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lidon
07-24 22:15
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
车v
lidon
2023-10-21
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
才开始 目标2345
lidon
2021-02-08
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
期权怎么没有
lidon
2020-09-08
期权没分时
lidon
2020-03-09
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
停了
lidon
2019-11-08
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
老虎软件不能自动刷新
lidon
2019-10-14
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
看来涨跌都不会大了
lidon
2019-10-10
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
看来还要跌
lidon
2019-10-09
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
等美联储讲话
lidon
2019-09-12
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
涨跌全看苹果
lidon
2019-08-29
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
上蹿下跳。不好玩
lidon
2019-08-28
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
都看空怎么可能暴跌,就横到没耐心了就跌了
lidon
2019-08-28
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
横盘震荡调整等9.1破位
lidon
2019-08-26
箱体来回折腾没几天就漏了
lidon
2019-08-23
这个盘子就在箱体震荡期权全部杀死
lidon
2019-01-30
#城市追光# 大连早晨金碧辉煌
lidon
2019-01-23
期权交易系统撤单有明白的吗
lidon
2018-06-21
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$你已经打遍所有空头 现在没有看空了 是不是开始杀多了?
lidon
2018-06-21
原来老美也要跟a股涨跌?
lidon
2018-03-28
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
打破趋势线:当前美股与史上最严重3场股灾类似
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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大连早晨金碧辉煌","listText":"#城市追光# 大连早晨金碧辉煌","text":"#城市追光# 大连早晨金碧辉煌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/636113028d1b8853962e5af122ceb39a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391573","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3462835651625771","authorId":"3462835651625771","name":"石家庄二炮手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eabd15fbc0d913fbb0dc109429347b55","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"那天亮这么早吗","text":"那天亮这么早吗","html":"那天亮这么早吗"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":385266,"gmtCreate":1548187287806,"gmtModify":1704787603734,"author":{"id":"3477470640271949","authorId":"3477470640271949","name":"lidon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f1781c299c8bb26550a586ad6418a4","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期权交易系统撤单有明白的吗","listText":"期权交易系统撤单有明白的吗","text":"期权交易系统撤单有明白的吗","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3094fde8610e8ed1359f3119df6e037b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385266","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3459964707755838","authorId":"3459964707755838","name":"萨塔斯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0faf726a03fc2de41605d311210fadb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"上面不是有写吗","text":"上面不是有写吗","html":"上面不是有写吗"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":207177,"gmtCreate":1529589327341,"gmtModify":1704895318334,"author":{"id":"3477470640271949","authorId":"3477470640271949","name":"lidon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f1781c299c8bb26550a586ad6418a4","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$你已经打遍所有空头 现在没有看空了 是不是开始杀多了?","listText":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$你已经打遍所有空头 现在没有看空了 是不是开始杀多了?","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$你已经打遍所有空头 现在没有看空了 是不是开始杀多了?