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Mediator
短期来看,市场不理性是常态的,理性才是暂时的;但长期来看,市场终将回归理性.
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Mediator
2024-09-30
中国政策组合拳引爆全球市场
查看详情:
中国政策组合拳引爆全球市场
中国政策组合拳引爆全球市场:中概股与港股投资热潮来袭 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户
中国政策组合拳引爆全球市场
Mediator
2025-12-18
为了降息,数据造假也是有了
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Mediator
2025-12-10
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
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Mediator
2025-12-10
SpaceX的管理层和顾问正积极寻求在2026年中后期上市。由于事涉机密,这些知情人士拒绝透露姓名。IPO的时间可能会根据市场状况和其他因素而有所调整,其中一位知情人士表示,上市时间可能会推迟到2027年。
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Mediator
2025-12-08
强化AI管控
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Mediator
2025-12-05
结果是对的,目前已经接近中性利率了,没多太多降息空间了。至于中间原因纯属瞎掰,为川普歌功颂德,还经济增长过快都出来了,别把别人笑死。
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Mediator
2025-12-01
一旦哈塞特加入,美联储理事会中将出现两位从6月开始就会积极主张单次50个基点降息的投票成员——哈塞特与米兰。有分析师称,“除非反对理由非常充分,否则通常情况下,美联储主席想推动的决策往往会通过”。
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Mediator
2025-12-01
gpt的预训练瓶颈
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Mediator
2025-11-25
杠杆散户私募:思科是什么我们不知道,黄仁勋是教父,英伟达是信仰😂前期有很多这种投资者,就还有的跌。
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Mediator
2025-11-24
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
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Mediator
2025-11-23
黑色星期五的零售销售数据以及即将举行的美联储会议是目前仅存的能刺激投资者情绪的因素。
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Mediator
2025-11-23
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
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Mediator
2025-11-23
此外,行为金融因素也在发挥作用,投资者们正在获利了结。投资者普遍担忧已实现的利润可能回吐。这一心理在对冲基金领域尤为明显,交易员为保住年底奖金,往往在市场转弱时竞相抛售,这种集体行为容易形成"抛售-下跌-进一步抛售"的恶性循环。
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Mediator
2025-11-23
加密货币与科技股之间的联动效应显著放大,加剧整体市场压力。
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Mediator
2025-11-23
“部分过度杠杆化的投资者同时持有加密货币和科技泡沫股。当加密货币头寸被平仓时,他们不得不抛售科技股维持保证金。”
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Mediator
2025-11-23
然而相关股票的估值倍数尚未达到2000年互联网泡沫破裂前的水平。
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Mediator
2025-11-23
英伟达CEO黄仁勋近期回应市场质疑时的表态,与2000年互联网明星股思科时任CEO约翰·钱伯斯的姿态有相似之处。钱伯斯曾在2000年8月公司营收与利润增长超60%时宣称“第二次工业革命才刚刚开始”,然而一年后该股累计下跌67%。
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Mediator
2025-11-23
通胀在高关税商品9月逐渐摆上货架之后,未来一年同比读数都至少很难持续下降;与此同时,非农数据的季调方法也让年底的这几个月的新增就业人数读数可能偏高。其实降息到目前这个状态距离联储点阵图给的本轮降息终点(中性利率)已经不远。
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Mediator
