。国际数字商业集团：收入同比增长32%至377.56亿元，主要由跨境业务的强劲表现所带动。菜鸟集团：收入为人民币282.41亿元，同比下降1%。本地生活集团：收入同比增长12%至人民币169.88亿元，由高德和饿了么的整体订单增长，以及市场营销服务的收入增长所带动。大文娱集团：收入为54.38亿元，同比增长8%。阿里巴巴集团首席执行官吴泳铭：“本季度的业绩充分展示我们在‘用户为先，AI驱动’的战略取得显著进展，核心业务增长重新加速。本季度，淘天集团的客户管理收入增长9%，得益于用户体验提升和有效的商业化举措。云业务收入重回13%的双位数增长，其中AI相关产品收入连续六个季度实现三位数增长。展望未来，由AI推动的云智能集团收入增速还会持续提升。我们将继续执行聚焦电商和云计算的战略，持续投入以推动长期增长。”阿里巴巴集团首席财务官徐宏：“我们加大投入促进核心业务重回增长的同时，保持了财务稳健性并提升营运效率，实现淘天集团的EBITA正增长。本季度，我们通过出售重大非核心资产、股份回购，并以优惠利率延长债务期限，持续积极管理资产负债表。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":405752369459248,"gmtCreate":1740087738477,"gmtModify":1740087741973,"author":{"id":"3544441872957647","authorId":"3544441872957647","name":"T0000023454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1fef35c6b6f60123deced20857bcbf6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3544441872957647","authorIdStr":"3544441872957647"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;公园前202年——公园8年的丝绸之路无疑推动了当时的欧亚经济一体化，我们可以将它视作今天全球化进程的缩略版，如果以借古观今来解读当下全球化所面临的问题与机遇或许是个不错的方法。那么下面我们尽最大努力抱定客观立场来对发生在两千年前的这次波澜壮阔的经济活动做出初步分析与解读，也希望读者朋友对逻辑错误之处给予指正，那么下面进入正题。 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;公园前2世纪的世界经济体系几乎完全等于欧亚大陆的经济体系，这个作为地球上古往今来人口最多，自然资源最丰富的超级大陆正是在古丝绸之路的推动下走向了区域经济初步一体化，而中亚，西亚作为当时商队（中间商）的主体在连接东西方产销网路中更是获取了巨额回报，而且这种回报相对于当时生产端的中国与消费端的欧洲来说近乎接近零成本，作为生产端在一轮经济活动结束后必然要进行产业再投资，虽然汉唐时期政府对手工业重视并不够，也没有资本利用率的概念，但是产业再投资……","listText":"&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;公园前202年——公园8年的丝绸之路无疑推动了当时的欧亚经济一体化，我们可以将它视作今天全球化进程的缩略版，如果以借古观今来解读当下全球化所面临的问题与机遇或许是个不错的方法。那么下面我们尽最大努力抱定客观立场来对发生在两千年前的这次波澜壮阔的经济活动做出初步分析与解读，也希望读者朋友对逻辑错误之处给予指正，那么下面进入正题。 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;公园前2世纪的世界经济体系几乎完全等于欧亚大陆的经济体系，这个作为地球上古往今来人口最多，自然资源最丰富的超级大陆正是在古丝绸之路的推动下走向了区域经济初步一体化，而中亚，西亚作为当时商队（中间商）的主体在连接东西方产销网路中更是获取了巨额回报，而且这种回报相对于当时生产端的中国与消费端的欧洲来说近乎接近零成本，作为生产端在一轮经济活动结束后必然要进行产业再投资，虽然汉唐时期政府对手工业重视并不够，也没有资本利用率的概念，但是产业再投资……","text":"公园前202年——公园8年的丝绸之路无疑推动了当时的欧亚经济一体化，我们可以将它视作今天全球化进程的缩略版，如果以借古观今来解读当下全球化所面临的问题与机遇或许是个不错的方法。那么下面我们尽最大努力抱定客观立场来对发生在两千年前的这次波澜壮阔的经济活动做出初步分析与解读，也希望读者朋友对逻辑错误之处给予指正，那么下面进入正题。 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a>要出公告了，在此之前注定不会太平","listText":"<a 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@c63:事实上电动汽车并不环保：电动汽车所用电能大部分仍是来自于火力发电，从环保角度来看它和传统燃油车没有本质差别，另外制作电池的原料又几乎全部来自源不可回收的高污染材料。两者综合在一起来看电动汽车似乎更不环保，我们对电动汽车的追捧不过是一种幻象，是幻像迟早都要破灭。//@c63:2021会是半导体元年，看好台积电，稳稳的，新能源也可关注","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383383833","repostId":"389857335","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":389857335,"gmtCreate":1612754292024,"gmtModify":1729254630887,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"缺芯潮来袭：iPhone断供，全球一芯难求！","htmlText":"近日，越来越多的行业领袖发出警告：他们无法获得足够的芯片来生产他们的产品。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 表示： 一些新款高端iPhone的销售受到零部件短缺的限制。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NXPI\">$恩智浦(NXPI)$</a> （荷兰半导体公司）和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0KED.UK\">$英飞凌(0KED.UK)$</a> （德国半导体公司）表示： 芯片的供应限制已不再局限于汽车行业。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNE\">$索尼(SNE)$</a> 表示： 由于（芯片）生产瓶颈，可能无法在2021年完全满足其新款游戏机的需求。 集微网表示： 安防摄像头厂商已出现大面积缺芯的情况，导致相关芯片价格上涨15%—40%不等，并且该情况可能要维持到二季度甚至下半年。 除此之外，汽车、智能电子设备等行业均出现了芯片供应紧张的情况。 意法半导体公司副总裁及中国区总经理&nbsp;曹志平&nbsp;表示： 2021年（半导体）产能扩张要比过去几年更大，供需紧张情况会持续到何时，暂时无法估计。 厦门半导体投资集团董事、总经理&nbsp;王汇联&nbsp;&nbsp;表示： 2020年晶圆产能全面紧缺，预计将延续到2021年第三季度至第四季度。 ...&nbsp;... 最后，大家聊一聊： 你认为2021年，会是半导体元年吗？ (元年：帝王即位的第一年，该处意义为“暴涨的一年”) 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！","listText":"近日，越来越多的行业领袖发出警告：他们无法获得足够的芯片来生产他们的产品。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 表示： 一些新款高端iPhone的销售受到零部件短缺的限制。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NXPI\">$恩智浦(NXPI)$</a> （荷兰半导体公司）和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0KED.UK\">$英飞凌(0KED.UK)$</a> （德国半导体公司）表示： 芯片的供应限制已不再局限于汽车行业。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNE\">$索尼(SNE)$</a> 表示： 由于（芯片）生产瓶颈，可能无法在2021年完全满足其新款游戏机的需求。 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