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/207177","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":207147,"gmtCreate":1529588795253,"gmtModify":1704895314358,"author":{"id":"3477470640271949","authorId":"3477470640271949","name":"lidon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f1781c299c8bb26550a586ad6418a4","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"原来老美也要跟a股涨跌?","listText":"原来老美也要跟a股涨跌?","text":"原来老美也要跟a股涨跌?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/207147","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172523,"gmtCreate":1522240062051,"gmtModify":1704890952200,"author":{"id":"3477470640271949","authorId":"3477470640271949","name":"lidon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f1781c299c8bb26550a586ad6418a4","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172523","repostId":"28709","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"28709","pubTimestamp":1522223229,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/28709?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2018-03-28 15:47","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"打破趋势线:当前美股与史上最严重3场股灾类似","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=28709","media":"黄金头条","summary":"1929、1987年的标普500指数和1990年的日经225指数在打破趋势线之后,都出现了瀑布式的下跌。","content":"<div class=\"article-detail-content\">\n<p>继2月份暴跌之后,美股于上周五和本周二再次大幅下挫。分析师Dmitri Speck指出,当前标普500指数的走势和其在1929和1987年股灾时期类似,也与1990年日本股市的崩盘(日经225指数暴跌)存在相似点。</p>\n<p><img class=\" wscnph\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://static.laohu8.com/38248c9e-325c-11e8-9876-1866da4de9be?dp_cmd=/imageView2/mode/2/q/30\" data-wscnh=\"261\" data-wscntype=\"image\" data-wscnw=\"500\" /></p>\n<p>他还指出,出现这种“崩溃”模式的决定性特征包括:在图表上可以看到一条清晰的趋势线、上行的最后阶段加速走向高峰、最初的下降是测试趋势线、然后是出现反弹势头、最后打破趋势线。</p>\n<p>而在打破趋势线之后,1929、1987年的标普500指数和1990年的日经225指数都出现了瀑布式的下跌。那么当前的美股是否会“重蹈覆辙”?</p>\n<strong>打破趋势线之后 面临着瀑布式下滑</strong>\n<p>从最初的测试趋势线到反弹,美股经历了一段很长的时间,然而,美股最终还是再次回落。上周五(3月23日),美股已经跌破了趋势线。</p>\n<p><img class=\" wscnph\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://static.laohu8.com/38b0b638-325c-11e8-9876-1866da4de9be?dp_cmd=/imageView2/mode/2/q/30\" data-wscnh=\"345\" data-wscntype=\"image\" data-wscnw=\"500\" /></p>\n<p>这与1929年、1987年的美股、以及1990年的日本股市有明显相似之处。</p>\n<p><img class=\" wscnph\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://static.laohu8.com/3939466a-325c-11e8-9876-1866da4de9be?dp_cmd=/imageView2/mode/2/q/30\" data-wscnh=\"345\" data-wscntype=\"image\" data-wscnw=\"500\" /></p>\n<p>1986 – 1987年,道琼斯指数在跌破趋势线之后迅速下滑。</p>\n<p><img class=\" wscnph\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://static.laohu8.com/39a48830-325c-11e8-9876-1866da4de9be?dp_cmd=/imageView2/mode/2/q/30\" data-wscnh=\"345\" data-wscntype=\"image\" data-wscnw=\"500\" /></p>\n<p>同样,在1928 - 1929年,道琼斯指数在第二次测试趋势线失败之后,市场再度崩溃。</p>\n<p><img class=\" wscnph\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://static.laohu8.com/3a0ec470-325c-11e8-9876-1866da4de9be?dp_cmd=/imageView2/mode/2/q/30\" data-wscnh=\"345\" data-wscntype=\"image\" data-wscnw=\"500\" /></p>\n<p>日经225指数也在1987-1990年打破趋势线之后猛烈下挫。