2025-11-23
既让市场担心AI下游需求,又没有货币宽松的支持。
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Mediator
2025-11-23
英伟达的财报公布完,标志着长达3-4个月的业绩信息空窗期正式开始。市场短时间内找不到新的材料来炒作,那么调整似乎才是对高估值的尊重
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Mediator
2025-11-23
但另一方面,前值的下修、失业率的走高等又给这份数据的强劲表现打了一定折扣。9月延续了今年以来劳工部的持续下修模式,7月和8月非农就业人数合计下修3.3万人,8月数据甚至一度下修至负增长区间(-0.4万人);
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被孤立了。所以90天后如果真的谈判未有一个明确结果而高额关税重启的话,很有可能是美联储今年下半年50基点左右小幅降息,美国面临严重滞涨的结果,且下半年的7月美股还会有一次巨幅调整且会比这一次的更大,这一次能够快速反弹的主要原因就是因为这次关税仓促实施的不确定性太高,而90天后的结果几乎是大局已定,美国与其他国家的关税中短期内不会有太大改变","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/429629247221816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":271770673963216,"gmtCreate":1707388025588,"gmtModify":1707388028327,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阿里涉及的各个行业基本能够代表了中国的主要消费情况,如果阿里业绩不行,也只能间接说明了中国消费乏力,这并不是阿里能够掌控的,中国近几年经济增长乏力,消费能不下滑就已经不错了,还能缓慢增长就已经很可以了。在中国有几家公司比得上阿里呢,bat为代表的海外中概股基本代表了中国最优质的资产,不买这些买什么,买a股那些经常连商业模式和业绩都靠虚构的公司吗,还是现在追高还没开始降息就已经把降息一年后的涨幅走完了的美股头部?等经济周期到位,股市估值整体回升的时候,bat等一干头部中概股自然又是基金私募等的抱团对象,何况还有大规模回购托底,几十的股价真的是闭着眼睛买,毕竟几百刀的Amazon都敢买,70的阿里你觉得贵[笑哭]amazon的利润增长能力未来能快过阿里我是不信的,毕竟中国的经济增长率短期内是大于美国的,因为基数低在这摆着了。","listText":"阿里涉及的各个行业基本能够代表了中国的主要消费情况,如果阿里业绩不行,也只能间接说明了中国消费乏力,这并不是阿里能够掌控的,中国近几年经济增长乏力,消费能不下滑就已经不错了,还能缓慢增长就已经很可以了。在中国有几家公司比得上阿里呢,bat为代表的海外中概股基本代表了中国最优质的资产,不买这些买什么,买a股那些经常连商业模式和业绩都靠虚构的公司吗,还是现在追高还没开始降息就已经把降息一年后的涨幅走完了的美股头部?等经济周期到位,股市估值整体回升的时候,bat等一干头部中概股自然又是基金私募等的抱团对象,何况还有大规模回购托底,几十的股价真的是闭着眼睛买,毕竟几百刀的Amazon都敢买,70的阿里你觉得贵[笑哭]amazon的利润增长能力未来能快过阿里我是不信的,毕竟中国的经济增长率短期内是大于美国的,因为基数低在这摆着了。","text":"阿里涉及的各个行业基本能够代表了中国的主要消费情况,如果阿里业绩不行,也只能间接说明了中国消费乏力,这并不是阿里能够掌控的,中国近几年经济增长乏力,消费能不下滑就已经不错了,还能缓慢增长就已经很可以了。在中国有几家公司比得上阿里呢,bat为代表的海外中概股基本代表了中国最优质的资产,不买这些买什么,买a股那些经常连商业模式和业绩都靠虚构的公司吗,还是现在追高还没开始降息就已经把降息一年后的涨幅走完了的美股头部?等经济周期到位,股市估值整体回升的时候,bat等一干头部中概股自然又是基金私募等的抱团对象,何况还有大规模回购托底,几十的股价真的是闭着眼睛买,毕竟几百刀的Amazon都敢买,70的阿里你觉得贵[笑哭]amazon的利润增长能力未来能快过阿里我是不信的,毕竟中国的经济增长率短期内是大于美国的,因为基数低在这摆着了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/271770673963216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"76029534223944","authorId":"76029534223944","name":"千翻","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d519a74edc97efb273876b4be8af7880","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"76029534223944","idStr":"76029534223944"},"content":"阿里的利润增长超过亚马逊?","text":"阿里的利润增长超过亚马逊?","html":"阿里的利润增长超过亚马逊?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650391808,"gmtCreate":1678877432704,"gmtModify":1678877433734,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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看这盘前走势,ppi肯定是超预期了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":22,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650391808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3492787339030986","idStr":"3492787339030986"},"content":"这走势应该不是ppi的问题吧,估计哪又爆雷了","text":"这走势应该不是ppi的问题吧,估计哪又爆雷了","html":"这走势应该不是ppi的问题吧,估计哪又爆雷了"},{"author":{"id":"3499885061189529","authorId":"3499885061189529","name":"NickShen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c149d41125f32be9a2c3e52aaad7db12","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3499885061189529","idStr":"3499885061189529"},"content":"本来就应该下跌的,昨天纯属诱多。","text":"本来就应该下跌的,昨天纯属诱多。","html":"本来就应该下跌的,昨天纯属诱多。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":653472832,"gmtCreate":1681232842626,"gmtModify":1681232844904,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"5月25基点基本落定,已经无关这次cpi了,这一次cpi和后几个月cpi的走向决定的是6月~9月加不加息","listText":"5月25基点基本落定,已经无关这次cpi了,这一次cpi和后几个月cpi的走向决定的是6月~9月加不加息","text":"5月25基点基本落定,已经无关这次cpi了,这一次cpi和后几个月cpi的走向决定的是6月~9月加不加息","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/653472832","repostId":"1172858865","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3522054114320634","authorId":"3522054114320634","name":"renyi122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9eb84dd80d4a7247aa54a20a74c9fa8f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3522054114320634","idStr":"3522054114320634"},"content":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","html":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] 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不出意外,下周大的要来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410818760995120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1733,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3464914845348106","authorId":"3464914845348106","name":"T20211211736","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/3f458065e1d734e994cfd6a32aeae64d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3464914845348106","idStr":"3464914845348106"},"content":"还没来,今天就是小的","text":"还没来,今天就是小的","html":"还没来,今天就是小的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":276591707684968,"gmtCreate":1708555656312,"gmtModify":1708555658359,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"标题写的很好,的确是引爆点,但不是正向引爆,“亚马逊、Meta、微软和谷歌是英伟达的最大客户,几乎占其收入的40%,因为几大科技巨头急于投资AI计算硬件。”,首先这几家主要客户已经在前几个季度购置了足够多的AI设备,相关ai业务规模就那么大,设备的更新迭代是要有一定周期的,不可能长期无限制的增长,后面的需求还有那么大吗?其次利润已经出现环比增速下滑,在AI开始变冷的25q1季报还能达到这个随着股价不断拉高的预期吗?