</p>\n<strong>标普500指数的初始目标:1900</strong>\n<p>1929年,1987年和1990年股市还有一个明显的特征,就是下跌幅度具有很大的相似性。在第一次下滑中,股指都跌至趋势线的起点。如果再次出现瀑布式的下挫,标普500指数的初始目标将为1900点,相当于较顶点水平下跌34%。</p>\n<ul>\n<li>市场在1929年崩溃之后,美股在接下来的2.8年时间内下跌了近90%;</li>\n<li>在1987年,美股经历了单日暴跌22.61%的冲击后,市场表现更加糟糕;</li>\n<li>日本股市则在1990年崩盘之后,仍然陷入了漫长的熊市阶段,最终在下跌82%之后触底,此时,距离日本股市顶部水平大概过去了30年。</li>\n</ul>\n<strong>南海泡沫事件</strong>\n<p>Dmitri Speck还提到了南海泡沫事件。这和前几次的股市崩盘也存在一些类似之处:先是沿着趋势线上升,然后加速上升到高峰,最后在趋势线被打破之后暴跌。</p>\n<p>南海泡沫事件是指英国在1720年春天到秋天之间发生的一次经济泡沫,它与密西西比泡沫事件及郁金香狂热并称欧洲早期的三大经济泡沫。</p>\n<p><img class=\" wscnph\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https://static.laohu8.com/3a61b716-325c-11e8-9876-1866da4de9be?dp_cmd=/imageView2/mode/2/q/30\" data-wscnh=\"323\" data-wscntype=\"image\" data-wscnw=\"500\" /></p>\n<p>英国股票价格曾在1719 - 1721年打破趋势线之后,一路回落至牛市的起点。</p>\n<strong>当前美股暴跌的可能性较大</strong>\n<p>随着上周五打破趋势线,美股当前的格局和前三次股市崩盘前的走势非常类似。当然其它因素对股市的影响也至关重要,包括基本面估值过高、利率上升以及全球贸易关系紧张。</p>\n<p>Dmitri Speck也指出,当前股市也并不一定会崩盘,尤其是考虑到周一美股的反弹状况。然而,由于此次的初始反弹是双顶形式结束,美股可能会出现两次打破趋势线的情况。总得来说,股市出现瀑布式下滑的可能性较高。</p>\n</div>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>打破趋势线:当前美股与史上最严重3场股灾类似</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n打破趋势线:当前美股与史上最严重3场股灾类似\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2018-03-28 15:47 北京时间 <a href=https://goldtoutiao.com/articles/3264546><strong>黄金头条</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>继2月份暴跌之后,美股于上周五和本周二再次大幅下挫。分析师Dmitri Speck指出,当前标普500指数的走势和其在1929和1987年股灾时期类似,也与1990年日本股市的崩盘(日经225指数暴跌)存在相似点。\n\n他还指出,出现这种“崩溃”模式的决定性特征包括:在图表上可以看到一条清晰的趋势线、上行的最后阶段加速走向高峰、最初的下降是测试趋势线、然后是出现反弹势头、最后打破趋势线。\n而在打破...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://goldtoutiao.com/articles/3264546\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://wpimg.wallstcn.com/e03fe84c-592a-4ccc-9dc8-6ecdcc7795a2.jpg?imageView2/1/w/250/h/188","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://goldtoutiao.com/articles/3264546","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"28709","content_text":"继2月份暴跌之后,美股于上周五和本周二再次大幅下挫。分析师Dmitri Speck指出,当前标普500指数的走势和其在1929和1987年股灾时期类似,也与1990年日本股市的崩盘(日经225指数暴跌)存在相似点。\n\n他还指出,出现这种“崩溃”模式的决定性特征包括:在图表上可以看到一条清晰的趋势线、上行的最后阶段加速走向高峰、最初的下降是测试趋势线、然后是出现反弹势头、最后打破趋势线。\n而在打破趋势线之后,1929、1987年的标普500指数和1990年的日经225指数都出现了瀑布式的下跌。那么当前的美股是否会“重蹈覆辙”?\n打破趋势线之后 面临着瀑布式下滑\n从最初的测试趋势线到反弹,美股经历了一段很长的时间,然而,美股最终还是再次回落。上周五(3月23日),美股已经跌破了趋势线。\n\n这与1929年、1987年的美股、以及1990年的日本股市有明显相似之处。\n\n1986 – 1987年,道琼斯指数在跌破趋势线之后迅速下滑。\n\n同样,在1928 - 1929年,道琼斯指数在第二次测试趋势线失败之后,市场再度崩溃。\n\n日经225指数也在1987-1990年打破趋势线之后猛烈下挫。\n标普500指数的初始目标:1900\n1929年,1987年和1990年股市还有一个明显的特征,就是下跌幅度具有很大的相似性。在第一次下滑中,股指都跌至趋势线的起点。如果再次出现瀑布式的下挫,标普500指数的初始目标将为1900点,相当于较顶点水平下跌34%。\n\n市场在1929年崩溃之后,美股在接下来的2.8年时间内下跌了近90%;\n在1987年,美股经历了单日暴跌22.61%的冲击后,市场表现更加糟糕;\n日本股市则在1990年崩盘之后,仍然陷入了漫长的熊市阶段,最终在下跌82%之后触底,此时,距离日本股市顶部水平大概过去了30年。\n\n南海泡沫事件\nDmitri Speck还提到了南海泡沫事件。这和前几次的股市崩盘也存在一些类似之处:先是沿着趋势线上升,然后加速上升到高峰,最后在趋势线被打破之后暴跌。\n南海泡沫事件是指英国在1720年春天到秋天之间发生的一次经济泡沫,它与密西西比泡沫事件及郁金香狂热并称欧洲早期的三大经济泡沫。\n\n英国股票价格曾在1719 - 1721年打破趋势线之后,一路回落至牛市的起点。\n当前美股暴跌的可能性较大\n随着上周五打破趋势线,美股当前的格局和前三次股市崩盘前的走势非常类似。当然其它因素对股市的影响也至关重要,包括基本面估值过高、利率上升以及全球贸易关系紧张。\nDmitri 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