一旦不及预期,又开始“AI证伪”超卖,这种高位砸下来谁能接得住? 总之,现在的nv风险已经远远大于机会","listText":"标题写的很好,的确是引爆点,但不是正向引爆,“亚马逊、Meta、微软和谷歌是英伟达的最大客户,几乎占其收入的40%,因为几大科技巨头急于投资AI计算硬件。”,首先这几家主要客户已经在前几个季度购置了足够多的AI设备,相关ai业务规模就那么大,设备的更新迭代是要有一定周期的,不可能长期无限制的增长,后面的需求还有那么大吗?其次利润已经出现环比增速下滑,在AI开始变冷的25q1季报还能达到这个随着股价不断拉高的预期吗?一旦不及预期,又开始“AI证伪”超卖,这种高位砸下来谁能接得住? 总之,现在的nv风险已经远远大于机会","text":"标题写的很好,的确是引爆点,但不是正向引爆,“亚马逊、Meta、微软和谷歌是英伟达的最大客户,几乎占其收入的40%,因为几大科技巨头急于投资AI计算硬件。”,首先这几家主要客户已经在前几个季度购置了足够多的AI设备,相关ai业务规模就那么大,设备的更新迭代是要有一定周期的,不可能长期无限制的增长,后面的需求还有那么大吗?其次利润已经出现环比增速下滑,在AI开始变冷的25q1季报还能达到这个随着股价不断拉高的预期吗?一旦不及预期,又开始“AI证伪”超卖,这种高位砸下来谁能接得住? 总之,现在的nv风险已经远远大于机会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/276591707684968","repostId":"1162454292","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3499899924438042","authorId":"3499899924438042","name":"小跳蚤","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95399cc301ca9223c36b352f4e9fccb9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3499899924438042","idStr":"3499899924438042"},"content":"那是你还不了解ai有多火,拿微软来说,一直在买gpu一直不够。等sora上线,又要面临更大的gpu短缺","text":"那是你还不了解ai有多火,拿微软来说,一直在买gpu一直不够。等sora上线,又要面临更大的gpu短缺","html":"那是你还不了解ai有多火,拿微软来说,一直在买gpu一直不够。等sora上线,又要面临更大的gpu短缺"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":659388228,"gmtCreate":1679699841264,"gmtModify":1679699844503,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"德银敢在流动性紧张时期赎回肯定是有充足流动性,反而说明了其资金状况良好,这也要跌吗,纯粹是惊弓之鸟了,或者是机构恶意杀恐慌盘","listText":"德银敢在流动性紧张时期赎回肯定是有充足流动性,反而说明了其资金状况良好,这也要跌吗,纯粹是惊弓之鸟了,或者是机构恶意杀恐慌盘","text":"德银敢在流动性紧张时期赎回肯定是有充足流动性,反而说明了其资金状况良好,这也要跌吗,纯粹是惊弓之鸟了,或者是机构恶意杀恐慌盘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659388228","repostId":"1143175612","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650460657,"gmtCreate":1679454822280,"gmtModify":1679454824643,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"最离谱的事情不是coco债券本身,而是瑞士政府调换了优先级顺序。将coco债券放在了股权之前,将原先设计时放在股权之后的coco债券的可转换成股权,或部分减计,乃至全部减计,直接变成了把coco债券放在了风险第一线,相当于其可转换股权选项在此次瑞信收购案中直接失效,其这部分价值也直接归零,最后直接全面减计,整体归零。这一次既是瑞信的信誉负面事件,更是瑞士政府的信誉负面事件,更可怕的是在全球开了先例,引起这一债券在全球范围内的价值重估。","listText":"最离谱的事情不是coco债券本身,而是瑞士政府调换了优先级顺序。将coco债券放在了股权之前,将原先设计时放在股权之后的coco债券的可转换成股权,或部分减计,乃至全部减计,直接变成了把coco债券放在了风险第一线,相当于其可转换股权选项在此次瑞信收购案中直接失效,其这部分价值也直接归零,最后直接全面减计,整体归零。这一次既是瑞信的信誉负面事件,更是瑞士政府的信誉负面事件,更可怕的是在全球开了先例,引起这一债券在全球范围内的价值重估。","text":"最离谱的事情不是coco债券本身,而是瑞士政府调换了优先级顺序。将coco债券放在了股权之前,将原先设计时放在股权之后的coco债券的可转换成股权,或部分减计,乃至全部减计,直接变成了把coco债券放在了风险第一线,相当于其可转换股权选项在此次瑞信收购案中直接失效,其这部分价值也直接归零,最后直接全面减计,整体归零。这一次既是瑞信的信誉负面事件,更是瑞士政府的信誉负面事件,更可怕的是在全球开了先例,引起这一债券在全球范围内的价值重估。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650460657","repostId":"1107087720","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":284828628598856,"gmtCreate":1710544001353,"gmtModify":1710544004129,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"业绩乘估值才等于股价,经济周期影响的是市场估值,确实不能完全影响股价。 但是估值不上涨的情况下,你业绩能一直翻倍再翻倍吗?业绩上涨空间极其有限一倍两倍已经是极限,而估值的上涨空间是可以四倍五倍的,单纯靠业绩的上涨能维持多久。 当开始脱离经济规律说梦话的时候,也就是要回调的时候[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] ","listText":"业绩乘估值才等于股价,经济周期影响的是市场估值,确实不能完全影响股价。 但是估值不上涨的情况下,你业绩能一直翻倍再翻倍吗?业绩上涨空间极其有限一倍两倍已经是极限,而估值的上涨空间是可以四倍五倍的,单纯靠业绩的上涨能维持多久。 当开始脱离经济规律说梦话的时候,也就是要回调的时候[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] ","text":"业绩乘估值才等于股价,经济周期影响的是市场估值,确实不能完全影响股价。 但是估值不上涨的情况下,你业绩能一直翻倍再翻倍吗?业绩上涨空间极其有限一倍两倍已经是极限,而估值的上涨空间是可以四倍五倍的,单纯靠业绩的上涨能维持多久。 当开始脱离经济规律说梦话的时候,也就是要回调的时候[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/284828628598856","repostId":"2419988008","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":653290918,"gmtCreate":1680866518234,"gmtModify":1680866640073,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"就算低于预期25基点雷打不动信吗?摇旗呐喊党真的很无脑,一点经济衰退和长期高通胀谁风险更大快回去问问你经济学老师[微笑] ","listText":"就算低于预期25基点雷打不动信吗?摇旗呐喊党真的很无脑,一点经济衰退和长期高通胀谁风险更大快回去问问你经济学老师[微笑] ","text":"就算低于预期25基点雷打不动信吗?摇旗呐喊党真的很无脑,一点经济衰退和长期高通胀谁风险更大快回去问问你经济学老师[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":16,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/653290918","repostId":"1149244067","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":659509972,"gmtCreate":1680103811196,"gmtModify":1680103814617,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"个人认为,分拆结果无论成败,都并不能利好Ali母公司股价。如果分拆后不能成功上市,那就等同于没有分拆,大量亏损的业务板块将会进一步长期侵蚀母公司电商板块利润,本身电商业务利润增速上涨就已经非常困难了,还有一堆包袱业务每年大量亏损,业绩很难好得起来。如果分拆后部分成功上市,较好的较有前景的业务都被分割独立出去了,留下的都是表现较差的资产,母公司业绩又怎么好得起来呢?真正重振业绩的最好的办法就是,最简单有效的进行一次资产重组,只留下最有前景的业务板块,将差的甚至一般的资产出售,把更多的人力资源财力资源集中投入,才能在红海市场竞争里夺取优势。","listText":"个人认为,分拆结果无论成败,都并不能利好Ali母公司股价。如果分拆后不能成功上市,那就等同于没有分拆,大量亏损的业务板块将会进一步长期侵蚀母公司电商板块利润,本身电商业务利润增速上涨就已经非常困难了,还有一堆包袱业务每年大量亏损,业绩很难好得起来。如果分拆后部分成功上市,较好的较有前景的业务都被分割独立出去了,留下的都是表现较差的资产,母公司业绩又怎么好得起来呢?真正重振业绩的最好的办法就是,最简单有效的进行一次资产重组,只留下最有前景的业务板块,将差的甚至一般的资产出售,把更多的人力资源财力资源集中投入,才能在红海市场竞争里夺取优势。","text":"个人认为,分拆结果无论成败,都并不能利好Ali母公司股价。如果分拆后不能成功上市,那就等同于没有分拆,大量亏损的业务板块将会进一步长期侵蚀母公司电商板块利润,本身电商业务利润增速上涨就已经非常困难了,还有一堆包袱业务每年大量亏损,业绩很难好得起来。如果分拆后部分成功上市,较好的较有前景的业务都被分割独立出去了,留下的都是表现较差的资产,母公司业绩又怎么好得起来呢?真正重振业绩的最好的办法就是,最简单有效的进行一次资产重组,只留下最有前景的业务板块,将差的甚至一般的资产出售,把更多的人力资源财力资源集中投入,才能在红海市场竞争里夺取优势。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659509972","repostId":"1139566454","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}